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Indication of Neutrino Transformation Observed

AmiMoJo writes "A Japanese research group says it has observed for the first time an indication that a type of neutrino can change into another type. The group generated a large amount of neutrinos at the Japan Proton Accelerator Research Complex, or J-PARC, in the prefecture's Tokai Village, and aimed them at the Super-Kamiokande observatory in Gifu Prefecture about 300 kilometers away, to look for neutrino oscillation. As a result, the group observed that muon neutrinos can change into electron neutrinos."

128 comments

  1. proof by Dr+Max · · Score: 3, Interesting

    How do they know they were the same neutrinos they launched out?

    --
    Rocket Surgeon.
    1. Re:proof by global_diffusion · · Score: 2

      They don't measure single particles. That's not actually possible and doesn't quite make sense. They just take tons and tons of statistics.

    2. Re:proof by davester666 · · Score: 2

      So, it just 'probably' happened?

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    3. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They checked their name-tags.

    4. Re:proof by global_diffusion · · Score: 2

      :)

      Nah, they know the beginning ratio and ending ratio of the different types. If they are not the same, then some must have flipped (or rotated, or whatever language the neutrino guys use these days).

    5. Re:proof by Billlagr · · Score: 2

      Stamped the back of their hands then checked that they had the stamp before letting them back in?

    6. Re:proof by Entropius · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yes. This is how statistics works.

      The standard definition of "probably" in the particle physics community is a five-sigma signal, which means that the odds of it happening by chance are 1.4 * 10^-14.

    7. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm measuring single neutrinos is actually possible. See for example the exact number of neutrinos observed by 3 different observatories during a supernova.

      I think it's fine to not know this, but you went out of your way to reply to someone with disinformation, why? That doesn't quite make sense.

    8. Re:proof by toQDuj · · Score: 1

      My guess is they selected only neutrinos coming from that particular direction.

      --
      Every experiment which ends in a big bang is a good experiment.
    9. Re:proof by tm2b · · Score: 1

      Why not? You filter out other kinds of decay with a block of lead, and run the signal from the single muon through a PMT, and presto, you have a measurable signal.

      This is a standard undergraduate modern physics lab experiment.

      --
      "It is our blasphemy which has made us great, and will sustain us, and which the gods secretly admire in us." - Zelazny
    10. Re:proof by dido · · Score: 4, Informative

      They don't, not in every case at least. They do, however, know the magnitude of the output neutrino flux from the accelerator in J-PARC, and from the process that generated them, that they are supposed to be muon neutrinos. The Super-Kamiokande is designed to detect neutrinos, as well as determine the type of neutrino they are detecting, and given the magnitude of the flux directed to them from J-PARC, they have statistical models that allow them to determine the statistical increase in the number of neutrino detection events they ought to see. Presumably they detected just about the number of neutrinos that they were supposed to, except that they weren't all muon neutrinos, as they would have expected if neutrinos did not oscillate, but a certain fraction of the increase were identified as electron neutrinos.

      The phenomenon of neutrino oscillations has been suspected for a long time, ever since the number of neutrinos coming from the sun was observed to be significantly less than expected, given the known models of the sun's nuclear reactions (which generate lots of neutrinos). This was before methods for detecting other neutrino types than the electron neutrino were developed, and the solar neutrino problem was a major open problem in physics for a long time. The same Super-Kamiokande was instrumental in establishing that the phenomenon of neutrino oscillation was the solution to the solar neutrino problem.

      This experiment is similar, but potentially it can be more finely controlled (not dependent on the far less controllable neutrino flux from the sun), so by fine-tuning it they can determine experimentally more properties of these mysterious particles. The phenomenon of neutrino oscillations is physics that lies beyond the Standard Model, and as such is bound to be extremely interesting. I do hope that J-PARC can continue their experiments soon, as their operations were affected by the Great Touhoku Earthquake last March.

      --
      Qu'on me donne six lignes écrites de la main du plus honnête homme, j'y trouverai de quoi le faire pendre.
    11. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...They're neutrinos. Not muons. The odds of an emitted neutrino even physically reacting with the detector is pretty slim.

    12. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is exactly what they do!! They're results are based on the observation of 6 electron neutrinos. The actual submitted article to Physical Review Letters, http://jnusrv01.kek.jp/public/t2k/node/2

    13. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you 'probably' didn't take high-school chemistry or physics?

    14. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the question was about measuring the same neutrino more than once - how else would you detect oscillation on a single neutrino?

    15. Re:proof by tm2b · · Score: 1

      Whoops, obviously a brain fart on my part. Oy. But they *do* measure individual neutrino interactions via the Cherenkov radiation emitted from their interactions in very large reservoirs of shielded heavy water.

      --
      "It is our blasphemy which has made us great, and will sustain us, and which the gods secretly admire in us." - Zelazny
    16. Re:proof by Artifakt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Only a very small fraction of neutrinos are captured by any detector. Most pass through without interaction. It's not possible to produce a neutrino, and swear that you have actually captured that particular neutrino at another spot. What the Japanese did is ran a procedure that created only (or at least predominately) a particular type of neutrino, and looked to see if the neutrinos arriving at the detector were all the same type (or types). Since the detector was also capturing the normal amount of neutrinos from other sources, such as the sun, in the normal mix of types, all that could be determined was that the total percentages of various types was either going to match all the other natural sources plus a spike in the one type emitted, or it wasn't, in which case some of the neutrinos from the source were changing phase.

      Anonymous Coward, again putting the A and C into character assassination.

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    17. Re:proof by Ardeaem · · Score: 1

      Yes. This is how statistics works.

      The standard definition of "probably" in the particle physics community is a five-sigma signal, which means that the odds of it happening by chance are 1.4 * 10^-14.

      No. The probability of a five-sigma signal (from a Gaussian) is exactly 0. The probability of a five-sigma sigma signal or one more extreme is 5.7 * 10^-7. I don't know where you got your number, but it isn't right.

    18. Re:proof by c0lo · · Score: 1
      Given that:
      a. a mole of substance contains somewhere around 10^23 particles
      b. 300 km between the source and the detector. Not to mention that the source is "Ibaraki Prefecture, east of Tokyo" (TFA), not exactly too far away from Fukushima
      c. "neutrino beams" are hardly something actually possible
      d. lots of other sources for neutrinos

      odds of 10^-14 magnitude doesn't seem actually that low. But maybe I'm wrong.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    19. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      They don't need to measure the type of neutrinos they're emitting, they already know what type they are.

    20. Re:proof by artor3 · · Score: 1

      a. What does a mole have to do with anything? You don't have a mole of neutrinos.
      b. Neutrinos don't tend to care what gets in their way, and move really fricken' fast. I doubt 300 km matters much.
      c. Neutrino beams are possible and do exist.
      d. Yes, there are lots of sources, but those sources can be measured and controlled for.

    21. Re:proof by c0lo · · Score: 0

      a. What does a mole have to do with anything? You don't have a mole of neutrinos.
      b. Neutrinos don't tend to care what gets in their way, and move really fricken' fast. I doubt 300 km matters much.

      How many possible sources of "noise" you have in 300 km? (i.e. radioactive particles that just decided to emit a neutrino?)

      c. Neutrino beams are possible and do exist.

      [quotation needed] I can't imagine how you manage to make sure your neutrino emissions goes only in a predetermined direction (thus, actually build a beam from them), I'd be happy to be shown how.

      d. Yes, there are lots of sources, but those sources can be measured and controlled for.

      Hmmm... are they now? Can you control all the radioactive decays that lead to a neutrino somewhere in those 300 km? (this assuming you can tell the direction of an incoming neutrino that interacted in your detector).

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    22. Re:proof by artor3 · · Score: 5, Informative

      How many possible sources of "noise" you have in 300 km? (i.e. radioactive particles that just decided to emit a neutrino?)

      The odds that a random bit of radioactive material creates a neutrino that just so happens to hit your detector are very small. And they can be controlled for...

      Can you control all the radioactive decays that lead to a neutrino somewhere in those 300 km?

      I get the feeling you're not well versed in science. You don't "control" every radioactive decay. You control for them. You run a control experiment and figure out how many and what sorts of neutrinos you expect to see. Then you turn on your neutrino source, and see how the counts change.

