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High Security Animal Disease Lab Faces Uncertain Future

Dupple writes in with a story about the uncertain future of a proposed bio lab in the heart of cattle country. "Plans to build one of the world's most secure laboratories in the heart of rural America have run into difficulties. The National Bio and Agro defense facility (NBAF) would be the first US lab able to research diseases like foot and mouth in large animals. But reviews have raised worries about virus escapes in the middle of cattle country. For over fifty years the United States has carried out research on dangerous animal diseases at Plum Island, just off the coast of New York. However after 9/11 the Department of Homeland Security raised concerns about the suitability of the location and its vulnerability to terrorist attack."

67 of 105 comments (clear)

  1. Safety First by neverwhere9 · · Score: 2

    The scientists owe it to the people there to reduce the risk of an escaped pathogen by as much as they can. Once they do that, there really shouldn't be anything to complain about--it would just be pure, irrational fear from what I can see.

    1. Re:Safety First by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The easiest way to reduce the damage caused by an escaping pathogen is to release it into the wild now. That way if it escapes from the lab later no harm is done.

    2. Re:Safety First by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The scientists owe it to the people there to reduce the risk of an escaped pathogen by as much as they can. Once they do that, there really shouldn't be anything to complain about--it would just be pure, irrational fear from what I can see.

      Arguably, siting the lab in the middle of a giant supply of natural hosts for the pathogens being studied is a massive failure of risk reduction, no matter how many sci-fi airlocks they pencil in...

    3. Re:Safety First by neverwhere9 · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry. Maybe I'm missing something. I mean, I know it wasn't the wisest area for it, but if the pathogens can't be released, or are at very low risk for doing so, what's the danger? I know if something is released it will spread extremely quickly, but if the proper precautions are taken, how would anything be released? Are they less capable of keeping pathogens in than they're claiming?

    4. Re:Safety First by OverlordQ · · Score: 1

      > Arguably, siting the lab in the middle of a giant supply of natural hosts for the pathogens being studied is a massive failure of risk reduction, no matter how many sci-fi airlocks they pencil in...

      You know, except for the fact K-State runs a level 3 lab literally right next door to where they'd build this new level 4 lab. In addition Kansas is home to quite a few underground salt caverns that would mitigate the fear of tornadoes.

      --
      Your hair look like poop, Bob! - Wanker.
    5. Re:Safety First by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You mean like the CDC in Atlanta?

    6. Re:Safety First by Requiem18th · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, if the security is perfect then there is no problem. In the same vein, putting it on an island near NY is completely safe as long as NY doesn't get hit by Tsunami or terrorist/millitary attacks. Yet they are speculating about placing it in the middle of the country precisely because you can't expect things to go alrgiht forever.

      Part of the question then is, what is more likely? Disseases escaping containment procedures or a cataclysmic event devastating NY? Before 9/11 or Sandy (and I'd wager Sandy is the real kicker here) such pondering would seem the stuff of Science Fiction. But considering this AGW problem is here to stay, you can only expect worse storms to come in the future. Relocating the lab to the iddle of the country seems like a better idea right now.

      My question here is, don't you guys have lots and lots of dessertic zones? Just put it there. Or is it packed already with too many secret millitary bases?

      --
      But... the future refused to change.
    7. Re:Safety First by Cassini2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Disease escape is a far more likely failure mode than terrorist attack. Microbes have evolved over millions of years to be easy to spread.

      In terms of terrorist attack, New York is on the eastern seaboard not far from Washington DC. A relatively close radius should contain: half of the US Navy's Atlantic fleet, huge amounts of coast guard assets, thousands of FBI agents, and a pretty massive city police presence. No where else in America is safer.

    8. Re:Safety First by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What they are missing is human error. Happens all the time. One person doesn't follow procedure and BOOM!

    9. Re:Safety First by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Yeah, like around Plumb Island, where Lyme disease was discovered, and there are suspicions of other diseases being released accidentally (but perhaps deliberately). So I'd say that fear of an escaped pathogen wouldn't be irrational.

