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McAfee Labs Predicts Decline of Anonymous

Every years, McAfee Labs produces a list of predictions relating to computer security for the next 12 months. Last year (PDF) they said Anonymous would have to reinvent itself, and that there would be an overall increase in online hacktivism. This year's report (PDF) is not as optimistic for the hacking collective. "Too many uncoordinated and unclear operations have been detrimental to its reputation. Added to this, the disinformation, false claims, and pure hacking actions will lead to the movement’s being less politically visible than in the past. Because Anonymous’ level of technical sophistication has stagnated and its tactics are better understood by its potential victims, the group’s level of success will decline." That's not to say they think hacktivism itself is on the decline, though: "Meanwhile, patriot groups self-organized into cyberarmies and spreading their extremist views will flourish. Up to now their efforts have had little impact (generally defacement of websites or DDoS for a very short period), but their actions will improve in sophistication and aggressiveness." The report also predicts that malware kits will lead to an "explosion in malware" for OS X and mobile, but that Windows 8 will be the next big target.

56 of 111 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by Synerg1y · · Score: 3, Informative

    McAfee the person hasn't been associated with McAfee labs for a long time now.

  2. WIndows 8 next big target? ahaha by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It will be a target, but nowhere near the biggest.

    Hell, Android is a bigger target to attack.

  3. yup... by MickyTheIdiot · · Score: 2

    And since they're always right, this is almost a certainty!

  4. Ok now everyone post as.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...Anonymous....

  5. Yearly tradition, but... by Bieeanda · · Score: 3, Interesting

    How many of these claims Mcaffee corporation's professional prognosticators have actually been remotely true? Tabloid psychics run the same routine every year too.

    1. Re:Yearly tradition, but... by elucido · · Score: 2

      How many of these claims Mcaffee corporation's professional prognosticators have actually been remotely true? Tabloid psychics run the same routine every year too.

      McAffee is right about Anon. Anon does have major structure problems, a leadership vacuum, and a brain drain situation. It's not hard to predict that Anon is losing popularity.

  6. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Which John McAfee???

  7. Anonymous predicts drug-fueled bender for Mcafee by badford · · Score: 1

    "Bath Salts are best drug ever" - John Mcafee

    --
    -badford
  8. I didn't know that McAfee can predict future crime by big_e_1977 · · Score: 1

    If they could then why didn't they warn John McAfee's neighbor about his future murder? Is it because he was running Norton Antivirus?

  9. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by masternerdguy · · Score: 2

    All it's going to take to kill McAfee is Microsoft Security Essentials, to be honest.

    --
    To offset political mods, replace Flamebait with Insightful.
  10. McAfee is Malware, not just Crapware anymore! by na1led · · Score: 4, Informative

    So many times I've seen McAfee try to sneak its way into my system, and once they get in, your system runs like SHIT!

    --
    -- By all means let's be open-minded, but not so open-minded that our brains drop out.
    1. Re:McAfee is Malware, not just Crapware anymore! by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 1, Redundant

      Symantec and McAfee and both perfect examples of the cure being worse than the disease.

    2. Re:McAfee is Malware, not just Crapware anymore! by afeeney · · Score: 2

      Absolutely. When I worked at a company that used McAfee, my machine would run incredibly slow at least three or four times a day. It was consistently McAfee taking up half the CPU and available RAM.

      The first thing I do when any friend or family says "My computer is running so slow" is get rid of McAfee and replace it with AVG.

    3. Re:McAfee is Malware, not just Crapware anymore! by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      It's so easy to prevent McAfee software from being installed... UNCHECK THE CHECKBOX!

    4. Re:McAfee is Malware, not just Crapware anymore! by tnk1 · · Score: 2

      Which is not the point. Even knowledgeable, careful people are occasionally going to forget or fail to opt-out, and most people are neither knowledgeable nor careful when it comes to installing software.

    5. Re:McAfee is Malware, not just Crapware anymore! by Tamerlin · · Score: 1

      As an employee at a company that uses mcafee's malware, you don't normally get to choose, unless you're in the IT department, and responsible for setting up the machines in the first place. Of course, they don't have that much of a choice either since they're just cloning an image nowadays. That is the main reason that the machines I get from work are always so painfully slow compared to my own machines, but if you're paid hourly, who cares! If the employer puts crap on the machine that they provide to you that makes your job slow and inefficient, you get paid more to do less. It's a pretty sad state of affairs, if you ask me, but it's also deeply ingrained into our culture or working as hard and as stupidly as possible in order to get ahead in the bureaucracy.

  11. Over the border and thru the woods... by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    Well, McAfee Labs oughtta know. "Anon will have problems. We know -- we're...familiar with trying to remain anonymous and hidden when governments put you on the most wanted list."