      And here's a source for the existence of neutrino beams: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magnetic_horn

    23. Re:proof by c0lo · · Score: 1
      + informative, please.

      I get the feeling you're not well versed in science... You control for them.

      Or, as an alternative explanation, I might have missed the for word in what you said.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    24. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1, Informative

      Not necessarily. They could be different neutrinos, caused by atoms in the way absorbing some neutrinos and emitting others. I am not sure but I suspect that is what GP was getting at. Rather than evidence of neutrinos actually changing from one type to another, it seems just as likely (more likely?) that intervening matter performed a conversion. Just as, say, a crystal or a gas can "change" a laser's color by absorbing photons and then emitting others of a different frequency, maybe matter is absorbing these neutrinos and emitting others with different properties.

    25. Re:proof by Shimbo · · Score: 4, Informative

      I can't imagine how you manage to make sure your neutrino emissions goes only in a predetermined direction (thus, actually build a beam from them), I'd be happy to be shown how.

      Relativity, essentially. The neutrinos head off in random directions in the rest frame of the emitter. You take a beam of high energy muons, and keep them in a storage 'ring', with two or three long straight sections precisely aligned at the detector.* If your muons start with high energies compared to the energy of their decay, you will get a fairly well collimated beam of neutrinos.

      *Or at least it used to be, in the case of J-PARC. It's going to take them a while to sort the mess out.

    26. Re:proof by AlecC · · Score: 2

      This would imply that the absorbing/emitting matter emitted it in exactly the same direction, which seems unlikely. Secondly, neutrinos are notorious for not interacting with matter. Thirdly, this process is believed to happen between sun and earth, which doesn't contain much matter.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    27. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How the f*ck does an atom absorb a neutrino?

    28. Re:proof by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      The odds that a random bit of radioactive material creates a neutrino that just so happens to hit your detector are very small.

      You might have missed the following bit from grand-parent:

      Not to mention that the source is "Ibaraki Prefecture, east of Tokyo" (TFA), not exactly too far away from Fukushima

    29. Re:proof by Tim+C · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Not necessarily. They could be different neutrinos, caused by atoms in the way absorbing some neutrinos and emitting others.

      It's not entirely an oversimplification to say "that won't happen" - solar neutrinos pass straight through the Earth for example. (See the Wikipedia page)

    30. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Note: I'm a neutrino physicist AC.

      Neutrino oscillations are real, and have been proven a long time ago (MINOS even saw the energy dependence!). What's new here is that one of the oscillation parameters (theta_13) was assumed to be zero. The probability of a muon neutrino oscillating to an electron neutrino is directly proportional to sin theta_13; so, if the angle is zero, the probability is zero, and muon neutrinos cannot become electron neutrinos. The fact that SK saw muon neutrinos becoming electron neutrinos mean that theta_13 cannot be zero.

      If theta_13 isn't zero, it means that a more bizarre effect can happen with neutrinos. Theoretically, it's possible that neutrinos and antineutrinos oscillate in a different way; this difference is captured in another parameter, delta. But if you work out the calculations, delta always appears multiplying sin theta_13, or, if theta_13 was zero, delta would never make a difference and neutrinos and antineutrinos would always have the same oscillation. Since theta_13 isn't zero, we can now look for this difference, which is an important way to differentiate between various theories.

    31. Re:proof by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1

      not exactly too far away from Fukushima

      Makes me wonder if the recent earthquakes put their aim off, possibly requiring recalibration at the sending end. I know this happens to radars after large quakes.

    32. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is that one-tailed or two-tailed? :)

    33. Re:proof by tibit · · Score: 1

      I think it'd be Nobel prize material if one found neutrino-stimulated neutrino emission, as that is what you're alleging. I'm not saying it's impossible, just that IIRC my undergrad physics at all, it'd be a big discovery.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    34. Re:proof by cstepan · · Score: 1

      not exactly too far away from Fukushima

      Makes me wonder if the recent earthquakes put their aim off, possibly requiring recalibration at the sending end. I know this happens to radars after large quakes.

      Pre-print here. They used data from the first two runs (Jan-Jun 2010 and Nov 2010-Mar 2011). I can guess why Run 2 ended when it did. The speculation about earthquakes and Fukushima contamination are unfounded.

    35. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm I see... like some kind of Pythagoras for speed. But then by playing with the speed of the muons, and finding out the sweet spot where the thin end of the triangle barely falls in the detector, they can deduce the speed of the neutrinos in the rest frame of the emitter. Then with another experiment, they can measure the energy of the neutrinos in the rest frame of the emitter. This would give them the neutrino mass.

    36. Re:proof by ekgringo · · Score: 1

      African or European?

    37. Re:proof by Greyfox · · Score: 1

      Yeah! If it happened at the same time as my evening dump, I could have been making a ton of electron neutrinos at the time! Especially if I had cheese that night!

      --

      I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    38. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, single particle detection can work for particles that interact strongly with their surroundings. Now, neutrinos on the other hand...

    39. Re:proof by siglercm · · Score: 2

      I personally don't understand why parent is modded "Informative."

      The process you propose is neutrino scattering: Muon neutrino interacts with an electron to produce an electron neutrino and a muon which decays, perhaps after being captured by a nucleus. This is a well known electroweak interaction with a rather well determined cross-section. The cross-section, or probability of interaction, is *extremely* small. Therefore, even though kinematic/scattering considerations (mentioned by another poster in this thread) are ignored, your proposed mechanism cannot account for the observed changes in neutrinos. I'm fairly certain analysis of this data takes your proposed mechanism into account as a background. Its effect, of course, is negligible.

      Such mechanisms, having been well demonstrated and measured, are well understood. Oscillation of neutrino flavor, due to the neutrinos possessing (small) rest masses, is the effect which is observed and measured in this experiment.

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    40. Re:proof by habig · · Score: 1

      But they *do* measure individual neutrino interactions via the Cherenkov radiation emitted from their interactions in very large reservoirs of shielded heavy water.

      Just regular water in this case. Very pure water (well over 100m attenuation length for light in that water), and a lot of it (50,000 m^3), but still just ordinary water.

    41. Re:proof by habig · · Score: 1

      Makes me wonder if the recent earthquakes put their aim off, possibly requiring recalibration at the sending end. I know this happens to radars after large quakes.

      In fact, the quake shut down the neutrino beam, it will remain off till next year as they carefully line it up again.

      This paper is from the data they got before the quake shut things down.

    42. Re:proof by habig · · Score: 1

      They don't need to measure the type of neutrinos they're emitting, they already know what type they are.

      But if you measure what the neutrino beam looks like right after you make it (by sampling a tiny fraction of the neutrinos), then you get an even better measurement.

      And T2K does - they have a whole suite of "near detectors" to carefully characterize what got made, and so can do a great "before and after" experiment.

    43. Re:proof by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Reposting the excellent blog entry posted by an AC far below claiming to be the author of said blog (and no reason not to believe 'em):

      http://neutrinoscience.blogspot.com/2011/06/hello-there-electron-neutrino.html

      And yeah, it says there's a set of detectors 280m away, and the final set 295km.

      Of course this still means that they aren't measuring "the same" neutrinos like in the original question, but that's just not feasible.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    44. Re:proof by UncleTogie · · Score: 1

      Laden or unladen?

      --
      Don't tell me to get a life. I'm a gamer; I have LOTS of lives!
    45. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      That's why I used the example of the laser: the photons are emitted in exactly the same direction, however unlikely you might think that is.

    46. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Do they? Or do they often collide with atoms and experience the same kind of "conversion"? As far as I know, nobody has performed any experiments to find out. The very idea that they might change from one form to another is very recent.

    47. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Bigger than, say, neutrinos spontaneously, and without obvious cause, changing from one form to another? I don't see why. In fact, I think it is the more likely explanation. It fits Occam's razor a hell of a lot better, because you don't have to assume some kind of spontaneous process from a cause unknown.

    48. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Such mechanisms, having been well demonstrated and measured, are well understood. Oscillation of neutrino flavor, due to the neutrinos possessing (small) rest masses, is the effect which is observed and measured in this experiment."

      You are saying that the cause of this oscillation is known? If so, can you enlighten us, or at least link to an explanation of this behavior? Because everything I have read about it so far says that (a) this is the first time it has been observed, and (b) the cause is unknown.

