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Could the US Phase Out Nuclear Power?

mdsolar writes "In the wake of the Fukushima nuclear disaster in Japan, [German Chancellor] Merkel announced that her country would close all of its 17 existing reactors by 2022. Other nations, including Japan, Italy, and Switzerland, have announced plans to pare back nuclear power, but none have gone as far as Germany, the world's fourth-largest economy. Merkel vows to replace nuclear power with alternatives that do not increase greenhouse gases or shackle the economic growth. Could the US do the same? An increasing number of reports suggest it is not beyond the realm of possibility, and Germany could provide a road map."

26 of 657 comments (clear)

  1. Longer Answer: by Colonel+Korn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And neither can Germany.

    --
    "I zero-index my hamsters" - Willtor (147206)
    1. Re:Longer Answer: by Dyinobal · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Indeed, I read the article about Germany's plan to phase out nuclear power, and honestly it felt more like a short term grab for political power in the wake of Japan's issues to get more votes from the antinuke/enviormental crowd than an actual plan with substance.

    2. Re:Longer Answer: by h4rr4r · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sure they can, just buy power from France. Who are of course using Nuclear power plants on the other side of the river.

    3. Re:Longer Answer: by Caerdwyn · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Germany is not phasing out nuclear power. They will need to import power in the short- and medium-term from France and England, both of which are nuclear-heavy (particularly France). Germany will still use nuclear-generated electricity; they're just playing a "not in my back yard" game. And by "they", I mean politicians which are pandering to their electorate to try to keep in power.

      Long-term, they are putting themselves at the mercy of Russia. The NordStream natural gas pipeline will eventually be providing fuel, which can and will be used as a political lever (Russia has successfully done so several times in the past to strong-arm NATO over membership for the Ukraine and Georgia). Also, natural gas is a fossil fuel just like oil, and if the CO2 boogeyman is still the boogeyman, well... how does that not cause problems? On a per-megawatt basis, nuclear power remains much cheaper than natural gas, and a full decimal order of magnitude cheaper than solar (recall how far north Germany is. That's a problem for solar.) Switching from nuclear power to natural gas is not a step forward, economically, politically, ecologically

      This is just another example of politicians doing long-term harm for short-term political dominance.

      --
      Everybody gets what the majority deserves.
    4. Re:Longer Answer: by thelovebus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      How much of that renewable energy is subsidized? Considering Spain's current budget issues, I hope not much, because otherwise the price of energy in Spain could be very unstable.

      I'm certainly not anti-renewable, but nuclear energy is such an attractive alternative I hate seeing all the fear-mongering that goes on with it.

      Additionally, the link you provided says that only 32% of Spain's electricity is generated from renewable sources, not "over half".

    5. Re:Longer Answer: by nharmon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Spain does not export energy to France. It imports energy from France, and exports energy to Portugal, Morocco, and Andorra.

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/dec/28/spain-renewables-energy-electricity-france

    6. Re:Longer Answer: by Vlad_the_Inhaler · · Score: 4, Informative

      It most definitely was that.
      There were State elections in Baden Wuertemburg several weeks ago, the CDU have *always* ruled there - often with over 50% of the votes.

      The Ecology Party (Gruenen) won the election and are going into coalition with the SPD. The FDP (the CDU's partners at State and national level) did not get any seats at all. Merkel panicked.

      There were some major reasons why the CDU lost their majority - mostly CDU initiatives which had gone expensively south, although Fukushima will also have been a factor. The CDU decided they had lost touch with their electorate (true) and it was all down to Fukushima (debatable).

      There are several State elections this year. One has been held since that nuclear decision. The CDU came in third, their worst result anywhere since the war. The FDP did not pick up any seats there either.

      --
      Mielipiteet omiani - Opinions personal, facts suspect.
    7. Re:Longer Answer: by Anspen · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Germany is not phasing out nuclear power. They will need to import power in the short- and medium-term from France and England, both of which are nuclear-heavy (particularly France). Germany will still use nuclear-generated electricity; they're just playing a "not in my back yard" game. And by "they", I mean politicians which are pandering to their electorate to try to keep in power.

      Off course they will continue to im- and export electricity to neighbouring countries depending on the day. That's how the electricity market works. France's nuclear reactor for example tend to produce far to little electricity during the hottest part of the summer since they are mostly dependent on river water for cooling. Looking at the total energy consumption and production over the course of a year however Germany has a large electricity surplus. In 2009 this was 54.1 TWh (592.6 produced vs. 538.5 consumed)

      As a matter of fact, the seven oldest nuclear plants can be shutdown without any problems immediately (which is what happened) since there is a significant production surplus. Even without the other nuclear power plants and all wind and solar power Germany still has enough production capacity to meet it's highest consumption moment so far. In practice that moment is always during the afternoon when you are guaranteed at least a quarter of installed solar power plus some of the wind power (since it's distributed across the fairly large country).

