Slashdot Mirror


NASA On Full Court Press To Deflate Doomsday Prophecies

coondoggie writes "Insidious unknown planets lurking behind the sun ready to slam into Earth, supernova set to engulf the planet and giant, unseen asteroids screaming toward our globe are all theories espoused across the Internet as to how we will meet our demise on 12/21/2012. Do any of these theories even remotely hold out a scintilla of evidence they could happen? Not even remotely if you look at the material NASA has put out which pretty much debunks any and all of the notions being floated in across the cybersphere."

54 of 286 comments (clear)

  1. Thank God... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...we have NASA. I was really beginning to think it was The End.

    1. Re:Thank God... by durrr · · Score: 4, Funny

      The amount of stupidity will exceed the swarzchild limit, luckily nothing will escape from here after that.

    2. Re:Thank God... by meglon · · Score: 2

      That is indeed the probably cause of our destruction.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    3. Re:Thank God... by meglon · · Score: 4, Funny

      That, and misspellings with no edti button....

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    4. Re:Thank God... by Cryacin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So crazy. This whole Mayan doomsday prophecy stuff all amounts to nothing more than an ancient form of the y2k bug.

      --
      Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck
    5. Re:Thank God... by meglon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Yep. But yah know, if you listen to the wind you hear the same nonsense every year, often multiple times a year, usually from religious nutcases that just have to have a screw loose (or several). Where i grew up we had a large Jehovah Witness church not too far down the road, and several times a summer a couple little old ladies would come by preaching the end of the world was coming in the next couple months.

      It seems there are a small number of people in the world who's only interest is to have the world end... i just don't get it.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    6. Re:Thank God... by LifesABeach · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Mayan's I've talked to think this is funny; they equate the calendar ending like December 31st. The cycle then repeats itself.

    7. Re:Thank God... by turbidostato · · Score: 2

      "So crazy. This whole Mayan doomsday prophecy stuff all amounts to nothing more than an ancient form of the y2k bug."

      Not even that. It amounts to looking at your wristwatch at five to twelve and saying "oh, my god, the world ends in five minutes".

    8. Re:Thank God... by camperdave · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Exactly. It's like seeing 999999 on the car odometer and thinking that the car will self destruct if you drive it one more kilometre (or mile, depending).

      Mind you... if your car has that much mileage, it might just self destruct at that.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    9. Re:Thank God... by j-beda · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I personally think that it is convenient to have a fairly authoritative website to point people to who have concerns due to the woo-woos raising a fuss. Nothing is ever going to change the minds of the "true believers" but it is useful for those not yet completely bamboozled to have the opportunity to see a more reasonable world-view. I doubt very much that this cost NASA much in terms of resources.

    10. Re:Thank God... by jythie · · Score: 2

      Hrm.... political figures who have a religious interest in bringing about the end of the world... vs what is probably a few people in NASA doing a bit of entertaining outreach regarding the misuse of science. Not really the same, much less 'worse'.

    11. Re:Thank God... by rwiggers · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately, not even that. They'll find an error in calculations, another doomsday theory or whatever....

  2. What About The Zombie Apocalypse though? by Dr_Ish · · Score: 2

    This is all disinformation. I read on the Internet that it was going to be a zombie apocalypse. Hell, even the government has plans preparing for it!

    1. Re:What About The Zombie Apocalypse though? by Cryacin · · Score: 3, Funny

      Remember, only 4 shopping days until the apocalypse.

      --
      Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck
  3. Additional Sources by Krazy+Kanuck · · Score: 3, Informative

    In the event the world ends or the source is /.'ed here's additional linkage Article links to a NASA video via YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=QY_Gc1bF8ds And NASA.gov has much the same information. http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/yoemans20091110.html

  4. Why? by datsa · · Score: 2

    NASA already released a statement saying that they don't know of any significant astronomical events on Friday, and as far as they know, there's nothing to worry about. Beyond that, people are going to believe what they want to believe, and a "full court press" is not going to change that. Either that or they're in cahoots with Quetzlcoatl.