    49. Re:proof by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

      No, we know of no way to block neutrinos comming from any direction. They probably counted the neutrinos they would naturaly gather, then turned their source on and counted again what neutrinos they detected.

    50. Re:proof by wdsci · · Score: 1

      Wish I could mod you +1 informative for being the most actually informative comment in this thread and the only one that explains the actual physical significance.

    51. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Note: I'm a neutrino physicist AC.

      Neutrino oscillations are real, and have been proven a long time ago (MINOS even saw the energy dependence!) ..."

      Who modded this comment down? It was the most informative yet to appear in this thread.

      I am curious about a couple of things:

      (1) What is the proposed mechanism by which these neutrinos oscillate? If flavor is a measurable property, then how can they "spontaneously" change?

      (2) Correct me if I am wrong, but if, as you suggest, theta_13 is not zero, then (a) we have another example of parity violation, and (b) one more piece of evidence that the "Standard Model" is wrong.

      Which means -- again if I am not mistaken -- there have been at least 4 or 5 experiments in just the last year saying the same thing: that our Standard Model is off in various ways. And even more evidence if we go back 2 years.

    52. Re:proof by habig · · Score: 1

      Do they? Or do they often collide with atoms and experience the same kind of "conversion"? As far as I know, nobody has performed any experiments to find out. The very idea that they might change from one form to another is very recent.

      On the contrary, we've been doing experiments about this non-stop for decades, and the answer is "no, neutrinos don't interact very much". While the interaction cross sections with things have kind of large error bars by particle physics standards, they're still known to ~20%, and are Really Tiny. A good perspective - the mean free path for your typical neutrino is something like a light year of lead before it interacts with matter at all, and when it does, it's not doing flavor changing. How do we know? Since we can't build a light year of lead sized experiment to catch half of the neutrinos we shoot, we build them as big as we can and shoot trillions of neutrinos per accelerator pulse, run the thing every couple seconds for years at a time, and observe those few neutrinos which are so incredibly unlucky as to smack something dead-on. How dead on? The weak force has a range of ~10^-18m. A proton is only 10^-15m in size. So a neutrino happily passes straight through a proton most of the time, to say nothing of all the empty space in an atom (which are 10^-10m in size).

      On the other hand, the data fit the hypothesis of quantum mechanical flavor mixing quite well. That happens regardless of the presence of matter. However, if there is a lot of matter in the way (say, solar neutrinos exiting the core of the sun) it is a big effect - the "MSW Effect" explains how the presence of matter nearby changes neutrino oscillations.

      In the case of the earth (which has a comparatively puny mount of matter) the effects are a lot more subtle, but neutrino beams going through a lot of the earth should be sensitive to this in the next decade or so. The Japanese beam is comparatively short so isn't ideal for such a measurement, the under-construction NOvA experiment in the US will do better, and people would really like to do a Fermilab->South Dakota beam to nail it down in spades.

    53. Re:proof by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Do they? Or do they often collide with atoms and experience the same kind of "conversion"? As far as I know, nobody has performed any experiments to find out.

      A skeptic would see the bold part as the first and easiest problem to solve.

      The very idea that they might change from one form to another is very recent.

      I guess just over half a century is 'very recent' by some standards, but I'd say probably not by the standard of "recent enough for me to assume no experiments have been conducted."

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    54. Re:proof by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      That's easy, he's dead, so un-Laden!

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    55. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hmm, I thought you could detect their point of entry and exit in the super kamiokande, but come to think of it, all you see is probably a small blue flash in the water with its magnitude linked to the energy... Have not read up on the stuff of late.

    56. Re:proof by siglercm · · Score: 1

      Apologies in advance, but some knowledge of particle physics is required. Just as it's hard to describe a breakthrough in computer technology to someone who has little understanding of computers....

      These two links (given further down in responses to this article) are much better technical explanations than I could write:

      http://bit.ly/NuBlogT2KNuE1

      http://www.science20.com/quantum_diaries_survivor/electron_neutrinos_muon_neutrinos-80012

      (a) I believe this is the first direct observation. Previous experiments have looked at neutrinos produced by the sun and have addressed the solar neutrino deficit, that is, the observation that the sun doesn't produce nearly as many electron neutrinos as the standard solar model predicts. The ones that are missing have oscillated (converted) into mu (and a small portion tau) neutrinos. This is why they seem to "disappear."

      (b) You are wrong in stating that the cause is unknown. When the effects of neutrinos were first observed, physicists believed they had zero rest mass, like the photon. I can't recall what the argument for this designation was at the time (been a while since physics classes), but it simply may have been something like, "electrons and positrons are the lightest elementary particles, so these new thingies that invisibly carry away momentum from reactions like beta (and muon) decay, which we have shown have far less mass than the electron, are zero mass particles like a photon." (I dearly hope I'm not way off base on my history of particle physics here.)

      In the 80's and 90's the possibility of non-zero rest mass neutrinos was first entertained, as it would explain a few things. This idea was received skeptically, though not with hostility, at first (as I well remember). Theoreticians immediately demonstrated that non-zero rest mass neutrinos would convert, or oscillate, between flavors as a direct result of their having mass. Because they have mass, it is the mass eigenstates of the neutrinos that don't vary with time. This means that the flavor eigenstates *do* vary with time. Therefore, an electron neutrino will have increasing probability of being measured as a muon neutrino with increasing time. (In their flavor eigenstates, the neutrinos have unmixed flavor and are (I believe) massless. In their mass eigenstates (the ones we can measure), the neutrinos have mass and are flavor-mixed. This mixing is what allows them to fluctuate back and forth between electron and muon neutrinos (with a bit of tau mixing thrown in).)

      I'm sure this makes it all clear as mud. Here's a sub-link on eigenstates and neutrino mixing from CERN:

      http://choruswww.cern.ch/Public/textes/english/node4.html

      and here is Wikipedia:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neutrino

      HTH.

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    57. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We check the time. We know when the beam is being sent and how long it will take to travel, and then we only accept events occuring between -2 and +10 microseconds. We also look in a wider time window, to see how many other contained events are arriving when we don't expect them from our beam, and use that to estimate the number of background events from that.

      Of the 121 neutrino 'events' that were in time with the bin, only about 0.023 would be expected to be from other sources (such as atmospheric neutrinos). So it's a pretty small potential contamination.

    58. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's funny i thought the ratio was 6 to 1.5 of neutrino events captured to the background level.

    59. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "On the contrary, we've been doing experiments about this non-stop for decades, and the answer is "no, neutrinos don't interact very much"."

      My fault... I should have been more specific. I am learning that lesson, having to deal with someone else who took an off-hand comment of mine and tried to turn it into a diatribe about how arrogant and ignorant I am.

      I wasn't pretending to be rigorous here. I simply meant that we haven't performed this particular kind of experiment before, and even this one has only a relatively thin statistical line to call "evidence". Obviously we know that neutrinos don't interact much, or those huge underground detectors would not be necessary.

      What I meant was -- and this was just idly tossing off an idea, you understand -- is it possible that a small number of rare interactions could cause the admittedly small number of observed "oscillations"? Okay, probably not... but it's an interesting idea. All we really have is statistics to go by, and relatively edge-case statistics at that.

      Thanks for the mention of MSW Effect. The idea of coherent forward scattering is something that I mentioned myself earlier, but I was merely speculating about the possibility, without actually knowing about it. Smirnov co-authored another paper in '09 that is very interesting, which I read only recently.

      I am still left, however wondering not how neutrinos oscillate, but rather the why. What causes them to oscillate in the first place? I understand about spontaneous propagation and destruction of virtual particles, for example, and to me that needs little explanation, because it's all probability and there is no -- or very little anyway -- net gain or loss. Things aren't changing properties, on average... just form. But it seems to me that this neutrino oscillation is different. There is a macroscopically measurable difference of properties, and so I have a hard time accepting that it is merely probability "driving" the neutrino oscillations.

    60. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Maybe it is time for you to stop being such an asshole.

      This was the first experiment of this kind to be performed, as you well know. Those others you mention over that last century are not relevant to my comment. Tell me: when was the last other experiment performed to find this evidence about the third leg of the oscillation?

      What's that you say? Never? Wow. How about that.

      I have no need to sit here and constantly be put down by somebody who obviously isn't even paying attention to what he's reading... or perhaps reading things that weren't written. One or the other.

