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World Population Expected To Hit 7 Billion In Late October

kkleiner writes "A new report documents the prodigious rate at which the world's population is growing. It was just 1999 when we reached 6 billion. And now within the next month or two we will have surpassed 7 billion. What does the continued increase in world population mean for humanity and for the the planet?"

27 of 522 comments (clear)

  1. And for our lucky winner! by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Funny

    Child #7,000,000,000 gets the prize of officially being recognized as "Not actually a bundle of joy" and, on average, a harsh subsistence existence. Congratulations!

  2. Duh by DarkOx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What does the continued increase in world population mean for humanity and for the the planet?"

    War

    --
    Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    1. Re:Duh by Solandri · · Score: 4, Interesting

      War

      Unlikely. Nearly all population growth is occurring in developing countries. They would handily lose any war with the industrialized countries where most of the food is grown and consumption takes place. Most industrialized countries are at or near zero growth, with some experiencing negative growth (they are shrinking in population).

      For whatever reasons, industrialization leads to lower population growth. What's needed to arrest global population growth is to provide education, engineering expertise, contraception, and economic assistance to developing nations so they can modernize their economies ASAP. Providing food, water, and medicinal aid actually exacerbates the problem. They increase survival rates in developing countries without doing anything to stem their high population growth rates, making it that much harder to modernize those countries and increasing their future reliance on foreign aid.

      In other words, as contradictory as it may seem, modernization towards self-sufficiency and economic globalization combat global population growth. Anti-globalization and reliance solely on humanitarianism allow it to continue or even exacerbate it.

    2. Re:Duh by Johnny5000 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Unlikely. Nearly all population growth is occurring in developing countries. They would handily lose any war with the industrialized countries where most of the food is grown and consumption takes place. Most industrialized countries are at or near zero growth, with some experiencing negative growth (they are shrinking in population).

      A few issues with that theory:
      1. Wars could break out between neighboring developing countries, it doesn't necessarily have to be about food. It might be about water, for example, which is more likely to be locally scarce if there is a high demand on it. Some countries import a lot of food- I don't know any that import water.

      2. "They would handily lose any war with the industrialized countries..." Sure, so the developing countries won't necessarily pick a fight with the industrialized countries, but they do tend to have resources (oil, etc.) that the industrialized countries want/need, so the industrialized countries may very well pick a fight to gain access to the resources.

      --
      The libertarian solution to the failures of capitalism is to apply more capitalism til the failures are fixed.
  3. In related news by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Informative

    Around 40% of the corn produced in the US goes to ethanol.

    It's obviously not a question of whether we can support 7 billion people, since we basically are, but whether we can support the increasing growth rate. If you look at this graph, you can see the population is projected to level off around 10billion or so. And if you look even closer, you can see it's really a question for India (and to a lesser degree, Africa): can India handle its massive population growth? If so, then the world can handle it, too. If not, then they are going to suffer a lot.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re:In related news by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's obviously not a question of whether we can support 7 billion people, since we basically are, but whether we can support the increasing growth rate.

      Increasing growth rate?

      Growth rate over this last billion was 1.3% per year.

      Growth rate over the immediately previous billion was 1.5% per year.

      When we went from three billion to four billion, population growth rate was 2.1% per year.

      Looks like a steadily declining growth rate to me....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:In related news by Kjella · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's obviously not a question of whether we can support 7 billion people, since we basically are

      Sustainable? That's the big question, if we start running out of various non-renewable resources - oil just being one of them - can we? Deforestation, topsoil erosion, overfishing, lots of resources can maximize production for a short while but afterwards they go into sharp decline. And if you start running into famine conditions, don't think anyone is willing to die to let nature recover. Don't be surprised if this is the cause of war in the late 21st century...

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  4. Population Growth Areas.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Unfortunately the areas that are experiencing the highest population growth are not first world countries. They are the countries which are unable to sustain their population, and depend on government (usually not available), or international hand-outs to survive.

    If we want to solve this problem, we must cut aid to areas which cannot sustain itself. I realize that's harsh, but creating a life does not entitle it to live. There's a reason we fight to survive, and getting hand-outs (for the long term, not just some short-term disaster) due to unsustainable population areas means we're just making it worse.

    Cut off the aid, and let the population re-balance itself on what can be sustained by these 3rd world areas. This will lower demand on resources as well, and allow the world to grow at a more moderate pace.

    1. Re:Population Growth Areas.. by couchslug · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The idea that other people are competitors is not Politically Correct, even though competition is the norm in Nature.