    1. Re:Why? by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2

      Either that or they're in cahoots with Quetzlcoatl.

      Sneaky bastard. Snakes his way into everything.

  5. Of course they'd say that to avoid global panic by SpankyDaMonkey · · Score: 5, Informative

    There's 2 options here:

    1. Everything is fine, no gobal apocalypse

    2. There's something on the way that's going to kill us all, but if we tell you about it the whole world will panic and riots will stop the government getting itself to safety along with a handpicked few 'key' people

    Either way - they'll say it's safe

    And on that note, I'm going to hang up my tin foil hat

    1. Re:Of course they'd say that to avoid global panic by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

      Actually, in some ways, we do that all the time.

      If one of the active volcanoes go (e.g. Portland, Seattle), most people would die anyway, so no sense freaking them out.

      Most people would just get on the highways, gridlock, and never have a chance to escape. Hot mud flows faster than you can drive, so you can't outrace it, or the ash scurf that would cover all the former flood plains, only way would be to drive on side streets up to the top of a ridge, and virtually nobody will do that, so what's the point? We don't even have enough helicopter lift capacity to rescue the schoolkids we're supposed to rescue when that happens.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    2. Re:Of course they'd say that to avoid global panic by MLBs · · Score: 2

      3. The 'Pockyclipse is really on the way, but the NASA engineers are lying because they don't want to give up any precious engineer slots to save some useless politicians. Remember, NASA has all the keys to the escape rockets.

      Escape rockets to where? To die in space?

    3. Re:Of course they'd say that to avoid global panic by StormUP · · Score: 2

      You don't think the military really spends that much money on wars and hammers do you? All that funding has been going into NASA to build an arcology on the far side of the moon. It'd look suspicious if they put that much money into the NASA budget so they're just leaving it in the military budget where there's been bloat for years and people assume it's being spent on earth based projects. You really think that "secret" space plane is the only thing the military has been spending money on in space? If Obama were honest when he responds to the construct a Death Star by 2016 petition he would just say: "We already have one. And it's cloaked." But he can't. National security and all that. It will be interesting to see what fiction he makes up instead.

  6. Interesting propaganda campaign by jfengel · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This hardly seems like it's worth NASA's effort. You already know that the loons won't be convinced by it. A press release consisting of the single word "NO" is all it should really take.

    But it's also a great opportunity. Not on the 20th, but on the 22nd. When everybody wakes up, they say, "Wow, NASA got it right, and the kooks were kooks. Score one for science." It's nice to see science be able to just slam-dunk something without it getting balled up in revisionism, hedging, and accusations of malfeasance.

    And if people learn just a little bit more about gravity, seasons, the solar system, and the galaxy, so much the better.

    So kudos to NASA for seizing the day. "Proving that the world isn't ending" isn't really one of NASA's missions, but if it results in better support for NASA's real missions (both financially and in terms of having their results taken seriously), then I want to say "Good job" to their PR department. (Cheap, too!)

    1. Re:Interesting propaganda campaign by jfengel · · Score: 2

      I can tell you that I encountered a fair number of them online, about a year ago. I expected it to ramp up, but at least in my experience, it actually largely evaporated.

    2. Re:Interesting propaganda campaign by jfengel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You'll never fix the kooks, but it's nice to score points with people who aren't yet kooks but seem more willing to give them the benefit of the doubt than you or I would.

      In this case, I'm sure the kooks will find something to move on to, but with luck they'll move on to different things rather than all to the same thing. That's what's giving them so much media play.

    3. Re:Interesting propaganda campaign by VortexCortex · · Score: 2

      This hardly seems like it's worth NASA's effort. You already know that the loons won't be convinced by it. A press release consisting of the single word "NO" is all it should really take.

