Slashdot Mirror


Should a Teenage Entrepreneur Sell Out To Facebook?

colinneagle writes "Andrew Mayhall is 19 years old and is running a server company, called Evtron, whose product has reportedly set the world record for data density (4.6 petabytes per server rack) and has begun attracting attention from investors. One of those interested parties is reportedly Facebook, with whom the young CEO claims to have had casual discussions about a potential acquisition/hire agreement (Facebook did not respond to a request for comment on the talks). He says the opportunity to speak with Facebook was simply one he couldn't pass up, and seems more impassioned by entrepreneurship. He speaks often of building his company into an EMC or NetApp, and could very well compete with them soon. But if an offer from Facebook ever comes, should he accept, or try to build something on his own?"

29 of 358 comments (clear)

  1. Retire at 20 by smprather · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sell for $5mil and be done with earning a living. Relax and enjoy the rest of your life.

    1. Re:Retire at 20 by Baloroth · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's what I'd do. Calculate first to make sure that after taxes what I got was enough to live moderately comfortably for the rest of my life, with some margin for error, then sell for that if I could. Too much risk when building a business to assume it'll work, especially given the size of the players in the field. If you can't sell for enough, well then try to build the company up.

      The fact that he has a server business at 19 says he is pretty motivated, though, which means he probably won't sell. He'll try to build it to get more money or a constant stream, motivated types usually do. Might work out, might not.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    2. Re:Retire at 20 by X0563511 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What planet you living on? Most people don't even make half that through their whole lives.

      --
      For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
    3. Re:Retire at 20 by WilliamGeorge · · Score: 4, Informative

      Assuming you lost nearly half of that to taxes, 2.5 million invested at even a low 2% (in CDs, for example) return is $50k per year. I bet you could do much better than that if you invest wisely, and even if you didn't $50k is enough to live comfortably on if you don't have any debts. There would have been plenty in there to buy a home, nice car(s), etc - at that point simply living off the interest is certainly doable.

      --
      William George
    4. Re:Retire at 20 by jeffmeden · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Especially considering they took VC funding, which certainly came with some sort of strings attached. No way is your investor going to sit on the sideline while Facebook waves a 2x valuation in front of yo; no matter how much you "want" to be the next EMC your VCs will have their say.

    5. Re:Retire at 20 by js33 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What planet you living on? Most people don't even make half that through their whole lives.

      You still have to be very prudent with it if it's going to last you your whole life. Most people who win the lottery and take a lump sum are not prudent with it, and they end up broke in a few years. Just like some of the high-paid sports stars when they enter middle age.

    6. Re:Retire at 20 by cayenne8 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Yeah...we call them stupid.

      Get $5Million clear....invest it in a non-agressive manner, which could still get you like %5 interest annually.

      As long as you don't buy leer jets...you could live easily on about $250K a year pretty readily.....

      I know I could.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    7. Re:Retire at 20 by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why is it sad that you might have to pay for the civilization you enjoy?

    8. Re:Retire at 20 by WhiplashII · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If he started a company in his teens, I doubt he wants to relax the rest of his life...

      He should sell. The reason small companies sell to large companies is to decrease concentration of risk for their owners. He, as an owner of a small company, needs to deconcentrate his risk. He will have another company he wants to work on - he probably already has some ideas. It is far easier to do that after selling your first company, and far harder to do that after missing the only opportunity to sell.

      The simple fact is a cash out event gives you great options for your future work. If you don't sell, there is a high risk that the company will fail before you can personally cash out - this is true of all start-ups.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    9. Re:Retire at 20 by afidel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      $5M at 7% ARR with 3.5% inflation throws off about $185k per year of todays dollars assuming a 70 year drawdown period. If you can't live on $185k per year then you're a rich entitled idiot.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    10. Re:Retire at 20 by afidel · · Score: 3, Informative

      The long term ARR for the NYSE is 8%, the current 10 year average is an abnormality at 6.4% ARR which is close enough to 7% to let the point stand.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    11. Re:Retire at 20 by DriedClexler · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Only a tiny portion goes to the civilization part, the rest goes to the uncivilized political infighting over who gets the free loot.

      --
      Information theory is life. The rest is just the KL divergence.
    12. Re:Retire at 20 by WhiplashII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, I pretty much disagree entirely with that analysis...

      The question is not "sell low" or "sell high" - you do not know the future, so that fact that it went up is not available to you before the decision. The question is are you getting enough that your risk is significantly decreased.

