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Nuclear Emergency Declared At 2 Plants In Japan

Hugh Pickens writes "CBC reports that Japan has declared a state of emergency and called for mass evacuations near two nuclear power plants following cooling systems failures that led to radiation escaping from a reactor at one location. The emergency declarations, which include five reactors at the two plants, followed Friday's 8.9-magnitude earthquake off the country's northeast coast. In a troubling announcement, Japan Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency official Ryohei Shiomi said a monitoring device outside the plant detected radiation that is eight times higher than normal and an evacuation zone has been expanded from three kilometres around the plant to 10 kilometres."

40 of 752 comments (clear)

  1. I've done this before! by InsertWittyNameHere · · Score: 5, Funny

    We need to bulldoze the plant before it blows and build a new one!! Is fusion available yet?

    1. Re:I've done this before! by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 4, Funny

      Disaster! We won't get those until 2050! And microwave power plants aren't available until 2020, either!
      On the plus side, the forest arcology unlocked eleven years ago.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    2. Re:I've done this before! by Jafafa+Hots · · Score: 4, Funny

      Exactly. The power lines are all set up for fission electrons. You can't just go pumping fusion electrons through them!

      --
      This space available.
    3. Re:I've done this before! by Councilor+Hart · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In the 90's when oil was cheap, the iter project (a new fusion reactor) was too expensive and nobody wanted to pay. Make it cheaper, make it smaller. So the design became more modest (for lack of a better word). Early 00's, the iraq war was on. France was against So out of spite, the US sided with japan as host country, rather than with France as expected. This blocked approval of the build site for several years. Late 00's, oil is at record prices and the a build site (Cadarache in France) is finally selected. With a question attached (or so I heard from people within my field), if we pay more can you speed up the process? Yeah right, unfortunately science and engineering does not always work that way (mythical man month). Some things just require time. Until iter, the development of fusion went faster than the development of computer hardware. This delay of about ten years for financial and political reasons will come back to haunt us. Blame your governments for being cheap and petty. Blame your governments that we won't have fusion in time to save our sorry asses.

  2. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Yes, and if the (unlikely) worst happens and a baboon turns into a massive black hole, the current recession is child's play. What a dumb argument.

    Nuclear power plants are safe. Not perfectly safe. Not zero risk. But they kill a hell of a lot fewer people than coal, the usual alternative. The worst-case scenario for this nuclear power plant is bad, but not out of proportion to other problems this exceptionally large earthquake has caused.

    Have you seen pictures of Japan? Oil refineries have literally, actually, factually blown up, releasing who-knows-what into the atmosphere and water. People are freaking out because a nuclear power plant has released small amounts of harmful radiation and might release moderate amounts. With plenty of warning.

    The story here is not that a power plant was damaged and might release toxic material. It's that everyone is going bugnuts crazy about that when entire towns are inundated and/or on fire.

  3. Re:Dont mean to sound selfish by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    they'll want you there more than ever, feel free to spend extra

  4. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by lwsimon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The reactors won't impact the global economy appreciably - it's *highly* unlikely that anything is going to blow up, anyhow. It's sounding like they had a partial scram, with primary coolant system failure afterwards.

    Nuclear power *is* safe. You're seeing a disaster the scale of which is nearly unimaginable, and appropriate action is being taken. You don't fix these things overnight.

    --
    Learn about Photography Basics.
  5. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by Spy+Handler · · Score: 5, Insightful

    How many people died from the Japanese nuclear accident? Zero, so far. How many will die? Donno, but probably 0. How many died in America's worst nuclear accident ever (3 mile island)? Zero.

    Now let's see... how many anti-nuclear hippies died from doing too much LSD or ketamine or whatever it is they do? Probably thousands. How many people died in coal mine accidents? Beyond count. How many died building hydroelectric dams, which are very "green"? A lot, 112 for just for one dam (Hoover).

  6. NHK by drolli · · Score: 4, Informative

    Since most foreign media just use NHK news, here is the link to their english website:

    http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/index.html

    I am in japan and following this very closely

    1. Re:NHK by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 4, Funny

      i'll now go and try to buy iodine tablets. I do not plan to move.

      I knew the Japanese had some clever shopping inventions, but wow, telekinesis!

  7. Re:Dont mean to sound selfish by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In a few months, once the influx of foreign rescue workers has abated, you'll see hotel/etc prices plummet. So you should be able to save money. (If that feels machiavellian, remember, you're adding money to a tourist industry that has just been shot in the face. So swing by New Zealand and northern Queensland on your way home.)