    10. Re:Safety First by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Go read Lab 257.

    11. Re:Safety First by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      And it's not like they don't have tornadoes in tornado alley.

    12. Re:Safety First by Sulphur · · Score: 3, Funny

      The scientists owe it to the people there to reduce the risk of an escaped pathogen by as much as they can. Once they do that, there really shouldn't be anything to complain about--it would just be pure, irrational fear from what I can see.

      Arguably, siting the lab in the middle of a giant supply of natural hosts for the pathogens being studied is a massive failure of risk reduction, no matter how many sci-fi airlocks they pencil in...

      What if terrorists bring erasers and pencil them out.

    13. Re:Safety First by neverwhere9 · · Score: 1

      Read the Wikipedia page. It sounds interesting. It seems like a lot of people dismissed the book, but then they would, wouldn't they? I don't know if this was a sarcastic comment or not, but I'm actually going to check the book out, so thanks!

    14. Re:Safety First by Cornwallis · · Score: 1

      Exactly. This is the same gubmint that gave you the entire security theater and you're going to trust them?

    15. Re:Safety First by somersault · · Score: 1

      Sounds like somebody is forgetting 9/11.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    16. Re:Safety First by somersault · · Score: 1

      To clarify - the safest place to be is somewhere that nobody gives a shit about. NY is an obvious terrorist target, and the fact that some people consider it the most secure place in the US would be enough reason to attack it. It might be conventionally safe, but right now perhaps someone is planning some method of attack that was so crazy that nobody else has even considered it, as happened with 9/11.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    17. Re:Safety First by dywolf · · Score: 1

      The CDC has a Biohazard Level 4 lab in the middle of downtown Atlanta, one of the biggest sprawlingest metro cities in the country (ATL itself only has ~1mil people population...but the entire metro and all the people that work there comes to around 9m, and thus is why ATL traffic suck so damn bad; ATL is the biggest city without a real, modern, metro system, and it desperately needs one..so glad I moved..but im getting off topic). Point is: its scary as hell to have such a thing in the middle of so many people. Likewise, its scary as hell to ranchers to have some one researching MCD in the middle of prime cow country.

      But in the end its still just an engineering problem. You do what you can, and we're actually pretty good at making these Level 4 labs.

      And if somethng shoudl go wrong, you just set off the nuke in the basement.
      (Oh sure, they deny its there....but we know....we know....)

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    18. Re:Safety First by dywolf · · Score: 1

      CDC in down town Atlanta.
      Level 4 biohazard lab in the middle of 9-10million people.
      Just sayin

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    19. Re:Safety First by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      These are bio-hazard level 3 and level 4 labs. The same procedures that are used to study diseases like Smallpox and Ebola. Know where else in the US facilities like these exist? Boston, Richmond Virginia, San Antonio Texas, Atlanta Georgia, and Fort Detrick Maryland (less than 50 miles from Washington DC). So, investigating highly contagious, highly lethal diseases in major population centers is ok, but investigating animal diseases with the same precautions in cattle country isn't? This just screams NIMBA or Pork or both.

    20. Re:Safety First by emho24 · · Score: 1

      Plumb island and similar research needs to stay where it is, right in the middle of yankee hell.

      --
      You must gather your party before venturing forth.
    21. Re:Safety First by airdweller · · Score: 1

      If there's anything I learned from books, it's that all proper precautions can be defeated by a single person breaking a single rule and releasing Captain Tripps into the wild.

    22. Re:Safety First by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      For something that claims to be non-fiction, it was a surprisingly entertaining read.

  2. Posse commitatus by hoboroadie · · Score: 1

    I'm sure that security is better where God and the County Sheriff are packing.

    --
    They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
    1. Re:Posse commitatus by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'm sure that security is better where God and the County Sheriff are packing.

      Even a rather large virus will spatter like an overripe melon if hit with a mere .000012 caliber round. The real trick is in the aiming...

  3. Build it right where it can infect the most? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    THAT... sounds completely stupid. i'd want to put something like this somewhere it CAN'T do any harm if it gets out...
    The arctic sounds nice.

