Fermi Lab's New Particle Discovery in Question
"Back in April physicists at Fermilab speculated that they may have discovered a new force or particle. But now another team has analyzed data from the collider and come to the exact opposite conclusion. From the article: 'But now, a rival team performing an independent analysis of Tevatron data has turned up no sign of the bump. It is using the same amount of data as CDF reported in April, but this data was collected at a different detector at the collider called DZero. "Nope, nothing here – sorry," says Dmitri Denisov, a spokesman for DZero.'"
I think more than anything, this demonstrates why sharing data openly is such a good thing. Sure, not great news for those at Fermi Lab, but if scientists generally (especially those in the behavioural sciences...) were encouraged (or forced?) to allow others free access to their data then I'm sure a few surprising claims might be rewritten and a few interesting blips otherwise missed might be found.
Wasn't there a story on slashdot just last week about the people who released the data saying the same thing?
http://science.slashdot.org/story/11/06/10/1455240/Data-Review-Brings-Major-Setback-In-Higgs-Boson-Hunt
oh, I guess there was.
What about this comment on the original /. post:
D0 has done this same sort of analysis, and they do not see this bump. But, their background modeling procedure involves reweighting the expected distributions (from Monte Carlo) in delta R between the jets (sort of an angular separation between the jets), which is a variable that is strongly correlated with the dijet mass. That is, their background model would be expected to have a strong tendency to fill in a bump like this. Now, which model is more correct is open to question, but it is certainly true that whether or not this bump turns out to be from real new physics (unlikely, in my professional opinion), their procedure is almost guaranteed not to find it.
When the 'climategate' memos first came up, most of us noticed that they were about tree ring data, which was secondary to actual measured temperatures and such things in the 'man-made global warming' debate. Then some of us noticed that it was about a small percentage of trees growing at high altitudes, which made it all of tertiary significance at best.
People started arguing over whether the researchers were bending the rules of science or not, was it a political conspiracy or not, and endless arguments about who was deliberately eeeeville, when they should have been looking more at how much difference it made.
It all seemed analogous to people finding out that some government type had paid 20,000 dollars to put a neon light covered statue of Elvis in front of the town hall. People got to arguing over whether it was tasteful or not, whether the government had authority to do it or not, and so on, but then one side said "And it really, really matters, because we could have eliminated the federal deficit and even funded a whole extra war with what was left over from that 20,000 dollars." and somehow, that claim was never questioned by a great many.
I see this same sort of thing now in so many areas. Casey Anthony's trial. A forensic pathologist with an exceptionally good reputation testifies, and since he is making a machine that can identify traces of human remains decay, the defence argues that he is biased towards saying anything that might help possible sales of that machine. Never mind that his working for a national laboratory, developing just such devices, is some sort of evidence he is an exceptionally good expert witness - try to make it so a mark of his high quality instead becomes a reason to distrust his testimony, and see if the jury will bite.
Or John Kerry gets three purple hearts. Raise questions about one of them, and see how many of the public will automatically believe that all three were tainted. The more military medals a person gets, the easier it is to find one that sounds a little fishy, so any time somebody runs for office with a Medal of Honor and half a dozen other awards for extreme valor, it will be a piece of cake to find something about at least one, relentlessly attack whichever award sounds weakest, and prove the public should vote for your candidate, who maybe next time this trick is tried, doesn't have a record of this type at all to be challenged. Turn what should normally be an asset into a liability.
Who is John Cabal?