      Where were you on 12/12/12? I'm not a "loon", but you're fucking retarded if you don't think we're practically blind to space. We get really detailed images of very small pieces of the sky, or very low res images of the big picture, but no where near the resolution we need to be able to say nothing's going to hit us within the next few weeks. NASA and the US Armed Forces need to swap budgets before I even consider your statements as partially knowledgeable. Back to 12/12/12... This is actually what happened:

      FTFA: Earth Avoids Collisions With Pair of Asteroids

      "According to NASA, a pair of asteroids — one just over three miles wide — passed Earth Tuesday and early Wednesday, avoiding a potentially cataclysmic impact with our home planet. 2012 XE5, estimated at 50-165 feet across, was discovered just days earlier, missing our planet by only 139,500 miles, or slightly more than half the distance to the moon. ..."

      Granted the larger 3 mile wide one was well known to exist, but really, something 150ft across shouldn't be popping up on our radar just a few days before it would hit us -- ESPECIALLY not something that's passing twice as close as our moon. That doesn't bode well for assertions that we're sure no big rock is hurling towards us, indeed, I'd say it casts a plausible shadow of doubt well within the realm of possibility.

      I'm no end of the world in 2012 nutter, but I do think our #1 prime directive should be getting some of our eggs out of this one basket -- self sustaining colonies off-world. Unlike you, I think the propaganda campaign by NASA is actually shooting themselves in the foot. I'd be drumming up the fact that we're practically blind, and that we really don't know for sure if a big ass rock really could hit us, maybe not tomorrow or next week, but in a few years, a decade? No one can say for sure, but we do know IT WILL HAPPEN, and when it does if we're not ready already then we are doomed. That's the angle I'd be pushing to get more space funding -- It's far more ethical than downplaying end of the Earth scenarios (occurring ~1wk away) when you think about it: It's the survival of our species and/or all life on Earth I'm talking about.

      For fuck's sake, man! Learn you some basic Astronomy! There's a proto-planet ~the mass of Pluto called Eris that's been whirling around our Sun for eons at an odd orbit and it was only just discovered in 2005. THAT'S why Pluto's not a planet anymore... We'd have to admit that we DIDN'T SEE A PLANET SIZED ROCK right in our back-yard...

      FTWA:

      Eris, is the most massive body known to orbit the Sun after the eight planets:[i] It's the most massive orbiting beyond the planet Neptune, and the most massive known dwarf planet. It is estimated to be 2326 (±12) km in diameter, and 27% more massive than Pluto, or about 0.27% of the Earth's mass.

      Eris was discovered in January 2005 by a Palomar Observatory-based team ...

      Pretty fucking huge to have not seen it until just 7 years ago, eh smart guy?

      What if Eris would have been on a collision course with Earth? We'd have been kicking ourselves for the over 30 years we've wasted NOT trying to colonize space. Funding man, this 2012 thing was a great opportunity to harvest some good ol' panic for cash! We may not be able to stop a proto-planet, but if we get us some asteroids

    4. Re:Interesting propaganda campaign by able1234au · · Score: 2

      A 20 metre meteor hits the earth on average every 100 years. A 2 km meteor every couple of million years. So 50-165ft meteor is approx 15 - 50 metres.

      A 75 metre iron meteorite would make a crater like Meteor Crater. A stone meteorite would produce airbursts like Tunguska with land impacts destroying the area size of city. None of this pleasant but none of it a world-killer.

      According to NASA there are roughly 4,700 PHAs, plus or minus 1,500, with diameters larger than 330 feet (about 100 meters). So far, an estimated 20 to 30 percent of these objects have been found.

      Half the distance to moon is close, but that is still a low odds hit and yes, we need more funding to find more of these asteroids. We haven't been looking long and on the other hand, nothing too bad has happened in the past couple of million years so while a killer could be around the corner, the odds remain low. Still, i too would be happy if we knew where everything was.

