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Fukushima Radioactive Fallout Nears Chernobyl Levels

0WaitState writes "The cumulative releases from Fukushima of iodine-131 and cesium-137 have reached 73% and 60% respectively of the amounts released from the 1986 Chernobyl accident. These numbers were reached independently from a monitoring station in Sacramento, CA, and Takasaki, Japan. The iodine and cesium releases are due to the cooking off of the more volatile elements in damaged fuel rods."

381 of 537 comments (clear)

  1. Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    More sensationalist bullshit. Get this off slashdot, please.

    I don't doubt the claim, I do doubt the presentation. Have some respect.

    1. Re:Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Is it too early to discuss movie deals involving giant radioactive zombies, animals & fishes?

    2. Re:Sensational! by deniable · · Score: 1, Informative

      I'd be watching for the lizards.

    3. Re:Sensational! by CaptainZapp · · Score: 1, Insightful

      More sensationalist bullshit [citation needed]

      --
      ich bin der musikant

      mit taschenrechner in der hand

      kraftwerk

    4. Re:Sensational! by osu-neko · · Score: 5, Insightful

      From TFA:

      The amounts being released, he says, are "entirely consistent" with the relatively low amounts of caesium and iodine being measured in soil, plants and water in Japan, because so much has blown out to sea. The amounts crossing the Pacific to places like Sacramento are vanishingly small – they were detected there because the CTBT network is designed to sniff out the tiniest traces.

      "Relatively low amounts" in Japan. "Vanishingly small" amounts elsewhere. Yeah, they're really sensationally hyping this one up. /sarcasm

      I don't doubt the claim, I do doubt the presentation. Have some respect.

      So you think the claim is true, but it should not have been presented? Reporting simple facts now is sensationalism? They should have had enough respect to simply not report it? (No doubt you'll claim they could have been presented in a less sensational manner, which is utterly ridiculous considering, but whatever. Clearly any reporting of these facts at all would be considered sensationalist by you.)

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    5. Re:Sensational! by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 5, Funny

      The article uses scientific notation to give the radiation release in becquerels.

      It is impossible to be sensationalist when using scientific notation!

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    6. Re:Sensational! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yeah they conveniently forget that this was never the problem at Chernobyl. Both Iodine and Cesium are only dangerous if you ingest significant quantities of them. Additionally they have halflives measured in hours ... Meaning these clouds are completely harmless after half a day passes.

      The problem at Chernobyl was release of Uranium and Plutonium in clouds, which then spread around the site, and irradiated everything. They will keep irradiating everything for eons. Soviets managed to vaporize about 3.5% of the reactor fuel (and Uranium does NOT vaporize easily, we're talking thousands of degrees). And made it so freaking hot it could stay afloat for minutes.

      Does it really need to be said that the Japanese lost control of exactly 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000% of their nuclear fuel. Wanna bet the author of this story is a "green scientist" ?

      The thing is, you need to put things in perspective. Even with the radioactive clouds released, background radiation levels at Fukushima, just outside the reactor building are lower than the natural level of radiation in Ramsar, in Iran (which has a particularly high natural level, it has nothing to do with whatever is currently happening there, it's probably been that way for longer than humans exist). Spending a year close to Fukushima itself will have ZERO observable health effects.

      Get some perspective (see left upper corner for the increase in background radiation)

      I guess we're seeing populist politicians implement their usual strategy : lie. Sorry, ... "Fake but accurate" is the term, right ?

    7. Re:Sensational! by somersault · · Score: 1

      Mod parent +1,000,000.. the above comments actually had me getting a little worried that it was in fact starting to become a dangerous international situation..

      --
      which is totally what she said
    8. Re:Sensational! by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Iodine 131 has a half life of 8 days, caesium 137 is 30 years. 20 seconds in Wikipedia would have told you that. As you got these two basic facts wrong, I'm not reading the rest of your post. Your ignorance is no better than big media's malevolence, so kindly STFU.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    9. Re:Sensational! by beowulfcluster · · Score: 1

      Iodine-131 has a half life of 8 days and Cesium-137 has a half life of 30 years.

    10. Re:Sensational! by subreality · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The problem is the title: "Fukushima radioactive fallout nears Chernobyl levels"

      The headline is actually worse than sensationalist: It's an outright lie. Fallout of Cs-137 and I-131 are at near Chernobyl levels, but the fallout, as a whole, is far far less than Chernobyl.

    11. Re:Sensational! by presidenteloco · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Actually a lot of the death and illness caused by Chernobyl was young children developing thyroid cancer because they absorbed radioactive iodine into their thyroid from drinking contaminated milk from the (wide) surrounding area affected by IODINE fallout from the accident.

      So your initial sentence is pretty much how should I say, wrong.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    12. Re:Sensational! by presidenteloco · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Spending a year close to Fukushima itself will have ZERO observable health effects."

      Go for it. I'm sure they could use your assistance there.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    13. Re:Sensational! by georgesdev · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I still have some liquid soap left from last year's flu hysteria.
      And some air masks too. Who wants some?
      There was also a hysteria for the mad cow disease, but my wife did not buy anything, we merely rode the car through pools of soapy water back then (near farms)
      The problem when the media says apocalypse is coming once a year, and we're still there the next year is that we pay less attention the next time.

    14. Re:Sensational! by Hazel+Bergeron · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Both Iodine and Cesium are only dangerous if you ingest significant quantities of them. Additionally they have halflives measured in hours

      No.

      I-131 8 days.
      Cs-137 30.2 years.

      The problem at Chernobyl was release of Uranium and Plutonium in clouds, which then spread around the site, and irradiated everything.

      In the long term the problem was the Cs-137.

      Does it really need to be said that the Japanese lost control of exactly 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000% of their nuclear fuel.

      If exposure of the rods and burning off of radioactive isotopes is zero loss of control, then stabbing someone is zero loss of blood unless they die.

      Wanna bet the author of this story is a "green scientist" ?

      The only thing I'd bet is that you're thoroughly annoyed that an out-of-date power plant has demonstrated that humans need to try much harder when deploying nuclear power. You're deliberately polarising it as greens vs nuclear advocates when it's really the desire for safe nuclear power vs the desire for maximising profit at inappropriate risk.

    15. Re:Sensational! by Formalin · · Score: 2

      Does it really need to be said that the Japanese lost control of exactly 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000% of their nuclear fuel

      They may not have lost any of the uranium, but the Cs-137 and I-131 aren't magic out of fucking nowhere. They're decay products from the uranium. The fuel lost mass. They are part of the fuel.

    16. Re:Sensational! by biojazzard · · Score: 1

      Shooting the messenger (once more)...

    17. Re:Sensational! by Luckyo · · Score: 3, Informative

      He's correct on everything else though, and the reason why those clouds are generally harmless to population is because they tend to rain microscopic amounts of radioactive cesium as it cools. Cesium-137 is dangerous if breathed in as small particles that get stuck in the lungs (iirc).

      Iodine 131 is even safer. It's risks are based on the fact that thyroid gland tends to vacuum all the iodine in the body, including isotope 131 where it irradiates your body from inside for a long time. Of course, that requires significant ingestion of such iodine in the first place, which most typically comes with significantly contaminated water. Again, amount needed is fairly significant, and ones measured on the microscopic levels are barely notable to the human and animal bodies, and are several tens of orders of magnitudes lower then total ionising effect of background radiation on sea level.

      Essentially you're far more at risk of getting cancer if you move to live 500m higher from sea level then from radiation in Fukushima if you don't live in Japan at the moment. The main risk in Chernobyl has been that essentially entire heavy part of radioactive isotopes of table of elements got into atmosphere. This is obviously not the case with Fukushima.

      P.S. And please, don't even DARE flying. That's incredibly dangerous, you get irradiated!

    18. Re:Sensational! by arogier · · Score: 1

      This and other isotopes that can be taken up by the body are always the big concerns in a big nuclear incident. Thanks to the inverse square law radiation from whatever hell happens on the site is a low risk by the time you get a short drive away from the site. The danger, especially from the long term is nearly always from particulate matter that gets taken up into the atmosphere. Iodine-131 and Strontium-90 fallout from nuclear testing in Nevada were the bigger health hazard for most of America from above ground nuclear testing than radiation from blasts themselves.

      The initial controlled steam releases were bad. Those and the uncontrolled steam releases from the hydrogen explosions made the situation at Fukushima worse. When the spent fuel ignited that put it in the same category as Chernobyl (As the nuclear incident scale is exponential it doesn't have to be an even match, just close enough). For better or worse the size of the Pacific Ocean should reduce the long term impact of Fukushima provided too much fuel hasn't burnt and doesn't continue to burn.

    19. Re:Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You too, my friend, tend to "conveniently forget" some things: Caesium an very especially iodine are very problematic, because our organisms spend lots of work concentrating them (iodine is especially nasty, because our biology tends to put nearly all of it at one small organ, the thyroides gland).

      I'd be willing to bet that many long-term effects of Chernobyl are more due to caesium and iodine than to the other nasties, which either decay fast or tend to lump at the site.

      So if concentration levels of Cs and I are high, it sure is a reason to worry.

    20. Re:Sensational! by m0bus · · Score: 1

      The only thing I'd bet is that you're thoroughly annoyed that an out-of-date power plant has demonstrated that humans need to try much harder when deploying nuclear power. You're deliberately polarizing it as greens vs nuclear advocates when it's really the desire for safe nuclear power vs the desire for maximizing profit at inappropriate risk.

      I think this is the only problem bobbling around town sparking peoples outbursts. You should comment on all these haters. ps. 'z'

    21. Re:Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      More sensationalist bullshit. Get this off slashdot, please.

      I don't doubt the claim, I do doubt the presentation. Have some respect.

      So, what you're saying is, you're pro-nuclear power, and you don't want to see any Slashdot story about it that's not a glowing endorsement proclaiming that everything's working perfectly, even when you know that this isn't actually true?

      And you get modded to +5 for it.

    22. Re:Sensational! by Nagrom · · Score: 1

      Hey, he only said 'measured in hours'. That's 192 hours and 264,552 hours respectively :)

    23. Re:Sensational! by nospam007 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "Of course, that requires significant ingestion of such iodine in the first place, which most typically comes with significantly contaminated water."

      Milk.
      Chernobyl results showed that cows eating the contaminated grass had almost all the radioactive iodine in the milk and children who drank that milk got sick.
      Apparently 90% of the children thyroid cancers could have been prevented if the government had issued a warning not to drink milk.

    24. Re:Sensational! by ozmanjusri · · Score: 4, Funny

      you don't want to see any Slashdot story about it that's not a glowing endorsement

      There's enough glowing endorsements for nuclear power around Fukushima already.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    25. Re:Sensational! by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      And iodine got into grass from... water.

    26. Re:Sensational! by syockit · · Score: 1

      Hi, I'm your average reader. Am I missing something?

      --
      Democracy is for the people; you only vote once per season and we'll do the rest of the work for you don't have to.
    27. Re:Sensational! by syockit · · Score: 1

      And this water came from?

      --
      Democracy is for the people; you only vote once per season and we'll do the rest of the work for you don't have to.
    28. Re:Sensational! by Kashgarinn · · Score: 1

      "when it's really the desire for safe nuclear power vs the desire for maximising profit at inappropriate risk."
      - is not even the right argument.. The right argument is "a nuclear power plant got hit by a huge fucking tsunami", this isn't about greed, or environment, it's about trying to contain the situation. Future plans will be about those things, but right now, there is no argument, there is only the question: can this be contained?

    29. Re:Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Cow urine?

    30. Re:Sensational! by yes_really · · Score: 1

      Its usually far lower? Could be the case seeing all those dead-dumbs around here lately.

    31. Re:Sensational! by yes_really · · Score: 4, Informative

      I wonder how far it will go though... Chernobyl actually really "exploded" and thus in contrast to what the officials say there is only very little radioactive material within the chernobyl sarcophagus (they say there is 97% left inside, but you can walk inside with little protection, check youtube - there are many videos of the inner sanctum of the sarcophagus ... there is only little left. the rest is spread around the ukraine, russia and europe mostly). Most of the material was pushed into the air when it exploded. As there are no real (trustable) sources in terms of the Japanese nuclear catastrophe it wouldn't suprise me if there is a complete melt down of No. 3 and no public information available on the real scale of the disaster (e.g. plutonium 235, its byproducts and other radioactive material and spreading across continents and oceans).

    32. Re:Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      More sensationalist bullshit [citation needed]

      Wow, your clearly not of the level of intellect expected from someone browsing slashdot [citation not needed douche]

      Anyone who doesn't know the difference between "your" and "you're" (it's easy; hint: if you mean "you are", it's "you're"), really shouldn't be commenting on anyone's level of intellect.

    33. Re:Sensational! by Hazel+Bergeron · · Score: 1

      I was responding to the scientific inaccuracies with scientific fact and supporting evidence. I was responding to political extremism (greens vs pro-nuclear) with a more balanced political/economic outlook (profit vs risk).

      I'm not sure how to respond to emotional accusations like that I "create bad blood". Sorry.

    34. Re:Sensational! by yes_really · · Score: 1

      Check youtube for documentations about the late impacts of chernobyl. Human beings only consisting of ears and bottoms.

    35. Re:Sensational! by dmgxmichael · · Score: 1

      Agreed. If I wanted sensationalist ignorant bullshit I'd read Faux News or the Commie News Network. Whatever happened to /.'s sense of self esteem? News for nerds, stuff that matters - that is relatively accurate and free of the bleating of ignorance sheep that call themselves "science" journalists, who wouldn't know what radiation was if they got hit by a 10,000 rad dose. (Yes, I know that's sufficient to briefly make them glow every color of the rainbow before vaporizing).

    36. Re:Sensational! by dougmc · · Score: 1

      Go for it. I'm sure they could use your assistance there.

      Not unless he can speak and read Japanese. If he can't, he'd be just another illiterate guy in the way who can't take orders.

      And I'm also guessing that he has no special expertise in disaster management or nuclear reactor repair (even if his claim is accurate, which I believe it is.)

      This situation is very, very different from what happened at Chernobyl.

    37. Re:Sensational! by NoSleepDemon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There's a documentary on the scientists trying to find the radioactive fuel / core inside the chernobyl structure on google video. They had to use robots to scout ahead because some of the rooms had pockets of radiation that could emit a lethal dose in seconds. One difference between Chernobyl and the Japanese reactors is that Chernobyl wasn't contained. Even if the Japanese reactors melt down, it's very likely that the melting cores will be captured in the containment structures built beneath them. As long as the containment holds then you won't be seeing plutonium anywhere except where it's supposed to be.

    38. Re:Sensational! by dougmc · · Score: 1

      Does it really need to be said that the Japanese lost control of exactly 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000% of their nuclear fuel.

      You've got so many zeros here that not even a single atom could have escaped if you replaced the last 0 with a 1 (with several orders of magnitude to spare.) Reminds me of these guy's message and they're only talking 10^23 ...

      It does seem likely that a few atoms of their primary nuclear fuel escaped at some point. Not through the zircalloy containers (though I guess even that's not 100% certain), but probably when they were loaded or built -- a few atoms could have gotten on the outside, and only escaped recently. And of course if there is any actual damage to the containers, it's possible that something leaked -- a tiny amount hopefully, but way more than a few atoms.

      The concrete walls of the structure probably contain more uranium than the 0.00... with lots of significant digits you've given above -- all it takes is one atom in the entire structure to totally blow your claim.

      That said, I agree that no significant amount of their nuclear fuel has escaped -- unless the reports are incorrect. But to give so many significant digits to imply that not even a single atom could have ever escaped ... that's too certain.

    39. Re:Sensational! by zach_the_lizard · · Score: 5, Funny

      You rang?

      --
      SSC
    40. Re:Sensational! by Deus.1.01 · · Score: 3, Funny

      *raises hand*
      OH OH OH!
      RAIN!

      *looks around looking very pleased with himself.*

      --
      My -1 Troll is actually a +1 funny. And my -1 flame is actually a +1 insightfull.
    41. Re:Sensational! by NoSleepDemon · · Score: 1

      Having read many of your comments it's fairly obvious you have an agenda, so I apologise for falling for your troll... But: "Essentially that's kind of like a nuke" is surely what the OP is riling against. Reactor 3 is nothing like a nuke, ever wonder why Iran has such trouble making bombs? It's not because you can just slap together a reactor, make it leak a bit and then say "ok boys, job's done!".

    42. Re:Sensational! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2

      the desire for maximising profit at inappropriate risk.

      So you think we need to do a lot more work before we deploy wind farms? Considering that over the last ten years there have been 44 deaths worldwide associated with wind farms and 7 deaths worldwide related to nuclear power plants (I'm not sure if this number includes the current situation) if nuclear power is not yet safe enough, then wind power has a long way to go.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    43. Re:Sensational! by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

      Agreed, also, this has nothing to do with technology, and our geekspeak in this corner, yet again cmdtaco lets this crap fly.

    44. Re:Sensational! by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2, Informative
      You have a point.

      It's not like there's a culture of honesty and openness in the US nuclear power industry.

      More than a quarter of U.S. nuclear plant operators have failed to properly tell regulators about equipment defects that could imperil reactor safety, according to a report by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s inspector general.

      http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/a-quarter-of-us-nuclear-plants-not-reporting-equipment-defects-report-finds/2011/03/24/ABHYa2RB_story.html?hpid=z2

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    45. Re:Sensational! by Tackhead · · Score: 3, Informative

      The article uses scientific notation to give the radiation release in becquerels.

      It is impossible to be sensationalist when using scientific notation!

      Yeah, yeah, your fancy exponents, but try using percentages!

      From TFA:

      "Similarly, says Wotawa, caesium-137 emissions are on the same order of magnitude as at Chernobyl. The Sacramento readings suggest it has emitted 5 Ã-- 10^15 becquerels of caesium-137 per day; Chernobyl put out 8.5 Ã-- 10^16 in total -- around 70 per cent more per day."

      Yeah, seventy percent. The same 70% by which 85 is 70% more than 5.

      WTF, NewScientist? The error's in the original article too, but this is the sort of mistake I expect from the mainstream media. A pop scientist publication should be smarter than this.

    46. Re:Sensational! by Hazel+Bergeron · · Score: 1

      You might want to start arguing with the WHO. The concern in the aftermath of radiation exposure is not millions dying suddenly; it's significant numbers having their lives shortened and their quality of life affected in the long term. With wind power, you can say, "OK, this guy died instantly because a blade fell on him"; with nuclear power, you acknowledge that many people die of cancer in the long term and compare age/severity/etc of cancer in the general population vs those exposed to higher levels of radiation during some period.

      You then have to factor in the amount of work which has to be done to minimise the effects of a nuclear containment breach: clean-up; sealing; long-term evacuation; treatment.

      Nuclear power remains more risky than wind power unless you deliberately restrict what counts as harmful. The solution is not to abandon nuclear power; it is to employ modern designs and to force existing plants to keep up with improvements in safety. Fukushima was only running because it was given an inappropriate stay of execution, and this incident only occurred on the scale observed because Fukushima was still running (and perhaps because TEPCO were unwilling to quickly employ reactor-destroying measures to help with cooling). Nuclear power will now suffer a setback. People who make simplistic analyses such as your own are their own worst enemy.

    47. Re:Sensational! by lasinge · · Score: 1

      He is correctly spelling those words, in fact since it's the Queen's English it's arguably more correct than your (ahem) "English" (We don't speak English in America we speak American, and rightly so)

      --
      you are in a twisty maze of different passages.
    48. Re:Sensational! by Hazel+Bergeron · · Score: 2

      So the longest term impact of Chernobyl is more politicians?

      Imaginary deity help us all!

    49. Re:Sensational! by lasinge · · Score: 1

      And wind power has all that waste air downwind that takes 400 generations to clean up. Is that what kills all those birds? /sarcasm

      --
      you are in a twisty maze of different passages.
    50. Re:Sensational! by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      Godzilla and Fukushima: life imitates art?
      I like reading old soviet humor. Here's a few Chernobyl jokes; maybe in a few months they can be Fukushima jokes.

      An old man and his grandson look at the river from the shore.
      "Grandpa, is this place called Chernobyl? Is it true here was once a nuclear plant?"
      "Yes, my boy," the grandfather said and patted the boy on the boy's head.
      "And did it explode one day?"
      "Yes, my boy," and the grandfather patted the boy's second head.

      "Grandpa, look, there is ball rolling."
      "It's not a ball, it's a hedgehog from Chernobyl."

      "Is it true, that you may eat meat from Chernobyl?"
      "You have to eat it. But the feces must be buried in concrete 5 ft deep in the earth."

      "Grandpa, look at this light bulb! Its blue light is so pretty!"
      "It's not a bulb. It's a bottle of milk from Chernobyl."

      "Grandpa, thank you very much for the gift, this pet snake."
      "It's not a snake, baby. It's a cat from Chernobyl."

      captioned images on a forum thread

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    51. Re:Sensational! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      You apparently missed the poster who noted the article about how some people exposed toradiation as a result of bombing Nagasaki and/or Hiroshima lived longer than their peers who were not exposed to any radiation. There are several studies which suggest that our belief that long term exposure to low levels of radiation are harmful is not only wrong, but the reverse of the actual facts. These studies are not conclusive, merely suggestive of something that requires more study.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    52. Re:Sensational! by Internetuser1248 · · Score: 1

      Sure most modern international media is sensationalist. Now show me how you logically derive "nuclear power is safe" from "media is sensationalist". Every time new data emerges showing the extent of the disaster I think to myself, 'now finally, the nuclear fanboys and cheerleaders on slashdot will have to bite their tongues'. But here you are again. The Japanese government is warning residents in Tokyo not to let their children drink the tapwater. Maybe the Japanese government is just sensationalist and that of course proves that nuclear power is safe and that Fukushima wasn't a disaster. Get this off slashdot please? I know a lot of people get a hard on about the high tech aspects of nuclear power, as a geek myself I also find the science fascinating. I also find epidemiology fascinating, and psychopathy. This does not make me claim that smallpox and serial killers are safe. Please separate your scientific curiosity from the bigger picture of the wellbeing of human society. On the other hand if you are not a geek with a hard on for nuclear tech, and are instead a money grubbing shill for the nuclear power industry, you can just fuck right off. Nuclear power in the real world is about profit, it is not about technology, neither is it about supplying energy. When people are getting sick and dieing for the profit of a wealthy industry you should be ashamed of opening your mouth if all you have is excuses and justifications.

    53. Re:Sensational! by makomk · · Score: 1

      It just so happens that Cs-137 and I-131 are the major health risk. Outside of the immediate vicinity of Chernobyl, particularly in Europe, they were the radioisotopes that everyone was worried about at the time and that probably caused most of the cases of cancer.

    54. Re:Sensational! by jank1887 · · Score: 1

      >Additionally they have halflives measured in hours

      I-131 8 days = 192 hours
      Cs-137 30.2 years = 264,552 hours

      see, now he IS correct

    55. Re:Sensational! by nschubach · · Score: 1

      Japanese guys didn't watch enough of those nice japanese animes about humanity, insanity and technology

      I'll have to remember to pull out the old Road Runner cartoons before doing anything worthwhile from now on.

      --
      Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
    56. Re:Sensational! by mysidia · · Score: 2

      "Relatively low amounts" in Japan. "Vanishingly small" amounts elsewhere. Yeah, they're really sensationally hyping this one up. /sarcasm

      It turns out that "vanishingly small" amounts are all that are required to have serious long-term health consequences for a number of people.

      When they say "levels are too low for there to be a public health risk"; they are making a statistical argument -- if a few thousand people get cancer in a few years, or their children have birth defects 20 years later when they're an adult, that's not considered a "significant public health risk".

    57. Re:Sensational! by tibit · · Score: 1

      BS. Cs-137 has a half live of 30 years, not hours. The Cs-137 spread around during Chernobyl disaster is still around, and it was quite recently (last month, I don't have the article handy) that IIRC cows somewhere in Scandinavia had to be fed a non-local feed just to lower their meat's contamination levels to make it salable. Cs-137 is the real problem, I-131 is only a problem for the thyroid and we know how to work around it (saturate the thyroid with non-radioactive iodine).

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    58. Re:Sensational! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 2

      And the fact that there is NOT A SINGLE case of those clouds leading to any medical complaint outside of the immediate surroundings of the plant was ever observed ?

