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US, EU, Japan Complain To WTO Over China's Rare Earth Ban

eldavojohn writes "China's rare earth monopoly has resulted in a shortage as China blocks their export and the rest of the world resumes their operations. Now, in a first-ever joint filing from three members of the World Trade Organization, Japan, the EU and the U.S. are not sitting idly by as China repeatedly ignores the WTO's orders to export rare earth metals and raw materials at a fair price to other countries. China claims the embargoes are in place to protect its environment, while Obama denounces China as being unfair and not playing by the rules of the WTO. In 2009, the WTO released a report (PDF) that explained how actions like China's hurt trade partners."

218 comments

  1. Bogus article by samantha · · Score: 5, Insightful

    First of all, the WTO has no means to order any country to sell anything at what it determines is a "fair price". Second, China does not have a monopoly on rare earths. They exist is many many countries. Those countries may not be actively pursuing them and exporting them to the same degree but that is not China's fault.

    1. Re:Bogus article by LordLimecat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At the same time, the Chinese claim that theyre doing it "for the planet" takes some serious chutzpah. I laughed a little when I read that.

    2. Re:Bogus article by hjf · · Score: 0, Troll

      LOL, the US can't invade China and bully them like they do with smaller countries to take their oil. That's the real reason for this whining.

    3. Re:Bogus article by headhot · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Other country's rear earth providers all went bankrupt and shut down because China was dumping. Now that they are all gone, China cuts back on supply (for environmental reasons.. right) to drive prices up.

      I think the term is call 'cornering the market.' Except this time its not orange juice, and they pulled it off.

    4. Re:Bogus article by headhot · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No its not, its because of dumping and market manipulation.

    5. Re:Bogus article by vga_init · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Even though it's probably not the real reason (they just want to keep the materials for themselves, obviously, which is the smart thing to do), but in politics it's often advantageous to use your opponent's rhetoric--they risk making themselves look bad if they disagree with something they themselves said earlier.

    6. Re:Bogus article by cpu6502 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Funny? I thought we are supposed to protect the environment. I guess they mean OUR environment, not China's.

      For 200+ years China was bullied by western powers. Now they have the upperhand with the resources AND the money. LOL. It's like watching the second collapse of Rome unfold (We're probably at year 400 in the timeline). Strong enough to raise an army but not strong enough for a real war. EU/US influence is shrinking.

      --
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    7. Re:Bogus article by superdave80 · · Score: 0

      Isn't this the opposite of dumping?

    8. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No its not, its because of SOMEONE ELSE'S dumping and market manipulation, the US doesn't give a shit about its own dumping and market manipulation

    9. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Then start your business extracting rare earth, you will be rich !!!

    10. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Informative

      America should just increase it's printing of money. China is just a little bitch that doesn't have the balls to float their currency. America is already making money from offering 0.18% interest, 1yr note, at an inflation rate of over 3.5% AND China still bends over to by treasuries.

    11. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except this time its not Frozen Concentrate Orange Juice, and they pulled it off.

      FTFY

    12. Re:Bogus article by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Uh, what? China isn't shutting down mines, it's increasing mining, it's just making sure that the output from the mining goes to factories in China (which have lower environmental standards than in most of the rest of the industrial world, which is a big part of the reason why companies can manufacture cheaply there) rather than being sent abroad. Although they'll quite happily send them to factories producing goods for export.

      If anything, reducing rare earth exports increases pollution in China.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    13. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      First of all, the WTO has no means to order any country to sell anything at what it determines is a "fair price".

      They do when all the countries in this dispute, which includes China, are members. This is the exact sort of situation you would create the WTO for. China's trying to have its cake and eat it too.

    14. Re:Bogus article by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      It is my understanding that the WTO takes claims of the form "We are interfereing with trade because it suits our strategic interest, dumbass." Very badly. Their job is trade, not your strategic interest. However, when they were formed, there was a limited list of exceptions baked in, under which trade embargos and other market manipulations would be considered to be other sorts of policies with incidental effects on trade.

      This is why everybody who goes to the WTO either goes to complain that somebody is being mean to Trade, or that their trade policy is purely a matter of protecting the children, not any sort of protectionism.

    15. Re:Bogus article by retroworks · · Score: 5, Interesting

      No, it is not a "bogus article", and the WTO is not "ordering any country to sell anything at what it determines" is a fair price. WTO is a free trade agreement. China signed it.

      As such, WTO has rules which parties agree to abide by in return for protection of their own exports. WTO does not charge China with having a monopoly, but with using government rulings (environmental laws) to manipulate markets. There are rules in WTO which allow a country to limit exports of raw materials, but doing so in order to manipulate prices is against WTO rules. China doesn't have to BE in the WTO (Iran is not), and if they don't WANT to abide by the WTO ruling they can leave WTO. Or, they can live with / suffer the sanctions, as others have. But if you are in WTO and use it, you have to play by the rules.

      I'm not anti-China, and the USA deserves WTO sanctions for its agricultural subsidies. But whoever "modded up" this post doesn't understand WTO agreements. If you agree to follow WTO rules, you get unique market access to sell your products, but you also agree to sanctions if you use government to replace tariffs you've agreed not to use with "bogus" traffic laws, pollution laws, registration laws, or other "non-tariff barriers", or cut off the Japanese because you want to take over their electronics markets.

      --
      Gently reply
    16. Re:Bogus article by BurstElement · · Score: 1

      America should just increase it's printing of money. China is just a little bitch that doesn't have the balls to float their currency.

      China / North Korea are already better at printing US currency than the US Treasury (i.e. Superdollars) so why bother floating the RMB... What better way to get around pesky sanctions and embargoes.
      And from the POV of them being able to print both currencies the value of the USD vs the RMB genuinely would have a fixed cost / exchange value.

      Regarding the rare earth metals they are just protecting their economic environment.. nothing wrong or suspect with that.

    17. Re:Bogus article by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      The west should have thought about this when they encouraged China to become the world's factory. Ah the for(shortened)sight of myopic business leaders focused on their bonuses; and the politicians who grovel for their money.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    18. Re:Bogus article by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 2

      Then start your business extracting rare earth, you will be rich !!!

      Right... because starting a business that handles toxic chemicals, destroys the environment, and involves feeding out of and into a huge industrial complex is a piece of cake... and once you've got it set up, China won't undersell you.

    19. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Other country's rear earth providers all went bankrupt and shut down because China was dumping. Now that they are all gone, China cuts back on supply (for environmental reasons.. right) to drive prices up.

      Naw, other countries may have rare earth magnets but since China is on the opposite side of the world, only they have rear earth magnets.

    20. Re:Bogus article by NicknameAvailable · · Score: 1

      This is the second half of a strategy involving dumping. The first part involved the actual dumping and eliminating competition.

    21. Re:Bogus article by LordLucless · · Score: 1

      Until China dumps again, and then you lose your billion-dollar investments into infrastructure and engineering as demand for your (comparatively) expensive product drops to zero.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    22. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'cornering the market.' Except this time its not orange juice

      Hey, a Trading Places reference. Great Movie.

    23. Re:Bogus article by NicknameAvailable · · Score: 0

      The US didn't encourage China to become the world's factory. The cost to ship to China is about a hundred times more than to have things shipped from China to the same destination in the US (check DHL, FedEx, UPS for yourself).

    24. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He won't be the first. A company you might not have heard of called Molycorp is doing that in California. Their stock was less than $20 (I seem to recall it might have even been a penny stock at one point), almost $80 and now it's pulled back to around $30. Mining is a volatile business. As other posters have pointed out, you don't just start this business. You have to acquire mineral rights and clear EPA hurdles, hire workers, actually know something about mining operations, etc...

    25. Re:Bogus article by Fluffeh · · Score: 4, Informative

      The first part involved the actual dumping and eliminating competition.

      Indeed. For many years there were multiple export nations selling Rare Earth Minerals. For many years, as the demand was quite low they all sold their goods to a small market. However, when the demand started to rise, China did something that the other players didn't see coming. They started to seriously undercut the prices of competitors. Other mines such as Mountain Pass were run out of business - and due to political pressures on the environmental damage that was being caused. When China became pretty much the only place left selling any reasonable quantities of REM, they bumped the price up by orders of magnitude. This coupled with much higher (and still growing) demand for them makes it a wonderful masterstroke. They then further used it when an incident with Japan caused political turmoil between the two nations - by blocking sales to Japan completely.

      While it is possible (and being done) to re-open the old mines and cease the monopoly that is currently held, it takes time to get these things up and running. Even then, China does hold a very major share of known REM reserves, so unless another (very) major deposit is found, it is likely that China will continue to hold an interesting political/trade card to play whenever it wants to.

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    26. Re:Bogus article by Xeranar · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I normally try and refrain from this sort of idiotic banter running rampant in slashdot because most are IT people and get their sense of world politics from regular news sources and rarely take the time to read government research. As it stands China without a major development still lacks major resources for most things. They have rare earth elements which is awesome, but so do the US and Russia (along with various other places). We choose not to exploit them for cost mainly. If rare earth keeps increasing in value we will begin to mine it as well. As for China holding major US debt, we've only developed this debt seriously in the last 30 years, over the course of the last 230+ years we've managed to pay off our debt several times. China holds around a 1/3 of it, another 1/3 by Americans, and another 1/3 by various countries around the world. China doesn't hold the cards as much as the news likes to spin it. The US holds more cards in respect to shutting down trade it just a refusal because in the 1950s free trade became the hallmark of the western world even as it now costs us because multi-national corporations are uninterested in the plight of the US (see Steve Jobs remarks on this). The most realistic answer of "is the US in decline?" is yes, but only so much as China is on the rise. The US isn't in a backslide as China with it's roughly 3 times our population is beginning to use them to exploit capitalism. By no means are we not yet weak enough that we couldn't fight a real war. A simple draft and our advanced air and sea supremacy can still easily destroy most any nation on the planet. But we're rather interested in keeping free trade open still so any real war with China is off the table for now.

    27. Re:Bogus article by Fluffeh · · Score: 1

      China is just a little bitch that doesn't have the balls to float their currency.

      That is the stupidest comment I have read in a while. China is not floating its currency due to the fact that if it did, it would rise much much higher than it currently is. In fact, the Chinese currency is holding up the US dollar due to being tied to it.

      China doesn't want to float its currency as a much higher value would be very detrimental to their current position as "cheap". There are numerous estimates online that their currency is significantly (warning, PDF) undervalued by as much as 50%. If you want to see what happened the last time that China uncoupled fro the US Dollar, see Fig 1 on page 7 of the PDF. It doesn't paint a pretty picture for the US dollar at all.

      So no offence, but rather than mocking the Chinese, you should be thanking them for keeping their currency tied to the US dollar.

