Slashdot Mirror


Study Says Fracking is Safe In Theory But Often Not In Practice

First time accepted submitter chadenright writes "A university study asserts that the problems caused by the gas extraction process known as hydraulic fracturing, or 'fracking,' arise because drilling operations aren't doing it right. The process itself isn't to blame, according to the study, released today by the Energy Institute at the University of Texas at Austin."

72 of 297 comments (clear)

  1. Study in texas.... by santax · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So, who payed for it? Are there any ties with the oil-industry? Via-via-ties do count. I ask this because every other investigation I have seen all have the same thing in common: Putting about 3000 different chemicals (mostly very toxic) into the ground is a mayor threat to drinkingwater and should never ever be repeated again. Except in Texas apparently. Only that is reason enough to just not continue this. The cost don't weight up to the benefits. (Not even on an economical scale)

    1. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I am on a different side of it.

      It *sounds* bad to be putting 3000 different chemicals into the ground until you actually start taking geology into account. Having been on-site and spoken with engineers, I am *EXTREMELY* dubious that when fraccing zones more than 10,000 feet underground that it can affect the water table thousands of feet above it.

      Especially Texas where most of the wells I am aware of are deep wells.

      Plus, fraccing is required when the permeability of your zone is low. That means, by definition, it would not be a water table or any other kind of zone in which those chemicals could be moving around. If it is that permeable already and connected to a water table you would be tasting the natural hydrocarbons already.

      I have always brought this up when these types of articles appear that the very definition of the technology would seem to preclude these types of interactions with water tables.

      This study only seems to confirm what I was already saying. Only wells that are improperly fracced have these kinds of results.

      Now I can certainly see that horizontal shallow drilling accompanied by fraccing could possibly introduce the natural hydrocarbons (that were trapped in various formations) into water tables along with the fraccing fluid.

      The mistake people make is thinking that the ground is the same the whole way down. Far from it. It's more complicated than that. If water tables are being affected it is because the engineers are idiots and not doing it right.

      The study is entirely plausible. It says it works in theory (which it most certainly does) but in practice you can fuck up and contaminate the water tables. Doesn't tell me something I did not already know intuitively.

    2. Re:Study in texas.... by santax · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Hmmm, ok, maybe you should download or rent the docu Gasland. Without a lot of words it shows us what all those other studies except this 1 (in texas, done under supervision by a guy who has on his cv: and my experience in private firms......) have to say. Until proven (!) in practice... like it should be... I will stay with my current and correct opinion. This method is not only dangerous, it's a scorched earth tactic. As all the wells that are currently in existence have proven. So now it's up those guys who did this research to provide us with proof they are right.Let us now hope they won't start a 'proof pit' near anyone you or me, loves.

    3. Re:Study in texas.... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It *sounds* bad to be putting 3000 different chemicals into the ground...

      Yep, it does.

      Having been on-site and spoken with engineers...

      Who all owed their livings to the energy industry.

      If water tables are being affected it is because the engineers are idiots and not doing it right.

      Well, then the solution is simple: keep all the engineers away.

      The study is entirely plausible. It says it works in theory (which it most certainly does) but in practice you can fuck up and contaminate the water tables.

      So here's my idea: Let's only do fracking in theory. In practice, let's be more serious about looking for alternatives.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    4. Re:Study in texas.... by Mashiki · · Score: 3, Informative

      Would that be the same docu-drama which conveniently committed the fact that 'burning tap water' had been an on-going issue for nearly a century?

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    5. Re:Study in texas.... by Gideon+Wells · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I live in PA, but haven't watched it yet. We have local fracking wells up near our reservoir. W've had companies run their wells at high enough pressure to break the containment shells and keep running for three months till busted. Not one of those reservor wells, though. Oh, and truckers busted driving away from the site with the release valve on the tanks "accidentally" leaking.

      I don't need to see Gasland. I can read the news. I see how the industry here is in full come in, drill and move on locust mode. The drilling could be safe if done with geology in mind and within standards. I just have no faith this will be done 100% of the time. Not that what I say or believe matters.

      I can also look up our history. Pennsylvania was deforested in the lumber booms about a century ago, and only has its current forests thanks to FDR, the New Deal and the Civilian Conservation Corps. A large part of our economy is dependent on forest tourism. A third of all of our water is already contaminated from acid mine drainage from the coal booms.

      Even if it were 100% no matter what, I'd still be leery based off of my state's track record.

      --
      by Anonymous Coward: I, for one, welcome the shift from car analogies to pizza analogies. um.. overlords?
    6. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 3, Informative

      So.. on-site all of these engineers were engaged in a massive conspiracy to lie to me about how fraccing works?

      The solution is to do fraccing only where appropriate. This means proper surveys and considering how it might impact the environment. Which is exactly what the study says. It was improper in the areas that have had water tables affected. In some cases, it should have never been done in the first place, and I am the first to agree with that.

      I have no reason to believe they are lying to me, and certainly not years and years before this became a big deal. Most people just have no idea how it actually works. If you did, you would know how absolutely ludicrous it is for a formation 15,000 feet below ground, that is trapping hydrocarbons, in a low permeability strata, to have any affect on a water table 10,000 feet or more above it.

      It is not possible for large scale effects in such a situation. At most, if the well casing is damaged near the surface you might have some leakage into the water table. However, that will happen with or without fraccing. You can detect and repair that, which is in the best interests of the operators, regardless of environmental concerns.

      There are no alternatives to fraccing whatsoever. The whole idea is to crack the formations apart, pump in proppant (sand like material), and remove the fluids to increase permeability. You cannot increase permeability any other way, which is what allows you to get the hydrocarbons out the ground fast enough to make it economically viable to produce.

      You would be better off finding alternatives to fossil fuels. However, the only reasonable alternative at the moment for large scale power production is nuclear, but we can't have that either.

      I just find it a little ridiculous to be railing against the technology, when it is impossible for the technology to cause the problems, when properly used.

      It's not the technology. It's the people. Fraccing does not damage water tables every single time in every single case, which is what people love to say.

    7. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      How can you be correct when you don't even know how fraccing works? How is the method inherently a scorched earth tactic?

      Remember, what I am saying, is that low permeability strata (meaning water does not flow through it) is cracked apart and those chemicals are introduced as a medium to leave proppant behind. The fluids themselves are largely reclaimed. Not left down below.

      Most often, especially in Texas, those wells are so deep that it is not possible for the water table to interact with those formations that are being fracced. That's why you are not correct and just have no idea what you are talking about.

      Ask a geologist some time if it is possible for a water table to interact with a low permeability formation that is 10,000 feet below it. He will say it is not possible. Guess why? It it was possible, that would mean the water table was that deep to begin with.

      The very definitions of the terms being used mean you are incorrect and have no understanding of the process.

      None, none, of what I am saying is condoning shallow fraccing in other areas of the country where it could interact with a water table.

      It's not the fraccing, it is the people doing it.