    ((All assuming these nukes don't kablooey.))

    (((Headline on local news: "Japan launches monster rescue effort". You know it's bad when even the monsters...)))

    --
    Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  8. discrepancy by Netdoctor · · Score: 5, Informative

    There's a lot of misinformation flying around.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12721498 [bbc.co.uk] (watch the movie)

    Steam was released on purpose.

    Based on just this discrepancy between the BBC and the CBC articles, /. might be a bit careful on it's reporting right now...

    Everyone's getting excited over the nuclear plants, and ignoring the thousands that are still are dying due to just water. Why is radiation so much scarier? Water kills faster. /rant.

    1. Re:discrepancy by yes_really · · Score: 5, Informative

      Maybe you wanna check this: http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/12_45.html or this http://slashdot.org/submission/1496534/JapanCaesium-measured-melt-down-may-have-started ... steam was released HOURS ago. Two isotopes are now being measured which hints at a melt down. It was stated that the batteries run for a few hours and they got station blackout. Maybe you check your sources again.

  9. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by II+Xion+II · · Score: 4, Informative

    Although I agree with your general assessment. In regard to dying from doing too much LSD, I think that is a quite low probability given its relatively high LD50 compared to what is usually taken. Information gleaned from an overview of the Wikipedia entry and its sources (along with Erowid) suggest no documented deaths linked to LSD usage alone.

  10. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by Mashiki · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The chances of the reactor blowing up are next to zero. The biggest problem will be either a core breech(aka melting through the core chamber), or a slow uncontrolled cooling of the control rods because of damage by them being too hot. However considering that the CBC article is hours old already, and they've been slow venting, and finally have the ability to turn the pumps back on to get water into the chamber it should be controllable unless something happens again.

    Now, let this be a lesson to anti-nuke nuts. Most reactors built within the last decade or two have two redundant systems for moving water. Steam, or mechanical. This series of reactors doesn't. You know why? Because in Japan, anything that could possibly at all, maybe related to nuclear, or radiation makes environmentalists go batshit crazy.

    But it doesn't help that the reactors were built to withstand at least a 9.0 and it was hit by a 9.1, and I've heard it may be revised again as high as 9.4.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  11. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by cronb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Statistically the number of people who die prematurely due to power production using coal is roughly 40,000/year(ok this is an national resources defense council number but the science is good). This includes people dieing in mines due to collapses explosions, people dieing prematurely due to working in a mine their entire life(lung cancer), but most importantly people dieing prematurely due to the increased risk of cancer of living near a coal plant. The number for nuclear is 0. For that matter the total number of premature deaths due to radiation in the population surrounding Chernobyl was roughly 40,000. So as many people in the US are dieing yearly due to coal production as died in total due to the only significant release of radioactivity to the public in the history of civilian nuclear power in 60 years.

  12. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by Dan+East · · Score: 5, Insightful

    People are freaking out because a nuclear power plant has released small amounts of harmful radiation and might release moderate amounts.

    No, not people. The news media. Of everything going on in Japan this is what they are focusing on. I'm mildly disgusted at the news coverage all in all. The primary coverage initially was the effect on the stock market, and now it is nothing but these reactors. Far, far more environmental damage is being done by all matter of other noxious things burning and leaking. Oh, and I'm pretty sure people are dead, dying, entrapped, homeless, etc, already. Yet the focus is on what *might* happen with a nuclear reactor, as if the thing is going to go up like a thermonuclear bomb.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
  13. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by MrEricSir · · Score: 4, Informative

    LSD is effectively non-toxic in humans. People occasionally do stupid things while on LSD that result in death, but keep in mind that people also do stupid things while excited, agitated, or depressed.

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  14. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by sodul · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You know that you have other options than to watch american media news on the Internet, right ? My recommendation is to get your news from two countries with somewhat opposing political agendas ... it's amazing how the same events have completely different interpretation from one side of the border to the other. The truth is usually somewhere in the middle.

  15. NHK World is reporting serious emissions by neiras · · Score: 5, Informative

    The outer walls of the Reactor 1 building have partially blown off, leaving only what looks like a steel frame. NHK is saying that a sensor within 5km of the plant is detecting radiation levels approaching 1015 microsieverts - that is apparently a year's worth of radiation exposure each hour.

    People in the danger zones are being told to cover faces with wet towels, avoid eating vegetables and other fresh foods, and refrain from drinking tap water. Things seem to be happening quickly.