      STFU. Even with all the snide and insulting comments you have made so far, you have managed to add exactly nothing to the conversation that would actually be of use to anybody. Get stuffed, troll.

    61. Re:proof by tibit · · Score: 1

      Methinks (if there's a particle physicist here, may she/he chime in) that it'd be a brand new thing if either process was observed, just that apparently momentum preserving neutrino emission is way more exotic than changing of the flavor. The latter requires a "detail" in the Standard Model to be wrong (neutrinos can't be massless as assumed until now), the former is some truly brand new physics. Perhaps even the latter would be Nobel material. Seems like they adjusted the prize to the curve recently, wink wink ;)

      I thought, though, that neutrinos changing flavors is pretty much a fact of life now, with MSW theory serving as a model.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    62. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Physics student here. What follows in my understanding of the situation, so I can make no guarantees that it is completely accurate.

      As for the mechanism, well, it comes down to neutrinos having mass eigenstates which are different from flavor eigenstates, and statistics. I believe this is something of a simplification, but when a neutrino is created in a reaction, it produces one with a flavor eigenstate specific to the reaction. Conservation of mass-energy then locks the neutrino into a mass eigenstate, but allows it to oscillate between flavor eigenstates. The oscillation frequency is dependent on the difference between the masses of the mass eigenstates.

      As for your second point, the standard model assume neutrinos are massless. Having mass is a prerequisite for their flavor oscillation. You are definitely correct in your assessment of the standard model--or at least, as far as neutrinos are concerned, the standard model has a number of problems...

    63. Re:proof by siglercm · · Score: 1

      I'm really sorry, but... you are ignorant, quite literally. You've ignored what people have written to you about neutrino flavor mixing. You're willfully ignorant, I'm afraid, and that certainly makes you appear arrogant.

      Your theory (if I'm able to understand) is that this effect is due to coherent flavor-exchanging forward neutrino scattering. Others have replied, myself included, with some degree of clarity as to why this is not the case. The "why" of neutrino oscillation is because their mass eigenstates, which are fixed over time, are not identical to their flavor eigenstates. Therefore, their flavors have an increasing probability of varying over time.

      A bit more theoretical: There is a mixing angle in Hilbert space between the mass and flavor eigenstates. (Hope I remembered that correctly. My theory-fu doesn't go much deeper these days. It's been a while.) If this sounds like gobbledegook, get yourself a good elementary book on QED and electroweak interactions and settle in for a new, perhaps difficult, understanding.

      Better yet, this looks like a definitive on-point source:

      http://pdg.lbl.gov/2005/reviews/numixrpp.pdf

      from LBL by a FNAL author. Enjoy!

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    64. Re:proof by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, it just 'probably' happened?

      Yup, just like when you stir blue food coloring into water you'll 'probably' end up with blue colored water.

    65. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1
      I made an off-hand comment that maybe it was possible. People have since explained that it was not. My only argument here has been with people who have misunderstood my comments and have replied with arrogant, snide remarks about what they think I understand, and in some cases, about things I did not even write or ask.

      I don't have a "theory". And my original comment had nothing to do with coherent scattering... I only mentioned the possibility that coherent scattering might exist, in a completely different comment that did not directly bear on the first one.

      And, as it turns out, coherent scattering does exist. But the possibility that it is the actual cause of the results of this experiment are, admittedly, near nil. The point of that comment was only that coherent scattering should be possible... and it turns out that it is.

      But I have to wonder why you, and others apparently, have taken remarks made completely out of the context of my original flippant remark, and tried to string them together to form some sort of coherent (in the informational sense) "theory" of mine. It was just an idle comment and not to be taken very seriously. On the other hand, my comments just above were a more serious discussion of the real issue, not connected to my original statement at all. And the reason I discussed it more seriously there was because the person to whom I was replying was, unlike some others, polite and informative.

      "Others have replied, myself included, with some degree of clarity as to why this is not the case."

      But... I was not proposing an actual theory, rather, just idle speculation and food for thought. I wasn't being serious... or not very. But I did continue the fiction for a while afterward because I was replying to someone who came across from the very beginning as an arrogant, insulting, holier-than-thou asshole who doesn't know how to take a joke. Being well-versed in some areas of science does not automatically make someone a good person.

      Thank you for that link. I now see how, theoretically anyway, it could be a probabilistically-determined superposition. That clears up a lot.

    66. Re:proof by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      To clarify somewhat: I do not deny making the comment, nor do I deny that I did not properly word it in such a way as to indicate its semi- tongue-in-cheek nature. And I did get -- from the very beginning -- that it wasn't the correct answer. But I did allow some to think I hadn't, simply because of the unnecessarily odious nature of their responses.

      As should be apparent from my comments above, I was aware that it wasn't likely a very realistic picture.

  2. tsunami by cheeks5965 · · Score: 0

    what's the connection with fukashima?

    --
    -- Flame me and I will happily flame you back. Bring it!
    1. Re:tsunami by c0lo · · Score: 1

      what's the connection with fukashima?

      Some good source of "rogue neutrinos", I guess.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
  3. Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by pushing-robot · · Score: 4, Informative

    observed for the first time an indication that a type of neutrino can change into another type

    Oh, really?

    --
    How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
  4. Tiny lil' bastards! by Dutchmaan · · Score: 2

    Getting those little tags on em is a bitch!

    1. Re:Tiny lil' bastards! by Billlagr · · Score: 4, Funny

      I pity whoever has to catch them, then put those rings around their little legs

    2. Re:Tiny lil' bastards! by artor3 · · Score: 2

      Seriously, you should. A friend of mine does this. She spends weeks at a time at the bottom of an abandoned mineshaft, with a swimming pool full of scintillator, working 14 hour days, and earns doctoral candidate pay, which is to say, slightly less than your average FedEx driver.

    3. Re:Tiny lil' bastards! by pz · · Score: 1

      Seriously, you should. A friend of mine does this. She spends weeks at a time at the bottom of an abandoned mineshaft, with a swimming pool full of scintillator, working 14 hour days, and earns doctoral candidate pay, which is to say, slightly less than your average FedEx driver.

      And, to wax poetic, in return, she gets to see the ripples from god's fingers in the aether. I envy the people who work with her level of dedication on experiments like these.

      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
  5. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by locofungus · · Score: 3, Informative

    It's a particular oscillation that they've observed for the first time.

    Assuming this result is correct then this result implies that there is a CP symmetry violation between the neutrino and anti-neutrino.

    Previously to this result this particular mixing term could have been zero and if it was zero then CP symmetry would have been preserved.

    Tim.

    --
    God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
  6. Mutant neutrinos! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How did they tell? cause the mutated nuetrinos dont have ears.

  7. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by FrootLoops · · Score: 0

    Could you say that again, but with more words this time?

  8. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Hmm, don't think so. This mixing can be nonzero (i.e. what they observed) and the CP violating phase could still be zero, in fact the T2K analysis assumes \delta_{CP} = 0 as there is currently no information on the CP violating phase. T2K's article

  9. How can they detect anything at all? by satuon · · Score: 1

    I thought neutrinos almost never interact with more regular matter because they're too small to collide with atoms, how can they get their statistics?

    1. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by evanoc · · Score: 2

      You said it, _almost never_. The neutrinos coming from JPARK are all emitted as muon type neutrinos. What they are looking for at Super-K are electron type neutrinos. Neutrino oscillations will convert some of the muon neutrinos to electron neutrinos and a very small fraction of these will be seen at Super-K. Based on the number of neutrinos seen, even if it is small, they can estimate the number that oscillated. In this case, they saw 6 events.

    2. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by artor3 · · Score: 2

      Almost never isn't never. I can't speak for all neutrino detectors, but a friend of mine works in a lab where they use tanks of scintillator, studded with PMTs, and lined with tons of shielding to keep out everything else. Every now and then a lucky neutrino bumps into a scintillator molecule, and creates a little flash. The PMTs amplify the fuck out of it, and by carefully analyzing the resulting data you can pick out specific types of neutrinos from the noise.

    3. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by Lord+Crc · · Score: 1

      I thought neutrinos almost never interact with more regular matter because they're too small to collide with atoms, how can they get their statistics?

      About 60 billion solar neutrinos pass through every square centimeter of the Earths surface every second, give or take.

      The Super-Kamiokande has a cross section of about 630000 cm^2 (~20 m diameter), so roughly 3.2 * 10^18 solar neutrinos pass through the detector each day.

