$1.5 Billion: the Cost of Cutting London-Tokyo Latency By 60ms
MrSeb writes "Starting this summer, and thanks to the continuing withdrawal of Arctic sea ice, a convoy of ice breakers and specially-adapted polar ice-rated cable laying ships will begin to lay the first ever trans-Arctic Ocean submarine fiber optic cables. Two of these cables, called Artic Fibre and Arctic Link, will cross the Northwest Passage, which runs through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. A third cable, the Russian Optical Trans-Arctic Submarine Cable System (ROTACS), will skirt the north coast of Scandinavia and Russia. All three cables will connect the United Kingdom to Japan, with a smattering of branches that will provide high-speed internet access to a handful of Arctic Circle communities. The completed cables are estimated to cost between $600 million and $1.5 billion each. As it stands, it takes roughly 230 milliseconds for a packet to go from London to Tokyo; the new cables will reduce this by 30% to 170ms. The latency drop will mainly benefit algorithmic stock market traders, but other areas like education, telemedicine, and POTS will also enjoy the speed-up. Perhaps more importantly, almost every cable that lands in Asia goes through a choke point in the Middle East or the Luzon Strait between the Philippine and South China seas. If a ship were to drag an anchor across the wrong patch of seabed, billions of people could wake up to find themselves either completely disconnected from the internet or surfing with dial-up-like speeds. The three new cables will all come down from the north of Japan, through the relatively-empty Bering Sea. In addition, the Arctic Ocean, where each of the cables will run for more than 5,000 miles, is one of the least-trafficked parts of the world. That said, the cables will still have to be laid hundreds of meters below the surface to avoid the tails of roving icebergs."
Next, on Discovery's Deadliest Cabling Job...
I used to get high on life, but I developed a tolerance. Now I need something stronger.
* Note: May have abnormally large undocumented input latency.
Oh awesome, now I can play on japanese quake servers!
Quake 3 on a 230ms connection would be awful. 170 might at least be playable.
If it means I can watch anime better, then it's worth it. Girls in maid uniforms operating giant robots rule!
Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
...fire up the neutrino cannons!
Investing in shares for time spans of months is of general benefit to the economy, directing investment dollars to those best able to use them. Millisecond trading is of no benefit to anyone except millisecond traders, and any money they make is at the expense of people trying to do something productive. I propose that stock markets shift to a 'clock pulse' trading model: Trade bids for (e.g.) Apple are accumulated for (e.g.) 5 seconds and then all sales are resolved without regard for the order in which the bids arrived. This will cause no problems to real investors, but will rid us of the millisecond leaches.
However, I am not experienced with the share market, so constructive criticism is welcome.
Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
"The latency drop will mainly benefit algorithmic stock market traders"
In other words, these cables will help machines ruin the global economy.
A part of me is kind-of glad they're speeding this up. We all know the system is destined to break, so the sooner that happens, the sooner people will wake the fuck up and demand change.
-Billco, Fnarg.com
Surface of the water or of the seabed?
I'd say you wouldn't need more than a few meters below the seabed.
On the other hand, since the depth of the ocean may vary considerably, what sense does it even make to say they're burying it hundreds of meters below the surface of the water?
That's like specifying underground land line depth in feet below the mesosphere.
I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
Making repairs is a going to be major undertaking.
Looking at the map, latency could be reduced further by routing via the North Pole. Of course that makes the troubles with laying and repairing the cables even worse.
Why not just leave the latencies alone? It's not like one gets cumulative latencies - the 230ms is constant in time.
I guess the Bering Sea will be the crosspoint b/w the Siberia-Alaska railline that the Russkies want to build, and this cable that runs from the Arctic to the South. Probably run it along the Kamchatka peninsula coastline, then across to Sakhalin, Japan, then on to Taiwan, Philippines and along the S China Sea to Singapore on one end, and on the other, from Philippines, run it along to Papua New Guinea and then Australia and New Zealand. From Singapore, they could run a line to India, and get enhanced bandwith in that country.
If you want to cut latency, communicate through the Earth with neutrinos. If we could just get the bit rate up some (from the current 0.1 bps), you could communicate to anywhere on Earth with a one way time of 40 milliseconds.
The higher estimate of $1.5 billion is contingent on using Monster Cables.