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    28. Re:Bogus article by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      the "west" didn't make that decision - a very tiny tiny percentage of short-term-profit-maximizing execs made that decision. Casting that net on the "west" makes pretty much zero sense. And just to beat your potential retort - no, the (er..shall I use the term?) 99% did /not/ reap the short-term benefit of that. They lost their jobs and their homes.

    29. Re:Bogus article by TheSync · · Score: 2

      As it stands China without a major development still lacks major resources for most things.

      China now has a trade deficit with the rest of the world. Part of that is due to copper prices, also increases in soybean imports.

    30. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      because, you know, governments don't have any influence over industrial policy

    31. Re:Bogus article by sirsnork · · Score: 1

      Except none of the large countries actually change when the WTO tells them to, because they know the WTO can't do anything to them

      --

      Normal people worry me!
    32. Re:Bogus article by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 3, Interesting

      and the cost of dog meat too I assume. Australia for example is mining like crazy just to keep China going. Presumably chinese companies are mining China like crazy too. So two huge land masses funneling production to mainly one. Chinese companies are also buying up canadian resource companies like crazy too. All the resources funnel into the country building stuff which for the most part is China.

      The WTO can be upset about it but how about making the US export strategic assets they don't want to give away? Say Iran wants to buy a few nukes. NK wants some fighter planes etc. Every country decides what is in their best interest and I don't think WTO can do anything to make China share things they want to keep to themselves. Worst case scenario they would just create unofficial mines like Iran's nuke program and deny it to death and claim all their mines have been closed.

    33. Re:Bogus article by TubeSteak · · Score: 2

      Other country's rear earth providers all went bankrupt and shut down because China was dumping. Now that they are all gone, China cuts back on supply (for environmental reasons.. right) to drive prices up.

      I'm not sure you understand what happened.
      The rare earth providers didn't go bankrupt, they got bought by China's mostly-state-owned mining company.

      China cornered the market, but not the way you're suggesting.
      Now china mines and refines almost all the rare earths in the world.
      In the next few years, old mines will be reopened and new refineries will be built in order to break China's monopoly.

      --
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      o0t!
    34. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      china dumped the price until everyone else closed their mines because weren't making money, knowing very well the restarting a mine is a big job if it is even possible to get new permits for it..

    35. Re:Bogus article by an+unsound+mind · · Score: 1

      In the US, for example? No, the government has basically zero influence over industrial policy and basically every bit of industrial law is lobbied in by other companies.

      The major companies in the US have major influence - far over the influence of the people - on policy.

    36. Re:Bogus article by JWSmythe · · Score: 2

          You see that as evil. Most see it as proper application of the free market. We see this all the time. Companies sell *under* cost, to bring in sales. For places like retail stores, they'll sell particular items at a loss, to make a higher profit on others. Look at places like Best Buy. They'll sell some electronics at or under cost, but sell you cables for 1000% over cost.

          In the case of China's application, they did it perfectly. Lower the sale cost so others can't complete and close up shop. Once that has happened, you can set your price to whatever you'd like. Limiting exports makes anything you do export more valuable, demanding even higher prices.

          The WTO, EU, US, and Japan can complain all the want. I can't imagine any of those governments would bend over backwards to provide any resources or commodities at the prices China would want. For example, China could demand that the US sell military weapons and goods. The US will refuse to provide them. Filing a complaint with the WTO or anyone else won't make it happen. It would be responded to with a laugh and the diplomatic phrasing "Fuck China."

          There is a way to fix it. It's called negotiations. I want rare earth elements. They want something. Come to the table willing to trade, and it will happen. Crying about not getting what you want without making any concessions is futile.

          Don't like that? Go elsewhere. You mentioned Mountain Pass. They shut down in 2002 because of market prices. In 2007, China began export restrictions on rare earth elements. In 2010, China further restricted the exports. In late 2010 Molycorp (owner of the Mountain Pass mine) announced it would be reopening. Construction began in 2011, and will be completed this year.

        So, when the price was down, Mountain Pass closed. Now that the price is up, they've reopened. That, sir, is how business works. If you want to open a business with virtually no profit margin, go for it. For professional businessmen, the go for where the profit is. When they're shipping again, I'd be willing to bet the pricing will be barely pennies under what the Chinese mines are charging.

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    37. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It just means major compaines _are_ the goverment. Here, check the definition:

      government (countable and uncountable; plural governments)
      1. The body with the power to make and/or enforce laws to control a country, land area, people or organization.

    38. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is the US has a rather spotty record when it somes to honouring international agreements. This is a serious case of the pot calling the kettle black.

    39. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

          You see that as evil. Most see it as proper application of the free market. We see this all the time. Companies sell *under* cost, to bring in sales. For places like retail stores, they'll sell particular items at a loss, to make a higher profit on others. Look at places like Best Buy. They'll sell some electronics at or under cost, but sell you cables for 1000% over cost.

      And this is one of the reasons why a free market should never exist. What is to stop China from undercutting any new mining operations that startup due to the high cost of REM? How is any competition going to form without help from the government? Banks won't loan money to a operation who they know will be run out of business by the competition.

      How is one company/country using dumping to drive out any form of competition good for us? How would the processor market be if Intel dumped their CPUs to drive AMD out of existence and then put up their prices ten fold?

    40. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By "rear earth" do you mean the rear of the Earth as in the state of New Jersey? If so, I do not think exporting many from New Jersey would be a bad thing at all.

    41. Re:Bogus article by Fluffeh · · Score: 0

      You see that as evil. Most see it as proper application of the free market.

      Oh no, I wasn't posting that saying that it was "evil" as such. In fact, I think it a wonderful strategy on the part of the Chinese. It might not be particularily "playing nice" but world trade and playing nice are not supposed to be said in the same speech.

      I only posted that to provide more information to the posts above, which were lacking in any sort of meat but seemed full of condiments.

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    42. Re:Bogus article by Rakshasa-sensei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      WTO rulings are enforced through trade tariffs.

      Damn, what is this naive "they can't enforce any ruling, free markets yeah!!!" thing all over these comments? Don't you guys know shit about global (free) trade?

      That all the major trading partners of China have gone to the WTO, an unprecedented event, it means that a ruling (which will clearly be against China) will mean that a number of Chinese export industries get hit with tariffs at a level sufficient to redress the perceived losses. And considering the impact such REM restrictions have all the way down high-tech manufacturing chains it won't be a small sum.

      And yes, this _IS_ free markets, free markets where some things like military and high-tech trade can be limited. However other things are not allowed to be restricted, cause that's what collectively got agreed upon by the people who compromise the free market. Add some quotes to 'free market' if it doesn't fit your ideologically pure interpretation.

      Also, China will be fucked even more if the same group decides to go to the WTO over the weak Yuan. The rest of the world will obviously also be fucked, but they might decide they're less fucked than status quo.

    43. Re:Bogus article by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You see that as evil. Most see it as proper application of the free market. We see this all the time. Companies sell *under* cost, to bring in sales. For places like retail stores, they'll sell particular items at a loss, to make a higher profit on others. Look at places like Best Buy. They'll sell some electronics at or under cost, but sell you cables for 1000% over cost.

      The problem is that if everybody played by those rules, you'd end up with a bunch of monopolies and nothing else.

      The largest company would dump products at a ridiculously low price until the last competitor died, then crank prices up. As that monopoly became entrenched, they would get significantly lower prices on components than any new competitor could get because of their volume. At that point, it would be nearly impossible for anyone else to enter the market unless they were already a huge company that could weather the inevitable dumping campaign by the monopolist.

      Any market that allows such unfair competition can only have one end result, and that is a permanent one-company market. The company wins, but everybody else loses. So yes, I see that as evil. When you cross the line from "I want to be the best" to "I want to destroy the competition so that I'll be the only seller", you're squarely in evil territory, no matter how you try to spin it. (Mind you, I'm not saying it's never acceptable to want to destroy a competitor, but it's never acceptable to want to destroy all of your competitors.)

      --

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    44. Re:Bogus article by Rakshasa-sensei · · Score: 1

      Except China did not cut back on supply, they cut back on exports.

      Damn, are _ALL_ posters (almost) on /. retards today? It's like you guys don't even understand the basics of free trade and what this case is about.

    45. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your comment is pretty stupid. You don't seem to know the difference between a professional peer reviewed journal and a student project. Not only that but the data used is mainly from '09 and before. Did you actually read the actual or just do a Google search?. Their entire argument rests on the basis that the Euro can be viewed as a pivot to the US dollar. Maybe you should google "Euro Crisis" and "Greece bailout".

      Here's a FACT, inflation is more than 4% and the T-bill is at .18%

      http://www.forecast-chart.com/forecast-inflation-rate.html

      http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield

      So the Chinese are PAYING the US to hold money.

      No offense but rather than listening to 19 year old college students try looking at peer reviewed/government sources. Also read the source you site since you clearly didn't read that PDF.

    46. Re:Bogus article by Guppy · · Score: 1

      While it is possible (and being done) to re-open the old mines and cease the monopoly that is currently held, it takes time to get these things up and running.

      Time... and money. There's currently an investment bubble building up around rare earth mining, lots of hype. All China need do is bide their time and stockpile while upcoming companies burn through investor cash, setting up mines and equipment. Then just as they're about to ramp up production, China can open the export floodgates.

      The ensuing crash will make sure no investors try again for the next several decades.

    47. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But if you are in WTO and use it, you have to play by the rules.

      Unless you're the United States and you can appeal and appeal and stall for a decade until the Conservative Party takes over Canada and you no longer have to pay the sanctions for screwing around with softwood lumber.

    48. Re:Bogus article by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      USA had the number 1 production and exporting. That is, until reagan convinced the company to share the tech with China. Once they did, then China dumped REE on the global markets esp. on America. Once we shut down California mountain pass, then China suddenly got interested in their environment. The problem though, is that China is producing more REE than EVER before. It is just that they do not export it.

      Thankfully, a company is ramping up with this. Molycorp. I am actually surprised that USA/EU/Japan are gripping over this. However, my guess is that they are prepping to run up tariffs against China unless China starts acting honest.

      --
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    49. Re:Bogus article by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      And yet, China is mining more than what they did 5 years ago. IOW, they lied.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    50. Re:Bogus article by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      Okay, so those short-term-profit-maximizing execs made decisions that hurt the west, and by allowing them to benefit from the pain they caused the west is collectively responsible.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    51. Re:Bogus article by Ihmhi · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In other news, DeBeers are sitting on large stockpiles of diamonds in order to "protect the war-torn orphans".

      Nope, not about artificially high prices at all. Nope.

    52. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hahaha Mr Chutzpah go back to israel and await what you deserve.

    53. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Most see it as proper application of the free market.

      No, "most" do not see anti-competitive behavior as the "proper application of the free market". First, we are talking about state owned enterprises here, not private businesses as understood in the western sense.

