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EU Moves To Ban Iran Crude Oil

rtoz writes with this snippet from the BBC: "EU member states have agreed in principle to ban imports of Iranian crude oil to put pressure on the country over its nuclear programme. ... The US, which recently imposed fresh sanctions on Iran, welcomed the news. ... The Iranian state gets more than half of its revenue through the export of crude oil, says the BBC's James Reynolds. If Europe does stop buying, Iran will have to turn to countries in Asia to replace its lost trade, who will demand a discount, he adds."

21 of 361 comments (clear)

  1. Iran better hurries up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Iran 'might' be working on a nuclear bomb and the EU wants to put an embargo on them.
    the USA, Russia, India, China, Pakistan and Israel all HAVE nuclear bombs and the EU is happily trading and talking with them.

    Conclusion:

    Once Iran finishes it's research the EU and Iran will be Best Friends Forever.

  2. Here we go again... by jholyhead · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We ban crude oil imports, Iran blockades the Straight of Hormuz, the US bombs Iran. They wont even need a dodgy dossier this time around. Here's to another decade of war.

  3. Why does Iran deny having a nuclear programme? by quenda · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All they need is to withdraw from the NPT. Iran has a perfect right to develop nuclear weapons, and a very plausible reason of deterring foreign invasion, given what happened to Iraq. Why pretend not to have a nuclear program when nobody believes you? At least they could take the "no comment" approach that Israel has.

    1. Re:Why does Iran deny having a nuclear programme? by 0123456 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Look at what happened to Iraq when they bluffed and postured about (still) having a nuclear program, refused access to inspectors, that sort of thing.

      You mean the Iraq where the weapon inspectors said 'no, Iraq doesn't have WMDs' but Colin Powell said 'Iraq does so have WMDs, I have pictures of these kebab vans, sorry, chemical weapons vans' and... uh... they didn't?

      BTW, didn't the claims of Iraqui WMDs come from an Iranian agent because Iran wanted Bush to invade and get rid of Saddam Hussein and put their friends in power?

    2. Re:Why does Iran deny having a nuclear programme? by 0123456 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, it is not that clear and cut shenanigans. Hussein *had* chemical and biological WMDs.

      Well, we know that because we sold them to him. But the inspectors went looking for them and said 'he doesn't have any any more'. And Bush invaded anyway.

    3. Re:Why does Iran deny having a nuclear programme? by Garybaldy · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Actually from what i have read. That is true with one exception. The one exception is a new one. Is that during all out war nukes are tolerable. from Aljazeera http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/01/20121212653433219.html In the 1980s, the revolutionary leaders of the new Islamic Republic of Iran swore off weapons of mass destruction (WMD) as un-Islamic. During the course of the war, however, Saddam Hussein's Iraq used chemical weapons against Iranian troops, spurring Ayatollah Khomeini to reverse his position and restart the country's chemical weapons programme. In the process, Khomeini established the philosophical foundation for a key principle within the Islamic Republic known as "maslahat-e nizam" or "expediency of the system", by which the needs of the Islamic Republic as a political institution might trump even Islamic law. This suggests that Iran's commitments not to develop WMD in the early 1980s carried an implicit understanding that the religious prohibition on such weapons does not necessarily apply in a state of war. So far, Tehran's leaders have declared that they have no interest in nuclear weapons, citing the same religious opposition as before. The US intelligence community has repeatedly assessed that if Iran wanted to develop atomic bombs, it has the scientific, technical and industrial capacity eventually to do so. Then why hasn't Iran put its technical know-how to use building up a nuclear arsenal? Experts widely agree that Tehran has yet to form a consensus in favour of actually building the bomb, and in the absence of such a consensus prefers merely to keep the option open for the future. Whether or not Iran builds a nuclear weapon, then, will be based on Tehran's cost-benefit calculation. Fundamentally, the future of Iran's nuclear programme will be decided within the context of Iran's larger foreign policy strategy, which Iran's leaders have characterised as a policy of responding to pressure with pressure. Therefore, the easiest way for Iran to arrive at a consensus in favour of building nuclear weapons would be in response to a provocation from the West.