    8. Re:Study in texas.... by Sarten-X · · Score: 3, Interesting

      At a recent convention, I attended a presentation by a man involved in fracking regulation (though I now forget his exact role, it was on the government side). He said it wasn't really the big drilling companies that caused the most severe problems with fracking, but rather the small mom-and-pop ones that aren't used to handling environmental concerns. The bigger companies have the benefit of scale, making the cost of compliance lower. They can process their waste water correctly, use higher-quality cement, and hire better nerds to do the job right. Of course that doesn't fit the conspiracy theory, so you won't find such statements in Gasland.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    9. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 2

      It does not have to be suspended completely though. That is an over reaction.

      Fraccing does not occur everywhere under the ground. It is in fact a highly targeted and precise operation when done correctly.

      As long as all the engineers can show that the water table could not interact with the fracced formation to a very high confidence, it should be allowed to proceed.

      I said some of these fracced formations were more than 10,000 feet below the water table. Believe me when I tell you that there are thousands upon thousands of feet of low permeability strata that have prevented anything from mixing with that water table for geological time periods (tens of thousands or millions of years).

      The energies required are enormous. Those cracks they create below ground get filled in with proppant (which is a type of sand and chemically inert) and don't travel all the way back up to surface. We are not talking about something that create a visible crack on the surface or cause an earth quake. Fraccing is just not that high energy.

    10. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 4, Informative

      That sound great, until you realise that by frac'ing and drilling into the rock, they've changed the permeability of the rock (ie: the point of frac'ing).

      Drilling does not change the permeability of the surrounding rock. Keep in mind there is something called well casing which essentially protects the hole all the way to the surface.

      If you drill a hole in concrete and fill it with water, did it make all of the concrete more permeable? Nope.

      Many of the chemicals are water soluble and/or are lighter than the ground water, why wouldn't the ground water seep down in the now permeable rock and mix with the chemicals?

      The ground water would not seep down because all of the rock formation did not have a uniform increase in permeability. It was like a bunch of cracks in a concrete wall that was further separated from the water table (we will just say a layer of dirt) by another layer of concrete that was unaffected by the frac.

      Imagine this.

      You have a mix of concrete in which you suspended bubbles of Coke. It is 100 feet thick. You then have a layer of normal concrete that is 1000 feet thick. On top of that you have a 100 foot layer of dirt that has a bunch of water in it.

      The water table is only going to extend to the concrete itself, and not all the way to the bottom. That's the way they work, otherwise water could just fall all the way to the core of the Earth.

      You then drill a hole through the whole thing. Before you frac, or do anything else after drilling the hole, you make a nice reinforced straw. That is called casing. All of the dirt does not directly interact with any fluid in the hole. It can't. The casing is there.

      The water table is protected by the casing.

      Now you perforate the casing all the way at the bottom with shaped explosives. This allows the Coke to flow into the hole under pressure and go to the surface. However, since the permeability is so low... you are not getting a lot. The Coke does not interact with the water table due to the casing.

      That's where fraccing comes in. You create thousands of small fractures (hence the name) in the bottom layer with that nasty fluid everyone hates. Pump in proppant (which is like sand) and remove the fluid.

      Now what you have is a bunch of fractures that allow the trapped Coke to travel to the hole faster. That's why it is done.

      The fractures themselves extend out horizontally some distance, and vertically, but they they simply don't make it all the way through that 1000 foot thick layer of concrete to get to the water table above it.

      That is why ground water does not seep into fractured formations thousands of feet below it. A path does not exist.

      So now that you understand that, the only way the water table can be affected is with damaged casing (has nothing to do with fraccing) or a fraccing process that put the water table at risk because it was too close.

      That's why the technology is perfectly fine in theory. Any dickhead that decides to do something like that too close to water table is the real problem.

    11. Re:Study in texas.... by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      Does it matter at the end of the day if peoples' water supply is poisoned because water several thousand feet below is leaching to the surface, or whether it's screwy concrete closer to the surface, or it's just incompetent assholes spilling the chemicals on the ground. About the only thing that wouldn't be the company's fault would be naturally occurring natural gas in wells and aquifers, and maybe the sensible thing to do before developing a new natural gas field is to take six month's or a year's worth of samples. But other than the latter option, it boils down to fracking causing harm to water, and that being the case if a reasonable level of safety and security of groundwater cannot be guaranteed than they shouldn't be allowed to do it.

      Either that, or the CEO, the board of directors and the chief engineers are forced to live with bombs strapped to their heads and as soon as evidence of contamination is seen, the townsfolk get to press the button. Methinks that would probably see an extraordinary decrease in contamination.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    12. Re:Study in texas.... by rtb61 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Fracking can never be done safe, at least not with today's technology. You are drilling russian roulette mode, sometimes it's safe but mostly it's not.

      Companies are simply making guesstimates of what will happen when they pressurise formation and, where the fractures will go and how it will affect ground water at various depths.

      Here's how it works for people looking for water. They drill down a bore into likely areas, and when water flows, they test the suitability of water derived from that formation, they keep drilling till they find a suitable formation to draw water from or the reach the depth level of the equipment or they run out of money or they give up and try at another location.

      Eventually they mostly find a safe suitable source. Now along comes the fracking company, they purposefully introduce largely random (the lack the ability to 'accurately define where the fractures will occur) stress fractures in the rock, the purpose to specifically allow the mixing of fluid and gas materials to mix at various levels, basically turn rock formations into massive soda fountains. Will it affect nearby wells, they don't know and they don't give a fuck.

      The law was written so that they could run off with the profits and tell those whose water they contaminate to piss off and laugh at their misery. The frackers rinse and repeat as long as governments allow them to do so. They know they are playing russian roulette with other peoples lives, seriously actual russian roulette people will get sick and die, there is absolutely no denying it. They paid their lobbyists to influence Darth Cheney to write laws to protect frackers from the frackers murderously greedy activities.

      The reality is there is no technology currently available to forecast what will actually happen when you try to turn rock formations into massive soda fountains, none at all, it is a straight up guess. Pretty much a safe bet for the fracker they will likely get a big profit as for everyone else around that location, let's be honest, as far as the frackers are concerned luck of the draw 'Fuck Em'.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    13. Re:Study in texas.... by compro01 · · Score: 2

      Keep in mind there is something called well casing which essentially protects the hole all the way to the surface.

      Which have this annoying habit of failing horribly according to the TFA.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    14. Re:Study in texas.... by eldorel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you did, you would know how absolutely ludicrous it is for a formation 15,000 feet below ground, that is trapping hydrocarbons, in a low permeability strata, to have any affect on a water table 10,000 feet or more above it.

      I would like to simple add a few thoughts to the discussion.

      If the area they are frakking is 10,000 feet "Below" the water table, then they probably have to go through the water table in order to reach it.

      So there is at least one path for contamination.

      Additionally, frakking is the process of breaking geological formations in order to allow for the collection and extraction of liquid petroleum and gasses, AND a direct correlation has been show between frakking and increased geological activity.

