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Model Says Religiosity Gene Will Dominate Society

Hugh Pickens writes writes "PhysOrg reports on a study by Robert Rowthorn, emeritus professor at Cambridge University, that predicts that the genetic components that predispose a person toward religion are currently "hitchhiking" on the back of the religious cultural practice of high fertility rates and that provided the fertility of religious people remains on average higher than that of secular people, the genes that predispose people towards religion will spread. For example, in the past 20 years, the Amish population in the US has doubled, increasing from 123,000 in 1991 to 249,000 in 2010. The huge growth stems almost entirely from the religious culture's high fertility rate, which is about 6 children per woman, on average. Rowthorn says that while fertility is determined by culture, an individual's predisposition toward religion is likely to be influenced by genetics, in addition to their upbringing. In the model, Rowthorn uses a "religiosity gene" to represent the various genetic factors that combine to genetically predispose a person toward religion, whether remaining religious from youth or converting to religion from a secular upbringing. Rowthorn's model predicts that the religious fraction of the population will eventually stabilize at less than 100%, and there will remain a possibly large percentage of secular individuals. But nearly all of the secular population will still carry the religious allele, since high defection rates will spread the religious allele to secular society when defectors have children with a secular partner."

23 of 729 comments (clear)

  1. Religiosity gene? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Religiosity gene. Wow, really? Gee, what's next, the gay gene?

    1. Re:Religiosity gene? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The funny thing is that I thought academics would lean towards the free will argument, but I guess sometimes they take "there must be an explanation for everything" too far and convince themselves that human behaviour is easily explained with statistical models with ridiculously weak premises.

      So... how would you detect free will, if it does exist?

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    2. Re:Religiosity gene? by formfeed · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We have religious conservatives arguing that homosexuality is a choice, and we have university academics arguing that religious leanings are genetic.

      This study just proves it:
      The believing-that-everything-is-genetic gene is about to dominate science!

      I wish there was a way to prevent this stupidity from recurring. But that wish is probably just something I'm predisposed to. Bummer.

    3. Re:Religiosity gene? by ElectricTurtle · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Hate to break it to you and apparently everybody else responding, but there is evidence for a genetic component to homosexual preferences. The fundamental concept is that the gene(s) which when expressed lead to an increased sexual attraction to men work the same way in both genders, so because not all men who carry the gene express it (or do so exclusively), it leads to some female children being born with higher fertility rates, which is why the gene keeps being reproduced. Women with the gene end up having more children than those without it, and their male children are not guaranteed to express the gene, so over human history the net effect has been positive.

      --
      I support the Slashcott and will not be reading or commenting from 2/10/14 to 2/17/14. Beta is steaming pile of dog shit
    4. Re:Religiosity gene? by quenda · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nonsense. Nobody is saying that Catholicism is a Mendellian trait.
      Just that there are inheritable personality aspects that make on more likely to stay in a religion if you are born into it, or even to join a religious group in the right circumstances.
      Homosexuality is complex too. It would not be shocking to suggest that effeminate men are more likely to be gay and vice versa. This can be related to hormone levels in the womb during brain development. Which is far more inheritable than a matter of "choice".
      Anyway, what is choice but a product of our genes and environment? "Free will" just means we cannot see the mechanism that produced it.

    5. Re:Religiosity gene? by TapeCutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Free will is an illusion created by the physical processes in your brain, it is prerequsite for the sense of self. Whatever decision you make you were always destined to make it, or as Eienstien put it; "a man cannot will what he wills". There are two arguments for the existance of free will, both of which I find unconvincing, (1) the existance of a supernatural soul, or (2) matter itself has free will.

      Of course none of this stops anyone (including me) from behaving as if the illusion were real.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  2. Where is there proof of a "religious" gene? by SuperKendall · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I've seen kids from very religious households go in all different directions with respect to religions. It seems very unlikely that there's anything like a genetic "predisposition" to religion.

    Now what will happen is that more people will grow up in religious households than not; but that I see as a good thing, as it will decrease the overall fear of religion from people who don't have much direct experience with it. People do stupid things out of fear and fear of religion and those that practice it is no different. In reality although I'm not religious myself, most friends and families I have known that have been very religious have been fine people and I have no desire to see anyones ability to practice the religion they choose impacted.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Where is there proof of a "religious" gene? by Pharmboy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm assuming the gene doesn't actually make you "religious", it just predisposes you to being suggestible and superstitious, which is pretty much the foundation of any religion. ie: People with that gene are less skeptical in general. Just my take on it.