    1. Re:NHK World is reporting serious emissions by xded · · Score: 4, Insightful

      1015 microsieverts - that is apparently a year's worth of radiation exposure each hour

      Or 30 bananas...

  16. Explosion by radl · · Score: 4, Informative
    --
    1266953+17
  17. BBC just lost all credibility for me... by denzacar · · Score: 4, Informative

    When they've burst out with the 88.000 (eighty-eight-thousand) people missing in Japan, which they've supposedly picked up from Kyodo news agency.
    Which then got copy/pasted all over the internet by every damn blogger and news agency out there. So now, it gets parroted around like it is a fact.
    It turns out... it was a typo. Or a mistranslation. Or a googling error considering that some reports mention it as 110.000 missing.

    BREAKING NEWS: Death toll from Japan quake rises to 110, 350 missing: police Note ... 200-300 bodies found in Sendai after quake, 88 others killed ...

    See? Right there. "110, 350 missing"!
    *headdesk*

    And here I thought that one would actually have to know how to read if one wanted to be a BBC journalist.

    FFS... 88000 people can't go "missing" in such a short time. It's technically impossible. Why?!
    Well, besides the fact that 88000 people take up quite a lot of space and someone would pretty fucking soon notice them and proclaim them dead or found (identified or not) - you can't really know that there are 88000 people missing unless you can actually account for 88000 names. Or at least 88000 bodies.

    And it takes a bit longer than 24 hours to compile a list of 88000 actual humans.
    Let's say that it takes 5 minutes for a person to fill out a "missing persons" form, and for someone else to input that into a database.
    If the reports were coming in non-stop from 100 locations that would make it 4400 minutes just to gather all the reports ( 88000 reports divided by 100 locations times 5 minutes i.e. (88000/100)*5 ).
    That comes out to about 3 days of non-stop report gathering alone.
    It would actually take about 10 times that, at least.

    There simply was not enough time yet to gather that kind of actual data.

    And again... If you know of 88000 actual people (Name, date of birth, address etc.) that are missing - just look for a really big pile of people somewhere.
    Pretty sure you'll find a lot of them there.

    Well... unless there were aliens involved. Then all bets are off.
    Except the one with the time it would take to compile a list of 88000 names and addresses.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:BBC just lost all credibility for me... by Shinobi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In an area as densely populated such as Japan, it is not impossible for 88000 people to go missing in a major catastrophic event like a major earthquake and a following tsunami, which can literally sweep buildings away, especially when you factor in when the earthquake occured, and the tsunami swept in. Missing means status unknown, and the earthquake and tsunami have damaged enough infrastructure that any chance of a proper headcount will be weeks or even months away. The current reported Missing People figure is from families/relatives etc that have reported them as missing.

      As it was, it hit during the afternoon, so there were a lot of people out in traffic etc also, which causes further problems, but several small towns have been completely demolished by the tsunami, and they are VERY hard to reach due to the damage that has been caused, with roads severely damaged, fields turned to thick layers of watery mud etc

      Before you write another post like that, engage your brain, and actually think things through. And keep in mind what I said: Missing means Status Unknown. It can be as simple as simply not being able to communicate, due to any communications infrastructure being swept away.

  18. There's video by Voline · · Score: 5, Informative

    Here's video of the reactor exploding.

  19. Re:Thorium by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Though desirable, Thorium isn't even necessary; most any modern reactor design is passively safe. Read up on the Molten Salt Reactor for one example: the reactors run at atmospheric pressure, with no active cooling necessary. The reaction naturally stops if it gets too hot, and you can literally walk away at any time. As an added benefit, they can consume other reactors waste as fuel, obviating any further mining for the next century, and the waste they produce is much smaller it quantity and far shorter lived.

    The anti-nuclear comments on that site are truly depressing, as are the ignorant responses to your own post. Coal has, and continues to kill far more people than Nuclear, both from mining, as well as respiratory diseases and cancer. Coal is not clean by any measure; it has put an immense amount of radioactivity and heavy metals into our environment--far more than nuclear.

  20. Re:So much for the safety of nuclear energy by Xenographic · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you really want to know, here's the press releases from TEPCO which runs the plants. It's far more informative and far less alarmist than most of the reports going around. Yes, they are evacuating. Yes, there has been some unknown level of radiation leakage, but we don't know how bad it is just yet.

    Those who want to review how the safety mechanisms of a BWR work should read this.

  21. Why it exploded by TopSpin · · Score: 5, Informative

    It will take the media and Japan a while to circle around to what caused the explosion, so I'll explain it now.