      Just for accuracy, it's now more than 30 years after Chernobyl. Not one single case. Not one. I mean you would expect one kid to have been particularly unlucky, drinking just the wrong milk where the wind concentrated the wrong cloud ... but no. Not a single

      (There there also was uranium and plutonium contamination, combined with the fact that the socialists of the soviet union did not see fit to inform their citizins until it was *far* too late (we're talking weeks), nor did the socialists see fit to inform the workers they sent straight into high-level radiation of what exactly was happening (most didn't even know it was a nuclear reactor, much less that it was releasing thousands-of-degrees hot radioactive gases, containing *tons* of neutron-active isotopes. Go near those, and you're dead. Even then, very few actually died). The Japanese government has been, if anything, much too fast with evacuations, and much more careful with worker's lives than even Western countries have historically been)

      (and that's ignoring the fact that the first nuclear reactor was a bathtub somewhere in Belgium which, obviously, was somewhat less-than-safe. The guy actually washed himself in it afterwards. Before you ask, he survived perfectly well. Other idiocies like telling people to wash their hands in the primary cooling water of a nuclear reactor also happened in the US. Again, very little ill effects were observed. You should read Richard Feynman's book for a good laugh.)

    59. Re:Sensational! by rjstanford · · Score: 5, Interesting

      And those thyroid cancers - while exceedingly unpleasant - killed about 40 people.

      Nuclear is not 100% safe. Nothing is. It does happen to be about 4,000 times as safe as Coal though, measured in terms of human deaths per megawatt generated.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    60. Re:Sensational! by debrain · · Score: 1

      Sir –

      Just to add to your comments with some trivia:

      Iodine 131 is even safer. It's risks are based on the fact that thyroid gland tends to vacuum all the iodine in the body, including isotope 131 where it irradiates your body from inside for a long time.

      Iodine builds up in the thyroid, and ingesting radioactive iodine has been linked to thyroid cancer.

      Ironically, part of the cure for thyroid cancer is to ingest more radioactive iodine.

      See e.g. http://www.endocrineweb.com/conditions/thyroid-cancer/thyroid-cancer

      Radioactive Iodine is given to the patient with thyroid cancer after their cancer has been removed. If there are any normal thyroid cells or thyroid cancer cells remain in the patient's body (and any thyroid cancer cells retaining this ability to absorb iodine), then these cells will absorb and concentrate the radioactive "poisonous" iodine. Since all other cells of our bodies cannot absorb the toxic iodine, they are unharmed.

    61. Re:Sensational! by fritsd · · Score: 1
      I would like to elaborate on your comment on Strontium-90:
      Strontium-90 is similar to Magnesium and Calcium and therefore particles of Sr-90 gives you bone cancer and leukemia. Good luck getting it removed from your body again after you've "built it in". I grimly laughed at the Wikipedia quote:

      The results of a study of hundreds of thousands of teeth collected by Dr. Louise Reiss and her colleagues as part of the Baby Tooth Survey showed that children born after 1963 had levels of 90Sr in their deciduous teeth that was 50 times higher than that found in children born before the advent of large-scale atomic testing.

      The Iodine accumulates in your thyroid, but I think Cesium can be "flushed" after a while. Iodine probably as well, otherwise they wouldn't give people who have trouble with their thyroids, radioactive Iodine-123 (N.B. NOT I-131) to drink. (And then they measure your thyroid's radiation and keep you quarantined until you peed most of it out again, after which it of course gets recycled for the next patient).

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    62. Re:Sensational! by C0R1D4N · · Score: 1

      "Of course, that requires significant ingestion of such iodine in the first place, which most typically comes with significantly contaminated water."

      Milk. Chernobyl results showed that cows eating the contaminated grass had almost all the radioactive iodine in the milk and children who drank that milk got sick. Apparently 90% of the children thyroid cancers could have been prevented if the government had issued a warning not to drink milk.

      Luckily not as much of an issue in Japan.

    63. Re:Sensational! by Hazel+Bergeron · · Score: 1

      These studies are not conclusive, merely suggestive of something that requires more study.

      Yes. I hope you weren't supporting some argument about nuclear safety using these non-conclusive studies. The uninitiated reader may assume you're asserting that the occasional nuclear incident is to be encouraged, or something similarly strabismic. ;-)

    64. Re:Sensational! by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Maybe those pro-nuclear PR people can go sell novelty glow-in-the-dark Nori-wrapped sushi. Google "bioaccumulation of Iodine".

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    65. Re:Sensational! by manoweb · · Score: 1

      I'd really like to go, but my dream would be to be able to see a nuclear explosion (maybe an H-bomb) "live"...

    66. Re:Sensational! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, my 2010 chart of the nuclides and isotopes (published by Lockheed and Martin) puts Cs-137 at 30.02 years, but that is the most stable form of Cesium. Every other form has a half life in hours or less, except for Cs-131 and 132, which is 9.69 days and 6.48 days respectively. It seems that 132 can emit gamma rays and Beta-decay, but the 131 only exhibits electron capture. And of course, if you were curious, the Cs-137 decays to Ba-137 which is metastable, and has internal transitions to a completely stable form of itself.

      TL;DR: Cs-137 is dangerous cause it throws gamma rays at you.

    67. Re:Sensational! by Unoriginal_Nickname · · Score: 2

      That's not exactly true. A hydrogen explosion did disperse some of the core contents, but the majority melted through the floor of the reactor and ended up in ducts and maintenance passages. All areas of the facility under the reactor are filled with it. Google search for 'corium.'

      All of the reactors probably did melt down. A meltdown isn't scary. TMI had a 50% meltdown, and none of it even escaped the pressure vessel. Don't play so much STALKER.

    68. Re:Sensational! by bberens · · Score: 1

      My understanding is that all the reactors are Uranium reactors. The primary reason to use Uranium rather than Thorium reactors is that Plutonium as a bi-product can be used to make nuclear weapons. It's possible that there's no plutonium there, but it's also a fairly reasonable assumption that all of the reactors have some amount of plutonium lying around.

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    69. Re:Sensational! by lgw · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The half-life of I-131 is 8 days, and effectively all of the volitiles have burned off at this point. Early this week, levels in Tokyo briefly reach levels where a baby in arms shouldn't be drinking (formulae made with) tap water - but it was only about twice safe levels for a baby, and no risk at all for those over 40. In a week that problem will have solved itself natually.

      I'm sure there someone, somewhere who somehow didn't hear the warnings and a baby now has a slightly elevated risk of thyroid cancer. That's not a good thing, but it's unfair and sensationalist to compare that to Chernobyl. As my friend in Japan wrote

      For us, we think (a) these amounts shouldn't matter and (b) our activated carbon filtration systems will take care of this, but carefully consumed wine and beer this evening just to be safe

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    70. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Quite true. Only the volatiles (Cs-137, I-131, etc) make it any significant distance from a nuclear disaster. The non-volatile elements end up attached to or as part of larger particulate matter and are generally deposited within 100km of the accident -- aka, significant amounts wouldn't even make it to Tokyo if the winds at the time of release were pointing straight at it.

      A lack of those means it's less likely Fukushima will involve a permanent exclusion zone around it, but the overall health effects for regions beyond will be similar to that for Chernobyl after adjusting for prevailing wind direction.

      Note that this accident isn't even close to over. There's several times as much nuclear decay waste products at Fukushima #1 as there were at Chernobyl, only a small fraction of those have been released into the environment so far, and the disaster is still clearly ongoing. There will almost certainly be more volatiles released by Fukushima than Chernobyl when this is done. The question is how kind will the winds be over the coming months and whether there will be even more "oh noes".

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    71. Re:Sensational! by Alex+Belits · · Score: 2

      Right, those were isotopes "everybody was worrying about" in Europe.

      You forgot to mention that except for immediate vicinity those isotopes produced no effect on health as long as people did not grow food on contaminated soil -- and even that affected about a hundred miles radius. So unless by "Europe" you mean Khoiniki, Bragin, Narovlya and Vetka, it was mostly bullshit.

      (I lived in Gomel at the time -- about 80 miles from the power plant, and was completely unaffected by it).

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
    72. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 2, Interesting

      All the research I know of says that small doses of radiation are not particularly harmful.

      Citation please yourself. There's a distinct lack of conclusive evidence in either direction because controlling for such large population based studies on something that varies so much with other factors is extremely difficult. Nuclear proponents often cite this absence of evidence as evidence of absence. Nuclear opponents counter that barring research to the contrary, due caution requires assuming that the same effects that occur at the larger scale (DNA damage by ionizing radiation leading to cancer, for example) are problematic at the smaller scale as well.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    73. Re:Sensational! by geekymachoman · · Score: 1

      That's why you have brain, so you don't buy/get stuff you don't need. However, It seems that people stopped using that brain since 24/7 news channels.

      I don't have any masks, and liquid whatever soaps, nothing, and neither does anyone I ever knew in my life. EVER. All generations, and we're all alive and kickin'. In fact, I can with certainty say that we here from Balkan are healthier then people with all this high tech soaps and masks and the rest of it. You know why ? Because we don't go to hospitals for every meaningless symptom and don't panic, in fact, don't think about that stuff at all. If I die I die. Fuck it. I'm not gonna live my life buying gas masks and walking around with one. I for my self, can say, I know without news propaganda/sensationalism/whatever when and what to do, and if I'm mistaken, I don't care. I'm gonna die anyway. I abandoned the notion that I'm important so important. In the grand scheme of things, only thing that matters is my relationships with people in the now.

      Regarding this nuclear disaster topic, or whatever you want to label it as, same rule applies. Common sense and thinking is all everyone need. Spend a month learning, informing yourself if you think it's important for your situation (where you live etc) to know.
      Read 50 different media sources, including the conspiracy theorists, why not ? Are you closed minded skeptic or open minded skeptic ? After you do all that, you'll know what to do. Relying on media to care for you is retarded. Think and act for yourself, stop being a pussy.

    74. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      With a purposeful grimace and a terrible sound
      He pulls the spitting high-tension wires down...

      You know, I once came up with the notion that if you wanted an *incredibly* loud speaker, and had a large budget, you could encode music into detonating det cord by varying its radius and thus the force of its pressure wave. Depending on how thin you can make the cord, a normal length song would take a couple dozen to a couple hundred tonnes of explosives (not cheap), but you would have the volume to broadcast across a huge area.

      I was then thinking of, "What song would be best to play to people out of the blue, no warning, as part of a crazy art project?" And then it hit me: Godzilla by Blue Oyster Cult. In Tokyo Bay. As you inflate a Godzilla parade float in the water with helium, causing it to rise up and out of the water head-first (ultimately releasing it to float away over the town).

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    75. Re:Sensational! by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I still have some liquid soap left from last year's flu hysteria. And some air masks too. Who wants some? There was also a hysteria for the mad cow disease, but my wife did not buy anything, we merely rode the car through pools of soapy water back then (near farms) The problem when the media says apocalypse is coming once a year, and we're still there the next year is that we pay less attention the next time.

      Not every disaster that didn't happen was hysteria. They are just unlikely. If an catastrophe has 5% chance to happen and if it would happen it would kill a third of the world population, it makes sense to try to reduce that 5% chance. Whether those methods for reducing the risk work or not is another matter, but by definition 95% of the time when disaster doesn't happen we end up with some people saying there was nothing to be afraid of in the first place.

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
    76. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

      He's correct on everything else though

      No, he's not. I went one step further and followed his link. Proof by Ghost Reference. It does not say what he claims it does.

      The main reason why elements with low half lives are dangerous is precisely *because* they have low half lives. U-238 is all over the bloody planet, but with a half life similar to the age of the planet, it poses little threat. Iodine poses the primary threat initially after a nuclear accident, followed by cesium and strontium over time. The Chernobyl exclusion zone may be opened for development and agriculture again up once the cesium and strontium decay sufficiently.

      What sort of ridiculous-looking hat are you pulling your figures from, like your "500m higher" one? Fukushima City's radiation levels are ~100 times their normal background level -- and they're 30km *west* (against the prevailing winds) of the reactor. Tokyo today is at 4x their normal background, and they're *150km* away and tangential to the prevailing winds. And the accident is still ongoing, and will be for quite a while. And we're talking about external radiation, not inhaled/ingested particulate, which is orders of magnitude worse for the body than radiation from external sources (like most background radiation, like the radiation from X-rays, like the radiation from flying, etc).

      Could you please put down the nuclear power pom poms for just a minute and enter the real world where this is a serious disaster having a serious effect on a first-world country?

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    77. Re:Sensational! by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      Your statement is so wrong that it is fractally wrong. There is not a level at which your statement is not wrong.

      Google "Chernobyl" "elephants foot".

      Read up on the ruins of the reactor- it's a HUGE problem. The concrete coating is rotting and there isn't money to build a new one.

      When you are done- read this site: http://www.angelfire.com/extreme4/kiddofspeed/index.html

      It's really cool- a Russian lady on a ninja motorcycle goes on annual trips through the area, takes photos, and Geiger counter readings.

      It has a large section talking about the current state of Chernobyl... you would die within months if you were inside more than a timescale in minutes. If you stayed inside under an hour, you'd day within days.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    78. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Someone should probably look up the differences between "acute radiation poisoning" and "chronic radiation poisoning".

      And your comments about bathing in reactor coolant are just plain absurd, unless you mean secondary coolant. FYI, several Japanese workers recently washed their legs in *extremely diluted* coolant from on of the Fukushima #1 reactors (runoff from the intensive seawater flooding). The two who had skin exposure are now in the hospital. And what are you talking about to begin with -- the world's first nuclear reactor in Belgium? The world's first nuclear reactor was the Chicago Pile, famous for their "ax man" control rod system. Belgium's first reactor was the BR1 research reactor which went critical in 1956, and it was hardly a bathtub.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    79. Re:Sensational! by Seumas · · Score: 2

      OH MY GOD! CHERNOBYL LEVELS!

      That means that as many as two or three dozen people may be in immediate peril!

      Seriously, come on. I mean, it's terrifying and I'm concerned for all of our Japanese friends over there, but despite the media's attempt to blow Chernobyl out of proportion, the truth is that something like thirty people died of immediate effects of Chernobyl. Several thousand may possibly have died over the following years due to things attributable to Chernobyl, but that's far different from the idea they're trying to push with these headlines -- that tens or hundreds of thousands of people are going to drop dead of some miserable prolonged radiation death in the near future.

      Of course, with Chernobyl, the land is still uninhabitable and probably will be for . . . well, fuck, I don't know. A long time. So the issues shouldn't be understated, either. But good grief.

    80. Re:Sensational! by timeOday · · Score: 1

      but by definition 95% of the time when disaster doesn't happen we end up with some people saying there was nothing to be afraid of in the first place.

      And the 5% of the time when it does happen, there' s hell to pay because everybody is pointing fingers and saying I-told-you-so, in hindsight of course. Slashdot alone has dozens of posts along those lines to almost every story.

    81. Re:Sensational! by Magada · · Score: 1

      There is about 1% plutonium in regular fuel rods after a long-ish period spent in the reactor (years, I can't be bothered to check). By contrast, fresh MOX has around 7% plutonium in it.

      --
      Something bad is coming when people are suddenly anxious to tell the truth.
    82. Re:Sensational! by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

      Hey dude, look at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:AirDoseChernobylVector.svg

      Theres more than one blooody isotope thats harmful.

      --
      Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
    83. Re:Sensational! by Seraphim1982 · · Score: 1

      WTF, NewScientist? The error's in the original article too, but this is the sort of mistake I expect from the mainstream media. A pop scientist publication should be smarter than this.

      Unlike you the "pop scientist publication" knows the difference between "per day" and "in total", and can do the elementary school math required to convert between the two.

    84. Re:Sensational! by Magada · · Score: 2

      40 that were counted. Anyone who has ever read the Pravda knows that figures emanating from Soviet officialdom must be taken with a very large dose of (iodized) salt.

      --
      Something bad is coming when people are suddenly anxious to tell the truth.
    85. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      No, the right argument is, "Why was a plant built that could be damaged by a huge fucking tsunami". The word "tsunami" is a Japanese word, for crying out loud. If a nuclear power plant in the great plains was hit by a "huge fucking tornado" and went down, would you just excuse it as an act of god? You have to build toward the known risks or not build at all. And when the scale of economic catastrophe caused by a failure of what you're engineering is massive, your tolerance toward risk should be equally minimal. And that includes doing your best to account for "unknown unknowns". If you can't? You don't build it.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    86. Re:Sensational! by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Quite simple. The single biggest source of ionising radiation on this planet is our Sun. The biggest filter is the atmosphere. The higher you live, the more ionising radiation you're exposed to.

      Current "elevated" numbers in Tokyo (sea level) are still about a half of what you get by living in Mexico City (2200m above ocean surface). Yet we don't see excessive health problems in Mexico City.

    87. Re:Sensational! by bytesex · · Score: 1

      As there are no real (trustable) sources in terms of the Japanese nuclear catastrophe it wouldn't suprise me if there is a complete melt down of No. 3 and no public information available on the real scale of the disaster (e.g. plutonium 235, its byproducts and other radioactive material and spreading across continents and oceans).

      Isn't there a US warship nearby that performs independent measurements ?

      --
      Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
    88. Re:Sensational! by Hijacked+Public · · Score: 2

      I'm taking the same careful precuations here in Alaska. Cheers to your Japanese friend.

      --
      "Sacrifice for the good of The State" - The State
    89. Re:Sensational! by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      Iodine 131 is even safer. It's risks are based on the fact that thyroid gland tends to vacuum all the iodine in the body, including isotope 131 where it irradiates your body from inside for a long time.

      You know that Iodine-131 is frequently given to thyroid cancer patients, don't you? I think that the problem with I-131 is mostly local to the thyroid and the concentration in the thyroid is the problem. I-131 is used in medicine to destroy thyroid tissue. In smaller doses, it is also (or was) used to detect the presence of (possibly cancerous) thyroid tissue after complete removal of the thyroid. I-123 is also used for imaging purposes.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    90. Re:Sensational! by rplst8 · · Score: 1

      The thing is, the risk is appropriate when compared to other power sources. Accidents happen, and sure there are safer designs and if the economics are there to support it, then do it. However, I think the benefits that electricity (and therefore nuclear power generation) have provided save millions of lives every year and do it in a safer manner than coal.

    91. Re:Sensational! by Starlet+Monroe · · Score: 1

      Actually, we're not sure how many people have or will die from thyroid cancers directly linked to Chernobyl. It looks like it'll be around 30-40, but we won't really know that until after enough of the exposed population dies that we can firmly make a statement about that. I've seen two different numbers for total cancer incidence -- one suggests around 4,000 cases, but with most treatable so that only ~40 die, the other (more recent) suggests 300 incidences with ~30 deaths.

      A big part of the problem with predicting thyroid cancer incidence from Chernobyl at all is due to the way that thyroid uptake of 131I was measured after the fact: They basically held a handheld survey meter up to people's throats and took a measurement of the activity measured there. Later studies actually showed that this was a pretty valid way to measure 131I uptake, but it introduces huge error based on individual throat tissue thickness and anatomy. (As in, ~2500% error in some cases.) When propagated through the entire model for predicting thyroid cancer incidence, this doesn't actually change a whole lot in terms of the predictions.

      If you're really interested, I can provide references. Most of the work was done by teams led by Ilya Likhtarev, if you want to find it on PubMed.

      Disclaimer: IAAHP. [health physicist]

      --
      ++
    92. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      This says 20 worldwide since 1970. And they're counting things like "The first was Tim McCartney, who fell to his death near Conrad, Montana in the mid 1970s while trying to salvage a 1930s-era windcharger" and "In a bizarre year 2000 accident, a young parachutist crashed into a wind turbine on the German island of Fehrmarn" and "Robert Skarski died in 1993 while installing a small wind turbine at his Illinois home. He was killed when the tower he was on buckled and fell to the ground" and "Ugene Stallhut was driving a tractor as a tow vehicle when it flipped over and crushed him on a farm in Iowa" and "a spate of electrocutions". Or are people working with power lines for wind power somehow more likely to die than people working with power lines for nuclear power plants?

      That report is from 2004, mind you, but I seriously doubt there's been some radical change in the picture since then.

      As for nuclear accidents, I don't even begin to keep track of those (deaths from non-acute radiation poisoning especially are hard to track, and who's keeping track of mining deaths, electrocution deaths, etc?)

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    93. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      As of yesterday, Tokyo, a city with what's normally a very low background radiation, was at 50% higher radiation than Mexico City, a place of high background radiation (and no, there have been no statistically significant results on whether higher natural rates of background radiation cause adverse health effects in *either direction*; that sort of study is extremely difficult to do). But we're talking Tokyo, *150 miles away* from the reactor, and tangential to the direction of prevailing winds. And we're talking about radioactive particulate matter which is inhaleable/ingestible, a problem orders of magnitude worse than exposure from purely external sources.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    94. Re:Sensational! by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Well, I'll have to admit it requires a somewhat flexible interpretation of what a reactor is. But anything containing both Uranium and a moderator medium (such as water) is technically a nuclear reactor.

      So the very early nuclear reactors were water + cadmium + uranium + a source of neutrons. Depending on the quantities of the various elements a small injection of neutron-producing elements would case a sustained temperature rise in the water that slowly dissipated. They never reached critical mass, but that is not necessary to illustrate the basic principle in experiments. There were many such "reactors", long before CP-1, all in Belgium (which had the -at that time- only source of nuclear fuel), and Germany (which, up until a certain point, had research cooperation with Belgium. Later Nazi Germany would find a second fuel source, Joachimsthal). One of the Nazi researchers was Jewish, became a refugee, and continued her research into uranium fission from Sweden, but outside of any academic institution there.

      Again, read Feynman's book.

    95. Re:Sensational! by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Actually, when uncontrolled, it irradiates surrounding tissue for a long time with ionising radiation. When treating cancer patients, exposure is carefully measured and controlled. Additionally radiation treatment is generally extremely unhealthy - most patients suffer from radiation poisoning symptoms (such as loss of hair and body weight, skin problems, etc). It's simply viewed as a lesser evil compared to cancer which is all but guaranteed to kill the patient anyway.

      So no, just because it's used in cancer treatments doesn't make it safe. It just means that we have a very broad experience in treating this particular source of radiation poisoning.

    96. Re:Sensational! by Starlet+Monroe · · Score: 1

      137Cs emits a gamma at ~661keV. The gamma definitely poses an external hazard, and its long half-life (30y) means that once it deposits on the ground, it sits around delivering dose to people for a while. There were an awful lot of different external hazards released at Chernobyl, and some of them we're definitely seeing at Fukushima (137Cs, 134Cs, and 131I). In the case of Chernobyl, as long as you got out of the exclusion areas where there was extremely high deposition (the area around the reactor at Pripyat on the border of the Ukraine and Belarus, and another big hot spot northeast on the border of Belarus and Russia), the external dose seems to have been pretty minimal.

      Internal dose is much different. It's been noted elsewhere in these threads that the 131I internal hazard comes from water and milk. I'd like to point out that at Chernobyl and in the region afterwards, additional internal hazard was posed by any animal products (cheese, butter, meat) as well as leafy greens. Mushrooms and berries also pose a serious hazard; both can uptake radionuclides and concentrate them. In the case of fungi especially, the long lifespan of the organism can lead to pretty substantial concentration of radionuclides. In my opinion, until we fully characterize the releases from Fukushima, we won't be able to make definitive statements about future hazards.

      Disclaimer: IAAHP.

      --
      ++
    97. Re:Sensational! by Cryolithic · · Score: 1

      As a side note, kiddofspeed didn't actually go through there on a motorcycle. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elena_Filatova

    98. Re:Sensational! by poity · · Score: 1

      Nuke power is great and I'm a big supporter, but the "Slashdot Nuclear Energy Defense Force" getting all frustrated in denial and shutting down conversation is really getting out of hand. Can we have an honest conversation about risk and how to move forward? Can we have an honest conversation about how to maintain the old infrastructure and avoid/prepare for the rare but catastrophic risks while building a newer and safer one? Can you guys get into any nuke debate that's critical of your pov without jumping in fists flying?