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  12. He who controls the vocabulary controls the debate by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Meanwhile, patriot groups self-organized into cyberarmies and spreading their extremist views will flourish.

    Love the juxtaposition of "patriot" and "extremist".

    Because clearly, not wanting to live in a corporate dystopia is an "extremist" viewpoint.

  13. Big whoop by gsslay · · Score: 1

    Anti-virus company predicts viruses.

    Not to say they're wrong, but hardly an unbiased opinion.

  14. But what about McAfee Labs's core mission? by CRCulver · · Score: 2

    It's great that McAfee Labs has published this report on Anonymous, but isn't this only a distraction from the search for better bath salts and pills to seduce young women?

    1. Re:But what about McAfee Labs's core mission? by elucido · · Score: 1

      It's great that McAfee Labs has published this report on Anonymous, but isn't this only a distraction from the search for better bath salts and pills to seduce young women?

      That is an ad hominem attack. Shame on you.

  15. Uncoordinated until someone sets them off at once by eksith · · Score: 2

    They've been saying this since the beginning. How long can this last, don't they have jobs, skills fade, they'll get bored etc... etc...

    What they still really don't seem to get is that this is just a bunch of people who commit an act and claim to be Anonymous. Anyone can do anything and say they're Anonymous, therefore, Anonymous did it. The few people who may have access to the public outlets like Twitter and such will likely be contacted by someone who's interested in doing something or is in the process of doing something and they'll get yea or nay on whether the mouthpieces will broadcast the activities, thereby being an "officially sanctioned" (if there is such a thing) activity. Or visa versa, the mouthpieces contact the actors.

    If some activity is popular, then more people will participate and some level of coordination will take place, likely over IRC.

    The lack of coherence existed well before the hactivism phase and will still be there well into the future. That's the nature of a collective which has no leader and many different personalities, personas, skills and backgrounds and will only flock to whatever has the greater interest to those with charisma currently in the group (or feel like participating). In fact, even calling it a "group" is a bit of a mis-label since their constituents and motivations change. It's all very fluid to begin with.

    What herds them is a cause; not a person... like McAfee saying they're in decline maybe. Don't they know it's bad to poke a beehive with a stick?

    --
    If computers were people, I'd be a misanthrope.
  16. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by bsDaemon · · Score: 2

    And yet, he's worried about the government of British Honduras coming after him instead. Talk about out of touch!

  17. Anonomotomus by aquabats · · Score: 2

    Thats kinda the point of Anon. It has never been this is the leader and here is what we are gonna do. It was more of a bunch of angry people, or stupid, or bored, or someone just looking to hide behind the mask of anon, trying to do something. Good? Bad? Logical? Every time its something different. Its not a collective as much as a revolving door to a community room.

  18. No mention of members arrested. by schneidafunk · · Score: 2

    I'm surprised McAfee's argument for its decline has no mention of five of the anonymous core group being busted by the feds after one turned informant.

    --
    Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    1. Re:No mention of members arrested. by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      It's sort of implied that they figured of John McAfee's brilliant escape plan could be foiled, the cops could catch anyone anywhere!

  19. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by JDG1980 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    McAfee the person hasn't been associated with McAfee labs for a long time now.

    No, but that doesn't mean that his actions can't tarnish the brand. It is, after all, named after him, even if he isn't there any more.

  20. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by AaronLS · · Score: 2

    His body double is also named after him as well. In itself having a body double indicates a significant level of paranoia, arguable whether or not it's justified paranoia.

  21. Re:Ickleberry predicts decline of McAfee by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    Yeeeeah, tell that to any media outlet anywhere ever.

  22. Re:He who controls the vocabulary controls the deb by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Unfortunately "patriot" has come to be associated with the ignorant conservatives and all their destructive, delusion-based, extremism. I'm speaking of Teabaggers, Freepers, and other ignorant people who blame others for their own shortcomings. You know the type. These people are obviously not really patriots, and just people with nothing to contribute who want to be part of the conservative cult and pretend that their ignorance is better than other people's knowledge.

  23. RTFA by DragonWriter · · Score: 2

    Meanwhile, patriot groups self-organized into cyberarmies and spreading their extremist views will flourish.

    Love the juxtaposition of "patriot" and "extremist". Because clearly, not wanting to live in a corporate dystopia is an "extremist" viewpoint.

    The groups McAfee is referring to here are politically-aligned "cyberarmies" that specifically support "extremist governments", they are one of several different types of "hacktivist" groups that are referred to as growing threats that are specifically being contrasted with Anonymous, which has the kind of broad anti-corporate-and-government power motivation you describe, and which is described as a threat that has peaked.