      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    2. Re:Population Growth Areas.. by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      due to unsustainable population areas means we're just making it worse

      I'm not going to tread those waters, but I'm come close to it without offending anyone. I would agree that our hand-outs are and have been making things worse around the world. In the name of God (American's are mostly Christian), we feel it's our duty to feed the needy and hungry. Personally, I agree. But the fact it, it also perpetuates dictators and corrupt regimes in the process. If it wasn't for global economy crashing, there wouldn't have been an Arab Spring and the domino of revolutions that followed. It was an event that was destined to happen, but our "aid" kept prolonging the inevitable. The road to hell is paved with good intentions and all that.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    3. Re:Population Growth Areas.. by MrBigInThePants · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or perhaps we could regrow our hair, take off our jack boots, laser off our swastika tats and invest in population control?

      I mean considering the amount of resources the average 1st worlder uses compared to said 3rd worlders here are some other equally harsh ideas:

      - Stop eating so much meat/processed food and eat the raw ingredients instead since it is so much more efficient?
      - Stop just wasting resources and completely retarded things that add no value to the world apart from cheap thrills and/or convenience for the lazy?
      - Every first worlder to pay a "repair the world" tax which is managed internationally by the UN and goes towards fixing the world's global problems long term. (Member states of the "security council" are banned from having any influence over said fund at all, ever)
      - Level all major cities and have the 1st worlders live like 3rd worlders?
      - Drop nukes on all major cities causing an apocalyptic future that long term will be far more energy efficient for the world as a whole?

      I assume of course that all these suggestions are far more abhorrent to most 1st worlders than letting children die of starvation by the million, right? Because after all they are little more than animals that should really just be culled like you would do with any other animal population that is out of control.

      I realize what I am saying is harsh, but creating life in the 1st world does not entitle it to carrying on being a greedy, world destroying pig suggesting that the poorest nations in the world be left to die long, slow and painful deaths to enable us to carry on with business as usual for a few more decades.

    4. Re:Population Growth Areas.. by mikkelinen · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You realize leveling 1st world countries would just reboot things back into the same right? It's not a solution, just delaying everything.

  5. Re:Ehrlich was right, just a little early. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And, for some miraculous reason, coincidental with the stabilization of world population, oil will replenish, as will the aquifers, the fisheries will certainly recover and the eroded topsoil will miraculously be blown back on the land, the salt water invading the coastal fertile lands will draw back, energy will be plenty all of a sudden once more, and, of course, idiots will stop spewing bullshit on slashdot, yes?

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  6. Re:7 Billion Zombies by Enderandrew · · Score: 3, Funny

    - People are dying from eating organic foods because organic foods have much higher rates of e.coli
    - Non-chlorinated pools are also bacteria farms.
    - Most studies have shown life expectancy is higher in urban areas than rural areas, though I don't think we understand why currently
    - Chiropractors have really come under fire in recent years as charlatans with little to no medical evidence of their claims
    - Drug companies certainly have their faults, but avoiding medicine is a good way to die young.

    Your five points of advice are absolutely fantastic.

    --
    http://blindscribblings.com - Tasty pop-culture in conceptual fashion.
  7. The Texas Myth by Dr.+Manhattan · · Score: 3, Informative

    I know you were kidding, but I got tired of people talking about 'unused land' back when the world population hit six billion, and I did the math to show how stupid an idea it is.

    --
    PHEM - party like it's 1997-2003!
    1. Re:The Texas Myth by Dr.+Manhattan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As an illustrative statement about earth maximum human occupancy, I think it puts things in perspective a bit.

      Actually, I make the point that it doesn't. "Occupancy" doesn't begin to cover it. To quote:

      So even at a wildly optimistic guess, 98.3% of the space you take up is just in support. Where you live is your least important use of space...

      The key implication I'd hope you take away from this is that humans use a lot more land than just the square feet they are standing on. Think about how much space your house or apartment takes up, and your car and/or bike, and the place where you work, and the parks where you play, and the restaurants you go to, and the movies theaters you visit, and so on and so on. People take up a heck of a lot of room.

      Then think about how much water you use, and food you eat, and various objects you use and buy and wear out. Think about the fact that space and resources are needed to supply those.

      No, I don't want people to feel guilty about living. But if we're going to sensibly discuss overpopulation, we need to understand how much land people really use, and reason from that.

      --
      PHEM - party like it's 1997-2003!
  8. Re:Alarmism by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Ehrlich didn't forsee the massive productivity increase in the agricultural sector in the seventies - however, this increase had an unintended consequence. We now use 9 kJ of oil to produce 1 kJ of food. And guess what - well, don't just guess, just have a look at the oil prices and the production rates of the major fields. We are not starting to drill off-shore in the deep arctic ocean because easily available oil is aplenty.