- For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat
The entire circumference of the globe is about 24000 miles, which takes light 128ms (in a vacuum). The article's claim that the current time to send a packet from London to Tokyo is 230ms therefore seems doubtful. In this time, light can go 42840 miles in a vacuum -- or nearly twice around the the entire distance around the world (24091 miles). Light in a fiber is about 35% slower, but this still leaves time for 37177 miles.
if you actually go to ROTAKS site at http://www.polarnetproject.ru/project.html , you'll see that in addition to Arctic cable they are also building a ground network with 77ms from London to Tokyo. Oh wait, the traffic will go through the evil Soviet Russia...
Because internet traffic isn't converted or delayed while it goes around the world.
Yeah, but the packets have to be routed, and that takes time, too.
Sig: I stole this sig.
Parasitic trading is tolerated not desired. It diverts profit from investors into traders, reducing the number of investors in a market by reducing the profits they can make and thus reducing the capital available to companies. Fewer companies go to the stock market to obtain capital as a result.
So yeh, you basically understood it correctly, however it has little to do with 'share' trading, rather derivatives.
The derivatives market far outweighs the shares market these days. These are pure bets stuff like: "derivative X pays out k(Z-W) for each cent asset Z rises above (K+U+Y)/3.... ladies and gentlemen place your bets I will spin the wheel". It's a bookies pure bet.
Unlike a proper bookies, Wallstreet pays out more money that it receives, so banks around the world place bets on these derivatives in order to make money. The banks and Wallstreet can afford to buy cables, it's pocket change since the underlying asset may only be a shopping mall worth $50 million, but the derivatives derived from that can be worth billions since it's a virtual asset with no real value beyond the fact it pays out a profit.
In a good year (when they take more money than they pay out) Wallstreet awards themselves big fat bonus's, in a bad year, the Fed extends them more credit against smaller assets. So overall, because they pay out more than they take in, their borrowing leverage increases. Today it's something like 30:1 or more.
The Fed says 'the loans were good we got all the money back', but that's a lie. They print money against 'Linden dollars', Wallstreet buys assets that pay out enough to cover the interest with that cash, Wallstreet borrows against those new assets, and pays back the money borrowed against the 'Linden dollars'. The Fed says 'hey look we got all our 'Linden loans' back', Wallstreet gets to own a real asset, everyone holding dollars has been silently robbed by inflation.
But hey - faster internet! /rant
There are so many internet applications where low latency is a win. VOIP, remote systems management, two-way graphical applications that for various reasons are location sensitive (there's more of these types of apps then you realize - think proprietary software that would be either illegal or economically dangerous to physically locate outside of NA or the Eurozone, including geophysical analysis software for mining/oil exploration, among other things)...
There are lots of scientific applications where latency is critical.
But oh, that would be difficult to discuss. Much easier to relate everything to a vilify-able application.
Come on, for once, talk about the benefits of a mega infrastructure project.
Oh, right... Slashdot. My bad. That's just not what we do here.
You also have to account for the queueing delay at the routers, which are store-and-forward devices. That said, I really have no clue whether 230ms is a realistic number.
Score: i, Imaginary
You forgot amplifier latency and modem latency. Also packet acknowledgment.
No matter what they do to fix this, no matter what they do to reduce the latency I NEVER win any radio call-in shows. You would think this would help me be caller #25 but it never works. It's always busy or I just don't make that number :(
Uk, many severs (US base), water, loops around natural and unnatural problems, Japan (US base), many severs.
Even if the UK and Japan side offer real dedicated vs best effort, you still have to move around both regions before you hit pure new optical.
Peering, telco deals can all send your packets for small or long loops before they get to fancy new projects.
Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
If it travels through USA, it seems reasonable:
$ ping visitfinland.ru
PING visitfinland.ru (109.70.163.2): 56 data bytes
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=0 ttl=55 time=199.910 ms
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=1 ttl=55 time=198.688 ms
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=2 ttl=55 time=203.657 ms
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=3 ttl=55 time=202.524 ms
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=4 ttl=55 time=202.258 ms
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=5 ttl=55 time=201.571 ms
64 bytes from 109.70.163.2: icmp_seq=6 ttl=55 time=200.485 ms
^C
--- visitfinland.ru ping statistics ---
7 packets transmitted, 7 packets received, 0.0% packet loss
round-trip min/avg/max/stddev = 198.688/201.299/203.657/1.579 ms
Those pings were sent from California.
