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Lance Armstrong and the Science of Drug Testing

Hugh Pickens writes "As the media reports that seven-time Tour de France champion Lance Armstrong says he will no longer fight doping charges from the US Anti-Doping Agency, which will strip him of his titles and ban him from competitive cycling for life, Tracee Hamilton writes that the Lance Armstrong vs. USADA fight is a tough one in which to take a side, because to believe USADA means suspending belief in the science of drug testing. 'If you take personalities out of the equation, you're left with pee in a cup and blood in a syringe,' writes Hamilton. 'Armstrong never failed a drug test. He was tested in competition, out of competition. He was tested at the Olympics, at the Tour de France, at dozens if not hundreds of other events. And he never failed a test.' Instead Travis Tygart, chief executive officer of the USADA, gathered a group of people who swear they saw Armstrong doping. 'If the results can be discarded in favor of testimony, then let's go right to the testimony phase and quit horsing around with blood and urine.' There has been no trial, no due process, but in the minds of many, that testimony outweighs the results of hundreds of drug tests. 'I don't know if Armstrong did the things he's accused of doing, and neither do you,' concludes Hamilton adding that it can't work both ways. 'Either a drug test is the standard, or it isn't.'"

36 of 482 comments (clear)

  1. drugs by kiep · · Score: 5, Insightful

    are awesome

    1. Re:drugs by fustakrakich · · Score: 1, Insightful

      By the same standards we judged OBL, Lance Armstrong is guilty as a motherfucker. He should be grateful he doesn't receive a visit from the navy SEALS.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    2. Re:drugs by DaHat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Interesting that your outrage is with the partying in the street... and not with a President who now has more power than any leader in the history of the world... to simply decide (on his own) that an individual is a threat to the security of the US... and order their death... either with SEALS or the more common use of a drone strike... even when the target in question is an American citizen.

      Be upset if you want... but make sure you point your shame or anger in the right direction.

    3. Re:drugs by funwithBSD · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Except... OBL took credit for the deaths on 9/11.

      He did not just admit it, but made videos just short of "PWND JOO!" and teabagging the corpse ilk and rubbed it in our face.

      He declared war on the US, and however crazy that sounds, it did make him a combatant, not a criminal.

      --
      Never answer an anonymous letter. - Yogi Berra
    4. Re:drugs by Surt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That completely explains why he never denied it after that video was released, even though he made other subsequent statements via arabic news outlets.

      --
      "Who is the Journal of Quantum Physics going to believe?" --Stephen Hawking
  2. Drug test the final standard? by XanC · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't think anyone has ever believed that passing a drug test mean the person was clean for sure. Why do they store samples for X number of years in order to re-test them in the future, with better technology? It's because if it's found out later that somebody was doping, then his results are invalid.

    If we find out some other way besides a drug test that somebody was doping, then his results are invalid.

    1. Re:Drug test the final standard? by idontgno · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So, for a sufficiently large value of "X", X liars can trump science?

      I hope this standard never propagates into criminal law.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    2. Re:Drug test the final standard? by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The tests were good enough to catch many many many other cyclists. Including the greatest cyclist ever, Edy Merckx back in the 60s.

      Even if you follow their testimony to conclude he cheated...so did literally everybody else. The vast numbers of actual drug test fails speak to that clearly.

      So in the end, he was perhaps better at hiding the cheating, but he was still massively better at actual cycling than any other cyclist at the time who was also very likely cheating as well.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    3. Re:Drug test the final standard? by cpu6502 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      >>> If we had video of Armstrong shooting up some kind of drug, or some kind of personal statement to that effect on tape or on paper, I think we'd all agree that trumped the test, wouldn't we?

      No.
      He could be shooting a legal drug that's not banned. And a personal statement does not mean much. To add to my other post (below) I once had a security manager swear he saw me stealing. Turns-out he saw me handing brown packages to the postman. The security dope assumed I was stealing from the company (because that's what it looked like), but in reality the packages had been removed from my house, placed in my car, driven to work, and handed to the postman at 10am.

      They had PS2 games inside them. Completely innocent of any crime but the manager's statement was "I saw him stealing packages from work". LIKEWISE just because a video or person claims to see Mr. Armstrong shooting-up does not prove a crime. We have no idea what he is shooting up. It could just be cancer medicine or insulin or sugar water (all legal per the rules).