      "Oh NO, precious nuclear power that I support is being criticized! Quick, dismiss every news story that could make others think twice as biased! SHUT DOWN ALL conversations about nuclear safety. Nuclear safety is gospel, if you don't accept it you're probably retarded or biased or both. Stop talking about my precious! Nuke power is misunderstood, people are being mean and picking on it, my glorious cheap energy future is being threatened bawww" -SNEDF

      --
      your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
    99. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      First off, cadmium was the control system; if you're going to count that, you ought to count a heck of a lot more stuff like you did. Secondly, if you're not reaching criticality, what kind of "cooling" needs are you dealing with? You're just talking about lumps of uranium in a tank of water with a slightly elevated rate of decay for some unknown length of time.

      Care to provide more specifics, or do you prefer to leave your anecdote -- which I can't find anywhere else -- completely unreferenced?

      Oh, and by the way: your definition of "reactor" classifies the uranium/beryllium varieities of the natural mineral alanite/muromonite as "nuclear reactors". So the first nuclear reactor was whenever the first deposit of such minerals formed.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    100. Re:Sensational! by Thuktun · · Score: 1

      This post is an example of why I continue to read Slashdot.

    101. Re:Sensational! by Stormwatch · · Score: 2

      I recall reading that story was bullshit -- civilians are not allowed to go there alone. She went in tours like everyone else.

    102. Re:Sensational! by Thuktun · · Score: 2

      The problem is the title: "Fukushima radioactive fallout nears Chernobyl levels"

      The headline is actually worse than sensationalist: It's an outright lie. Fallout of Cs-137 and I-131 are at near Chernobyl levels, but the fallout, as a whole, is far far less than Chernobyl.

      Yes, and fallout *at those particular stations*. To compare the overall fallout from Chernobyl (implied by the sensationalist title), they would need to factor in the distance from the sources (Chernobyl is much farther away from those stations) as it applies to wind/weather dispersion patterns as well as half-life of those isotopes.

      Junk science journalism FTL.

    103. Re:Sensational! by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      It's simply viewed as a lesser evil compared to cancer which is all but guaranteed to kill the patient anyway

      Most thyroid cancers are quite slow-growing, so this is far from certain. And the use of I-131 does not normally result in the symptoms you describe. There can be other effects, on salivary glands, for example. All very local.

      So no, just because it's used in cancer treatments doesn't make it safe

      I did not say it was "safe", rather, I was refuting your comment that the irradiation from I-131 lasts a "long-time" and that it affects the whole body.

      Plus, the thyroid does not absorb all the iodine in the bloodstream -- only what it needs --- so any amount significantly more than the thyroid would absorb quickly passes through the body.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    104. Re:Sensational! by tokul · · Score: 1

      Does it really need to be said that the Japanese lost control of exactly 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000% of their nuclear fuel.

      IMHO used fuel storage facility was in part which blew up. Japanese might control all active fuel cells, but used up cells are radioactive too.

    105. Re:Sensational! by Bobtree · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Inside Chernobyl's Sarcophagus - BBC Horizon (1996): http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=B98ECEE5D787AABE

      This is an amazing and terrifying retrospective, and a must watch for any fan of the S.T.A.L.K.E.R. games.

    106. Re:Sensational! by green1 · · Score: 2

      Well if you want to look at mining deaths, 100,000 people have been killed in the US alone mining coal.
      More people were killed building the hoover dam than in all nuclear power accidents worldwide to date.
      The largest hydro electric disaster is thought to have killed up to ten thousand people.
      More people die in the US oil patch every year than have died from all nuclear power accidents worldwide to date.

      More radiation is released by a single coal burning power plant than any nuclear one.

      Nuclear power isn't safe. BUT it's the safest power source we've come up with yet. This very plant was scheduled to be decommissioned, but had been kept operating because, due to anti-nuclear sentiment, you can't get approval to build newer, and even safer, plants to replace the aging ones.

      The anti-nuclear lobby kills thousands of people and exposes the world to increased levels of radiation and pollution by forcing more dangerous, and more environmentally devastating, generation techniques such as coal or hydro electric to be used instead.

    107. Re:Sensational! by kheldan · · Score: 1

      Please allow me to inject some sane, rational, and most importantly, qualitative data into this: http://www.epa.gov/radiation/rert/radnet-sacramento-bg.html

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    108. Re:Sensational! by TimSSG · · Score: 1

      I guess this was the UK radiation release I read about around 1980 (doing High School project) and not Chernobyl release that cause the sheep farms problem. That High School project was why I knew the reports was full of it when they talked about TMI. Tim S.

    109. Re:Sensational! by NoSleepDemon · · Score: 1

      Yes that's the one, Chernobyl really is (in my humble opinion) the creepiest and strangest place in the world. Regarding STALKER - I loved that game up and until the 'poltergeist' encounter which felt far too scripted; I found it quite easy to avoid its attempts to kill me, and felt it was an unwelcome contrast to the open-ended 'death could come at any time' feeling of the rest of the game world.

    110. Re:Sensational! by treeves · · Score: 1

      "The world's first nuclear reactor was the Chicago Pile, famous for their "ax man" control rod system."

      That's right. Everyone knows that, don't they? Under the squash court at the University of Chicago. Enrico Fermi et al.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    111. Re:Sensational! by treeves · · Score: 1

      "The main reason why elements with low half lives are dangerous is precisely *because* they have low half lives."

      Partially true, but irrelevant. All it means is that a nuclide has a high specific activity if it has a short half-life. But we measure radioactive contamination in units of activity, not units of concentration of the nuclide per area or volume, so we've already accounted for the specific activity.
      Na-24 is commonly found in reactor coolant and its half-life is on the order of seconds. If you could somehow drink a stream of reactor coolant just as it exits the reactor vessel during reactor operation, you would exposed to it and that would be bad. But if it has already decayed away, which it will have done one minute after the reactor is shutdown, it poses no threat.
      Co-60, on the other hand, has quite a long half life, measured in years. It also emits very high energy beta radiation, and exposure to 1 Curie of Cobalt-60 is worse for you than exposure to 1 Curie of potassium -40. You really don't need to know the half life to state the risk, IF YOU ARE EXPOSED. If you are exposed, the risk is related to amount of exposure, the target organs, the route of exposure etc. What the half-life tells you, is that the risk *of exposure* at time t+x relative to the risk of exposure at time t. That is why short half life means low risk of exposure a month after I-131 is released.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    112. Re:Sensational! by treeves · · Score: 1

      Before someone else corrects me, Co-60 *is* a beta emitter, but the high energy decay mode is gamma. It's a high energy gamma emitter.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    113. Re:Sensational! by anagama · · Score: 1

      What kind of idiot trusts the Federal Government to do anything but lie?

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    114. Re:Sensational! by anagama · · Score: 1

      Your understanding blows. It's been reported in the news for a long time that reactor three is running MOX.

      Here's a report from March 13 regarding reactor 3 using MOX:
      http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8379134/Nuclear-meltdown-threat-Japan-preparing-for-a-worst-case-scenario.html

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    115. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Just an observation concerning evacuation and why the zones are sized the way they are. I pulled up my GeoNames database instance and started issuing some queries. GeoNames has cities from all over the world, but for small towns (under 20k or so), they don't have populations. So I'm assuming an average "small town" + "surrounding rural area" population of 4k. I add to that the size of the known cities within the radius to get an approximation of how many people have to be evacuated for each radius. It really sheds some light on why Japan is loathe to use the US's evacuation radius.

      At 20km, the evacuation population is 89,866 -- most of them already evacuated due to the tsunami. (Japan did this early on)
      At 30km, the evacuation population is 145,866 -- most of them, again, already evacuated. (Japan just did this)
      At 50km, the evacuation population is 726,407 -- most of them *not* evacuated.
      At 80km -- the US recommendation -- the evacuation population is 2,376,494.

      Japan would have a refugee crisis if they did that.

      Why the rapid growth? These cities, mainly:

      Iwaki (357,309): 43km
      Koriyama (340,560): 57km
      Fukushima (294,237): 62km

      Plus a ton of smaller ones. So expect Japan to be *very* hesitant to expand their evacuation zone, even if things are found to be worse / get worse.

      What's really sad is when you start going each of the evacuated cities and each of the cities destroyed by the tsunami and looking up what they were like. "This place had the longest cherry blossom tunnel in Japan". "This place was a close sister city with Auckland". And on and on. So much destruction, so much loss. Let's hope that the irradiated towns can be returned to before decay sets in, and that the tsunami-ravaged towns can be rebuilt and become habitable again.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    116. Re:Sensational! by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      People from countries with governments Of the People, strong whistle-blower laws, lots of lawyers, and a Freedom Of Information Act.

    117. Re:Sensational! by shadowfaxcrx · · Score: 1

      This.

      60% of something is not "near" it anymore than getting a D in school is "almost" getting an A.

      --
      "I disagree with you" does not equal "flamebait."
    118. Re:Sensational! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Nice change of subject. *Applause*

      The conversation is not "nuclear versus coal". The conversation is "nuclear versus wind", remember? And just to head you off:

      Intermittent + Peaking = Baseload
      Intermittent + Storage = Baseload
      Intermittent + Geographic distribution = Less intermittent
      Intermittent + Other type of intermittent = Less intermittent

      And to head you off on *that*, no, storage is not abnormally expensive. China already uses it extensively to buffer *demand* intermittency.

      Only Unit 1 of Fukushima #1 was due to be decommissioned soon. And show me evidence that "anti-nuclear sentiment" was the cause for its 10-year extension -- as opposed TEPCO just wanting to leech as much profit out of it as they can.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    119. Re:Sensational! by Shompol · · Score: 1

      ...2599 children. Even this number is mostly meaningless as: (a) it was measured in Russia, which is pretty far from Chernobyl, while Belarus and Ukraine were the most affected; (b) thyroid cancer is only a fraction of medical problems one can get after exposure. Those who died were not the only ones who suffered.
      Despite your failing argument about radiation-related health issues, I completely side with you about the need to kill the coal plants. They pollute, which creates greenhouse effect, as well as a stack of health hazards on their own. Modern nuclear plants can be built in a safe manner, with automatic shutdown-contain functions if something goes wrong.

    120. Re:Sensational! by TheSpoom · · Score: 2

      You know, I once came up with the notion that if you wanted an *incredibly* loud speaker, and had a large budget, you could encode music into detonating det cord by varying its radius and thus the force of its pressure wave. Depending on how thin you can make the cord, a normal length song would take a couple dozen to a couple hundred tonnes of explosives (not cheap), but you would have the volume to broadcast across a huge area.

      Please, please, please send this to the Mythbusters.

      --
      It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
      - E. Debs
    121. Re:Sensational! by Archwyrm · · Score: 1

      taken with a very large dose of (iodized) salt.

      I don't think this means what you think it means.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism because it is the merger of state and corporate power. -- Mussolini
    122. Re:Sensational! by Vancorps · · Score: 1

      Nuclear proponents only remind people that you can never prove a negative. So yes, in this case, the absence of evidence is in and of itself evidence. The issue has been studied pretty extensively but admittedly experience is limited. This incident is likely to teach us all a great deal, hopefully the price we pay for this knowledge won't come in the form of human lives lost. As for DNA damage from ionizing radiation, the sun already does that, your body has mechanisms to cope with it and as of right now there is no indication that we're dealing with levels that we can't naturally cope with.

    123. Re:Sensational! by wealthychef · · Score: 2

      Your crediting lawyers with keeping the government honest made me snort milk out my nose.

      --
      Currently hooked on AMP
    124. Re:Sensational! by Minwee · · Score: 1

      Anyone who has ever read the Pravda knows that figures emanating from Soviet officialdom must be taken with a very large dose of (iodized) salt.

      Unlike figures emanating from Slashdot, which are completely accurate and reliable 100% of the time.

    125. Re:Sensational! by Magada · · Score: 1

      Well Slashdot does not pretend to be a bastion of journalistic truth.

      --
      Something bad is coming when people are suddenly anxious to tell the truth.
    126. Re:Sensational! by rjstanford · · Score: 1

      In the US, being a roofer is the 7th most dangerous career you can choose. Most solar installations (although this is changing) involve people having panels installed at their house. The linked article goes into some detail, but laborer-falling-off-roof-and-dying is one of those job hazards you never hear about on the news that happens all the time (at least in comparison to nuclear meltdowns).

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    127. Re:Sensational! by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

      The problem is the title: "Fukushima radioactive fallout nears Chernobyl levels"

      The headline is actually worse than sensationalist: It's an outright lie. Fallout of Cs-137 and I-131 are at near Chernobyl levels, but the fallout, as a whole, is far far less than Chernobyl.

      But the argument is that Cs-137 and I-131 are the main carcinogens for humans, so the Fukushima incident is as harmful to humans as the Chernobyl incident.

      The article does briefly mention that in the Chernobyl incident much of these elements were bound to (sticky) soot, but doesn't explain that this difference could have made them more likely to be incorporated into substances humans come in contact with.

    128. Re:Sensational! by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      This is a fact which I've specifically address roughly a half dozen times now. The simple fact is, they don't tell people because anti-nukers are to blame. Yes, you read that right! We have reactors which should have been retired because fucking idiot anit-nukers have created such a hostile anti-nuke environment, they are constantly forced to make due with what they have while attempting to minimize any propaganda potential created by even the smallest of mistake.

      If you want someone to blame, you can squarely blame at least 90% of all these problems on fucking idiot anti-nukers.

      If it were not for anti-nukers, reactors would be replaced with newer, safer designs, rather than the constant sad truth of certification extension. It looked like all that was starting to end and the world would have been better for it, but sadly, a nuclear accident occurred because of poor planning and auditing by the Japanese rather than it being an indictment of nuclear power. The problem is, most people are too dumb to understand the difference. Worse, idiotic anti-nukers are going to leverage this for all the propaganda they can muster.

      Basically, anti-nuke idiots have literally created a world of self-fulfilling prophecy. Since we all live in that world, where idiots are shaping our energy safety, well, you get exactly what you expect - idiotic results. If you killed all anti-nukers tomorrow, the world would literally be a better place.

      I can't tell you how many nuclear engineers I've spoken with who are constantly annoyed at their inability to improve things specifically because anti-nukers have created such a hostile environment, getting anything done, even when it improves safety, quickly becomes too expensive, too time consuming, and too heavy of a burden to mitigate the process.

      So literally, the line has been drawn. You can be anti-nuke and be part of the problem, or you can be intelligent and work to make things better. Nuclear is not going anywhere. That's the reality. Even if things get dramatically worse, its still the cleanest, safest energy mankind has. Period. Because of this, you can help maintain your anti-nuke position and help kill people, or you can work with the nuclear industry and make things better, cleaner, safer, and lower waste.

      Its extremely ironic that those who honestly believe being anti-nuke makes the world safer, when in fact, they needlessly increase the dangers to everyone.

    129. Re:Sensational! by PNutts · · Score: 2

      ...idiot anit-nukers have created such a hostile anti-nuke environment...

      Right now it appears reactor #3 is creating the hostile anti-nuke environment, but we should also keep our eyes on 2 and 4.

    130. Re:Sensational! by anagama · · Score: 1

      You're joking right? "People" have no power in the government except for those who can lay down a million bucks towards a campaign.

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    131. Re:Sensational! by georgesdev · · Score: 1

      Some say there's a small chance the world will end in 2012. What do you do about it?
      I say "nothing, and let's talk about it in 2013!"
      And last year's flu was just the same

    132. Re:Sensational! by blivit42 · · Score: 1

      "and we'll be saying a big hello to all intelligent life forms everywhere... and to everyone else out there, the secret is to bang the rocks together, guys."

    133. Re:Sensational! by rs79 · · Score: 1

      In "reel" five of the BBC movie about the Chernobyl sarcoghogus they show the chromosomes of one of the affected people. They are badly distorted.

      Many animals are "sorted" by karyotype, where you examine the chromosomes. JJ Scheel did this with frogs and fish in the 50s and it's fairly common no so we've seen lots of chromosomes.

      Some of the chromosomes in the Chernobyl victims are distorted others are so malformed they're not even recognizable as chromosomes. These people absolutely will get cancer.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    134. Re:Sensational! by rs79 · · Score: 1

      If the radiation halflife can be "measured in hours" then why is there radioactive food in singapore imported from Japan? And why is the sea radioactive 30km off the coast there? It should be gone by now ... unless... it's fallout.

      And of course fukushima isn't over yet. They began evacuating a 120km radius around the plant on a "voluntary" basis.

      And admitted there was "probably" a reactor breech.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    135. Re:Sensational! by rs79 · · Score: 1

      "Could you please put down the nuclear power pom poms for just a minute and enter the real world where this is a serious disaster having a serious effect on a first-world country?"

      Hey! Lets's play "spot the nuclear industry astroturfer". Who wants to go first?

      You know they're here. Somewhere.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    136. Re:Sensational! by subreality · · Score: 1

      You're partly right - these isotopes are the most hazardous. However, radiation is really only dangerous in high concentrations. These radionuclides disperse easily down to irrelevant levels. The real problem is when you have large amounts of radioactive soot coming down in high concentrations in a specific area. That's what made such a mess in the USSR.

    137. Re:Sensational! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      You know, I once came up with the notion that if you wanted an *incredibly* loud speaker, and had a large budget

      I am reminded of this:

      What you see pictured above is a Chrysler Air Raid Siren, the most powerful siren in the world. It's the size of a car, measuring near 12-feet in length and standing more than 6-feet tall ... is powered by an 180-HP Chrysler Industrial V-8 HEMI® gasoline engine. The super-duty engine directly drives a three-stage compressor that blows 2,610 cubic feet of air a minute, at nearly 7 PSI, .. out through six giant horns with an exit velocity of 400 miles per hour. The result is an incredibly loud 138 dB sound (measured 100 feet from the siren). The loudness of this siren is unmatched by any other warning device ever sold, ever.

      ...

      The Chrysler Air Raid Siren is so powerful that it can reportedly start fires with just the sound vibrations it produces. It can turn fog into rain, clearing the sky. It can produce an effective 70 dB air raid signal for a distance of two miles, and under proper conditions can be heard 30 to 50 miles away.

    138. Re:Sensational! by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 1

      They lie about things they have a motive to lie about. What is their motive to lie about this?

    139. Re:Sensational! by makomk · · Score: 1

      There have been several significant releases of radiation in the UK, mostly from Windscale/Sellafield, but this contamination of sheep is actually due to Chernobyl. IIRC the only UK incident that released significant amounts of radioactive iodine and caesium into the atmosphere was the 1957 Windscale fire; Sellafield's more recent problems have generally involved the release of radioisotopes into the sea. Thankfully one of the designers insisted on adding filters to the Windscale chimneys and there was no hydrogen explosion, or the fire could've been a lot more dangerous. Best estimates suggest Chernobyl released an awful lot more radioisotopes over the UK than Windscale did.

    140. Re:Sensational! by Alex+Belits · · Score: 1

      Nothing but trace amounts reached anywhere beyond the area I have described.

      It's also cute that the article does not mention units the "Geiger counter" used, or how it differs from measurements taken elsewhere. In 1990-1993 I was involved in monitoring food contamination in the area, and the only way to measure anything meaningful was to prepare samples, place them into a box made of lead bricks, and measure it with a gamma spectrometer. Geiger counter would show more radiation coming from the nearest air duct or a piece of granite outside of the lab than from those samples.

      --
      Contrary to the popular belief, there indeed is no God.
    141. Re:Sensational! by subreality · · Score: 1

      You present a false dichotomy. It's not a black and white issue. I didn't say it was safe. I said it was less than Chernobyl. I wouldn't want to live next door to the plant, but I would not have any qualms about living a quarter of the Chernobyl exclusion zone's radius from Daiichi. Closer in you'll see temporary evacuations and I wouldn't want to deal with that, but long-term I'd have no problem moving there. Also, the situation has the potential to get worse, though I think we hit bottom some days ago and it's only going to get better from here.

    142. Re:Sensational! by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Interesting. If you read her entire site there are slips that indicate she has snuck in there on her bike. For example, she's talking in one section about how some roads are blocked to car traffic but she can get in on her bike.

      She's faced political pressure so there may be a legal issue here which made her change her story.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    143. Re:Sensational! by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. More than slips. It's right there on the first page...

      My trips to Chernobyl are not like a walk in the park, but the risk can be managed. Sometimes I go for rides alone, sometimes with pillion passenger, but never in company with any other vehicle, because I do not want anyone to raise dust in front of me.

      In any case- you are not disputing the photo's or the radiation reading's she displays on the grass or the info about the reactor she has posted on her site, right?

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    144. Re:Sensational! by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 1

      Pravda is Russian for "Truth". It doesn't get much more damning.

      --
      Finally had enough. Come see us over at https://soylentnews.org/
    145. Re:Sensational! by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      And where's the outrage for coal and tar flats, etc.? They actually are killing thousands directly and tens of thousands indirectly with massive damages to the environment.

      If we run with such stupid rhetoric, as so many ignorant stooges want to do, we are left with natural gas (which kills plenty) and other fossil fuels. I don't know about you, but $15.00-$20.00/gallon at the pump doesn't exactly excite me.

      Massive damage has been done to the Gulf of Mexico. Hundreds are now sick. The environment has been damaged for likely decades to come. People are angry there, but they actively prevent safety improvements in the nuclear industry - which actively wants to replace aging reactors and to dramatically improve safety. But the segments actually killing massive numbers and damaging vast expanses are more or less ignored. This wonderfully underscores the stupidity of the masses and especially underscores the metal retardation of anti-nukers.

      In the US alone, we have over sixty reactors which would have likely been replaced with new designs if it were not for anti-nukers.

    146. Re:Sensational! by Biotech9 · · Score: 1

      due caution requires assuming that the same effects that occur at the larger scale (DNA damage by ionizing radiation leading to cancer, for example) are problematic at the smaller scale as well.

      That research is well and truly done, You can read about it if you search for the term 'Heat shock". The premise is you can shock a cell with a slight heat increase, and then hit it again with a heat increase that would kill the cell had it not been prepared by the initial benign heat shock. This effect also transfers across different types of shock, so you can hit the cell with a small heat shock and it will subsequently survive what would have been a lethal UV exposure, or mechanical stress and so on. This is due to the upregulation of shock proteins, called Heat shock proteins due to their method of discovery but they are obviously more general than that.

  2. really guys? by Seggybop · · Score: 3, Insightful

    glad to see that slashdot is 100% on board with the media's general nuclear hysteria
    [I don't think I need to explain why "nearing chernobyl levels" is a ridiculous description...]

    1. Re:really guys? by somersault · · Score: 1
      --
      which is totally what she said
    2. Re:really guys? by Permutation+Citizen · · Score: 1

      We would expect from journalists that they give the facts and help us to understand what they mean, but of course, this is asking too much.

    3. Re:really guys? by hey! · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, humanity's inability to focus on problems (at least expensive ones) in advance means it has to rely on overreacting after the fact.

      We can't say something like, "nuclear power involves risks that must be responsibly managed," because dealing with difficult to quantify terms like "responsible" is beyond our capability. Instead it must be "nuclear power is perfectly safe and there is nothing to worry about," or "nuclear power is a terror out of our darkest nightmares."

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re:really guys? by belthize · · Score: 1

      Ahh nothing like facts:

      Slashdot is the most pro nuclear site on the web ?
      Virtually a 100% (ie almost all ?) of the posts are pro nuke ?

    5. Re:really guys? by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Mr. Oelewapperke (from Brabant?) wrote "Both Iodine and Cesium are only dangerous if you ingest significant quantities of them. Additionally they have halflives measured in hours". That is factually incorrect, and debunked here on Slashdot. Then again, my comment on the seaweed was probably also stupid :-)

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    6. Re:really guys? by fritsd · · Score: 2

      Do you know what kind of people are trained to quantify difficult-to-quantify things like vague risks?

      Actuaries.

      In that light, I'd like you to read the cold-hard-numbers evaluation of the insurance companies number-crunchers:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price-Anderson_Nuclear_Industries_Indemnity_Act
      The nuclear fission industry has its own special insurance law in the U.S.A. in order to "Privatize the profits, socialize the losses".
      Presumably because otherwise, there wouldn't be a nuclear fission industry, because no-one would insure it.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    7. Re:really guys? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      This number crunching is about legal risks, however, not actual damages. Given that this is US we're speaking about, the two tend to be very remotely related.

  3. Fear-mongering Technobabble by pipingguy · · Score: 5, Funny

    OMG, we're all gonna die! Again!

    1. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by deniable · · Score: 1, Redundant

      I know, I died three times last week.