      In China, in particular, you have large on-going transfers from the private sector as a whole towards State Owned Enterprises. This transfer of income from households to government in the form of mandatory investment contributions, government mandated spreads between borrowing rates and lending rates, routine debt forgiveness, and things like local officials directly ordering their populace to purchase the local government manufactured cigarette brand, etc. -- creates non-market based support for government owned firms. These firms can then borrow at subsidized rates from government owned banks as they are assumed to be government backed and therefore risk free. Private businesses have to pay much higher interest rates. Moreover, most of these loans cannot be repaid and are either endlessly rolled over or just absorbed by the central government during periodic rounds of debt forgiveness in which the households are forced to subsidize the state owned enterprises even more via a loss of interest income.

      The proceeds of this free money are used to fund various capital-intensive and environmentally destructive boondoogles, monorails, empty cities built in the desert, huge shoppingmalls that sit empty, bizarre tourist attractions, and anything that can aggrandize the ego of local officials or sound trendy in some 5 year plan announcement about strategic industries.

      The net result may well be that Chinese state owned firms can "out compete" foreign firms that are required to turn a profit or that cannot just write off bad loans with a smoky-room handshake. There is a reason why the Chinese consumption share of GDP is now only 1/3 of GDP, almost half of what it was two decades ago, even as more and more of the economy's real resources are allocated politically towards loss generating activities.

      With this additional income, government firms are able to engage in dumping, and of course are obligated to follow whatever political decisions are laid out about whom they can and cannot sell to.

      This may be a lot of things, but a "proper application of the free market" is not one of them.

    54. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are cutting back on the supply to buyers OTHER than domestic... this is functionally the same thing. Everyone understands that, it's just a semantic difference. Don't assume others are stupid.

    55. Re:Bogus article by sFurbo · · Score: 1

      The WTO can be upset about it but how about making the US export strategic assets they don't want to give away? Say Iran wants to buy a few nukes. NK wants some fighter planes etc.

      I would guess nukes and fighter jets are not covered by WTO agreements.

      Every country decides what is in their best interest and I don't think WTO can do anything to make China share things they want to keep to themselves.

      Protectionism is bad for everyone in the long run*, so we have made the WTO disincentivise countries from doing that. The WTO can not force China to do anything, but they can allow other countries to enforce import taxes on goods from China. If the import taxes are high enough, I am sure China would comply. The question is: Will the western countries enforce import taxes, or are China to big a trade partner?

      * It is only a good idea if at least one of the assumptions in Ricardo's theorem is not met. This is usually that the entry cost on markets are not zero, so a developing country can have an import tax while they build up their own industry. At what point they have build up sufficiently that they should remove the taxes is an open question. Furthermore, the downsides of the taxes are diffuse enough that people will not feel them directly, so there will be significant political gain in not removing them, even when it would be advantageous for the countries population.

    56. Re:Bogus article by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      Like it or not, China is a free market capitalist at the core.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    57. Re:Bogus article by CarbonShell · · Score: 1

      Yeah, on Maher or The Daily Show someone said that China will do what works and call it 'Socialism'.
      Though kinda like we call 'Democracy' ;)

    58. Re:Bogus article by flyneye · · Score: 1

      For the planet, for small business and for justice we can just turn it into a boycott and make the * marts and Target quit selling us plastic Chinese crap.
      Thats probably at least 80% of their exports to us( on would almost believe). They can come off their rare earth or drown in their own happy meal toys.

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    59. Re:Bogus article by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

      They do it to conserve their own environment. They don't do it for the planet, they do it to have a place where they can live and that can feed them in the future. It is a logical consequence of long-term thinking.
      The poisoning of the environment in illegal mining operations is really nothing to joke about.

    60. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Posting anonymously to preserve moderation). Do you have any evidence for that, though? The OP's cited report seems deeply questionable - the article claims to have seen no effect on molybdenum production from a policy implemented in 2007. But the evidence they provide for this is a plot showing chinese production from 1994 to... 2007? Of course there would be no apparent effect on production, when the limits of the axis doesn't actually include the policy itself!

    61. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most favored nation trading status removal could see about that.

    62. Re:Bogus article by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      None that I am allowed to give you. The reason is that China hides that information (just like they do their CO2; when OCO2 goes up, the world is going to be SHOCKED). Molycorp has no intention of releasing this information yet. They will do so at WTO so that China is surprised.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    63. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think people dont quite understand the net resources that the european/japanese alliance hold. All of North America, Australia, Europe, Japan, and significant portions of the rest of the world are in the pocket of one of these powers. Britain alone made this possible when they decided to repopulate the equivalent of 2.5 continents worth of land with their own people from 1600-1800. China has the endowment of numbers but that is only useful where it can be deployed. Of all their neighbors Russia is the only powerful quasi-friend of China and it would be a cold day in hell before Russia allowed Chinese troops movements across their territory. I think the Chinese leadership is well aware of this hence their drive toward economic rather than military presence Globally. This will give them the best option for leverage in the modern world as they really have no tactical advantage over their opponents. China may be the holder of rare-earth but they get most of their other raw materials via imports such as US coal.

    64. Re:Bogus article by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      Protectionism can be bad in a purely economical sense but still done for strategic interests. For example the US could have decided that the ability to make TVs was of critical importance since it is used by everyone including military planners etc. But alas they didn't and so as far as I recall there is no TV manufacturer still building sets in the US. People get cheaper sets and in theory the employees move on to the segment of the local economy that the US is competitive. Unfortunately the segment of the economy that the US is still competitive happens to be retail and fast food :-( (Oh and bombing 3rd world countries, still the world leader there)

    65. Re:Bogus article by cpu6502 · · Score: 1

      >>> over the course of the last 230+ years we've managed to pay off our debt several times.

      Several times?

      Try once. Way back in the 1820s under the Madison and Jeffersonian-Democrats. Hardly something to brag about in the modern age. We have a candidate now (Paul) who is promising to pay off the debt starting in year 2 of his presidency, but the voters don't want him. They want the other guys who continue to put forward budgets that will add close to 1 trillion year-after-year.

      The political will to completely pay off the U.S. debt is not there, and has not been there since the age of the Founders.

      --
      My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
    66. Re:Bogus article by ILongForDarkness · · Score: 1

      I think it is also a strategic thing. China 15 years ago was mainly a low cost goods manufacture. Toys, pens, etc. They want to move up market where there are higher margins. They have had some success in those areas. By being the only guys in town with lots of rare earth element X they can make sure that everything that needs X is made in China, meaning they get the battery tech, the solar tech and engineering jobs rather than the assembly jobs.

    67. Re:Bogus article by Politburo · · Score: 1

      The first step in a WTO dispute is negotiations, btw.

    68. Re:Bogus article by JWSmythe · · Score: 1

          Do you shop at Walmart? Best Buy? Amazon? McDonalds?

          Walmart is the worst. They can (and do) move into a town, undercut all the mom and pop stores, and then adjust their pricing to what the market will support. Employees are paid less than the competition. If Walmart has a department for it, that's an area that competing stores will die. The first that I noticed, and knew competition failing because of, was toy stores. Then bicycle shops. Mom and pop food markets were served with their death blow when Walmart started their "super Walmart" with full grocery stores in them.

          Between Walmart and Best Buy, they killed Circuit City, and every small electronics store. Electronics repair shops went by the wayside. Who wants to spend $200+ to have your old TV repaired, when you can get a bigger newer one for the same price.

          Amazon has done a beautiful job killing book stores. There are a few somewhat surviving chains, but not many. My aunt owns a small book store. She almost breaks even on the sale of used paperbacks at 25% to 50% cover price. That is, she pays the rent and power bill, and keeps one phone line on. As they expanded, they have been hitting other conventional stores.

          But McDonalds? They've spent decades selling economy food stuffs at prices lower than restaurants can sell at. They even undercut competitive chains. The $0.39 hamburger has a $0.19 profit margin for them. Mom and pop restaurants would have to sell at a $1 loss (or more). And you'll notice, the $0.39 hamburger is long gone. Why? Because they can sell it for $1.00 now and stay competitive. They bought premium locations, and sell something resembling food quickly. Most locations, you can be in and out in just a couple minutes. Mom and pop burger shack? Go in, sit down, wait while they cook the burger, and then eat it. McD streamlined the process, so you don't have to dedicate more than a few minutes of your day to meals.

          For all of them, they allow their "competition" to survive to some degree, to avoid monopolies. Their competition is driven so far down in profit, that they can fail at any moment. All it takes is running a special.

          So, American companies are no nicer about screwing with the economy than foreign corporations. They do no differently than China did with the rare earth elements. The competition *could* have stayed in business. They just recognized that they didn't have a sufficient profit margin to do so.

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    69. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also if this flies, then China can challenge US ITAR restrictions on the same grounds as it's nothing more than a national security/self-interest reason for either.

    70. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "it's never acceptable to want to destroy all of your competitors"

      I'd call this capitalistic exceptional-ism.

    71. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While you are technically correct about completely paying it off, under Clinton's presidency, it was being paid down. Only reason it didn't go to zero and instead shot back up was 1) "dubya", and 2) there was concern over what completely paying off the debt would do to the nation/world, so a study was conducted, and they'd concluded that there is some minimal level of debt that the US should always carry.

    72. Re:Bogus article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but that is not China's fault.

      Not true. The world had many sources for these materials. China dumped on the market, forcing everyone else out with cheap goods. Lots of jobs around the world were lost because of China. Mines and factors shut down. Now China wakes up one day and does the exact opposite, without notice. It takes time for mines to start back up and processing to resume. This is twice that China shat on the world for the same goods.

    73. Re:Bogus article by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

      Whether they be political leaders or business leaders they are still leaders. And if the followers allow them to lead and/or decide to keep following them, then yes, it is their fault. Inaction in this case is the same as deciding to follow them since their decisions affect most people, and inaction allowed the business leaders to do what they wanted. i.e. doing nothing also has consequences.

      --
      -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
    74. Re:Bogus article by dAzED1 · · Score: 1

      do you have any sense at all in your myopic viewpoint how short-lived this problem is? There were "signs" a few decades ago (esp in the meat production industry) but almost all of the US had no exposure or experience with this phenomenon until something less than two decades ago. We have no way to elect leaders of industry, or remove them, described in law. We're getting close to a revolution ourselves likely, only it won't be based on silly geographic or false political divide - it will be based on those who have had enough, versus those who for some reason are willing to defend the 0.1% (because it wasn't even 1%) that made the decisions that got us here. There's a LOT of inertia to fight, and absolutely no historical frame of reference on how to do it short of outright violence, in the history of mankind.