      When looking for solar neutrinos, the Super-Kamiokande had about 15 events per day which they could attribute to solar neutrinos...

    4. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      This still begs the question: they are claiming that this is a "new type" of neutrino oscillations. So what causes the oscillations? So far I have yet to see an explanation, anywhere.

    5. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by matfud · · Score: 1

      It is empirical science. They do not have to have a reason for it. They just have to rule out reasons that they could be due to faulty machinery. And that it does not fit current models. After that it becomes a question of "how an this be explained"

      Most new advances in science start with someone saying "WTF?"

    6. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      So far I have yet to see an explanation

      Have you thought of looking?

      Link #2 is particularly good.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    7. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Yes, in fact I have. There is lots of information about neutrino oscillation. But the particular information that I was asking about, that is, the cause of neutrino oscillations (which you would know if you had actually been paying attention rather than being a snotty smartass), is not, to the best of my knowledge, to be found there.

      Lots of information about how they oscillate. Or possibly how... that hasn't been proven yet either. A good source of information about that is Paradoxes of Neutrino Oscillation by Akhmedov and Smirnov, which illustrates that even that part of the issue is very much in debate still, and hardly settled or known as you imply it is.

      So, if you are going to respond to a question at all, why don't you try answering it, if you can, rather than just being snide and insulting about someone even asking it?

    8. Re:How can they detect anything at all? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I am aware of that. But my question was, and is still: what causes it? Not how does it happen, but why. I don't think that question was vague or ambiguous, but people keep giving me HOWs when I asked about WHY. Just as you have pointed out.

      I understand that we may not yet have an answer, that was part of my point earlier on. But a lot of people (some of them with quite a snooty, superior air, present company excepted) keep answering a question I did not even ask, then have insulted me for not knowing the answer to that question. When, in fact, I know a lot more about that than they obviously think I do... but they have kept missing the point that it's not the question I actually asked. :o)

      Until a why is known, they can play with all the hows they want. As far as I am concerned, the third leg of the oscillation has been hard to find because it's been hiding in cherry trees.

  10. We demand Six Sigma! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wait, what are we talking about again?

  11. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by locofungus · · Score: 1

    Yes, you're right. I had thought that non-zero theta13 was sufficient.

    --
    God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
  12. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by locofungus · · Score: 2

    I can try. But as someone else has replied what I wrote is not actually correct.

    Because there are three different neutrinos, we need three different numbers to describe how they can oscillate (change) between flavours.

    What oscillate means is that if you start with a beam of pure electron neutrinos and then, at some later time measure the type of the neutrinos you will find that some of them are now muon or tau neutrinos.

    Two of those numbers were known to be non-zero. This result suggests that the third number is also non-zero.

    I had thought that all three numbers being non-zero was sufficient to show that neutrinos violate CP - but that is incorrect.

    CP violation is when you replace every particle with its antiparticle (C) and look at the resulting system in a mirror (P). CP violation means that you can tell the difference between the two systems

    CP has been observed and is important because it's conjectured that the fact that the universe has more matter than anti-matter is a feature of CP violation.

    Tim.

    --
    God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
  13. slightly less than your average FedEx driver by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A friend of mine does this. She spends weeks at a time at the bottom of an abandoned mineshaft, with a swimming pool full of scintillator, working 14 hour days

    Adventure. Heh. Excitement. Heh. A Jedi craves not these things.

  14. OH GOD by Terranex · · Score: 1

    THE NEUTRINOS HAVE MUTATED

    1. Re:OH GOD by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      THE NEUTRINOS HAVE MUTATED

      Get me a SyFy channel commissioning editor, and some washed up actress who people might remember from that one thing in 1994, and who's still sort of MILFish from some angles, if you're into older chubby chicks, stat

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  15. Corrections by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Informative
    Sorry but your post is not informative it is just plain wrong: I think you are confusing the US-based MINOS and MiniBooNE experiments with the Japanese-based T2K experiment which the article is talking about.

    It's a particular oscillation that they've observed for the first time.

    No it is not. SuperK first observed this type back in 1998 but the results were not conclusive (they saw muon neutrino "disappearing" but not what they converted into). Since then MINOS and MiniBooNE have observed this exact type of neutrino oscillation (around 2003 IIRC - but they have multiple papers published now) and the OPERA experiment has even got some evidence of muon to tau oscillation. (Look them all up in Wikipedia or Google).

    Assuming this result is correct then this result implies that there is a CP symmetry violation

    No it does not. For T2K (the experiment they are talking about) to see a matter/antimatter asymmetry (CP violation) one of the mixing angles, theta_13 must be large and they need a LOT more data.

  16. Neutrino absorption by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 2

    Well, since it isn't subject to magnetic or electrical forces, it basically has to slam into the nucleus (extremely unbelievably unlikely) or into an electron (unbelievably massively completely entirely extremely ... well about the same chance that anyone in the world likes a justin bieber song).

    Essentially, it needs to get close enough to another particle - by coincidence - for the weak force to start having a decent effect on them.

    1. Re:Neutrino absorption by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      You are saying, in effect, that radioactivity is unlikely.

      And statistically, it is, I suppose.

      All I am doing is speculating. So far, I have not seen anybody (aside from a commenter here who so far has given no evidence) that there is a cause known for this "oscillation". I am simply guessing -- no more than that -- at a possible cause, rather than assume it is somehow spontaneous.

  17. More Information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    I am a physicist working on the experiment, for more information on this story please check out my blog post http://bit.ly/NuBlogT2KNuE1

    1. Re:More Information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This, plus other particles that can mimic electron neutrinos, means that we were already expecting to see 1.5 background electron like events.

      With 6 events seen and 1.5 expected we can say with 99.3% confidence that we have seen some of the muon neutrinos change into electron neutrinos.

      Not to nit-pick too much, but shouldn't this read,

      "1-2 background..." instead of 1.5?

      I'm also curious how you arrive at 99.3% exactly? :) A more accurate way could be "with at least 98% confidence, we have seen muon neutrinos change to electron neutrinos". This is assuming 2 for background and 6 result (Poisson distributions) and rounding off the "excess precision" of such a calculation.

      Regardless, this is a significant result!

    2. Re:More Information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please mod parent up, +1 Informative.

      For those who know some particle physics, it's a good and simple explanation.

    3. Re:More Information by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 1

      Or look here.

    4. Re:More Information by wdsci · · Score: 1

      The 1.5 is a mathematical expectation value: if they could run this experiment a large number of times, there would be 1.5 events detected on average. Of course, all the physicists involved know that they are not actually going to see exactly 1.5 events. Still, it's more informative to write 1.5 than 1-2.

      As far as the 99.3%, I'm not familiar with the specific statistical techniques involved, but if you look at the paper they do provide references that (I assume) explain how that 99.3% value can be obtained.

  18. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    CP violation was discovered in the 1960's or 1970's. CP violating Kaon decays have been studied to death. Are you trying to say something more profound?
    Dragging out Yang-Mills, doesn't this just mean that neutrino masses are different? Same way that K_short and K_long masses differ? (Ex-particles guy -- been close to two decades since work in the field -- so maybe I'm missing something.)

  19. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by Brucelet · · Score: 1

    I think CP violation in the neutrino sector might have different physical implications than in kaons. It would certainly be dependent on a different set of mixing angles.

  20. Only one kind of neutrino? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, if one neutrino can change into another type without any energy gain/release, then it must be only one type.

  21. Re:Groundbreaking! Unprecedented! by habig · · Score: 1

    Assuming this result is correct then this result implies that there is a CP symmetry violation between the neutrino and anti-neutrino.

    The oscillation T2K just observed is not related to CP violation. It's simpler than that. There are three types of neutrinos. If they can change types, then there are three ways they could do so (draw yourself a triangle with each neutrino at a vertex, the sides are how they could change into each other).

    Solar neutrinos start of as electron neutrinos and change on their way to earth (that's one of the sides). muon neutrinos are seen to change to tau neutrinos in Super-K's atmospheric neutrino signal and the MINOS accelerator experiment (that's the second side). This result is the first clear measurement of the third side, electron to muon changes. MINOS has made a similar but much messier measurement, T2K's is much cleaner.

    CP violation is in the theory, but it's a second-order effect. That effect is multiplied by the size of this new electron/muon effect, so we need to measure this first, then we can look for "delta", the CP-violating phase.