      Long-term, they are putting themselves at the mercy of Russia. The NordStream natural gas pipeline will eventually be providing fuel, which can and will be used as a political lever (Russia has successfully done so several times in the past to strong-arm NATO over membership for the Ukraine and Georgia).

      However, unlike the Ukraine and Georgia Germany has other sources of Gas (the Netherlands and Norway) and significant storage capacity.

      Also, natural gas is a fossil fuel just like oil, and if the CO2 boogeyman is still the boogeyman, well... how does that not cause problems? On a per-megawatt basis, nuclear power remains much cheaper than natural gas, and a full decimal order of magnitude cheaper than solar (recall how far north Germany is. That's a problem for solar.) Switching from nuclear power to natural gas is not a step forward, economically, politically, ecologically

      The difference is that gas can be put into service (or out) much faster than nuclear. Itâ(TM)s a much better partner for intermittent renewables (Which is what Germany is going for to replace the nuclear power plants). And while existing nuclear electricity is indeed very cheap (because the massive investment cost have already been depreciated and because the producers donâ(TM)t have to pay for decommissioning). New nuclear power is a lot more expensive, doubly so after Fukushima. Building one on spec (that is, without public financial guarantees and/or investment)to be finished in 2018 is already more expensive than some of the feed in tariffs paid in Germany for solar now. Most wind is already cheaper than any kind nuclear plant that still has to be built. And solar is expected to continue getting cheaper (the price of photovoltaic installations in Germany has halved in the last five years thanks to economy of scale and technological improvements)

      This is just another example of politicians doing long-term harm for short-term political dominance.

      Well, the nuclear fase out plan in Germany has been on the books for years. Itâ(TM)s was only in the last y

  2. FUD article by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No. This is just another anti-nuclear FUD article from mdsolar. Secondly, if the US did phase it out what exactly is going to replace it? More coal plants? Yeah, that sounds like a brilliant plan but would be an extremely amusing backfire from the anti-nuke nuts campaign.

    1. Re:FUD article by Lunix+Nutcase · · Score: 4, Informative

      No, I just needed to see "mdsolar writes" to know this submission is just pure FUD.

    2. Re:FUD article by eln · · Score: 5, Funny

      all the extra land required to build these alternatives.

      No worries, nothing bad has ever happened because Germany decided they needed more land.

    3. Re:FUD article by Qzukk · · Score: 4, Funny

      Das vooooosssshhhhh!

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
  3. Re:Short Answer by enderjsv · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sure they could. Never underestimate the power of fear and ignorance, my friend.

  4. Of course we could... by loshwomp · · Score: 4, Informative

    ...and the coal industry would be thrilled.

  5. Why? Nuclear is the *safest* form of power.. by Richard_J_N · · Score: 5, Informative
  6. From Isaac Asimov's "Foundation" by Red+Jesus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And you men and half of the Internet as well are just as bad. We sit here, considering Wikipedia the all-in-all. We consider the greatest end of science is the classification of past data. It is important, but is there no further work to be done? We're receding and forgetting, don't you see? Here in the America they've lost nuclear power. In Japan, a power plant has undergone meltdown because of poor repairs, and the Chancellor of the Empire complains that nuclear technicians are scarce. And the solution? To train new ones? Never! Instead they're to restrict nuclear power.

    --Salvor Hardin, paraphrased

  7. Get rid of existing plants . . . by Joey+Vegetables · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The most rational, prudent, safe, and progressive thing to do would be to phase out the current, 1st generation plants, but simultaneously remove, insofar as possible, obstacles to safer 2nd / 3rd generation designs such as CANDU.

  8. Re:Short Answer by mlts · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Don't forget Big Oil and Big Coal. They would love the US to be nuclear free. There are plenty of lignite coal deposits and plenty of small towns just itching for toxic mine tailings to wind up in the ground water.

    Realistically, lets close nuclear plants... the first gen ones. Replace those with passively safe breeding designs like TWR that can happily chug on fuel until it is plain old lead suitable for adding to paint chips. Done right, we can take the high level nuclear products from older reactors and use it for more than triggering NIMBY knee jerk politics near Yucca Mountain.

    There is nothing wrong with nuclear power. We just need to move to designs of plants made after the conflict in Viet Nam, or ideally, designs made this millennium.

  9. Re:Short Answer by nharmon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Are you referring to the fear and ignorance of saying a phase out of nuclear power is irresponsible? Or the fear and ignorance of saying nuclear power can never be safe?

    I forgot which one we're supposed to side with.