    75. Re:Bogus article by KingBenny · · Score: 1

      yea, truly and really ... being unfair and not playing by the rules? is that how they call it ? maybe that's why you see chinese business men always smiling ... because of this kind of idiotic remarks. Why would they comply to anything the wto says? who will make them ? Who would be so naive to think that global business would be fair and played by the rules? I think they misplaced the article this must have been intended for april fools day

      --
      Free speech was meant to be free for all... how can anyone grow up in a nanny state ?
    76. Re:Bogus article by KingBenny · · Score: 1

      i apologize for adding to the post i just forgot to say that i thought the WTO was just this western overseer who says to all the others they have to play to these rules instead of theirs ?

      --
      Free speech was meant to be free for all... how can anyone grow up in a nanny state ?
  2. This is what happens... by ravenspear · · Score: 4, Insightful

    when you shut down mining and manufacturing in western countries and ship it all to China just because they are cheaper.

    Other countries have these deposits, but they determined they could just buy China's for less money.

    1. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 0

      Agreed. The US chose, of their own free will, not to produce Rare Earths. They voluntarily created a bottleneck. China didn't ask for such power. You can't opt for "market forces" only when it's in your interest, and demand powerful central government when market forces are in a competitor's interests. Level playing fields are good, but that means everyone takes responsibility in the same way ALL the time, not just when it's convenient.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    2. Re:This is what happens... by TFAFalcon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So the government prohibiting the export of something is a level playing field? Can the US also choose to impose a 1000% tariff on Chinese products and also call it a level playing field?

    3. Re:This is what happens... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Umm what? Try keeping a mining operation afloat when China next door is dumping them into the market at prices you can't possibly compete at. It takes years to start up a rare earth mining that can stay running, with planning, red tape, upfront costs that must be recovered, meanwhile, china can easily just open up either exports again for a few years if any plants does become established. Free Market vs China.... China will win due to full backing of government.

      What are the alternatives?
      US Protectionism against China? You would need support from various countries or simply spends lots of money keeping the companies afloat. Here in the US, do this easily for established business "too big to fail" but for start up, we cry afoul like no other.

      In the end, it was not a choice by US companies, it was the non-choice by the US government in the face of China's choices. Quite simply, the free market fails spectacularly in this case without government intervention. It's like being a pacifist while the other guy shoots at you. It can work with enough support from everyone but in reality, the guy with the gun will win.

    4. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Did I say China was working on a level playing field? Nooooooooooo. Now, go take your cookies and milk then go back to kindergarten until you learn to read.

      For the rest of you, a level playing field means you do NOT hand someone the ball and then complain that you've no balls. (Take that as you will.) A level playing field means that you demand of yourself no less responsibility than you demand of others.

      A level playing field ALSO demands that ALL sides play by the rules. You know Boeing and Airbus have both been found guilty of getting illegal subsidies, right? That this isn't new and that both blocs have known for over a decade that what they were doing was indeed illegal? Sorry, I have difficulty feeling sympathy for people who are equally corrupt and criminal. Sympathy for the devil is easier to stomach than sympathy for the corporations. It also has a catchier tune.

      The US ITAR regulations banning the export of computer systems to China that can - and are - used by US corporations to cut costs -- you think that's a level playing field? When NASA made it possible to turn a pile of PCs into a supercomputer, the software was banned. (Those old enough will remember Slashdot helping smuggle the software to Canada.) Sure, they relented later, but only because they had no choice. The cat was already out of the bag and ripping people's limbs off - as cats formerly in bags tend to do.

      The US has been in trade wars with the EU, seeking to cripple EU industries via restricted exports.

      Sorry, but the moment the US did that to Europe, it LOST all rights to complain when others do the same to it. Remember, the US may have relented but it never apologized and never changed its attitudes. It grudgingly tolerated obedience to the law, but we all know perfectly well that it will violate that law every chance it has to gain an edge.

      As, indeed, it did in the 90s, when the US Government's signals intelligence passed confidential internal documents from Airbus to Boeing. The US Government, involved in industrial espionage in order to profiteer.

      A level playing field is where ALL such activity is banned, where ALL such activity leads to more than a gentle slap on the wrist but serious economic consequences, and where ALL countries are required to participate fairly, openly and (above all) honestly. THAT is a level playing field.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    5. Re:This is what happens... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No.

      They could however impose an export ban on engineering skills/individuals/plans/templates/etc TO china however, forcing all of there internal companies to produce things, well, internally (or at least, not in china).

      China is hurting there own mines by saying 'you cannot export this to other countries', however they are benefiting there own manufacturing 'this thing that should be quite expensive, is now dirt cheap, because the mines can't export it'. At the same time, because no one else is producing rare earth metals at china's levels they are doubly benefiting there internal manufacturing 'and you have no competition because no one has the rare earth metals!!!'.

      The US is welcome to do likewise-- though I am not sure it would work out as well for them.

    6. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1

      China didn't ask for such power.

      But China sought such power. Asking implies the seeking of approval for an action. No such attempt was made.

      You can't opt for "market forces" only when it's in your interest, and demand powerful central government when market forces are in a competitor's interests.

      Didn't happen here. China created a competitive advantage through government interference. No "level field" was in play here.

    7. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      China wasn't dumping at the time the mine was closed. The US mine was closed because it was dumping hazardous waste and got caught - an entirely voluntary action on its part. No alternative was set up in the US for the same reason US drug companies test their products in Africa - you make more money by not obeying the rules.

      I cannot find it in me to be sympathetic to economic mobsters who get beat up by other economic mobsters. The US created most of the global economy, the US is reaping what it sowed. China is no saint, but I will not cry for Herr Frankenstein. You create the monster, the monster is your problem.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    8. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      How did it "seek" such power? By not closing its mines when the US ones were caught dumping illegal waste?

      Far as I can see, it sought no such thing. It merely continued to trade when others couldn't be arsed. Now it has a de-facto monopoly and it's abusing the hell out of it. China should pay a very heavy price for that. But equally, so should every other nation that has abused monopolistic powers. Since we know the latter won't happen, it follows that the former should not happen either. One Law, not one for the US and one for everyone else.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    9. Re:This is what happens... by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      Yes, yes we can. Since American employment and salaries are at an all time high of course we can all afford to pay $7,500 for a laptop guaranteed to fail in 5 years. And after a decade of toil spinning up American manufacturing and rare earth extraction again, labor unions and incredibly high health care costs will make sure that you only have to pay $2,700 for a base-model tough-as-nails American laptop.

      Personally I'd love to see computers made here again but really, go convert the late 70's to early 80's home computer prices to today's dollars......then realize how much your parents REALLY spent. For the price of the Apple II you could buy a nice car. For the price of the Atari 800 you could buy a decent used car. Around the mid-80's when everyone started making machines in Hong Kong, Taiwan, etc things got a lot more affordable.....except PC's and Macs. The ST was a bargain however as well as being pretty bad-ass.

      Bottom line....... we make good stuff...... the problem is that you can't afford it. Rather than fixing that problem we choose to buy our goods from people more willing to look the other way when it comes to how shitty their employee's lives are. We don't care as long as we can watch some kid hit his nuts on a railing while skateboarding on a $50 device. Then when those folks actually want some quality of life and the price goes up, we set up shop elsewhere.

      Been a while since I've seen many "Made in Japan" stickers.

    10. Re:This is what happens... by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 1

      Some commentators on this article seem to be blithely unaware of the relative concentrations of the Chinese deposits versus others worldwide, and how the consequent low production cost might be abused to establish and exercise power over the market.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
    11. Re:This is what happens... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Now, go take your cookies and milk then go back to kindergarten until you learn to read." Now, go take your ad-homs and consider more civil ways to debate.

    12. Re:This is what happens... by TFAFalcon · · Score: 2

      I'm not advocating tariffs on ALL imports. Just on those from countries that use unfair trade practices. If China decides to sell rare earths to foreign companies for ten times the price that domestic companies pay, then why shouldn't their products be 'taxed'? I'm sure China's neighbors will be more then happy to ramp up production if China is no longer able to compete with them.

    13. Re:This is what happens... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but the moment the US did that to Europe, it LOST all rights to complain when others do the same to it.

      Just to point out, most of us whose jobs might be lost due to countries diddling around with the economy are not the ones who made the decision to do it to europe, nor did we directly benefit from it. So, how about we don't act like the people who will be affected by this deserve it because other people from their country did it to other people?

    14. Re:This is what happens... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so, the gist of your comment is that america is always wrong. now there's a surprise.

    15. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 2

      How did it "seek" such power?

      By dumping rare earths on the market. And then artificially restricting global supply once it had driven foreign competitors out of business.

    16. Re:This is what happens... by thsths · · Score: 2

      > So, how about we don't act like the people who will be affected by this deserve it because other people from their country did it to other people?

      A simple word: democracy. With power comes responsibility.

    17. Re:This is what happens... by CarbonShell · · Score: 1

      +1

      @Sub-Topic:
      If we do consider ourselves democracies or republics then WE are the ones responsible for the governments we elect.

      Not like other totalitarian states where we love to punish the populace for actions committed by government they had no part in creating.

      Strange that we elect them, yet when they pull some dumb shit, we quickly claim innocence and that we have no involvement!

      Sorry, in a democracy they represent US (as in the people) and what they do in our name reflects upon us.

    18. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      Precisely. We are involved, we are responsible and we are accountable, merely by holding free and sort-of honest elections. It goes a little further than simply electing, though, as we're also the ones propping up the corporations that have lobby power. We're the ones that determine what is financially worth the while of the press to report on. We're the ones who determine what skills are available where and therefore what impact a changing market has on jobs. We have all kinds of impact on government.

      Responsibility is the one thing modern democracies/republics do not lack. Accepting of it is the problem.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    19. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      Show me where it did so. Show me proof that any competitor was driven out of business as a result. The only examples I know of in the US collapsed due to dumping radioactive waste in the water supply and you can't blame China for that.

      Oh, and show me why any such dumping (if it even happened) had an impact at all. America isn't in a free trade agreement with China as far as I know. I know that America paid workers and jobs to go overseas, outside any controlled market, but that's America's fault, not China's. Blaming China for America's stupidity is merely furthering that stupidity.

      China has done a hell of a lot that is wrong and a hell of a lot that is stupid, but America has more than once declared at the UN Security Council that if one party to stupidity is to be blamed then ALL parties to stupidity should be blamed. I hold America to it's word on that. If that's its international stance then China cannot be singled-out. It is in violation of declared US international policy.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    20. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      I would agree with all of that. Well, the incredibly high health care costs are because the US has no national health care and Americans have incredibly unhealthy lifestyles, but the first of those can be fixed any time you want. Not sure about the second, though better education (not just teaching about what is healthy but actually practicing it by having decent phys ed and edible school meals) would likely help some.