      --
      Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
  3. This should have never made the front page by masterwit · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes I said it, this should have never made the front page:

    Religious people nowadays have more children on average than their secular counterparts. This paper uses a simple model to explore the evolutionary implications of this difference. It assumes that fertility is determined entirely by culture, whereas subjective predisposition towards religion is influenced by genetic endowment. People who carry a certain ‘religiosity’ gene are more likely than average to become or remain religious. The paper considers the effect of religious defections and exogamy on the religious and genetic composition of society. Defections reduce the ultimate share of the population with religious allegiance and slow down the spread of the religiosity gene. However, provided the fertility differential persists, and people with a religious allegiance mate mainly with people like themselves, the religiosity gene will eventually predominate despite a high rate of defection. This is an example of ‘cultural hitch-hiking’, whereby a gene spreads because it is able to hitch a ride with a high-fitness cultural practice. The theoretical arguments are supported by numerical simulations.
    link to abstract

    I am all for keeping an open mind but after reading that last sentence, I suspect the paper is quite ridiculous and may actually be a funny read.

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    1. Re:This should have never made the front page by retchdog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem is with the term "support." Simulating a model is only useful for developing intuition and exposition. It doesn't count as support for the theory since it IS the theory (or, perhaps, is directly implied by the theory). It is not an empirical or independent verification. Nowadays there's a tendency (esp. among machine learning and ad-hoc statisticians) to call everything that isn't a closed-form equation an "experiment," which is true in a small sense but horribly false overall.

      This is a classic 1950s-style quasi-result. Oversimplify the world into an ordinary differential equation (!); spin a story around it; impress everyone whose math-phobia inhibits their natural skepticism (which is like shooting ducks in a barrel...); profit! Still, technically this is a falsifiable result; we'll just have to wait perhaps centuries for the world to approach the limiting state. (rolls eyes)

      --
      "They were pure niggers." – Noam Chomsky
  4. Re:Evolution by robot256 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So there's an evolutionary advantage to not believing in evolution? Whoda thunk it?

  5. Religiosity? by gmuslera · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Whats behind religiosity is probably something more broad and fundamental, like following leaders, belonging to groups, easy to be suggestionable and things like that. But religions are more culture than genes, they belong to the meme terrotory, and is of the bad ones. In any case, the movie Idiocracy explain it better, and probably the base explanation and causes are the same.

  6. It is probably a pro-social gene if any by presidenteloco · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Religiosity is mainly just a predisposition to value things like group solidarity
    and the stability that comes from enforced conformity and hierarchical authority.

    Someone who values these things (or fears the lack of them) more than they
    value some kind of quest for truth or rationality or objectivity, is predisposed
    to religion.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    1. Re:It is probably a pro-social gene if any by plasticsquirrel · · Score: 4, Interesting

      How does that explain the people who were traditionally the most religious people of a society, the contemplative recluses and hermits? I think also if you look into the sramana traditions of India such as Jainism and Buddhism, there is a great deal of radical individualism involved in their practice. The same goes for the Daoist hermits and the Indian Yogis who lived in the mountains in order to practice meditation.

      --
      Systemd: the PulseAudio of init systems
    2. Re:It is probably a pro-social gene if any by Requiem18th · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Simple, it's individuality and rationalism went wrong. Religion not only breeds conformity, it breeds ignorance, even an individualist person who deflects from the mainstream will run bumbling in the dark because they literally don't know any better.

      That and, I'm sorry to be condescending, but besides group solidarity, religiosity is related to an ability to believe contradictory statements -mental compartmentalization- they call it, and I'm pretty sure being dumb enough to not even find the contradiction helps a lot. So a radically individualist person can still be religious, but I think the ignorance aspect plays the major part. I mean, I've personally known people who don't know a thing about evolution other than it's wrong and requires monkeys giving birth to humans, it really is that awful.

      I wonder how far into science education are those Daoists and Indian Yogis and what their IQs are. I mean seriously it would be an interesting thing to know, I could of course be completely wrong.

      --
      But... the future refused to change.
  7. Re:Seriously... by rainmouse · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What a ******* load of bunk !

    The gene VMAT2 is likely what they are talking about. VMAT2 is a physiological arrangement that produces the sensations associated, by some, with mystic experiences, including the presence of God or others.
    Carl Zimmer claimed that, given the low explanatory power of VMAT2, it would have been more accurate for Hamer to call his book A Gene That Accounts for Less Than One Percent of the Variance Found in Scores on Psychological Questionnaires Designed to Measure a Factor Called Self-Transcendence, Which Can Signify Everything from Belonging to the Green Party to Believing in ESP.

    Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/God_gene

    It's worth noting that one of the other research pioneers of this so called God Gene, Dean H. Hamer pretty much disproves the whole God Gene theory in his own book by the same title.
    http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=faith-boosting-genes

  8. Re:Um, by Saint+Stephen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There are no atheists during Orgasms or when you bang your knee.

  9. Sagan on religiosity gene by gratuitous_arp · · Score: 5, Interesting

    A celibate clergy is an especially good idea, because it tends to suppress any hereditary propensity toward fanaticism.

  10. Re:Thats just by tqk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    sounds kind of ignorant, to label all believers in religion as stupid.

    I agree (I'm an atheist).

    In a similar manner, I could label all theoretical physicists as stupid, since they too are choosing to believe things that they cannot prove, or see.

