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Fermi Lab May Have Discovered New Particle or Force

schleprock63 writes "Physicists at Fermi Lab have found a 'suspicious bump' in their data that could indicate they've found a new elementary particle or even a new force of nature. The discovery could 'be the most significant discovery in physics in half a century.' Physicists have ruled out that the particle could be the standard model Higgs boson, but theorize that it could be some new and unexpected version of the Higgs. This discovery comes as the Tevatron is slated to go offline sometime in September."

33 of 226 comments (clear)

  1. Desertron by Toe,+The · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Still kinda miss the Superconducting Super Collider . Wonder if it could have produced results sooner.

  2. Re:Death is the end of time. Consciousness is time by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Consciousness is an illusion.

    Lunchtime doubly so.

    --
    If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
  3. Re:Death is the end of time. Consciousness is time by YodasEvilTwin · · Score: 2

    Then shut up.

  4. Re:Death is the end of time. Consciousness is time by mooingyak · · Score: 2

    I said salvia not alcohol. Drinking wont allow you to experience and appreciate death.

    Spoken like a man who's never drunk himself to death.

    --
    William of Ockham had no beard. The most likely explanation is that it was chewed off by squirrels every morning.
  5. It has now been named.... by levell · · Score: 4, Funny

    It shall henceforth be known as the pleaseExtendOurFunding-ion.

    OK, I jest. On a more serious (but related) note, back in 2000, when the LEP at CERN was shutting down, there were possible "hints" of the Higgs' Boson and pleas to extend the running time (which were ultimately denied so that the LHC would not be delayed).

    --
    Struggling to find a day everyone can make? WhenShallWe.com
    1. Re:It has now been named.... by Phroon · · Score: 2

      It shall henceforth be known as the pleaseExtendOurFunding-ion.

      No it's far too late for something that petty, that day has already passed. The Tevatron collider run will not be extended:

      "Unfortunately, the current budgetary climate is very challenging and additional funding has not been identified. Therefore, based in part of the P5 recommendation, operation of the Tevatron will end in FY 2011, as originally scheduled." - W. F. Brinkman; Directior, Office of Science, U.S. Department of Energy

      Fiscal year 2011 ends September 30, 2011. There is not yet a decommissioning plan.

    2. Re:It has now been named.... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I give you some slack for the jest - but seriously, that "they are only doing it for the funding" - meme is an insult to every scientist.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  6. Re:I know it's petty... by AshtangiMan · · Score: 5, Funny

    "Physicists at Fermi Lab have found a 'suspicious bump' in that there data that could indicate they've found a new elementary particle or even a new force of nature."

    Fixed

  7. Re:Death is the end of time. Consciousness is time by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 2

    I can't, it's not part of my predestined thoughts :/

  8. Re:Nothing really exists. by jd · · Score: 2

    Ah, but does your brain exist? If not, then maybe the universe was never there to begin with.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  9. Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by Rich0 · · Score: 4, Informative

    When I read things like "In about 250 times more cases than expected, the total energy of the jets clustered around a value of about 144 billion electron volts" I get nervous.

    This is like saying that in a series of 1M coin tosses the sequence HTTHHTTTTHHTTHHH came up 100x more often than would be expected by chance. Does that mean that any particular sequence of 8 tosses should come up 1/65536th of the time, and this one came up 1/655th of the time, or does it mean that some random sequence of results should come up 100% of the time in a random series of 16 coin tosses, and we happened to pick the random series that came up the most often in that particular set of data?

    If I mine a big set of data against 100 random hypothesis I'll be able to find about 5 that I can show to be true with 95% confidence, despite the fact that there is nothing really going on.

    The real test is to come up with the hypothesis first, then collect the data.

    Now, these guys are probably smart, and hopefully control for this. If you want to test for 100 hypotheses and REALLY have 95% confidence, then you need to target a confidence of 1-0.05^100 for each test - at least that is how I see it (being a complete novice at statistics).

    1. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by The_Wilschon · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They did take into account the look-elsewhere effect, as is standard in bump-search type papers. This bump has a 3.2 sigma significance _after_ the look-elsewhere significance reduction and other systematic uncertainties.

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      SIGSEGV caught, terminating

      wait... not that kind of sig.
    2. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by aethogamous · · Score: 2

      10,000 collisions

      expected number of weird collisions ~ 1

      probability of seeing 250 or more weird collisions ~ 1E-1140

      That should be enough to take care of most multiple testing issues.

    3. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by radtea · · Score: 5, Informative

      The real test is to come up with the hypothesis first, then collect the data.

      That's not the way the vast majority of science is done. Popper was a philosopher speaking in ignorance (but I repeat myself).

      The challenge for these guys is not in the hypothesis testing, but in the cuts. You have to come up with some set of criteria for selecting "good" events in complex detectors of this kind. There is always a degree of arbitrariness in how you do that, and there have been cases in the past (the so-called 'GSI particle') where people tweaked and tuned multi-dimensional cuts to maximize peaks in the data.

      In the present case it is clear their cuts are physics-based--they are described in the paper--and that the peak structure is consistent with the resolution one would expect (the GSI particle required some very weird physics to make the narrow peak widths plausible.)