I really have no clue whether 230ms is a realistic number.
I currently get a 431ms Japan <> UK ping on a pretty mediocre Japanese ADSL line in the country side.
So, yes, that's realistic.
Bitten Apples are still better than dirty Windows...
Light doesn't flow cleanly through fiber, it bounces around *a lot*. There is also the delay of routing, and as you mentioned, the lower speed of light in glass.
Latency is to-and-from. Also, the path isn't direct. The sea floor is first mapped, and the route is planned to avoid natural obstacles. An example would be New York to L.A. is 2443 miles, but driving distance (according to Google Maps) is 2790 miles, a 13% difference. Ocean floors have mountain ranges, cliffs, tectonic features etc... that all need to be avoided.
The cable being layed is generally a one-size-fits-all design once it's in deep water, what with it being hundreds of miles long. It's cheaper to map and avoid obstacles, then design a cable that can cope.
I mean I'm all for cutting network latency, but do we have to give it to banks so they will destroy our lives?
"billions of people could wake up" well that's certainly a reason NOT to do this.
Never say never. Ah!! I did it again!
fibre optic repeaters (amplifiers) had huge latencies (relatively speaking.)
You must live in a vacuum if you've never pinged overseas and gotten a result longer than 2*distance/c. Also amazing is that you're not able to imagine why going through *at least* a half a dozen routers and many repeaters would slow the signal down.
See this.
The only ones willing to pay a premium for the low latency are the HFT folks. I dont think, the masses who use VOIP, choose their ISP based on the ping time to UK (most go for the obvious bandwidth). I agree, it is a win for a lot of people, but it is paid for (atleast the initial costs) by High Frequency Traders.
I really have no clue whether 230ms is a realistic number.
I currently get a 431ms Japan <> UK ping on a pretty mediocre Japanese ADSL line in the country side.
So, yes, that's realistic.
I imagine the route goes via the highly-congested south-east asia area, or possibly even via the U.S.
London to Tokyo is about 6,000 miles via Sibera. Via undersea cables through the red sea it's nearer 12,000 miles. Via the states it's also about 12,000 miles.
I haven't got any private lines to Tokyo, but my line to Singapore runs about 220ms IIRC.
One could repair them with a modified old sovjet era submarine.
Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
These pings were sent from the east coast of Canada...
cloud@cloud00:~$ ping visitfinland.ru
PING visitfinland.ru (109.70.163.2) 56(84) bytes of data.
64 bytes from ip2-163.seclan.com (109.70.163.2): icmp_req=1 ttl=56 time=133 ms
64 bytes from ip2-163.seclan.com (109.70.163.2): icmp_req=2 ttl=56 time=135 ms
64 bytes from ip2-163.seclan.com (109.70.163.2): icmp_req=3 ttl=56 time=135 ms
64 bytes from ip2-163.seclan.com (109.70.163.2): icmp_req=4 ttl=56 time=133 ms
64 bytes from ip2-163.seclan.com (109.70.163.2): icmp_req=5 ttl=56 time=134 ms
64 bytes from ip2-163.seclan.com (109.70.163.2): icmp_req=6 ttl=56 time=133 ms
Not much in the way of amplifier latency. They are all-optical.
and distance between tokyo and london (short) is just 5900 miles.
(but of course the cable doesn't go direct.. just saying that circumference of the globe isn't that useful to use in that)
world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
I am slightly confused. Unless you want to do arbitrage between London Stock Exchange & Tokyo Stock Exchange, why not host your algorithmic trading servers at Tokyo? I think these days stock exchanges themselves offer hosting for lower ping times...
Anyway, lower latency is always good, I don't really care if it's going to be used for HFT or not.
--Coder
with a head office in the UK, I think this is awesome.
Currently the packets between Oz and the UK either go through central Asia, where there is massive packet loss, or they go the long way round - across the Pacific, across the USA and then across the Atlantic.
The new route will probably shave 40ms off the ping time from Oz to the UK as well as be pretty reliable - and also not subject to US data monitoring.