      So, they are intentionally breaking the layers of rock separating pockets of gas and oil, and causing small earthquakes.

      Meanwhile you are arguing that "it is impossible for the technology to cause the problems", and that there is no way that during all of the intentional layer breaking they might cause something to change in the layers that are sitting on top of the work area

      I'm not sure that "impossible" is the right term to use. I'd have chosen "marginally unlikely", but that's just me.

    15. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 4, Informative

      If the area they are frakking is 10,000 feet "Below" the water table, then they probably have to go through the water table in order to reach it.

      So there is at least one path for contamination.

      No. There is no path with proper well casing.

      Additionally, frakking is the process of breaking geological formations in order to allow for the collection and extraction of liquid petroleum and gasses, AND a direct correlation has been show between frakking and increased geological activity.

      So, they are intentionally breaking the layers of rock separating pockets of gas and oil, and causing small earthquakes.

      Extremely small earth quakes. It is misleading to give it that term because it implies to most lay people that you could feel it long distances away. You can't. Unlike the vast majority of posters I have been less than 100 feet away from the well bore in a trailer when a large frac was performed. I did not fall down, and other than a light amount of vibration, it was just a big bang. Also keep in mind, that any release of energy that high would require some impressive engineering on the well bore and drilling rig.

      I would like to see studies that show a direct correlation between fraccing and increased geological activity. "Correlation does not imply causation". While I don't wish to seem like I am resistant to the truth, the science behind fraccing does not, at a glance, support sustained increases in geological activity.

      Citation please.

      Meanwhile you are arguing that "it is impossible for the technology to cause the problems", and that there is no way that during all of the intentional layer breaking they might cause something to change in the layers that are sitting on top of the work area

      They can't cause any large scale or meaningful changes in layers sitting on top of the work area. I am assuming that you mean that a frac conducted at 15k feet deep can change layers between a thousand feet and the surface. That would not happen.

      In order for it to be true, the energies required would be impressive to say the least. The frac would not be limited to the production zone, but would result in fractures at the surface. Such energies would result in an earth quake comparable to a nuclear blast. You would feel that in major cities hundreds of miles away.

      You simply cannot affect changes through that many thousands of feet of rock without the requisite increase in energy levels. It's not like they are bringing out portable nuclear power on site. It's diesel man.

      Additionally, and so many people here overlook this, for every fracture that is created you need to pump proppant into it. This means you can tell how well your frac performed, in part, by looking at how much proppant was pumped into it. To have large scale effects at the water table, thousands of feet above your target, would require many many times the amount of proppant you estimated was required. You would know.

      I'm not sure that "impossible" is the right term to use. I'd have chosen "marginally unlikely", but that's just me.

      Impossible might have been over doing it. However "marginal" is over doing it as well. Highly unlikely would be a better way to say it. You have better chances of winning the lottery.

    16. Re:Study in texas.... by eldorel · · Score: 2

      I'm glad you liked it.

      I think this article probably explains part of my concerns better than I could here.

      As a small quick summary, frakking can and has caused increased geological activity.

      To directly address your question:
      While the actual amount of energy being added to the area during frakking is relatively small, the amount of energy that is released is anything but small.

      The amount of energy released is enough to cause vibration that can be felt on the surface in many areas, sometimes even several miles away.

      With that much energy being released, it's not very hard to imagine that there has to be at least SOME movement in the layers of earth between the working zone and the surface.
      After all, by it's very design, frakking is more effective in areas with more natural pressure built up.

      Now, I will acknowledge that there are probably parts of the world where this technique would be perfectly safe.
      However, I would also suggest that those "safe" zones aren't going to be very profitable in comparison.

      After all, why work an area that you have to frakk for a year before it starts producing when there are areas where a single crack will get the oil flowing?

      Or to rephrase:
      After all, Why use a whole bushel of hay to kill this camel, when that one over there only needs a single straw?

    17. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I read that article and it does not have anything to do with the type of fraccing I have encountered.

      That stuff is crazy. The ones I was witness to were anything but shallow, but at 15k feet instead. There was certainly not millions of gallons of fluid. Everything had to be trucked in.

      Initially, all the fluid was reclaimed and trucked off site for disposal. That was not pumped back down into the ground to my knowledge at all. Any fluid remaining was extracted over time to a container on the site. I remember that for a few years a truck had to come by every so often to empty it. What I witnessed had practically no impact on the local environment at all. No ponds, fluids, etc. Just a well bore, casing, and a pipeline to take the natural gas to the refinery. That's it.

      That article describes a completely different fraccing process. Not to mention none of these walls were horizontal, but vertical. Straight down to 15-20k feet deep.

      I will fully admit that what that article talks about seems completely reckless and irresponsible.

    18. Re:Study in texas.... by eldorel · · Score: 2

      Hmm. Perhaps you are right, but there is something going on above and beyond the math.

      Allow me to match your anecdote.
      I have also been near one of these wells during a frakking operation, I have family members who are close enough to one to watch while they are pumping.

      There are cracks in the foundation of the house that only formed after the well went live, and the tremors that i've personally felt were considerably more active than "Just a big bang".

      For the record, I live in Southern Louisiana. The entire southern half of the state is on so much mud that most of our population isn't even aware that we had a 5.3 quake last year, or that we have had 74 earthquakes with magnitude greater than 3.0 in the last 10 years and 4 greater than a 4.0 in the last 2 years.

      However, everyone in the parish (our version of a county) knows when they start frakking at any of the 4 wells in the area. (to the point of commenting about it to the workers when they go to the grocery store after work).

      It's not a nuclear bomb, but there is definitely some noticeable vibration.

      Perhaps you are in a less geologically active area, or perhaps the company working your area is more responsible than BP:Amoco, but it doesn't change the fact that thousands of people have stories just like mine

      Perhaps someone should start a kickstarter to fund some impartial research into this, starting by correlating recorded activity and epicenter data with known start and stop dates of wells going into and out of production.

      All of this data is already available via sites like http://neic.usgs.gov and sonris, we just need someone to sit down and correlate it.

    19. Re:Study in texas.... by EdIII · · Score: 2

      At this point I am convinced we are not talking about the same process. It has the same name, but is otherwise very different.

      The article laid out a process that was flat out nuts and irresponsible. None of the wells I was at were anything like what you are describing. I have a feeling those engineers would not be a part of something that reckless either.

      I believe what you are saying and it does not have anything to do with my experiences or understanding of the technology. It's amazing that these are deep wells and you can feel something that far away with sustained seismic activity afterwards. It must be continuous over time, which is not my experience at all. Not to mention much more powerful, which is again amazing, because the fracs I was at were considered within the top 5% of "powerful" fracs. You seem to indicate something at least an order higher in intensity.

      There is no way I would support the type of processes you are experiencing where you live and whatever I posted does not seem to apply to your situation.