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  9. Limits; the simple over pop models don't apply by bussdriver · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Humans are complex social creatures. When we over populate some people will not notice or care while others will suffer. Going even further, we will create methods by which more people can feel at ease and even some of the suffering people can create an incorrect context to feel better about it. We can lower statistical thresholds on just how bad poverty is... among other things.

    We still have an influential amount of people who refuse to admit and another who refuse to adapt to the climate crisis we are in-- which is CAUSED by over population... sure, blame technology for it-- if there were fewer people wasting and polluting the climate could handle it better.

    If you think a quality of life on par with the EU is a good goal, then you've already picked something impossible because the planet can only sustain about 2 billion people at those living standards; and possibly over the longer term the climate may not handle that either (but likely it would be slow enough we could adapt?)

    JOBS: the big deal is jobs. there may be enough food to go around even today and we can ignore the fact it'll not keep up with population growth; because we don't have economically viable means to distribute the food / resources to WORKING peoples of the world who deserve equal right of access. We don't have enough gainful employment for the world; we have far far less meaningful jobs because we must create consumerism in order to prop up pointless jobs; this increases the resource consumption at a higher rate than population growth in order to maintain continual economic growth (which isn't sustainable either.) After we remove the cheap exploited labor and replace it with robotics there will be even more people unable to find work and we will have to invent even more meaningless jobs... something which seems unsustainable as well.

  10. Free car! by Tharsman · · Score: 3, Funny

    Does the 7 billionth baby gets a free car?

  11. Re:7 Billion Zombies by werfu · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Don't worry, the ecosystem will balance back before we get to the non returning point. It's been proven that if a population isn't controlled anymore by any selective pressure, a new selective pressure will arise and reestablish the correct population/resources ratio. Don't you see what's going on? Population increase is going on in already over populated area which are usually poor and undeveloped. This create a the perfect environment for a new epidemic. The first world is also extremely reliant on petrol and electronics. A solar flare big enough to knock down completely our power grid could let most of our population to starve. The economy is going badly, there's unrest in developing nation, political tension all over the world. Don't you see what's coming? We're on the edge of the ravine and all it takes is a small tips for our civilization to collapse. Hell we'll surely give it to ourselves. Don't believe me? Look back at the roman empire.

  12. Re:7 Billion Zombies by slack_justyb · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I usually don't feed trolls but I would dare say, that the majority of the Earth's population would not agree with you. Let's take a look at the two countries that make up over a third of the world. China and India... Well there's not much to look at. The people there are doing okay but far from all the nice USA vices that you have listed, except maybe the coal fired power plants.

    Your message seems to be targeted to 1st world nations and I hate to break it to you, but the first world nations aren't the biggest, except maybe the US (who is 3rd in population) and Russia (who is 10th in population). The biggest nations in the world have an organic diet, basically whatever food they find. Swim only in non-chlorinated pools, or discharge channels whichever comes first. Exercise...Well that's not exactly top on their list when they are starving. Have never even heard the word chiropractor. Do not even have an option to "Big Pharma". (sarcasm) In fact look at how wonderful the people in India are doing.(/sarcasm)

    When it comes down to it, if I had to choose between "clean" water and actual clean water. I'd choose the latter over crapping myself to death. I don't know where this idea of, "we're making the Earth worst," came from but the underlying point is that the Earth came built with all kinds of stuff to make our lives horrible, very, very horrible. It is through burning fossils, radiating ourselves, hacking birds with forty foot grinders, and pumping our food supply full of wonderful artificial crap; that you actually have survived long enough to type your rant on the things that have kept you alive. (AKA, it's real hard to take that jog though the fresh country air when some animal is tracking you for food, or to swim in a non-chlorinated pool when you have Polio from swimming in non-chlorinated pools)

    Everything in this world has a trade-off, nothing is perfect and that includes the ecosystem with or without us. Intelligence breeds destruction as you may see it. I, however, believe that we have within our grasp the ability to ensure our own survival either on or off of this lump of rock we call Earth. There will be things that we must give up and there will be things we must accept going forward. There will always be people who cannot stand change, who fight advancement; either because they fear it or poorly understand it. You, dear troll, have no idea, nor do you care to understand. It's just easier that way isn't it? By all means, move out to the *real* country of the African savannah or the the south-central regions of Utah. Let me know how you like it.

  13. Re:So let's make fossil fuels MORE expensive! by vbraga · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Our consumption of their resources is *why* they consume less. You are the cause of their resource scarcity.

    No.

    This is one of the most retrograde ways of thinking available to the third world. A good deal of the Left in Latin America adopt this thesis (read Eduardo Galeano, an Uruguayan author, for an example). But the third world is sucks because it's own failings. I'm a citizen of Brazil so I'll take the examples from here since I know it's history better.