      For example, if your company is generating free cash flows of $2M, you will usually get a valuation of $10M. That is the market rate for a startup that's breaking out. (It can change based on other factors, of course, but that is the starting point.) As a public company, that $2M is worth about $30M. You might look at that difference and claim "unfairness", but it is the price difference between concentrated risk and unconcentrated risk. To put it simply, if that wasn't the price difference in risk then most deals would not be made - either the startup would refuse to sell or the large company would refuse to buy.

      Honestly, if this is your first company you are going to think that any price isn't fair. And when you don't accept the price, you'll be horrified when the company loses its value a little later. And then next time, you'll understand the price difference and you'll sell.

      But the important thing is to keep building companies - I've started quite a few, and there is no job like it!

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  2. No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Don't sell...license.

  3. He should sell out by Ukab+the+Great · · Score: 3, Interesting

    And have plenty of beer money for when he goes to college.

  4. A lot of assumptions there by multicoregeneral · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If one hypothetical things happens, should you do some other hypothetical thing? Sure. Why not.

    --
    This signature intentionally left blank.
  5. Yes but moot point now. by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 3, Informative

    >> if an offer from Facebook ever comes, should he accept?

    Yes, but...

    >> One of those interested parties is reportedly Facebook, with whom the young CEO claims to have had casual discussions about a potential acquisition/hire agreement

    ...I wouldn't count on that now. Yeesh.

  6. Yes. by cpotoso · · Score: 4, Funny

    The answer is yes. There is nothing magical about putting off the shelf items densely packed. Once somebody sees it, it is not hard to reproduce. So, yes, sell.

  7. WTF ?!?!? You're asking us .. by OzPeter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    as to what the best business strategy should be between two 3rd party companies?
     
    You might as well ask what I think your neighbor should give their kids for Christmas. Go ahead .. use that as a Slashdot poll.

    Obviously we have not yet reached the bottom of the Slashdot story barrel.

    --
    I am Slashdot. Are you Slashdot as well?
  8. Re:Sell! by bhlowe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yeah, companies go up and down quickly in tech. If you have an opportunity to get your technology into the hands of pros who will pay you big money.. its a no brainer.. With cash in the bank, you'll be able to start a new business, relax about meeting payroll, and take time off to finish college or travel abroad.

  9. Slashdot and good advice... by jeffmeden · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Let's say this is the best case scenario, that you actually figured out something in your garage, with little to no experience in other high density storage applications, that EMC, NetApp, and the other major players simply couldn't come up with despite having hundreds (thousands?) of very talented engineers. If you manage to get a patent on it (you don't have one yet... interesting) then just license the rights nonexclusively. But then again, hopefully you have at least one lawyer around to give you the same advice.

    Worst case scenario, is you just "invented" something that is already patented (this is highly likely) and your visibility just isn't high enough to have the hellhounds attack yet. In this case, again, a lawyer is your friend.

  10. Sell, because you haven't done anything yet. by mveloso · · Score: 4, Informative

    Building cool hardware is great. Selling cool hardware is totally different.

    If someone wants to buy you at a point before you sell, do it. The summary says you'll compete with EMC or NetApp. You won't. You're able to do what you're doing because you have time to think about the product. Someone else in the field can look at what you're doing and figure it out quickly. Someone like the people at backblaze.

    Can you offer 24x7 support? How is your manageability and maintenance? Recovery? How are you going to make the thing? Those are basic questions. Are you going to sell direct or via channels? blah blah blah.

    OTOH, if you get eaten by facebook you get to help them design and build their systems, which is great if that's what you want to do. The thing is, your story is what's getting you the PR, not your product. Leverage off that PR as much as you can, since it's all you've got right now.

  11. Re:Is Facebook starting to lose ground? by Doomstalk · · Score: 3, Funny

    Facebook owns Instagram, so it seems unlikely.

  12. Re:Is Facebook starting to lose ground? by Andy+Prough · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Facebook owns Instagram, so it seems unlikely.

    Oh, I didn't know that. That's why I come here, to be told what an idiot I am. Very useful info.

  13. Perspective on licensing by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 5, Interesting

    >> Don't sell...license.

    OK, some perspective from the "buyer" side. When I encounter a company with technology I want, I almost always attempt to LICENSE the technology, not buy the company. Why? Because I can usually get what I want out of the company cheaper and with less hassle than if I bought the company. (Think retaining/motivating employees, etc. too.) Plus, if I become a significant stream of revenue to that company, I can often dictate what the company does with the majority of its development resources if I'm needy enough; in effect, I can get that companies' other customers subsidize my desires.

