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A Vigorous Discussion of Our Future In Space

Nethead writes "At TAM 2011, presented by The James Randi Foundation (JREF), a panel with Pamela Gay, Lawrence Krauss, Bill Nye, and Neil deGrasse Tyson, and moderated by Phil Plait, discussed our future in space in an environment where they could freely express their opinions. This is an hour-long video (so lay off first-posts until you've watched it) with humor, depth and frank realism. Where do we spend our dwindling monetary science funding, manned or robotic exploration?"

29 of 111 comments (clear)

  1. I am in a different timezone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    hour has already passed.

  2. Link to the transcript? by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Where's the link to the transcript?

    This is SlashDot, not CNN.com. We don't have an hour of free time to blow - we scan, pick out the important bits and GTF on with our day.

  3. Lay off, really? by CaseCrash · · Score: 2

    Yeah, I'm really just going to watch an hour long video, think about it, and then comment in an insightful manner about the topic. :P

    Please, this is slashdot, I'll just wait for someone else to tell me the good parts or at least ramble on about something good related to the topic who also didn't watch the video.

    --
    No, that link you posted to a web comic we've all seen a hundred times is not "obligatory."
  4. Robots by ackthpt · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Robots have done great with Mars. The cost to any space program of an astronaut being supported all the way out and back is staggering - let alone if something should happen to him/her.

    Besides, we can send dozens of robots for the cost of development and embarking on a single manned mission.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:Robots by bmo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Just a question

      How many engineers and scientists did the Space Race inspire?

      Dreams are important. Fuck you.

      --
      BMO

    2. Re:Robots by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah! Fuck you, man! Like, I want to be able to go to Mars man! Why can't I? Want to go to Mars! Want to go to Mars! Want to go to fucking Mars!

      [stamps feet, jumps up and down, then throws self on floor, tearfully pounding it with fists and feet]

      I have a fucking right to go to Mars, Dude! It's in the fucking constitution! I pay my taxes, or at least my parents do! Why are you repressing me, Dude?!

      [etc., etc.]

    3. Re:Robots by hazah · · Score: 2

      You honestly think that THAT's what's he's saying?

    4. Re:Robots by boristhespider · · Score: 2, Informative

      Hahahaha! That's your retort? "Fuck you"? Feel free to dream - the rest of us will live in reality glad that the dreamers aren't pissing away what little money is left to us chasing their dreams. Yes, I know the US spends trillions of dollars on the military. That doesn't suddenly mean it's fine to spend hundreds of billions on sending a few ex-pilots into space to achieve something a robot would achieve for a tiny fraction of the cost and much less risk.

    5. Re:Robots by Internetuser1248 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And your dream is worth pissing hundreds of billions of dollars down the shitter for?

      You seem to be forgetting that money is imaginary. When talking about the future of the human race in general, which space exploration is certainly about, money is moot. The reality is about manpower and raw materials. While the cost of space exploration is high in both categories, the raw materials are an investment, as we are guaranteed to run out on earth (as long as we don't die out) and space promises vast untapped sources. In terms of manpower, we have a manpower surplus at the moment, the only sustainable labour sinks we have are war and space exploration. I stipulate that manned space exploration is rarely worthwhile, specifically it is only worthwhile in cases where humans are superior to machines at doing the required work. In 99% of space exploration the machines are far better. There are exceptions however, the ISS being a big one, I am fairly sure we cant fully automate all 0g research. The fact that there are exceptions also means that missions where humans aren't absolutely necessary are nevertheless useful as they pioneer techniques for the ones where humans are necessary. It also seems to me that one day machines will surpass humans in all remaining areas of space exploration, but when we get to that stage we should have various refueling stations around the solar system and the added cost of a bit of tourism is unlikely to be a major factor. Money is irrelevant and this world wide obsession with it we are currently experiencing is absurd and counter productive. I will pay you a billion monopoly dollars (digital images, you will have to print them off yourself) to allow us to continue the relevant parts of the discussion.

    6. Re:Robots by boristhespider · · Score: 2

      Yeah but you're forgetting that that imaginary money governs our lives. I'm aware that if the whole world at the same time decided to declare money imaginary we'd be able to do anything - but that's not the reality. Maybe if the developed nations of the world (including India and China, and obviously Russia, the EU and the USA) agreed to do this and fund it by a mutual fund then it would be great - but that won't happen, in all reality. The raw materials may be an investment, if it works out, but it may very well not.