      (National health doesn't preclude charging people for voluntary, self-inflicted illnesses, whereas modern insurance schemes often do.)

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    21. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      I'm well-aware of which countries (China isn't alone) have large concentrations of rare earths. I'm also aware that the US has spent many decades dumping electronics and other devices containing rare earths into landfills rather than recycling in any fashion. Further, I'm aware that Planned Obsolescence means that corporations need far more of the rare earths than it should.

      So there's a huge amount of waste. Which is getting recycled, sometimes, by other countries. Not the US. Seems that a lot of the recycling takes place in Chinese territories, doesn't it? So if they have a huge surplus, we're in part helping to supply it. How can they be blamed for our actions? They're ours, we should own them.

      Last, if they have a surplus then the law of supply and demand states the price will go down. That's not imposed by the Chinese, it's imposed by the Invisible Hand of the markets. We live in a market-driven economy, we do so by our own choice, we should accept responsibility for the consequences.

      But as happened with the recent market meltdown, it's soooooo much easier to blame others and deny our own culpability. If recessions are cyclic, it's not because they have to be, it's because people are too stupid to step out the hamster wheel THEY are busy turning.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    22. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1
      This report by Robert Looney outlines the overall scenario. First, the report discusses what factors led to China's dominance: 1) It has good rare earth deposits, 2) Cheap labor force, 3) almost no environmental regulations (which as you note the developed world mines have had to deal with), and 4) heavily subsidization of any labor intensive industry through huge public investments. On this last point, Looney had this to say:

      Low-cost labour and low environmental standards contributed to China entering world markets with significantly lower-priced rare earths, but a fourth factor, the governmentâ(TM)s overall development strategy, played a critical role. Chinaâ(TM)s development strategy in recent decades has been orientated towards massive state-supported investments (IMF 2010), averaging between 15 and 20% of GDP (and reaching 60% of GDP during the 2009 stimulus package), designed to create as many jobs as possible. The Communist Party legitimises its rule in terms of providing employment to a growing labour force as well as increasing the populationâ(TM)s standard of living. In implementing this strategy, the countryâ(TM)s state-run banks are often under pressure from the authorities to extend credit to projects that would usually be considered unprofitable by western accounting standards. In practice, Chinaâ(TM)s rare earth industry (along with other broad segments of the economy) received large levels of subsidised loans in the mid-1980s. At the same time, local governments obtained more flexibility in encouraging growth (Stratfor 2010). These local authorities also found numerous ways of subsidising investment and productive expansion in their districts.

      [...]

      Since the domestic economy did not have the technology (outside of magnets) to absorb this surge in production, most of the output was exported. The result was the suppression of world prices for most rare earths, while Chinese rare earth firms were unprofitable by normal accounting standards. In turn, the depressed world prices and higher environmental standards in the rest of the world resulted in the closure of most mines outside of China (Hook 2010).

      There's the evidence of dumping. Ignoring considerable environmental damage while simultaneously putting so much money in that businesses sold at prices which would normally be unprofitable. It's worth noting that if China hadn't done this, then outside mines would still be profitable despite the environmental problems.

      In sum, China has a large market share, but no natural monopoly. However, because of its control of supplies in the short term and the long lead times of increasing production outside the country, China may be able to preserve its dominant share if it chooses to do so. In addition to possessing unique knowledge of the industry, China could create great uncertainty over the profitability of future ventures outside the country. Just knowing that China could flood the market and force down the price at any time would discourage many smaller producers. As for larger potential producers, China could always convey a willingness to adopt âlimit pricingâ(TM), a classic entry-deterring tactic that involves holding prices high enough to give moderate but steady profits, while still low enough to discourage the growth of competition.

      Now the interesting part is what happened since 2008. China has been attempting to consolidate the rare earth mining industry under state control. That's classic monopoly creation.

      It is possible to conclude that Chinaâ(TM)s rare earth monopoly was inadvertent and not part of a grand design to control this strategic group of elements. The over-investment in the industry was not something unique to the rare earth branch of the economy. Instead, it was the product of a general development strategy of job creation the country was app

    23. Re:This is what happens... by ogdenk · · Score: 1

      I agree with you on the first one.

      As far as #2 you're stereotyping, not all of us are fat slobs with poor eating habits that never exercise. I'm certainly not.

      As far as your point in parenthesis goes, the minute you allow that to happen you end up with Hell on Earth in the US. Our government likes to redefine words in the English language on a whim when it suits them. When money gets tight they'll start looking for people to pull the plug on....."sorry guy, shouldn't eaten that steak" or "You have lung cancer therefore you put yourself in a risky position that we don't feel financially responsible for"..... to a degree one could argue that ALL illness that isn't a genetic defect is self-inflicted based on life choices.

      What next, ban care for those with certain illnesses to weed their defective line out of the gene pool to lower health care costs across the board? That's called Eugenics and while logically sound it's not very nice. A lot of folks were pissed at the Nazis for it. *BAM* Managed to Godwin this post after all.

    24. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      A spook's blog. A SPOOK'S BLOG. Your best evidence is a guy who is paid to be paranoid being paranoid?

      He's not a professor of economics, he has no qualifications in engineering, he's a national security adviser with zero understanding of anything real. He's not paid to understand what's real. He's paid to make up scare stories to get politicians to fund things.

      To quote Twisted Sister, If that's your best, your best won't do.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    25. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      You are correct that the government likes to redefine terms. It makes for a serious problem, I agree. The best method is equal access, since it's harder to redefine equal - though prior administrations have certainly tried. Then there are the problems that resources are finite, there's a backlash from the right against unrestricted healthcare, and so on. I don't know how to solve these, but it would seem logical to aim for a middle ground somehow. Most of the random illnesses out there (eg: flu, bronchitis, heliobacter-type ulcers, and so on) are high demand, low profit, zero culpability. In short, stuff the markets hate and a national service can serve en-masse very cheaply.

      Ideally, you'd end up with the service treating everything at zero (or near enough) cost to the patient. That is the correct end result. Right now, it is also an impossible result to achieve. So my thinking is you start with the stuff where there's least opposition, prove it doesn't cause people to become Stalinists or the world to explode, and then expand out.

      I could be wrong. It has been known to happen, on occasion. It might be that you have to start with aiming for the end result and keep smashing into the brick wall until it crumbles. I don't know. I do know that what we have has actually fallen below third-world standards in places and that terrifies me. Though not nearly as much as campaign promises to lower the rest of America to that level.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    26. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1

      So do you have a legitimate complaint?

    27. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      I say that IS a legitimate complaint. LOOK AT THE SOURCE. A total fruitcake with NO credibility in the field in which he is spouting off in.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    28. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1

      LOOK AT THE SOURCE. A total fruitcake with NO credibility in the field in which he is spouting off in.

      I did. He's talking about rare earths, which while it has some nuance, isn't that complicated a subject. That doesn't require extensive credentials to talk about. Even if it did, "spook" (or more accurately here, one who gathers intelligence from mostly open sources) is one of the careers in which I'd expect to find knowledgeable people about this subject and people willing to invest the time to make a report.

      As it turns out, Looney has a PhD from UC Davis in economics and he is a professor in a relevant discipline. So he has sufficient credentials as well for those who think they should matter so much.

    29. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      I'm sure half the bankers have PhDs in economics, too. No, that is NOT sufficient credentials. You cannot evaluate the economics if you do not understand the mechanisms behind the successes and the failures. The money does NOT exist in a vaccuum, and those who attempt to say otherwise are the moronic imbeciles who are responsible for the current meltdown.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    30. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I'm sure half the bankers have PhDs in economics, too.

      Completely irrelevant.

      No, that is NOT sufficient credentials.

      This is bullshit. I answered your question. When you questioned the person's pedigree, I answered that satisfactorily as well. Now you're saying that a PhD in economics is "NOT sufficient credentials." That is a remarkable display of some combination of mendacity and stupidity. Let's remind you of what you wrote a couple of posts ago:

      He's not a professor of economics, he has no qualifications in engineering, he's a national security adviser with zero understanding of anything real.

      What sort of education do you think a professor of economics has? A PhD in economics, of course. So we have a professor with a PhD in economics, qualified already to be a professor in economics. His research interests are "Economic intelligence; Economics of national security; Economics of terrorism" as quoted from his webpage. So he is a professor of economics in all but job title ("professor of National Security Affairs") and meets your stated standard for qualification.

      We are done here.

    31. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      He is not a professor of economics, his own bio states he is professor of National Security Affairs. The only person done is you.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    32. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1

      He is not a professor of economics, his own bio states he is professor of National Security Affairs.

      You must had read what I wrote:

      So he is a professor of economics in all but job title ("professor of National Security Affairs")

      Why are you still here?

    33. Re:This is what happens... by jd · · Score: 1

      I'm here because I understand what you apparently do not -- that he is NOT an economist, that his skills in economics are OLD, RUSTY and LARGELY OBSOLETE. Your brain-dead whinging demonstrates your complete lack of understanding of economics, education, skill retention or, well, anything else.

      Bug off, you're not welcome here, you're a damn fool and should go join the other damn fools on K5.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    34. Re:This is what happens... by khallow · · Score: 1
      What astounds me that you don't realize how broken your arguments are. You're employing the appeal to authority fallacy even though he meets your credential requirement. Then you say that his demonstrated credentials aren't sufficient even though you're not qualified to make that judgment (by your own logic).

      But let's not forget that the original claim of Chinese subsidy, market cornering, and monopoly was made by a bunch of countries, in addition to the the US, we have Japan and the 27 states of the EU. This isn't the US and Canada playing footsie with timber, but a legitimate complaint supported by a lot of countries, basically most of the developed world. You ignore that too.

      So you asked for evidence in support of claims I made and I dumped link. Now you're going with a really pathetic argument that the author, somehow, isn't qualified enough to have an opinion.

      This is some of the weakest bullshit I've heard in a long time. At a glance, it sounds like this guy has more qualifications to have an opinion on China's behavior with respect to rare earths than you do, just based on your behavior. He doesn't argue from authority, for example.

      And not once (!) have you attempted to discuss his claims or ideas. It's been purely a pathetic assault on his qualifications. This tells me that you don't have anything relevant to say on the subject.

      Your brain-dead whinging demonstrates your complete lack of understanding of economics, education, skill retention or, well, anything else.

      Do you really think that the average reader is going to agree with you just because you say stuff? Sure, if I really did have a "complete lack" of the above, it would cause problems for my arguments. But all they have to do is read what I wrote to see that no, I don't have such a problem. This means that your above words are an example of the ad hominem fallacy.

      Bug off, you're not welcome here, you're a damn fool and should go join the other damn fools on K5.

      You might not have noticed, but this isn't horsing around in the kiddie pool. You're free to say or believe whatever you like. But people don't have to take you seriously or even politely when you dribble illogical, fallacy laden crap onto the internet like you just did.