    2. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      OMG, we're all gonna die!

      Don't worry, it's a well-known fact that radiation exposure will bring you back as a zombie.

      And since everyone else will be zombies too, you won't have to worry about what kind of impression you'll make. (That hot chick's ears will be falling off too.)

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    3. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by AigariusDebian · · Score: 2

      Apocalypse!
      We've all been there.
      The same old trips, why should we care? ...
      It's do or die.
      Hey, I've died twice! :)

    4. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by ciderbrew · · Score: 3, Funny

      She still wont talk to me. Cool zombie Ted is smoking a Marlboro and the blue smoke coming out of his chest cavity looks mean. He blew smoke rings out of his aorta and she laughed. Undam you Ted, I hope you live.

    5. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by yahwotqa · · Score: 1

      I'm not worried about my *ears* falling off, in front of that hot chick.

    6. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by Rhodri+Mawr · · Score: 1

      Say you're happy now, once more, with feeling.

      Where do we go from here?

    7. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

      Q: How does a zombie hot chick hold her liquor?

      A: By the ... oh, never mind.

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
    8. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by powerlord · · Score: 1

      Oh I will walk, through the fire.

      --
      This space for rent. All reasonable inquiries will be entertained at proprietors discretion.
    9. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by mpdolan37 · · Score: 1

      Man I picked a bad day to stop drinking....again.

      --
      Facts are useless, they can be used to prove anything.
    10. Re:Fear-mongering Technobabble by snspdaarf · · Score: 1

      The joke is, "How does a woman hold her liquor? By the ears!"

      --
      Why, without your clothes, you're naked, Miss Dudley!
  4. Misleading summary by znu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From TFA:

    The difference between this accident and Chernobyl, they say, is that at Chernobyl a huge fire released large amounts of many radioactive materials, including fuel particles, in smoke. At Fukushima Daiichi, only the volatile elements, such as iodine and caesium, are bubbling off the damaged fuel.

    That's a really important difference. It means the total release of radioactive material is far smaller. And the iodine, at least, is a lot less scary than the sort of stuff you get from fuel particles -- it has a half-life of only 8 days, so there's no real long-term environmental threat from that. (The cesium is rather worse -- half life of ~30 years.)

    --
    This space unintentionally left unblank.
    1. Re:Misleading summary by Eivind · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's ridicolous fear-mongering to post that we're at so-and-so percentage-level with regard to release of 2 specific radioactive substances, without mentioning that this in no way implies that we're even close to similar in general.

      Like you point out, in particular iodine is a short-lived and thus mostly local problem (and even local radiation-levels have been very modest this far). Half-life of 8 days means that it's more than 99% gone in 2 months and 99.99% gone in 4 months and so on. (basically add a 9 every month)

      There may yet be larger releases, but -this- far we've got ~20.000 dead due to earthquake and tsunami, and ~0 dead due to radiation released from the powerplants.

    2. Re:Misleading summary by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Or the radioactive carbon and other material that came from the burning graphite in the Chernobyl reactor. That burned for what, two weeks straight?

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    3. Re:Misleading summary by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 2

      There may yet be larger releases, but -this- far we've got ~20.000 dead due to earthquake and tsunami, and ~0 dead due to radiation released from the powerplants.

      Several people have radiation sickness from high exposure already, high doses have been recorded up to 40km away, and radiation kills long term (unless it's a massive dose), so that's not a very useful statistic. It is useful to know what levels of radiation have been released.

      Unless fuel ponds or a reactor burns fully this disaster won't be comparable to Chernobyl, and it's unlikely to get that bad, but we should not play down its impact, which is likely to be hugely expensive over the long-term, given the highly populated surroundings. These reactors will probably need to be encased in concrete eventually and monitored for hundreds of years. After two weeks they still don't have the fires under control; this is a big problem.

    4. Re:Misleading summary by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 2

      Yes it is a critical situation, but not as bad as this hype

      The "Several people" are workers at the plant ....

      Radiation in this case is mostly Iodine, which has a short halflife but is dangerous if ingested, not because of the whole body effects of the radiation (which are minimal) but because it is concentrated in the thyroid ... this is why short term avoidance of tapwater was advised

      Caesium is usually distributed all over the body and is expelled natuarlly and so is less worrying in small doses ...

      40 year old badly designed reactors survived the worst earthquake and tsunami in living memory ... not much of a story there

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
    5. Re:Misleading summary by ZombieWomble · · Score: 4, Informative

      Several people have radiation sickness from high exposure already, high doses have been recorded up to 40km away, and radiation kills long term (unless it's a massive dose), so that's not a very useful statistic. It is useful to know what levels of radiation have been released.

      All of these points are, I believe, at least hyperbole, and at worst outright scaremongering.

      While it's true several plant workers have been taken to hospital for monitoring after receiving acute doses higher than safety recommendations (>100 mSv), this is many times lower than the typical onset of "radiation sickness". The safety threshold is chosen as the limit of detectability for increased cancer risk over a lifetime, which puts it on the order of 1 or 2 percent increase in lifetime risk of cancer. Given they're doing very valuable work, this is not that dramatic a risk - the risk to other emergency responders in the wake of the tsunami is probably much greater.

      With regards to the "high" doses 40 km away, these need to again be put in perspective - it is "high" compared to the local background (although often only 50 to 100% more than usual, barring localised spikes), but there are places in the world where natural radiation is almost 100 times greater than the typically quoted "background dose", and people live there just fine. Combined with the fact that most of this radiation is short-lived Iodine isotopes, a ballpark estimate suggests that people living outside the plant would only see a dose of 1 mSv or less by the time the iodine had decayed away, even if they ignored all the simple safety precautions which can be taken to reduce that further. These doses are well known not to cause any significant increase in cancer risk - long term or not.

      And your suggestion of a Chernobyl-style sarcophagus being required is still rather unlikely. Since it appears none of the reactors have actually melted down or suffered a substantial failure in containment in the immediate vicinity of the rods themselves, it's quite likely that they'll be able to take them through a more or less normal shutdown and decommissioning once proper cooling is restored, and the storage implications will be no more serious than if they reached their natural end-of-life. Indeed, if they weren't already near or past their expected end-of-life, they could probably be fairly readily repaired, refuelled, and set running again within a relatively short timeframe. (Indeed, there's talk that this is being considered for Reactors 4 through 6, although that may turn out to not be politically viable).

      I'm not denying it's a serious issue - but in the perspective of tens of thousands dead, and many times more homeless and short on food and other supplies, it really shouldn't be dominating headlines in this way.

    6. Re:Misleading summary by ZombieWomble · · Score: 1
      Most countries have at least some high background areas, and this is usually down to the composition of rocks in the area, where regions which contain a lot of heavy radio-isotopes (uranium, thorium) have high levels of Radon gas, which seeps up to the surface and leads to increased radiation exposure and correspondingly higher natural doses. If there are other factors which act to enhance the transport of radiation to the surface, it can become even more striking - Ramsar, in Iran, is the most dramatic example, where the local hot springs cycle up large amounts of dissolved radioactive material, leading to background doses of tens of mSv per year or more.

      Interestingly, there appears to be little evidence of a significant increase in cancer rates in such regions, and perhaps even the suggestion of a slight adaptive response.

    7. Re:Misleading summary by arogier · · Score: 1

      Exactly the risk with iodine is the prolonged exposure of it all bundled into the small mass of the thyroid, and the short halflife isn't quite a godsend as it means it releases radiation more rapidly. The difference between that and Caesium is the difference between a chest CT and the radiation from a chest CT concentrated on the mass of your index finger. One provides a useful image of your thoracic cavity while the other will cause burns, toxicity, and maybe cancer/death.

    8. Re:Misleading summary by HungryHobo · · Score: 2

      http://www.angelfire.com/mo/radioadaptive/ramsar.html

      "Ramsar, in northern Iran has some inhabited areas with the highest known natural radiation levels in the world."

      "The radioactivity of the high background radiation areas (HBRAs) of Ramsar is due to Ra-226 and its decay products, which have been brought to the surface by the waters of hot springs. There are more than 9 hot springs with different concentrations of radium in Ramsar that are used as spas by both tourists and residents."

      "According to the results of the surveys performed to date the radioactivity seems primarily to be due to the radium dissolved in mineral water and secondarily to travertine deposits having elevated levels of thorium combined with lesser concentrations of uranium "

      but that isn't the interesting part.
      this is.

      "The preliminary results of cytogenetical, immunological and hematological studies on the residents of high background radiation areas of Ramsar have been previously reported (Mortazavi et al. 2001, Ghiassi-Nejad et al. 2002 and Mortazavi et al. in press), suggesting that exposure to high levels of natural background radiation can induce radioadaptive response in human cells. Lymphocytes of Ramsar residents when subjected to 1.5 Gy of gamma rays showed fewer induced chromosome aberrations compared to residents in a nearby control area whose lymphocytes were subjected to the same radiation dose. Despite the fact that in in vitro experiments lymphocytes of some individuals show a synergistic effect after pretreatment with a low dose(Mortazavi et al. 2000), none of the residents of high background radiation areas showed such a response. "

      yes, when exposed to long term high levels of radiation these peoples cells adapted and ramped up their DNA repair mechanisms.
      These people can survive radiation better than most.

      now of course it's not magic, if you're out in the cold a lot you'll adapt to it a bit and your body will deal better with it. the same with heat or sunlight or etc etc.
      it can still be overwhelmed but we do have mechanisms for dealing with raidation

    9. Re:Misleading summary by joostje · · Score: 1

      Out of curiousity, where are these "high" natural radiation area's? Is anything known about their cause?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ramsar,_Mazandaran#Radioactivity

    10. Re:Misleading summary by subreality · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Since it appears none of the reactors have actually melted down or suffered a substantial failure in containment in the immediate vicinity of the rods themselves, it's quite likely that they'll be able to take them through a more or less normal shutdown and decommissioning once proper cooling is restored ...

      Actually, the high I-131 and Cs-137 levels pretty well indicate that at least a partial meltdown has occurred. We'll only know for sure once we're able to crack them open and see what's inside, but my money's on it looking a lot like the TMI leftovers. With a mess of corium casserole inside, they're not going to just pop the lid off and pull the fuel bundles like any other shutdown. It'll be years before they peek inside, and years more before they've finished scraping the slag out. That's much better than Chernobyl where angry flaming core got spooed everywhere, but it's hardly a "normal" decommissioning.

    11. Re:Misleading summary by Glock27 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      radiation kills long term (unless it's a massive dose)

      That is commonly accepted thinking, but is apparently incorrect.

      The tens of thousands more distant from Ground Zero, and who received lower exposures to radiation, did not die in droves. To the contrary, and surprisingly, they outlived their counterparts in the general population who received no exposure to radiation from the blasts.

      These findings come from the Atomic Bomb Disease Institute of the Nagasaki University School of Medicine, which has been analyzing the medical records of survivors continuously since 1968.

      Quotes are from Lawrence Solomon: Japan’s radioactive fallout could have silver lining.

      Sometimes reality is surprising.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    12. Re:Misleading summary by Eivind · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If by "high" doses you mean "doses that may, perhaps, increase your lifetime risk of getting cancer by a single-digit percentage" then yes.

      I'm not saying this is ignorable, or not serious. I'm saying that this far, it seems likely that the harm to human health from the nukes, will be a tiny fraction of the damages resulting from the earthquake and tsunami.

      i.e. if there where zero nuclear powerplants in the affected area, the number of dead and seriously injured people would've been essentially identical.

      Japan has suffered a huge catastrophy. Nuclear powerplants has this far gotten a huge fraction of the attention, while actually causing a miniscule fraction of the deaths and injuries. This *may* change if we get a larger release of radioactive substances, offcourse.

    13. Re:Misleading summary by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      NHK World has been describing how people, mostly elderly, have been dying as a result of the evacuation from around the plant. The evacuation certainly seems justified due to the radiation release so those would be deaths as a result of the accident.

    14. Re:Misleading summary by maxume · · Score: 1

      It's a nuclear reactor sited in earthquake and tsunami zones. When you have an event that exceeds the design criteria, you don't brag about how you only lost control over normal shutdown cooling and released material into the atmosphere, you admit that you screwed up the risk analysis and design (and whether anyone likes it or not, politics means that "safe" for nuclear reactors means never emitting material into the environment, not emitting material into the environment whenever there is an unexpected event).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    15. Re:Misleading summary by geoskd · · Score: 1

      And your suggestion of a Chernobyl-style sarcophagus being required is still rather unlikely. Since it appears none of the reactors have actually melted down or suffered a substantial failure in containment in the immediate vicinity of the rods themselves, it's quite likely that they'll be able to take them through a more or less normal shutdown and decommissioning once proper cooling is restored.

      Unfortunately, Reactor 2 has had damage which puts radiation levels, in parts of the reactor building, too high for humans to work safely. This effectively puts reactor 2 into the realm of entomb and monitor, much like Chernobyl reactor 4. The rest of the Fukashima reactors can likely be decommissioned as you suggest. Reactors 5 and 6 might even be restored to normal function, but #2 is a complete write-off.

      -=Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    16. Re:Misleading summary by ZombieWomble · · Score: 1
      What is your reasoning for the need to entomb the site some time soon? There's no evidence of ongoing meltdown, so the heat generated by the reactors is constantly dropping, so the challenges of cooling and stabilising the reactors is getting easier, not harder. And while there's tremendous damage to the surrounding buildings, there's no significant damage to the reactors - there were reports of spikes which may have been consistent with radioactive steam venting through small cracks, but given the radiation levels at the site and the fact that they still need to periodically vent gas from the reactors, it suggests they're still relatively close to air-tight.

      It's not under control in a "we can all go home and put our feet up" fashion, but there's no evidence that more drastic measures are needed any time soon - what they're doing appears to be working, and if they keep at it the reactors will likely be able to be brought down relatively smoothly to a stable state.

      Exactly what the cleanup after that is like does depend on how bad the inside of the reactors themselves are - I admit, my clean-up and refuel analysis is a bit too gung-ho, but I would be surprised if the chosen path wasn't to take it through as much of a normal recovery and disposal process as possible, as it's dramatically easier and cheaper, and may well be safer providing the damage isn't much worse than it appears from the outside. Most of the radiation release thus far is transient (Iodine and radioactive seawater byproducts) and the levels of caesium scattered around the site should hopefully leave the radiation levels below the threshold required for special cleanup operations outside the reactors. Thus from a radioactivity point of view, decomissioning will be (comparatively) straightforward - the massive structural damage is obviously a significant issue, but that's probably as true anywhere else along that coast of Japan at the moment.

    17. Re:Misleading summary by CptNerd · · Score: 1

      Interesting. I wonder if this is true for us old farts who were kids when the US and USSR were doing their above ground A-Bomb tests and were exposed to who knows what kind of fallout? Hell, if I could I'd be over there offering to haul food into the areas where local drivers refuse to go, near the edge of the evacuation zone (there are thousands of old people who can't be evacuated that are running out of food and water). I'm old enough that I'm not worried about 20-30 years effect of double background radiation, I'll be long gone before I'd kick off from cancer from something like this. I do know some Japanese language, and can read enough kanji to get by.

      --
      By the taping of my glasses, something geeky this way passes
    18. Re:Misleading summary by Solandri · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm saying that this far, it seems likely that the harm to human health from the nukes, will be a tiny fraction of the damages resulting from the earthquake and tsunami.

      I suspect more people are going to wind up getting cancer and dying from smoke inhalation from all the gas, wood, and coal heaters they're using due to the rolling blackouts, than from radiation from this accident. In other words, the loss of electrical generating capacity due to the Fukushima Daiichi plant being offline is probably going to kill more people than the radiation it emits. But death by radiation is more exotic and makes a better story than death by long-term smoke inhalation, so the media splashes it all over their headlines.

      Nuclear powerplants has this far gotten a huge fraction of the attention, while actually causing a miniscule fraction of the deaths and injuries. This *may* change if we get a larger release of radioactive substances, offcourse.

      Statistically, if you compare the safety of each power source in terms of deaths per TWh generated, this accident would have to kill something like 10,000 people in order for nuclear to lose its title as safest power generation technology (wind is currently second safest - yes, wind power has killed more people Watt-hour for Watt-hour than nuclear). This obsession people have with worst case scenarios is skewing their judgment into making the wrong decision on how safe the technology is. Just like how plane crashes make people think planes are more dangerous than they really are, or how big lottery prizes make people think it's worth buying a ticket when it really isn't.

    19. Re:Misleading summary by Lord_Jeremy · · Score: 1

      The big sensationalist media (and unbiased ones too), aka the most followed ones in the US are giving the nuclear danger side of this incredible disaster in Japan a much larger focus than the humanitarian concern. Right now, there are a lot of people dead as a direct result of the tsunami. Many many more are injured and possibly dying, not to mention homeless and displaced. While I appreciate that nuke stories have high "cool factor", it's upsetting to me that whenever I talk to people about this disaster, everyone seems to forget that there are things and people in Japan other than reactors and reactor workers.

    20. Re:Misleading summary by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You got it best in the end. You're old, but not too old to be a useless cripple? Who cares if you get massive radiation exposure and develop cancer in 40 years? You'll be dead in 20 years anyway, have fun with that.

    21. Re:Misleading summary by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      well in practice you'd either need to eat radioactive material or be exposed to one hell of a high dose to see any significant rise in your chances of getting cancer.
      Our chances of getting cancer are so high already. (42% ish chance of getting cancer though some are minor or treatable since only 25% of all deaths are cancer)

    22. Re:Misleading summary by Mostly+a+lurker · · Score: 1

      40 year old badly designed reactors survived the worst earthquake and tsunami in living memory ... not much of a story there

      This may or may not turn out to be substantially correct. Frankly, I doubt we shall be able to state this with any confidence for quite a while. Further, I do think that there are much safer (but less economic) designs than boiling water reactors, but I have yet to be convinced that modern boiling water designs are a big advance on the older designs. The problem still seems to be that accidents are potentially very difficult to contain. Remember that the initial events in Japan were not worst case. Three of the six reactors were in shut down mode in advance of the earthquake and the other three shut down correctly before the tsunami. The situation would have been quickly critical if the reactors could not be shut down before major damage occurred (surely feasible if unlikely).

    23. Re:Misleading summary by rayd75 · · Score: 1

      Remember that the initial events in Japan were not worst case. Three of the six reactors were in shut down mode in advance of the earthquake and the other three shut down correctly before the tsunami. The situation would have been quickly critical if the reactors could not be shut down before major damage occurred (surely feasible if unlikely).

      While I agree with the essence of thought, my nature drives me to reinforce a point that you probably get but didn't specifically mention. Reactors can be shut down instantaneously or at least near enough that it's practically instantaneous. When you scam the control rods, you've stopped the primary fission reaction immediately. At Fukushima, the operating reactors not only shutdown immediately, but they got an hour of two of full-scale proper cooling before the tsunami hit. Thereafter, they got another several hours of cooling from battery power. While that may not seem significant, given that we're still worried about their cooling status two weeks later, this likely saw them drop from the 7% output seen at the instant of shutdown to something substantially more manageable like .7%. If we consider the highest output reactor among the four considered to have been the most problematic, we're looking at dropping from 784MW output to 54MW in a second, then to 5.4MW in the course of several hours. There's been a lot of talk about what went wrong, but little about this very critical bit that went right. Had there been no cooling immediately after shutdown, the situation would be very, very different right now.

    24. Re:Misleading summary by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      40 year old badly designed reactors survived the worst earthquake and tsunami in living memory ... not much of a story there

      It's easy to blow it off as "out of date tech, who cares" - until you consider that the newest reactors in the US are currently 30+ years old.

      This hype is overblown, but I'd much rather see a nuke plant replacement program (for each new one built, shut down and clean up an old one) than the current grandfather stalemate we're in.

      20 years ago I interviewed for a job as nuke plant inspector with the NRC (Atlanta office), they told me about all the wonderful new designs ready to be built and the bright future of the industry. Now, consider the fact that your actual nuke plant inspectors are the kids who fell for that line of bull.

    25. Re:Misleading summary by Serious+Callers+Only · · Score: 1

      What is your reasoning for the need to entomb the site some time soon? There's no evidence of ongoing meltdown, so the heat generated by the reactors is constantly dropping, so the challenges of cooling and stabilising the reactors is getting easier, not harder. And while there's tremendous damage to the surrounding buildings, there's no significant damage to the reactors - there were reports of spikes which may have been consistent with radioactive steam venting through small cracks, but given the radiation levels at the site and the fact that they still need to periodically vent gas from the reactors, it suggests they're still relatively close to air-tight.

      Obviously it's hard to tell as we're working from imperfect information which has (perhaps understandably) been rationed by the Japanese gov. and Tepco, however recent news is that the government feels the situation is grave and at least one reactor has been breached:

      http://english.aljazeera.net/news/asia-pacific/2011/03/2011325112227299174.html

      it's not clear they have the situation under control, but let's hope they do. It does sound from recent government announcements as if they're not quite as confident as you are about the outcome though - they have recently started evacuating people from a full 30km radius. I haven't seen any reliable measures of temperature for the spent fuel ponds or reactors which indicate that they're dropping - last I heard a couple of days ago one reactor inexplicably dramatically heated up again. Of course neither of us are experts in the field, and this is all second-hand information.

      My reasoning for needing to entomb the reactors is simply that if they don't have the reactors sealed they won't be able to cool them reliably, steam could escape explosively, those racks could widen, and they will continue to leak radioactive material until sealed, rendering the buildings difficult to clean up and work in. Also there is some erosion of fuel rod casings from the spent fuel ponds which isn't a good sign (zirconium found at the water outlets), so they have a lot of problems on the site, on top of periodic spikes in radiation making it difficult to work there and the wreckage of the buildings making it very difficult to assess damage (I assume that's why there are no clear indications of the state of spent fuel ponds for example). But let's hope they do get the situation under control without drastic measures.

    26. Re:Misleading summary by rayd75 · · Score: 1

      Eh, after thinking about that for a minute, it's clear that I confused the reactors' electrical output ratings with their heat production. That's why I'm some unremarkable company's IT department instead of an engineer. Still, though the numbers I used are wrong, the point remains that heat output would have dropped by nearly an order of magnitude within the first several hours after shutdown. That the reactors received proper cooling during this initial and massively-sloped part of the drop-off curve likely made the difference between region-changing catastrophe and the "mere" serious incident we're talking about now.

    27. Re:Misleading summary by shilly · · Score: 1

      But that's because the news media are interested in, well, news. It is not particularly newsworthy to report the inevitable cleanup / rebuilding that happens after a quake / tsunami. It is still newsworthy, and here in the UK, it's getting plenty of coverage. However, the essence of the story is: quake kills people and causes damage, then cleanup begins. By comparison, the nuclear story is: quake / tsunami damage reactors. Authorities struggle to get it under control. Situation remains not fully under control many days later. That's news.

      It may not be the way the world ought to work, but it is how it does work.

    28. Re:Misleading summary by glodime · · Score: 1

      Dr. David Gorski, a surgical oncologist, warns against making a conclusion that radiation hormesis is a real effect phenomenon. There just isn't enough data to call it one way or another. The conservative approach is to assume radiation hormesis does not exist until enough evidence demonstrates otherwise.

    29. Re:Misleading summary by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      Quotes are from Lawrence Solomon: Japan’s radioactive fallout could have silver lining.

      Sometimes reality is surprising.

      If only we were talking about radiation instead radionuclide(s) your post may of actually been relevant.

      First of all, quite a bit of the discussion has been about radiation dosage as opposed to "radionuclides". BTW, plenty of normal background radiation comes from "radionuclides", I hope you're enjoying them. :-)

      Second, very few Japanese will be ingesting the iodine and cesium they're being warned about. As long as it's not ingested, it in fact amounts to nothing more than a slight additional radiation dose.

      Third, you're making a huge leap in assuming that Japanese nuclear bomb survivors didn't come in contact with the same materials being emitted by the Japanese nuclear event. After all, the exact same reaction was the driving force in each case, with the same fission byproducts.

      I hope this cleared things up for you a bit, "AC".

