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White House Warns of Supercomputer Arms Race

dcblogs writes "The White House's science advisors, in a report last week, said a petaflop-by-petaflop race to achieve number one on the Top500 could prove costly and divert money from supercomputing research. 'While it would be imprudent to allow ourselves to fall significantly behind our peers with respect to scientific performance benchmarks that have demonstrable practical significance, a single-minded focus on maintaining clear superiority in terms of flops count is probably not in our national interest,' the report said (PDF). It is urging the supercomputing community to expand its benchmark measures beyond the Top500's Linpack. It says the Graph500, for data-intensive applications involving the rapid execution of graph operations, 'will be more relevant,' but also acknowledges that it will difficult to rely on any one measure."

24 of 123 comments (clear)

  1. Arms Race? by Culture20 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Supercomputer Race. Unless supercomputers start blowing up or growing arms.

    1. Re:Arms Race? by Arancaytar · · Score: 2

      "Arms race" is a single term that stands for competitors attempting to gain a technical or material advantage faster than each other. "Supercomputer race" would simply be a race between supercomputers.

    2. Re:Arms Race? by The_mad_linguist · · Score: 2

      Supercomputer competition. Unless supercomputers start high-speed drifting through Tokyo.

    3. Re:Arms Race? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 2

      Supercomputer Race. Unless supercomputers start blowing up or growing arms.

      It's likely that the single largest driver of US government spending on supercomputers is for nukes.

      --
      When information is power, privacy is freedom.
    4. Re:Arms Race? by Your.Master · · Score: 2

      "Supercomputer race" would simply be a race between supercomputers.

      Why is that a problem? It seems like a perfectly apt description to me.

    5. Re:Arms Race? by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 2

      Well, at least those nukes budgets have some value: improving supercomputer performance, that can be used for actually useful applications.

      Maybe someday we'll get smart and use the computers for only that kind of apps, like weather and climate modeling, and energy physics research that doesn't make bombs.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  2. This is how a superpower dies by mewsenews · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If another country starts to outshine you, try changing the rules.

    America's strength used lie in an immense manufacturing culture, and that's given way to "intellectual property". Instead of dealing with tangibles, America is content to sit behind a desk and let the Chinese labour.

    1. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No. It's creating more fear of the outside World: terrorism, other countries "attacking" us, others getting "ahead" of us, an infinitum.

      Nuclear war and the Soviets are gone. Our leaders need other bogeymen - their version of "Goldstein" - to keep us in fear. Because those of us who have been educated outside of the corporate system - any type of education that doesn't train one for a vocation - fear is how you control the little people. Apparently the scare of terrorists and Muslims aren't enough.

    2. Re:This is how a superpower dies by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why would any American want to change that? Look at how people get to live right now: no need to choose between having a computer, having a cell phone, or having a nice pair of shoes; you can have them all, because they are cheap, because they are produced in countries where wages are low. Something is broken? Don't fix it -- just replace it! Cheap!

      Sure, eventually it will all come crashing down and we'll all get a rude awakening, but until that happens, I do not think anyone will want to change the current system.

      --
      Palm trees and 8
    3. Re:This is how a superpower dies by Charliemopps · · Score: 2

      It's already come crashing down, it's just that most of the country doesn't realize it and out News Orgs and political leaders are too cowardly to tell them.

      http://grandfather-economic-report.com/debt-gdp-1916-2008.jpg ...and if you're wondering what that first peak is in 1933, that would be the great depression.

    4. Re:This is how a superpower dies by ultranova · · Score: 3, Insightful

      America's strength used lie in an immense manufacturing culture, and that's given way to "intellectual property". Instead of dealing with tangibles, America is content to sit behind a desk and let the Chinese labour.

      The problem is not "intellectual property", the problem is service economy. Manufacturing, no matter what you're producing, be it cars or blueprints for them, creates value. Service jobs don't. That's why they pay so badly. As economy increasingly gets all of its growth from services, rather than industry, the amount of stuff - also known as wealth - circulating does not grow. That is why we are seeing so much economic problems.

      The Western world is de-industrializing as all manufacturing jobs are moved to China, and design jobs are following since few people can actually do them well. We are simply returning to the pre-industrial situation where the only ones who have significant amount of wealth are the nobles, and they are so much richer than everyone else that they have a practical monopoly on power as well. Whether this was by design or by accident I can't say, but whichever the reason, the increasing poverty and destruction of Western civilization is in the best interests of our overlords, so it will continue.

      Oh well, another few millenias under ruthless Chinese dictators. When they take over I at least hope they reward our traitors as a traitor deserves. A pity for the children, thought; good thing I don't have them.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

  3. Curses! by Haedrian · · Score: 3, Funny

    We cannot allow a Supercomputer gap!

  4. True to an extent by GigsVT · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you really need to crunch a lot of numbers and are willing to spend a lot to do it, it often makes more sense to develop an ASIC or FPGA type solution. I know the EFF put together a key cracking system for $250,000 that would probably still blow modern supercomputers out of the water for that specific application.

    --
    I've had enough abrasive sigs. Kittens are cute and fuzzy.
  5. And while we're at it by hammarlund · · Score: 2

    "Mr. President, we must not allow a mineshaft gap!"

  6. It's not the supercomputer, it's the software by pclminion · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The "race" is not about the hardware. All modern supercomputers are massively clustered, using various shared memory architectures. The technology is commodity level, and even a small sum like $10 million can buy a SHITLOAD of hardware. The challenge, and the point of competition, is the creation of software technologies and algorithms to effectively make use of clustered hardware. It's a question of who has the best minds working on the software. The hardware is a given. People have constructed impressive massively parallel processors using game consoles, after all.

    It's the programmers, not the supercomputer makers, who will make the difference in this "race."