      And to be honest, if it *does* work out I can guarantee that any government worth its salt (which is probably most of them because they are at least advised by people who generally know something of what they're talking about) is going to be extremely cautious about risking the lives of their astronauts. The combination of cost - and it *is* an issue, although we may wish the economy to be set up differently - and the danger to human life is too much to do anything other than rely on robots for *at least* the initial stages and probably the bulk of it. It depends what we're doing.

      I agere with you, the machines are the way to go, and there are times humans will be better. But the economical thing with humans will involve resources - mines, in particular. Beyond that I honestly cannot see the benefits.

      Tourism is a total red herring. The money involved is minimal and the science even more so. We already know how to put people in low Earth orbit; all that the space tourism companies are doing is trying to find a way of putting people in even lower orbit cheaply, and that for a pretty short amount of time. If there's a future in space it's in things that are actually of benefit to humanity - rare earths and metals are the things that spring to mind the most, along with somewhere to let the excesses of industry go unnoticed - rather than any dream.

      People have raised the discovery of America. I don't want to offend any Americans but seriously, do you think it was discovered on a dream? If so, you want to go back to your history books. It was discovered on the hope of a short route to the far East. Pure economics. Someone took a gamble, sure, but they weren't funding an expedition for glory, they were funding it for pure money. (If we go further back, the Vikings went for lumber - because it was a lot cheaper to go to northern Canada than it was to go to Norway.) Otherwise people are raising dreams. I've never said dreams aren't great - but they're not reality. Reality is what we can buy and what we can afford, within the system we have.

      Also, one final point, you seem to be forgetting that I am not in any way opposed to the exploration of space. What I'm opposed to is throwing away money and resources on *manned* space exploration. We can send ten robotic missions up and have five fail and still be well ahead of where we would be with one manned mission... which could very well fail losing both the money and the trained astronauts. Robots are cheaper, frankly, and a lot less contentious because no-one cares if a robot is splattered across the face of Mars because two teams in NASA used different units.

    7. Re:Robots by boristhespider · · Score: 2

      "The goal" you talk about is Zubrin's goal, and it's totally laudable if unrealistic. Thing is, we're working in reality. Reality does not recommend bankrupting yourself on a risk when there are better ways of making money nearer home. Mars is a dream and will remain so for a long time. The Moon is realistic but it's very hard to make an economic argument for - or you can bet the Americans or Chinese already would have done.

      As for a colony on Mars being realistic and "not any more risky than plenty of other things Americans have done" - name one. Taking off from Earth, leaving Earth orbit, flying out of the van Allen belts and being exposed to the raw solar wind; reaching Mars; landing on Mars; setlting on Mars; surviving well out of your own biosphere for long enough to make it worthwhile; doing *anything* of worth on Mars; lifting off from Mars (doubtless sick from the change in gravity, in air, in food and in everything we take for granted); getting back across space assaulted by the raw solar wind; landing back on Earth; not becoming sick form the shock of exposure to your native environment. It's tough.

      Spain finding America was pure economics. Columbus was funded to find a rapid route the far East. What is the economics of chucking money at Mars? The Moon makes some sense. Not much - too expensive - but some. Mars? Nah. And even for the Moon, robots make sense.

      The "humanity is safer" argument also doesn't wash with me, I'm afraid. If the Earth goes we're fucked, settlers or no. The settlers won't have the plant life, the resources, the water, the oxygen, or anything more for more than a hundred settlers at an extremely optimistic guess. If humanity goes, what emerged from that population would bear little resemblance to us, if it survived at all.

  5. Re:Better question by ackthpt · · Score: 2

    Where do we spend our dwindling monetary science funding, manned or robotic exploration?

    And should we spend it in the first place?

    To ensure space is safe for democracy. :P

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  6. Podcasts by Myopic · · Score: 3, Informative

    I know these names from some of my favorite podcasts. I'm going to toss them out here for people who aren't familiar with them, and please respond with similar podcasts if you love some.

    The Skeptics Guide To The Universe (sponsored by JREF)
    AstronomyCast (Pamela Gay)
    NOVA scienceNOW or NOVA|PBS (often features Tyson)
    Planetary Radio (Bill Nye The Planetary Guy)
    Skeptoid (related topics by Brian Dunning)
    Radiolab (related topics, best of the best of the best)

    Excuse the half-off-topic post, please.

  7. Re:Robotics are here to stay by boristhespider · · Score: 2

    You'd also have to make the robots piss urine and shit, well, shit - and process that from organic materials grown on-site. That would be one interesting project, designing that.

  8. Re: Ask Slashdot by DickBreath · · Score: 2

    > Maybe if you spent less time vying for first post you would

    Maybe a good Ask Slashdot question would be:

    What are the best practices for achieving first post?

    --

    I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
  9. Re:Your reasoning doesn't quite make sense by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 2

    Ah yes, the old bait and switch. No, nobody is against sending satellites into orbit, exploring the solar system and beyond, and so forth. We are against wasting money on manned space exploration because far from being "immensely profitable" to society, it is a huge, useless money sink that is only "immensely profitable" for the highly influential military-industrial-congressional complex. This is not being a Luddite. Those of us who oppose manned space exploration are the most vigorous proponents of robotic space exploration and the general development and application of robotic technologies at the service of humans and human labor, hardly a Luddite cause. If Virgin Atlantic wants to make a space tourism business, fine. Knock yourselves out. Don't expect me to pay for it, though. I refuse to subsidize a bunch of wealthy assholes who want to enjoy an elitist and unbelievably expensive amusement park ride.

    You yourself may lack the vision and fortitude to tackle the challenges of space exploration and exploitation, but thankfully there are many individuals out there who are up to it.
    The tired old saw that manned space exploration has accomplished anything of importance. It really hasn't, aside from landing on the moon a few times at tremendous expense almost half a century ago. Our solar system has been and continues to be explored by robots, not by people. The universe is being observed with robotic telescopes, spectrometers, and many other devices with no need whatsoever of a human presence. You are acting like a child. You are a sci fi space adventure magical religious zealot who is unable to distinguish reality from fantasy. And a crybaby to boot.

  10. Watch the video! by Frenzied+Apathy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm only 20 minutes into watching the video and I find it quite a fascinating discussion.

    If you have ANY interest in government involvement in space exploration, I urge you to take the time to watch this video.

    Bye - I'm goin' back to watch the video...

    --
    The cake is a lie.
    1. Re:Watch the video! by Frenzied+Apathy · · Score: 2

      I challenge you to watch the video. Tyson makes a very strong argument that the U.S. can, indeed, support a robust space program.

      --
      The cake is a lie.
  11. Competition by Jazari · · Score: 2

    The only way humans will go to Mars will be if a new Cold War starts. I'm happy that Neil deGrasse Tyson eloquently raised this point with the audience (~minute 28). To get more funding for science, we really need to play up the geo-political advantages. Appealing to the love of knowledge might convince the Slashdot crowd, but it won't pry open the coffers of any nation.

  12. Re:etereo.com.br for a space trip now by garyebickford · · Score: 2

    We are life. When we go, life goes. When we colonize, we are/carry the seeds of life. Life is greedy, selfish, etc. - that's what Life is. It concentrates resources in order to maintain its living state. Compared to a wolf or an amoeba, we have a pretty high level of altruism within tribes, within the species, and with respect to all other Life and even inanimate resources. The fact that we complain about how greedy and selfish we are illustrates the fact that we care at all about such things. Most Life doesn't give a whit, except in so far as it affects its self-interest.

    Life carries within it the imperative to live, to grow, to expand, to adapt. We are just the first component of Terran Life (that we know of) that has the ability to carry our Life beyond this planet. As such we may be the critical seed for the Universe. If Life has arisen only on Earth, who are we to prevent that expansion? Even if Life exists elsewhere, our own expansion will eventually be critical to survival of the Terran strain of Life.

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  13. oration by Neil deGrasse Tyson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    There is a fabulous oration by Neil deGrasse Tyson during the Q&A, in response to a statement that "we can't afford" space exploration. Alone this makes the 53 minutes a worthwhile investment in time.

    1. Re:oration by Neil deGrasse Tyson by SidIncognito · · Score: 2

      I love his passion.

      I was in the audience at this event and this was probably the most popular session of the weekend. There were some restless murmurs in the crowd when Tyson didn't speak for several minutes at the start. He just stared straight ahead, but he soon made up for it.

      I likened it to a scene from one of those kung fu movies where the master drinks quietly while a fight breaks out around him, before he suddenly jumps in and starts kicking ass.

    2. Re:oration by Neil deGrasse Tyson by Mycroft_VIII · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No mod points and the ac above me is sitting at 0.
          "There is a fabulous oration by Neil deGrasse Tyson during the Q&A, in response to a statement that "we can't afford" space exploration. Alone this makes the 53 minutes a worthwhile investment in time."

      and the ac is mostly right except that it was in response to no money for manned space exploration, though Tyson's response applies to the whole of science and space exploration.

      Mycroft

      --
      https://signup.leagueoflegends.com/?ref=4c3ed6600b6ea
    3. Re:oration by Neil deGrasse Tyson by Sarius64 · · Score: 2

      We have no low gravity develop or test facilities for research. Robots take too damn long to develop a single research line. Ten people on a Moon/Mars base would develop more in one year than 100 years of robots researching. Business cases that take 5 to 10 years for a single research line. We have no industry developed in space to take advantage of there might be in a space use case.

  14. Re:Better question by KahabutDieDrake · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm about to blow 10 mod points, all so I can inform you exactly why your question is utterly unacceptable. That is to say... what in the hell is wrong with you? Should we spend money on cutting edge science and technology? YES. Unequivocally. I wonder, do you have any idea what the space program did for the state of the art in a dozen fields? Are you even slightly aware that the entire computer culture you enjoy today started in the Apollo program? Texas instruments created the first IC for the Apollo program.

    Even more fundamental than that, we live on a planet. 1 planet. Which we know goes through various cycles which are not necessarily conducive to the continued existence of complicated life forms. At the most fundamental level, "space" exploration is our only long term chance at survival. If you can't understand that, I would ask that you hold your tongue and let the adults with worthy opinions dominate the discussion. I'm not saying we need to get humans off of earth on colonies, although I do support that idea, I'm saying that the technology we gain from trying to do things that are "impossible" (moon landing), is fundamental to our continued survival on this biosphere, which we seem to be destroying or altering at alarming rates. Oh, you don't believe in anthropomorphic environmental change? Then you are a fucking moron. In the last 100 years, 60% of the trees on earth have been cut down. If that ALONE isn't a major change in your mind, you can't possibly be smart enough to participate in this discussion.

    Not only is space our most likely savior in terms of resources, survival and technological enhancement, it's also one of two "frontiers" that are still left. All other things being forgotten, exploring the frontiers is good enough reason. We as a species knew that 100 years ago. Why did we forget it?

  15. Re:tl;dw by MachDelta · · Score: 2

    C'mon. It's Bill Nye the muddafuggin Science Guy, Neil deFrikkinGrasse Tyson, the Slacker Astronomy chick, and the physicist who wrote "The Physics of Star Trek". Bill is awesome (as always), Tyson and Krauss spend half their time lobbing verbal jabs at each other, and Dr. Gay throws in a couple insightful points.

    The fuck else do you need here to buy in? A flashing neon sign saying "Naked Ladies" ?
    Trust me, It's an hour well spent. :)

  16. link to video by mu22le · · Score: 2, Informative
  17. Re:Better question by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 2

    Unfortunately, the less people know, the more they think they know.

    The people who you are calling morons are incapable of realizing that they are in fact morons. Yet they have the same vote as you.

    So, right you are, about anthropomorphic environmental change and the need to get off the planet in the long term. Good luck convincing people.

    The best way to get "humanity" off this planet is arguable, though. I'd argue that getting humans as we are now out into space isn't worth it.

    However, engineered "people" that are at the least space-adapted (can take much more hard radiation, don't need gravity, etc.) should be our goal. Better would be largely-solid-state "people". Imagine if you would be fine immersed in vacuum without any life support or radiation shielding, deriving energy from sunlight, extracting raw materials from asteroids, and able to go dormant during a migration to another star. By that argument, sending meat-people up into space at huge expense just detracts from the R&D required to send up properly space-adapted people.

    --PM

  18. Why read when you can listen? by doclight · · Score: 2

    I am in the same boat, I don't have an hour to spare. That's why I'll be listening to this in the background while at my desk tomorrow. Thank you Nethead.