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    30. Re:Misleading summary by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      I should actually clarify this a bit - the Hiroshima bomb was U-235, the Nagasaki weapon was Pu-239. The fission products are quite similar between the two, though.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    31. Re:Misleading summary by sznupi · · Score: 1

      And yet, sadly, no Fallout-like mutants... ;/ (or even in places like river Ob and lake Karachay, lake Chagan, or another "atomic lake" which appears to be "a popular fishing place for the residents of the other nearby villages, while its shores are known for the abundance of edible mushrooms")

      But watch out, too many of those pesky Iranians might be somewhat more resistant to the weapon! ;) And I wonder what the analysis after the decades, of me & my peers, will show - in the general (western PL) downwind direction of Chernobyl, (too late) Soviet announcement on the day of my third birthday, stuffed after that with Lugol's solution.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    32. Re:Misleading summary by subreality · · Score: 1

      They're a lower thermal load than the recently shut down reactors, and since they're outside of containment, it's an easier job to monitor and fill them. I had a low confidence that this was being done adequately until they started taking IR temperature measurements which have been showing the pools are considerably below boiling. As long as they can keep enough water in them, they should be fine.

    33. Re:Misleading summary by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      Dr. David Gorski, a surgical oncologist, warns against making a conclusion that radiation hormesis is a real effect phenomenon. There just isn't enough data to call it one way or another. The conservative approach is to assume radiation hormesis does not exist until enough evidence demonstrates otherwise.

      That's fine, as the motivation there is to prevent people from intentionally irradiating themselves in the belief that radiation is good for you.

      On the other hand, the Japanese bomb data clearly shows beyond a statistical doubt that much larger radiation doses than most would have believed are harmless or slightly beneficial over the long term. That is unexpected, and reassuring in the nuclear age.

      It might also have good implications for manned space travel.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    34. Re:Misleading summary by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      This is one of those times where "correlation is not causation" is mandated.

      Could it be because these people, knowing that they were at risk, went to the doctor more often for the rest of their lives? Would it be too far fetched to think that these people may have had a healthier lifestyle from then on, along with above-average doctor supervision? I'm willing to bet you might live longer that your peers if your health is of greater concern to doctors than your peers' health.

      In effect, the mere fact of scaring a group by telling them they have radiation poisoning could make them live longer...

      Not really, since the effects of radiation were thought to be incurable, with many of the resulting cancers being untreatable. Given the significant doses many of these folks received, the expectation was clearly for markedly reduced lifespans.

      No, no matter how you try and spin it this result clearly shows that rather high doses of radiation are not the death sentence they were once thought to be.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    35. Re:Misleading summary by subreality · · Score: 1

      Ummm no, what this shows is that they used sea water to cool the reactors instead of de-mineralised water.

      How do you form large quantities of I-131 and Cs-137 by cooling a shut down reactor with seawater? The heaviest nuclei you get in appreciable amounts (> .001%) in seawater are Br-81 and Sr-88.

      As to the corium issue, there has been no indication what so ever that the core temp has risen above 1000C (and hence no corium).

      The first indication is the I-131 and Cs-137. These are formed by the fission of uranium. Normally they're contained within the zircalloy fuel cladding. The cladding starts to fail about 850C. Some of it bursts releasing the above radionuclides. Around 1250C it rapidly oxidizes, generating hydrogen. Remember those hydrogen explosions? That's your second indication.

    36. Re:Misleading summary by Lord_Jeremy · · Score: 1

      It may not be the way the world ought to work, but it is how it does work.

      And I reserve the right to be upset by that fact.

    37. Re:Misleading summary by JasterBobaMereel · · Score: 1

      ..and the US reactors where are they, on the pacific coast?, very near an earthquake fault? I suspect not

      Japan had no option, the whole country is an earthquake zone and it is almost all coast

      The US has a lot of inland, and a lot of land well away from major faults ... ..unfortunately as you say it also has no will to update reactors and the reactors were probalby built in stupid places ...San Onofre seems to be a good example (on the Pacific coast, in California)

      --
      Puteulanus fenestra mortis
  5. But it seems like it has been contained now by antifoidulus · · Score: 4, Funny

    Like all other moments in life, there is a Simpsons quote that sums it up:

    "turning a possible Chernobyl into a mere Three Mile Island"

    1. Re:But it seems like it has been contained now by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      Like all other moments in life, there is a Simpsons quote that sums it up:

      Sorry, but you also have to provide an xkcd and a reference from LoTR or Dr. Who.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    2. Re:But it seems like it has been contained now by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      The solution to this problem has something to do with Homer Simpson's ass.

    3. Re:But it seems like it has been contained now by Legion303 · · Score: 1

      And a shout-out to Yakov Smirnov, and either (author's choice) a "will it run linux" or a "imagine a Beowulf cluster."

    4. Re:But it seems like it has been contained now by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      He already will.

    5. Re:But it seems like it has been contained now by TheSpoom · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, I just don't understand if it's not in the form of a car analogy.

      --
      It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
      - E. Debs
  6. Total Meltdown by hellop2 · · Score: 1

    So does this mean the reactor has officially "melted down"?

    FTA: "Chernobyl a huge fire released large amounts of many radioactive materials, including fuel particles, in smoke. At Fukushima Daiichi, only the volatile elements, such as iodine and caesium, are bubbling off the damaged fuel." So, it's not on fire but... well what does this mean?

    --
    How many more years will slashdot have an off-by-one error on your Score in your profile?
    1. Re:Total Meltdown by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      Radioactive materials from Chernobyl were carried by carbon smoke that was slowly combusting as it rose high into the atmosphere, heating the air around it. This is more like radioactive vapor bubbling off of damaged fuel rods that will quickly cool and plate anything nearby.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    2. Re:Total Meltdown by jamesh · · Score: 1

      and more importantly, what is a China Syndrome called when it happens in Japan???

    3. Re:Total Meltdown by donscarletti · · Score: 2

      I believe the term is "partial meltdown", where the fuel rods get hot and unstable, but do not go goey like cheese under the grill. From the little I remember from university metallurgy is that essentially these rods are alloys, primarily U-238 but with other stuff entering the mix when the uranium undergoes fission, alloys are known change phase under heat and certain metals bubble out or condense depending on their chemical properties.

      Total meltdown is where the rods turn into liquid and drip down into a super-critical pool at the bottom of the reactor. If that happened, you'd know about it, "Fortunate Island" would become more like "Wide Island" than Three Mile Island if you get my reference .

      --
      When Argumentum ad Hominem falls short, try Argumentum ad Matrem
    4. Re:Total Meltdown by ibsteve2u · · Score: 1

      "Hysterical fear-mongering", apparently.

      --
      Orwell: "In a Time of Universal Deceit, telling the Truth is a Revolutionary Act"
    5. Re:Total Meltdown by sjames · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So does this mean the reactor has officially "melted down"?

      No, but the press has.

      This is only referring to the cesium and iodine. I find even those figures suspect considering that Chernobyl literally ejected it's core directly into the air. Especially given the rather unalarming radiation measurements all around the area.

    6. Re:Total Meltdown by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Something did melt because TEPCO measured neutron radiation which indicates a small amount of fission.
      What and how much is anybody's guess.

    7. Re:Total Meltdown by hellop2 · · Score: 1

      I just saw on Wednesday's Colbert Report that black smoke was seen coming out of reactor 3 and white smoke was seen coming out of reactor 2.

      --
      How many more years will slashdot have an off-by-one error on your Score in your profile?
    8. Re:Total Meltdown by geoskd · · Score: 1

      and more importantly, what is a China Syndrome called when it happens in Japan???

      A Toledo syndrome...

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    9. Re:Total Meltdown by geoskd · · Score: 1

      Total meltdown is where the rods turn into liquid and drip down into a super-critical pool at the bottom of the reactor. If that happened, you'd know about it, "Fortunate Island" would become more like "Wide Island" than Three Mile Island if you get my reference .

      In order for anything to go super-critical, it would first have to be enriched beyond the 20% (40%?) mark. That requires a refinement of the fuel well beyond what is done for power plants. Sorry to disappoint you, but a hydrogen and / or steam explosion is the most your going to get from a nuclear power plant, and even that is relatively unlikely to happen again at this facility. The most you could still get out of Fukashima now would be a Uranium fire and full aught meltdown, but even that is fairly unlikely now.

      -=Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    10. Re:Total Meltdown by beowulfcluster · · Score: 1

      According to this: http://mitnse.com/2011/03/18/what-is-criticality/, any reactor is supercritical when it's starting up.

    11. Re:Total Meltdown by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      There is zero risk of supercriticality.

      Look, I'm sure the risk is small; it may even be "infinitesimal" but it isn't zero. Consider for example a situation where the containment vessel is cracked (as has already happened) and that crack leads to the uranium going down into one particular area of the vessel. Consider also the situation where the bottom of the vessel has been filled in with other material (dried up salt from sea water?) forcing a change in configuration.

      There are reasons to believe that a stable critical mass will not be reached; it's incredibly difficult to do and the uranium will tend to blow it's self apart immediately that happens meaning that no real nuclear explosion will happen. However, a little more humility and a whole bunch more circumspection would really help you maintain credibility for when you want to persuade people that the modern "safe" nuclear plants really are safe.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    12. Re:Total Meltdown by Glock27 · · Score: 1

      "Hysterical fear-mongering", apparently.

      Actually that's just about right...since nothing resembling the movie's China Syndrome could in fact happen in the real world.

      Additionally, I'm here to tell you that you live on a planet that had several hundred nuclear weapons detonated on its surface...amazing eh? Some of them were very large, to boot. Yet somehow the human race went on, with hardly a hiccup.

      --
      Galileo: "The Earth revolves around the Sun!"
      Score: -1 100% Flamebait
    13. Re:Total Meltdown by x0 · · Score: 1

      by beowulfcluster

      According to this: http://mitnse.com/2011/03/18/what-is-criticality/ [mitnse.com], any reactor is supercritical when it's starting up.

      OP was likely thinking prompt critical...

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prompt_critical#Critical_versus_prompt-critical

      m

      --
      In the immortal words of Socrates, who said; 'I drank what?'
    14. Re:Total Meltdown by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 2

      To induce a supercritical chain reaction, you actually have to make a solid metal ball smaller. You know, it's a foot in diameter you make it 11.9975 inches in diameter. It takes 4500 pounds of C4 high explosive in an implosion shaped charge to do this to a softball-sized chunk of uranium. The risk of this happening spontaneously without the use of carefully placed high explosives around a carefully shaped (and relatively cool--these are hot) uranium core is similar to the risk of Schrodinger's Cat spontaneously detonating when Schrodinger reaches toward him intending to put him in the box.

    15. Re:Total Meltdown by donscarletti · · Score: 1

      Well, I was the first person to mention the word "supercritical" and by supercritical I mean just that, large enough to sustain a nuclear chain reaction, something that nuclear fuel must be capable of, otherwise where is all of that heat coming from?

      Anyway, supercriticality in a molten pool is not exactly going to give close to the same yields as a precisely engineered weapons grade Pu-238 sphere being compressed by TNT charges, we are not talking quite about "Now, I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds." but in my understanding, it tends to lead to very bad things happening due to the amount of heat and neutrons generated in an uncontrolled environment and due to the difficulty of stopping this reaction at this point.

      I have no idea why everyone is jumping down my throat for the use of the world "supercritical", like this is some doomsday scenario that I concocted out of my own little head. The reason everyone doesn't want a meltdown is because there is no guarantee where the flow will go, in Chernobyl the fuel became subcritical after leaving the reactor, but in theory, it can leak into any configuration and continue to react in where it settles. Otherwise everyone would just forget about the whole water injection thing and let the blob cool naturally once the least stable isotopes have decayed away.

      --
      When Argumentum ad Hominem falls short, try Argumentum ad Matrem
    16. Re:Total Meltdown by AmonRa1979 · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure the risk of nuclear explosion is zero. There just isn't enough uranium in the fuel for it to go supercritical in that way, especially without a moderator. If somehow all the fuel were to pile into a nice neat sphere in the bottom of the reactor, yes there would be some neutron-induced fission, but nothing near the power output of the reactor while it's in its normal configuration. The moderator in this case is water, which would not be present between uranium atoms if all the fuel somehow came together. Now, if we're going to talk about a Maxwellian Demon that is going to bring all the U-235 together (only about 5% of the mass in the fuel) then we may have a problem, but imagine what else we could use that demon for.

    17. Re:Total Meltdown by rjstanford · · Score: 2

      There is zero risk of supercriticality.

      Look, I'm sure the risk is small; it may even be "infinitesimal" but it isn't zero. Consider for example a situation where the containment vessel is cracked (as has already happened) and that crack leads to the uranium going down into one particular area of the vessel. Consider also the situation where the bottom of the vessel has been filled in with other material (dried up salt from sea water?) forcing a change in configuration.

      There are reasons to believe that a stable critical mass will not be reached; it's incredibly difficult to do and the uranium will tend to blow it's self apart immediately that happens meaning that no real nuclear explosion will happen. However, a little more humility and a whole bunch more circumspection would really help you maintain credibility for when you want to persuade people that the modern "safe" nuclear plants really are safe.

      That's the trouble. Nuclear plants are held to a massively high standard of "safe" already.

      Did you know, for example, that Coal kills 4,000 (not a typo) more people per wattHour than Nuclear does? But its a slow, boring kind of killed, like the 40,000+ who die every year in automobile accidents in the US alone, not the fun exciting kind of killed that you get every couple of years when an airliner crashes and kills 200 folk halfway around the globe, making national news.

      To have a meaningful discussion you need to compare nuclear safety to other power-generation mechanisms (more people fall off roofs installing solar panels and die every year than have been killed by nuclear power generation disasters). And then scale them to account for the power generated. Once you do so, you realize just how unsafe many of the alternatives actually are.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
    18. Re:Total Meltdown by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Do you mean the bottom of the reactor is shaped more like a "waffle-iron" than a bowl or an "ice-cream-cone"?
      That's clever design, actually.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    19. Re:Total Meltdown by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      No you don't. One of the original nuclear bombs worked by putting two non critical bits of metal together. When they are separated they are non critical since the neutrons are lost to the environment. When you bring them together they go critical since the neutron exchanage from one to the other is enough to allow the chain reaction to continue.

      I'm sorry to pick on your post which seems to be merely factually incorrect and not malicious, but it's exactly comments like this where someone assures me 100% that things are safe whilst making basic errors in nuclear physics which worry me most of all about the nuclear industry. The perfect example is the person above who claimed that radioactive cesium decays away in hours.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    20. Re:Total Meltdown by sjames · · Score: 1

      Pope Duke I?

    21. Re:Total Meltdown by sjames · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, if it does go supercritical, it will only be for an instant!

      Seriously though, the mass would disassemble itself through a sudden rise in heat rather than acting like a high yield bomb.

    22. Re:Total Meltdown by sjames · · Score: 1

      That still wouldn't explain the rather low radiation readings.

      That doesn't mean they have no problem at all (that's a lot of spent fuel to keep hanging around).

    23. Re:Total Meltdown by sjames · · Score: 1

      The iodine has a half-life of 8 days, so it isn't a long term concern at all. The cesium is the bad part.

    24. Re:Total Meltdown by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      You mean the gun design where a large explosive charge fired a fissile projectile (hollow tube) onto a fissile cylinder (spike) at high speed to produce critical mass on coupling? That design was abandoned so long ago... only 1% of the fissile material actually explodes, the rest scatters. Even an implosion bomb only produces a 20% yield; how much blast do you expect to get out of a pool of liquid uranium? Maybe certain parts will get hot and bubble a little?

      The idea that the whole thing will suddenly light up with the double-flash of black magic and then turn into the white light pillar of cleansing fire as a million-megaton mixed metal oxide slag bomb detonates and blows a quarter of the earth's mass off (and shatters the rest into an asteroid field) is so ridiculously laughable I don't even know how to address it. An M80 sized explosion would be a massive nuclear event.

    25. Re:Total Meltdown by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      Oh you're not being imaginative enough in your worst-case scenarios.

      The material could just happen to melt into a very precise spherical configuration.

      Or an enemy of Japan could use this opportunity to really mess up Tokyo with a light artillery attack on what's left of reactor #3 (I was actually surprised this didn't happen.)

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    26. Re:Total Meltdown by sjames · · Score: 1

      It can't even do that. Before it formed a sphere, it would have to first form "more or less sphere like" and then the sudden heat would blow it apart again.

      The worst case would be for it to sit in a bowl shaped cavity so that it steadily oscillates releasing pulses of radiation.

    27. Re:Total Meltdown by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      That's the trouble. Nuclear plants are held to a massively high standard of "safe" already.

      Did you know, for example, that Coal kills 4,000 (not a typo) more people per wattHour than Nuclear does? But its a slow, boring kind of killed, like the 40,000+ who die every year in automobile accidents in the US alone, not the fun exciting kind of killed that you get every couple of years when an airliner crashes and kills 200 folk halfway around the globe, making national news.

      To have a meaningful discussion you need to compare nuclear safety to other power-generation mechanisms (more people fall off roofs installing solar panels and die every year than have been killed by nuclear power generation disasters). And then scale them to account for the power generated. Once you do so, you realize just how unsafe many of the alternatives actually are.

      The interesting thing is to follow up your numbers (you don't give a citation and nor does this seth guy). Looking at them, we see that he includes a low figure for Chernobyl deaths (4000) and even then discounts those saying "cause and effect becomes more tenuous" whilst completely failing to take into account other studies. Now, as this article points out it's incredibly hard to work out which numbers are correct, but even the WHO which put out the 4000 death number has since published a correction which says that there have been more than 9000 deaths. Numbers of deaths go up to a million in other studies of varied credibility.

      My fundamental conclusion has to be that we have yet another nuclear safety "expert" who's telling us that it's safe, but turns out to have no clue what he's talking about. Numbers of deaths go up to a million, and studies like that seem to be deeply dubious too, but I'm really not going to accept these numbers without a big bit more clarity. The worst thing about this is the open admission by the IAEA that "the total of 4,000 deaths was highlighted to counter much higher figures" - in other words they set out to manipulate perception.

      Going on from there; I agree with your point about visible public death being more worrying than hidden death. If the death rate in planes was anything like the rate in cars they would be banned. However, there's another bias factor in here. The small nuclear incidents are not really so worrying. What is worrying is outlier major events. We seem to have come close to a reactor melt down; the reactor containment failed but still we have been lucky. If cooling had failed for longer what might have happened? I see lots of assurances that nothing. These come from the same people who tell us that exposure to beta decay and gamma rays is the same as exposure to UV light (see recent articles in the Register)

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    28. Re:Total Meltdown by rjstanford · · Score: 1

      FWIW, the word "stats" at the top of "This Seth Guy's" comment was a link to this page: http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html which has all of the supporting documentation used, &c.

      The main issue is that you can't look at numbers in a vacuum. Any talk of "safety" that's not comparing any power generation method to other methods is misleading at best.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
  7. Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by FriendlyLurker · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Speaking of Chernobyl, below is and interview with a former director of the Soviet Spetsatom agency handling the Chernobyl case. He has plenty of published papers out there and apparently now teaches and advises on nuclear safety in Vienna. In the interview he gives four scenarios for the Japanese reactors... I wonder what the verdict is not a week later.

    Full translated interview:

    17/03/2011 Rafael Poch, Berlin Correspondent

    Andreyev: "In the nuclear industry there are no independent bodies" "The most dangerous reactor in Fukushima is 3, because it uses a fuel of uranium and plutonium," said Yuli

    He spent five years at Chernobyl. Spetsatom was deputy director of the anti-Soviet body nuclear accidents and knows very well how the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) works.

    Yuri Andreyev (1938) is one of the most knowledgeable in this area. To Fukushima includes four scenarios of varying severity, from mild to very severe.

    "In Fukushima, the most dangerous reactor is three, because it uses MOX fuel more plutonium uranium that France is being used experimentally in two Japanese plants," says this expert.

    In 1991 everything fell apart in Moscow. The salary of deputy minister of atomic energy, the position he was offered Andreyev, not enough for anything. The Academy of Sciences of Austria was invited to lecture and eventually settled in Vienna as adviser to the minister of environment, universities and the IAEA itself.

    Chernoby is still surrounded by lies, says. The accident was not the responsibility of plant operators, as stated, but a clear design flaw in the RBMK reactors result of cost savings. Proper design of those Soviet reactors required a large amount of zirconium, a rare metal, and a maze of pipes, special techniques for welding of zirconium, stainless steel and huge amounts of concrete. It was a fortune, so they decided to save money, said Andreyev.

    One of the resources of savings was to feed the reactor with relatively low enriched uranium, since uranium enrichment is a complicated and expensive. This increased the risks and was contrary to the rules of safety, but supervision in the USSR nuclear part of the Ministry of Atomic Energy. Something similar is happening today with the IAEA, as the UN agency "depends on the nuclear industry," said Andreyev, under which lies and secrets of Chernobyl are now fully present in Fukushima.

    Security, money, irresponsibility

    "Those who design nuclear power plants are pending on two things: safety and cost. The problem is that security costs money. If you spend too much on nuclear power plant it is not competitive. The accident at Three Mile Island is the perfect example. After the accident was to improve security in a convincing way to avoid repetition of the accident both plants more expensive, they lost all meaning. For thirty years in America was not built a single reactor. Chernobyl was all very complicated but also had to do with economics. Academician Rumyantsev showed that we had to close all RBMK reactors. Simply ignored. There are always people interested in hiding something ... "

    What are they hiding?

    They lend themselves to compromise on security in exchange for selfish considerations. In the USSR for the cost of uranium enrichment in Japan simply for money. The location of central Japan, near the sea is the cheapest. Emergency generators are not buried and, of course, were flooded instantly .... Behind all this there is corruption. I have no proof, but will not take long to appear. How can I design a nuclear power plant in an area of ââhigh seismic risk, near the ocean, with emergency generators at the surface?. Wave arrived and everything was out of service. There is no error, this is a crime.

    What problems do you see wi

    1. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by adolf · · Score: 1

      I find your Babelfish to be unintelligible: Apparently, they're translating from Russian to Spanish to English.

      Much is lost.

      Would a native Spanish speaker care to contribute a better translation of the linked and translated article, or (much better) a native Russian speaker care to find the interview in its original dialect and convert it (even in brief) to English in one step?

      Please?

    2. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Four scenarios? All I see in this text is a depressed man rambling about how the world is a shitty place filled with corruption and greed.

    3. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by FriendlyLurker · · Score: 1

      Spain is very worried (politically, that is) since they have one (or two not sure) of the exact same type of reactors - and they are already past their expiry date and due to be decommissioned. Before this disaster struck the politicians were wrangling to get the life of the reactors extended so they did not have to decommission and construct modern, safer ones. This disaster has put the political spotlight on what would otherwise have been a little reported event in the Spanish media (old reactors patched up and kept limping on for another few years).

      Yes sorry about the google translation it is a bit rough - I fixed it here and there but it needs some work. Note however that the original interview was done by a Spanish reporter and written up/published first in Spanish - there is no original in Russian or English as you speculated - but if you find a better translation please link it, thanks. The guy has been interviewed by Reuters but they left out the meat of what he is saying: That the IAEA is not in any way impartial, and as a result the whole industry is both judge and jury onto themselves. Also that costly safety has been neglected in order to be "competitive" - he claims that the negligence is criminal (since the industry judges onto itself), so all we get is an information vacuum, lies and misdirection. From his credentials, If anyone would know what is really going down politically around this tragedy - he would

    4. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by batistuta · · Score: 3, Informative

      Here. I've tried to do a better translation from the Spanish article, which is actually quite well-written

      Andreyev: "In the nuclear industry there are no independent organisms"

      "The most dangerous reactor in Fukushima is 3, because it uses a fuel that combines uranium and plutonium," he states.

      He spent five years at Chernobyl. He was vice-director of Spetsatom, the Soviet body for the fight against nuclear accidents, and he knows deep internals of how the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) works.

      Yuri Andreyev (1938) is one of the most knowledgeable scientists in this area. For the case of Fukushima, he considers four potential scenarios of varying degrees of severity, from mild to very severe.

      "In Fukushima, the most dangerous reactor is number three. This reactor uses MOX, a type of nuclear fuel that combines plutonium and uranium. France is currently using this type of fuel experimentally in two Japanese plants," says this expert.

      In 1991 everything fell apart in Moscow. With the salary of a vice-minister of atomic energy --the position that was offered to Andreyev--, it was not enough to afford anything. Andreyev was invited by the Academy of Sciences of Austria to hold some conferences, and he eventually ended up settling in Vienna as an adviser of the minister of environment, at universities, and in the IAEA itself.