    I also kind of wonder what kind of nasty stuff got washed out of plum island in the hurricane. There's some fairly scary storys about that place. Oh sure most is prolly overblown bullcrap. But it only takes a little truth to kill a whole bunch of people... :(

    1. Re:Build it right where it can infect the most? by lunatick · · Score: 1

      Actually nothing, The place has survived much worse hurricanes (1978 and 1984) during my lifetime.

      --
      The Lunatick, Carpe Corpus!
  4. Plum Island ain't closing anytime soon. by lunatick · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I know people that work on plum island. They say that the place will be open till at least 2021. The decision to move it was purely political. At the time the local governments did not want a level 4 facility on the island, Once it was announced that the research would be moved to Kansas they recanted. There has also been much discussion about the wisdom of moving it to the middle of tornado alley and cattle country. Terrorism has had little effect on the decision, an island makes it very easy to control who comes and goes as compared to a facility reachable by foot. It would not surprise me to see them upgrade Plum island and cancel the project in Kansas, on the other hand it is up to the usual political backroom deals.

    --
    The Lunatick, Carpe Corpus!
    1. Re:Plum Island ain't closing anytime soon. by peragrin · · Score: 3, Insightful

      um tornado alley is easily prepared for. Just build the actual labs underground.

      just like Umbrella and look how well that turned out.

      oh

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    2. Re:Plum Island ain't closing anytime soon. by NotSanguine · · Score: 1

      Amen. I've been saying for years -- since I heard about the plan -- that moving the facility there was just about the most goddamned stupid thing that could possibly be done. Plum Island is almost perfectly situated for a containment facility. The fact that it's an island means that most critters won't get off of it, so you don't have to worry about a lab rat getting out and spreading it all over. Also, if a breakout did happen, and it -did- come over to Long Island, it would likely progress from east to west and allow a chance to stop the spread before it could get to the mainland.

      Sounds like a perfect use for Gitmo. You even have captive humans to test on. And if anything gets out, it's Raul Castro's problem not ours. Just sayin'.

      --
      No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical. --Niels Bohr
    3. Re:Plum Island ain't closing anytime soon. by lunatick · · Score: 1

      Technically they were both downgraded to tropical storms before they hit Long Island. Long Island hasn't had an actual Hurricane since Gloria in 1985.

      --
      The Lunatick, Carpe Corpus!
    4. Re:Plum Island ain't closing anytime soon. by lunatick · · Score: 1

      Actually they don't study anything that can be transmitted by rat, They study diseases that effect agriculture (cows, horses, pigs etc...) with the exception of avian diseases.

      If there were a lack of containment there is little on Long Island that would be infected as there are few if any cattle ranches there. The deer population would take a hit as would horses, but there are no ranches so to speak of. Kansas on the other hand has plenty of such and an outbreak could devastate the economy. Again this is the reason for it being on an island in the first place. If a deer gets on plum island it is killed to prevent any possibility of the spread of disease. How are you going to control that in an land locked area?

      --
      The Lunatick, Carpe Corpus!
    5. Re:Plum Island ain't closing anytime soon. by Americano · · Score: 1

      Deer and cattle typically have difficulty hopping electrified razorwire-topped fences. Do you think this is going to be some sort of Little House On the Prairie farmstead, where the scientists just tell the cows, "Okay, now don't go past this river or that hilltop. We trust you!"?

      They study dozens of highly infectious, highly lethal diseases at the CDC facilities in Atlanta. Right in the middle of millions of people, who are certainly good hosts for hemorrhagic fevers, smallpox, and the like. Yet we don't read about constant outbreaks of those diseases killing thousands of people.

      It is possible to research such diseases safely, even in the midst of a large number of natural hosts for that disease. We do it today, and we do it successfully. There is an obvious need to take precautions, but the argument that "they won't be able to contain things here" flies in the face of the experience of actual labs operating successfully for years.

  5. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by KingAlanI · · Score: 1

    that's what I was thinking as soon as I saw the title.