  14. Re:Is Facebook starting to lose ground? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    That's why I come here, to be told what an idiot I am.

    You should talk with your daughter more often.

  15. Re:Take the money and run - not retire, though. by cayenne8 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    That's too young to retire. For one he doesn't seem like the guy who wold sit back. He'll be in tech somehow until he dies.

    I dunno...if he's smart, he'll realize that if he gets fiscally set up for life, where he no longer has to worry about spending any time the rest of his life 'earning a living'.....he can devote all his time to doing what he likes.

    If that includes future tech creation and motivation, what better way to do that full time, than to NOT have to waste time earning a living...?

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  16. Sell, but for different reasons by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 3, Informative

    He should consider selling but for different reasons than others have suggested.

    1. I work for what was once a very successful start up that a Fortune 500 company acquired, so I am an employee of the Fortune 500 company. I was not hired by the start up until near the time that the acquisition happened, so I was not around in the early days. However, one of the things I saw from the early employees was this supreme arrogance that the company was successful only because they were all geniuses and that everything they did afterward could not possibly end in failure. I know that a few of the founders, all of whom left after the company was sold, have tried to start new businesses and none of them have yet taken off. One or two of them might, but the jury is out. My point is that it's actually hard to build a successful business, but everyone who does it fails to recognize that they beat the odds and they become convinced that they simply cannot ever fail. There are a few guys who really can turn every business they start into a success, but most can't repeat the success.
    2. It's really hard to compete with bigger, older companies. Mayhall may truly have the best product, but he may be limited in sales because some clients may prefer to go with bigger, more established companies just in case. The start up I briefly worked for was sold because the owners had basically grown the business as far as they could on their own and they needed a larger partner with more and (truth be told) better sales people if it was going to grow. After the buyout of our company, our sales went through the roof and we grew at a rate we could never have achieved on our own.
    3. The insight he had to offer more density may be patented (I don't know), but someone else will eventually come up with the same idea even if they never see his patent. They might make it just different enough to get their own patent on it. Or they may simply willingly infringe it, gambling that they can win a court battle or that Mayhall won't have the money to stick it out in a protracted fight.
    4. There are companies that didn't sell when they could have and they lost market share over things they couldn't see happening when they were at the top. There's always a risk.
    5. Mayhall may well have the arrogance that youth has (ie. Zuckerberg) that everybody older than him is an idiot and only young people have any idea what they are doing and he can beat his competition because they are old and stupid. That may actually end up being true, but it probably isn't going to. He could always prove incompetent as the head of a larger company and make a lot of bad decisions. Jim Balsillie was king of the world for a while and now he's just the guy who ran RIM into the ground. Jim wasn't as young as Mayhall, but he certainly had the same "I simply cannot fail" attitude.

  17. You have two options. Both involve selling. by Revotron · · Score: 3, Insightful

    http://evtron.com/

    Based on what I see on their website and how much I've heard about the company (Answer: Nothing and nothing) an offer from Facebook would be a miracle.

    I have a feeling this high-density storage idea is just a creative way to stick as many drives in a rack as possible, which means someone will easily beat it in no time because, face it, advances by the big storage companies means drives are getting more and more dense every day. Also, it won't be long before someone else comes along with an even-more-efficient arrangement of hard disks in a custom-built chassis in a 48U rack.

    If Facebook wants to buy what's on your drawing board, go for it. You have two viable options at this point:

    1. Sell for as much as you possibly can. Get every penny out of it that they're willing to give. Then take that money, hire people smarter than you, and make something even better than what you sold Facebook.

    Or,

    2. Negotiate a payoff for your idea, and employment. Go work for Facebook and help them bring your dream to life. You'll still get money for your idea but you'll make it come alive through their bankroll. They'll hire on very bright people and bring in storage experts to tweak things. I know it might suck to watch them come in and change your pet project, but watch and learn. You'll learn from these people, see flaws you never took into account, get to know them, work with them, and (forgive the schmoozing business term) network with them. If you choose this option you'll have a few good things going for you:

    a. A job. You didn't finish high school - if you don't start another business, there's sadly not much else you can do.
    b. Solid work experience for a Silicon Valley company. This will pay off in the long run.
    c. Relationships with people in the industry. It's invaluable.
    c. Knowledge. You'll learn things you don't yet know about the storage industry and the tech behind it.

    These are second-degree hypotheticals though. If you're talking about it publicly that means you haven't signed an NDA, which means they haven't made you an offer yet. Don't count your chickens before they hatch, but always look a few steps ahead.