      Presume innocence until you can PROVE guilt. A video or statement does not prove anything.

      --
      My AC stalker: " I personally agree with your posts most of the time, but that won't keep me from modding you troll"
    4. Re:Drug test the final standard? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Whether that shows that he's just weary of being persecuted or he realised he can't win, or whether it's a tacit admission of guilt, will probably be debated for years to come.

      Or maybe going what he went through to fight cancer has made him realize that life is too short to worry about the USADA's shit.

    5. Re:Drug test the final standard? by DarkOx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I am sorry organization like the USADA and the NCAA are total unmitigated BS for this reason. What you are basically saying is that the USADA had not in 10 years come up with any evidence better than hear say and questionably reliable testimony, and they get to find him guilty unless he decides to go on playing their games as long they wish to do so. Its totally contrary to our basic concept of the presumption of innocence which I really does not apply to such agencies. Still this is in many ways more like a criminal proceeding than other civil matters and I for one think the presumption of innocence is pretty fundamental to justice in general.

      I don't see why they should be allowed to conduct a 10 year persecution, not prosecution, of someone and when that someone finally gets tired of it declare victory. I don't see why they should then be allowed to rewrite history either. The USADA does not want to recognize him as a winner, fine but don't ask me to recognize or respect the judgement of the USADA. Lace IS A WINNER no matter what they want print in their damned books.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    6. Re:Drug test the final standard? by TemperedAlchemist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Lance is (or was) doping. Every top athlete is doping. Bolt, Phelps; they're dopers too (and I don't mean marijuana). That's just what it takes to be at that level unless you're a genetic freak.

      Good genes and a great training/diet program can only take someone so far. There's a limit to how far the body can go before it starts to break down. Overuse injuries like tendinosis or rhabdomyolysis can and will occur if someone works too hard. And that's just what it takes to achieve that level of near superhuman ability: by working too hard. Forget anabolic steroids, that's rookie stuff. We're talking about chemicals that improve the body's ability to bounce back and keeps it from grinding to a halt from overuse.

      And detection? Forget about it. There are more ways to hide doping than there are ways to discover it, and there is a lot of money being put into hiding it -- far more than is being put into detection. You'll be able to catch the guys that can't afford to hide it, but not the guys that really dish out the cash.

      As far as Lance is concerned, don't strip his titles because some people have said he's been doping. That's hearsay bullshit, and not how justice works. Either get the proof -- REAL evidence -- or shut up and go back to whatever hole you climbed out of. The laughable part about them is that he actually went through 500 drug tests and came back clean. If you know someone is doping and able to hide it what do you think they're going to do once you start jamming drug tests down their throat? You think they're going to keep on with their same regimen? It's like having the police search a pothead's house a few hundred times and hoping this time they got careless. Come on, someone needs to get a thinking cap.

    7. Re:Drug test the final standard? by c++0xFF · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So in the end, he was perhaps better at hiding the cheating, but he was still massively better at actual cycling than any other cyclist at the time who was also very likely cheating as well.

      This.

      If Lance is lying and has been doping his whole career, I don't think that diminishes much from his accomplishments.

      On the other hand, if he's telling the truth, it shows just how incredible he really was.

    8. Re:Drug test the final standard? by msauve · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because he has admitted to taking banned substances, both steroids and EPO, as part of his cancer treatment (to mitigate the effects of chemotherapy). That use was within the rules.

      He can hardly say he's never taken banned substances when he's already admitted that he has.

      You seem to be the type who assumes guilt because someone pleads the 5th Amendment. It's up to the accuser to prove guilt, not up to the accused to prove innocence.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    9. Re:Drug test the final standard? by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Anyone else ever been in a situation where you knew you were right, had the evidence mostly on your side, and give up?

      Yup. I've been in that situation many times myself, as have most other married men.

      There's more to winning than being right and being able to prove it. You still have to live with everyone else afterwards.

      In this case, Lance decided that dragging this fight on wasn't worth it for him going forward -- that could be because he was guilty, it could be because he'd rather do something else with his life and the stigma of doping doesn't weigh as heavily on his life as having to constantly fight these people and be in the negative limelight. Or, more likely, he was doping with something that isn't yet illegal, but would be as soon as they found out what he was doing. Under this argument, there are probably lots of others using similar techniques who are still considered "clean", and he'd be taking one for the team.

      But any of these arguments are possible. Condemning him because he doesn't behave the same way as you is a slippery slope to fascism.

    10. Re:Drug test the final standard? by ackthpt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      >>> If we had video of Armstrong shooting up some kind of drug, or some kind of personal statement to that effect on tape or on paper, I think we'd all agree that trumped the test, wouldn't we?

      No.
      He could be shooting a legal drug that's not banned. And a personal statement does not mean much. To add to my other post (below) I once had a security manager swear he saw me stealing. Turns-out he saw me handing brown packages to the postman. The security dope assumed I was stealing from the company (because that's what it looked like), but in reality the packages had been removed from my house, placed in my car, driven to work, and handed to the postman at 10am.

      They had PS2 games inside them. Completely innocent of any crime but the manager's statement was "I saw him stealing packages from work". LIKEWISE just because a video or person claims to see Mr. Armstrong shooting-up does not prove a crime. We have no idea what he is shooting up. It could just be cancer medicine or insulin or sugar water (all legal per the rules).

      Presume innocence until you can PROVE guilt. A video or statement does not prove anything.

      In competition riders could be pulled for testing before or after a stage. Pretty hard to give yourself EPO while riding and all the cameras on you, it has to be injected, not taken as food, drink or from a patch. If tested before a stage a tested rider cannot return to his hotel or disappear into a team bus, but must go to the starting area. Out in the open it's pretty darn har to hide needles, bags of transfusion blood, etc.

      It's a pretty weak whack the USADA is taking at Armstrong and I'm quite surprised he's not going into their den and ripping up the accusations in the faces of his accusers. But USADA having his wins, income, medal, etc, all yanked for all competitions from 1998 on based upon the word of people, but no hard evidence is something I expected Lance could have overturned in court ... probably in a couple more years. Which makes much of this "tired of fighting, not going to fight anymore" understandable.

      As pointed out in various sources, every time he gets one accuser discredited another one pops up in a never ending game of whack-a-mole. He's chosing to ignore USADA, which is probably the only defence he saw at some point. His attorneys served a letter to USADA stating he doesn't accept their findings. Wait to see what the UCI has to say.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    11. Re:Drug test the final standard? by michael_cain · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's hearsay bullshit, and not how justice works.

      Let's be precise. "A says 'I saw Lance shooting up,'" is eyewitness testimony and is admissible. "A says 'B told me that he saw Lance shooting up,'" is hearsay and is not admissible. In a court of law, the prosecutor would probably decline to go with only the eyewitness testimony, unless it included enough to show that said injection was of banned drugs. It seems telling to me that several governments have conducted investigations and none have filed charges. Not that Lance is clean, but that there's insufficient evidence to file criminal charges. The USADA is a civil rather than criminal matter at best, and has a much lower evidenciary standard.

    12. Re:Drug test the final standard? by Chas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Lance won and kept winning even against younger, superior talent. Something isn't right there.

      Ah. Bullshit ageism rears its ugly head.

      Younger means fuck-all.

      And if they didn't win (and he wasn't doping) they were NOT "superior".

      You have a guy who's been a professional athlete all his life. Isn't it safe to assume that, though some quirky confluence of genetics and training regimen that he simply might be even fractionally better suited for a certain type of activity than the next random person in the sport? Even at an advanced age, meaning he had more experience in some of these races and was, thus, more familiar with the courses, granting him an edge?

      At his age, response time, peripheral vision and quickness just arent what they were 15-20 years ago.

      That'd probably mean something...for a boxer...or an MMA fighter, etc. Lance was a CYCLIST.

      Response time isn't the biggest determinant here.
      Flat out quickness isn't either.

      Staying power and control over one's cycle and body are. And even someone his age, who's been training most of his adult life, should have that in spades.

      Also, his age isn't so advanced that reduction in peripheral vision should be a problem. He's only about to turn 41.

      Plus when you throw in the towel, it means you don't care or the allegations are correct. I doubt that he doesn't care.

      Thing is. You take enough ass-chewing, sooner or later, all they're getting is scar tissue. Which is damn low on nerve endings. He's been fighting allegations for what? 17 YEARS? Is he supposed to just go on and on and on with this until he falls over dead in an arbitration room and the other side declares victory?

      Sorry, but there are more important things in life than wasting it trying to shut up a bunch of abusive, power-hungry jackasses who just won't leave you alone no matter how hard you try to make them do so. Lance pretty much knows this, and he's reached the point where he either has to commit the rest of his life to facing down these assholes on a daily basis or he can just walk away and live his life.

      Anyone else ever been in a situation where you knew you were right, had the evidence mostly on your side, and give up? Yeah, me neither.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
  3. Lies by amiga3D · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The sworn statements of people caught doping is of virtually no value at all. Once caught they'll swear to any thing you want them to. They are allready proven liars so why even bother with them?

  4. Pee in a cup? by Seumas · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For fuck's sake. You're the Washington Post. Can we not talk like we're five years old? Surely there's some other phrase -- if you think super hard -- than "pee in a cup" that a professional journalist for a big-time publication can use?

  5. Witch hunt? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    From what I've read, this has all the hallmarks of a witch hunt from a bunch of out-of-control bureaucrats. I can't blame Armstrong for giving up. He's been through the grinder.

  6. Politics, pure and simple is why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Ever since Lance won race after race, instead of just considering the victories a success and moving on, the TdF has turned into an international pissing contest, where agencies keep stepping up to challenge Lance Armstrong again and again, they leave empty handed, and another agency steps up to continue it. This verges on just plain malicious persecution. In civil law, this would be vexatious litigation pure and simple.

    So, I guess because these "agencies" which have as little to do with the TdF as a high school coach does with the Superbowl can wear someone down until they get tired of it and surrender.

    Oh well, the TdF has lost any real relevance in bicycling because a victory by anybody who isn't French can be taken away by volleys of lawsuits and challenges which have nothing to do with hammering up the Alps.

  7. Time for a car anology by avandesande · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Suppose after you have been to the bar you are pulled over and pass a breathalyser test and the cop sends you on your way. A week later one of your friends gets busted for dui and testifies that you drank too much the previous week causing the loss of your license.

    --
    love is just extroverted narcissism
  8. If we're not for science, what are we for. by Mysticalfruit · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Lance has claimed consistently that he has not doped. Every drug test he's ever taken has come back clean.

    Beyond that the people who are testifying against him, were caught doping and were given the deal of "If rat out Lance, you get 6 months, otherwise it's a lifetime suspension."

    I agree with the last sentiment of the article. If we're just going to ignore the science and go with what people have said, why even drug test.

    I say he's innocent until proven guilty in a court of clear cut science. When one of his many numerous samples finally tests positive for a banned substance, then hang him by his own petard.

    --
    Yes Francis, the world has gone crazy.
    1. Re:If we're not for science, what are we for. by dadioflex · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You've highlighted the chief problem with detecting sporting cheats. Millions of dollars goes into finding cheats. Billions goes into getting around the tests.

    2. Re:If we're not for science, what are we for. by dougmc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Does Occam's Razor really mean nothing these days?

      It never meant anything. It's a *rule of thumb* (especially as it's commonly used), not a rule.

      If you're looking at Occam's Razor for advice on what you should investigate first, then that's a good use of it.

      If you're looking at Occam's Razor to prove that the unlikely/complicated/etc. situation can't be what really happened, you have failed.

  9. Re:He never failed a drug test? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    99 tour de france

    That was corticosteroid ass-cream for saddle sores that was cleared with TDF before he used it then he tested "positive" for using the cream. Yeah, wow, shocker!

    01 tour de suiss

    He said, he said, he said? Need some evidence except "whisperings"

    USADA is claiming Lance's blood looked to have EPO/blood transfusions in 2009 & 2010

    And the evidence is where?? Oh yes, secret, to be revealed. I'll wait for evidence before I would start accusing someone of anything.

    Right now this all looks like that JFK assassination conspiracy theory with a grassy knoll and the military industrial complex. Just because someone keeps repeating it, does not make it true.

    If UCI and TDF look at the USADA evidence and deem it credible, that would be one thing. But for now, it is USADA vs. UCI. USADA has no jurisdiction to strip him of anything related to TDF. Not without evidence and hand waving jailhouse snitches ain't it.

    Frankly, whom are the so called accusers? The dopers like Landis. Reminds me of witch trials.

    Anyway, some people like Brunei (Lance's former team coach?) will attempt to go through the "process" and so USADA will need to provide some proof. But if this process is where circumstantial testimony is enough, then sorry, it is stacked.

  10. Evidence of taking drugs must be the standard by Simon+Brooke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem with drugging in sport is that the teams with the most money hire the pharmacists and doctors (like Fuentes and Ferrari) who develop cutting edge drug regimes which are beyond the current limits of drug testing. Drug testing inevitably develops behind the science of doping - testing for some new substance can only be initiated once it becomes known that that substance is being used for doping, and inevitably there is a lag time during which a reliable and safe test is developed.

    Consequently the drug tests cannot be the 'gold standard' for evaluating whether or not someone has doped. Witness testimony is what we rely on in far more serious cases, like murder for example, and it seems perfectly reasonable to assert that if enough credible people are prepared to testify on oath that they personally witnessed Armstrong doping, then he was doping, whatever the drug tests say.

    There's circumstantial evidence, too. One thing which had me convinced Armstrong was doping back as early as 2004 were his rages - he was aggressive and prone to anger far outside the normal range of human behaviour. But since then we've seen so many of his team mates and ex-team mates implicated - Tyler Hamilton, Floyd Landis and several others have been convicted, while George Hincapie agreed to give evidence against Armstrong in return for not being prosecuted. It simply isn't credible that everyone on the team was doping except the strongest, fastest man in the team.

    There's some good news in all this. This years leading riders were about 4% down on power output - Lance Armstrong in 2005 was outputting 6.8 watts per kilogram, whereas Bradley Wiggins, this year's winner, was capable of just 6.57. Of course, the fact that power is down - across the whole peloton, not just the leaders - doesn't prove that today's riders are not doping, but clearly something has changed, and dope is one thing that may have changed.

    Of course you can argue, and some people have, that if you can't reliably test for dope then the sensible thing to do is to allow all athletes to take whatever drugs they want, because if they're all doping then that's fair. But many of these drugs are dangerous - there were a rash of deaths from heart attacks of very young cyclists in Holland and Belgium in the early 2000s associated with apparent use of EPO, for example - and many athletes are young and under great pressure to succeed. We do have to clean up cycling (and other sports, too, of course, but I'm no expert on other sports) or else we will see a lot more kids with great potential killed to no purpose. I believe that we are succeeding.

    --
    I'm old enough to remember when discussions on Slashdot were well informed.
  11. Removing his titles might be pointless by Milharis · · Score: 3, Insightful

    On television tonight, they showed a picture about the 2000 Tour de France (IIRC) with the first ten cyclists.
    All of them (if we count Armstong) had been tested positive to one thing or another, so the title would go to the eleventh guy. He's not positive because he probably hasn't been tested as much.
    Add to that that if I were to take the same drugs they did, I'd still not be able to compete with them (without doping) by a huge margin.

    So regardless of whether he took drugs or not, he still arguably was the best at that time.

  12. Re:Why does this matter? by rickb928 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    'Blood doping', that is, transfusing stored blood during a multi-day race such as leTour, is indeed cheating. It is usually packed cells, and is intended to boost hemoglobin and therefore oxygen carrying capacity. It overcomes your physiology, training, exertion, and recovery characteristics.

    Armstrong is reputed to be an exceptional physical specimem. with extraordinary capacity for work. This is what bicyclists train for, to both be able to do the maximum amount of work without injury and with good recovery, to be able to do so on a regular basis, and to recover consistently so they can, in the case of leTour, do it for almost a month.

    Over exertion results in damage from lactic acid, which takes more time to recover from than the mere exertion of racing. One of the reasons you will see a rider win a stage, and the next day fall to the back. And Amrstrong is reputed to be able to do more, more consistently, than virtually all other riders.

    So other riders, not just because they are competing with Armstrong but also others, will try and gain an advantage in work output and recovery, as those are key to winning leTour. Among the strategies currently in vogue are doping to improve blood characteristics, testosterone enhancements to promote muscle growth and performance, and respiratory enhancements to improve oxygen intake.

    I quit racing in the 70s due to my asthma. I would be fighting a constant battle with the testers if I ever got to the level of competition where that was an issue, and i had aspirations to do so. A middle-of-the-pack rider warned me I would be in trouble, and having been diagnosed as an adult would make it worse. today, up to 80% of the riders in UCI events have doctors' notes diagnosign them as asthmatics, and they skirt the dosage limits for Albuterol among other things with a keen eye. Pathetic to think that successful bicycle racers are predisposed to be asthmatics. This sort of manipulation also affects other sports, such as biathalon and other shooting events. Sad, but here we are. ps - I know know I would never have made it in racing, I was young and stupid, but to this day I love climbing a mountain on a bike. The mountain cannot win. It just cannot. If you don't have to rind another 40 miles after, it is just the will to do it.

    Armstrong has been accused virtually all of his career of doping, and at this pojtn all we have are other guilty riders testifying that they saw him do so. Not a few of whom think they could be winners if not for Armstrong. And most of which are coerced into testimony.

    Bicycling is rife with doping, but the USADA has lost all credibility with this pursuit of Armstrong. They can, with the standards they are usign now, disqualify any rider. They don't need results, only questionable accusations and secret results. A sad end to a brilliant career. You would not want your dog treated like this.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  13. I don't know who to believe by BMOC · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1) Assume Lance cheated
    - How wasn't he caught in the act for so long?
    - How can all the technological innovation that went into his cycling be ignored? The wind-tunnel testing, the water-tank-in-frame, the unique bike designs, those all were serious efforts that AFAIK were unique, why spend that effort if you're already doping?
    - How were others not able to cheat as well as he did?
    - How was he not caught cheating in 2009 when he placed 3rd after not racing for 2 years? Wouldn't he be expected to be a total doper taking a standing that high after being retired for so long?
    - How can the fact that he trained for only 1 race each year, the Tour de France, be ignored as explaining his stellar performance? Most other competition would do more racing per year, Lance focused like a laser beam on the Tour de France. How can this not help explain his insane performances?
    - Lance packed his team with certifiably world-class climbers to set pace for him and run strategy on the large parts of big climbs. Other squads did not. Can't this help explain it?

    2) Assume lance did not cheat
    - Why are so many people out to discredit him? How big of an a-hole must Lance be to have this many people willing to take him down by lying?
    - Why not fight these charges to the last?
    - Why wasn't Lance more open in his Tours? The technology existed during his run to simply put Lance on camera 24-hours-a-day for the world to see he wasn't cheating. Why not do this, especially in 2009 when he took 3rd?
    - How was Lance so good at simply laying the hammer down at the ends of big climbing stages? Is he just a freak of nature? Were his teammates really capable of simply relieving all the stress of keeping in the pack long enough for him to go balls out at the end?
    - Why were later tests on his samples so dodgy? What was the motivation in even testing them?

    --
    I swear they give me mod points to shut me up.
    1. Re:I don't know who to believe by quantaman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1) Assume Lance cheated

      - How wasn't he caught in the act for so long?

      Most of the cheaters have been doping for years when they get caught, why should he be different?

      - How can all the technological innovation that went into his cycling be ignored? The wind-tunnel testing, the water-tank-in-frame, the unique bike designs, those all were serious efforts that AFAIK were unique, why spend that effort if you're already doping?

      Who's ignoring it? Doping doesn't give you a free win, not when your top competition is doping too. Besides, I'm guessing a lot of that wasn't as unique as you suspect (though maybe he had the resources to do more).

      - How were others not able to cheat as well as he did?

      He had some combination of better doping resources, better training, and better natural gifts.

      - How was he not caught cheating in 2009 when he placed 3rd after not racing for 2 years? Wouldn't he be expected to be a total doper taking a standing that high after being retired for so long?

      Well they do have some apparent positive tests from '09 (I don't know the details) but doping is still hard to detect.

      - How can the fact that he trained for only 1 race each year, the Tour de France, be ignored as explaining his stellar performance? Most other competition would do more racing per year, Lance focused like a laser beam on the Tour de France. How can this not help explain his insane performances?

      It can explain some.

      - Lance packed his team with certifiably world-class climbers to set pace for him and run strategy on the large parts of big climbs. Other squads did not. Can't this help explain it?

      2) Assume lance did not cheat

      It helps, but there's still a lot of evidence of doping.

      - Why are so many people out to discredit him? How big of an a-hole must Lance be to have this many people willing to take him down by lying?

      Why do you think they're lying? There's a lot of circumstantial evidence surrounding Armstrong, and someone who's gotten that much success while cheating is a tempting target.

      - Why not fight these charges to the last?