"Free software as in beer, copy protection as in racket" - Telsa Gwynne
Any latency gain from a shorter cable will be dwarfed by the random caffeine deficiency induced latencies of the traders.
Surely swapping in a stronger brand of coffee would be vastly cheaper!
Good video here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m6qTk5WNq9E
Tele-medicine.
Or, more to the point: Tele-surgery.
Help! I'm a slashdot refugee.
There is also the good side that this will bring serious bandwidth to places where dialup over satellite is currently the way to get a bit of Internet. Scarcely populated places in northern Canada and Alaska will appreciate the chances of a bit more bandwidth!
The Virtual Bookcase: book reviews
But how do you pull up a cable from the ocean floor when it has all kinds of other cables crossing it?
Repeat after me: We are all individuals
Neal Stephenson's essay Mother Earth Mother Board
Isn't this the plot to Cryptonomicon? Epiphyte(2) Corp., anyone?
Using neutrinos is positively slow compared to quantum entanglement communication. This would eliminate latency completely and allow the masters of the universe to do their trades even faster than OPERA thought their neutrinos were going..
What does the speed of light in a vacuum have to do with the speed of light in fiber optic media? How about the latency added by routers (and buffering)? Think McFly!
Unfortunately fibers don't run in straight lines from place to place and there are processing/routing overheads too. Even so based on my own test it seems the authors of TFA are making the newbie mistake of confusing one way latency with round trip time (round trip time ~= 2x one way latency).
Tracing route to www.jp [210.157.1.134]
over a maximum of 30 hops:
1 1 ms 1 ms 1 ms gw-umain.ee.umist.ac.uk [130.88.118.250]
2 1 ms 1 ms 1 ms gw-rh.its.manchester.ac.uk [130.88.250.14]
3 12 ms 1 ms 1 ms gw-uom-rh.its.manchester.ac.uk [130.88.250.78]
4 1 ms 1 ms 1 ms gw-man-rh.netnw.net.uk [194.66.26.105]
5 10 ms 1 ms 1 ms so-1-2-0.leed-sbr1.ja.net [146.97.42.169]
6 2 ms 2 ms 2 ms ae12.manc-sbr1.ja.net [146.97.33.157]
7 2 ms 2 ms 2 ms ae1.man11.ip4.tinet.net [77.67.94.169]
8 168 ms 168 ms 175 ms xe-4-1-0.sjc12.ip4.tinet.net [89.149.186.205]
9 159 ms 159 ms 159 ms pacnet-gw.ip4.tinet.net [77.67.68.234]
10 277 ms 277 ms 277 ms gi1-0-0.cr2.nrt1.asianetcom.net [202.147.0.58]
11 270 ms 270 ms 270 ms ge-2-1-0-0.gw3.nrt5.asianetcom.net [202.147.0.182]
12 279 ms 279 ms 279 ms GMO-0003.gw3.nrt5.asianetcom.net [203.192.150.246]
13 274 ms 271 ms 271 ms c7-e-1-1.interq.or.jp [210.172.191.122]
14 272 ms 273 ms 271 ms g-svc3-po-1.interq.or.jp [210.172.191.134]
15 269 ms 269 ms 271 ms dfltweb1.onamae.com [210.157.1.134]
Trace complete.
So were are talking 270 milliseconds to get from my desktop at uni to a machine somewhere in japan AND BACK. Based on that the articles 230ms "current best case" figure is belivable as a round trip time but not as a one way latency.
note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
I find that this article is even better
http://books.google.com/books?id=ICoDAAAAMBAJ&lpg=PP1&pg=PA22#v=onepage&q&f=false
"eliminate latency completely"
"allow the masters of the universe to do their trades even faster"
Now I'm not sure if it's a bad thing or a good thing that quantum entanglement can't be used for communication...
The latencies while downloading hentai and tentacle porn are crippling.
Every time I read a story like this I always pause for thought: imagine how difficult it must be to lay a cable under water, what industries produce the cables and the ships... hire & train the workers. The vast sums of money involved and the fact that doing these minor engineering miracles is both necessary and profitable...
We are living in the future already. Flying cars are so 1950.
The main Tokyo Stock exchange has closed at 1500 - in the UK, it's 6AM and the London Stock Exchange hasn't even opened yet.