    Back when Brazil was a Portuguese colony it showed an amazing period of growth when gold as discovered in the current Minas Gerais state (indeed, Minas Gerais means General Mines). Since the gold industry created a small middle class, a small number of industries (textiles) and trade (food, from southern Brazil and leather from northeastern Brazil) was developed internally. This could be the seed for Brazil starting it's own industry early on it's history. By 1785 the Portuguese taxed us to hell (the "derrama", a full fifth of all gold profits besides normal taxes) and then prohibited the industry at all to be developed in the colony. Besides a few angry manifestos, the Brazilians did nothing. It should be noted that Brazilians had no representation in the Portuguese Cortes.

    Ten years before the Americans fought their independence war. It was the time for Brazil to do the same. We didn't. We never did, actually. Brazil stopped being a colony after Portugal was invaded by Napoleon and the royal family fled to Rio de Janeiro. Brazil was then elevated to the status of United Kingdom of Brazil, Portugal and Algarves. By 1822 a royal prince "gave" the Brazilian independence and took the crown to himself. As part of "reparations" Brazil gave (a lot of) money to Portugal and promised not to conquest the other Portuguese colonies. Instead of kicking their asses back to Europe, like the Americans did to the English.

    My country own history is similar to much of the history of Hispanic America and Africa. The third world is shitty because of it's own failing and nothing else. Of course, the first world did nothing to help but it's not it's responsibility. It's a dog eat dog world and countries should look for themselves.

    --
    English is not my first language. Corrections and suggestions are welcome.
  14. Re:7 Billion Zombies by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Non-chlorinated pools are also bacteria farms

    Not necessarily. Pools can also use UV or oxygen to kill bacteria. Being non-chlorinated doesn't mean not using anything to kill bacteria, it just means not using something that's also pretty hostile to humans. Chlorine isn't the best way of killing bacteria in pools, it's just the cheapest.

    Note: This post in no way endorses the trolling of Dr Bob.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  15. Re:7 Billion Zombies by interkin3tic · · Score: 4, Informative

    7 BILLION PEOPLE. That's an insane amount of people putting an extreme burden on our delicate ecosystem. Earth is already at the brink of death, it's been estimated that when we hit 10 billion, there's no turning back.

    While Dr. Bob is clearly a troll, it's amazing to me the number of non-trolls that accept this part as absolutely true without need for proof. High population isn't killing the environment, inefficient consumption of resources is killing the environment. Per capita, US citizens use far more energy, and put out far more CO2 than the average for the world. We have 4.5% of the world's population, but contribute 18.5% of the CO2 emissions.

    The only way more people = environmental destruction is if we refuse to tighten our belts and the rest of the world decides they want to live as wastefully as we do. We need to stop feeling entitled to use and abuse resources however we feel like at the moment simply because previous generations could get away with it.

  16. Re:So let's make fossil fuels MORE expensive! by he-sk · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Your argument boils down to the assertion that an exploited person and/or people is responsible for its exploitation because it doesn't rebell against the exploiters. In other words you assign guilt to the victim. Fortunately, the civilized world doesn't work that way. There is an obvious cost to any rebellion: it can go wrong or sideways and many more people die or suffer than would have under the status quo.

    BTW, the American colonies were split on the whole independence thing. In retrospect, it is easy to say that the revolutionaries did the right thing. But when the colonies rebelled many Americans fought on the British side.

    --
    Free Manning, jail Obama.
  17. Actually, no, there aren't plenty of resources by Dr.+Manhattan · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's plenty of food, energy and fresh water to go round.

    Not if everyone wants to live in the style to which Americans have become accustomed. As I note in the link, for that to happen (given current tech), "We're going to need three or four New Earths."

    To change that, you need to either (greatly) improve the tech, or (drastically) change the living standard and policies. Or a combination of both.

    --
    PHEM - party like it's 1997-2003!
  18. Re:So let's make fossil fuels MORE expensive! by cusco · · Score: 3, Informative

    If you did this and eventually rose to a position of power (where you could implement the program on a national scale) you would have been assassinated or had a coup carried out against you. The people who are sucking the wealth out of the Third World countries know that they're responsible for the deaths of thousands of innocents, removing one more obstruction to their accumulation of ever-more-grotesque levels of wealth wouldn't cause them a moment's lost sleep.

    This is not to excuse leaders like Alan Garcia from doing more, but I was told of a particularly intransigent highland Peruvian politician who received a cell phone call saying, "Look at your daughter's chest, and vote the right way" on a mining concession. He was appalled to see her playing with the red dot of a laser gun sight aimed at her. He retired early from politics.

    --
    "Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin