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Fukushima Ocean Radiation Won't Quit

mdsolar writes with an update on how the oceans around Fukishima are doing. From the article: " The Fukushima disaster caused by far the largest discharge of radioactivity into the ocean ever seen. A new model presented by scientists from Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts estimates that 16.2 petabecquerels (1015 becquerels) of radioactive caesium leaked from the plant — roughly the same amount that went into the atmosphere. Most of that radioactivity dispersed across the Pacific Ocean, where it became diluted to extremely low levels. But in the region of the ocean near the plant, levels of caesium-137 have remained fixed at around 1,000 becquerels, a relatively high level compared to the natural background. Similarly, levels of radioactive caesium in bottom-dwelling fish remain pretty much unchanged more than 18 months after the accident." The article suggests run-off from contaminated land and possibly a leak in the plant itself are to blame for the levels not dropping as expected.

46 of 210 comments (clear)

  1. mdsolar writes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    mdsolar writes

    Stopped reading right there. It's the Slashdot equivalent of "An article on Fox news..."

    1. Re:mdsolar writes by rmstar · · Score: 5, Informative

      Stopped reading right there. It's the Slashdot equivalent of "An article on Fox news..."

      You are being ridiculous. The article in question was published in nature, which is about as reputable and prestigious as it gets.

    2. Re:mdsolar writes by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      The conversion rate is not constant: that is why it is called half life.
      You start with 1000 particles, after the half life of 30 years is over, you have 500, after another 30 years you habe 250 and after 90 years in total, you have 125.
      (Excuse me for not using powers of two and show all ten steps from 1024)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:mdsolar writes by gnutrino · · Score: 2

      Isn't the half-life the halfway point between one and the other?

      I'm not sure I quite undertand this question; between one and the other what? If you mean between one element (in this case Cs-137) and the one it decays into (in this case Ba-137) then no, that's a complete misundertandng of what a half-life is (more on what a half-life is below).

      And a legitimate question: is the conversion rate constant?

      No it isn't, the conversion rate (as measured by the activity of a sample) is proportional to the number of radioactive atoms that are present (because the more atoms you have the greter the chance that one of them will decay in a given time period), so as a sample decays away the rate at which it decays reduces. The net result of all this is that both the number of atoms of the radioactive isotope and the activity follow an exponential decay. This means that the time it takes for half of a sample to decay does not actually depend on the number of atoms present, so it will be contant over time. We call this the half-life of the isotope and it works roughly like this:

      1. (i) Take a lump of the isotope, count all the atoms of that isotope present (yeah this doesn't actually happen but we can always imagine), then leave the lump to start decaying and come back in 1 half-life's time (in the case of Cs137 this is about 30 years).
      2. (ii) Now count all the atoms of the isotope in the sample, you'll find that it is (probably very nearly) half the number you found in step (i). Leave the sample for another half-life.
      3. (iii) Now that we've come back a whole 60 years from when we started we count atoms again and find (probably very nearly) half of the atoms we had in step (ii) one half life ago and a quater of the atoms we started with way back in step (i).
      4. (iv) continue this as much as you like, every half life you wait will halve the number of atoms.
      5. What's more, because activity is proportional to the number of undecayed atoms you have, your sample will have gotten steady less radioactive over time too, in fact for every half life you waited the number of click/s on your gaiger counter (the activity) will have halved (assuming the decay product doesn't itself decay, this will complicate things a bit if you can't tell the difference between "clicks from the decay of the original isotope" and "clicks from the decay of the decay product", if the thing that the decay product decays into itself decays that'll screw things up further and so on and so forth).

      However, all of this is (somewhat) irrelevant because we weren't expecting the decay of the Cs-137 to have decreased the amount we see (although it would, but only about 3.5% of the original if my quick back of the envolope calculation is accurate) but because we would expect the caesium to have dispersed throughout the whole pacific ocean, which would drastically reduce the concentration down to levels that simply aren't worth worrying about. That it hasn't implies that either something is keeping it there (for example it's been taken into the sand on the ocean floor (which doesn't move much)) or (more worrying) it is being dispersed but something is still leaking and replacing the casesium as fast as it's lost into the wide ocean.

  2. I can haz... by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 4, Funny

    Godzilla now?

    --
    Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    1. Re:I can haz... by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 3

      Nah, the Third Angel, I'm guessing.

  3. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by Antipater · · Score: 4, Informative

    A petabequerel is 10^15 bequerels. Someone didn't check when they copy-pasted the paragraph out of the article. Metric doesn't solve negligence.

    --
    Everything is better with chainsaws.
  4. Not unexpected by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

    It is expected to take the better part of this decade to even get at where the leaks are coming from, let alone stop them. The problem isn't going away any time soon.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    1. Re:Not unexpected by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 2

      That's ok, in 10 years from now 80% of the Cs-137 will still remain to find where the leak comes from. Lucky us.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
  5. Re:chernobyl - II by RobertLTux · · Score: 2

    and a counter to that is the US Navy Nuclear program which has not had ANY accidents in its history
    (not counting losing material/ ships getting sunk/ deliberate sabotage).

    Fukushima was more or less EOL right??? (and the designers drank to much saki when setting the tolerances)

    --
    Any person using FTFY or editing my postings agrees to a US$50.00 charge
  6. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 3, Funny

    The petabecquerel is an imaginary thing like orgone energy, homeopathy, human reason and Canada.

    Obligatory: http://images2.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20120326002953/simpsons/images/8/87/Blinky_Art.png

  7. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by Brett+Buck · · Score: 3, Funny

    Canada, tooi? I thought only Belgium was imaginary.

  8. More than the Bikini Atoll tests? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I have a hard time believing the first sentence given all the nuclear weapon testing we've done in the Pacific.

    1. Re:More than the Bikini Atoll tests? by vlm · · Score: 4, Informative

      Short version is that weapons are optimized to use the absolute minimum fissionable material and reactors are optimized for an engineering reasonable heat flux per sq meter.

      The cost of building an ICBM to carry something "just 500 pounds heavier" is enormous. The motivation to make weapons lighter is intense.
      On the other hand PWRs need to keep heat flux low enough to not boil at a sane flow rate, and BWRs REALLY need to stay in nucleate boiling mode. This means a reactor is insanely heavier than a weapon.

      A normal human can pick up a modern weapons physics package. Well you have to be in .mil and lift weights occasionally, not your average people of walmart. But the point is the fun stuff is pretty light. A reactor core is made out of hundreds of modules each of which requires a rather heavy crane to lift individually.

      Another way to put it is if you want to light it off, it needs well under 100 pounds of the fun stuff. But if you want to reliably extract a gigawatt or so for a couple decades, there's some thermodynamic and materials science reasons that ANYTHING that can transfer a GWt over the long term is gonna be tons. Doesn't matter if the heat came from U or Pu or coal, its gonna take tons of metal to reliably transfer that heat into water. Kinda like if you wanna fire, a match isn't all that big, but a GW class coal electrical power plant, which also uses fire, is really heavy.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    2. Re:More than the Bikini Atoll tests? by careysub · · Score: 5, Informative

      The lead-in sentence is certainly incorrect in its current, broad brush form. Immediately after a nuclear explosion the decay of short lived isotopes creates levels of radioactivity astronomically higher than a leaking civilian power plant. But those short lived isotopes rapidly disappear. Eventually you just have long-lived isotopes with half-lives of decades or longer.

      Nuclear power reactors burn-up an astonishing large amount of fuel. The biggest fission yield of any nuclear test was no more than 15 megatons, which is the energy equivalent of 880 gigawatt-days (thermal) of nuclear reactor operation. Fukushima Da-ichi produced 29,891 gigawatt-days of power a year, a number 35 times larger. The amount of long-lived radioactivity (i.e. what you have left after several weeks) in Fukushima far exceeded any nuclear weapon.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    3. Re:More than the Bikini Atoll tests? by Creepy · · Score: 2

      Incorrect - at best, nuclear reactors burn 5% of the Uranium used, and that is best case scenario - average is more .5%. Only fast breeder reactors burn near 100% of their fuel and only a few exist and they are all considered experimental. They also require on-site fuel reprocessing, which brings up proliferation concerns (whether warranted or not).

      The US is now obsessed with building a LMFBR (liquid metal fast breeder reactor) which converts U238 (aka nuclear waste) to fissionable plutonium through a chain of reactions, but it is extremely complex and not all of the engineering issues have been solved, or at least not in the US. Russia has had one running and generating power since 1986 (BN-600) and several smaller test reactors that I don't think are still in use. Russia is building two more larger test reactors at Beloyarsk (BN I assume means Beloyarsk Nuclear). Personally, I'm not terribly thrilled by fast breeders, which seems like a complex, dangerous solution to a problem we solved with the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment and then abandoned thanks to tricky Dick's agenda, but we get what we get.

  9. 1000Bq per WHAT? by tp1024 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Per kg, per cubic meter, per cubic foot?

    If the writer of an article is incapable of determining how to write meaningful data, the article isn't worth anything at all. (S)He's just a parrot of whoever wrote the original and has no understanding of what this is about.

    1. Re:1000Bq per WHAT? by tp1024 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Also, is it even water we're talking about or is it the ocean floor?

      Fuck everything about the "news coverage" of Fukushima.

      There is ZERO information you can gain from such rubbish that those retards keep puking out into the public even if you know what you're talking about. This isn't even propaganda, it's worse, it's just ignorant drivel designed to say something against nuclear power, by people who don't know the least what they are takling about, just what they want to be talking against.

    2. Re:1000Bq per WHAT? by Crispy+Critters · · Score: 2

      The rest of the article refers to contamination levels in Bq/kg, which seems to be the standard unit for this. The level 1000 Bq/kg is not tremendously high, as it is only a few times larger than safe limits for human consumption of cesium-contaminated water (which hopefully are conservative). (And writers who don't know the difference between "rem" and "rem per hour" are even worse.)

  10. Re:chernobyl - II by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Fukushima was more or less EOL right??? (and the designers drank to much saki when setting the tolerances)

    Problem is Fukushima is not untypical of nuclear plants in Japan. It was thought to be fine when designed, based on the available knowledge and understanding at the time. It turns out that the earthquake did a fair bit of critical damage even before the tsunami arrived, and you just can't build a plant capable of surviving beyond a certain amount of lateral force/acceleration.

    And yeah, the Navy didn't have any major accidents, just a few minor ones. The US military as a whole though is a catalogue of fuck-ups. No civilian nuclear programme in the entire world is free of serious accidents.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  11. Re:Petabecquerels by Muad'Dave · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My source says it's more like 5400 Bq:

    "... exposure due to the normal potassium content of the human body, 2.5 g per kg, or 175 grams in a 70 kg adult. This potassium will naturally generate 175 g × 31 Bq/g 5400 Bq of radioactive decays, constantly through the person's adult lifetime."

    1000 Bq is about 67 BED (Banana-Equivalent Dose).

    --
    Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
  12. Re:chernobyl - II by tp1024 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It was thought to be fine exactly until 1972, when the first studies revealed that the BWR Mark I was insufficient in case of a meltdown. That was before reactor #2 was even finished. It was definitely included in the 1975 WASH-1400 report. This report also said that floods and tsunamis are a major danger to a nuclear power plant and must be protected against.

    The Japanese did nothing about either of those points, they didn't train their staff to handle emergency situations in a station blackout. They didn't do anything remotely compatible with European or American standards to ensure availablitity of emergency power. They didn't equip their containments with filtered vents, which have been implemented in Europe since 1988. They didn't equip the containment buildings with hydrogen recombiners - those were only required by law in 2012 in Japan. In Germany (and probably other countries as well) those are required since 1993.

    Tokai and Onagawa were perpared for and hit by the tsunami without major damage. The problem was known, countermeasures were known, non were required by law.

    How do you say "It's your own damn fault!" in Japanese?

  13. Not if you knew about ocean dumping by kriston · · Score: 2

    You might think that the Fukushima disaster "caused by far the largest discharge of radioactivity into the ocean ever seen," but not if you weren't already aware of the over five decades' worth of ocean dumping of atomic waste.

    Honestly.

    --

    Kriston

    1. Re:Not if you knew about ocean dumping by geekoid · · Score: 2

      Since is says 'largest discharge', they are talking single event, not cumulative.

      It still might not be true, but you shoudl be applying 5 decades of dumping.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  14. 1000 becquerel isn't that much by Henriok · · Score: 4, Informative

    1000 bq isn't that much. It might be much compared to the background radiation but to put it in context, recommended values in Sweden after Chernobyl is to not eat meat that radiates more than 1500 bq/kg. This radiation comes from Cesium-137 that mostly rained down over us. And 10 years after we could still kill game (mostly moose) with in excess of 4000 bq/kg. Many residential houses stand on granite that contains radon, and the limits for radiation from radon was 1000 bq/m^2,until 2009 when the EU lowered the limit to 200 bq/m^2. So.. We in Sweden lived with this kind of radiation for quite some time and we don't really consider this a problem. The halflife of Cesium-137 is about 30 years so the radiation is dropping steadily but slowly.

    --

    - Henrik

    - when the Shadows descend -
    1. Re:1000 becquerel isn't that much by ultranova · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1000 bq isn't that much.

      It is if you have an anti-nuclear agenda to push. Which many people do, for whatever reason.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    2. Re:1000 becquerel isn't that much by Grayhand · · Score: 2

      1000 bq isn't that much. It might be much compared to the background radiation but to put it in context, recommended values in Sweden after Chernobyl is to not eat meat that radiates more than 1500 bq/kg. This radiation comes from Cesium-137 that mostly rained down over us. And 10 years after we could still kill game (mostly moose) with in excess of 4000 bq/kg. Many residential houses stand on granite that contains radon, and the limits for radiation from radon was 1000 bq/m^2,until 2009 when the EU lowered the limit to 200 bq/m^2. So.. We in Sweden lived with this kind of radiation for quite some time and we don't really consider this a problem. The halflife of Cesium-137 is about 30 years so the radiation is dropping steadily but slowly.

      Yeah but radon is one of the main sources of lung cancer so it's far from harmless these levels. Some one in a foreign country that eats fish from there a couple of times a year probably wouldn't have much risk but a local eating it three to five times a week could be affected. I'd limit or avoid consumption of sea food from the area until the levels drop which is likely to be decades given the continued leaking and half life involved. This isn't anti nuke it's pro health so why take the risk if you can avoid it? It can't harm that fishery giving it a few decades to rebound.

    3. Re:1000 becquerel isn't that much by Shinobi · · Score: 2

      You forget though, that the values are cumulative, and that alpha particles INSIDE your body can cause quite a bit more damage.

      Also, a bigger problem regarding radon is the fact that a lot of concrete was made from powdered granite. Thus you got concrete that contained radon in buildings. Concrete that was drilled in etc, and released dust containing radon, which got into lungs etc. And claiming that it's not been a big deal in Sweden is a big fucking lie. There's a reason many housing corporations perform radon measurements every 3-5 years, especially in houses built before 1990.

    4. Re:1000 becquerel isn't that much by Pav · · Score: 2

      It would also be nice if the radioactive material was uniformly distributed, which it isn't. As one of the Japanese physicists said (when speaking in a government session) fluid dynamics problems are some of the most difficult in physics. There'll be hot spots forming out there on the sea bed all the time more or less unpredictably.

  15. why? because it's still leaking... by edxwelch · · Score: 4, Informative

    It's no surpise that the sea is radiactive. Since the accedient there have been a series of leaks from the jury-rigged water purification setup:
    December 2011
    45 tons of water heavily contaminated with radioactive strontium escaped, of which 150 liters of water found its way into the ocean through a ditch connected with the beach
    26 March 2012
    80 litres radioactive water seeped into the ocean
    5 April 2012
    12.000 liters water with high levels of radioactive strontium escaped through a nearby sewer-system into the ocean

    On top of that the contaminated water lying in the basements is leaking into the ground water and out to the ocean. TEPCO are building a wall to contain that, but it won't be finished until 2014.

  16. Re:chernobyl - II by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For the Navy, money and personell in not a factor. Maybe that has changed or slowly changing now but the engineering was already done and the operating procedures and safety measures are already in place. I used to be in the Navy as a reactor operator back in the mid 90's on an older sub. There was not much automation and technology in use back then. The only thing that had a microporessor was the reactor protection and alarm system and it was an 8088. All controls, sensors, and gauges were mechanical and/or discrete electronic and electric. All procedures, actions, limits, and methods of operation were in print form in the reactor plant manuals and scaled down copies of those were embedded in your brain through training. It is my understanding that the nuclear training pipeline has got "easier" for folks going through now. Much less demanding and a much higher percentage of people that start actually make it to the end. The Navy now relies less on the operators and more on the supervisors and technology than they did before. Maybe that is good in that it minimizes the human error part of it or maybe that is bad as the human error factor gets shouldered or concentrated onto less people instead of spread across everyone as a collaborative effort. Having an exceptional DEEP understanding of everything coupled with technology and strong supervision would be the most ideal but I guess there aren't enough people that can make it to meet that demand.

  17. Re:Seaweed safe to eat? by vlm · · Score: 2

    LOL the "one week or so" half life of I-131 explains why civil defense and .mil stockpiles only contained at most a month or two's iodine tablets to protect against thyroid cancer.... its just not a credible concern after a couple months.

    Thats the cool thing about nuclear waste... 100% of the arsenic that came out of the smokestack of the coal plant "nearby" my house is still in the lake where the city gets its drinking water... oops. However virtually all the radioactive iodine the nuke plant "nearby" my house has ever made has long since decayed into irrelevance.

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  18. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by Thud457 · · Score: 2

    hey, watch the potty-mouth!

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  19. bullshit by edxwelch · · Score: 2

    The only reason US NAvy appears to have no accidents, is because of lack of transparancy and military secrecy.
    For instance, in 22 May 1978 500 gallons of "hot" radioactive water escaped from the USS Puffer's primary coolant system into a shipyard.
    http://oc.itgo.com/kitsap/nuclear/clymer.htm

  20. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    One of the more difficult bits of the metric system is that it's case-sensitive. While bits and bytes are not SI units, it is customary to differentiate megabytes ("MB") from millibits ("mb").

    Remember also that "K" is short for kelvin, while "k" ("kilo-") is the prefix for one thousand.

  21. Engineering notation vs. scientific notation by DragonWriter · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you have to explain a prefix (here: peta-), don't use it. Since this is Slashdot, the summaries should simply use the ubiquitous "engineering notation:" 1.62E+16 becquerels.

    That's just the common ASCII-friendly version of scientific notation; the equivalent in engineering notation would be 16.2E+15 becquerels, as "engineering notation" differs from "scientific notation" in that while the latter uses the smallest exponent which gives a mantissa >= 1, the former uses the smallest exponent divisible by 3 which gives a mantissa >= 1.

  22. Re:Seaweed safe to eat? by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Informative

    The latter can be prevented, but costs for plants that burn stuff are pretty steep. My father works for a burner-based power plant manufacturer (I've seen them make stuff ranging from burning coal to burning trash to burning the weird ass crap which is about 30% oil and 70% crushed rock), and one of the things he did was handle certification and maintenance of the new plants across EU that had to comply to rigorous norms.

    For example, the main cause of acid rains of the past, SO2 and NOx emissions are currently ZERO on some modern burner plants. Reason for this is extreme degree of burning process control (i.e. they can create burning conditions where certain gasses do not form, instead burning process forms far less harmful gasses such as CO2). Particles nowadays can be handled by filters which also have near-100% efficiency for particles they're responsible for. Basically they get particles out of the exhaust air and store it in a solid form which is then taken away to the appropriate dump.

    This stuff is really expensive though, so only new plants get the appropriate upgrades due to rigorous standards applied to them. Older plants still crap on the environment, same thing as old nuclear plants being far more risky when major disaster occurs then new ones.

  23. Re:chernobyl - II by mrchaotica · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And yet nuclear still manages to be very much environmentally preferable to coal, even after taking such accidents into account!

    --

    "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

  24. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    > It just makes them harder to read for us non-nerds, so I always restore the numbers to normal size when I quote them.

    I for one thank you, sir. You can't possibly imagine how many times I searched for notes at the bottom of the page, at the end of articles and everywhere, thinking those numbers were indexes to footnotes.

  25. Re:chernobyl - II by thygate · · Score: 2

    Sore wa anata jishin no ki no seida (slashdotuh no allowsu kana ?)

  26. Re:Petabecquerels by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

    You don't understand radiation, do you? The problem is not the absolute dose, it is the fact that it accumulates in fish and plants, which you then eat so that it accumulates in your organs.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  27. Re:I thought metric solved these issues by thesupraman · · Score: 4, Informative

    The USSR has dumped over 39PBq in to oceans intentionally .
    The UK has dumped over 35PBq in to the oceans intentionally.
    A total dumping over all countries of 85PBq is known (ignoring of course military dumping, etc)

    So I assume by 'largest' they simply mean as a single event, certainly a lot more than that has been dumped, and there are single sights with more than that also..

    While we are at it..

    Weapons testing released 2,566,087 PBq also, just for reference (a lot of it not that far from Vegas..)
    Chernobyl released 12,060 PBq

    Also for reference, 1kg of coffee, and 1kg of granite also has around 1000 becquerels, the remaining number we are supposed to consider 'relatively high'
    So here is hoping no one has granite kitchen tops, or drinks coffee regularly..

    Yawn.

  28. Re:USS Thresher by edxwelch · · Score: 2

    That fact is disputed in the article I linked to:
    "Admiral Rickover repeatedly asserted that the accident had nothing to do with the reactor plant. But some leading naval authorities believe otherwise including Adm. Ralph K. James, then chief of the navy's Bureau of Ships. James believes that failure of a seawater pipe on board caused a violent stream of pressurized water to hit the nuclear control board initiating a "scram" (emergency shutdown) of the reactor. Because of "inadequate design of the nuclear controls for the plant" power was lost and the Thresher, already on a deep dive, continued down to "collapse depth". Among others who concur with this account is Norman Polmar, author of Death of the Thresher and for ten years U.S. editor of Janes Fighting Ships, the standard reference book on the world's navies."

  29. Re:chernobyl - II by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

    Modern coal plants right now only emmit CO2. And with sequestering as it is planned in the EU, they emmit nothing at all.
    If you life in a country where coal plants emit dangerous poluttants I would suggest you talk to your representative instead of claiming nuclear would be more harmless.
    But if you think it is, talk to your representative and let him exchange the local coal plant by a nuclear one ...

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  30. Re:Seaweed safe to eat? by Luckyo · · Score: 2

    Then you live in a world of your own, the world where engineers do not exist.

    Fact is, engineers plan for disasters. Various disasters, big ones, small ones, medium ones, you name it, they likely have a plan for it on major power plant sites. Fukushima for example was planned to withstand a magnitude 7 earthquake and tsunami of certain height, both huge disasters. Problem was that it got hit by a hundred times stronger earthquake and a tsunami four times higher then their seawall. Other plants in the vicinity of that particular natural disaster that had higher seawalls stood. Most of them are ready to be restarted, if not for sensationalism attached to the Fukushima.

    You see, there's this thing called "probability". For example, you certainly cannot plan for a large comet to hit the planet where the nuclear plant stands. Or you can, but if you do you should consider that damage from comet will far eclipse the potential fallout.

