Official — Economic Crash Not Computers' Fault
itwbennett writes "A 2-year government investigation has found what we pretty much all knew to be true: High speed trading systems were not the cause of the 2008 economic crash. 'The crisis was the result of human action and inaction, not of Mother Nature or computer models gone haywire,' according to a leaked copy of the report's conclusions revealed in the New York Times."
That's just what my computer model said too...
The rich are waging class war against the rest of us, and transferring wealth from the average person to themselves through fraud and coercion.
- None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
I mean, the problems largely stem from scuzzy bankers and brokers buying and selling what they knew was garbage, along with problems with the fed's lousy idea of what an interest rate is, etc.
It's like finding out that the Minnesota bridge collapse wasn't the fault of computers either. No big deal.
Non impediti ratione cogitationus.
There are a lot of complaints about automated trading on /., but at least the machines don't know how to be dishonest or cheat the system. Perhaps we should just leave trading to the machines and ban humans from participating. Something tells me that there would be fewer problems in the long run.
the "flash crash" of fall 2010 was caused by robotraders.
the "credit crash" of fall 2008 was caused by greedy streetpunks passing crap paper around in the form of wispy visions of a bad translation of a murky photo of a dim shadow of the promise of someday showing a bad asset. and taking big bonuses every time the stinking pile came around for another rubber stamp.
the only possible report on cause could be "everybody failed as soon as this unregulated activity was allowed."
that's what published.
duh.
if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
Was this EVER a proposed cause of the global economic crisis put forth by any reputable source? At first I thought the article was talking about the flash crash last May. I was unaware anyone could look past the many obvious causes of the 2008 collapse and try to blame high speed trading.
Yeah, "extensive" research and interviews. Only of the very people who didn't see it coming of course, because the legion of people who predicted it in advance wouldn't have any idea as to the causes.
You can guarantee the answer will be "there was enough regulation" by the gazillion regulations that did exist at the time and we need a gazillion more. Rather than "maybe the Fed settings rates at almost 0% for so long wasn't such a wise idea, oh and maybe when banks are making million dollar loans to people with no income and no assets the regulators and ratings agencies should take a look-see (you know doing their jobs)".
And yes some things that weren't regulated should have been (if it looks like insurance and quacks like insurance then maybe is is insurance even if they call it a credit default swap).
High speed trading is completely irrelevant since this wasn't triggered by a sudden drop in the prices of things involved in high speed trading in the first damn place.
You know, results of a government commission that was established to figure out the causes for the financial crisis of 2008 came out, and that commission was a charade, just like this one.
That commission "found" that the crisis was caused by lack of regulations, that low interest rates and Freddie/Fannie had nothing to do with the housing bubble, they "found" that the only thing that government did "wrong" was let the Lehman brothers fail and that the future crisis can only be avoided if there is more government regulations.
Lets start with this: I despise the governments.
The results of that commission were just as well known in advance as the results of the one from this story. Of-course a government commission will find that what is needed is more government and that whatever structural problems that are caused by government are not the real problems.
THIS IS THE SAME BULLSHIT.
IT IS BULLSHIT, DO NOT BELIEVE A SINGLE WORD THAT YOU ARE READING IN THE FABRICATED CONCLUSIONS OF THESE COMMISSIONS.
They are finding one thing: there is need for more government.
They are finding this other thing: whoever is in power cannot be blamed.
That's all.
You can't handle the truth.
Andrew Leonard says it's pretty much a waste of time.
I'm sure that committee members would have liked to assign blame; it's just that they didn't have the votes.
Nationalize the Banks - before it gets any worse.
If this were happening to any other country on earth the State Department would be leaning heavily on them to nationalize their failing banks. It's happened hundreds of times in the past and will happen again. Now that it's us, we're just too damned proud to suck it up and do what needs to be done.
"'The crisis was the result of [human action] criminal behavior and [inaction] failure of law enforcement to do anything about it."
-kgj
Maybe the authors think that we've actually built an Artificial Intelligence and put it in charge of our financial system. If so, maybe we should replace them with one of those computers.
Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
I don't think anyone thinks HS trading was the culprit behind the mortgage mess.
Perhaps the OPer is confusing this with the flash crash.
In terms of the mortgage meltdown, HS trading wasn't a major problem, but flawed risk models certainly were complicit because they added to the general overconfidence.
The "Crash of 2008" was the result of several simultaneous actions.
First, the overspending by the still relatively new Democratic Congress were not vetoed nearly enough by Mr. Bush.
Second, the real estate boom busted. Mr. Bush had warned of the coming collapse 4 years earlier, but Congress, both Republicans and Democrats were much too interested in claiming credit for the easy home loans to worry about something that was more than 3 months off.
Third, the relaxed accounting rules put in place during the Clinton Years had their final clash with reality. Reality won. Profits were nowhere near as high as investors were being told.
Fourth, the savings rate by Americans continued to decline, a trend that dated back to the Carter years, and is a result of tax policy. This resulted in under funded banks that relied mainly on loans to each other for collateral, as there were not enough depositors to provide the funds. Like paying one credit card with another, a point comes where you have to pay the piper. The long toll had gone on for years. Finally reaching a breaking point. Much of the banking system worldwide went down together. Full recovery still hasn't happened. Europe has several countries that are in deep financial trouble because of it. Several US States are hurting from this as well.
The US press of course blamed the President. That is after all a long time US tradition. Mr. Bush even got blamed for a hurricane or two. Stupid people believed it. New Orleans Mayor Levin for instance.
A coastal city that is 30 feet below sea level, with only a dirt levee between it and the ocean should expect storm flooding of epic proportions, say 30 feet or so. That is what happened. The Army Corps of Engineers had been warning of this since 1910. It happened. There was an interesting article in Scientific America about that in the late 1970's. It was not a question of if, only of when. The problem still isn't fixed, so it will happen again.
Now of course, Mr. Bush is no longer President, and Mr. Obama is getting blamed for the actions of others, including the weather. Well, he asked for the job. The blame comes with the territory.
So, it's all officially Obama's fault now. Really, it is lots of people's fault. Who benefited? Mr. Soros, and a few select others. Mr Buffet didn't do too badly either. Mrs. Pelosi and Mr. Reid got a lot from it too. Mrs Pelosi has lost her throne as an aftereffect, but Mr. Reid managed to hang on, thanks to a hundred Million from Mr. Soros. The list goes on, but it is so much easier to just blame someone. It doesn't fix anything, but you might feel better for a while. That is really the take home lesson. We didn't fix anything, but we have blamed someone. They may or may not have had something to do with it.
Don't worry about Mr. Soros, he got 7 Billion of the Stimulus funds to develop an oil field in Brazil where the oil is contracted to go to China. Mr. Buffet made out well on the recent stock climb, so he's doing well too.
There are lots of interesting happenings on the other side of this political aisle too. Pick any famous Washington or Wall Street insider, and they are probably in it up to their necks. Some don;t even know they were partially at fault. After all, some very intelligent people are deliberately stupid. It's pride.
No matter what side you are on, you were probably betrayed. It is after all about money.
Everybody knows 3 people with my name.
Well, I don't think there is any question about it. It can only be attributable to human error. This sort of thing has cropped up before and it has always been due to human error.
I dream of a nation where a man is not judged by his skin color but by an number assigned by a credit rating agency.