      Eris is large but a long way away. Anything closer than Saturn would be known fairly well in advance. Feel free to hit the panic button but there is a higher risk you will be hit by a bus in the next day. Worry about that more.

  7. Idiots by Mr2cents · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm postponing my doomsday-device test until December 22, just so I can laugh at those idiots who believe all that nonsense.

    --
    "It's too bad that stupidity isn't painful." - Anton LaVey
  8. We've got them now! by mosb1000 · · Score: 4, Funny

    They wouldn't deny it unless it were true!

  9. Or... by sconeu · · Score: 2

    <PARANOID-CONSPIRACY-THEORY>
    It's the supernova, because there's no way that NASA could know about it in advance!
    </PARANOID-CONSPIRACY-THEORY>

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    1. Re:Or... by Immerman · · Score: 3, Informative

      Except that they could. Obviously they wouldn't have any warning before the energy front hit, but assuming they correctly understand the physics behind supernovae they can make a pretty solid prediction as to which stars are capable of going supernovae, as well as how close the resulting explosion would have to be to cause damage to the Earth. And none of the stars close enough to cause damage if they exploded is capable of doing so.

      Yeah, yeah, I know. Whoosh.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    2. Re:Or... by mfnickster · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We may not have to worry about supernovae, but a gamma ray burst is quite another thing.

      As Phil Plait points out, we're practically staring down the barrel of WR-104!

      --
      "Slow down, Cowboy! It has been 3 years, 7 months and 26 days since you last successfully posted a comment."
  10. We know the real story.. by MaerD · · Score: 2

    The truth is that Desmond Miles saved us all at the last minute. Otherwise it would have been much worse. However, he let out some sort of demi-god thing that's going to make ubisoft lots of money for the next few years.

    --
    I put on my robe and wizard hat..
  11. Re:Really? by Sperbels · · Score: 3, Informative

    Smart people know things that dumb people don't?

  12. or an Evolutionary Adaptation by m.shenhav · · Score: 2

    While I have make plans for the weekend, I do believe that a small measure of such paranoia might be an evolutionary adaptation. While any particular doomsday scenario seems unlikely - our species and life at large has faced many in its history. Perhaps this paranoia has dispersed and thus saved some humans or their ancestors from localized natural disasters.

  13. Works for me - fewer people taking my wave by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 2

    The more of you believe there is no Mayan Apocolypse, the fewer people crowding me from pole position when I catch the wave after the Mayan Apocolypse and surf safely to land.

    Oh, and if you could keep it down when you're dying, I'd appreciate it, cause screams really harsh my mellow.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  14. one of these days...... by m.shenhav · · Score: 2

    ...... some Black Swan will hit. We can't know when or how big it will be, the only certainty is uncertainty.

  15. Office Space: The Mayan Edition by zooblethorpe · · Score: 2

    So crazy. This whole Mayan doomsday prophecy stuff all amounts to nothing more than an ancient form of the y2k bug.

    I've often imagined getting together a crew to do a remake of Office Space , only where everyone would be wearing Mayan outfits, carrying chisels, and complaining about having to rework all these bloody great stone calendar wheels.

    If I only had the time, and the budget... :)

    Cheers,

    --
    "What in the name of Fats Waller is that?"
    "A four-foot prune."
  16. Mayans were stupid. by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 2