    1. 1. cooling circulation failed due to power loss.
    2. 2. reactor boiled off the coolant inventory and exposed the core
    3. 3. core overheated and damaged the fuel
    4. 4. the damaged fuel reacted with water vapor (zircaloy+H2O) and created a hydrogen bubble
    5. 5. the hydrogen burned (exploded, iow) and neatly removed the outer walls of the reactor building

    The explosion you see in the videos aligns perfectly with the Fukushima Daiichi No.1 reactor building seen here (forth square building from the left.)

    The BBC has provided this incredible before/after photo where you can actually see the reactor building structure with the walls removed by the explosion: the metal framework is still intact.

    The exact same thing happened with TMI-2 in 1979. The hydrogen burn occurred inside the containment dome. The Fukushima reactor doesn't have such a dome, so the hydrogen accumulated in the reactor building.

    --
    Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
  22. One thing about wind power by assertation · · Score: 5, Insightful

    One thing about wind power. In the event of an earthquake, a terrorist attack, a greedy company cutting corners like BP, incompetence or human error nobody needs to worry about the breeze getting out.

    1. Re:One thing about wind power by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The danger with too much wind power isn't that you get some kind of sci-fi meltdown. It's that sudden changes in wind conditions cause huge fluctuations in grid voltage that occur faster than can be balanced using hydroelectric dams or gas generator plants. If that happen it's possible for the grid to experience a cascading failure that disables the entire countries electrical system, requiring a grid-wide black start. Most countries have never performed a from-zero black start.

  23. What happens next by TopSpin · · Score: 4, Informative

    Hydrogen burn isn't a very energetic event, which is why the Reactor Building framework is still intact. This means the Reactor Vessel is still intact and bolted upright to the floor with the damaged core inside. The RV and the steel containment around it is a very robust container, much stronger than the framework of the building.

    All cooling apparatus is gone. If the detonation didn't disable it the fire will. So total core melt is almost certain.

    TMI-2 melted 50% of the core which pooled at the bottom of the RV. The RV did not rupture despite the intense heat. It is possible this RV may also not rupture, especially if any cooling can be applied to the outer surface. If so then widespread intense contamination may be avoided.

    If the RV does rupture then we'll have molten corium pooling on the concrete floor uncovered before God and everyone. All bets are off at that point.

    FYI the reactor is a GE Mark I BWR with steel containment. Details here(PDF). A very old, before-mandatory-concrete-containment-dome system.

    --
    Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
    1. Re:What happens next by cbhacking · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Simply put, this reactor design (especially without the containment dome) is less safe than Three Mile Island. We (the world at large) really need to modernize our nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, that's going to require building new reactors - we can't practically afford the loss of generating capacity to take the existing ones off the grid that long - and there is, as always, a ridiculous amount of opposition, largely from luddites who wouldn't know a molten salt reactor from a bomb shelter.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  24. Number 1 containment is intact by DeathSquid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just saw an official press conference on Japanese TV. The containment vessel is intact. The concrete shell was damaged by a hydrogen explosion. Boric acid is being used as a neutron poison. It's not pretty, but it looks still to be under control.

    You have to put this in perspective. We just survived one of the biggest earthquakes ever. Hundreds were killed by horrific tsunamis. tens of thousands are homeless in winter conditions. And yet the hysteria in the western media is over a power plant that is still contained. A bit of perspective please.

  25. Re:Thorium by cbhacking · · Score: 5, Informative

    Except you're completley missing what caused the damage. The damage you can see in the videos was not caused by the earthquake. It was caused by the reactor losing coolant, running too hot, producing hydrogen gas from the fuel essentially burning, and that gas exploding. As others have pointed out, this is exactly what happened at Three Mile Island, although TMI had an extra containment dome which the Japanese reactors lack, which is resulting in higher radiation leakage than TMI experienced.

    Now, consider something lime a molten salt reactor. A modern reactor doesn't care if the coolant/heat exchanger cycle shuts down, as this earthquake appears to have caused. Heating up the coolant naturally slows down the reaction. Additionally, the coolant doesn't boil off, so the fuel is never exposed to oxygen or hydrogen. Combustion is impossible. At the very first step of the problem, the chain of events that leads to a loss of containment is cut. This is a monster of a quake, and yet it would have had no significant effect aside from the reactor safely reducing itself to minimal power (generating heat as quickly as it naturally dissipates) when the heat exchange cycle stopped.