    --
    I listen to both RIAA and non-RIAA stuff if I like the music, tangential business/politics nonwithstanding.
  6. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Lehk228 · · Score: 1

    that's dumb, solid ingress egress control (double doors can't open both ends at once) is really all that is needed

    --
    Snowden and Manning are heroes.
  7. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

    "28 Days Later"

    Kids... Always with the zombies

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  8. meanwhile, a BSL-4 facility smack in Boston= AOK by SuperBanana · · Score: 2

    Meanwhile, everyone's been ramming through a BSL-4 facility which will study live human diseases, right smack in the middle of Boston:

    http://www.wbur.org/2012/04/19/biolab-research-approval

    They picked a poor minority neighborhood they and city officials could bully around, and despite public uproar, soon residents can look forward to being neighbors with Ebola.

    Apparently BU just couldn't be bothered to build it, say, out somewhere in the suburbs where there'd be some isolation from the general populace. Let's put it right smack in the middle of a city with a big public transit system and an international airport, just so our researchers won't have to hop in a car for a drive. BRILLIANT.

  9. Re:meanwhile, a BSL-4 facility smack in Boston= AO by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Man, good thing the CDC doesn't have a BSL4 lab in Atlanta, where they're headquartered. Oh, wait.

  10. Above the arctic circle maybe? by mikeiver1 · · Score: 1

    There is no place more isolated than the arctic. We have had bases there in the past, one even had a sub reactor to power it. Considering the fact that the environment is very much not in tune with the needs of any escaped pathogens I would say that it is just about the best choice. It would be hard to access and harder to enter. Get down under the rock and you are safe and contained with no vectors of escape of the bugs. It is a far better choice than the bread basket of the USA and allot of the world. Mike

    1. Re:Above the arctic circle maybe? by Sulphur · · Score: 1

      There is no place more isolated than the arctic. We have had bases there in the past, one even had a sub reactor to power it. Considering the fact that the environment is very much not in tune with the needs of any escaped pathogens I would say that it is just about the best choice. It would be hard to access and harder to enter. Get down under the rock and you are safe and contained with no vectors of escape of the bugs. It is a far better choice than the bread basket of the USA and allot of the world.

      Mike

      Thule?

    2. Re:Above the arctic circle maybe? by NotSanguine · · Score: 2

      Oh, it's a surprise that SCIENTISTS ARE PEOPLE WITH FUCKING HUMAN NEEDS? Well fuck you up the ass with a goddamn railroad tie. Covered in railroad spikes. And razor wire. Coated in AIDS. And mutant lab rats. And radioactive compounds. And it's fucking on fire.

      Don't hold back AC. Tell us how you *really* feel!

      --
      No, no, you're not thinking; you're just being logical. --Niels Bohr
  11. Activists have killed healthy animals ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    What I'm concerned about is a bunch of militant "animal rights" nitwits getting in and "liberating" diseased animals, causing all kinds of hell.

    The University that I attended had a large agriculture department. They had a bunch of caged chickens. Healthy but caged. Activists freed them and the chickens soon started to die. Apparently living in cages with wire bottoms suspended a few feet off the ground did not prepare their immune systems for what waited on the ground below. They all got sick and most died.

  12. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Yes, surely no one will ever become complacent after working there for a long time.

    Many biological safety and containment protocols are regularly disregarded at least in part because scientists think that their own lower assessment of the risk is more accurate than the "bureaucrats" who designed the protocols. Dealing with the lab moron(s) in BSL-2 is a pain. Dealing with them in BSL-4 is potentially deadly.

    Stupidity finds a way. That's why designs must be as foolproof as possible.

  13. Re:Plum island gave us West Nile Virus in the US by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I thought the first outbreak was in Queens, not right next to Plum Island. Considering West Nile Virus has virtually no symptoms in 80% of the people it infects, and was well spread in parts of Asian, Australia and western Europe by the 60s (not to mention Africa where it came from, where in the 50s it was found 90% of people tested in Egypt had West Nile Virus antibodies), it is kind of surprising it took another 30 years to get to the US.