    20. Re:Study in texas.... by inviolet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Reminds me of something we say in UI design meetings:

      "If 3% of your users screw up, it's a user problem... but if 30% of your users screw up, it's a UI problem."

      If the fracking process is not tolerant of hasty, underfunded, undertrained, fly-by-night drilling operations, then the process is not suitable for deployment here in the West.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    21. Re:Study in texas.... by darkmeridian · · Score: 2

      So in theory, BP should have done a great job with Deepwater Horizon, right? After all, they're huge, hired Halliburton, etc. The problem is that they're a profit-seeking enterprise. That made them rush the job, and to do stupid things in the name of increased profits. Let's not kid ourselves. Anyone will do bad stuff to get more money.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    22. Re:Study in texas.... by adeft · · Score: 2

      I grew up in Lycoming County and read about that truck leaking from the valve. Not sure how true it is, but the number of gallons leaked was reportedly less than 10, but I heard the real number was swept under the rug. :( It's really scary to have friends and family still living in that area. When I go to visit, I don't even recognize it anymore. Where there was once beauty and simplicity, it's now all about industry. I went to breakfast a few weeks ago outside of Muncy, and a restaurant that previously served water in a cup gave me a bottle.

    23. Re:Study in texas.... by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      I believe that fracking can be done in a responsible and safe manner - AT LEAST from a technical standpoint.

      However, from a regulatory, financial, and corporate culture standpoint - NONE of the companies that are using hydrofracturing have any reasonable safety track record. Cost-cutting and accidents run rampant throughout the industry. At this point, there is nothing short of a complete corporate overhaul that will make me trust any drilling company.

      I'd rather have a nuclear plant a mile away than any hydrofracturing wells upstream from me along the Susquehanna, because at least the nuclear industry has a proven safety track record (The only civilian nuclear plant to release more than negligible contamination did so after a disaster that independently killed 25,000+ people in a matter of hours), and a track record of constantly improving safety designs.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    24. Re:Study in texas.... by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      Well, they clearly did not tell you the whole truth. I mean, apply some critical thinking skills here - to get these fracturing fluids down to, say, 10k feet, they must somehow PASS THROUGH THE WATER TABLE. Considering that the plumbing required to do this is handling pressures intended to FRACTURE ROCK - If you think there is no chance of this plumbing failing underground and releasing its contents at a depth that wasn't supposed to be affected, you are seriously stupid or deluded. This seems to be the primary contamination mechanism in my opinion - underground blowouts, which the industry seems to be doing a piss-poor job of preventing.

      "Fraccing does not damage water tables every single time in every single case, which is what people love to say." - No one has said that. It simply happens WAY TOO OFTEN. Even 1 in 100 wells having a casing rupture is unacceptable, because of the sheer number of wells and the amount of damage a single underground blowout can do.

      Even if the technology can be safely applied, the corporate culture of those applying the technology leads to the whole thing being fundamentally unsafe. There is rampant evidence of poor safety practices, frequent accidents with severe environmental effects, and a culture of "nope, didn't happen, nothing went wrong and thus nothing will go wrong" as opposed to "shit, we fucked up, here's the list of things we're going to change so it doesn't happen again".

      That is the fundamental problem. We are "here" - accidents are routine and environmental contamination is something to deny and ignore. We need to be "there" - accidents are rare, and when they do, are treated extremely seriously with remedial action taken to prevent it from happening again.

      If the industry had a good roadmap for getting from "here" to "there", I'd be OK with fracking. The problem is, the industry is "here", but they insist to the public that they are "there" even though they clearly aren't, and thus have no roadmap.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    25. Re:Study in texas.... by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      We've been drilling wells that only had to deal with the reservoir pressure of the gas/oil they were drilling.

      Handling pressures required to FRACTURE ROCK is a bit of a different story. The engineering margins are going to be fundamentally narrower. Combine this with the fact that fracking wells tend to be far more numerous than oil wells, and the operations are being done by companies which now have a clear track record of "who cares if a few wells blow out?" and "no that contamination didn't happen", and you have a fundamental problem.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    26. Re:Study in texas.... by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      "I am assuming some competency and accountability on the part the operator here."

      Given the industry's track record in locations like Dimock, PA, this is an utterly stupid assumption.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    27. Re:Study in texas.... by geoskd · · Score: 2

      We've been drilling wells for about a century. If there was a fundamental problem with well casing, it would have shown up long before now.

      There is, and it has. Its called taking shortcuts to save time and money. It caused the deep water horizon screw up, and it will happen over and over without proper regulation.

      -=Geoskd

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
  2. Re:Frak! by owenferguson · · Score: 5, Interesting

    In all seriousness, though, "safe in theory but not necessarily in practice" suggests that maybe the theory is wrong...

  3. Blame the Cement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    I only work as an MWD Engineer in the industry, so take my comment with a grain of salt. As far as I can tell the problem is likely due to improper cementing in 99.99% of cases. They almost always rush it, and drill ASAP afterwards, if not sooner. I wouldn't doubt they are fracking their cement job, leaving a nice path to the surface water table.

  4. Re:BSG by msauve · · Score: 4, Funny

    "Fracking is Safe In Theory But Often Not In Practice"

    The solution is obvious. Only do theoretical fracking.

    --
    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  5. it can be safe by sjames · · Score: 5, Funny

    There is nothing intrinsically unsafe about it in most cases, but if you frack a stranger without a condom, you can get cooties.

    1. Re:it can be safe by Tyrannosaur · · Score: 2

      You should also make sure the rock is at least 18 years old before shooting liquids in it, or there could be other legal repercussions besides.

  6. Re:Frak! by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Interesting

    In all seriousness, though, "safe in theory but not necessarily in practice" suggests that maybe the theory is wrong...

    Or, horror of horrors, government isn't stepping up to the plate. This sort of thing is the poster child for why pure Libertarianism don't work. Over at the Oil Drum there are many discussions on fracking - and from the couple of folks actually doing it, they would agree with TFA - it can be done safely, but often isn't.

    Apparently Texas, who has been regulating fracking since the 1950's does a reasonable job of it. Significant fines for dumping wastewater, regulators that know what they're looking for. It shouldn't be rocket science to hire a couple of oil field guys (or some ex - Texas regulators) and come up with a best practices document.

    Hell, the EPA might even be able to do it. But this is what really frosts me about the current state of affairs. Even if industry and government should have similar goals (keeping the screw ups and cheaters out of the game), they can't seem to get together and put up some fairly simple regulatory frameworks.

    Maybe this is what Tainter means by too much complexity causing our eventual downfall. Humans are just too stupid sometimes.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  7. Re:Frak! by pavon · · Score: 5, Informative

    The article stated that one of the main problems was bad cementing jobs, but from what I've gathered from reading and talking is that it is really hard to get a good cement job. There are things you can do to screw it up, but even if you do everything by the book, you can still end up with an imperfect seal. According to the US U.S. Minerals Management Service, cementing problems were associated with 18 of 39 blowouts between 1992 and 2006.