    4. Re:Why does Iran deny having a nuclear programme? by marcosdumay · · Score: 4, Informative

      UN inspectors were being denied access to numerous facilities

      So was in Brazil. You can't just send your spies to look at everything in every country witht he guise of working for the UN. After both sides agreed on a "looking" methodology, the inspectors were permited in. In both of those countries.

      When the US invaded Iraq, the UN inspectors had access to all the countries infrastructure.

  4. Not so helpful by stomv · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The EU nations import 8.5 million barrels a day. USA: 13.5. Japan: 5.5. China: 4.5. South Korea: 2.5. Get *all* of those nations to ban Iran crude and you'll substantially affect Iranian prices for the worse (and prices within the embargoing nations for the worse, too). Just EU? Meh. EU plus USA? Still meh since in fact most of the current USA's imports come from the Americas. But EU, USA, Japan, SKorea? Now we're talking. As Iran goes further and further down the list of importing nations they start having to deal with shipping into smaller ports, into ports which can't take as much oil as quickly, etc. Less efficient transactions and less efficient shipping, and potentially for a lower base price because the countries agreeing to buy Iranian oil will have negotiating leverage.

    In the mean time, it wouldn't be the worst thing for each of the potentially embargoing nations to figure out how to reduce the oil required for each unit of GDP, health, or any other metric of "goodness" that the nation uses. After all, an oil embargo hurts both trade partners, but reducing demand hurts the seller and improves conditions for the (former) buyer.

  5. Re:Eu is US's bitch by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Consider the issues with religious extremism in the Middle East, and compare that with our own issues with religious extremism during The Crusades.

    Now, imagine that we had nukes back then. The world would have either been Christian or irradiated. This is why we're not happy about Iran, South Korea, Iraq etc having WMDs in this period of their civilisations' evolution; They need their Enlightenment first, and the Arab Spring is the start.

    Religion still plays a significant part of their political climates, and a fundamentalist with their finger on a world-ending bomb is nobody's idea of a happy Christmas. Unfortunately, the only way we can try and stop these people from getting such cataclysmically lethal weaponry (short of turning the place to glass) is to stop buying their crap so they get really poor and have to end their nuclear programmes. Hey, it's better than sending our sons over to be maimed by a roadside bomb, right?

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  6. And why shouldnt iran have nuclear weapons ? by unity100 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    pray tell me. if you say 'they are a hardliner state', you will find israel MUCH more hardliner than any other country on the planet. just listen to what liebermann says (external affairs minister of israel). you'll be dumbfounded. just watch what gets publicly spoken in one of their leading party assemblies. youll be appalled.

    the signs that israel has nuclear capability is always dodged by all international agencies and governments. yet, iran gets the heat for less.

    or maybe it is because only countries that are either in angloamerican or russian alliances are entitled to have nuclear weapons ?

    never mind. the question was rhetorical.

    1. Re:And why shouldnt iran have nuclear weapons ? by mjr167 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      For the same reason that we occasionally take drivers licenses or weapons permits away from people that have demonstrated an inability to use their fun toys in a responsible manner conducive to the safety of others. Do you have a problem with your neighbor having a small arsenal when he behaves like a responsible citizen? No. However, when he starts brandishing the weapons around and threatening your family you call the cops and have him dealt with.

      Iran has expressed a repeated and rather vocal interest in destroying the US and Isreal. I happen to live in the US and so have a vested interested in our continued existence. No one gives a crap about countries like France having nukes because no one thinks France is crazy enough to destroy the world. We like to postulate about Russia's nukes, but in the end Russia also does not want to destroy the world because Russia likes living in the world. Iran, conversely, has stated multiple times that self-destruction is an acceptable end game provided they get to take us with them. If I thought Iran would play nice, I wouldn't have a problem with them arming themselves. Once they demonstrate the ability to behave like a responsible nation in the world community, they too can have the big weapons.