  14. for the record by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    For the record, there's a massive human disease lab located right in the middle of tornado alley. Oklahoma if I'm not mistaken.
    By the way, it's more fun if you read the article title as High Security Animal, Disease Lab Faces Uncertain Future.
    Gotta watch out for those high security animals, lol.

  15. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Sulphur · · Score: 2

    I'm not worried about some virus spontaneously escaping into the wild. What I'm concerned about is a bunch of militant "animal rights" nitwits getting in and "liberating" diseased animals, causing all kinds of hell.

    "Free the animals, man!"

    Hell is a liberal animal.

  16. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by flonker · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've heard that one of the more difficult aspects of working in a level 4 lab is learning not to catch things that are falling, such as scalpels, and that when the scientists go home after work, they don't catch tableware and glasses and such, leading to much domestic strife.

    (I don't know how true it is, but it seems to make sense.)

  17. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    I'm not worried about some virus spontaneously escaping into the wild.

    You should be, it's happened before. The most likeliest explanation for lyme disease is accidental release from Plum Island, carried away on ticks by migrating deer.

  18. Re:Plum island gave us West Nile Virus in the US by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Queens is on Long Island, and a number of Plum Island workers lived near NYC and commuted (with the ferry schedules and dorms on site, you didn't have to go home every night, for commuting the full length of long island).

    And at Plum island they weaponized them, even though it was a non-military FDA site. Their excuse was that they needed to weaponise them to be able to defend our livestock against them.

  19. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by bickerdyke · · Score: 1

    I heard the same from butchers and glassblowers.

    --
    bickerdyke
  20. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

    blacksmiths too.

  21. Re:Manhattan by flyneye · · Score: 1

    I dunno about that Manhattan/Lawrence is probably the nations breadbasket for LSD, outfreaking San Francisco. Do you really want to chance some government sponsored psychedelic terror? Other than that, they need to put it down by the Mexican border to scare aliens or something. We raise Black Angus here mostly, the most delicious cow. Get your damn priorities straight.
    The only thing evident to me is that New York shows every sign of being affected and producing negative mutations/diseases for the years it hosted the facility. Stick it in your own back yard, Yobbo!

    --
    *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
  22. It is damn near on campus by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This nearly literal pork-barrel facility (which is already built, BTW) is about a quarter mile up the street of the main campus of Kansas State University in Manhattan, Kansas. It is however, within eyesight of the a) football stadium, b) basketball coliseum, and c) student recreational center. Bonus: just to the west of all of that is the only hospital in the city. Not that animal diseases *ever* jump to humans...

    This was all mainly due to one of the worst US Senators in the modern age: Pat Roberts. His other claim to fame was putting off the investigations of the Iraq invasion lies until after the elections to 'take politics out of it'. After the election, he then claimed there was no point in investigating the lies as the past is the past, spilt milk, etc. Scumbag.

  23. Mistakes will be made by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    I think it is a stupid idea to place this where there will be lots of damage when things get out. And they will get out. Just like it is impossible to have code with zero bugs, it is impossible there will be no mistakes.

    Does anyone else remember this report about the air flow being redirected from inside the lab to the hallway outside where people don't wear protective gear? Bad Air Vents

    In February, air from inside a potentially contaminated lab briefly blew outward into a “clean” corridor where a group of visitors weren’t wearing any protective gear which raised concern about exposure risks, according to e-mails reporting and discussing what happened. Research animals in the lab had not yet been infected at the time of the incident, the records say.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  24. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Americano · · Score: 1

    And were these magical, space-time traveling deer, as well? Able to go back hundreds of years in time, and reappear on an island off the coast of Scotland?

    Perhaps the first detailed description of what is now known as Lyme disease appeared in the writings of Reverend Dr John Walker after a visit to the Island of Jura (Deer Island) off the west coast of Scotland in 1764. He gives a good description both of the symptoms of Lyme disease (with "exquisite pain [in] the interior parts of the limbs") and of the tick vector itself, which he describes as a "worm" with a body which is "of a reddish colour and of a compressed shape with a row of feet on each side" that "penetrates the skin". Many people from this area of Great Britain immigrated to North America between 1717 and the end of the 18th century. The examination of preserved museum specimens has found Borrelia DNA in an infected Ixodes ricinus tick from Germany that dates back to 1884, and from an infected mouse from Cape Cod that died in 1894. The 2010 autopsy of Ötzi the Iceman, a 5,300 year old mummy, revealed the presence of the DNA sequence of Borrelia burgdorferi making him the earliest known human with Lyme disease.