    So, if doing fraking "right" requires you to have perfect cement jobs everytime, then it isn't possible to do fraking right.

  8. Re:Humanity should be ashamed by 'Fracking' by Mashiki · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I live in one of the most geologically stable places on the planet. And we still have earthquakes here. It's called the Canadian shield. But hey, you know if you frack properly, you don't get any problems. And I'm sure you're also going on about that BS movie where people were lighting their taps on fire, but guess what, people were doing that before. Hell there's places around me where that's possible from naturally occurring methane in the water. Mostly well water, and you need to back pressure it in your well.

    Really though, next I'm sure you'll go on a rant about how the tar sands are evil. But gloss over the fact that oil has been leeching into the rivers in Canada for thousands of years. Hell, there's enough oil leeching naturally that people used to(and still do) patch their boats with it.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  9. Re:Frak! by z0idberg · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is. **Attributed to Yogi B and others.

  10. A Texas University... by forkfail · · Score: 3, Informative

    ... funded by Big Oil comes out with what is basically pro-fracking study that basically says, "We're doing it in a dangerous manner; it's the process, not what we're doing, even though everyone is doing it wrong."

    And peer review? Nope. But it was reviewed by the pro-corporation sham of an environmental watch-group, the Environmental Defense Fund:

    In addition to university faculty, the Environmental Defense Fund was actively involved in developing the scope of work and methodology for this study, and reviewed final work products.

    (source)

    Not buyin' it.

    --
    Check your premises.
  11. Re:Frak! by mosb1000 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You can do everything right and still get a bad seal. If you rush the job and ignore warning signs, you are pretty much guaranteed to get a bad seal. Which do you suppose causes more problems?

    So, if doing fraking "right" requires you to have perfect cement jobs everytime, then it isn't possible to do fraking right.

    You could say the same of any drilling. If you don't have a good seal, you haven't done it right. It is possible to check this kind of thing afterwards. Maybe they should.

  12. Re:Frak! by steveha · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This sort of thing is the poster child for why pure Libertarianism don't work.

    Pure libertarianism: somebody owns that underground water. Somebody else starts fracking and chemicals get into the water. The owner of the water then sues the fracker and 0wns him in court. (Possibly literally; if the damages are high enough, the fracker might wind up indentured to the party he wronged.)

    Alternative scenario. The fracker and the water owner are the same person. Now he can eat the cost of the fracking (can't sell the water anymore; it's polluted); or he can keep selling the water to his customers, in which case his customers sue him for selling tainted water, and they 0wn him in court.

    Now, if you are talking about not just a libertarian society but an anarchocapitalist one, then yeah I think you have found an example that probably won't work in practice. I'm told that even with no government to force people to go to court, that they will voluntarily show up for arbitrations and there is no need for government. I doubt you buy that; I don't either.

    The role of government here is supposed to be that government imposes regulations, the industry follows the regulations, and then nobody sues anybody as long as everyone was following the regulations. Or if you are really a believer in big government, you might think that government inspectors prevent accidents. That works until it doesn't; BP leaked a bunch of oil into the gulf, and government inspectors didn't prevent it.

    The libertarian alternative is you can do whatever you want, without permission, but as soon as you harm someone you are in big trouble. (Government currently provides lots of ways to diffuse the trouble; you don't hear of a CEO being held personally responsible for the company he/she heads, due to limited liability of corporation.)

    Maybe you meant to say "anarchy" instead of "Libertarianism"?

    steveha

    --
    lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  13. Re:And in theory ... by bsane · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How many people have died producing solar?

    I don't know, but if/when there is even a single death from a construction accident, its death per megawatt will suddenly be worse than coal...

  14. Re:Frak! by tomhath · · Score: 2

    So, if doing fraking "right" requires you to have perfect cement jobs everytime, then it isn't possible to do fraking right.

    That's a pretty big "if". You could also say that the vast majority of gas wells are done perfectly, and a few had problems which needed to be fixed

    Keep in mind that natural gas in water wells is very common throughout the Appalachians

  15. Re:Frak! by marnues · · Score: 2

    It is just you as he clearly states that a simple regulation is achievable.

  16. Re:Frak! by ozborn · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Even if industry and government should have similar goals (keeping the screw ups and cheaters out of the game), they can't seem to get together and put up some fairly simple regulatory frameworks.

    You're somewhat confused about what the "similar goals" are between industry and government actually are. It has nothing to do with stupidity and much more to do with corruption and money. Industry (including and particularly cheaters) pay people in government through campaign contributions plus the age old promise of high paying jobs in industry once their political career is over to produce a "favorable" business climate. This can mean passing favorable legislation or removing regulatory pressure. If that isn't possible the regulators can simply be de-funded, the options are endless. The politicians love it, they get campaign contributions, connections to powerful people in industry and maybe even a cushy jobs on the Board of Directors when they are done. Where I'm living (Alabama) this sadly explains the majority of political practice here, from both parties.

    Maybe this is what Tainter means by too much complexity causing our eventual downfall. Humans are just too stupid sometimes.

    One possibility is that politicians are too stupid to establish a functional regulatory framework. However they somehow manage to construct a complicated taxation framework to collect trillions in taxes, build a massively complicated military and defense structure... I think a more reasonable explanation is that many (not all) politicians have no interest in building such a structure. The constituents are too diffuse and disorganized to make it worth their while except during election time, when they are at least give it lip service.

  17. Re:Frak! by Raenex · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Lawsuits are too late when people have been poisoned.

  18. Implementation is a part of the process by Rix · · Score: 2

    If it isn't implemented safely, then it isn't safe.

    Communism works great in theory.

    1. Re:Implementation is a part of the process by Uberbah · · Score: 3, Funny

      If only Lenin had the foresight to make a system where it's literally impossible to fail, like capitalism. If a business makes money, it's a sign that capitalism is a success. If a business is a disaster, capitalism is still succeeding as resources are directed elsewhere. Even if you end up crashing the global economy in the process.

  19. Re:Frak! by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The role of government here is supposed to be that government imposes regulations, the industry follows the regulations, and then nobody sues anybody as long as everyone was following the regulations.

    Wrong. Regulations exist to try and minimize harm, not indemnify the regulated.
    Following regulations is never a get-out-of-jail-free card.

    Or if you are really a believer in big government, you might think that government inspectors prevent accidents.

    I can't think of any historical examples where we've ever had enough Government inspectors to really provide a baseline.
    historically, we've had no inspections, but never really gone to the other extreme of full inspections.

    --
    [Fuck Beta]
    o0t!
  20. Re:Frak! by steveha · · Score: 2

    Regulations exist to try and minimize harm, not indemnify the regulated.
    Following regulations is never a get-out-of-jail-free card.

    Hmm, I think that's fair. I overstated the case and I stand corrected.

    I can't think of any historical examples where we've ever had enough Government inspectors to really provide a baseline.