      Chernoby is still surrounded by lies, he explains. The accident was not the responsibility of plant operators, as originally stated, but rather a clear design flaw in the RBMK reactors that resulted from cost savings. A proper design of those Soviet reactors would have required a large amount of zirconium --a rare metal--, as well as a maze of pipes, special techniques for welding zirconium, stainless steel, and huge amounts of concrete. It would have been a fortune, so they decided to reduce costs, said Andreyev.

      Since uranium enrichment is a complicated and expensive process, one of the ways to achieve cost reduction was by feeding the reactor with relatively low-enriched uranium. All this effectively increased the risks, and it was against safety rules. However, the supervision of nuclear activities in the USSR was belonged to the Ministry of Atomic Energy. Something similar is happening today with the IAEA, as the UN agency "depends on the nuclear industry," said Andreyev. Under his view, the lies and secrets of Chernobyl are now fully present in Fukushima.

      Security, money, irresponsibility

      "Those who design nuclear power plants depend on two things: safety and cost. The problem is that security costs money. If you spend too much on security, the power plant it is not competitive. The accident at Three Mile Island is the perfect example. After the accident, it was clear that in order to convincingly prove that these type of accidents would not occur again would have required an improvement of security that would dramatically increase the cost of power plants, effectively rendering them useless. Not a single reactor was built in America for (the following) thirty years. Everything was very complicated in Chernobyl, but it also had to do with economy. Academician Rumyantsev showed that all RBMK reactors should have been shut down, but he was simply ignored. There are always people interested in hiding something ... "

      What are they hiding?

      They compromise on security in exchange for selfish interests. In the USSR, because of the cost of uranium enrichment, and in Japan simply for money. The location of central Japan, near the sea is the cheapest. Emergency generators were not buried and, of course, were flooded instantly .... Behind all this there is corruption. I have no proof, but they will not take long to show up. How can I design a nuclear power plant in an area of high seismic risk, near the ocean, with emergency generators at the surface?. The wave arrived and everything went out of service. This is not an error, but rather a crime.

      What problems do you see with the poo

    5. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

      A quick google search and/or a read of the Wikipedia article on the Chernobyl disaster would have shown just how full of shit this guy is. Yes, there were significant and devastating design flaws in the reactor. But also, every single person at the plant failed in just about every way possible. When the accident happened they had all but 3 of the control rods removed from the reactor. Every safety device on the reactor had been turned off and the people operating the reactor were not nuclear engineers. He's basically arguing that Chernobyl should have been designed in such a way that the morons operating it couldn't have been able to do the amazingly stupid things they did that lead to the disaster. He's probably right, but at the same time, those people should never have been allowed near a nuclear power plant.

    6. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by gomiam · · Score: 1
      Here it is, translated from the original interview: Andreyev: "There are no independent entities in nuclear industry"

      "The most dangerous reactor in Fukushima is number 3, for it uses uranium/plutonium fuel", he asserts

      He spent five years at Chernobyl. He was vicedirector of Spetsatom, the sovietic nuclear accident fighting agency and he knows the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in depth.

      Yuli Andreyev (1938) is one of the most knowledgeable persons on this subject. He considers for varying danger scenarios for Fukushima, from mild to very severe.

      "The third reactor at Fukushima is the most dangerous because it uses MOX, a uranium plus plutonium fuel that France is experimenting on two japanese centers", dis expe plutonio que Francia està usando experimentalmente en dos centrales japonesas", dice este experto.

      In 1991, everything was crumbling down at Moscow. The salary of viceminister of atomic energy, the post Andreyev was offered, wasn't enough to make ends meet. He was invited by the Austrian Academy of Sciences to join some conferences and he ended settling down at Vienna as advisor to the environment minister, universities and the IAEA itself.

      Chernobyl remains shrouded in lies, he says. The accident was not the fault of the reactor's operators, as it was stated, but a clear design defect of the RMBK reactors resulting from cost cutting. The correct design required a great amount of zirconium, a rare metal, and a whole maze of pipes, special zirconium welding techniques, stainless steel and enormous amounts of concrete. It was really expensive, so they tried to economize, Andreyev explains.

      One of the ways of saving was feeding the reactors with relatively low enrichment uranium, as enriching uranium is a complex expensive process. All this brought the risks up and went agains the security rules, but nuclear oversight in the USSR belonged to the Atomic Energy Ministry. It is somewhat the same now with IAEA, as the ONU agency "depends on nuclear industry", Andreyev says, according to whom lies and secrets at Chernobyl are completely current at Fukushima.

      Safety, money, irresponsability

      "Those who design nuclear reactors care about two things: safety and cost. The problem is safety costs money. If you spend too much in it, the reactor isn't competitive. Three Mile Island's accident is the perfect example. After the accident, it was found that enhancing safety to avoid repeating it made the reactors so expensive they made no sense at all. For 30 years no reactors were built at the USA. Everything was very complicated but it also had to do with economy. The academicist Rumiantsev showed that all RMBK reactors had to be shut down. He was just ignored. There's always people interested in hiding something..."

      What do they hide?

      That they are amenable to give up on safety in exchange for selfish considerations. At the USSR, for prestige reasons and the cost of enriching uranium, at Japan for pure and simple money. Locating Japan's reactors by the sea is much cheaper. The emergency generator weren't buried and, of course, were quickly flooded... Behind all this there's corruption. I have no proof, but they will soon show up. How can a nuclear reactor be designed at a high sismic risk area, by the sea, with emergency generators on the surface? The wave came and everything was out of order. That's not an error, that's a felony.

      What problems do you see at the spent fuel pools?

      Designers tried to save on them. They overfilled them, which drives the possibility of accidents up.

      Is that the main problem?

      No, there are many more. When a driver has an accident he is the only responsible one for drinking too much. There is nothing that depends on just one reason at the nuclear industry. Overloading the pools is a part. Anot

    7. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by FriendlyLurker · · Score: 1

      By your own admission you agreed with his main point: "Yes, there were significant and devastating design flaws in the reactor.". Everything else you hold up as some kind of contrarian evidence can easily be files under his second main point: "Cost Savings Vs Safety". Forgive me if I take your qualified conclusion ("full of shit this guy is") with a large grain of salt, given that the guy is a highly respected nuclear safety expert with many published papers under his belt.

    8. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by amazeofdeath · · Score: 1

      Chernobyl was caused partly by operator error. The expert here has clearly an agenda of his own, if he denies that the testing that caused the accident was made outside the original test specs, ie. the power levels when the test was started were way too low, and the operators responding to the unstable conditions caused by the initial power levels were incorrect and ultimately caused the secondary explosion, which was the main cause for the release of the radioactive materials.

      The conjecture about overfilled cooling pools is also totally unconfirmed by any other source, as is the claim that the pools drained after the quake. As far as the official story goes, the pools started draining as there was no active cooling (pumps died, like in the reactors) so the stagnating water evaporated by the heat produced by the spent rods, which makes sense as pools drained by the quake would have caused problems immediately, not after a few days.

      --
      U+F8FF
    9. Re:Interview with Chernobyl cleanup director by FriendlyLurker · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you missed this information: "former director of the Soviet Spetsatom agency handling the Chernobyl case". That is, he was the director in charge of the Chernobyl cleanup at the time - the information is coming right from the horses mouth, and not some "don't worry feel-good" press release. In light of the other information he gives, the fact that this information "is also totally unconfirmed by [authorities trying to cover their mistakes]" does not hold much weight.

  8. Relevant arXiv paper by Entropius · · Score: 2

    For those who don't know, the University of Washington has one of the best nuclear physics programs in the US.

    Turns out they do detect trace amounts of iodine-131 in the air, but nowhere near Chernobyl levels.

    http://arxiv.org/abs/1103.4853v1

  9. Re:Banana? by an+unsound+mind · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And the "something" that just doesn't work is Slashdot fact-checking.

  10. Bottled water and meltdown by no+known+priors · · Score: 5, Informative

    Reporting live from Tokyo (well, just on the outskirts, but def. part of the greater Tokyo area):
    People here have bought up massive amounts of bottled water, though apparently the level of radioactive iodine has fallen below the maximum legal limit for infants (which is one third for that of adults). Milk is also in short supply. Two days ago, two supermarkets near me had no milk, or plain bottled water. (Haven't looked since then.)

    On the subject of meltdowns, there is no "official" meaning to the term. But, I would say that at least a couple of the reactors have "melted down" (I haven't really been paying attention to the news, so I don't know if any of the others have or not). Anyway, fun facts, the "precautionary" safe limit of 80 KM set by the US government (and then the Australian government), for folks, was apparently worth setting. At least one village outside the 30 KM radius has had really high levels of radioactive iodine get into the water.

    Me, I'm staying in Tokyo until things get really bad. But, I imagine, at least a couple of million of the other residents would also want to leave at that time too. So...

    --
    Appended to the end of comments you post. The maximum is 120 characters.
    1. Re:Bottled water and meltdown by bakarocket · · Score: 1

      You have a very nice blog, but perhaps it would have been better to go directly to the source?

      http://eq.wide.ad.jp/index_en.html
      http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/nu/monitoring/index-e.html

    2. Re:Bottled water and meltdown by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

      I left Tsukuba for Germany last week and while getting out of Tokyo wasn't too tough(getting to Tokyo is another story), getting out of Japan was quite tricky. All international flights were pretty much booked solid, I eventually rode the Shinkansen down to Fukuoka, took a boat to Busan and then flew out of Seoul. My guess is that if(and it's a big if) the radiation levels worsen significantly it will probably be too late to get out of the country..... but then again, I'm planning to come back in early April, assuming everything will be back to normal by then.

  11. Chernobyl: wild animals and rapid evolution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Excellent article on Chernobyl Exclusion Zone: http://outsideonline.com/adventure/travel-pf-201103-chernobyl-wildlife-refuge-sidwcmdev_154483.html

    Apparently the Chernobyl area is now full of very happy wlld animals, now the humans have left, and the animals have so many birth defects, you could almost say evolution has been sped up.

    ""In other words, new animals could actually be in the making here. The area has become a laboratory of microevolution—"very rapid evolution," says Igor—but no one knows what will emerge or when.""

    1. Re:Chernobyl: wild animals and rapid evolution by AliasMarlowe · · Score: 1

      Only a mad man would compare evolution with radioactive mutation.

      So, should we call it "intelligent design" then?

      --
      Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. - Voltaire
    2. Re:Chernobyl: wild animals and rapid evolution by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Evolution requires mutation. Whether the cause is radiation, or "natural" (which could be radiation anyway, just lower levels) is irrelevant to whether the mutation is related to evolution.

    3. Re:Chernobyl: wild animals and rapid evolution by mcvos · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Could you describe the difference between evolution caused by increased radiation and evolution caused by what ever else? Evolution is just changes and nothing more. Stuff happens and sometimes it turns out to be something that changes things.

      No, evolution is not just changes. Evolution is the effect of long term adaptation of a population to the environment through the combined effects of mutation, natural selection and reproduction. Mere mutation alone doesn't give you evolution.

      The speed of evolution is not directly proportional to the mutation rate. If the mutation rate is too high, beneficial mutations are quickly swamped in harmful mutations, and unable to contribute to an increased chance of reproduction. What does speed up evolution is a change in environment. I bet Chernobyl will result in organisms in the area being more resistant to radiation and radioactive pollution.

    4. Re:Chernobyl: wild animals and rapid evolution by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      That writer seems very imaginative, which makes it hard to take his "facts" as such. It's a well-written anecdote, however.

  12. lets hope by andregere · · Score: 1

    I hope fukusima not like Chernobyl, and the Japanese government could resolve the issue. and all the people of the world can calm down.

  13. Fukushima by TopSpin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There are immediately several posts expressing scepticism about this story. You people need to set that instinct aside for a moment. I am not an anti-nuke hysteric. Allow me the benefit of the doubt.

    Recent reports from Japan are trending towards large amounts of contamination. Levels of Caesium and Iodine in the sea are very high. Soil samples are turning up large amounts of contamination. Tokyo tap water (200 km away) is contaminated. Vegetables in Hong Kong are accumulating Caesium that exceed limits. I have been monitoring Kyodo and NHK news and the degree of contamination being reported is disturbing.

    Today's events include severe radiation burns on two workers, acknowledgement of containment failure in No.3 (MOX reactor,) an increase of the evacuation radius from 20 to 30 km and an order to greatly increase radiation monitoring at the site. Unexplained bursts of various gases have been forcing worker evacuations throughout the week. Fukushima didn't end when the news cycle cut over to Libya.

    Fukushima has been releasing vapour directly into the atmosphere from reactor pressure vessels in which fuel damage has occurred. There is no precedent for that procedure in the history of nuclear technology, there has been no opportunity to directly measure the contamination of these releases, so there is no credible information on the actual amount of contamination being released from these vessels. There is no credible information on the amount of spent fuel that was lofted by the spent fuel pool fires. There is no accounting of the amount of contamination flowing off the site due to the use of water cannons.

    DO NOT discount reports of contamination. DO NOT dismiss out of hand comparisons of Fukushima with Chernobyl.

    I can't find a way to sugar coat that. Sorry.

    --
    Lurking at the bottom of the gravity well, getting old
    1. Re:Fukushima by Spad · · Score: 4, Insightful

      DO dismiss out of hand comparisons of Fukushima with Chernobyl. Because they're completely different events, at differently designed nuclear power plants, with a completely different level of response from the local authorities. Even in the absolute worst case scenario, Fukushima will never be anywhere near as bad as Chernobyl was in terms of deaths, long term damage to the environment or cost & duration of cleanup.

    2. Re:Fukushima by NuShrike · · Score: 1

      No, sounds like they're finally feeding water into it which is allowing boil off and so some radiation release. Two very different hings. Do not conflate it with the fact the are fixing things and it's under more cooling control than left alone.

      Levels of cesium and iodine are from direct runoff and in the direction of venting. The levels are still nothing to worry about unless you're in the direct area. Tap water was being fed by the Edo river from the north into Tokyo's water. That's just another red herring vector they fixed. At the tap, it's so diluted, it's not an issue. How are vegetables in HK accumulating unless it's getting shipped from JP?

      The severe burns was because they walked around in the water pools that they didn't know had lots of radiation contaminants in it. A result from all the water dumping, and "washing" of the reactors. Just a silly accident. They are not sure what impact pumping impure water into the reactors is having and probably resulting in some corrosion. Also turning on machinery after the explosions is expected to have lots of smoke as they work out what got damaged.

      Man, it gets tiring to cool your hysteria, even for 3-digit. You can read all the Armageddon you want into anything.

    3. Re:Fukushima by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      I am not an anti-nuke hysteric.

      I'd kind of like to be a pro-nuke non-hysteric, but alas, it seems that our species lacks either the brains or the willpower to use designs that are proof against earthquakes and Soviet-quality engineering, or to plan ahead on what we're going to do with all the spent fuel and other nasty sh*t that you wouldn't want them dumping in you back yard.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    4. Re:Fukushima by orangedan · · Score: 4, Informative

      As for the levels in the water, they appear to have gone done quite quickly . Personally, I trust these guys because they give strict facts and no speculation. I have yet to see any reports of Hong Kong vegetables, but I admit I'm too lazy to google. That said, my (again, admittedly) knee-jerk reaction is to point out all the sketchy stuff in the past with China and other food products and ask if it might not be something else.

      Things are slowly getting better. It wasn't the best two weeks, but life in Japan goes on as normal. That said, I'm down in Kyoto, which is pretty far from it all.

    5. Re:Fukushima by android.dreamer · · Score: 1

      This would make a lot more sense to me if we can see what the levels are now on the XKCD chart. If it is still at chest CT Scan, then things aren't that bad, I guess.

    6. Re:Fukushima by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      DO NOT discount reports of contamination. DO NOT dismiss out of hand comparisons of Fukushima with Chernobyl.

      I can't find a way to sugar coat that. Sorry.

      The scary contamination in Tokyo is between 0.3% and 1.5% of the radioactive exposure you get from smoking one cigarette. Scary, isn't it?

    7. Re:Fukushima by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Anybody else catch the great 'news math' used in the article? I really have no choice but to dismiss an article that cannot demonstrate an understanding of exponents. Readings from California during the Chernobyl event and readings from Japan a week have nothing in common; the equipment used is not the same in any regard, not in the same location, and Chernobyl is further away than Japan with two large masses of land between them so comparing the findings must be just orgasmic for any reporter with no sense of integrity and hell for the rest of us. "Out of hand", by its own definition, is very dismiss able. If this situation is handled without critical thinking, logic, and objectivity then we are all no better off than if the situation were to be completely ignored.

    8. Re:Fukushima by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So are you still reading NHK news? Because the radiation in the water is gone. This is the magic thing about the contamination they are measuring. It's all Iodine and Caesium. These are highly dangerous radioactive materials ... for an incredibly short period of time. If all Chernobyl released was Iodine and Caesium it would be a bustling metropolis right now. Radiation hear now gone the next is not a problem. The people who suffer radiation sickness work at the reactor. That's par for the course inside the building, however outside the fence radiation levels are bouncing around between the levels of background radiation and an international flights worth.

      You're not an anti-nuke hysteric. You're just uninformed on the topic and as such are eating the media bullshit. There is no comparision to be made with Fukushima and Chernobyl. Not even a remote one.

    9. Re:Fukushima by dcollins · · Score: 1

      "At the tap, it's so diluted, it's not an issue."

      AP today: "Tap water in several areas of Japan — including Tokyo — also tested with radiation levels considered unsafe for infants, who are particularly vulnerable to cancer-causing radioactive iodine, officials said."

      http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/as_japan_earthquake

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    10. Re:Fukushima by arogier · · Score: 1

      Also even with it's weird RMBK acronym Chernobyl is still a boiling water reactor like those at Fukushima, maybe of different model and manufacturer but time will tell.

    11. Re:Fukushima by data2 · · Score: 1

      As much as Slashdotters complain about the hysterics in the press, they seem to lean to the other side and drinking a little bit too much of the cool-aid.
      Of course most of the radiation is not significant, comparison to Chernobyl is not really warranted, but if outside of the evacuation zone, one measures >1MBq, something is definitely not going well, and even if it is just iodine, it will still be bad for people ingesting it.

      Still: Look at all the children dying in Africa because of hunger, and people should realize really fast that Japan just does not matter in terms of suffering.

    12. Re:Fukushima by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      actually it handled the earthquake extremely well and shut down.

      it was the massive tsunami right after that that caused problems for the plant.

    13. Re:Fukushima by kikito · · Score: 1

      Yeah. A big meteorite could fall on top of Fukushima.

    14. Re:Fukushima by mcvos · · Score: 1

      The differences in safety mechanisms are enormous, though. Chernobyl had very little in the way of backup safety, and even lacked proper containment if I understand correctly. Fukushima has several layers of containment.

    15. Re:Fukushima by arogier · · Score: 1

      True, but the chain of events leading to both disaster are radically different as well. It will probably take at least a year after Fukushima is entombed before it will be completely quantified. The chain of human mistakes applied to the Fukushima may have done jack shit in the way of causing a radioactive release barring the inclusion of the engineering flaws present at Chernobyl. Given everything Fukushima has been hit with a complete panic shouldn't be entered into yet, but a metric fuck-ton of caution wouldn't be unwarranted moving forward.

    16. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1

      That was the first xkcd chart that I thought was totally dumb. High levels of radiation are bad for you, low levels are not, cool. But the danger in an accident like that isn't radiation, it is the radioactive isotopes that are released. The air might contain a low level of radiation, but if the iodine is absorbed in your body and sits for a long time in your thyroids, those will be exposed to very high levels of radiation. When you undergo a CT scan, you get radiation, and when you go home it is gone. It is not the same as drinking tap water that contains radioactive elements.

    17. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1
      Actually, it handled the fall extremely well. It is hitting the ground that caused problems.

      Who is dumb enough to build a power plant near the sea shore in such a tsunami prone zone?

    18. Re:Fukushima by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Human error? The way I see it they've done everything by the book to try and bring a reactor which was taken out by natural causes back under control. Things such as venting into secondary containment risking an explosion is exactly what they were designed to do.

      Chernobyl was human error. Or better yet human stupidity. Yes let's just attempt a risky experiment that involves shutting down our SCRAM system... and then lets not even shut that down correctly.

    19. Re:Fukushima by juhaz · · Score: 2

      It's all Iodine and Caesium. These are highly dangerous radioactive materials ... for an incredibly short period of time.

      Stop parroting this shit, for crying out loud! It's almost as bad as the media hyperventilating in the opposite direction. I'm as pro-nuke as they come, and this just makes all of us look like ignorant fools.

      Repeat after me: Cs-137 has a half-life of 30 years. Maybe that's an incredibly short period of time in comparison to the natural radioisotopes that decay on geological timescales, but it sure as hell isn't for the people.

    20. Re:Fukushima by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      the same could be said about building towns on a floodplain, cities bellow sea level beside the sea, beach houses in areas prone to storms, schools downhill from coal slag pools etc etc etc.
      People live in places which experience natural disasters.
      there tends to be historical or economic reasons and after a while people live there because that's where they were born.

      there was a town down the coast where they went nuts building a massive, thick 10 meter tall wall over 30 years because the town had suffered in the past from tsunamis.
      That's a wall as high as a 3 story apartment block.
      not trivial.

      vs tsunamis it was one of the best defended towns in the country.
      unfortunatly when the wave hit it was 14 meters+ and the town was wiped out.

      indeed there were plants elsewhere on the coast which were hit as well which survived ok.

    21. Re:Fukushima by makomk · · Score: 1

      Chest CT scans, especially the older ones, have quite a high level of radiation exposure and probably shouldn't be used as often as they are. They do increase your risk of cancer. Sometimes the diagnostic benefits are worth the risk, a lot of the time they really aren't.

    22. Re:Fukushima by makomk · · Score: 1

      The scary contamination in Tokyo is between 0.3% and 1.5% of the radioactive exposure you get from smoking one cigarette. Scary, isn't it?

      It's not the level of immediate radioisotope exposure that's the problem, it's that the radioisotopes released by this accident accumulate in the body and continue to irradiate you. In particular, radioiodine accumulates quite effectively in the thyroid gland and is radioactive enough to cause serious damage to it.

    23. Re:Fukushima by tibit · · Score: 1

      I think that part of the concern is the salt encrustation of the fuel rods. Fuel is hot, and the water locally boils, depositing sea salt -- they did, after all, use sea salt for emergency flooding of the reactors. Try boiling some sea water (or salted tap water) in an electric kettle. The salt crust increases thermal resistance between fuel (heat source) and coolant, increasing fuel temperature. This may increase salt deposition rate in spite of same thermal output of the fuel (the locally boiled water can recondense elsewhere, returning the heat of vaporization back into the system).

      As long as there's any salt in the coolant in the reactors, things can't but get worse, to a point where the cooling channels will get blocked by salt. Same happens when the fuel melts: it will block the coolant channels. Do recall that heat removal, everything else being equal, is proportional to surface area at the interface. Closing off coolant channels literally reduces heat removal area by two orders of magnitude or so. You go from cooling to no cooling, for all practical purposes.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    24. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1

      Except that you have much better control about where (or whether) to build a nuclear powerplant than a town. And to protect from a Tsunami, you don't need high walls, you just need to live on a hill, or for a nuclear powerplant, on a mountain.

    25. Re:Fukushima by vlueboy · · Score: 1

      That's more than just "scary," considering that

      1) I do NOT smoke at all
      2) This "tiny cigarette smoke exposure" is farther-reaching than 1 mere nearby cigarette I can outrun. Tokyo is 200 kilometers away,
      a) that's 6 hours away by bus
      b) and 2 by Shinkansen (bullet train).
      3) You can outwalk smokers more easily than you can up and "skip town", sell your house, take your stuff AND get a new job if things get bad.
      4) It's not "ONE cigarette" that is proven to cripple and kill a smoker. It's constant exposure. See #3.
      5) Nobody ever got evacuated by a government team for smoking a cigarette. Evac teams in a 20 mile radio around ground zero thinks things are a bit worse than mere cigarette levels.

      No cigarette ever comes with exclusion zones. This AC would not even be allowed nearby. Pretty easy not being "scare-mongered" when he's just got constant electric power (not like eastern Japan) to even be reading radiation stats half a world away.