    --
    There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  26. Re:If the Japanese can't do it by cbhacking · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The problem is the outdated reactor designs. This is essentially the exact same failure as at Three Mile Island, although the Japanese appear to have omitted the containment dome that made TMI such a tempest in a teacup (almost no radiation actually leaked at TMI, due to the dome, but it looks like the Japanese reactors are already leaking significant amounts of radiation). The TMI accident was 32 years ago. Its design was 10 years old even then.

    Ironically, the anti-nuclear proponents are their own worst enemies if they actually want to prevent things like this. The demand for power isn't going away, but installing newer plants, which would be of the modern and inherently safe designs, would allow the old ones to be decommissioned or at least overhauled. Instead, between a near-ban on new construction (in the US at least, I'm not sure about Japan) and an increasing energy demand that is already taxing our current grid at times (again, in the US, especially on the west coast), we simply can't afford to take the older plants offline.

    --
    There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  27. Luddites are dangerous by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Nuclear power plants are safe

    They only become so because they are staffed with a lot of people that know how incredibly dangerous they are and work hard to prevent accidents.
    It's actually idiots like the above that push the fluffy "safe" "clean" image of nuclear power that are counterproductive and holding the entire civilian nuclear industry back. Heavy industry of all kinds is full of incredibly dangerous shit and none of it becomes any less dangerous by pretending the problem has gone away - in fact the opposite happens and people die. Why do these idiots think nuclear is different and run by magic puppies or something?
    All of the current leading edge advances in civilian nuclear power are due to knowing how dangerous everything is and taking big steps to reduce that danger. That's a hell of a lot better than the total idiocy of trying to pretend there never was a problem in the first place.
    In this story it's about some incredibly dangerous technology being treated with the respect and preparation it deserves resulting in the successful completion of a disaster plan. If the "nuclear is totally safe" idiocy was applied then there would be no disaster plan and most likely another element to the disaster.
    The Moorlocks have to work incredibly fucking hard for the stupid Eloi to keep their stupid mindset of a "safe" world.

  28. Re:Dont mean to sound selfish by GooberToo · · Score: 5, Informative

    What could have happened that the reactor didn't scram?

    No, all reactors properly shutdown with fail safes. The problem is, their reactors require active cooling which is something modern reactor designs specifically avoid for exactly these reasons. The problem is, just because the reactor has shutdown does mean the heat instantly goes away nor does it mean the core immediately stops creating heat. Their reactor designs require electric pumps to circulate coolant. When the reactor went down from the quake, their emergency generators started up. Those ran for about an hour until the tsunami reached the plant. The water, from what I've read, got into the generators and caused all of them to shutdown at the same time. The reactor's fail safes then fell back on a large battery bank. The batteries can't last for too long and from what I understand, power only a small subject of coolant pumps. As a result, the core temperature has continued to rise and a lot of water has evaporated. This is why they are working to get replacement batteries until they can get new generators online.

    As a result of the heat, a lot of hydrogen formed and caused a massive explosion at one of the plants. Again, from what I've read, the explosion was external to the core's containment. As such, actual containment has not been lost. In order to address building coolant pressures from the rising temperatures, they've been forced to vent filtered yet radiative coolant.

    Last I've heard, one worker has died from the explosion and a second was injured. Likewise, they are preparing to issue iodine to the surround population. Seems some of what has been vented is a radioactive form of iodine. Thusly, when the population ingests a non-radioactive source, its prevents absorption of yet additional iodine, including the radioactive iodine which has been released.

  29. Re:If the Japanese can't do it by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Ironically, the anti-nuclear proponents are their own worst enemies if they actually want to prevent things like this. The demand for power isn't going away...

    I don't think that's a reasonable characterization. What we have here is an unproductive stalemate, where the anti-nuclear movement has succeeded in making nuclear power generation politically unpopular, but their preferred solution (increased energy efficiency) is even more unpopular, and decades of cheap petroleum since the 1980s has made breaking the stalemate not worth anyone's while.

    What's going to happen is that oil prices will continue to rise, but in a chaotic fashion, and with practical plug-in hybrids coming on the market every time we have a spike they'll become more popular, even though the spike (as in the current one) is meaningless in the long term. The result is that a significant number new nuclear power plants are an inevitability starting some time in the next decade.

    That's just political realism.

    As I point out elsewhere, conflict can be a good thing for creativity. The interesting new reactor designs are a result of addressing the more reasonable concerns of anti-nuclear activists. That's a good thing, although it has led to some bad feelings. All the legitimate concerns of the anti-nuclear movement haven't been fully addressed, but I think enough progress has been made to start building new plants on these designs.