    Same thing happened in Fukushima. Tsunami essentially wiped out all infrastructure in "thousands of square kilometers". It killed 30.000 people. It made hundreds of thousands to millions homeless. Japan, one of the most developed nations in the world and arguably the most prepared to earthquakes and tsunamis still cannot repair the damage tsunami wrecked on the country tears after it happened. Not damage to just the power plant, but the damage that disaster itself that caused, among other things, the Fukushima incident. Damage far away from Fukushima. Because it was a disaster of a century for a country that prides itself on being able to function while existing on the area where earthquakes and tsunamis are a norm.

    Reality is, while there is no way to fully prepare all your local infrastructure for such a tsunami, there are ways to make plants safe in event of them occurring. If someone told you otherwise, know that they are lying to your face. Fukushima for example would have been fine if it had either a higher seawall or electric backup that would be positioned not to be easily flooded in event of tsunami going over the seawall, such as higher parts of reactor building. The problem is costs vs risk assessment. In case of that particular tsunami, the damage from tsunami itself was simply so great that Fukushima is barely a blip on the radar. The reason we're talking about it now is not because it was actually worse then tsunami itself, but because media thrives on certain stories, and while most of us live in parts of the world where tsunamis of that height simply do not occur, many live close enough to a nuclear power plant to be affected by potential fallout.

    Additionally there was the issue of the local East Asian culture, the concept of "saving face" (i.e. not admitting problems) and the fact that with nuclear having serious image issues after Tsernobyl and Three Mile Island (not to mention connection to A-weapons), development and modernization of nuclear power plants has been lagging.

    In the end, the biggest problem with the issue is sensationalism that actually exacerbates the problems by preventing effective solutions from being fielded.

  31. Re:Seaweed safe to eat? by Luckyo · · Score: 2

    Kindly explain how "being able to prepare for accident" and "cleaning up after preparations were meant for something hundred times weaker because of a number of reasons and failed" are related?

    Also, nothing else? Really?

    Are you at all familiar with (from top of my head):

    1. Long term toxicity from specific forms of power generation, such as for example oil shale in Estonia, where current waste deposits of heavily toxic cement*like substance are large enough to be visible from the Moon with NAKED EYE?
    2. Long term toxicity from extraction and transition of oil in Siberia?
    3. Same in Niger delta?

    Just a few examples I can think during this insomniac period. There are countless others.

    Finally, the biggest fish in the barrel, the conclusion that Fukushima in fact showed us how safe modern nuclear power plants can be is a conclusion that many experts in fact reached. Google for it. The explanation in a nutshell is that we understand what happened in Fukushima. It was metered for a quake of 7 magnitudes. It was hit with hundred times more powerful earthquake. Its survived it. It took a tsunami hitting the diesel generators which were idiotically positioned, combined with several other factors of bad design that were long phased out in modern power plants to actually allow for Fukushima to go into partial meltdown.

    Essentially we now know with high degree of certainty based on lessons of Fukushima that modern nuclear power plant would survive a magnitude 9 followed by tsunami of that size with mostly minor issues. The argument "but it's nuclear power so it's the same thing" is equivalent to "well ford's T model wasn't safe enough for a modern highway so no car is". Instead many experts point out that it's a solid warning that we need to phase out those old, first and second generation plants in favor of modern ones.

    Again, this requires putting populistic scaremongering aside and thinking about the subject logically. Something that engineer must be able to do. You may be an engineer, but sheer amount of emotion in your posts shows that you're not thinking like one about this subject. You inject emotion into engineering problem, and if you truly are an engineer, you know exactly where that road leads to.

    Allow me to re-iterate this point: emotional anti-nuclear response is one of the main factors that stopped old first generation plants like Fukushima from getting mid life upgrades. If Fukushima's safety measures were even up to standards of plants built in 80s, as they would have been if they got their mid life upgrades, the partial meltdown would not have occurred. That is a well established and very sad fact that you can draw from reading the IAEA report.