    No offense intended to Mayans. I am sure they were very smart relative to other primitive people, and are probably not more stupid than a lot of people living today (i.e. the people that defer to Mayans for modern doomsday predictions). The fact remains that science is by far the best tool available for explaining the universe and making predictions about future events. The Mayans and a lot of other ancient civilizations did a lot of things that could be considered scientific (like noticing patterns in motion of celestial bodies), but this is more of a proto-science that was mixed in with religion and other superstition. Looking back on Mayan civilization the only things we actually learn are about what the Mayans knew. This is interesting for anthropological reasons, but they didn't have any scientific knowledge that we don't already have. They didn't know anything about Newtons laws, relativity, Maxwell's equations, Quantum Mechanics, etc. They don't have any of the tools necessary TO predict any kind of astronomical doomsday. We (i.e. modern society + our current scientific knowledge) might not be able to either, but we are orders of magnitude more likely to be correct. Even if by some strange coincidence the world ends in 2012, it will be just that, a coincidence. There are 7 billion people in the world. Every day has no doubt been singled out as a doomsday by one nutjob or another. Picking an entire year increases your odds of being right by 365 times, and it will still be wrong in 13 days. It is not even accepted that the Mayans even predicted the end of the world, much less that they predicted it to happen in 2012. All I am saying is that whatever predictions the Mayans (or anyone else with their level of scientific understanding) may have possibly made about the end of the world, are almost certainly wrong.

  17. Epoch Fail by guttentag · · Score: 3, Funny

    Eschatology is simply a matter of your particular brand of religion.

    Every Unix user knows the world doesn't end until January 18th or 19th, 2038.
    Mac users know the world doesn't end until February 6, 2040, at 6:25:15 a.m.
    Windows users know that the world ended at the dawn of the Ballmerzoic Epoch in January 2000.

    (I couldn't remember when the Ballmer Epoch began, so I asked Google and somehow got "Did you mean: when did batman take over Microsoft?")

    1. Re:Epoch Fail by mjwx · · Score: 2

      Windows users know that the world ended at the dawn of the Ballmerzoic Epoch in January 2000.

      Microsoft End of the World Counter.
      Microsoft(R)
      End of the world predicted for: 2012, 2014, 2218, 1997,

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  18. Vogons by DaveAtFraud · · Score: 4, Funny

    Of course NASA doesn't know that the Vogons will destroy the Earth on 22 December 2012 to make way for an intergalactic bypass. They missed the notification. The Vogons will miss their originally scheduled date of the 21st because, as usual, the construction project is behind schedule. Sorry for the inconvenience.

    Cheers,
    Dave

    --
    They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither safety nor liberty.
    Ben
    1. Re:Vogons by RivenAleem · · Score: 2

      The Vogons did give us notice, 5,000 years of notice. That should have been enough time for any civilisation to develop space travel if they really wanted to. We all saw how the Jatravartids invented the aerosol before the wheel, because of their great need.

      The fact that given this stupendous length of time, we still failed to work together to get off this rock, just shows that we have nothing to offer the rest of the galaxy.

  19. Voyager.... by gatfirls · · Score: 2

    Is going to break some intergalactic 'no fly' zone. The council will be held and they will be shown grainy black and white pictures of our Weapons of Galactic Destruction manufacturing facilities. We're screwed.

  20. Re:Complete waste of time... by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

    Yes, I've seen Idiocracy. In fact, I keep the intro on my iPad. :)

    But I rather expect that when you can specify you want a smart child, you're going to want to, and then you're going to get one with critical thinking abilities, a decent grasp on reality, and superstition will die out within a few generations.

    I think the way it'll most likely go is that if you don't see to it that your child is well gifted intellectually, society will treat you (and probably your kid) as a pariah.

    Just as those who don't see to it that their kids get decent nutrition are looked down upon today. Only more so -- because the competitive advantage for everything from mates to jobs will be enormous.

    It's just speculation, of course, but I'm pretty comfortable with it.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  21. Re:Complete waste of time... by waynemcdougall · · Score: 2

    ...you can't fix stupid.

    At least, not yet. Science, genetics specifically, still offers us a little hope of finally leaving superstition behind us.

    But it sure is difficult to watch the deluded go about their hand waving, crystal gazing, and ancient calendar worshiping.

    That's just the sort of thing a Capricorn would say!