    I guess you're right - this is just more evidence of conspiracy! Who else but the US government would have the resources to genetically engineer time traveling deer and send them back in time to Scotland? It's probably a neocon plot - adding up each of the digits in '1764' gives you '18.' Add up those digits, and you get '9' - as in 9-11!? And you think this is coincidence, people?

  25. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Lehk228 · · Score: 1

    double doors controlled by security team, swipe badges security guard opens inner door.

    keeps morons out, and if morons manage to subvert security and let animals loose, the animals can't get out

    --
    Snowden and Manning are heroes.
  26. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Americano · · Score: 1

    I think even that is a pretty significant stretch with nothing but speculation to support it. The disease was already known before Plum island was even a twinkle in Uncle Sam's eye. The most likely explanation for the incidence of Lyme disease would be that the tick and its parasites came across the Atlantic with colonists from Europe (where the disease was fairly well known), established a foothold, and has been present and spreading since.

    The fact that a cluster of cases in 1975 around Lyme, Connecticut happened to be near Plum Island is far from conclusive proof that Plum Island was the source of that (or subsequent, or any) outbreaks. It is statistically possible that ticks being studied at Plum Island somehow escaped and made their way to Lyme... but the ticks and their parasites were already present in Lyme (and elsewhere), and there's no suggestion that the cluster in Lyme was some sort of "genetically engineered superbug" - it was just a normal outbreak of a disease which has been emerging in clusters around the US for decades.

  27. The philosophical point of view by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

    High Security Animal Disease Lab Faces Uncertain Future

    Thanks to quantum mechanics, don't we all?

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
  28. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

    Yeah, the zombie strawmen will get us all! Run for the hills!

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  29. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1
    Diseases don't spontaneously jump thousands of miles. Also many dispute the assertion of past diseases being the same as current versions. Was the strain from hundreds of years ago the same strain (or even the same disease)? And even if it was, the US outbreak had to have come from somewhere. And if it was transported here from abroad, then it would likely have been closer to a shipping port or international airport. It's more likely it was an accidental release from a location that was studying it adjacent to the outbreak area than any other explanation presented to date. This is one case where Occam's Razor favors the conspiracy theory".

    the ticks and their parasites were already present in Lyme

    Then why wasn't there a documented outbreak in Lyme before that?

  30. Re:Plum island gave us West Nile Virus in the US by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    I figured it would be obvious Queens is on Long Island,

    Americans can't identify most states on a map, to assume everyone knows where boroughs of NYC are would seem to be an overestimation of general geographic knowledge.

    Even if they get a lot of workers from Plum Island, they would also be getting a lot of travelers too.

    It's not like there are any international airports in Queens.

    But, given that the first major outbreak of Lyme disease in the US was geographically adjacent to Plum (far from airports), and Plum was studying it before release, it seems likely that there was at least one major containment breach, indicating the likelihood of another is much higher.

  31. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Americano · · Score: 1

    Diseases don't spontaneously jump thousands of miles

    Nobody's claimed they did. It's a zoonotic infection, and it's VERY common for diseases like that to circulate in their animal reservoirs (mice & deer, in this case), until conditions line up just right for an outbreak. In this case, the tick that transmits it feeds on blood three times in its life, once for each phase. This means a tick, in order to infect someone, has to first feed on a mouse or a deer infected with the bacteria, and THEN feed on a human during a subsequent phase. Conditions have to line up properly for that to happen, and even being bitten by a tick, it generally requires a significant amount of undisturbed feeding time to transmit the disease - it's not a case where infection occurs the INSTANT a person is bitten - this is why tick checks are important, and effective, in reducing the likelihood of infection.