      As for me, I learned some things from this discussion despite your efforts. For example, I learned that China probably just lucked into this monopoly and probably didn't have it planned out. And I learned that the real driver behind this rare earth monopoly is not just China's access to good quality rare earth deposits but also its lack of environmental regulation which gives it an unusually powerful economic advantage in this unusually dirty activity. Can you say the same?

  3. Whaaa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but we want them, why can't have them. But if we make our own it'll screw our environment and cost a lot, and and... we'll have to wait.! Its not fair. Make em play fair.

    Capitalists, never more childish than when they can't buy resources before value added processes have gained the supplier a slice of the profit pie.

    1. Re:Whaaa by zoloto · · Score: 1

      Take your anarchist rants back to middle school.

  4. I know where we can get some by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Uganda. All we need is to create some kind of bogeyman there that we can "go after", then we can march in our military and...well, you know the rest of the story.

    1. Re:I know where we can get some by hjf · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Kony 2012.

    2. Re:I know where we can get some by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      shhhh!!!! people still think this is about oil, don't burst their bubble!

    3. Re:I know where we can get some by bmo · · Score: 3, Funny

      >Kony 2012

      Is that who you're voting for this November?

      --
      BMO

      Don't blame me - I voted for Kodos.

    4. Re:I know where we can get some by alienzed · · Score: 1

      Except last time 'we' tried that it got us worse than nothing.

      --
      Never say never. Ah!! I did it again!
    5. Re:I know where we can get some by hjf · · Score: 0

      No, thankfully I don't live in the US. I'm in Argentina, we vote in odd years =D

    6. Re:I know where we can get some by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Worse than nothing? Nearly $5 a gallon for gas for months on end, year after year. Record oil profits.TRILLIONS OF DOLLARS STOLEN RIGHT UNDER THE OPEN EYES OF THE PUBLIC. You should have bought stock the second they started pointing fingers at the middle east. Take some advice, invest a couple bucks into a few choice Companies (not all of them are "American") that "might" get involved should the US increase military presence in the Congo / Uganda Region. If you can't beat them, join them. See you at the bank!

    7. Re:I know where we can get some by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Every year we vote is odd.

  5. Fair price? by Vinegar+Joe · · Score: 1

    So what's the fair price for Windows 7 Ultimate? Or Adobe CS 5?

    --
    "The average reporter we talk to is 27 years old......They literally know nothing." - Ben Rhodes
    1. Re:Fair price? by Cosgrach · · Score: 1

      Ummm. Free? No, wait! You pay me and I'll consider installing it.

      --
      Why is it that most of the people that I encounter seem to have been shat from the Sphincter of Mediocrity?
    2. Re:Fair price? by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 1

      So what's the fair price for Windows 7 Ultimate? Or Adobe CS 5?

      In China? Free....

    3. Re:Fair price? by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Nope. You pay 2 trojans and a virus for Adobe.

    4. Re:Fair price? by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      $0, but computing is a hobby for me, not a lifestyle. I enjoy the challenge of making things work. Others might be willing to spend a few bucks for them if they value time over freedom.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  6. Bugger the WTO by Cosgrach · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    And the US and others for having their head up their asses. Seriously, the resources are on Chinese territory they can do with it as they please. Just be glad that they are willing to sell at all. These minerals exist in other countries as well, but they shut down their production to buy from China. Deal with it an re-open the old mines. Southern California has a fair sized deposit in the Mojave desert. I know that production has started up, but it will take some time to get meaningful quantities. Until then, tough shit.

    --
    Why is it that most of the people that I encounter seem to have been shat from the Sphincter of Mediocrity?
    1. Re:Bugger the WTO by PatPending · · Score: 1

      For some reason, this "Related Link," from almost exactly two years ago (March 16 2010), is missing from this submission:

      US Sits On Supply of Rare, Tech-Crucial Minerals

      The relevant part is this (emphasis added):

      "China supplies most of the rare earth minerals found in technologies such as hybrid cars, wind turbines, computer hard drives, and cell phones, but the US has its own largely untapped reserves that could safeguard future tech innovation. Those reserves include deposits of both 'light' and 'heavy' rare earths... 'There is already a shortage, because there are companies that already can't get enough material,' said Jim Hedrick, a former USGS rare earth specialist who recently retired. 'No one [in the US] wants to be first to jump into the market because of the cost of building a separation plant,' Hedrick explained. ... [S]uch a plant requires thousands of stainless steel tanks holding different chemical solutions to separate out all the individual rare earths. The upfront costs seem daunting. Hedrick estimated that opening just one mine and building a new separation plant might cost anywhere from $500 million to $1 billion and would require a minimum of eight years. [But the CEO of a rare earth supply company said] 'From what I see, security of supply is going to be more important than the prices.'"

      If the complainants had realize the "security of supply" is real, we'd already be 1/4 of the way (2 of 8 years) to having productive plants.

      Instead these countries took the easy and cheap path, namely: foolishly trusting communists to uphold their part of an agreement.

      --
      What one fool can do, another can. (Ancient Simian Proverb)
    2. Re:Bugger the WTO by Kittenman · · Score: 1

      Seriously, the resources are on Chinese territory they can do with it as they please.

      What will be interesting will be if the main sources of Rare Earths are in some of the places the aren't really Chinese territory, but ones that China 'acquired'. To wit, Tibet. Will the west then have a cause to get China out of there for *cough* humanitarian reasons?

      Meanwhile Tibetans are setting themselves on fire to protest the occupation. Ok it's not the best way of protesting but you've got to be fairly committed to do that.

      --
      "The greatest lesson in life is to know that even fools are right sometimes" - Winston Churchill
  7. Re:The USA has plenty of RE metals by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1, Insightful

    I see you have no idea of the meaning of the word capitalism.

  8. Waana be a member of the WTO? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    then you gotta surrender your sovereignty.. I think China signed... So there

  9. Hate the game not the player by bjourne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    China beat the other capitalists at their own game. By forcing the other players out of the market and then establishing a monopoly. Now they are crying foul because they lost the game? It's their rare earth metals so just pay them what they want or start making your own! You cant just demand that the rules be changed because now you're being screwed, while previously you enjoyed screwing someone else over.

    1. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually the complaint is that China didn't play the game. They cheated by dumping and are now cheating by restricting exports. Not unexpected from them, but don't claim it's capitalism in action.

    2. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How you describe is EXACTLY how Capitalism works. Cheating? No, that how the game is played.

    3. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, by your definition, the government controlling what can be exported and at what price is capitalism?

    4. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you actually believe China's economy is Capitalist you might be interested in a bridge I have for sale in New York.

    5. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're misinformed. Although after the revolution China tried a more socialist solution, they changed their minds a few decades later. China is actually one of the best examples of capitalism - keep in mind that capitalism (just like socialism) does not implies a weak (or strong) state, since it's only an economic system (examples: weak: libertarianism; strong: fascism). The only two socialist things in China are the red flag and the name of the ruling party.

    6. Re:Hate the game not the player by xero314 · · Score: 1

      When taken into consideration of the global economy, China is playing the capitalist game. Just look at China as if they are a very large corporation, possibly the largest corporation in the world. And don't think the large corporations will be any better once they reach China's level of power and control. Capitalist are being beat at their own game. Of course China will eventually pay the price, but I'm not sure the western countries will be around to see it when it happens.

    7. Re:Hate the game not the player by Wattos · · Score: 1

      Actually the complaint is that China didn't play the game. They cheated by dumping and are now cheating by restricting exports. Not unexpected from them, but don't claim it's capitalism in action.

      That is exactly how TESCO, WALL-MART and every other of these huge stores work...

    8. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How would you describe Chinas actions in this matter then? They seem 100% capitalistic to me...

    9. Re:Hate the game not the player by sFurbo · · Score: 1

      You don't get to make up the rules, the WTO have them written down (and China have signed them). If you are restriction imports or exports for any but a few acceptable reasons, you are in breach of the rules, and the WTO can allow other countries to enforce import tariffs on your goods. The question is then whether the other countries want to enforce such tariffs, or whether China is too big a trade partner.

    10. Re:Hate the game not the player by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A country is a country not a corporation, If a country were a corporation NONE of us would be in the WTO.

      Your assumption that the west cant do without the crap that comes from china [or that that crap cant be made in thailand or burma for less] is deeply flawed, china cant afford at this point to have a recession, they society depends on high exports to maintain growth and build jobs, the MAJORITY of china are still peasants, and many who move to the cities to work are not even allowed to buy property in those cities.

      If china stop being able to export as much, if it even dropped 10%, the unemployment and societal unrest would be immense. Considering they are already have a trade deficit and many of their industries function on a very low profit margin there is not really that much room for the chinese government to play here.

  10. Globalist whining by nickmalthus · · Score: 2

    I am not a Chinese government fan by any means but as a sovereign country they have an obligation to protect the interests of their citizens above the financial gains of the globalists. Besides, these are the same guys that say the free market solves all problems. As the price of these materials go up alternatives should surface or recycling efficiency should increase.

    --
    If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be-T J
    1. Re:Globalist whining by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 5, Informative

      I am not a Chinese government fan by any means but as a sovereign country they have an obligation to protect the interests of their citizens above the financial gains of the globalists.

      They absolutely do, but they can't do that while still remaining a member of WTO.

    2. Re:Globalist whining by maccodemonkey · · Score: 2

      Unless they are violating their obligations under the WTO charter that they agreed to, which they are. That's what most posters seem to be missing. China previously agreed to a set of conditions upon joining the WTO (their choice) and is now violating them.

      If China doesn't want to be in the WTO, that's fine. But it means that countries like the US aren't under any obligation to follow the WTO rules with regards to China either.

    3. Re:Globalist whining by sFurbo · · Score: 1

      I am not a Chinese government fan by any means but as a sovereign country they have an obligation to protect the interests of their citizens above the financial gains of the globalists.

      Free trade is about doing the best for the citizens, although in an abstract and long-sighted way. Your wage might drop 10% with free trade, but if the average price of all you buy will drop with 20%, you are still better of. There are exceptions, mostly when developing countries need to build their own industries, but most of the time, free trade benefits everyone.

    4. Re:Globalist whining by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a problem when the invisible hand of the market flips you off.

  11. Hey China.. by Jyunga · · Score: 1

    You.. me.. playground after class. Bring your rare earths and your cheap labor or you're toast.

  12. The world's smallest violin by jtownatpunk.net · · Score: 1

    Shouldn't have let them get a monopoly on something that's so important. This is just one of many ways China has the rest of the world under their thumb and we're going to see a lot more of this in the coming years. From where I'm sitting at my desk, I'd be hard-pressed to lay my eyes on more than 10 things that weren't made in China. My watch (though it was assembled in China so I guess that doesn't count). An old radio scanner (which doesn't work). Metal shears (used to open blister packs). CR2016 batteries made in Japan. Multimeter's made in Korea. A really old power strip from Mexico. And that's about it.