      However, the peak is also precisely in the region where their background spectra are varying most rapidly, and this is a huge red flag. It makes them sensitive to any number of minor mis-calibrations. It does NOT mean the phenomenon is not real, but if I had to make a bet on it being physics beyond the standard model or an instrumental artefact, my money would not be on new physics.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    4. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by Njoyda+Sauce · · Score: 3, Funny

      Oblig XKCD: http://xkcd.com/882/

      --

      You can only be young once, but you can be immature forever.
    5. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Popper was a philosopher speaking in ignorance (but I repeat myself).

      That is a nice ad hominem logical fallacy.

      You may be shocked to learn that the modern scientific method was entirely the invention of philosophers. Many self-proclaimed scientists disagree with this, but that is because they have not also studied history.

    6. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by garyebickford · · Score: 2

      The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new
      discoveries, is not 'Eureka!' (I found it!) but 'That's funny ...' Isaac Asimov

      This event seems to fit that bill well.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    7. Re:Do they account for hypothesis-mining? by oliverthered · · Score: 2

      "If I mine a big set of data against 100 random hypothesis I'll be able to find about 5 that I can show to be true with 95% confidence, despite the fact that there is nothing really going on."

      they call that psychiatry.

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
  10. Re:If it's not the God particle, it's Salvia. by Fibe-Piper · · Score: 4, Funny

    A person who smoked salvia said that a black hole in reality opened up and their soul was sucked into it. Meanwhile physicists claim that black holes suck in matter and light and it can never escape.

    Maybe if more physicists smoked Salvia they'd have a better natural understanding of the universe. They would understand that salvia is an alien lifeform, a plant brought to the earth by the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greys to consume our souls. They would understand that our reality is an illusion and that this force they just discovered is the salvia force, the ultimate proof of alien life. The universe and existence is fake, accept it. You don't have consciousness, you are just a biological machine, please accept it.

    Oddly enough, your post is as worth reading as the 40+ posts that came after it. You may have proved a point. God know what it is (maybe on some quantum scale you are proving that insanity is sanity at the same time) but, well done old chap.

    --
    I went to battle M.C. Escher, but drew a blank.
  11. What to call it? by durrr · · Score: 2

    Did we finally find the Unstoppable Force?

  12. Re:If it's not the God particle, it's Salvia. by TheCRAIGGERS · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Slashdot has just opened up to a new demographic I think.

    Who, crazy people? No, they've been here for years.

  13. A useful link by jd · · Score: 5, Informative

    ...to the paper, as opposed to the commentary by PopSci on the article written by NYT by someone who really didn't know what the hell they were talking about.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:A useful link by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      And a link to the lecture set to go live in an hour on it:
      http://vms-db-srv.fnal.gov/fmi/xsl/VMS_Site_2/000Return/video/r_livelogicindex.xsl?&-recid=573&-find=
      (posted AC, you dirty karma whore)

    2. Re:A useful link by jd · · Score: 3, Informative

      Nobody views under a 2 any more, so if you want a link to be seen you have to post non-AC. No choice. Too b. noisy with trash talk otherwise. I'd not have seen your link at all if I didn't have a habit of expanding hidden replies on the offchance they're important.

      (And because very few people mod ACs - why bother, it won't alter their karma - important AC posts often vanish into the ether.)

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:A useful link by jd · · Score: 2

      I've been around from before the time of UIDs on Slashdot, but my memory of the early days is just not good enough to be able to comment on the case or offer any kind of opinion on what happened.

      What I can say, though, unfortunately, is that no board - indeed no organization involving one person or more - is going to be free of politics, controversy or undeserved consequences. That is extremely unfortunate, doubly as most "social" venues (Slashdot included) have no form of appeal and even in those places where appeal exists, it is usually limited to whether the decision was made fairly, NOT whether the decision was right. (The UK claims to be the sole exception in the world, which frightens me on so many levels.)

      This means that there will be inevitable cases of ostracization and/or punishment of the innocent, rejection of their views and observations, and support for those who would inflict such on the innocent. It is inescapable. All you can do is make such cases as rare as humanly possible.

      I believe (right or wrong) that Slashdot does better than almost any other social venue in this regard. Way better than Kuro5hin. That doesn't help if you've personally experienced one of the inevitable failures in the system, and my sympathies (for what it's worth) if you have, and in some ways it can hurt far more to be one of a far smaller group in systems which do function extremely well.

      I wish I had an answer to that. I've plenty of wild theories on social issues (not that anyone is ever likely to give a damn about them) but I have failed even to come close to imagining a system that has 100% social justice, and even if I had, there's bugger all chance of it being implemented. All I can do is what I have been doing, reading the AC replies for the occasional gem, and offering sympathy for the pointless stupid stuff in life.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    4. Re:A useful link by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2

      very few people mod ACs - why bother, it won't alter their karma

      Uhhh, stroking another Slashdotter's karma isn't the point of moderation.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  14. Re:If it's not the God particle, it's Salvia. by kyuubiunl · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You sir, need to find a more competitive source for LSD.

