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Japan's MagLev Gets Go Ahead

ThinkPad760 writes "The Japanese government has finally given approval to build the long awaited MagLev train linking Tokyo and Osaka via Nagoya. But don't hold your breath. Construction will start in 2014. The Tokyo Nagoya section will be completed in 2027 with the final section to Osaka complete by 2045. I was hoping my wife could buy me a ticket as my retirement present, but looks like I have a wait a couple of years after that."

28 of 159 comments (clear)

  1. Just for comparison.... by Timtimes · · Score: 2

    Let's point to the many long term development projects right here in the United States. Crickets. Enjoy.

    --
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    1. Re:Just for comparison.... by Ironchew · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As an eternal optimist, I think we (the U.S. public) aren't being loud enough. We need to take this disorganized grumbling about higher gas prices and start asking for efficient, interstate mass transport, like maglev (or the theoretical vactrain). It can be done, but Congress won't authorize it unless we don't let them weasel out of the problem. Maybe all it will take is a single letter from every constituent to their representative, flooding their offices.

    2. Re:Just for comparison.... by Ironchew · · Score: 2

      Well, Congress may actually have to raise our taxes (gasp) and not contract the lowest bidder, but progress isn't free.

    3. Re:Just for comparison.... by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      These things are ridiculously expensive and virtually never pay for themselves -- ever.

      The problem with this mindset is that it only measures ticket sales. If you make travel between cities incredibly fast then you open up all kinds of new business opportunities and larger efficiencies.

      There is certainly a need to balance cost/benefit but too often we only balance direct costs vs direct benefit while ignoring the larger returns that result.

      Picture for a moment Broadband internet. If a couple of universities needed to move large files then it wouldn't make sense to lay fiber optic lines across the country--you could just overnight fedex them. But once you do lay fiber to everybody suddenly you can teleconference, you can have movies delivered to the home, you can create an entire entertainment sector where people play MMOs etc etc...

      When I was in highschool I had to plead with my parents to get internet. And then a second phone line. And then broadband. Now thanks to what I mostly learned on the internet I have a high paying job. It was a great investment that they made--but not one necessarily that looked like it should pay itself off. I mostly wanted high-speed admittedly to play games. As a gaming connection it was a complete money loser. But it opened up my world and from that I found unintended consequences.

      Conservatives tend to be the ones who always bemoan the unintended consequences of market intervention. But for some reason everyone seems to believe that there can only be negative unintended consequences.

    4. Re:Just for comparison.... by DeathSquid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      A lot of people don't realize how expensive trains are. I took an hour-and-a-half trip in Spain recently, and it cost 50 Euros. Are people really willing to pay that? The trip from SF to LA will cost two or three times that. What is there to entice a person to ride the train instead of fly or drive? Flying in Europe is often cheaper than taking the train. And if you have more than one person going (talking about the US again), driving is just more economical, and not necessarily slower.

      Until you've used a good train system, it is really hard to understand why it is better. Afterwards, it's obvious.

      For example, in Japan (and Europe) fast trains are better than commercial flights because there is no messing around getting to and from distant airports, no long checkin queues, no excess luggage charges, no long security queues, no requirement for invasive searches/imaging, much more legroom, more comfortable seating, a smoother ride, you can use your phone/electronics the entire trip, no waiting for checked luggage to appear at the end (or maybe not), and they are much more punctual and much less affected by inclement weather. For a city to city trip, I would prefer a fast train for any trip less than around 4-5 hours.

      A fast train may even cost a bit more than a discounted flight. But I still prefer them because they are generally faster, more reliable and far more comfortable.

      Furthermore, fast trains are safer (Japan's shinkansen has had zero fatalities due to derailment/collision, ever) and they can make use of non-carbon emitting power sources. They are especially far safer (and more relaxing) than driving.

    5. Re:Just for comparison.... by rAiNsT0rm · · Score: 2

      Well, seeing as how I worked for the US side of one of Japan's most well-known (and loved) train mfrs... I may know the reality of the situation here in the US. And even from your own post, notice how you had to go back to the 1800s? Ever notice how our infrastructure is STILL in the 1800s? It may come as a surprise but wooden railroad ties are not the bee's knees of technology an haven't been for quite a long damn time. It is one of the main reasons why we can't have any sort of high-speed rail here.Nah, everything is perfectly fine with our system... just keep telling yourself that.

      --
      http://teasphere.wordpress.com - A little spot of tea
  2. Re:2027? 2045? by stonedcat · · Score: 2

    Knowing Japan, by 2014 they'll have found a way to build it in 1/3 of the time.
    Meanwhile the rest of the world will continue to lag 10+ years behind them in technology like we have for decades.