  10. Re:Short Answer by drooling-dog · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Never underestimate the power of fear and ignorance

    Fear, maybe, but ignorance? I'd say it's more an issue of trust. Not everyone can be a nuclear engineer, but most can smell the stink when the assurances they are given by them are contradicted repeatedly by empirical reality. When people who purport to know what they're talking about ridicule popular concerns about safety and accidents, they allow themselves to appear cavalier about those matters, which erodes public confidence even further.

    Personally, I believe that nuclear energy should be part of the mix in the future. But the next time the impossible happens and a reactor melts down, don't try to convince me that it's no worse than standing next to a bunch of bananas.

  11. Re:If we didn't have nuclear power, we would be fi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If we want to be sure that we don't want one of our major cities to be blown up one day, we should shut down nuclear power

    Of course! It is not like there are THOUSANDS of NUCLEAR WEAPONS ready to do actual damage at moments notice. No sir!! After all, nuclear power produces plutonium so efficiently that the highly inefficient US military decided to make their own plutonium pits instead for these weapons..

    And of course plutonium cannot be used as a fuel because using that instead of virgin uranium makes bunnies cry.

    proliferation point of view, with respect to the risk of nuclear terrorism

    I say we go further. burn all physics books!, especially those ones that deal with particle and nuclear physics. No one needs to know about cross sections. It is the devils knowledge!!

    On a more serious note, anyone that brings up proliferation as a significant problem is a little crazy. You know, there are these things like radiation detectors that can detect a few atoms of contamination. I think they would detect a nuclear reactor worth of fuel going missing... It is not easy to build a nuclear weapon even though conceptually it seems so. An effective plutonium device is very difficult to produce and a "dirty bomb" is the most useless type of a bomb and it is easy to clean up.

    If you want to worry about proliferation, worry about chemical and biological agents because these happened and are likely to happen again.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2001_anthrax_attacks
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarin_gas_attack_on_the_Tokyo_subway

    Here's a nice list of attempting smuggling of nuclear stuff. Basically all after USSR fell apart. None of these were sourced from nuclear energy. They call came from nuclear weapons programs.

    http://articles.latimes.com/keyword/smuggling-russia

    PS. This was mostly sarcasm, but since mdsolar is probably modding with 10 accounts, this will get -1 anyway ;)

    And finally, nuclear energy from Uranium will not become exhausted for at least 1000 years. With fusion, nuclear will be permanent base load, unless we nuke ourselves over coal/oil/gas/food/water (take your pick) to kingdom come..

  12. Bogus. by Mike+Van+Pelt · · Score: 4, Informative

    Power reactors do not produce plutonium for bombs. A power reactor fuel cycle produces plutonium that contains a substantial percentage of the isotopes Pu240 and Pu242. These are fine for reactor fuel, but they have a high spontaneous fission rate, which makes them very bad for bombs. (Hint: Neither India nor Pakistan used plutonium from their power reactors to make their bombs -- they both went to the great trouble and expense of building special-purpose breeder reactors. Ask yourself why.)

  13. MDSOLAR, REVEAL YOURSELF. by TrisexualPuppy · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is yet another FUD article on nuclear power submitted by mdsolar. I personally have nothing against publicizing the dangers of nuclear power, but this should be done in a fair way. User mdsolar has repeatedly posted FUD articles on nuclear power and frequently gets them through because of the mass volume of his submissions and the lack of attention paid by the moderators to specific users' agendas.

    mdsolar, reveal yourself. What is your viable plan for generating electricity once you have wiped all the reactors off the map? How do you plan on dealing with the decommissioning and waste? Could you try easing up and submitting articles not chock-full of such alarmist banter? Are you a BP employee?

    1. Re:MDSOLAR, REVEAL YOURSELF. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How is asking the question whether the US could phase out nuclear power FUD? It's a perfectly legitimate question. The GP just does not want it asked, so he resorts to an ad hominem/poisoning the well against the submitter. It's perfectly fine to ask what we do with the waste, by the way. And if the answer - as you, and the GP seem to agree upon - is that we have no clue, that is a pretty strong argument to research possibilities of a phase-out, instead of accumulating more of it.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  14. Re:Short Answer by Patch86 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Anything which deals in absolutes is probably fear and/or ignorance based. The truth usually lies somewhere in the middle.

    Phasing out nuclear power in some geographical areas might not be the stupidest thing in the world. Banning it from a whole continent surely is.

  15. Re:Mod parent up! by NoSleepDemon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Reading through the first and second pages comes up with such treats as "Fukushima meltdown could be template for terror", "sustainability experts: nuclear energy not essential", "radiation understated after quake" and "nuclear in 2018 more expensive than solar PV today". Definitely an agenda there, especially with the abuse of the word 'terror', regardless of whether or not the stories are credible.