    That's an interesting perspective, and not the one I usually get when I discuss libertarian issues with people. A common complaint I get is that without all the government inspectors, people will come to harm in a libertarian society. If we don't have government restaurant inspectors, restaurants will serve poisonous food; if we don't have government elevator inspectors, elevators will never be maintained and will be ramshackle and dangerous; etc. etc.

    I do actually believe that a fully libertarian society could sort out the issues of restaurant food safety and elevator safety. And, fracking safety. But many people I talk to have tremendous faith in the power of government, and only government, to keep us safe.

    steveha

    --
    lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  21. Re:Frak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    How does someone "own ground water" in a libertarian society? I thought you had to improve land with labour to stake a claim to it.

    Having never lived in a fully libertarian society, I cannot speak from first-hand experience.

    I'll give you a two-fold answer:

    0) In a settled society, like modern America, you buy the water rights from whomever currently is holding them.

    1) In a pioneer society, you get the water rights along with the land, and you get the land by improving it or something.

    I have read libertarian fiction where somebody walked the boundaries of a plot of land, updating signs there, writing the date and time and writing "I am renewing my claim to this land."

    In a minarchist society, like I advocate, I guess you just file a claim with the government land office, as was done in the pioneer days in America.

    The word "libertarian" means certain principles, but there is widespread disagreement among libertarians over just how much government is needed to secure those principles. The anarchocapitalists say no government at all is needed; other libertarians say we need government to do certain things for us that we can't really do for ourselves. One of those things, IMHO, is to run the police and courts; I don't really believe that everyone will voluntarily walk into arbitration anytime it is needed. Some people are just evil, and it is proper for government to protect us from them.

  22. Re:And in theory ... by washort · · Score: 3, Informative
    Not really. Coal is shockingly bad in terms of deaths per terawatt. Rooftop solar is certainly the worst among "clean energy" sources.

    In practice, even factoring in Fukushima, nuclear power plants turn out to be the safest thing. (It helps if you don't build it in a tsunami zone and ignore a safety report for 5+ years, of course.)

    New designs being developed now are even safer and more efficient: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9M__yYbsZ4

    http://nuclearpoweryesplease.org/

  23. Re:Frak! by mbkennel · · Score: 2

    "The bad guy can outspend the victims 100:1 in court, but how can he change the facts? If the facts are that he put poison in the water, how does outspending by 100:1 save him?"

    Facts are irrelevant. Testimony matters.

  24. Re:Frak! by mbkennel · · Score: 2

    "Libertarian system: big company poisons people, executives are held personally liable and all their possessions are confiscated as part of the settlement.

    Pure libertarianism may have problems (pure anything is likely to have problems) but I think the executives would be more careful in such a system than in the limited liability corporation system."

    Correct. They would act deceptively through anonymous proxies and not be identifiable for prosecution.

  25. Re:Frak! by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So what sort of legal framework is there that gives the libertarian water-rights owner the right to sue the fracker? "Suing" is a legal construct, and requires "legal basis" for the suit to be brought. Aka, the fracker has violated some sort of law. So in this libertarian world, we have laws about water discharge chemical levels? I thought that was the sort of stuff that libertarians hated -- laws that say what they can't dump into the land, what they can't dump into the water, what they can't dump into the air, etc.

    --
    Windmills do not work that way!
  26. Re:Frak! by sustik · · Score: 3, Informative

    > Hell, the EPA might even be able to do it. But this is what really frosts me about the current state of affairs. Even if industry and government should have similar goals (keeping the screw ups and cheaters out of the game), they can't seem to get together and put up some fairly simple regulatory frameworks.

    As I understand, a large part of the problem is that regulatory bodies are often underfunded to the point of dysfunction. It is done intentionally, under the heading of "starving/shrinking the government", arguing that the government would be (is) inefficient anyway. The second related major issue is that nominees heading agencies are often cannot be confirmed due to (even) a single senator holding up the vote.

  27. Re:Frak! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It isn't anything inherent in government that people are trusting; it's that they wouldn't have a conflict of interest. If the restaurant finds out that they poisoned people (we assume it was accidental) then the best thing for them to do is fix the problem silently and say nothing. If you have a society where the restaurant polices itself, those people stay sick and don't know why. If you have a society where the restaurant pays a third party, it is still in the third party's interest that the restaurant stay in business. But if the government gets involved, their livelihood isn't on the line, so they can be expected to expose the poisoning and the patrons seek treatment. You never want to depend on people to choose to act against their own self-interest, which is what most proposed implementations of Libertarianism would require.

  28. Re:Frak! by steveha · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I thought that was the sort of stuff that libertarians hated -- laws that say what they can't dump into the land, what they can't dump into the water, what they can't dump into the air, etc.

    Most libertarians, when discussing pollution, bring up the Tragedy of the Commons. If nobody owns a resource, everyone feels they can dump stuff on it or into it.

    If someone owns the water rights, and I dump poison into their water, they can sue me for putting poison in their water. If we are living on a river, and he's downstream of me, his river water rights probably give him standing to sue me for dumping junk in the water.

    The other tine of the fork is the option to sue for harm. If I sell tainted water, my customers can sue me for the potential or actual harm suffered.

    But actually, you might have noticed that I never said that I personally believe that the pure libertarian society is perfect and likely to be problem-free. I just was bothered by the conflating of "libertarianism" with "desire for total anarchy".

    I personally have conservative tendencies. If something has never actually been tried, I'm suspicious of it; that's one reason I don't really believe in anarchocapitalism. And I do not believe that the pure libertarian model can really solve everything; for example, I'm not sure that private roads are really as practical as government-owned roads. I do see a role for government in enforcing air quality standards; I am not a pure enough libertarian to think that somebody should own the air, or that people will always voluntarily do the right thing. ("People will shun you if you pollute" or whatever. Eh, ask an anarchocapitalist how that would work; since I don't believe in it, it isn't fair for me to try to explain it.)

    An example I like to bring up: 19th-century technology proved sufficient for hunting some species of whales to extinction. 20th-century technology is sufficient for overfishing some species of fish to extinction. I personally believe government should regulate fishing to prevent this, and I am suspicious of libertarian daydreams that say the free market can solve that problem. (And if we just agree that Bill Gates owns all the oceans or something, he might prevent the overfishing but I'm not sure we would be better off.)

    The government of the USA used to be a whole lot smaller and do a whole lot less. I personally believe that we could drastically slash the size and scope of government and net be better off, but I don't believe we can do away with government completely.

    steveha

    --
    lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  29. Re:Frak! by ATMAvatar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The real problem is that we have seen a number of examples of little or un- regulated markets, and nearly every time they cause some problem or another. The most recent example is the banking industry which put is in the current recession. The reason the invisible hand is invisible is because it doesn't exist.

    --
    "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety."
  30. Re:Frak! by element-o.p. · · Score: 2

    Aka, the fracker has violated some sort of law. So in this libertarian world, we have laws about water discharge chemical levels?

    It sounds like you are probably trolling, but I'll bite anyway.