  7. Re:Cutting the nose to spite the face by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    China not a threat? I would call BS. They have been a major threat to the US since they found they are good at wars by proxy. The Korean war was a stalemate. The Vietnam conflict was an easy victory for them. Other places like Afghanistan, Pakistan, and other countries where insurgents "mysteriously" get ammo and explosives from somewhere also show this.

    Look how they killed the solar industry in the US. Six months ago, /. had the articles about how sites belonging to energy companies were being hacked. Then a few months ago came the solar panel dumping for less than the cost of making them. Now we are sans a complete industry because of this, and MORE dependent on oil/gas while they are happily building the latest, safest nuclear reactors and getting off of coal.

    Look how they are securing rare earths and other resources.

    China is smart, and extremely brutal. They know that a couple shipments of C4 that mysteriously wind up in a bunch of insurgent hands go a lot further than sending PLA troops in a region. This is how they can win a battle in a theater of conflict without a single member of the Han race ever firing a shot.

    China is doing a damn good job at keeping the US stuck on fighting in shithole countries to keep the foreign oil flowing while they are going to a post oil economy.

  8. Re:Eu is US's bitch by L4t3r4lu5 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Hahaha, theocratic monarchy... You clearly aren't from the UK. The "ruling" monarch has such important duties as welcoming foreign dignitaries, visiting poor people, and talking rubbish at Christmas. We're run by a parliament, and if the Queen ever decided that wasn't going to work out, dissolution of the monarchy would be instantaneous.

    Think of the royal family of the UK as a tourist attraction, and something to talk about in the tabloid press, and you wouldn't be far wrong.

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  9. Re:The EU are surely better than this... by chrb · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There is not that much demand for oil,

    Oh really? world oil demand 1996-2012.png

    Also never mind that lot of these countries are actually self-sufficient in oil needs too.

    Can you name a single EU country that is self-sufficient in oil? EU is a net importer, it has to buy on the world market, restricting supply by refusing to buy from one country means that the price goes up (unless other suppliers have the motivation and resources to increase supply at no cost, which seems doubtful in this case).

  10. Re:Cutting the nose to spite the face by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Look how they killed the solar industry in the US.

    Let's be clear, China didn't do anything alone. They whipped the slaves, the slaves were industrious, we bought the fruits of their industry. With few exceptions the Chinese are working in conditions of one sort or another which would be illegal here, even if they are not literal slaves literally being whipped. I would imagine that happens less in Solar production and more in cheap crap consumer goods.

    As long as we on one hand pass laws which claim to protect the rights of the laborer and on the other hand continue to purchase goods from countries which do not respect any such rights we are continuing to fund our own devastation through the application of hypocrisy.

    We choose to purchase goods from China, both at the personal and national level. What effect did you think that would have?

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  11. Geez, how dumb can you get by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You mean Sudan that has now been split off into two countries, the new one being south-sudan which is now more free then before from the north-muslim and Iran backed mass murderers?

    Sorta like a not perfect but better then before result of the embargo?

    Gosh, as an example of why embargo's don't work a embargo that gave millions a change to create their own country with a better future.... why not show how the storming of the Bastille did nothing to get rid of the corrupt king. How the US decleration of dependence did not result in indepedence?

    Next time before spouting off, check what actually happened.

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    1. Re:Geez, how dumb can you get by Luckyo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You should stop drinking from the tap of wonderful Western propaganda and read on what's actually happening - because you're regurgitating hilarious amounts of bullshit that has been fed to you. West isn't half happy (and for a reason) about what happened in Sudan. Sudanese had their nice post-independence slaughterfest, these are dime-a-dosen in African countries who's borders were drawn by colonialists and disregarded all cultural and ethnic borders.
      Chinese came with their non-interventionist doctrine. They do it everywhere right now, "we don't care about your politics, as long as you let us be your preferred trading partner you can rape, slaughter and pillage each other all you want".