  7. Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by cashman73 · · Score: 2
    If we look at the top 10 on the TOP500 list, it's still pretty dominated by the USA:

    1. Tianhe-1A (China)
    2. Jaguar (USA, ORNL)
    3. Nebulae (China)
    4. TSUBAME (Japan)
    5. Hopper (USA, LBNL)
    6. Tera-100 (France)
    7. Roadrunner (USA, LANL)
    8. Kraken (USA, UT)
    9. JUGENE (Germany)
    10. Cielo (USA, LANL)

    So, let's see -- half of the top ten are in the USA, two in China, two in Europe, and one in Japan. Granted, China is catching up (rapidly), but if you look beyond the #1 spot, the USA still pretty dominates the overall list. Expand this list out beyond the top ten, and SEVEN supercomputers from 11-20 are also in the USA (11-16 & 18), one is in Russia (17), and two in South Korea (19 & 20). So let's not all freak out here about China stealing the #1 and #3 slots on the list -- the USA still has quite a bit more computational resources than the Chinese,. . .

    1. Re:Let's look at the bigger picture, why don't we? by pspahn · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but China's #1 system is the Tianhe-1A. 1A, which probably means it's the first one. Just wait until they get to 1B, 1C, etc. Alas, woe is us.

      --
      Someone flopped a steamer in the gene pool.
  8. How a Superpower Rules by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Informative

    The advice to the president doesn't change rules for "fastest supercomputer". It tells the president not to be suckered into a supercomputer race measured on only the FLOPS, but rather on more useful performance measures. Because getting sidetracked into less useful metrics to see who's winning the race will waste US resources in winning the race, but not producing the most useful computer. And the US interest is in producing the most useful computer, not in nominally winning the race.

    In fact, that report says "let China dominate the Top500, if the US still has the better computers". Which is exactly what I want the US doing, and what I prefer China to be doing rather than leaving the US behind in actual usefulness.

    But if you want to get caught up in "the USA is dead" trip that leads into traps that actually would hurt the US if acted on, go ahead. You're not having any effect on the US supercomputer effort.

    --

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    make install -not war

    1. Re:How a Superpower Rules by blind+monkey+3 · · Score: 2

      I don't believe the US is dead int the water - far from it, they I believe they are still leaders in technological innovation - but it seems a strange time to come out and say "we're not racing" after you've just been overtaken.
      The U.S. has been a willing and active participant in this so call race for the "biggest and best" for a long time, they have just been over taken for number 1 spot and now all of a sudden it is not important.
      Far better to say nothing and concentrate on what you believe is the correct path to take.

      --
      BM3
    2. Re:How a Superpower Rules by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The reason the US was overtaken in this particular metric is that the US is no longer devoting resources to being at the top of it, because those resources go into being top in the other metrics that actually do matter. The Chinese moved into the top spot after it ceased to be the most important.

      This report is advising the president not to be tricked into wasting resources competing with China in that less important category at the expense of retaining leadership in the other categories.

      The US doesn't build the tallest skyscrapers anymore, because we built an even bigger suburban infrastructure around cities, making such density less valuable. Other countries that do build the world's tallest building (for a while) are either wasting their time, or competing in an unnecessary race the US has no real value anymore in winning.

      The US has a largely transparent government, and this advice from an advisory group to the president is good advice. Far better to compete in what matters, and to tell the truth about why. If the president were in the critical path to building the tallest buildings, the focus away from them to other development patterns would have become better known, though just as aptly practiced.

      The people who misunderstand this report and the US compliance with it are not important in the supercomputer industry. Just as people who whine that the US doesn't have the world's tallest buildings anymore aren't important to the construction industry.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  9. Re:If the rules are stupid, then you change them by jbssm · · Score: 2

    If you honestly think that the US can't cable together thousands of US GPU's in order to set yet another meaningless Linpack milestone, then you are not that bright.

    US GPU's? Funny, I thought they where all manufactured in China. Oh let me check my NVIDIA GTX 570 box ... yeah that's right, they ARE made in China.

  10. Re:Idle time by hardburn · · Score: 2

    You only see that in Dan Brown novels because it's too dumb of an idea to be actually implemented. Short of a massive breakthrough in computer speeds that they've somehow managed to keep secret, even all the secret government supercomputers in the world would have a hard time breaking AES-128 or RSA-4096 in a reasonable amount of time.

    If the government needs to break somebody's crypto, it's done through side-channel attacks. Anything else is a waste of effort.

    --
    Not a typewriter
  11. Linpack is crap by Theovon · · Score: 2

    Ok, not entirely worthless. Linear algebra is used in loads and loads HPC workloads, but Linpack as a benchmark is NOT prepresentative of a typical real-world HPC workload. It focuses on peak flops, leaving behind things like inter-node bandwidth and latency, which are crucial for many important, real scientific supercomputing tasks.

    Our CSE department chair recently quotes an article he read. To paraphrase, we're heading to the point where computation is going to be basically free, and what costs all the energy will be moving the data around. This is true for several reasons. One is the recent trend towards near-threshold computing. Ultra-low voltage (i.e. 400mV, when 900mV is nominal Vdd) can save 100x on power. It costs us 10x on speed, but now we can pack in 100x as many nodes into the same power and cooling budget, allowing for a 10x increase in aggregate throughput. But this works best for highly parallel and communication-heavy workloads. Fortunately, for many important areas (bombs, climate simulations, astronomy, real-time raytracing), this is the case. And moreover, people are getting better at parallelizing work.

  12. Fair enough by Brannon · · Score: 2

    China does the manufacturing--but the chips are designed in the US by US companies. Those companies chose to locate their manufacturing in China because labor is so cheap there.

    None of this addresses the main point, that Linpack isn't a particularly useful metric.