    --
    Recycle PCs and build a wireless community network www.hillsborough.org.nz
  22. Re:NASA makes it obvious we are doomed by GiganticLyingMouth · · Score: 3, Interesting

    On NPR a while back there was an interview with a NASA scientist about the doomsday predictions. He runs the Q/A column "Ask an Astrobiologist" responsible for answering questions posed to NASA, which as of late have mostly centered around Dec 21st. He was incredulous that anyone would believe these stories, but as the same time took it very seriously; he mentioned that many of the people writing to him were of the younger generations (i.e. schoolkids) genuinely concerned about whether the world was going to end. This was the demographic that concerned him. One such excerpt -- "Though some of the questions may seem frivolous and outlandish, Morrison receives queries from people who are legitimately concerned and contemplating suicide. "Another extreme one ... I got was quite touching. It was: My only friend is my little dog. When should I put her to sleep so she won't suffer in the cataclysm?" It's easy to dismiss the doomsday people as loons (and most are), but some of them are just kids so we should focus more on taking them seriously and helping educate them to understand that it's a myth rather than dismissing the entire thing offhand. This can be a very good opportunity to show the community that science > superstition. Interview is at http://www.npr.org/2012/11/26/165928588/as-dec-21-draws-nigh-the-facts-about-doomsday

  23. Re:Really? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Funny

    Smart people know things that dumb people don't?

    I hate you arrogant liberals.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  24. Re:Complete waste of time... by icebike · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...you can't fix stupid.

    At least, not yet.

    Unforgettably, NASA is wasting our tax dollars trying. If 6 to 12 years of public school education couldn't give them enough reasoning power, why would they believe anything NASA had to say? We've spent enough money on these idiots.

    Personally I have no problem with the incredibly gullible running for the hills, committing suicide, or what ever it is that one does in preparation for the end of the world. As long as they do it to themselves. I see no upside of trying to convince them of their folly.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  25. Re:Complete waste of time... by shaitand · · Score: 2

    "But I rather expect that when you can specify you want a smart child"

    Since this is almost entirely dictated by the result of experience and self programming rather than nature I doubt there ever will be such a button. Not that we are anywhere near far enough along in our understanding of genetics to screen embryos. The result is essentially genocide and we don't know what other things could be affected by the removal of "unwanted" genes.

  26. I'm gonna start calling Dec 31st.... by vell0cet · · Score: 5, Funny

    If people are going to call Dec 21 the "Mayan Apocalypse," I'm going to start calling Dec 31 the "Gregorian Apocalypse" ... every year.

  27. It's the End of the World... Again [Re:Thank God] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 4, Informative

    Yep. But yah know, if you listen to the wind you hear the same nonsense every year, often multiple times a year....

    Yep!

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_dates_predicted_for_apocalyptic_events

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  28. I Predict for Certain that on 12/21/12 . . . by NicknamesAreStupid · · Score: 2

    . . . the world will end . . . for someone.

  29. The post event excuses sweepstakes by DrXym · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Let's guess what excuses the nuts will use on 22 Dec when the event conspicuously fails to happen:
    1. "We all suffered a spiritual death, not a physical one"
    2. "The space aliens decided to give us one more chance"
    3. "The calculations were wrong, it's going to happen in 2020 / 2021 / some other date I pulled out of my numerlogical ass."
    4. "The prophecy was actually referring to (insert-some-news-of-the-day-here)"
    5. "The end of the world has started but it doesn't happen overnight, it might take years, decades, centuries, enough time to write a series of books about it."
    6. "I never meant the prediction to be taken literally"
    7. "My positive mind beams averted the disaster"

    What you won't hear:

    1. "What a fucking ass I was to have believed this nonsense and promoted fear and possibly a few deaths through my ignorance."
  30. Re:History of Apocalyptic days by Coisiche · · Score: 2

    Given that significantly more than half that list is 20th century or later dates and the lead time to impending apocalypse seems to be getting shorter it is certain that it will rapidly grow. 2222 will eventually be on it. As will 2221 and 2223 and every year.