    1. Re:The world's smallest violin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, its refreshing for anyone outside the US, at last a new thumb! Was getting rather boring with the pie and stuff.

  13. Government sponsored comments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Seems like the pro-China internet brigade has been set loose on this article.

    1. Re:Government sponsored comments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      USA has 13 MILLONS TONS of this elements in their soil, they not learn anything about the the oil dependecy.

  14. Rare earths by giorgist · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Rare earths are not that rare. The main problem is that they keep bad company, for example Thorium. Now if you mine rare earths in the US, you suddenly end up with thorium which you are no longer allowed to put back where it came from or anywhere else. China is actually storing it with the potential to using it in future nuclear power plants. A single mine for rare earths would have the "side effect" of generating enough thorium to power the whole of the US electrical grid (If we can develop the appropriate power plant).

    So if you like the magnets in your tiny headphones, tell the Greenies to rationalise their argument and we might be able to get back on track.

  15. Re:Globalist whining -ignored unless they agree by hguorbray · · Score: 1, Informative

    As usual the US (and probably most other countries) believe in the power and relevance of these bodies only when THEY are the ones seeking redress for some wrong.

    For a good look at this compare to the US ignoring NAFTA (even though they were its champions) when US sought tariffs against Canadian companies that they alleged were 'dumping' softwoods even though the terms of NAFTA supported the Canadians.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada%E2%80%93United_States_softwood_lumber_dispute

    Or how Bush, Cheney and Rumsfield will never face international war tribunals for authorizing the same tortures that we executed Japanese commanders for proscribing:
    http://www.cbsnews.com/2100-250_162-3554687.html

    -I'm just sayin'

  16. Those darn, uppity Chinese... by fullback · · Score: 1

    Who do they think they are, using free market strategies with their resources?

    1. Re:Those darn, uppity Chinese... by Dr+Damage+I · · Score: 1

      ... Voluntary members of the WTO or something like that?

      --
      "Cursed is he who rises early in the morning..." Isiah 5:11
  17. Slightly delusional by microbox · · Score: 5, Interesting

    For 200+ years China was bullied by western powers

    This is true. And then China proved itself to be the equal bully of Victorian era European powers.

    You are right about the declining influence of the USA and the EU. I suspect, however, that China will not rise above, but will trace a similar arc as the soviet union did. In many ways, the Chinese miracle reflects the decade-long double-digit growth of the soviet union. And likewise, both countries have serious internal problems, including /severe/ environmental issues.

    I do believe that the chinese leadership will not sit idly by on these environmental issues, and their environmental policy looks bizarre to outsiders. I suspect they are drawing down on the possibility of future technical solutions which they are now investing in. But the future of industrial china has not yet been written.

    btw, the USA, France, Britain, Germany, Japan, Russia and China are probably the only countries that can sustain a significant war. There may be a dearth of political will within the USA, France, Britain, German and Japan -- but if the will is ever galvonised, make no mistake, they could prosecute a real war anywhere on the planet.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    1. Re:Slightly delusional by wickedskaman · · Score: 1

      Japan? Care to expound or link to the right info?

      --
      Sand's overrated... it's just tiny little rocks.
    2. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Simple. Gundams.

    3. Re:Slightly delusional by microbox · · Score: 4, Informative

      If you look on wikipedia, you will find out that Japan has the 7th largest military budget in the world, at only a fraction of their GDP. They have about 250k active personal, 50k reserves, and about 27 million men of service age. They have their own native high-tech defence industry, which is supplemented with US and European technology.

      If they had to go to war tomorrow, they have a significant high-tech air-force, navy and army with a modern capable war doctrine. If engaged in a protracted war, like WWII, they could draw down on over 50 million personal, and deploy a massive high tech manufacturing base and indigenous know-how. They are also the 3rd richest country in the world. (Most of their debt is domestically held.)

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    4. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ...and no natural resources whatsoever. Which is what did them in last time around.

    5. Re:Slightly delusional by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yes, but this time, it is likely that they would be backed by USA, Canada, and EU.

      However, it does not matter. Any war that Japan gets in, will not be sustained. It will be over in under a day.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And let's not forget that they are basically a screwdriver's turn away from being a nuclear weapon state. They also have space launch vehicles that could be easily turned into intercontinental ballistic missiles if they were so inclined, and they could probably have a respectable nuclear arsenal in a matter of months if push came to shove.

    7. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      ...because of said mobile suits.

    8. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are also the 3rd richest country in the world. (Most of their debt is domestically held.)

      ahh, so that's why prostitution is rampant "u owe me money! - I don't have it! - ok drop ur panties - ooh"

    9. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US might be able to fight one but can it ever WIN one?

    10. Re:Slightly delusional by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      What miracle, straight up western corporate greed and the government of China treating it's own citizens like disposable assets.

      So western corporations were happy to access a disposable labour market, make goods really cheap and then sell them at grossly inflated prices with the double benefit of crippling labour markets and gutting the middle class to maximise profits for the 1% and fuck everyone else.

      The autocratic leaders of the government of China who own a piece of the action were content to enrich themselves upon the backs of what they consider the totally disposable Chinese people ie everyone but the politically connected.

      Since when is psychopathic greed a miracle, seriously WTF?

      Of course looking at what going on, some countries are saying if you have primary resources and we want them you must provide them or pay a penalty, considering Iraq et al, this penalty includes war. So global extortion for primary resources, no wander a nuclear arms race has kicked off.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    11. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For 200+ years China was bullied by western powers

      This is true. And then China proved itself to be the equal bully of Victorian era European powers.

      Errr... isn't "Victorian era" about 1-200 years ago? It's like you're both talking about the same time period but giving completely opposite accounts of what happened.

      What is this, Rashomon?

    12. Re:Slightly delusional by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      And they've got the political will too, no shortage of angsty and nihilistic spiky-haired teenagers.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    13. Re:Slightly delusional by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      no. because since WWII, japan has worked hard to avoid war. If they get into a war, it will be with China. USA WILL Protect them. It will be a quick nuke exchange.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    14. Re:Slightly delusional by gorzek · · Score: 1

      There will only be a nuke exchange if one or both parties are completely suicidal. China is run by humans, same as the US. They do not want to die.

      The more likely scenario is a proxy war on the Korean peninsula, triggered by the North. China will get heavily involved just to end it quickly and stop a flood of refugees into their territory.

    15. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why does The USA have a National Guard?

      So the American Army has someone it can beat!

    16. Re:Slightly delusional by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China is run by humans, same as the US. They do not want to die.

      Ah, but corporations (who are people now, apparently) can't die, and they are the "people" who are running the US (not sure about China though)

      At least that's what /. tells me

    17. Re:Slightly delusional by gorzek · · Score: 1

      Corporations are made up of people, and unless and until we have AIs running them, we still need people to oversee and direct them--people who'd rather not be dead, because they like making money, thank you very much. :)

    18. Re:Slightly delusional by galanom · · Score: 1

      Russia and China have signed multiple military pacts of mutual support.
      Even without nuclear arsenal, Japan has no chances. PLA is immense on human power.
      It would not be wise for the US to intervene. They would NOT risk a total war with two nuclear powers for a single ally,
      and I believe China and the US have many common (trade) interests, both unwilling to sacrifice for Japan.

  18. It's not about mining quotas, but export quotas. by Corporate+T00l · · Score: 5, Informative

    If China were simply limiting the amount of rare earths permitted to be dug out of the ground, there would be no WTO issue. The problem is that this is an export cap which has the potential to create different pricing for rare-earths between domestic and foreign purchasers of these materials.

    Now if you look at mentions of today's prices of rare earths (by googling for "rare earth prices"), as yet, there is no such disparity. The linked WTO article also doesn't directly talk about price disparities between domestic and foreign purchasers. It turns out that global demand for rare earths went down quite a bit last year, and as a result, only about 60% of the export quota was used up (according to this FT article).

    The concern is that as the global economy recovers, if demand is seen to exceed the quota, then a huge price difference between what domestic companies and foreign companies pay will emerge. This would amount to a kind of state subsidy (making prices for domestic producers artificially cheap) and would violate WTO rules.

    The two metrics to watch to determine whether or not the claim of environmental protection vs. economic protectionism would be:

    (1) Domestic rare earth production volume (e.g. in tons) - If slope of this curve continues unchanged, then there really is no environmental effect. If the slope flattens out, then it could be argued that the quota did slow down the pace of mining and did have an environmental consequence

    (2) Domestic (China buyer) vs. Foreign (non-China Buyer) price (e.g. difference $/ton) - If this disparity is big, then there's a stronger case that there is some kind of domestic subsidy occurring, if the disparity is small, then the case that there is a subsidy is weaker.

    This is not really a matter of sovereignty since China is a willing party to the WTO and has volunteered to play by those rules.

  19. awww... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    whatsa matta, can't buy your Pious Prius?

  20. Distorted POV by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China practising a monopoly of its own natural resources? Says who?

    Others have mentioned that China has the right to decide what to do with this natural resources. My point is that these resources are REAL, MATERIAL, PHYSICAL and have nothing to do with stupid things created out of thin air with the sole purpose of market domination. Some aspiring monopolists are only worth of contempt.

    Yes, I'm talking about software patents and the rest of this stuff. Having resources such as rare earth metals can certainly earn you wealth and the respect of the markets. Having a "patent portfolio" full of crap, such as double-clicking an icon or making a gesture on a touch screen, and employing an army of patent troll lawyers to squeeze money of innovating and hard-working people should earn you nothing, period.

    1. Re:Distorted POV by liquiddark · · Score: 1

      Congratulations, you've won the most irrelevant troll award for this thread!

  21. Re:Globalist whining -ignored unless they agree by Vinegar+Joe · · Score: 0

    Or how Obama, Bush, Cheney and Rumsfield will never face international war tribunals for authorizing the same tortures that we executed Japanese commanders for proscribing:
    http://www.cbsnews.com/2100-250_162-3554687.html

    Fixed that for you.

    --
    "The average reporter we talk to is 27 years old......They literally know nothing." - Ben Rhodes
  22. Schadenfreude by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is very sweet seeing a bully being bullied! USA and friends have been subsidizing their producers, imposing quotas and all kind of similar things for decades. So they are now taking some of their own poison. Nice to see!

  23. only about the env. when it's your backyard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The ONLY reason why rare earth minerals are dominated by China is because no other country is willing sacrifice the environment to extract these minerals. From my vantage point, China has every right to restrict this trade to protect its environment.