    (and yes, I Am a Neutrino Physicist - worked for many years on Super-K, now work on MINOS and Nova).

  22. Not really "observed" either. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If I understand correctly, very much simplified it's more like counting the number of red cars going into a big tunnel, then counting where they exit and notice that there are now less red cars but more green cars coming out?

  23. Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

    Not necessarily. They could be different neutrinos, caused by atoms in the way absorbing some neutrinos and emitting others. I am not sure but I suspect that is what GP was getting at. Rather than evidence of neutrinos actually changing from one type to another, it seems just as likely (more likely?) that intervening matter performed a conversion.

    So here's the thing about skepticism.

    You start out with an excellent question -- how do we know (or rather, quantify our confidence that) it was the neutrinos changing in-flight, rather than something else, like them being absorbed and re-emitted by intervening matter?

    Then, rather than treat this like a question to which you do not know the answer, and try to find out, you instead decide that it's "just as likely (more likely?)" that your interpretation is correct.

    Skepticism is based around the idea of asking honest questions, and then looking for the answer.

    Skepticism is not based around asking a rhetorical question (or just phrasing it as a statement), not bothering to find an answer, and assuming that your ability to ask a question means the conclusions of the research are now in doubt.

    Skepticism, and science, are not about just asking questions. They're about seeking knowledge. They are never about letting ignorance serve as evidence.

    I hope this help clears up a common confusion regarding question asking and skepticism.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
    1. Re:Skepticism. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Then, rather than treat this like a question to which you do not know the answer, and try to find out, you instead decide that it's "just as likely (more likely?)" that your interpretation is correct."

      Don't be an ass. My opinion, so far, is that it seems just as likely. I did not claim or pretend that it was anything more than that. Further, if you actually used your brain, you would know that the probability that I, personally, had the equipment to perform such an experiment is just about nil. So your criticism is 100% hot air.

      Don't lecture me about skepticism. I am all about looking for the answer... but there has, as yet, been no opportunity to do so! So you are talking out your ass. You ask the impossible of me, and berate me for not delivering it.

      I did not try to present ignorance as evidence. I was clearly speculating, and as you well know, at this time any real evidence is still waiting to show up. And I will be happy to accept that evidence, if it was responsibly gathered. Until then, I am entitled to my opinion as to what is more likely.

    2. Re:Skepticism. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      And here's another thing about skepticism:

      The skeptic looks for potential causes for an observation, rather than accepting that it happens spontaneously or through "mysterious" processes. If the cause is unknown, then speculation as to the possible cause is not only called for, but necessary. Further evidence will not be forthcoming until those speculations are tested.

      I do not claim to be as qualified to speculate on the matter as professional physicists; nevertheless, in an absence of explanation I still have a right to speculate.

    3. Re:Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Don't be an ass. My opinion, so far, is that it seems just as likely. I did not claim or pretend that it was anything more than that. Further, if you actually used your brain, you would know that the probability that I, personally, had the equipment to perform such an experiment is just about nil. So your criticism is 100% hot air.

      So using your brain means concluding that there's no way to learn anything more, and so not trying?

      I'd have thought using your brain meant realizing that what you're proposing means a neutrino interacting twice -- the first muon neutrino interacting with some matter, and the electron neutrino hypothetically emitted by that interaction itself interacting with the detector. Even setting aside the issue that the second neutrino would have to be emitted in the same direction, that means the probability of this occurring is the probability of a single interaction squared. It means your idea is highly dependent on the probability of neutrino-atom interactions.

      And then you could have used your brain to deduce that people have already performed experiments indicating the odds of neutrino interaction, so you don't have to.

      But I guess, "Well I can't conduct particle physics experiments myself, so I'll just run with what I already know" counts as using your brain... to justify ignorance.

      Don't lecture me about skepticism. I am all about looking for the answer... but there has, as yet, been no opportunity to do so! So you are talking out your ass. You ask the impossible of me, and berate me for not delivering it.

      There's nothing impossible about googling "Neutrino", learning more about them, and figuring out if your hypothesis is remotely likely or not.

      But by saying it was impossible for you to learn more, and using that as your excuse for arriving at a premature opinion, you exemplify what I'm talking about even as you deny it.

      I did not try to present ignorance as evidence. I was clearly speculating, and as you well know, at this time any real evidence is still waiting to show up. And I will be happy to accept that evidence, if it was responsibly gathered. Until then, I am entitled to my opinion as to what is more likely.

      You're always entitled to your opinion; there's no "until". Whether you are exercising proper skepticism in arriving at it is a different matter. For example, there is ample evidence that applies to your hypothesis. You surely must have known there at least could be, yet did nothing to seek it out, and didn't even ask "Hey, does anyone know if this scenario seems plausible?" Nope, in a cloud of ignorance, you arrived at the opinion that these scientists ignored an obvious explanation that was at least, or more, likely than what they claimed.

      And now you're defending that opinion on the basis that your ignorance was impossible to fix. You are implicitly saying that "I don't know" is a basis for arriving at a conclusion.

      So, don't be an ass, you say? It is my policy to be an ass to asses whose first thought on a subject they don't understand is "Hey I spent 3 seconds thinking and 0 seconds investigating my idea, and I think it's just as likely -- maybe more likely! -- that I'm right and these people who do understand the subject are idiots!"

      Next time be a real skeptic, which means being skeptical of your own ideas first. Instead of forming a conclusion, ask sincere questions. "Is this possible?" instead of "I think they're probably wrong!"

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    4. Re:Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      The skeptic looks for potential causes for an observation, rather than accepting that it happens spontaneously or through "mysterious" processes. If the cause is unknown, then speculation as to the possible cause is not only called for, but necessary. Further evidence will not be forthcoming until those speculations are tested.

      And then they think about that potential explanation, and what it implies, and whether it can explain the evidence, and if it does if there's any aspect of the evidence that can distinguish between this and other hypothesis.

      And of course the actual scientists have been doing this for some time, and this experiment will hopefully further the cause. But look at you with your "rather than accepting that it happens spontaneously or through 'mysterious' processes". Implying that others are doing this, while you're the one furthering science by looking for causes.

      You can't just blow off that kind of arrogance-ignorance cocktail by saying "It's just my opinion."

      I do not claim to be as qualified to speculate on the matter as professional physicists; nevertheless, in an absence of explanation I still have a right to speculate.

      And yet you did claim that you were at least as likely, if not more likely, to be right and the professional physicists wrong. Please don't explain how this is just your opinion. Of course it is. The point is -- in your opinion, you're qualified to opine that they are probably wrong, and in fact that you're going to believe so until you are proven wrong. In your opinion, they aren't considering obvious explanations.

      So, your words ring hollow. If you really believed that, you would have formed the opinion that the physicists probably know what they're doing, and your idea, even if you think it has merit, is the long-shot.

      Yes it's just your opinion, just speculation. If you understood skepticism, then the opinion you formed would have reflected that understanding. Get it?

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    5. Re:Skepticism. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wish there were a list of "climate change skeptics" who could be emailed your piece. Beautiful.

      Not that I personally understand the science behind it (other than the rudimentary "atmospheric compositions which trap heat will tend to increase the latent energy in the atmosphere") but what I do understand is there are people smarter than me that do understand it and pretty much agree 100% that there is an effect - the only real argument outside of Fox News is which model that fits the data makes the most accurate prediction.

    6. Re:Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      I wish there were a list of "climate change skeptics" who could be emailed your piece. Beautiful.

      Not that I personally understand the science behind it

      Thanks, but a major point I didn't communicate to Jane Q Public well enough was that if you want to understand it, that's great, but you need to seek out knowledge. It's great to question what it is that you're trying to understand, if you recognize that your questions might already have answers, or at least been taken into account. So don't just assume they haven't until someone demonstrates otherwise. Maybe someone demonstrated already, and you just need to read some more.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    7. Re:Skepticism. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "You can't just blow off that kind of arrogance-ignorance cocktail by saying 'It's just my opinion.'"

      Sure I can. You tell me: what is the most likely hypothesis for why this happens? Not how... stop getting that confused. I asked why. What is the cause behind neutrino oscillation?

      I will patiently wait for at least one, or hopefully at least three hypotheses about the cause of these theoretical oscillations. I don't want to hear any garbage about waveforms and probability. That's a how. I asked for a why. Which you STILL seem to be having a hard time understanding. There is a difference, you know.