    --
    You can't take the sky from me.
  3. Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by hackertourist · · Score: 5, Interesting

    TFA mentions 67 minutes travel time. The Shinkansen takes 155 minutes for the same distance, so this would be a significant improvement. The cities are 500 km apart, even an airplane would not take significantly less than an hour.

    1. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by 91degrees · · Score: 2

      It's not too much of a stretch. They've been relevant in Japan for 140 years.

    2. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Why wouldn't they be? A country with the population density of Japan can't support individual transport methods for the same leg to get the volume of people needed, and bulk transport like Airplanes have recently shown to have security clearance lines which are longer than then entire trip would take on the maglev.

      For distances like this, the convenience of buying a ticket and getting on can't be matched. Providing there is sufficient volume of people traveling between two destinations a train is an excellent choice.

    3. Re:Compared to Shinkansen or airplane by robbak · · Score: 2

      As these things are competing with air travel, high speed rail will come into it's own as the high energy liquid fuels required for aircraft become scarce.

      --
      Prediction for end of Universe #42: Fencepost error in Quantum_bogosort.cpp
  4. Re:2027? 2045? by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Will it? Where's your nearest thing to a 1964 bullet train?

  5. Exactly why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why would they have to raise our taxes? Invade one less third world shithole per presidency, and the budget wouldn't be balanced, we'd have a fucking surplus that could see us with goddamned maglev trains to the goddamned doorstep.

    But of course, THAT'S SOCIALISM. And we don't stand for none of that there socialism here in 'murrica.

    1. Re:Exactly why? by garyebickford · · Score: 2

      It's worth noting that there is not a single rail transport system in the world that is self-supporting. (That's also true of highways and air transport, depending on what you count.) So we would have to agree that rail is worth doing. It is the most energy efficient way of moving people besides bicycle - provided that the people are going where the train goes! (IMHO it's also the most comfortable and enjoyable, at least for us great unwashed who don't have a 'Capitalist Tool'.)

      Beyond the cost of building and running the rail system, the biggest problem with all mass transport systems is that the trip tends to take longer than other options - driving typically takes about 1/3 the time as taking the bus. So even if the bus is free, it's really more expensive for the rider, unless the rider makes minimum wage and doesn't own a car. (Of course this ignores externalities - pollution, use of space for ten-lane freeways, etc.)

      The biggest issue here in the US is that well before the rise of the automobile, we built a society based on the buckboard wagon, the horse and buggy, and the Conestoga wagon. Those are replaced today by the pickup truck, the car, and (more or less) the RV. We have a widely distributed populace, with both and infrastructure and a social system that is intimately tied with the 'sub - urban' world and world view. A related factor is that the US has one of the lowest mean population densities of any country in the world.

      So not only is it expensive and only rarely cost effective to build mass transport systems here, there is little short term preference. Folks outside the big cities here, by and large, just don't like being next to other people in enclosed spaces. (One could argue that's indicative why many of our ancestors left wherever it was they're from.)

      Back when I lived in Southern California, Amtrak spent $millions on a plan for high speed rail from LA to San Diego. Every small town between the two cities sued to prevent it, and Amtrak finally gave up. Without a national eminent domain program on the scale of the Interstate Highway System, it's really not going to happen. I came up with the idea that the gov't. could nationalize the physical rail system (making them analogous to the federal highways), and allow private enterprise to run trains on them (analogous to the commercial trucking industry). I think this would work.

      I personally really like the trains - but they are still too expensive, even though they are subsidized. It's often more expensive to take the train between two cities than to fly, and because of track conditions and the fact that freight takes priority, it often takes as long as riding the bus. So, other than the enjoyment, it's the worst of all options.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  6. Re:2027? 2045? by citizenr · · Score: 2

    Naw, compared to Dubai, Japan is living in the middle ages.

    because swimming in SHIT on the streets is so futuristic

    --
    Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
  7. Have you not been paying attention? by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    Well, Congress may actually have to raise our taxes (gasp) and not contract the lowest bidder, but progress isn't free.

    Raising taxes: given.

    Then it's not the lowest bidder - it's the one who has donated the most money to the political party in power.

    Then that company builds out a half-assed train that no-one ends up using because it goes right to some congressman's home town instead of somewhere useful.

    Do you seriously expect anything else out of congress?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  8. Dont those things need electricity? by Kenja · · Score: 3, Funny

    Just saying, first things first.