      Because he doesn't have a good defence in court so he'll fight the PR battle instead.

      - Why wasn't Lance more open in his Tours? The technology existed during his run to simply put Lance on camera 24-hours-a-day for the world to see he wasn't cheating. Why not do this, especially in 2009 when he took 3rd?

      Privacy, because he was cheating, because it wouldn't prove he wasn't cheating (you can take drugs weeks or months before and still benefit).

      - How was Lance so good at simply laying the hammer down at the ends of big climbing stages? Is he just a freak of nature? Were his teammates really capable of simply relieving all the stress of keeping in the pack long enough for him to go balls out at the end?

      All of the above (plus doping).

      - Why were later tests on his samples so dodgy? What was the motivation in even testing them?

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  14. "Never failed a test" is misleading in this case by dtjohnson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Perhaps Armstrong never did fail a 'drug test' but that does not address what he was doing. The USADA says he was doing blood doping which is basically injecting your own red blood cells back into your body to increase the oxygen carrying capacity of your blood. If you have skilled medical professionals helping you with this, as Armstrong allegedly did, it can be undetectable. The USADA also says Armstrong was using the drug EPO but avoided its detection by using smaller amounts administered intravenously, rather than ingested, so that it did not appear in urine samples. The USADA also says that Armstrong was using testosterone injections. Since testosterone is a naturally-occurring hormone, it is expected to be present in the body. The bottom line is that if you have a sleazy medical team that knows how to beat the tests helping you beat those tests, then to say 'I never failed a test' is...disingenous. Armstrong was busted cold because all of those people helping him were forced to turn against him...and he knew it. That's why he stopped fighting the USADA. If he had not, there would have been hearings and they would have been public and the testimony would have destroyed whatever tiny shred of credibility and respect that Armstrong has remaining to him. Finally, Armstrong DID fail a drug test. According to the USADA website: "Additionally, scientific data showed Mr. Armstrong’s use of blood manipulation including EPO or blood transfusions during Mr. Armstrong’s comeback to cycling in the 2009 Tour de France." By 2009, they had finally figured out what Armstrong was doing and what to test for and they had the deadwood on Armstrong. Armstrong was busted...cold.

  15. Re:"Never failed a test" is misleading in this cas by slimjim8094 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You can absolutely detect blood transfusions. You can notice that the blood cells are different ages by more than the normal amount, and you can see that the density of them (per unit of blood) is way out of whack. If you inject soon enough that that doesn't work, you haven't done yourself any good anyway since you don't produce many new blood cells.

    AFAIK you can't ingest EPO, it has to be injected. And either way, it'd come out the kidneys. There are tests for recombinant (non-natural) EPO, and he's passed them.

    He's down a testicle, and he has approval for testosterone injections to bring him back to baseline.

    This seems like a big hatchet-job against him. I don't care much one way or the other for him, but if they're going to negate years of wins and accomplishment because of the word of some people who've been bribed to testify, with reduced-length bans, then drug testing is a waste of time. Which is the point of the article.

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  16. Sue them for defamation by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Which makes much of this "tired of fighting, not going to fight anymore" understandable.

    Actually that is the one part that I cannot understand. His name is going to be dragged through the mud and, assuming he is innocent, his is going to be wrongfully accused and convicted in the court of public opinion. I can understand that he feels the USADA is being unjust and not giving him a fair "trial" but, if that is the case, sue them for defamation in court. Then he and they will both have to compete by the legal standard and not by their own made-up rules and those testifying will be doing so under threat of perjury not whatever penalty the USADA can deal out.

  17. "Anti-Successfullism" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    This whole thing stinks of an attitude that has been building for years, which is that anyone who is overly successful either cheated or isn't responsible for the success themselves. People who are overly successful have to be torn down somehow so others aren't made to feel like losers.

    It starts in the poor performing schools where individuals that do try to succeed are ridiculed and often physically attacked by their "peers".

    Then we have a President who openly states that people who are successful are not so through the sweat of their own brow, but due to the collective.

    Look at the Chinese Olympic swimmer who was as much accused of cheating when she shattered world records.

    It's all a sickness that is taking over where the losers and takers demonize the winners and makers. Instead of trying to emulate their success, they simply pronounce it illegitimate and try to take the success.

    And the fact is that the Losers and Takers do or soon will outnumber the winners and makers.