      So... let me know what those hypotheses are. I haven't found them, and yes I did look. If and when you can tell me what they are, then maybe we can have an intelligent discussion about them. Until then, all you are doing is blowing hot air, no matter how ignorant or arrogant you think I am being.

      "And yet you did claim that you were at least as likely, if not more likely, to be right and the professional physicists wrong. "

      NO!!! I did not. I quite clearly said that was my opinion, more than once now. My exact words were "it seems just as likely". Now... ask yourself: who did it "seem" as likely to? Me, at the time, obviously. I did not state "the physicists are wrong". I did not state "my opinion is better than theirs". What I wrote was that lacking any other offer of an actual cause, my opinion is as good as any other.

      I would not mind you finding me "arrogant" if I had actually stated those other things, but I did not. You read that into my statements even though that is not what I wrote. That's your issue, fella, not mine.

      "Yes it's just your opinion, just speculation. If you understood skepticism, then the opinion you formed would have reflected that understanding. Get it?"

      Hahahahaha! What chutzpah! First, you misunderstood what I did say, then you berate me (farther down the page) for asking a question I didn't even ask, insult me for not knowing the answers to questions I didn't even ask (and, by the way, I do know the answers to THOSE questions... but I didn't ask them). THEN you have the cajones to call ME "arrogant"!

      Man, you're a real piece of work.

      Come back when you can explain to me some hypotheses for the cause of neutrinos oscillating. NOT an equation (still very much speculative, at that) purporting to describe how.

      Get it?

    8. Re:Skepticism. by siglercm · · Score: 1

      [L]acking any other offer of an actual cause, my opinion is as good as any other.

      To get back to the source of this argument, from several days ago: The cause is neutrino flavor oscillation. Your opinion holds no weight.

      Why didn't you reply to my last post in this thread, which was addressed to you? Why scream at someone else instead of reading my stuff and asking questions? You come off as someone who isn't gifted with a mind to understand particle physics, and who is really pissed off at the world and especially at people who do understand particle physics because others do and you don't.

      When I decided to leave industry to get a grad. degree in physics, I first discovered that there was such a thing as "frustrated physics wanna-bes." I was shocked by this then, and I'm shocked now.

      --
      sigfault (core dumped)
    9. Re:Skepticism. by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Why didn't you reply to my last post in this thread, which was addressed to you? Why scream at someone else instead of reading my stuff and asking questions?"

      If you look at the nature of this person's responses to me, from the very beginning, you will have your answer. No matter the content of the conversation, I have no reason to be nice to insufferable assholes.

      The fact is that I know a hell of a lot more about this than I let on. But I wanted to give this person room to have his say.

    10. Re:Skepticism. by harryjohnston · · Score: 1

      I thought of the same objection as the OP, although I would have expressed it differently: the basis for the experiment is that massless neutrinos can't change type because they travel at the speed of light hence experience no proper time. But actually they only travel at the speed of light in a vacuum. Granted the proper time between emission and detection would still be awfully awfully small, but do we know for sure how quickly oscillation occurs (in proper time)?

      I'd have thought using your brain meant realizing that what you're proposing means a neutrino interacting twice -- the first muon neutrino interacting with some matter, and the electron neutrino hypothetically emitted by that interaction itself interacting with the detector. Even setting aside the issue that the second neutrino would have to be emitted in the same direction, that means the probability of this occurring is the probability of a single interaction squared. It means your idea is highly dependent on the probability of neutrino-atom interactions.

      I'm not sure that there's any problem with the neutrino needing to be emitted in the same direction; wouldn't wave mechanics take care of this, just like a photon traveling through glass? The odds of a photon interacting with a single atom and coming out in the same direction are minimal, but when you've got a whole bunch of atoms it just works out.

      Obviously, as you point out, the plausibility of this objection depends on the rate of neutrino-atom interactions. So the question becomes: what is the probability of a neutrino interacting with matter over a 300km hop, and how does it compare to the fraction of changed neutrinos measured? You've said yourself they sent out an awful lot of neutrinos.

      From either perspective, the important question is: have the theoreticians actually considered this idea? If they have, it is safe to assume that they have been able to eliminate it, or they wouldn't be making the claims they are. But it isn't reasonable to expect everyone to automatically assume that they have indeed considered every possibility, particularly the dumb sounding ones. (It's surprising how often dumb-sounding possibilities don't look so dumb once you've actually done the maths.)

      I'm sure all the necessary numbers are available, so we could do the math ourselves if we had the expertise and the time. But wouldn't it make more sense to ask the question first? Someone, after all, might know the answer already. :-)

    11. Re:Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      I thought of the same objection as the OP, although I would have expressed it differently: the basis for the experiment is that massless neutrinos can't change type because they travel at the speed of light hence experience no proper time. But actually they only travel at the speed of light in a vacuum. Granted the proper time between emission and detection would still be awfully awfully small, but do we know for sure how quickly oscillation occurs (in proper time)?

      Photons only travel at less than the speed of light in a non-vacuum because of interactions; between interactions (between atoms, which is a vacuum) they still travel at the speed of light. It's the only speed a photon can travel at. It's not like the properties of light implied by masslessness and speed-of-light travel cease to be in a medium. :)

      So I would strongly suspect that the QM-implied oscillations still require mass-full neutrinos, even taking into account mediums through which they travel. If there were such a medium that meaningfully slowed them.

      I'm not sure that there's any problem with the neutrino needing to be emitted in the same direction; wouldn't wave mechanics take care of this, just like a photon traveling through glass? The odds of a photon interacting with a single atom and coming out in the same direction are minimal, but when you've got a whole bunch of atoms it just works out.

      Obviously, as you point out, the plausibility of this objection depends on the rate of neutrino-atom interactions. So the question becomes: what is the probability of a neutrino interacting with matter over a 300km hop, and how does it compare to the fraction of changed neutrinos measured? You've said yourself they sent out an awful lot of neutrinos.

      The photon-through-glass thing requires many, many interactions so the average is what we see when we treat the light as if they were rays bent by glass-air interfaces.

      But neutrino interactions are exceedingly rare. I don't know the exact numbers; I'm sure there are decent values from both theory and measurement for the interaction cross-section based on energy, but here's some ball park numbers that should help put the scale in mind: Solar neutrinos pass through the earth at a rate of about 65 billion per second per cm^2, and large neutrino detector array might see on the order of a dozen interactions per day. This particular experiment, whose neutrinos are both lower in energy and quantity than solar neutrinos, saw 88 interactions they could attribute to their emitter in a year. 6 of these were of the electron neutrino type.

      Here's a page which estimates the mean free path (average distance between interactions) as more than a light year through lead!

      So, given the extremely low probability of interaction, you can't explain a result of 88 muon neutrinos, and 6 electron neutrinos, by saying the e neutrinos are the ones that interacted (at least) twice. You'd need to see many orders of magnitude more muon neutrinos before you'd expect to see even one electron neutrino if this was the case. And if this explanation depends on averaging the result of many interactions to get the changed neutrinos to travel in the same direction then the probability of seeing any of them would be ludicrously low.

      From either perspective, the important question is: have the theoreticians actually considered this idea? If they have, it is safe to assume that they have been able to eliminate it, or they wouldn't be making the claims they are. But it isn't reasonable to expect everyone to automatically assume that they have indeed considered every possibility, particularly the dumb sounding ones. (It's surprising how often dumb-sounding possibilities don't look so dumb once you've actually done the maths.)

      This not being one of those cases. ;)

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    12. Re:Skepticism. by harryjohnston · · Score: 1

      Photons only travel at less than the speed of light in a non-vacuum because of interactions; between interactions (between atoms, which is a vacuum) they still travel at the speed of light.

      I strongly suspect that the effect is the same. The interactions aren't actually discrete because both the atoms and the photon are subject to quantum mechanics. Also remember that the atoms are fairly closely packed. (In the case of neutrinos, though, I guess the only interaction is with the quarks, which *aren't* closely packed, so that may be another problem with my suggestion!)

      The photon-through-glass thing requires many, many interactions so the average is what we see when we treat the light as if they were rays bent by glass-air interfaces.