    --

    "Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
  9. Re:yay! by FishTankX · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As opposed to being groped or scanned, and then stuck in a 1 foot by 1 foot seat on an aluminum can that can fall out of the sky? Or be stuck going about 5x slower than said tin can in a car? o.o

    I don't know of any transportation method in the world other than maglev that can get you from the downtown area of one city, 300 miles away, to the down town area of another city in 70 minutes. Much less one that could acomplish that while not requiring security scans or invasive groping, and a scan of your luggage, or heck, any luggage weight limits whatsoever.

  10. Re:China has abandoned the MagLev.. Japan picks it by macshit · · Score: 2

    It's interesting that the Japanese are pursuing MagLev technology in light of its shortcomings.

    I'm no expert, but maglev of course has advantages and disadvantages. It is much more expensive to build the line, but because there's basically no wear (there's no physical contact, either with the rails, or with overhead catenary), it's much cheaper to maintain (maintenance on a heavily used conventional HSR line is quite demanding, as there's a lot of wear, and the line must be kept within strict tolerances). When using super-conducting magnets, the train can also be lighter (much of the motor mechanism is part of the track, not the train), and it's simpler to reach very high speeds and very high acceleration.

    Anyway, JR has more experience running conventional HSR lines than anybody else, so their judgement is not to be sneezed at -- and they're paying for the line themselves, so clearly they're putting their money where their mouth is...

    --
    We live, as we dream -- alone....
  11. A bit more information at NHK... by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    From Maglev project gets go-ahead:

    Japan's transport ministry has ordered the construction of infrastructure for magnetically levitated trains, putting the country's project for next-generation high-speed rail service fully on track.

    The ministry on Friday ordered the Central Japan Railway Company, or JR Tokai, to build maglev train tracks between Tokyo and Nagoya.

    Maglev trains boast a maximum operating speed of 500 kilometers per hour, and could travel the 340 kilometers between the 2 cities in just 40 minutes.

    The ministry told JR Tokai to build the tracks on an almost straight route, using underground tunnels to pass beneath a mountain range.

    The firm plans to start an environmental assessment this year and begin construction in 3 years.

    Maglev trains are to start operating between Tokyo and Nagoya in 2027 and between Tokyo and Osaka in 2045.

    The project is expected to cost 9 trillion yen, or nearly 113 billion dollars.
    Friday, May 27, 2011 17:04 +0900 (JST)

    The first leg is specified at 340km, and the total appears to be roughly 500km. At nearly 9 trillion yen, that would be 18*10^9 yen/km, or about 350 million dollars a mile. That looks ridiculously expensive, though a significant part of that may be drilling through mountain ranges. Often the maglev components themselves are insignificant compared to the necessary ground work, or securing rights of way.

    Still, I'm curious how much of that cost could be avoided by opting for an Inductrack based system instead. Inductrack is an elegant passive magnetic levitation system, which is vastly cheaper than conventional systems due to its profound simplicity. It also seems likely that they chose a nearly straight path, exactly because of the excessive track cost. If that is the case, the path flexibility afforded by using a cheaper technology, may have allowed for significantly less ground work and a more attractively priced system.

    In a country like the US with large flat expanses, Inductrack would make for an excellent intercity transit network. The costs are very reasonable, even when compared with conventional high-speed rail.

    1. Re:A bit more information at NHK... by macshit · · Score: 2

      Maglev track isn't cheap, but I don't think it's a significant part of the total cost... as you say, boring the track through several mountain ranges is likely the biggest component, along with, perhaps, land-acquisition (especially in the cities). A short path length not only reduces land and construction costs, it reduces journey times on the final system, which is very important for them.

      Moreover, initial track cost is less of an issue than long-term maintenance cost.

      In any case, JR has been developing their maglev tech for a long time, and have a lot of experience with it, and it meets their criteria pretty well (e.g., the large gap size makes the system more robust against things like earthquakes). They're not very likely to suddenly switch to something new unless the benefits -- both initial and long-term -- are absolutely incredible, and obvious. While inductrac sounds interesting,it doesn't sound like it really meets that threshold.

      --
      We live, as we dream -- alone....
  12. Re:2027? 2045? by jonadab · · Score: 2

    There's something about the plan that the summary isn't telling you: they're not linking Tokyo and Osaka by bullet train for the first time. It's more of a technology upgrade. They've had nozomi shinkansen (pronounced "no-zo-me-sheen-kahn-sane") making said trip in under two and a half hours, reaching speeds somewhere in the (rough estimate alert) neighborhood of 200 mph (though they can't average their top speed due to curves and acceleration and stuff), since the early nineties. You pay through the nose for the fastest train service, but it's available if you've got money. Before the current fastest service was introduced there were slower versions, going back to the sixties. Some of the slower lines are still in operation and are naturally somewhat more affordable to ride than the newest fastest one.