      You see, China, they don't care what colors will be flown on the flag pole. As long as they keep their stakes in oil industry (which they now own lock, stock and bolt) and remain preferential trading partners, they couldn't care less who slaughters who, and what do butchers and victims choose to call themselves. That's the major ideological difference between China and West, and why China is expanding its influence in Africa so fast while Western influence in there is going down.
      And for the record, West doesn't really care about these slaughters either, until it's their dictator and favored tribe that start getting killed. Chinese on the other hand just deal with everyone, as they do not have the long colonial history and baggage associated with it and don't care about ideology of locals.

      If you seriously believe that splitting Sudan is for "creating your own country with a better future", I have land on the moon to sell you. Reality is, it's going to be another post-colonialist independence dictatorial shit hole split along tribal lines like dozens of other countries that went down that path ended up. There is no culture of democracy in Africa - but there is a long culture of colonialism, slavery and tribal warfare. And once you understand this and stop looking at African countries like you look at Western ones, a lot of things in there make actual sense without needing to listen to talking heads trying to shove bullshit down your throat about "what you should think is happening there".

  12. Re:Cutting the nose to spite the face by ArcherB · · Score: 4, Informative

    With few exceptions the Chinese are working in conditions of one sort or another which would be illegal here, even if they are not literal slaves literally being whipped

    In a communist economy, the population are slaves. Literal whips are replaced by the Type 56 and threats to your family.

    As for the rest of your comment, I agree.

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  13. Re:Cutting the nose to spite the face by NeutronCowboy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Strange, considering that when Libyan oil started to go into Chinese direction, both EU and US got scared shitless and bombed the country into stone age.

    Is this what passes for intelligent commentary these days?

    1) Libya was not bombed into the stone age. The Ghaddafi regime lost some tanks, artillery, choppers and a few buildings were hit in the process as well.
    2) Libya was free to sell its oil to whomever it wanted before the Ghaddafi regime change, and it is so now.

    Man, and you people vote. Scary.

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  14. Re:The EU are surely better than this... by chrb · · Score: 4, Informative

    Can you name a single EU country that is self-sufficient in oil?

    the UK

    The UK is a net oil importer, and has been since around 2004. Output peaked in 1999 and has been declining since. ("The rate of decline has ranged from 6% to 17%, year-on-year.... The UK produced an average of 2.72 million barrels a day (mbpd) in 1999, hitting a high of 3.1 mbpd in August. But by June 2005 this had fallen to 1.7 mbpd, a drop of 34%.") Is UK oil output running on empty? )

    Norway

    Norway is not in the EU. It is a net oil exporter but exports have been declining since 1993. see Oil_production_Norwegian_North_Sea.png and oil-production-norway.gif. They hit peak oil in 2001, so reversal of this decline seems unlikely unless they can discover and bring big new fields online. (They will undoubtedly bring more small fields online, the issue is whether this will be enough to compensate for decline in the existing fields) Only 12% of European oil comes from Norway, and they do not have the production capacity to increase this significantly.

  15. The Evil Dictator Pattern by Un+pobre+guey · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's amusing how some people still think we went into Iraq because S. Hussein was an evil dictator, or that we helped get rid of M. Khadafi for the same reason. The popular media seem resistant to portray these things for what they are: taking control of Third World petroleum industries. Iran is the last redoubt in the middle east not yet in bed with or controlled by international petroleum mobsters. Venezuela is the last in the western hemisphere, and it is no coincidence at all that H. Chavez is demonized as an evil dictator as well. It is an industrial pattern every bit as stereotyped as any software design pattern, and it works just as well.

    Yes, we are headed for another decade of perpetual war for perpetual peace in order that the mobsters who rule the First World can take control of small nations' wealth and resources. For the rubes, it's all about saving the world from Iran's evil dictators having a few nukes. Suckers.