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World Internet Traffic To Top 966 Exabytes In 2015

Mark.JUK writes "Networking giant Cisco has released its latest annual Visual Networking Index (VNI) today, which forecasts that world internet traffic will quadruple by 2015 to reach 965.5 ExaBytes per year (up from 242.4 ExaBytes in 2010); when 40% of the world's population will be online (i.e. 3bn Internet users). Internet video will account for 61% of all consumer traffic in the same year, while P2P (File Sharing) will decline significantly to just 16%."

13 of 100 comments (clear)

  1. It's hard to predict, especially the future by jandrese · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I wonder if 4 years ago Cicso was saying that streaming video was going to account for the majority of internet traffic in 2011? Trying to extrapolate future data use based on current trends is a risky business, and historically people have gotten it wrong a lot. 4 years is a very long time in internet time, who knows what new technology will come along in the meantime and soak up all of the bandwidth?

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    I read the internet for the articles.
  2. Re:How do they get the numbers? by iceaxe · · Score: 2

    Here's a good start on an explanation: Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015. Summary on the web page, pdf with details linked on the page.

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    WALSTIB!
  3. Armageddon for ISPs by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

    ISPs must be worried. At the moment they can throttle "heavy" users and still claim "unlimited" service, but even now we are seeing many of them being unable to copy with streaming video demands in the evenings. Soon everyone will be a heavy user.

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  4. Meanwhile in Canada... by Frederic54 · · Score: 2

    in 2015, our monthly cap would have increased from 50GB/month to maybe 100GB/month, with $7 per additionnal GB, all of this for only $99/month!

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    "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
    1. Re:Meanwhile in Canada... by gstoddart · · Score: 4, Informative

      in 2015, our monthly cap would have increased from 50GB/month to maybe 100GB/month, with $7 per additionnal GB, all of this for only $99/month!

      Actually, by 2015 I see our monthly cap getting smaller as they continue to not invest in upgrading their networks.

      The last decade has more or less been comprised of Bell and Rogers charging us more for less, and telling us it's an improvement.

      If I tried to buy the same cell-phone plan I have now from the same company, it would cost $10/month more -- for less minutes, and the "evenings and weekends" starting after 9pm instead of 6pm.

      From what I can tell, the major telcos are using their 10 year old infrastructure, charging is more for it, and telling us that it's new and improved.

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      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    2. Re:Meanwhile in Canada... by Tanktalus · · Score: 2

      According to my Shaw customer-care page, my monthly cap (at 25Mbps) is 100GB (up+down). Last month, I managed to get to 94GB. My normal is about 60GB.

      While this doesn't really invalidate your point (why merely 100GB per month?), I do think proper numbers are in order. It may just be that Shaw sucks less than Rogers. Then again, you probably live in Toronto, which thinks that "Toronto" and "Canada" are synonymous, thus the confusion. (Your nick makes me think Quebec, but I find it's generally pretty rare for Quebecers to refer to themselves as "in Canada".)

  5. P2P decline only as a percentage by hackertourist · · Score: 2

    According to TFA P2P volume increases, just not as quickly as other traffic.

  6. Re:966 EB by maxwell+demon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Now if only Slashdot admin would get a clue about JavaScript we could get rid of the irritating "Working..." graphic permanently stuck at the bottom of each page.

    Oh yeah and when you click on a post in a message they could fix their CSS so every single click (even to cut and paste) doesn't redirect you to the top of the page.

    Do they never preview and test anything before putting it on the production servers? Sloppy and unprofessional.

    Also, it would be nice if the score of a post would be shown also if several parent posts are collapsed. And if clicking somewhere in a post with collapsed ancestors would do whatever the action is for that place (follow a link, place focus into input box, etc) instead of uncollapsing one of the ancestors.

    Or basically, make Slashdot again a site that works.

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    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  7. Break down by benwiggy · · Score: 4, Funny

    50% Porn
    23% Lol Cats
    10% Facebook
    5% Teen sensation
    2% Conspiracy theories, petitions, "Do this to stop Facebook checking up on you", etc.
    0.5% Email
    0.4% Business
    0.1% Literature, Science, Art, other stuff that is beneficial to mankind

  8. Re:Decline in P2P? by ciderbrew · · Score: 2

    but p2p is how paedophiles, terrorists and people who copy files use the internet. They are all evil and the same and and and .. . must be stopped!

  9. Re:Decline in P2P? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2

    Pedophile 2 Pedophile?

    Backronym doesn't work as well with terrorists though :(

    Just rename them to pterrorists.

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    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  10. Look at all those copies... by VortexCortex · · Score: 2

    Look at all those copies. It's no wonder that our outdated copyright laws can't possibly keep up in the Information Age.

    We couldn't obey those laws if we tried... How many copies traverse routers without license -- I've yet to see a web page that says:

    Copyright (c) 2001, 2008-2010 Someone
    Duplication of this content is expressly permitted via intermediary routers and information caching servers for the sole purpose of distributing this work to visitors of this website so long as these intermediary duplications are temporary -- destroyed after a period having a duration no longer than 72 hours.

    Every last one of us commits contributory infringement via inducing the breach of copyright on our behalf...

    Ironically, it seems that only works produced under the Free Software, Creative Commons, and Open Source copyright licenses can be legally transmitted simply because these licenses seek to reverse or nullify the restrictions granted by copyright. ("Copyleft -- all rights reversed.")

    The founding fathers wrote that we should uphold the spirit of the laws they set forth -- Thus allowing old laws to remain relevant and sever their purpose instead of being twisted by time and interpretations of the letter of the law.

    Copyright was allowed to exist for the benefit of the society as a whole. Now that it can not be upheld, and the society suffers its weight it should be abolished. How do you know the web page's copyright notice until you've already copied the page many times?!.

    Copyright was intended to allow artists & authors to keep the greedy publishers at bay -- Now the greedy publishers use the law to harm the general public and the authors/artists. Additionally, with our own computers we are all elevated to the status of "publisher" or "distributor" when we should not have been, thus allowing the harsh law to ensnare us all when it was intended to restrict only a few.

    The spirit of the law has been violated; We ignored the foresight of the founding fathers. Now we suffer in our arrogance.

  11. 61% Video Traffic? by TheVelvetFlamebait · · Score: 2

    As champions of the internet, I believe that it is Comcast's solemn duty to start sabotaging video traffic now, before things get out of hand.

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