  15. Re:Death is the end of time. Blah blah by Tyler+Durden · · Score: 2

    Consciousness is an illusion.

    A meaningless statement. In order for something to be considered an illusion you must consider the possibility that something can be deceived. And in order for that something to be deceived, it must be conscious.

    --
    Happy people make bad consumers.
  16. Re:Sad to lose the Tevatron by The_Wilschon · · Score: 5, Informative

    FWIW, earlier drafts of the paper were much more sensationalistic than the final draft that the collaboration approved. A large contingent of the collaboration, myself included, would have removed our names from the paper if it had done something as insane as claim discovery of a new particle. So, we specifically pushed to make the paper more scientifically honest and less effective as a "ploy to keep the funds flowing." That said, the NYT article and all the other mainstream news reports on the issue are far, far more sensationalistic than anything the analyzers ever even considered producing...

    Some interesting things to note:

    • This search was done with a very tight event selection designed to get a relatively pure diboson sample. Loosening up the selection increases the number of data events involved in the analysis by (IIRC) about a factor of 8, and in this looser sample, the significance of the bump decreases to about 1 sigma, which is wholly uninteresting.
    • The feeling among the members of my particular group (one of the member institutions of the CDF collaboration) is that this is a very interesting result, but that it should be interpreted more as exposing the difficulties of / our inability to model the very large W+jets background accurately; the Monte Carlo generators are simply insufficient or are slightly incorrectly tuned. We do not really feel that this is likely to be an indication of new physics at all.

    So, long story short, there is certainly something here to be interested in. Both the theorists who write the Monte Carlo generators and the experimentalists analyzing data from the LHC experiments are paying close attention to this result, as it affects their work. We will know more after further study and work, both to improve the Monte Carlos and to look for similar effects in the ATLAS and CMS data.

    --
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  17. Re:Hardly a Result by The_Wilschon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    D0 has done this same sort of analysis, and they do not see this bump. But, their background modeling procedure involves reweighting the expected distributions (from Monte Carlo) in delta R between the jets (sort of an angular separation between the jets), which is a variable that is strongly correlated with the dijet mass. That is, their background model would be expected to have a strong tendency to fill in a bump like this. Now, which model is more correct is open to question, but it is certainly true that whether or not this bump turns out to be from real new physics (unlikely, in my professional opinion), their procedure is almost guaranteed not to find it.

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  18. Heim Theory says its mass is 0.51617049 MeV/c by TheNarrator · · Score: 2

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heim_theory is an alternate model of particle physics that does a pretty good job of predicting the mass of fundamental particles mathematically.

    The theory also allows for particle states that don't exist in the Standard Model, including a neutral electron and two extra light neutrinos, and many other extra states.

    What's the predicted mass of the neutral electron particle? It's 0.51617049 MeV/c.

  19. Re:Sad to lose the Tevatron by The_Wilschon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would strongly advise reading the actual paper (can be found on the arxiv) instead of the NYT article, which, as I mentioned, is sensational and largely content-free. There is plenty of information in the paper about how they determined the significance of the result and how the analysis (event selection etc) was done. It should answer your questions in this regard. As far as being "new", the data from these experiments is analyzed in scientifically and statistically rigorous ways all the time. It in no way involves "massaging" the data, which you can see if you read the hundreds of papers that have come out of high energy physics experiments.

    I really can't comment professionally on the sterile neutrino re dark matter. I've heard of the MiniBOONE result, and think it is very interesting, but the viability of a sterile neutrino as dark matter is pretty far afield for me. Perhaps a passing cosmologist can comment?

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  20. Re:I have seen 2 explanations in physics plogs by The_Wilschon · · Score: 2

    They are not really the same/related, nor are they likely to be correct.

    The Z' proposal is by Dan Hooper, who neglects the fact that CDF has already excluded the possibility of a Z' with a mass below 800 GeV [http://arxiv.org/abs/hep-ex/0602045]. He is also the same guy who, while not being a member of the Fermi Gamma Ray Space Telescope collaboration, used their data to "discover" dark matter not once but twice! I've become extremely skeptical of his work, as he seems excitable and prone to early and ill-considered pronouncements.

    The technicolor proposal is a little bit more interesting. Technicolor models were a proposed alternative to the Higgs mechanism for electroweak symmetry breaking, involving an additional SU(3) symmetry (that is, an additional force/interaction akin to the strong nuclear force). This was proposed very early on in the process of this paper by a Fermilab theorist who was consulted under confidentiality because the analysis was not yet finalized and approved by the CDF collaboration. The proposed process here is a techni-rho which decays to a W and a techni-pion. The W then goes to a lepton and neutrino, and the techni-pion goes to two jets.

    Nearly all of the parameter space for technicolor models has long since been excluded, but there are a few tiny corners of modified versions of the model that are still available. While it does not seem likely that technicolor will end up being the correct explanation (this is far more likely a modeling problem in W+jets than new physics), technicolor will probably be used extensively to test whether or not this is new physics. It is already implemented in most of the Monte Carlo generators, and the model is quite generic in its properties, so it really makes a very good testbed.

    --
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    wait... not that kind of sig.