    26. Re:Fukushima by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Or near an easy water source for cooling.
      Or near a population center for workers and people who need the power.
      Or on really solid bedrock for building a big heavy plant which needs to survive an earthquake.

    27. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Build it in a really safe place. You don't want bad things to happen to it. (Well, except for the "near a population center". I'd drop that, just to be safe).

    28. Re:Fukushima by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      the near a population centre is for your workforce and for the people who actually want to use your electricuty.

      nuclear isn't special.

      if you replaced it with a fertaliser plant many of the same issues apply and fertaliser production has killed far more people in accidents than nuclear ever has.(google Bhopal)
      One chemical leak and thousands of people could die.

      Yet it's impractical to put everything a hundred miles from the nearest population centre (for one can you imagine what the roads would be like if every industrial worker had to travel that far every day and that comes with it's only pollution and death toll)

      similar with dams, it's normal to build cities on rivers and it's normal to build damns on rivers above those populations centers. It confers advantages like protection from smaller floods but one big earthquake or structural failure and you're looking at far more people dying in a day than every nuclear accident in history.

    29. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1
      No.

      Electricity is one of the easiest commodities to transport. Your workers can get paid a bit more, and live away from a big population center. You also don't build big chemical plants in population centers. And giving an example of something else that blew up doesn't make nuclear plants any safer. People live downstream of dams because the dams were put into place after the cities. And living by a river used to be extremely convenient - for water and transport.

    30. Re:Fukushima by pavon · · Score: 1

      For if one of the most technologically advanced countries on Earth who has had years of experience with nuclear energy

      The Fukushima plant was began construction in 1967 (before Chernobyl). At that time Japan wasn't one of the most technologically advanced countries in the world, nor did they have years of experience with nuclear energy. If their engineers managed to create a power plant that nearly survived the largest earthquake and tsunami in the countries history, then I am pretty confident that engineers today can build one that will operate safely in just about any conditions.

    31. Re:Fukushima by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      The "absolute worst case scenario" would include stuff like another series of 7+ quakes at the site, or a military and/or terrorist attack against the site, or a sequence of monumental human error events, or even worse cases that I'm not able to consider.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    32. Re:Fukushima by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      Or an enemy of Japan could take advantage of the fact that there is no military defense of that part of Japan's coast and finish off one of the reactors with light artillery... No need for a meteorite.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    33. Re:Fukushima by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      The availability of sea water has certainly been a major mitigating factor in this incident. How would you cool down Palo Verde? Import sea water from the Sea of Cortez?

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    34. Re:Fukushima by NoSig · · Score: 1

      The scary contamination in Tokyo is between 0.3% and 1.5% of the radioactive exposure you get from smoking one cigarette. Scary, isn't it?

      It's not the level of immediate radioisotope exposure that's the problem, it's that the radioisotopes released by this accident accumulate in the body and continue to irradiate you. In particular, radioiodine accumulates quite effectively in the thyroid gland and is radioactive enough to cause serious damage to it.

      It also has a half-time of 8 days so it disappears quickly, so it cannot accumulate over a period longer than, say, 10 days. You still don't want it in your body, but low doses are not much of a problem. The highest allowed dose is the lowest level at which anyone has been able to detect any harm coming from it when someone is exposed to that level for an entire year. The people in Tokyo are getting less than that dose and just a few days now.

    35. Re:Fukushima by NoSig · · Score: 1

      No cigarette ever comes with exclusion zones.

      There is not an exclusion zone in Tokyo either.

    36. Re:Fukushima by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      on the contrary, it's common for factories and chemical plants to be near population centres.

      A few towns near me have big production facilities in or next to them with most of the town either working at the plants or providing services.

      The point is that nuclear isn't special.
      it isn't any more dangerous than a great many other things which we just accept near population centers.
      A river still is very convenient, the point is that people accept the dams, they accept the factories but nuclear gets treated as unique, as somehow special because atoms.

      Lead will kill you just as silently, arsenic will poison land just as surely, solvents used in many industrial processes are far more likely to kill or maim you than some radioactive iodine.

      but nuclear gets slotted into a whole other catagory, it's fine to have all these other types of facilities around, many with worse safety records and far larger death tolls to their name, but anything nuclear has to be 100 miles from anywhere and built to far far higher standards and designed to withstand far bigger disasters than the holding tanks at the chemical plant, the walls of the dam or the holding pit for the coal sludge.

      and that's not even touching on the problem that a large nuclear plant has enough staff that it ends up with a population center around it if you try to move it into the middle of nowhere.

      If you insist on having it out in the middle of nowhere and don't let the staff live near it then there's the tradoff that you guarantee more deaths on the road.
      (which of course don't count because road deaths are booooring and not nearly as sexy as radioactive deaths)
      and moreover you guarantee such deaths for every plant you do that with while only a tiny fraction will ever have a serious problem.

    37. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1
      What you are saying is that nuclear isn't different from any other really dangerous plant one can think of. But I really don't understand you. It is kinda weird - you seem to believe your opinion so strongly you don't listen or think (sorry not really a fair comment...). Isn't it obvious that if you have a dangerous plant, then you shouldn't build it inside a population center. Imagine Tokyo was inside the 30km radius of this plant. Do you know the logistical nightmare of evacuating a city that size? You can erect small town with 10k people 5km away from the plant, with an electric train going back and forth, and you won't have many "road deaths".

      If coal plants emit so many dangerous chemicals, or radioactive ones, and if these are really absorbed by the body and cause damage (because this is what really counts), then one needs to really control the emission of coal plants. If fertilizer plants have a tendency to explode, then you need to deal with that, too. Nuclear, however, are special because the energy density of the fuel is so big, and because the byproducts are so hard to handle. Look how hard of a time they are having getting this plant under control. And I promise you that if all the fertilizer plants, or coal plants were held to the same safety standard as nuclear plants, we'd have much less example of such big disasters, and on the other hand, if nuclear plants were held to the same standard as the worst fertilizer plant in india or africa, then or planet would get uninhabitable quite quickly.

      But look - a nuclear accident is happening in front of our eyes. It is one of the worst in history till now, and it isn't contained yet. It is obvious that things could have been done better. This plant was handled nowhere near perfect. We need to look carefully and understand what went wrong. If someone told us that a nuclear accident would happen once in 100,000 years, then they were obviously wrong.

      So, I think you have to agree that we have to learn from what has happened, right after we finishing making sure that the danger is gone. It is also somewhat strange to say how little danger there is from this accident, while people are still putting their lives at risk to make sure that the damage is contained.

    38. Re:Fukushima by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      The problem is that with the current drama perspective falls away.

      I'm not calling for safety requirements to be removed, I'm quite in favor of safety systems out the wazoo.
      My point isn't that nuclear is perfectly safe but rather that it's *acceptably* safe in comparison to most of the other things which people for some reason aren't afraid of.

      It's like how people are afraid of flying despite the fact that they're far more likely to die driving to the airport than in a plane crash because you don't hear much about the road accidents but a plane crash gets world headlines.

      If you were to point that out it wouldn't make any difference if there had been such a headline the same day.
      But people who are convinced that flying is far far far too dangerous or that the planes must be terribly badly designed or there must have been some really terrible design choices will point at the TV and say "an aviation accident just happened in front of our eyes".
      In reality it can still be true that the planes are safer than the alternatives and acceptably safe to use, even in populated areas.

      Yes if cars had the same safety requirements that planes do the roads would be a lot safer but that's somewhat impractical and if planes had the same safety systems as cars there would be a lot of plane crashes but that doesn't mean planes are less safe or that planes should avoid flying over all populated areas.

      are you seeing the parallel yet?

      Yes, things could have been done better, that's a given when anything goes wrong but hindsight is 20:20.

    39. Re:Fukushima by NuShrike · · Score: 1

      When you only read western news, not only is it biased and uninformed, you're days behind.

      From the 23/24th:
      "dannychoo
        http://ow.ly/4lhVf radiations levels in Tokyo tap water have dropped off - safe for toddlers to drink."

      Also this from WHO: "It should also be noted that the Japanese guideline value is an order lower than the internationally agreed Operational Intervention Levels (OIL's) for I-131 (3,000 Bq/kg), Cs-134 (1,000 Bq/kg) and Cs-137 (2,000 Bq/kg). Iodine-131 is not a significant source of radiation because of its low specific activity (ref. IAEA General Safety Guide No. 2: http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/Pub1467_web.pdf"

    40. Re:Fukushima by leehwtsohg · · Score: 1
      I think we agree - nuclear plants, as well as any other plant that can create a 20km uninhabitable zone around it should have safety system out the wazoo, and what people think is *acceptably* safe is not the standard by which things should be judged.

      Just to be a pain in the butt, I did a 5 minute search on flight safety. The wikipedia article on air safety says that the deaths per billion journeys is 117 for flights, and 40 for cars, and deaths per billion hours is 130 for cars and 31 for flights. So if your drive to the airport is more than 1/4 of the time the flight would take you might be right. The deaths per billion km (or miles) is the number people usually use, but that would be driving cross country instead of taking the plane. And your average car ride is still safer than the average plane ride, but only because it is so much shorter in time and especially distance...

      When cars came out, they were also considered unsafe, and had very strict safety requirements: "Each vehicle was expected to have a team of three in control; the driver, the fireman - to stoke the engine - and the flagman, whose job was to walk 60 yards in front waving a red flag to warn horse-drawn traffic of the machine's approach.", with a speed limit of speed of 2mph in towns and 4mph in the country. (This is from http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-10987606).

      I don't think it is a bad idea to by quite cautionary with new technology for the first 100 years, till we have all the consequences of the once in an X years events figured out....

    41. Re:Fukushima by mbrod · · Score: 1

      I'm not as worried about the Engineers as I am the Executives who cut corners to make more $$$. The Engineers aren't in charge of the $$$.

  14. Re:Banana? by osu-neko · · Score: 1

    And the "something" that just doesn't work is Slashdot fact-checking.

    False. That's like claiming the wings on your car don't work when your car doesn't actually have wings.

    --
    "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
  15. Becquerels per day??? by Mnicus · · Score: 1

    Could someone care explaining what becquerels per day exactly means? 1Bq = 1 nucleus decay / second. So what the hell is "1.2 to 1.3 × ... becquerels per day"?

    1. Re:Becquerels per day??? by AHuxley · · Score: 2

      Might help http://www.hps.org/publicinformation/ate/faqs/radiation.html
      "The SI system uses the unit of becquerel (Bq) as its unit of radioactivity. One curie is 37 billion Bq. Since the Bq represents such a small amount, one is likely to see a prefix noting a large multiplier used with the Bq as follows .." see web page for more
      Then think about
      http://www.zerohedge.com/article/summary-key-health-threats-fukushima-radioactive-substances

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    2. Re:Becquerels per day??? by bcmm · · Score: 1

      Contrary to bad physics in the press, the problem is not the "release of radiation" (alpha, beta, gamma and other radiation being emmited by the reactor). The real problem is the release of stuff that releases radiation (radioactive material getting into the air), which is apparently one step too complex for the news*.

      The number of decays per second in any material is related to the quantities of each radiactive isotope present. Adding more radioactive material increases the number of decays occuring per second. You could measure the rate of this addition in (decays per second) per second.

      So, decays per second per second is a valid measure of the rate of release of radioactive substances.

      * The other real problem is that a lot of the unstable and stable large atoms evolved in the reactor are toxic, in a conventional way, since they are heavy metals. I don't know if that is relevant in this case.

      --
      # cat /dev/mem | strings | grep -i llama
      Damn, my RAM is full of llamas.
    3. Re:Becquerels per day??? by subreality · · Score: 1

      A becquerel is a specific quantity of I-131. It can be converted to grams. It will be a much smaller mass than a becquerel of I-129, which has a much longer half-life. When they say "N becquerels per day", think "N * (conversion factor) grams per day".

      Another way to think about it is this: The amount released each day will result in 1.3E17 decays per second occurring in the wild. After two days, you will have 2.6E17 decays per second scattered through the world. (It will actually be slightly less than this since some of it already decayed, but I think you get the idea.)

      More generally, (Quantity) / ( (Time) * (Time ) ) == Quantity / (Time ** 2) == Acceleration. For instance, 1 mile per hour per second actually makes sense: It means each second you're going 1 MPH faster.

      Hopefully one of these explanations will help. :)

    4. Re:Becquerels per day??? by Mnicus · · Score: 1

      Yep, it does indeed help to grasp the concept when you think of "released becquerels" (which by itself still sounds silly no matter how I look at it) in terms of mass-equivalent. Thanks!

  16. Habemus papam by Kupfernigk · · Score: 4, Funny

    "We have a Pope" - sorry, couldn't resist.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  17. Well... by MrEricSir · · Score: 1, Insightful

    From what I've seen, Chernobyl was in an area with a lower population density. I mean sure, the Soviets had a different type of reactor, worse response, etc. But Japan's situation could still be pretty bad in the long run, if things don't go as planned.

    Sure, the media is being panic-y. And sure, more people died in the tsunami than would die in the worst case of a reactor meltdown. But sometimes there ARE reasons to be scared that are perfectly valid, and those shouldn't be discounted just because the press does well when they incite panic.

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  18. Check out Arnie Gundersten's YouTube channel by ghostunit · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Check out Arnie Gundersten's YouTube channel by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that link.

  19. Re:sanger churches by ledow · · Score: 2

    Please don't spread crap and tell me I'm going to die because I'm deliberately refusing to "follow orders".

    Additionally, don't spam it anonymously (so we can at least block you out if we so wish), and at least have the decency to do less advertising of your church in your post than linking to a "relevant" article - I mean, come on - keyword spamming?

    The really *annoying* part of evangelism such as this is that if you'd just posted the link without all the crap attached to it (from the keyword spamming and double-links, to failing to link to your article directly), people would probably be more inclined to read it. For people who are trying to convince others to make huge changes to their life, evangelists are inherently terrible at actually convincing people and have zero knowledge of effective PR.

  20. Re:sanger churches by k2r · · Score: 1

    There is a really great article connecting this to Bible prophecy

    Yes, and my cat told me he read from the poo in it's litterbox that the world is going to end soon, too.
    I'm still amazed of the state of mind of those people.

  21. Re:worse response? by Canazza · · Score: 1

    They let the reactor melt down, releasing plutonium and uranium into the atmosphere then send thousands of workers right into the heart of it to put a big concrete casket over it. without protective gear.

    --
    It pays to be obvious, especially if you have a reputation for being subtle.
  22. Braindamage? by zmooc · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This article is full of errors major errors, including the title/conclusion.

    They're typically off by about a factor 10; they seem to have ignored the exponent when calculating the percentages they use to conclude Fukushima is nearing Tsjernobyl levels. Where they state that Tsjernobyl put out 70% more caesium-137 than Fukushima, it's actually 1700%. Where they state that Tsjernobyl put out 50% more Iodine-131 it's actually 1400%. These numbers are based on the readings provided by the article.

    Apart from that the comparison simply makes no sense for a 1000 other reasons. Remote detectors for airborne radioactive particles cannot reliably provide an indication of what the reactor put out, especially given the fact that Tsjernobyl was a fire releasing all kinds of aerosols while Fukushima releases mostly gasses that probably get carried much futher by the wind and do not pollute the grounds in the perimeter of the reactor as much as Tsjernobyl.

    Furthermore, Tsjernobyl started out with explosion that probably released a huge quantity of especially iodine in one big blast, not leaving quite that much for the "aftermath" (which this article makes a comparison with). Also, what they fail to mention is the deadly mix of compounds other than iodine and caesium released by Tsjernobyl.

    This is nothing like Tsjernobyl and it will not become anything like it either. Stop the FUD please.

    --
    0x or or snor perron?!
    1. Re:Braindamage? by TheThiefMaster · · Score: 5, Informative

      They are comparing a per-day value from Fukushima to a 10-day value from Chernobyl, that's why there's a factor of 10 difference, and they have taken it into account.

    2. Re:Braindamage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      spelling chernobyl funny doesn't make you sound like you're in the know

    3. Re:Braindamage? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They're typically off by about a factor 10; they seem to have ignored the exponent when calculating the percentages they use to conclude Fukushima is nearing Tsjernobyl levels. Where they state that Tsjernobyl put out 70% more caesium-137 than Fukushima, it's actually 1700%. Where they state that Tsjernobyl put out 50% more Iodine-131 it's actually 1400%. These numbers are based on the readings provided by the article.

      I think you are the one who is way off... you did notice that the numbers they gave for Tsjernobyl were total amounts and the ones for Japan are per day? I can't believe you got modded Insightful like that, everyone believes an article can have its math way off like that, but then assumes a random Slashdot poster will have it right and not bother to check?

    4. Re:Braindamage? by MMC+Monster · · Score: 1

      Couldn't they just wait 10 days and compare the numbers to Chernobyl then?

      Hopefully they'll come out with a companion article/paper in 9 days.

      --
      Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
  23. how does it compare to by DUdsen · · Score: 1

    the BP oil spill.

    One of the biggest issues in the whole nuclear accident meme thing is that well somehow nuclear accidents are only ever compared to other nuclear accidents. But on a wider scale how dangerous is this compared to similar events hitting conventional energy sources? like oil well or refinery fires.

    1. Re:how does it compare to by Anrego · · Score: 1

      Indeed.

      This is my very uneducated opinion, but I think the stuff that pours out of smoke stacks under regular conditions has probably resulted in far more grief than the worst nuclear disasters combined.

      Nuclear accidents kind of seems like airplane crashes in that sense. Even though driving a car is actually a shockingly dangerous activity and you are statistically much safer in an airplane... people ignore the fact that car crashes kill many people daily but freak out when a plane crashes. The reason of course is that when a plane crashes, a huge number of people die en-masse, which is far more noticable than people sporadically dying throughout the day.

      Oil and coal pumps out all sorts of nasty that probably results in all manner of death and health issues... but it does it over time. Nuclear is relatively safe, until something goes wrong and then puts a huge number of people in danger.

  24. you know they can never repair that thing by FudRucker · · Score: 1

    they might as well start burying it in lead, steel & concrete, even if they use some of the flattened cars from the tsunami debris,

    --
    Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
  25. Re:When'll mitigation effort reach 73% of Chernoby by Liam+Pomfret · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Appeal to Authority fallacy much? Michio Kaku is an *American* Theoretical physicist whose work has little if anything to do with nuclear engineering. He is Japanese only by ethnicity (his parents both being immigrants), not that it's actually relevant to his views or their accuracy anyway. He's freely admitted in the past that he's biased against Nuclear power, due apparently to some radio programs he heard as a student, and is prominent in the anti-nuclear movement. He's also made similar alarmist remarks about nuclear power before, most notably in regards to the Cassini probe and its fuel. The guy is a great ambassador to the masses for science generally, but in this case he's just flat wrong.

  26. Re:worse response? by Formalin · · Score: 1

    Waiting a couple days to acknowledge that there was high radiation (I believe they claimed it was a 'normal' fire at first) and evacuate people was pretty pathetic.

    Mind you, once they decided to act they went balls to the wall, in typical Soviet fashion... but skipped on workplace safety a wee bit, to say the least. Shitty deal for some of the liquidators, but good for everyone else I suppose.

  27. I'm glad you guys are here by erroneus · · Score: 1

    I try my best to be as level and objective as possible, but even I bought into the headline with the word "Chernobyl" in it with knee-jerk reactionary speed.

    It's good that many here are quick with the repeating of the important details and objective data put into proper perspective. Thanks to all who made their comments.

    It's hard to believe there are still "anti-nuke" people out there pushing their agenda. Yes, "nuclear anything is dangerous." But you know what? Spewing the exhaust of burned coal and oil into the planet's atmosphere is even worse. The only thing I find horrifying about this situation is that Japan was not prepared for this sort of problem. Their power grid doesn't really exist for reasons more than 100 years old and their location choices for power plants are probably the worst choices imaginable. Nuclear power requires a lot of planning and effort to keep it stable, clean and safe, but it's demonstrably possible. Given the current options, nuclear is still the best choice for power.

    1. Re:I'm glad you guys are here by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      I wrote a paper in 1991 outlining how the emissions from fossil fuels were, in aggregate terms, worse for the environment than nuclear energy (particularly due to mercury, sulfur, and other things, not plant food). The paper was decidedly pro-nuclear, and was written for a competition.

      When the paper was made public, before the presentation, the result was that anti-nuke people picketed the presentation, and started showing up at my house doing all kinds of vandalistic things.

      Oh, yeah, and I was a high school student at the time. I thought the irrational fearmongering was bad back then. It's even worse today.

      Look at any tragic event. The reactions have been waaaaay over the top, whether it was 9/11 and the subsequent "lockdown" on civil rights, the Arizona shooting and the clamor to ban magazines of a certain capacity, or this. It's all fear-based emotional fearmongering that has no basis in fact.

  28. Re:worse response? by lisp-hacker · · Score: 1

    ... then send thousands of workers right into the heart of it to put a big concrete casket over it. without protective gear.

    What was a viable alternative?:

    • Wait for more things to evaporate out of the reactor?
    • Run away far enough
    • Develop some automated and radiation-proof machines to repair the ruins and then come back after 5 years of development to do the work
    • Delegate only 100 workers to build the whole thing, being sure that they won't survive the next month or so.

    The did what was necessary and useful at that point (*after* the reactor went fireworks). Protective gear for gamma rays did not exist and does not exist today.

  29. Slashdot Sensationalism Nears The Sun Levels by kikito · · Score: 2

    Title says it all.

  30. How many people in California died from Chernobyl? by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Just curious...

  31. Hmmmm by fragfoo · · Score: 1

    Does this mean someone will make STALKER: Shadow of Fukushima?

    --
    Sig? Heil
  32. Re:Pro-nuclear, sock puppet, lobbyist thickheads by ledow · · Score: 1

    No, but we do know that life expectancy is up and there are a lot more people about. Hence, even a *rise* in cancer-related deaths wouldn't be at all shocking (in fact, I'd expect it).

    We also don't know how many people died of sun-related cancer caused by ozone-depletion until we stopped using CFC's. Or, indeed, how many people die each year from petrol fumes. Or how many die from respiratory diseases caused by household sprays.

    The facts that there have been 2000 nuclear explosions, many of them deliberately designed to extinguish life even if only then used under controlled situations, and yet still life expectancy is on the up, population is up, cancer incidences still stay steady (which is therefore an IMPROVEMENT) and cancer survival is the highest it's ever been in human history - all this almost certainly means that it's not doing much at all, beyond what the planet throws at us anyway.

    The wildlife around Chernobyl is actually thriving since humans left the area, for instance.

    I'm infinitely more worried about someone spraying their house with air freshener every two seconds and trying to get my child to wipe her hands with anti-bacterial soap / wipes after every spill than I am about her being exposed to any radiation from even the nuclear power plants in my country. Hell, they're building one just down the coast from me - gotta be better than the smoke and crap AND RADIATION in the output from the nearby coal power plants.

    Please don't ever say you want to be a space tourist - even the radiation from a single transatlantic flight is probably hundreds of times more dangerous to you (unless you actually live in a very small area near the plant) than this incident, a space tourist would probably be subjected to hundreds times more than that.

    It gets me that on the one hand we can't have nuclear hundreds of miles away powering our cities, and on the other everyone wants to talk about flying through space in a tin can to live on another planet swathed in radiation.

  33. The lastes news... sorry, lies... by biojazzard · · Score: 1

    "the agency doesn't believe the reactor is cracked or broken. But it says it is highly possible that radioactive materials are leaking from somewhere in the reactor." Original: http://www3.nhk.or.jp/daily/english/25_29.html Its not broken, but materials are leaking... WTF!!! Lies, Lies & more Lies.

  34. Sure. by Hartree · · Score: 1

    If I were still between jobs like I was for much of last year, sure.

    I've always wanted to see Japan, and if I could do something helpful while there that would be great.

    I'd be up for doing more than just getting close to Fukushima Daiichi. During cleanup, you need people who have no or low existing exposure so they can go into hot areas for a time. You rotate them in and then send them home when they get to a certain fraction of the maximum allowed dose.

    The parent post is full of hyperbole, but truly the levels we've seen thus far aren't that bad outside of the plant. It's always possible something else could go wrong and they would get worse.

  35. watch them backpedal by rust627 · · Score: 1

    Only a few months ago the Pro Nuclear lobby in Australia were starting a new media campaign.