The reason that millisecond traders are so interested in low-latency cables is because they can buy shares/bonds/whatever that are simultaneously traded on two or more exchanges. If they have the fastest connection to a foreign trading floor they can take advantage of the times when the prices go slightly out of sync, taking a position in the market that benefits them.
If there is no overlap between market opening hours in different countries, the high-speed traders really don't care about the cable. Of course, the cable will be enormously useful for normal people - but it's incorrect to assume that brokerages will pay big bucks to use it.
People talk about this as a potential killer app, but the simple fact remains that doing telesurgery with round trip communication times of a few hundred milliseconds is simply a non-starter. Surgeons work on hand-eye coordination and, to a lesser extent, tactile feedback. Introduce a quarter-second delay into that control loop and you either 1) royally screw up your position/velocity/force control or 2) maintain control, but at glacial speeds. In either case, it is doubtful that you would have surgical outcomes that are so much better that they justify the enormous infrastructure cost.
Although demonstrations are done here and there of transnational or trans-Atlantic telesurgery, there are a host of good reasons why it hasn't been anything other than a novelty. Reducing latency from hundreds of milliseconds to... still hundreds of milliseconds isn't going to be the breakthrough that makes telesurgery a win.
very carefully.
I was in South Africa in 2010 when one of their main cables got cut by a ship. It sucked. Internet got SLOOOOOWWWW
The savings would be awesome. 60ms on billions of billions of packets - well worth the 1.5B
it is...this guy doesnt know what he is talking about.
I think the idea is that (evilvoice) GLOBALLLL WARRRRMING (/evilvoice) will make it easier to get in there to fix things. But if the melting up there was really caused by the PDO, then they're going to be unpleasantly surprised.
On the other hand, it also means a lot less ship traffic that can drag anchors into the cable.
#naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
Using neutrinos is positively slow compared to quantum entanglement communication. This would eliminate latency completely and allow the masters of the universe to do their trades even faster than OPERA thought their neutrinos were going..
Yeah, but it has the advantage of actually being possible.
I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
Using neutrinos is positively slow compared to quantum entanglement communication. This would eliminate latency completely and allow the masters of the universe to do their trades even faster than OPERA thought their neutrinos were going..
Yeah, but it has the advantage of actually being possible.
Also I didn't know He-Man was a stock trader.
I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
They exist between the buyer and the seller, if the real investors aren't there, the HF guys aren't there to snatch the profit from the spread. By reducing the investors in the market they are also reducing the liquidity in the long term.
Hence they outgrew the equities market and moved onto derivatives and CDS's and Linden Dollars style Casino operations.
The problem here, is that they can borrow money above the rate that real businesses can borrow money. When I buy a house, I get to lend 80% of its value, the bank holds the asset, I can only borrow less than the actual value.
Suppose I could buy a house, and the mortgage would be 30x the value of the house secured against the house, and at a deeply discounted interest rate? I could then buy some nice, dividend paying equities to cover the interest, a government bond or two and with the money left over, buy a few houses and rent them out, perhaps a yacht, a nice sports car. Hell if the Fed will lend against garbage, I can create some garbage and borrow against that as an asset.
Those fake assets would quickly disappear without the Fed there to print money to back them up.
"Wallstreet pays out more money THAT it receives"
More THAN
More THAN
More THAN
More THAN
More THAN
More THAN
Laying cables across an ocean reminds me of the days when battlefield communications meant pulling wires to a battlefield. It's hard to fathom in this day and age that it would still be more efficient to use undersea cables stretching across an ocean than to use e.g. satellite relays. So much for our high-tech society.
That lends credence to the time is money theory.
I happen to live in one of those 'Isolated' communities which has to suffer from expensive, slow, and restrictive Internet. If this actually comes to pass, we will finally be joining the Real Internet. Paying $200-400 a month for 2 Mbps, 20 GB cap, $2/GB above cap, and blocked traffic for 18 hrs per day, this new service will seem like a miracle. I can't wait, plus we will not be vulnerable to satellite outages, like we have several months ago, which killed not only Internet, but all long distance, all cell phones, entire North Warning system, all PALS. No aircraft could fly during this outage. A fiber optic line would provide the backup that the satellite providers will never do.
Something must be wrong if forces driving global economy depend on a 60ms ping difference.