    The genetic material from the North American strain of bacteria that causes Lyme disease has been found in museum specimens dating back to the 1800's, and according to Wikipedia, they found B. burgdorferi DNA in a 5300 year old mummified ice age hunter. There's a lot of evidence that the pathogen has been around for centuries.

    Also many dispute the assertion of past diseases being the same as current versions.

    Then surely you can provide us with some examples of scientists disputing this?

    And even if it was, the US outbreak had to have come from somewhere.

    Yes, it came from the natural animal reservoirs for the disease - mice and deer. As human developments encroach on woodlands and pastures where these animals live, more humans come in contact with the animals (and, as a result, their parasitic passengers). This is exactly how most zoonotic infections break out. A pathogen whose DNA has been found on hundreds and thousands of year old museum samples cannot have been "manufactured" exclusively at Plum Island in 1975.

    Also - how could Plum Island have been "studying Lyme Disease" in 1975, when Lyme Disease was not identified as a tick-borne illness, with a bacterial cause isolated, until 1982? (Do you see how the sequence of these things is sort of important?)

    And if it was transported here from abroad, then it would likely have been closer to a shipping port or international airport.

    Researchers in Europe had seen numerous cases of "neurological problems after tick bites," and erythema migrans - the expanding "bullseye" lesion that is a hallmark of the disease - long before any outbreaks in 1975 in Connecticut. They didn't isolate the pathogen until 1982, but they were describing the disease and its components for decades:

    Before 1976, elements of B. burgdorferi sensu lato infection were called or known as tick-borne meningopolyneuritis, Garin-Bujadoux syndrome, Bannwarth syndrome, Afzelius' disease, Montauk Knee or sheep tick fever. Since 1976 the disease is most often referred to as Lyme disease, Lyme borreliosis or simply borreliosis.

    It's a vector borne disease - you can't pass it from human to human during normal contact, it requires the tick vector, and so it's quite easy to imagine that some infected mice were carried over into new england at some point (perhaps even as far back as the 1600's and 1700's colonization), and those mice found a welcoming habitat here in North America, where they began to spread, and the disease happily circulated in them as a reservoir for years, with cases of all of these syndromes cropping up over time but not being recognized as related to tick bites until the cases in Lyme, where researches connected the neurological issues with the erythema migrans they saw in their patients, and related it to the disease being described by their colleagues in Europe.

    This is one case where Occam's Razor favors the conspiracy theory".

  32. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    The genetic material from the North American strain of bacteria that causes Lyme disease has been found in museum specimens dating back to the 1800's, and according to Wikipedia, they found B. burgdorferi DNA in a 5300 year old mummified ice age hunter. There's a lot of evidence that the pathogen has been around for centuries.

    Every disease has been around for a long time. The problem is we may not have the ability to look back in time.

    A pathogen whose DNA has been found on hundreds and thousands of year old museum samples cannot have been "manufactured" exclusively at Plum Island in 1975.

    Also - how could Plum Island have been "studying Lyme Disease" in 1975, when Lyme Disease was not identified as a tick-borne illness, with a bacterial cause isolated, until 1982? (Do you see how the sequence of these things is sort of important?)

    I never said "manufactured". You don't need to make up things about what I said to make yourself feel better. You indicated that Lyme disease has been around for thousands of years, and that it was identified as a disease hundreds of years ago. Someone, somewhere had to study it in a lab to isolate the pathogen in 1982. And the disease was known prior to 1975, so why are you so sure that the premier lab tasked with protecting US agricultural animals from disease would not have a sample of diseased tissue from livestock infected with that particular pathogen? That's what they do. They just don't do it as well as the CDC labs (they don't have the same budget as the higher-profile human protection labs, they are only supposed to look into livestock diseases, like Lyme and anthrax and such).

    For the conspiracy theory to be true, the mice would have to be time travelers,

    You keep asserting that, but nobody has stated that the disease was created by man, just released.