    One comment that was turning up again and again was about how Nuclear Power was so safe. After all no one died at three mile island, and the death toll on the site of Chernobyl, was relatively small, and , well nuclear Power must be safe or the Japanese would not have built so many plants in a zone that is known to be prone to earthquakes.........

    Of course the raised rates of cancer amongst people who live (or have lived) near to Chernobyl, and three mile island is just a pure coincidence

    --
    da da da dum indeed.
  36. If you think TFA isn't FUD you're just naive. by piggywig · · Score: 1

    Nuclear accidents can look very scary. A lot of people, (public and journalists among them) don't know how to interpret what the scientists and engineers are telling them anyway. The media like a nice scary story, its their job to write catchy headlines and get people to read stuff so it makes life easier for them when they can twist/misinterpret what they're being fed by the scientists and engineers into something that looks like a disaster scenario, especially with the backdrop of two real disasters. So they show some horrific images of a natural disaster and point out how appalling numbers of people have been killed and others who have had their lives ruined so that the readers/viewers are already shocked and then as if thats not enough they throw in the word 'nuclear' and what do you get? A whole load of fear and lots of attention to the media. Meanwhile the Japanese authorities are busy dealing with a disaster of epic proportions and aren't in a position to do a proper PR job. As for New Scientist, its not a scientific journal, its more like a newspaper where the main reason to exist is to make money. They're just as guilty of making something look more scary than it actually is as any other newspaper, but because of the niche that they inhabit they have to disguise it a little more than the tabloids. Don't get me wrong I also enjoy reading New Scientist, its often a very entertaining read but please, don't expect impartial, scientific coverage because you're not going to find it there. They need to earn a living after all.

  37. The end result by scharkalvin · · Score: 1

    In the end I doubt that the Japanese will give up on Nuclear power. They have to purchase ALL of the fossil fuel they would need to replace it and the country is very dependent on electric power for most of their transportation (Japan's rail system is almost totally electric and used by a much greater percent of the population than in the US). They will do what they SHOULD have done, replace power plants that are not hardened against seismic events with newer ones. The power plants were actually NOT damaged by the earthquake or the tsunami, but by lack of conventional power afterward. The irony is that if the plants were NOT shut down to prevent damage from the earthquake they might have been OK.

  38. In total by poszi · · Score: 3, Informative

    Chernobyl put out 8.5 10^16 Bqin total. The emissions lasted several days.

    --

    Save the bandwidth. Don't use sigs!

  39. Warning! Prospective alert. by LWATCDR · · Score: 4, Informative

    Death toll from Earthquake and tsunami 10,000+
    Death toll from the reactor accident so far 0.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    1. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Not at all. Truth is that there very well may be zero deaths from the reactor accident Even if their is a thousand it will be far less than the deaths caused by things like the dam that failed, the sea wall that failed buildings that couldn't stop the wall of water that came...
      But some how this is being used as political tool to show that Nuclear power is super dangerous. Just how many other pieces of technology have failed in this event and killed people? Frankly I would say that people should take learn a far different lesson from this event. The worst has happened to a modern light water reactor. It got hit by an earthquake much stronger than it was designed to take. It then got hit by a tsunami. The backup systems where destroyed and yet the end of the world has not happened. It isn't as terrible as a lot of people have said it would be. Millions are not going to die. Hundreds of thousands are not going to die. And tens of thousands are not going to die. In fact maybe no one is going to die from the reactor problems. Yes we can now learn what works and what has failed and make other reactors safer. Maybe set new standards for sea walls and back up systems.
      This story is such a clear example of emotional manipulation and fear mongering that it boarders on the absurd if wasn't working so well.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    2. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nuclear disasters are disasters in slow motion. Apart from initial explosions and the like, there's no good reason any sizeable number of people in an informed populace has to die because there's plenty of time to react. That doesn't mean you can ignore them or that they don't cause tens or hundreds of billion dollars in damages. You have to put forth heroic efforts to try to stop a catastrophe from becoming a megacatastrophe. You have to order the evacuations. You have to destroy produce and milk. You have to leave areas closed off to settlement and larger areas to agriculture. You have to find new water supplies. You have to seal off any sources of further radiation leakage, whatever the cost. And so on, all depending on the scale of the accident.

      Everyone focuses on deaths with nuclear accidents, but apart from the sudden explosion/etc deaths and the deaths caused by a poor response to the disaster, nobody has to die in even a major nuclear accident. They're just really freaking expensive to deal with, in terms of containment, in terms of ruined property, and in terms of protracted economic damages.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    3. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by StikyPad · · Score: 1

      Hmm, maybe I missed it, but I didn't see any forward looking statements.

    4. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by Darkfred · · Score: 1

      In Chernobyl 28 workers died of acute radiation poisoning within weeks. Within the first few years another 15 first responders died of direct effect cancers, thyroid cancer etc. 100,000 people were within the radiation zone and the rates of cancer among the population are 1% above normal. Of the 4000 people who died of cancer from the elevated radiation level population we can only attribute 30 of those deaths to the increased radiation level based on general population cancer rates.

      So It was not a disaster in slow motion. The majority of the deaths from Chernobyl happened within the first week. Deaths in the first week in Japan, 0.

      --
      ----- 70% of all statistics are completely made up.
    5. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by Rei · · Score: 1

      Wow, I write a whole post talking about how deaths are not the issue -- long-term economic damages are -- and how the deaths to a nuclear disaster occur during the early chaos before people evacuate. And you write a rebuttal all about... deaths? During the early chaos before people evacuate?

      You know, it's not a rebuttal when you're not addressing the point made by the person you're responding to.

      --
      Did he just go crazy and fall asleep?
    6. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by Archwyrm · · Score: 1

      The cost is a pittance compared to what the tsunami has already wreaked. Let us also not forget that this "nuclear disaster" was caused by the earthquake/tsunami. It does not deserve half the attention that it is getting.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism because it is the merger of state and corporate power. -- Mussolini
    7. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by PNutts · · Score: 1

      The cost is a pittance compared to what the tsunami has already wreaked. Let us also not forget that this "nuclear disaster" was caused by the earthquake/tsunami. It does not deserve half the attention that it is getting.

      Well, the tsunami came and went and the coverage is now finding bodies (or not) / cleaning up / rebuilding. The nuclear crisis is not only in progress, it is escalating and currently forcing people out of their homes within 30km and causing concern and reaction to a much wider region. Which of those two do you think the media is going to focus on? If one compares Fukushima to a localized tsunami event, it's in progress and we aren't sure if the biggest wave has hit yet. Also, since you used bunny ears I don't want to see your definition of a nuclear disaster.

    8. Re:Warning! Prospective alert. by Archwyrm · · Score: 2

      The tsunami itself may be gone but the effects of it are not. A million people are without water, hundreds of thousands are without electricity, and who knows how many are now without homes, jobs, and possessions. Screw the media, they will concentrate on whatever gets the most eyeballs on their product (i.e.: what sells).

      Also, since you used bunny ears I don't want to see your definition of a nuclear disaster.

      "Bunny ears"? How cute. Calling it a disaster is an overexaggeration. A 30km radius is not so great, one could walk 30km in a day. From the introduction to Wikipedia's Fukushima I nuclear accidents article:

      a series of ongoing equipment failures and releases of radioactive materials at the Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant, following the 2011 Thoku earthquake and tsunami on 11 March 2011.

      In fact, the only uses of the word 'disaster' in the entire article are prefixed by Chernobyl and one instance of Kyshtym. And Chernobyl was most certainly a disaster.

      --
      Fascism should more properly be called corporatism because it is the merger of state and corporate power. -- Mussolini
  40. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  41. Inflamatory Headline, Incomplete Information by Usefull+Idiot · · Score: 2

    So, the daily average of releases of iodine-131 and cesium-137 are, according to certain measurements, comparable to Chernobyl. They base this on a 10 day total from Chernobyl. Basic Questions:
    1. What 10 days did they pull the average from for Chernobyl and what day or days are they pulling from for Fukushima?
    2. What are the totals over the entirety of each disaster (or at least the current estimated total at Fukushima vs Chernobyl)?
    3. What other radioactive materials were released in Chernobyl and how do they compare to Fukushima?
    4. How did the evacuation and response measures compare?
    5. How do the long term containment and clean up processes compare?
    6. How do the human exposure variables compare?

    In the end though, even evaluating these two data points, they fail to indicate the overall meaning and affect of these values (ie: How does this apply to human health?).

  42. Coal power plants emit more radiation than nuclear by Dan667 · · Score: 2

    how about a comparison of how much radiation a coal power plant is emitting compared to a nuclear power plant.

  43. S.T.A.L.K.E.R. by SharpFang · · Score: 1, Funny

    S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2 - Shadow of Fukushima

    --
    45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:S.T.A.L.K.E.R. by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      That was my first thought. That would be the most fucked-up, disturbing game in the history of mankind. I'd line-camp for it.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:S.T.A.L.K.E.R. by Noitatsidem · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile I'd preorder on steam and save myself the trouble.

      --
      Feel free to mod me down, just know that unlike some Anonymous Cowards I'm not afraid to express my views as myself.
  44. She's a health scientist. But article IS bullshit. by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Wanna bet the author of this story is a "green scientist" ?

    With electrophysiology as a specialty I presume.

    Search Results:
    Sort by: relevance|date Refine by: Subject Area

    Health (437)
    Life (126)
    Environment (93)
    Science in Society (82)
    Opinion (25)
    Tech (12)
    Physics & Math (8)
    Short Sharp Science Blog (7)

    Refined by:
    Author(s): "Debora MacKenzie"

    As for the article... Whenever someone says something like "per day" and doesn't say how many days would that be - take that with a LARGE grain of salt. Iodized, if you like.

    In this case... 1.2 to 1.3 × 10^17 becquerels of iodine-131 per day in Fukushima seem like a lot, particularly compared to Chernobyl's "1.76 × 10^18 becquerels of iodine-131" FOR WHOLE 10 DAYS IT BURNED.
    Holy SHIT! Fukushima has been "on" since March 11th! That would mean that it is somewhere around 1.68 - 1.82 × 10^18 becquerels of iodine-131 by now!
    THAT IS MORE THAN CHERNOBYL! QUICK! EVERYONE! PAAAANIIIC!!!

    Except... From the site of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization mentioned in the article as the source of data:

    “The estimated source terms for iodine-131 are very constant, namely 1.3 x 10^17 becquerels per day for the first two days (US station) and 1.2 x 10^17 becquerels per day for the third day (Japan),” the institute said in a German-language statement posted on Wednesday on its website.

    “For cesium-137 measurements, (the US station) measured 5 x 10^15 becquerels, close, while Japan had much more cesium in its air. On this day, we estimate a source term of about 4 x 10^16.”

    Note that the level measured IN JAPAN on the third day is lower than the level measured IN THE USA on the second day.
    As in - readings are getting MUCH LOWER. And, it is the statistic for ONLY TWO DAYS at the beginning of the Fukushima incident. And we all know what they say about extrapolations.
    Particularly the ones done from only two points.

    Also, the Deutsche Welle article describes the whole "how many Chernobyls is that" thing a bit more conservatively as "at 20 percent of Chernobyl for iodine, and 20-60 percent of Chernobyl for cesium".

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  45. Re:How many people in California died from Chernob by manoweb · · Score: 1

    Me!

  46. Re:Coal power plants emit more radiation than nucl by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    OK. Coal power plants do not emit fission products. The nuclear power plant in Japan does. Coal ash has a uranium fraction similar to clay soil (which is where the ash comes from). So, it is no more radioactive that most of the rest of the world. The fission products emitted by the nuclear power plant in Japan are very very radioactive and very dangerous because we are not adapted to them as we are to natural uranium in soil. And, unlike the uranium in coal ash, they are airborne and spreading around the world.

  47. Damn Grammer Nazi by toastar · · Score: 1

    Anyone who doesn't know the difference between "your" and "you're" (it's easy; hint: if you mean "you are", it's "you're"), really shouldn't be commenting on anyone's level of intellect.

    Personally, I give people a little more leeway to people on a site with no edit button.

    1. Re:Damn Grammer Nazi by rs79 · · Score: 1

      Like.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
  48. Re:worse response? by fritsd · · Score: 1

    could you elaborate re "worse response"?

    IIRC, the Soviets responded something like "I dunno, must be your fault, you capitalist pigs" even after the Swedish government complained loudly about the fallout cloud they detected (first).
    I remember in the Netherlands (a country which exports milk and cheese) the cows had to be taken inside so they wouldn't absorb Iodine-131 which had rained on the grass and would be accumulated in the cows' milk and afterwards the cheese. That's called a timely government response. I don't think that that quick response also happened in the Ukraine and Belarus SSR although I could be wrong.
    Contrast this with the Japanese response: We saw a Japanese spokesperson warn publicly on TV about the levels of radioactive Iodine in spinach in Fukushima and Ibaraki prefecture (see also BBC).

    --
    To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
  49. Except they took measurement from TWO DAYS... by denzacar · · Score: 2

    One done in USA and the other a day later in Japan AT THE BEGINNING OF THE INCIDENT - and then extrapolated that over 14 days until they had amounts close or over those in Chernobyl.

    http://newsroom.ctbto.org/
    http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,14938445,00.html

    "The estimated source terms for iodine-131 are very constant, namely 1.3 x 10^17 becquerels per day for the first two days (US station) and 1.2 x 10^17 becquerels per day for the third day (Japan)," the institute said in a German-language statement posted on Wednesday on its website.

    "For cesium-137 measurements, (the US station) measured 5 x 10^15 becquerels, close, while Japan had much more cesium in its air. On this day, we estimate a source term of about 4 x 10^16."

    If they keep counting long enough they'll top Hiroshima as well. Then again, so will my room on the other side of the planet.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  50. its worse by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    Idiot.

    This looks worse.

    Chernobyl only blew 3.5 tons of fuel, this is worse and 50x more.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
  51. too much free time? by batistuta · · Score: 1

    Didn't you notice that I took the time to translate the article more or less two hours before you did? What's the point of doing it twice?

    1. Re:too much free time? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      He did it from the original Rusky not via Spanish.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:too much free time? by gomiam · · Score: 1

      No I certainly didn't. In my defense, I started translating it, had to leave my office to fix somecomputers, got back finished it and forgot to check.

  52. liar by cheekyboy · · Score: 1

    It wasnt most, if its 50 % , then it is not MOST.

    Only 3.5 ton of the fuel blew into the air.

    Now fukedupshima had 50x more fuel blown up.

    Now is it your best wishes that its not so bad, or if its real bad, are you going to cry that you have been lied to?

    Well at least al the whales will be irradiated with plutonium so that now the japs wont ever kill the whales in the ocean. Big angry radioactive whales with a grudge.

    --
    Liberty freedom are no1, not dicks in suits.
    1. Re:liar by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2

      Only 3.5 ton of the fuel blew into the air. Now fukedupshima had 50x more fuel blown up.

      You reckon that's bad? Wait 'till Oyster Creek goes up. That's the same design reactor as Fukushima, but has triple the waste lying around. Its containment is already corroded and leaking tritium like a sieve.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    2. Re:liar by anagama · · Score: 2

      Hopefully (yeah right, by now it should be clear that used car salesmen have have an infinitely greater ethical superiority over the nuclear industry) .... Hopefully, engineers aren't covering up flaws in the containment like the Japanese engineers on reactor 4:

      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-23/fukushima-engineer-says-he-covered-up-flaw-at-shut-reactor.html

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    3. Re:liar by Alamais · · Score: 2

      It really is amazing that at a time of opportunity for nuclear power expansion, the industry seems to be doing everything it can to discredit itself. Decaying plants with faulty waste containment, cheaping out on maintenance and then applying for license extension concurrent with a bunch of accidents (see Vermont Yankee), etc. Now this. It's like they -want- to become "Nuclear Power: As Seen in 80s/90s Disaster Movies".

  53. Mortality from Iodine Exposure to Children by mbone · · Score: 1

    The radioactive iodine is almost certain to cause cancers and mortality in Japanese children in coming years.

    From the IAEA staff report "Thyroid Cancer Effects in Children" :

    The main consequence of the Chernobyl accident is thyroid cancer in children, some of whom were not yet born at the time of the accident. Following the vapour explosion and fire at the Chernobyl reactor, radioactive iodine was released and spread in the surrounding area. Despite measures taken, children in southern Belarus and northern Ukraine, were exposed to radiation in the weeks following the accident , particularly by consuming milk from pastured cows and leafy vegetables that had been contaminated with radioactive iodine.

    Radioactive Iodine has a half-life of 8 days, so it is the immediate exposure that is the problem here. Unfortunately, the Japanese government took 3 days after the Iodine exposure was publicly announced (and, presumably, more days after they knew about it), to ban the eating of contaminated spinach (a "leafy vegetable") and dairy milk. Worse, when the iodine contamination was first made public, Mr. Yukio Edano, Japan's chief Cabinet secretary, urge calm, saying that the contaminated food posed "no immediate threat." What weasel words - these cancers will take months to years to develop, so there is indeed no "immediate" threat. He should have urged people not to drink milk or vegetables from the affected area, instead.

    Here is some more information about the risk from Iodine-131 at Fukushima. This is a problem particularly for children as their bodies take up the Iodine - similar doses don't cause problems for mature adults.

  54. before cigarettes became Radioactive... by nido · · Score: 2

    The scary contamination in Tokyo is between 0.3% and 1.5% of the radioactive exposure you get from smoking one cigarette. Scary, isn't it?

    You didn't say why cigarettes are radioactive. As I recall, in WWII the government took the tobacco industry's usual fertilizer (urea) to make explosives. The tobacco industry switched to Rock Phosphate, which they liked better anyways because it could be mined with a caterpillar instead of collected with farm hands.

    Most of the phosphate rock in Florida as well as some other locales contains significant concentrations of radioactive Uranium. This becomes an issue when the processed phosphate rock is used for a wide variety of crops. Certain types of crops take up Uranium readily, and thus a health risk is posed to humans who consume such products. An example species that absorbs Uranium readily is tobacco, the use of which is already strongly implicated in human lung cancer from smokers.

    -The Encyclopedia of Earth: Phosphate Rock

    If you're going to smoke, it's always better to use organic tobacco than tobacco that was fertilized with Rock Phosphate:

    ... Organic fertilizers such as organic vegetable compost, animal manure, wood ash and seaweed have proven to be sustainable and non-harmful to microbes, worms, farmers and eaters or smokers. Chemical phosphates may seem like a bargain compared to natural phosphorous, until you factor in the health and environmental costs. ... Tobacco smokers can also use this information to avoid radioactive brands of tobacco. American Spirit is one of a few companies that offers an organic line of cigarettes, and organic cigars are also available from a few companies. You can also grow your own tobacco, which is surprisingly easy and fun.

    Until the public has an accurate understanding of how phosphate fertilizers carry radiation, and why commercial tobacco causes lung cancer but cannabis does not, there will be many needless tobacco-related deaths, and increased resistance to the full legalization of marijuana.

    -Radioactive tobacco: It's not tobacco's tar which kills, but the radiation!

    My pet theory is that there was actually a combination of factors which led to the mid-20th century spike in lung cancer levels. The other factor, besides the irradiation of smokers' lungs, was the mass dietary switch from stable saturated fats (butter, lard) to unstable polyunsaturated fats (margarine). The lungs have a lot of fatty acids... Send me an email for a free report. :)

    --
    Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
    www.teslabox.com
  55. Re:Coal power plants emit more radiation than nucl by Anti_Climax · · Score: 1

    The first 2 sentences of your reply needn't even be there, they simply cloud the issue. As for the uranium fraction being similar to clay soil, one typically doesn't breathe in dirt to a significant degree though not breathing in fine ash in the air near a coal plant is much less likely. And how the fuck is coal ash not airborne and spreading around the world?

    --
    Even people that believe in pre-destiny look both ways before crossing the street.
  56. The containment might crack by roguegramma · · Score: 2

    The containment might crack, because the pressure inside is high and the hydrogen explosions might have damaged the structure. Also there are no special containment structures below the core a.k.a. core catcher, just the containment itself.

    The only safe thing about the plants is that this is happening elsewhere, in Japan.

    I would point you to a source, like the current TEPCO press release, but it fails to tell of the "smaller" explosions, which obviously did happen considering the damage to the outer structures of 1,3 and 4.

    --
    Hey don't blame me, IANAB
    1. Re:The containment might crack by NoSleepDemon · · Score: 2

      A brief look around the net (google search results) suggests that discussions about the Fukushima reactors having core catchers appear inconclusive, I don't suppose you have a source that can state with some authority whether they do or they don't?

    2. Re:The containment might crack by bgspence · · Score: 1

      The containments hold a very small number of the reactor fuel rods at the site. The bulk of the radioactive material at the Japanese site is outside the containment vessels in open pools of water. And, there is nearly ten times the amount there as at Chernobyl.

      These pools of fuel rods are stored in upper floors of structures damaged by explosions. There has been very little information released about the structural integrity of these pools. It has been widely reported that some of these pools might have less water in them than would be considered appropriate.

      There have been videos shown of attempts to drop water from helicopters or spray water into them from fire engines. It is also clear that there is highly radioactive water deep enough for workers to wade into according to other reports.

      Aerial images of the state of the structures surrounding these containment pools show a mangled mess. No one seems to know very much about the status of damage to the pools due to collapsing material in and around the pools. There have been no good counts of how many stored fuel rods were damaged, or how badly they were damaged by the explosions and structural collapse of the buildings.

      But, I'm sure we can trust the operator of these facilities and the Japanese government to provide complete, current information. No need to panic, but don't be stupid.

    3. Re:The containment might crack by hellop2 · · Score: 1

      ABC World News with Diane Sawyer says that the containment vessel has cracked at about the 7:00 mark. "The only way the water could reach those levels is if it came into direct contact with uranium."

      --
      How many more years will slashdot have an off-by-one error on your Score in your profile?
  57. Mixing units == BAD "Scientist" by coyote_oww · · Score: 1

    No matter who's doing it, mixing units is bad practice. Putting X furlongs/fortnight next to Y furlongs/week is just asking for an incorrect interpretation.

  58. You should doubt the claim!! by Xylantiel · · Score: 1
    The claim is almost insane. The amount they claim, 3x10^16 Becquerels of Cesium-137, is equivalent to the release of 10 kilograms (!) of Cesium-137 (see below). Into the air. I don't think that is a leak, that is a major core containment failure. I would say "like at Chernobyl" but there was effectively no containment in the way we think of it at Chernobyl. Internal reactor materials were splattered all over the building and grounds. While they were on fire!! Fukushima might have a leak, but there is no way there is a major containment failure.

    A Becquerel is one decay per second. This means for something with a long half-life like Cs-137, 30 years = about 10^9 seconds, you need a lot to get even one Becquerel. Roughly you would need about 2x10^9 atoms to get 1 decay per second (so that half of it would be gone in the half-life, this is only approximate). This would mean there was a total of 2x10^9 x 3x10^16 = 6x10^25 atoms or 100 mol. That 137 in Cs-137 is 137 grams per mol, so that this would be about 13 kg.

    There is an easy explanation for this. They are using 2 sensor readings, one northwest of tokyo (upwind from the plant) and one across the pacific from the plant and then using a model to estimate the source. (both readings from last week) This is just the slap-dab wrong data to try to measure this from. Their model is just wrong! They get giant numbers for the source because their model says that the propagation to these spots is very weak. We duh, then don't try to measure it there!

  59. This is Troll Meat by ogd · · Score: 1

    I go to /. to get away from this crap

  60. Re:Coal power plants emit more radiation than nucl by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    Fly ash is controlled and partly used in construction and partly dumped. The uranium is not airborne.

    There is a significant difference between radioactive fission products and naturally occurring radioisotopes. Their bioavailability is different and their behavior in the body can be very different. For example, iodine concentrates in the thyroid.

  61. I don't have a source for "no core catcher" but .. by roguegramma · · Score: 1

    The guy in the forum said that among the nuclear plants in the world only one newer nuclear plant in China has a core catcher, and maybe about 4 plants more in the world.

    Many plants have been built before Chernobyl, and the Fukushima plants are amond the oldest in Japan.

    It also appears it would be hard to build one now, since the plant is built on granite, supposedly.

    --
    Hey don't blame me, IANAB