    I favor a measured approach in developing new nuclear technology. If we went on a crash problem to solve our energy problems (as some suggested in 2008), we'd be getting lots of new reactors with this same proven but obsolete design. In a couple decades we'd have a huge number of technological white elephants on our hands. What we should do is invest in building a small number of plants using two different approaches, so as to gain experience with them. That won't exacerbate the as yet unsolved problems of nuclear power unduly (e.g. waste disposal), and if one of the approaches is a bust it's not the end of the world. As we prepare to commit more to nuclear power, we can improve the grid, which will also incent an increase in sustainable sources such as wind and new technologies such as solar thermal.

    What I'd like to see is greater dependency on electricity and greater diversity in the electricity supply, spreading the environmental impact and economic risks over multiple energy sources, and fostering competition over greater geographical areas.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  30. Re:Opportunity costs by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Ribbon generators and windbelts can, in arrays, compete with solar panels.

    See, this is your problem. They don't need to compete with solar panels. They need to compete against coal and nuclear. They can't. True, there are oil and coal subsidies, but there are also wind and solar subsidies. You also have to figure in the cost of a massive power grid upgrade, which is not cheap.

    All factored in, if you put a high value on environmental and cost issues, then nuke is the way to go.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  31. Re:Opportunity costs by Solandri · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I posted part of this already, but it's buried near the bottom due to the GP being downrated. Every time there's a nuclear accident, the anti-nuclear people come out in droves yelling about the "dangers" of nuclear power. If you want to talk about perspective, danger, and opportunity costs, here's the low-down:

    There have been zero deaths in the U.S. associated with commercial nuclear power generation despite it producing nearly 20% of our electricity. Wind has already killed at least 13 people in the U.S. despite producing less than 1% of our electricity. All of these have been maintenance workers (the only non-maintenance death was a skydiver in Germany who flew into a turbine). So the quip about a wind turbine at sea collapsing is beside the point since that wouldn't have stopped any of these deaths. In fact I suspect it would have caused more deaths since transferring from a boat rocking in ocean swells to a stationary platform isn't exactly the safest thing to do.

    Solar has a huge problem in that roofing is one of the most dangerous jobs in the U.S.. If you're imagining every house in the U.S. with solar panels mounted on the roof, you should expect probably about 100 more roofer deaths per year from installing and maintaining them. In terms of direct deaths (i.e. excluding mining and pollution), hydro actually turns out to be the most dangerous power source worldwide due to deaths from dam failures.

    Over it's 50+ year history worldwide, in terms of deaths per unit of energy generated, nuclear power is the safest form of power generation man has ever invented. Yes that includes Chernobyl (a reactor design not used outside of the former USSR). If you accept the high estimate of number of expected cancer deaths from Chernobyl, it's about 4x safer than wind (the safest green technology). If you accept the low estimate, it's 125x safer than wind.

    How about pollution? What most people don't realize about nuclear is that it's an incredibly concentrated power source. How much spent fuel (high-level nuclear waste, like we're trying to bury in Nevada) do you think would be produced to power a typical U.S. home for 30 years? A bit less than 10 kg, about a half liter's worth. To power the same home with solar, you'd need about 30-50 square meters of panels, and the panels have an expected lifespan of about 25-30 years. One small water bottle's worth of waste, vs 30-50 square meters of solar panels. Nuclear in the U.S. generates about 20% of our electricity, and produces ~2000 tons of spent fuel a year. That's about enough to fill one tractor trailer. One tractor trailer-full of high-level waste to provide 1/5th of the entire country's electricity for an entire year. And it's not spewed into the atmosphere like coal, it's not spread all over towns and the countryside like solar or wind. It's neatly contained in concentrated form within the nuclear plant. And all this is not even factoring in the waste reduction that can be achieved with reprocessing.

    How about compared to wind? The Fukushima Dai-ichi plant which is the cause of the problem today has an overall generating capacity of 3596 MW. How big a wind farm would you need to replace it? The largest wind farm in the U.S. is Roscoe Wind Farm. 781.5 MW peak capacity, 627 turbines, covering 400 km^2. Note however that that's peak capacity - how much electricity the farm generates under ideal conditions if each turbine is running at maximum power and efficiency. In practice, the average power generation from wind farms has been about 20%-25% of peak. Be generous and go with the high 25%. So 627 turbines and 400 km^2 gives you 195.4 MW of power on average. To replace Fuku