    Civil law != criminal law, even in a Libertarian Utopia. Civil law allows for people harmed by the negligence of others to attempt to have their grievances made right. Criminal law allows for government to arrest people who are suitably dangerous to society. In my understanding of Libertarianism, the idea is that laws should not be overly restrictive -- that is, there should be just enough legal framework to take action when necessary to keep people from violating each others' freedoms, but neither civil nor criminal law should punish "victimless crimes" because to a Libertarian, there is no such thing. If there's no victim, then how could there possibly be a crime?

    As applied to fracking: if you own the mineral rights, then you get to do what you want with the minerals... UNTIL what you are doing with the minerals causes harm to someone else. If you can get oil out of your property by fracking, more power to you. However, if by doing so, you are polluting your neighbors' drinking water, then you've gotta stop, because at that point, you are causing harm to your neighbors.

    --
    MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  31. Re:Frak! by dryeo · · Score: 2

    Sounds like libertarianism is a lawyers paradise and if you can't afford one then you drink tainted water.

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  32. Re:Frak! by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Are Libertarian courts going to magically work differently than other courts? You get hauled into court for poisoning your neighbor's water supply, you hire kick-ass legal team and sufficient "researchers" to con a judge and/or jury into believing your neighbor is a whining asshole, and regardless of whether it's a Libertarian state or not, you win. Your neighbor's water is still poisoned, he has insufficient resources to continue the battle, and the tiny, impotent state is utterly incapable of evening the playing field even a little bit. In other words, he's just fucked, you make lots of money, which allows you to build even more kick-ass legal teams and hire even more "researchers".

    At least with regulations there is some sort of baseline, as opposed to putting your faith utterly and completely in a political ideology that no more seems to be able to stop abuse of process than existing political systems. Things always sound lovely in theory. In theory Communism creates a wonderfully fair system that sees much more even distribution of wealth. In reality it's been a failure, and I suspect a pure Libertarian state would do no better. At the end of the day, you have to have a certain degree of flexibility and pragmatism in your political and economic system, otherwise you will end up riding your ideology into the gutter sooner or later.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
  33. FTFY by Uberbah · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Current system: regulators are supposed to catch violations before they occur, so people don't get poisoned and saving the company from it's own greed.

    Current regulatory capture: regulators come from the same industries they are supposed to regulate, so they do industry favors so they'll get cushy jobs when they go back to the private sector. See: Robert Rubin, Clinton's Treasury Secretary that went straight to CitiGroup.

    Libertarian system: oligarchs avoid any and all responsibility using middle management and mules. Company policies are such that sacrificial lambs, I mean employees, must cut corners if they want to keep their jobs. When the shit hits the fan, the company points to their other (unenforced) policies to cover their own asses, leaving the mules to take the fall.

    Case in point: how Wal-Mart gets sued every few years when one of their stores is caught forcing employees to work off the clock. Wal-Mart promptly points to their written policy that hourly employees must be paid for all hours worked. Nevermind that other policy on how all work must be completed without paying any overtime. So a middle manager decides to cheat on payroll to keep his own job.....

  34. Faith-Based Politics by Uberbah · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The bad guy can outspend the victims 100:1 in court, but how can he change the facts? If the facts are that he put poison in the water, how does outspending by 100:1 save him?

    Here's your sign: the Cigarette Company Defense. For decades, the smoking industry never lost a liability lawsuit. How do you know your Uncle Joe got cancer from smoking two packs a day when it could have been genetics, or asbestos?

    So, how do you know that your contaminated ground water came from Shell, and not that Exxon operation in the next county? Or that BP well on the far side of the aquifer?

    Just how many communities, much less individuals, could afford years and hundreds of thousands of dollars in legal fees, paid studies and expert testimony to prove that yes, it was indeed Shell that poisoned your water?

  35. Re:Frak! by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This sort of thing is the poster child for why pure Libertarianism don't work.

    Except it's not an example of pure Libertarianism. You have heavy regulation and a legal system ("complex" in the sense of Tainter, I might add), both which are far from Libertarian.

    The poster child for why pure libertarianism doesn't work are countries where criminal gangs took over (such as supposedly happened in parts of the former Eastern Bloc). Pure libertarianism requires a population that will fight, often proactively, threats to liberty. When that doesn't happen and it usually doesn't, then you can't have libertarianism.

    As to Joseph Tainter's theories, I don't see anything about political and economic parasitism in the form of rent-seeking. Complexity in itself doesn't damn a society. What it does do is conceal conflicts of interest between the society and the groups controlling that society as well as subsequent acts of rent-seeking.

    For example, the well-known example of the Roman Empire had two well known examples of this. First, the consolidation of land ownership (the primary means for investing wealth prior to the Industrial Revolution) in the hands of wealthy families and second, the devolving of the Praetorian Guard from elite defenders of Rome to selfish kingmakers who helped hasten the demise of the western part of the Roman Empire.

    Finally, one shouldn't confuse stupidity with conflict of interest. A collapse of society might indeed serve my interests. Even in cases where stupidity is a factor, it's usually a case of someone pursuing a strategy to further their interests, but they just don't realize in time that their actions are counterproductive (such as brinksmanship against another player using the very same strategy).

  36. Re:Frak! by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well I can tell you a friend was hired to make models for the wildcatters and what he learned and showed me was quite disturbing. he was handed pretty much all the data on the area so he could make his models of the geology they would be working with and when he laid a copy of the map the local college had of earthquakes and the map he got from the wildcatters he could overlay them and it was a perfect match, one for one with the wells. Also this is an area with tons of bedrock, and the highest quake measure by the local college since they started setting up stations and taking readings right after WWII was in the 1.9 range with one 3 every twenty years or so, after the wildcatters it was tons of 3s and some 4s and the machines are registering tons of hits so this fracking is really causing some slippage down below.

    The final problem which my friend was bit in the ass by and which is REALLY SCARY is that these groups have already set up a way to avoid paying damages if they cause an environmental disaster which means not only do they have ZERO reason to give a fuck about environmental safety but that they are already expecting shit to go bad and are prepped for it. How did they pull this off you ask? Simple they have set up shell corps that own ALL the assets, from the mineral rights and drilling equipment down to the office furniture and then the drilling "company" which is just a front leases the equipment from the shell. As my friend found out when this bunch ran up a couple of bills and people starting trying to sue they simply burn the front company and are back in business the next day with a new front company!