    Uh, pardon? I'm under the impression there's an incredibly elaborate system (science) that goes to extraordinary lengths to prove their postulations. Electron microscopes have imaged discrete atoms, and a couple of cities in Japan have seen first hand the results of what you can do with that knowledge, not to mention all the nuclear reactors throughout the world, and the electronic devices we all live with.

    I postulate that the religious are susceptible to a very mild form of schizophrenia. They want to believe in voices they hear in their heads, and other "things that go bump in the night."

    It's easier for them than accepting things they can't, or don't want to bother to, understand.

    --
    "Tongue tied and twisted, just an Earth bound misfit ..." -- Pink Floyd.
  11. Re:Perhaps a study of regression by TarPitt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A better example is the Thirty Years War:

    So great was the devastation brought about by the war that estimates put the reduction of population in the German states at about 15% to 30%. Some regions were affected much more than others. For example, Württemberg lost three-quarters of its population during the war. In the territory of Brandenburg, the losses had amounted to half, while in some areas an estimated two-thirds of the population died. The male population of the German states was reduced by almost half. The population of the Czech lands declined by a third due to war, disease, famine and the expulsion of Protestant Czechs. Much of the destruction of civilian lives and property was caused by the cruelty and greed of mercenary soldiers, many of whom were rich commanders and poor soldiers. Villages were especially easy prey to the marauding armies. Those that survived, like the small village of Drais near Mainz would take almost a hundred years to recover. The Swedish armies alone may have destroyed up to 2,000 castles, 18,000 villages and 1,500 towns in Germany, one-third of all German towns. The war caused serious dislocations to both the economies and populations of central Europe, but may have done no more than seriously exacerbate changes that had begun earlier.

    from : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/30_years_war

    There is a reason behind the rise of secularism in Europe and of the general ideology of the European Enlightenment. The 17th and 18th century knew full well what demons could be unleashed by religious conflict.

    Keep this history in mind when faced with claims that atheism has resulted in more horrors than religion.

    --
    If your children ever found out how lame you are, they'd murder you in your sleep
  12. Where did the secular come from? by brianerst · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm actually not completely hostile to the hypothesis - I'm fairly convinced that lots of behavior that we think is largely subject to free will is, in fact, heritable. Even those with a scientific bent tend to gloss over the real implications of evolution - evolution never stops. The selection pressures just change. One reason that modern Western society seems to take better in some places than others has a lot to do with the selective pressures that came from urbanization - over amazingly brief periods of time, the selective pressures of evolution have equipped urbanized cultures with a set of skills and value structures that support modern life, but those alleles are scarce among groups that never urbanized. They thus have trouble adapting to Western civilization - their evolution hasn't selected for those traits. Give them a few generations and those traits will start to appear - either through the higher expression of local alleles that are conducive to urbanization or from the importation of those alleles from visitors or immigrants. Pick up a copy of Nick Wade's Before the Dawn.

    That said, I'm very skeptical of this new "the religious will outbreed us" meme. It's fairly uncontroversial that religious folk outbreed secular types, especially in modern Western societies. But these self-same societies were, in the not too distant past, for more religious than they are now. I'm not just talking pre-Enlightenment times (when the religious/secular ratio was probably near a peak), but even since. American culture is prone to Great Awakenings, when the religious nature of America reaches local peaks. Soon thereafter, however, a wave of secularism occurs - emerging from the huge cohort of children of those highly religious types had during the previous Awakening.

    So, it seems to me there are multiple factors involved here, both cultural and genetic. My suspicion is that alleles that predispose toward religious impulses have synergistic reactions with those that predispose toward secularism - that the mix of alleles is too complex to push us too far in any one direction.

    But who knows - evolution never stops. If religion (or secularism) is selected strongly enough, only our great grandchildren will know for sure.

  13. Re:Evolution by one+cup+of+coffee · · Score: 4, Funny

    "On the other hand, the non-conformists may have been the big innovators, and were probably more flexible in the face of change, like changing climate conditions, or exploring new terrain. "

    Exactly, and being successful would have rewarded such individuals with access to all the best wenches. Which would have spread their genes into the religious population getting us to where we are now.

    The problem with today's society is that there is no sexual reward for being a science oriented non-conforming innovator.

    Therefore, I suggest that anyone who demonstrates high aptitude or innovation in one of the sciences gets to sleep with any religious girl they choose, no condoms of course. How about one girl for every article you get published.

  14. Re:Seriously... by Bill,+Shooter+of+Bul · · Score: 4, Insightful

    True. But what would people say if someone went around writing books about how they didn't collect stamps, and everyone who did was crazy. Then they'd start enumerating which of the stamps other people had were the silliest ones to collect, and explain away any things that resembled stamps in their house.

    Not collecting stamps might not be a hobby, but bashing another's hobby can certainly turn into one.

    --
    Well.. maybe. Or Maybe not. But Definitely not sort of.