    1. Re:only about the env. when it's your backyard by Daniel+Phillips · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The ONLY reason why rare earth minerals are dominated by China is because no other country is willing sacrifice the environment to extract these minerals.

      Wrong, it is because China's ore deposits are more highly concentrated than any other, by a very wide margin.

      From my vantage point, China has every right to restrict this trade to protect its environment.

      I don't know about your argument (which seems wildly far fetched to me) but do know that subsidizing domestic industry with favorable pricing of raw materials is, in general, not allowed by the WTO.

      --
      Have you got your LWN subscription yet?
  24. And this is a... by Dan+East · · Score: 2

    ...good thing! The mines that were shut down will eventually come back on line when it is profitable to do so again. In the meantime:
    1) Rare earth materials can be purchased cheaper because China was undercutting everyone (even if they were used for manufacturing within china, the goods were still being sold abroad).
    2) Less pollution generated in my home country (USA) because that mining was put on hold.
    3) Non-Chinese resources are preserved and will last longer while China burns through theirs.

    What we're seeing is an eventuality. Eventually China is going to wise up and realize they are going through a very valuable resource at an unsustainable rate.

    --
    Better known as 318230.
  25. Crushing irony by mykos · · Score: 0

    I don't know if the United States has any room to complain when another country throws its weight around to achieve desired effects on international trade. Those who live by the sword...

  26. Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I don't know why everyone cowtows to China's economic might.

    US economy alone is far bigger than China. US, EU, and JP combined is many times larger, not to mention the rest of the world, which is rather significant increase again (think South America, Canada, India, Russia, SE Asia, Australia).

    And yet they act like this, they undervalue their currency, have rampant intellectual property infringment, etc. which US and other countries seem to ignore for some fear of upsetting China.

    1. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is economy, and then there is economy. An economy based on manufacturing is still the king. And economy based on "Intellectual Property"? Not so much.

      Nevertheless you do have a point.

    2. Re:Why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those previously mentioned countries combined manufacturing of course far surpasses China alone.

      USA, Germany, Japan, Russia, these are all large manufacturing economies. USA's manufacturing sector alone is still larger than China's, I believe.

      If you export a lot of the products you manufacture, that's great, but the importing company has to buy it with something, right? And exporter does not just stand alone.

      USA's intellectual property in science and technology is vast, and much coveted by China. Defense, computing, silicon chip manufacturing, are obvious examples in fast growing markets where the USA is on the forefront and is the one pushing the limits.

  27. Make China the bogeyman by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It all boils down to election posturing

    Obama accuses China of not selling the rare earth "at fair price" while in California there is a large rare earth mine still remain closed

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
    1. Re:Make China the bogeyman by Anthony+Mouse · · Score: 4, Insightful

      in California there is a large rare earth mine still remain closed

      Check again.

    2. Re:Make China the bogeyman by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Sorry, taco, but you have ZERO clue of what you are talking about this. Not only is california pass re-opened, but molycorp is working hard to bring back magnet manufacturing. They just bought a canadian company to grab some of the market that China stole by dumping on the market and then once they owned it, restricting exports ILLEGALLY.

      This is not about posturing. In fact, I am guessing that it was EU and Japan that dragged us into this. Though I am also guessing that more will pop up. In particular, I suspect that we will see some unified action against China.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re:Make China the bogeyman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So.. what exactly was ILLEGAL about the restrictions?

    4. Re:Make China the bogeyman by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      The whole concept of WTO is that you have a FREE AND FAIR MARKET place. When China signed up with WTO, they were required to make certain that all goods, INCLUDING RESOURCES, are available to ALL. This is more true since China used illegal means to acquire their monopoly. Considering that China claims that they are doing this for the environment, yet, they have actually INCREASED mining of it, it is a certainty that WTO is going to say that China MUST allow it on the open market.

      China has a long history of cheating at everything that they do. This is almost certainly a shot over the bow. My guess is that CHina will not release the goods, so the west will use this as a means to putting up massive tariffs against Chinese goods.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:Make China the bogeyman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      haha I had to laugh when you said WTO and the words Fair Market...

    6. Re:Make China the bogeyman by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      The problem is, the US cannot survive today for very long at all without imports from China. We put ourselves into this box and basically everyone knew it was a box. Today, we can decide anything we want but the pipeline from China must remain open or there will be massive shortages of all sorts of goods.

      So what happens when there is no low-price pet food on the store shelves? Do low-income people just decide to let their pets starve? Or do they start calling their Congresscritters with the message that "something needs to be done right away?" How about something silly like mops. Yes, there are US companies making devices for mopping floors, but most of the ones at WalMart are made in China and few people are actively shopping for mops at high-end stores.

      Then there is the problem of commercial supplies. Grainger, which supplies almost everyone, would just run out of mops and the suggestion from the school's custodial department to buy some mops from Macy's is going to get a good laugh.

      Sadly, even if we recognize the problem as a real problem and decided to rebuild the manufacturing base in the US, it will not stop the riots. Do you think your elected representative will tolerate being voted out of office because of some pets starving or a lack of mops in WalMart? Nope. The pipeline will remain open until there is a suitable replacement - and economically there is no suitable replacement as long as the pipeline is open. We got ourselves into this box and we are pretty much destined to remain here.

      China? They can do whatever the heck they want. The WTO is an utterly toothless organization that cannot back up any of their "decisions" in any manner - other than to suggest the US commit economic (and civil) suicide.

    7. Re:Make China the bogeyman by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      The WTO actually allows and even ENCOURAGES tariffs once you have more than 10% trade imbalance. By putting on tariffs on Chinese goods, then it encourages companies to change their habits. Ideally, we do this at the same time that we drop taxes on local manufacturing to 0%, with it increasing 5% a year to 25%. IOW, give a 5 year discount,

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  28. Re:It's not about mining quotas, but export quotas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know, I've got something niggling in the back of my mind ..... Yes, that's it, Helium! The Hindenburg was lost because the Germans had to use Hydrogen because they weren't able to buy enough Helium from that country that had a monopoly on it. Now what country had that monopoly.....

  29. Re:Globalist whining -ignored unless they agree by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

    You claim Obama authorized waterboarding. Care to supply a citation?

    Very recently President Obama said waterboarding is wrong, is torture and he was glad that practice was ended. Read here where President Obama banned waterboarding in January 2009.

  30. Re:You don't get it do you? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    your comment is a bizarre combination of fenqing jingoism and ignorant american 'viewing china as a mystery' viewpoint. who's pushing china around? they just need to play fair. yeah it was bullying china when we gave them a permanent un security council seat despite doing fuck-all in WWII. honestly it just shows what you're thinking...sort of like a demon-hunting preacher who, surprise, finds demons everywhere.

  31. You're joking, right? by Brannon · · Score: 1

    If the US/EU/Japan shut down trade with China, who do you think that hurts the most?

    1. Re:You're joking, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      China.

      USA, Canda, EU, and so on has a lot of resources. China have low cost labour and cheap corrupt officials that tolerate pollution. There are nothing in China we do need as far as I know. Robotics can do most of the same cheap work.

      But China knows this. They are working hard to build up their access to resources in messed up third world countries they can control.

    2. Re:You're joking, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering that china has a trade deficit because they are importing more than they are exporting, and the majority of it is raw materials that they can not get at home, it will hurt china the most because all they can do is stop being the worlds slave market and force the multinationals to build up the slaves in burma or some other tinpot country that we can exploit.

      China desperatly needs the rest of the world to buy its stuff otherwise they will have a very hard landing involving social unrest and some form of economic recession/depression as the majority of their stuff they make for export markets still and without strong export markets there will be a growing level of closed factories and people loosing their jobs like happened at the start of the GFC, the rest of the world it would seem is desperatly tired of buying chinese stuff, and frankly probably is starting the feel the need to save resources and pay down debts instead of buying a new piece of junk that will give you lead poisoning and be useless before the week is out.

  32. Bah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1. China does not have a rare earth monopoly. There are vast resources on other continents, it's just not as cost effective to mine and process, (currently).

    2. If China bans exports, it simply creates a market opportunity for those rare earth resources in other countries,

    3, creating jobs, developing the resources into a going concern, and

    4. profit

    Let the Chinese go right ahead and shoot themselves in the foot!!
    The market might decide that there's too much sovereign risk in relying on Chinese suppliers, and switch to fairer, more reliable western suppliers.

    1. Re:Bah by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      Add to it the fact that there hasn't been any thorough mapping of locations where they can be found so they can literally be under your doorstep at home.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
  33. Re:It's not about mining quotas, but export quotas by khallow · · Score: 1

    The US wouldn't have been able to buy enough either. There's a difference between a monopoly supply and simply not having enough helium for the job.

  34. Re:aww the Americans need China to change its diap by Dr+Damage+I · · Score: 1

    Because if the people who do produce them voluntarily seek membership of the WTO, you don't have to.

    --
    "Cursed is he who rises early in the morning..." Isiah 5:11
  35. Re:aww the Americans need China to change its diap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...you don't have to

    You also don't have to grow a pair.

  36. Simple Solution by cbass377 · · Score: 1

    China bans rare earth exports, US places a high tariff on Chinese imports except rare earth metals. As a very large importer of Chinese goods, this problem won't take very long to resolve.

    1. Re:Simple Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Quiet you communist! The US is the citadel for capitalism, the frontier for free market, and the redoubt for Randean ideals. It will not stand for taxing the rich business owners and corporations who do all that importing. They're the JOB CREATORS!

  37. a level playing field is a fantasy by DABANSHEE · · Score: 1

    it doesn't exist in the real world

    1. Re:a level playing field is a fantasy by jd · · Score: 1

      So what? Pi doesn't exist in the real world, but if you want to draw a circle then you do your best to work with it and not draw a square. The real world is immaterial, for the most part.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  38. USA by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I have heard that there are plenty of rare earths in the US, only the extraction of which is very dirty in the pollute the heck out of your environment kind of way, and that the US is more than happy to buy their stock from China and let them poison their own country. (and of course the environmental concerns would raise the costs to make the US option not feasible)

  39. Rare vs paper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "China's rare earth monopoly has resulted in a shortage as China blocks their export and the rest of the world resumes their operations. Now, in a first-ever joint filing from three members of the World Trade Organization, Japan, the EU and the U.S. are not sitting idly by as China repeatedly ignores the WTO's orders to export rare earth metals and raw materials at a fair price to other countries."

    They are not idiots and they probably don't want paper (called dollars - trees growing everywhere) for export rare metals.

    "China claims the embargoes are in place to protect its environment, while Obama denounces China as being unfair and not playing by the rules of the WTO."

    Obama and corporations - please stop cry.

  40. china fair trade embargo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A monopoly in rare earth elements is no worse than a monopoly in the knowledge of patents and copyrights.

    Global trade is for SENMACE, everyone else suffers because of it.