    Mark my words at best we are looking at future superfund sites that We, The People will get stuck with while the money men laugh their asses off while walking away counting the cash and at worst we are gonna have our very own Bhopal when these guys set off a major quake or poison all the water for an entire area for decades to come. Thanks to the far right gutting regulations left and right and dodges like the above there simply is NO incentive for them to give a flying fuck. I'm all for increasing domestic production but I don't want us to become another China, with land poisoned and water that you can light on fire. We HAVE to have the regulations in place to make those that drill responsible for any messes they make WITHOUT EXCEPTIONS or they will simply not give a fuck.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  37. Re:Frak! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm sorry, but your argument does not logically lead to your conclusion. Your argument is basically, "Why do you think that people would be any less corrupt in a Libertarian society than they are in our society? See, government intervention protects you better than the libertarian theory would." You grant that in the current system those with more financial resources are able to use those resources to avoid suffering the consequences for thies actions. Then you postulate (reasonably) that courts in a libertarian society would be just as corrupt (using the word loosely). Finally you conclude that our current system is better. You start by postulating that a flaw that exists in our current system would also exist in a libertarian system (a reasonable postulate), but then you conclude that our current system is better because of this flaw that would exist in the libertarian system.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  38. Re:Frak! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2

    The real problem is that we have seen a number of examples of little or un- regulated markets, and nearly every time they cause some problem or another. The most recent example is the banking industry which put is in the current recession. The reason the invisible hand is invisible is because it doesn't exist.

    Except that your "most recent example" is no such thing. The banking industry is a highly regulated industry and was during the time leading up to the crash. As a matter of fact, those regulations were one of the factors that led to the crash.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  39. Re:Frak! by roman_mir · · Score: 2

    Never mind the story on /., you are arguing that the banking industry was not regulated and that is what caused the recession? (Depression at this point).

    And you get +5 something for this nonsense?

    Banking is some of the most regulated industry in the world, there are tens of thousands of regulations in banking. Banking hasn't been a 'free market' ever since 1913 and especially since FDIC and then the money was destroyed in 1971 so there was no competition either in money, nor in money prices (interest rates) no in actual banking (thanks FDIC).

    The reason why people were able to PREDICT the crisis was because they saw how banking became perverted with government regulations to take more and more risk that banks would not have taken otherwise and market wouldn't have let them.

    From Fed and FDIC to default on the money in 1971 and fixing of money prices (interest rates) to all of the "affordable housing" nonsense, F&F and now FHA (Freddie and Fannie are only insuring 5% of mortgages now, it's FHA that will cause the next housing market collapse, they "insure" over 1Trillion USD of mortgages with only 5Billion collateral) have caused the recessions and current depression.

    The next big implosion will be the US dollar and bond debt, all of it is pending the wars that USA can still use to delay the inevitable, but with ever new conflict the amount of government intervention that it takes to stave off the final outcome is growing, becoming bigger and amount of 'stimulus' (fake money) that it takes to prevent a total economic collapse of USA is getting bigger, the economy is developing tolerance to this stimulus and bailout money.

    Eventually there will be a sharp fall for the dollar denominated papers, the interest rates will hit the ceiling and that will be that.

  40. Re:Frak! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2

    Of course, the legislature is, also, a place where the big corporation can buy laws that tell the courts that they should side with the corporation. Or laws that say that no one is to be held accountable if the corporation poisons his well.
    In a libertarian system, if the guy loses his court case because of shenanigans, he can turn to the legislature to fix the shenanigans. In our system, if the legislature passes a law saying that the corporation can poison your water, where do you turn?
    You seem to be comparing what you expect the "real world" of the libertarian system to the ideal implementation of our system. I do not believe that the libertarian system would be better. However, the U.S. was originally conceived as being a compromise between that and a government that has the power to do whatever it thinks necessary. I think we have moved to far towards the powerful government and would be best served by moving back towards the libertarian model. I would like to see this be a somewhat gradual move, although with very large jumps at the federal level and, perhaps, a slight loosening of what the state governments can legislate (especially in areas where the federal government is pulling back).
    One of the original strengths of the U.S. was that the states were able to try varied approaches to most types of government intervention and people could not only vote in the voting booth, but with their feet and their wallets.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  41. Re:Frak! by s73v3r · · Score: 2

    You clearly have no idea what you're talking about, do you?

    Sadly, the bad guys being able to outspend 100:1 means they can hire "experts" to testify on their behalf that the plaintiff is wrong, and therefore muddying the waters enough to where the jury isn't sure, and therefore needs to vote for the defendant.

  42. Re:Frak! by element-o.p. · · Score: 2

    I understand the point you are making, and I'm old enough and cynical enough to suspect that there is more than just a grain of truth in your argument. Like I said above, I tend to be idealistic although I recognize that when actually putting something in place, it is rare indeed when you can actually implement an ideal -- you've got to be pragmatic and realistic enough to allow for how things work in the real world, so I agree that a pure Libertarian state would probably not work out real well. We are going to need some level of government interference to make a workable society.

    However, I disagree that a reasonably Libertarian society is unworkable. What we have NOW is unworkable. Those with money and power already trample the rights of everyone else. Regulation isn't a cure-all in our current situation because those with money and power already buy off the regulators (go look up how Merck, IIRC, lobbied the FDA to fast-track the HPV vaccine for a good example of that) and out-spend the little guy in court.

    My view of a Libertarian ideal is pretty simple, really. A friend and coworker expressed it best: "Democrats want to be your mommy. Republicans want to be your daddy. I just want them all to treat me like an adult." This same guy forwarded a YouTube video that explains it in a little more detail: The Philosophy of Liberty. In other words, enough government to create a stable society and no more. I'm not arguing for anarchy, and I'm not saying that the government should never interfere, but I am saying that the level of government interference should be orders of magnitude less than what it is now, particularly on social issues like drug usage, same-sex marriage, polygamy, etc. despite the fact that I am strictly monogamous, straight and have never used any recreational drug stronger than alcohol (sparingly) or caffeine (not so sparingly).

    --
    MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
  43. Re:Frak! by MobyDisk · · Score: 2

    Wrong. Regulations exist to try and minimize harm, not indemnify the regulated.
    Following regulations is never a get-out-of-jail-free card.

    Legal precedent says otherwise. There are many many cases where following the regulations indemnifies you. For example, a pontoon boat overturned in Baltimore harbor a few years ago, while ferrying a few dozen passengers. A nearby coast guard boat responded immediately but several people died. They sued the captain, who sued the taxi company, who sued the coast guard. Final result: since the boat was carrying the proper number of passengers and was current in its coast guard inspection, the coast guard was not liable. And the stack unwinds: the taxi company was this not liable, and the captain was thus not liable, and the defendents were innocent.

    This same thing happens to pharma companies all the time. If the drug was unsafe, but it was shown to be safe in the FDA trials, the only way the company will be liable for damages is if you can prove that either the FDA knew it was unsafe, or the phramaceutical company lied or withheld information in their FDA filing.

    This also happens with EPA regulations and there was a recent case that was on Slashdot about it. The company did damage the waterway, but it was okay because it was within EPA regs. Oh yeah! And another case like this involving a recycling plant that had some enormously bad outputs - the problem was that the plant was too big. But the ratio of nasty outputs to inputs was within the specs, so the soot-covered town lost their case. I heard this one on NPR but I forget what kind of recycling it was. Not like paper/plastic - something industrial like they produced concrete from other companies waste.