    1. Thousands of years ago a disease develops and is later found in preserved samples from that era.
    2. After centuries, the disease is isolated to small islands and lives only in livestock with occasional transmission into people.
    3. The US Animal Disease Center, hearing about these isolated incidents, gets diseased tissue to study.
    4. In standard practice, the lab deliberately infects animals with diseased tissue to study pathology in livestock.
    5. In a breach of containment, a tick feeds on an infected animal.
    6. That infected tick travels on a deer to Lyme, infecting the deer and possibly infecting others.
    7. The disease spreads from that incident, with Plum Island not ever isolating and identifying the disease, a job left for 7 years later after the disease spreads to humans and makes it on the news. Plum Island fails to respond to FOIA requests regarding the diseases being studied.

    Which of those steps is beyond your comprehension?

  33. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Americano · · Score: 1

    Every disease has been around for a long time. The problem is we may not have the ability to look back in time.

    Lucky for us this is one of the ones we DO have the ability to identify in centuries-old samples of ticks, mice, and humans. Making a general assertion that "sometimes we can't look back" is an inadequate argument to counter the fact that it's been found in multiple centuries-old samples.

    I'll once again act the direct question you ignored:

    Also many dispute the assertion of past diseases being the same as current versions.

    Then surely you can provide us with some examples of scientists disputing this?

    It's a pretty simple question.

    Someone, somewhere had to study it in a lab to isolate the pathogen in 1982.

    Yes, his name was Willy Burgdorfer, and that's why the microbe is named after him.

  34. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Then surely you can provide us with some examples of scientists disputing this?

    The Black Plague was believed to be the Bubonic plague. Then it wasn't. Then it was again. I'm not sure where it sits today.

    Yes, his name was Willy Burgdorfer, and that's why the microbe is named after him.

    That's an odd assumption. Nobody ever studied it before him. Can you support that assumption? Because it must be true for your correction to be on topic.

  35. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by Americano · · Score: 1

    I'll once again act the direct question you ignored:

    Also many dispute the assertion of past diseases being the same as current versions.

    Then surely you can provide us with some examples of scientists disputing this?

    It's a pretty simple question.

    That's an odd assumption. Nobody ever studied it before him. Can you support that assumption? Because it must be true for your correction to be on topic.

    It's not an assumption at all - it's fact. He isolated the bacteria in 1982. The disease itself was described in medical literature LONG before 1975, and its genes have been isolated from museum samples hundreds and thousands of years old. In other words - it existed in North America and Europe long before the any alleged disease "escape" from Plum Island.

    Perhaps, since you're alleging that the pathogen was released from Plum Island, perhaps you can show that it was studied there, or show that the US government knew what the active agent was, or was studying it in any way, prior to 1975, or Burgdorfer isolating it in 1982.

  36. Re:Containment is fine, security is the issue. by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    It's not an assumption at all - it's fact. He isolated the bacteria in 1982. The disease itself was described in medical literature LONG before 1975, and its genes have been isolated from museum samples hundreds and thousands of years old. In other words - it existed in North America and Europe long before the any alleged disease "escape" from Plum Island.

    Your argument makes sense only if you assume he isolated it without ever studying it. Otherwise, it had to have been in a lab before it was isolated. I don't believe he isolated it without ever studying it. And it's silly to assume he was the *only* person on the planet to study it. Ever. It was a licestock disease primarily before 1975, and Plum Island is tasked with studying livestock diseases. Trade in "diseased tissue" (where the component involved, bacteria or virus, is not known) is common, and Plum Island has confirmed working with such samples (as it was a requirement for some of their funding, though they did not identify the exact diseases being studied, it's reasonable to assume that they had Lyme disease at that time.

    I find your assertion that it's impossible for a government lab studying livestock diseases to have a livestock disease before the disease is isolated to be silly, when it's labs like that who make discoveries like isolating the bacteria that causes Lyme disease (and the "discoverer" worked at a BSL-4 lab, the same type as Plum Island), and as it wasn't isolated before he isolated it, it must have come from diseased tissue, like Plum Island has tons of. Less likely and more conspiracy-theory-related, it's possible it was "discovered" at Plum Island first, then the information was shared with somewhere far from there because they realized the link would be stronger if the discovery of it was at where it was accidentally released a few years before.