      I don't think that's true - the critical fact is that the interaction might have been with any of the atoms. Even a single photon will behave the same way, and I don't think the interaction rate makes any difference as such, although I admit I'm not certain of this. Can I mention that my PhD was in quantum optics at this point? :-)

      This particular experiment, whose neutrinos are both lower in energy and quantity than solar neutrinos, saw 88 interactions they could attribute to their emitter in a year. 6 of these were of the electron neutrino type.

      Ah. Yeah, that ratio is rather too high to by reasonably explained away by matter interactions. Oh, well, the idea of massless fermions never appealed to me much anyway.

      Even so, I hope one day we'll see a similar experiment carried out across a vacuum - Moon to Earth, maybe. That would eliminate any lingering doubts. :-)

    13. Re:Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      I strongly suspect that the effect is the same. The interactions aren't actually discrete because both the atoms and the photon are subject to quantum mechanics.

      The theoretical implications aren't, though. I mean, photons don't act like mass-full particles in a non-vacuum, and things traveling as fast as light through a given medium doesn't make the thing behave as if mass-less like a photon.

      It's true I was cheating, treating the interactions as classical discrete events. But in a QM sense, the probability of seeing a photon is based on the interference of all possible paths, and that interference is based on the phase, which is based on the path length, the wavelength, and the speed of light. The effect of moving slower through a medium is really an effect of a longer average path length.

      At least that's how I understood QED, and I'm not putting any money on there not being a "mis-" in front of that. :)

      Also remember that the atoms are fairly closely packed.

      I guess that's true in some senses, but even in terms of EM cross-section, Rutheford's scattering experiments showed long ago that even for a proton, matter is by and large empty space and the atoms are not closely packed. Certainly for neutrinos, whose interaction cross section is much smaller than a proton itself, this is not the case.

      I don't think that's true - the critical fact is that the interaction might have been with any of the atoms. Even a single photon will behave the same way, and I don't think the interaction rate makes any difference as such, although I admit I'm not certain of this. Can I mention that my PhD was in quantum optics at this point? :-)

      Despite my classical description, I was still thinking of the average in terms of integrating all the possible paths for a neutrino. And I was thinking that in that case, if we subtracted out the cases of no interaction, then the 1st order answer would be a single interaction with random scattering, and the 2nd+ order effects (in this case meaning 2+ interactions) would be so small as to not matter. Implication: You're as likely to see a neutrino (that has interacted mid-route at least once) in any direction as you are in the direction of the initial beam.

      But yes you can mention your PhD. :P If you've done or seen the math that says the interaction probability doesn't matter, even if you subtract out the no-interaction case, then fair enough. Or if I'm completely off, even more fair. I happily bow to superior knowledge of the behavior of photons in mediums. :)

      Even so, I hope one day we'll see a similar experiment carried out across a vacuum - Moon to Earth, maybe. That would eliminate any lingering doubts. :-)

      How about from the Sun to Earth?

      Okay, yes, in this case we don't have the luxury of a detector located proximate to the sun to measure the initial outbound neutrino ratios. We just have a theoretical model for the number and type of neutrinos it should be emitting, a deficit of the expected types at earth, and a surplus of other types that exactly matches the difference.

      So maybe it's not definitive, lingering-doubt-eliminating proof, but hey, it's pretty damn good. Certainly alternate theories are going to face an uphill battle not only explaining how the effect could happen, but arriving at the same measured values.

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
    14. Re:Skepticism. by harryjohnston · · Score: 1

      [...] I mean, photons don't act like mass-full particles in a non-vacuum [...]

      No, I suppose not. I probably hadn't thought about it hard enough - there's an effective Hamiltonian which is different from the real one, but I guess it just looks like a change in the distance scale, not like a mass term. A change in the refractive index can act like a gravitational field (my thesis was about figuring out how much Hawking radiation you should see in materials with a rapidly changing refractive index) but I presume moving through a gravitational field doesn't cause generation mixing, otherwise we'd expect to see it in the neutrinos from the sun.

      Which brings up another question: do you know whether the measured rate of neutrino mixing gives us a lower bound for the neutrino mass? Or is it a strictly binary zero/nonzero thing?

      If you've done or seen the math that says the interaction probability doesn't matter [...]

      Afraid not. But my gut tells me it shouldn't. Consider a hypothetical very thin pane of glass, so that the typical photon only interacts once; or, better still, consider the ideal model of a mirror. Each photon only interacts once when bouncing off a perfect mirror, but because the single interaction is with all the atoms simultaneously (i.e., a superposition) it still bounces off at the expected angle.

      If you somehow measured which atom the photon bounced from / interacted with, that would cause the photon to depart at a random angle, but so long as you aren't doing that measurement the number of interactions shouldn't matter. This is rather like the two-slit experiment - in fact if you think about it, in the two slit experiment the photons you measure haven't interacted with the matter at all, but are still exhibiting wave behaviour. :-)

    15. Re:Skepticism. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

      Which brings up another question: do you know whether the measured rate of neutrino mixing gives us a lower bound for the neutrino mass? Or is it a strictly binary zero/nonzero thing?

      It tells us the difference between their masses, so it is a lower limit on mass-having neutrinos -- the lower limit for any neutrino could still be 0! Google tells me this difference is 0.07 +- 0.04 eV. And other observations have only yielded upper limits, of around 20 eV.

      Afraid not. But my gut tells me it shouldn't. Consider a hypothetical very thin pane of glass, so that the typical photon only interacts once; or, better still, consider the ideal model of a mirror. Each photon only interacts once when bouncing off a perfect mirror, but because the single interaction is with all the atoms simultaneously (i.e., a superposition) it still bounces off at the expected angle.

      I'm having trouble mentally mapping this to the situation in question. It seems like it's saying the neutrinos should be reflected back at the emitter, instead of reaching the distant detector. :/

      --

      The enemies of Democracy are
  24. They have proven a neutrino can change into... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    a radioactive neutrino.

  25. Answer, the Second. by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

    But the particular information that I was asking about, that is, the cause of neutrino oscillations (which you would know if you had actually been paying attention rather than being a snotty smartass), is not, to the best of my knowledge, to be found there.

    I paid attention, it's why I googled you up "why" for you. Did you pay attention? The answer to your question was right in there! You may have had to click a link in the text to get to the fuller explanation, sorry! But the answer I already gave you is: It's a natural consequence of neutrinos having (different) masses, and quantum mechanics. In QM, the neutrino isn't a classical particle of one well-defined type sailing along, that "mysteriously" decides to become a different particle in the middle. It's a QM-wave-particle-thing described by probabilistic equations. Until it interacts with something and the waveform collapses, it really isn't any one of the possible outcomes (if there are more than one).

    Which theory says there would be, if the different neutrino flavors have mass. That's why you always hear about neutrino mass and oscillation at the same time. Because way back in the late 50s, they figured out that if you assumed unequal masses for the neutrino flavors (and so non-zero for at least two of the three), then the neutrino wave functions for each flavor would include the possibility of being a different flavor. So seeing evidence for neutrino oscillation is evidence for a successful prediction from which we can infer that neutrinos have mass.

    None of it is "proven" with a sufficiently large evidence pool like you say, but within the theory that is making these so-far so-good predictions, there is a well-defined explanation for why this is happening.

    What you seem to have missed in the paper you linked was that this mechanism is not one of the issues "still under discussion". They're talking about details of the predictions, the specific probabilities and characteristics, and how that meshes with experiment. Like why does a known-bad assumption for calculating the probabilities result in correct predictions? And then they proceed to answer, by factoring in the phase of the wave packet first, making the bad assumption unnecessary. Those answers will probably continue to be debated, but the point is "Why are these things even oscillating in the first place" wasn't up for grabs.

    Unless you want to know the underlying mechanism behind wave functions, superposition of states and other QM weirdness. Then of course nobody knows the answer to "Why this crazy shit?", but at the same time the "That's Just Too Weird So It Can't Be Right!" ship sailed a long time ago. Particles can't be thought of as little spheres in space with well-defined identities so sometimes they seem to spontaneously switch; deal with it.

    So there's your answer (again). If you need a more detailed answer than that, why precisely QM and the Standard Model say this will happen, take a class, read a (text)book, at least a website, what-fucking-ever. Just stop acting like being able to ask a question means your alternative is just as likely, without doing any of those things. Or acting like getting called out for doing that is the same as being called out just for asking a question.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are