    According to the linked article, the new line will allow speeds over 300 mph and make the trip in under 100 minutes. I assume the quoted speed is a minimum for when the service is rolled out initially and that they'll find ways to improve it and shave a few minutes off the trip after they get it initially working (as they have done in the past with existing train services).

    --
    Cut that out, or I will ship you to Norilsk in a box.
  13. Re:2027? 2045? by NalosLayor · · Score: 2

    Wait, are you making an offensive Muslim joke or an offensive tsunami joke?

  14. Re:2027? 2045? by gilesjuk · · Score: 3, Informative

    He is referring to the fact that the city has grown so fast that they don't have a decent sewer system, much of the sewage goes into septic tanks which are drained and then tankers drive it to a sewage processing plant. But some tankers illegally dump it so it ends up in the sea.

  15. Re:2027? 2045? by GooberToo · · Score: 2

    Perhaps you should learn some history of Dubai. The city largely exists as is specifically because they understand the oil money won't last forever. That city specifically exists as is knowing full well the money will run out. Dubai is their answer, not the question.

  16. Re:2027? 2045? by DeathSquid · · Score: 2

    It's more of a technology upgrade. They've had nozomi shinkansen (pronounced "no-zo-me-sheen-kahn-sane") making said trip in under two and a half hours, reaching speeds somewhere in the (rough estimate alert) neighborhood of 200 mph (though they can't average their top speed due to curves and acceleration and stuff), since the early nineties.

    I live in Japan and speak Japanese. That's definitely not how you pronounce shinkansen. :-)

    This is not simply a technology upgrade, like previous shinkansen improvements. This is a new set of tracks following a new inland route, of which around 60% is expected to be tunnel. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ch%C5%AB%C5%8D_Shinkansen has more details. Interestingly, it will be funded privately.

    This type of vast infrastructure investment is why Japan's economy works so well despite western economists talking it down for decades now. The problem is that short term econometrics don't account for ongoing infrastructure benefits that keep delivering for decades. Japan has been investing like this since the 50's and that's why the standard of living here is streets ahead of anywhere else I've seen.

  17. Re:2027? 2045? by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 2

    No it isn't...

    If you want to see the answer to what one does with such a large source of oil wealth in a small country, on looks to Norway. When brand new desalination plants are built that run on oil you know there's a serious lack of forward-thinking.

    --
    - These characters were randomly selected.
  18. Re:yay! by FishTankX · · Score: 2

    I should rephrase then. I don't know of many transportation methods that can get you in the door of your departure station and out the door of your destination station traveling 300 miles from downtown to downtown in an hour and a half.
    (Disclaimer, I live in Japan)
    This is part of why the shinkansen is so succesfull. Note that I realize my previous analogy is maglev to planes, and this is shinkansen to planes. So this is a seperate discussion.

    But the reason why the shinkansen has been succesfull is that generally airports aren't built downtown. They're built far away, where the noise pollution and traffic would be undesirable to put smack dab in the middle of town.

    however, in Japan, trainstations are generally as close as possible to the heart of town, and as such, you can merely enter the station, buy your ticket in five minutes, board in another 5, be on your way, and at your destination be out in five minutes.

    However the same process takes nearly an hour (counting both departure and arrival) in a best case scenario with an airplane. Thus, for shorthaul flights the planes don't make any more sense than a train. And Japan is shorthaul travel centric due to the size of the country. Going from the northern most island (Hokkaido) to the southern most island (kyuushuu), airplanes make total sense. But if you're just hopping a flight from Tokyo to Osaka, which is ALMOST possible to do in a straight line, there's just no point in bothering with aircraft because, even WITH the costs and journey times being similar, people generally dislike airports, you generally have to pay for parking at the airport (where as rail stations are close enough that bicycle access is highly practical) and there are many many more places to get into the rail network. I live pretty far from downtown in my area but I can technically start a rail journey to Tokyo with a ten minute bike ride to the local train station, on a complete whim. (The last part is important, I feel that air travel is less flexible than rail, I rarley if ever have a problem getting a ticket with 0 advanced notice unless it's newyears.)

    Having a working maglev line between Tokyo and Osaka may tip the scales enough that even if it is slightly more expensive than the shinkansen (and I can guarantee you it will be), it will STILL be the fastest way to get between the two points, thus probably gobbling up most of the passengers that would have otherwise flown. That's probably why this line is being constructed. I think the Tokyo Osaka route is one of the most heavily traveled non local train routes in the world, so there's probably enough traffic to make it pay.