    So, no, they aren't (in the passage you quote) suggesting that "not wanting to live in a corporate dystopia is an 'extremist' viewpoint."

    1. Re:RTFA by BitZtream · · Score: 2

      The only contrast is that one is ultra left and the other is ultra right, other than that they are no different. Ultra-anything is ignorant and detrimental to the country.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  24. Re:Editor training by ls671 · · Score: 1

    Your rigth, they're speling misstakes allmost everry times, on everry articles. I volunter to give free lesons.

    --
    Everything I write is lies, read between the lines.
  25. Not so soon.... by Zaxx420 · · Score: 1

    Right now they have a huge hard on for the west baptist church hate group and rightly so. They've already doxed their senior membership as an appetizer. I'm sure we'll be hearing more and more...these people hiding behind 'god' are pure scum of the earth.

    1. Re:Not so soon.... by elucido · · Score: 1

      Right now they have a huge hard on for the west baptist church hate group and rightly so. They've already doxed their senior membership as an appetizer. I'm sure we'll be hearing more and more...these people hiding behind 'god' are pure scum of the earth.

      Like I said. There are no standards for what ops are permitted. West Baptist has freedom of speech, I thought Anon stood for freedom of speech? Wtf? F--- ANON.

      Anon at this time needs to determine not a list of principles to fight for as I believe this is short sighted but instead list a style of decision making or ethics to use to determine it's actions. Anon are currently what? Act Utilitarians? Rule Utilitarians? Consequentialist? What ethical philosophy guides Anon? If they can't even determine this then they need to get some deep high powered brains involved. I think what went wrong with Anon is the script kiddie teenage criminal element scared aware the deep thinkers and caused a brain drain. No one who is serious wants to be directly involved with Anon.

  26. 88+ arrested according to Wikipedia's tracking. by Andy+Prough · · Score: 1

    Wikipedia tracks at least 88 Guy Fawkes wearing kiddies arrested - maybe more, because the US, UK and Netherlands coordinated police effort has not been accurately tracked yet: http://it.slashdot.org/story/12/12/28/156208/mcafee-labs-predicts-decline-of-anonymous. That's the problem with shooting ion cannons that broadcast your IP address.

  27. Wrong link above. by Andy+Prough · · Score: 1
  28. Good riddance by WaffleMonster · · Score: 2

    When your primary weapons are lame DDOS attacks and repetitive, predictable poor quality "we are anonymous" youtube videos spoken by dr sbaitso it is hard to see much of a future.

    What is really sad is any agreeable lawful or vigilante activities are often trivially derailed and delegitimized by correlating "anonymous" with some asshat who once upon a time claimed to be anonymous defaced a web site dedicated to helping poor children.

    1. Re:Good riddance by flimflammer · · Score: 1

      Anonymous doesn't care if it's "politically viable" or what reputation they have or any of that nonsense. It's just a bunch of people doing shit for whatever reason they want. It might happen to coincide with the feelings of other people but that's by coincidence.

      What McAfee and apparently everyone else seems to mistake is that they just don't care. There might be a few "known" figures out there that either want to represent or are somewhat known to be involved in the whole Anonymous thing but all their "operations" are just posts on a forum that people of arbitrary quantity either jump in or out of at random.

      Basically, nothing is going to change. Anonymous isn't going to "reinvent" itself or disappear. They're going to do the same shit they did the days before.

  29. Crystal Ball by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 1

    "Billable hours! I see deep, deep pockets of billable hours!"

  30. Anon 1.0 is finished and was flawed by design by elucido · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The design of the current Anon is structurally and organizationally flawed. There aren't any Anon ethics think tanks to actually guide Anon philosophically. There aren't any professionals to advise or consult Anon on the potential global consequences of their actions. As a result they are a blind politically oriented umbrella organization. This is fine if you're a teenager or young adult in the early 20s range but by the time you reach your 30s and 40s you'll see that Anon isn't the way to go and wont really lead to the results they desire due to how they go about it.

    Anon has a function and a reason to exist if it were used intelligently but as it is now it's not used intelligently, it's not a self aware collective. An unaware collective is worse than no collective.

  31. Also tonight by TheSpoom · · Score: 1

    Anonymous predicts decline of McAfee Labs. News at eleven.

    --
    It's better to vote for what you want and not get it than to vote for what you don't want and get it.
    - E. Debs
  32. Anon can improve their design and reform itself by elucido · · Score: 1

    I'm not against Anon conceptually, but I do not like Anon as it is today. The solution for Anon is to get rid of all "principles" and "list" based ethics. There should be no list of right and wrong. Anon should instead decide on a case by case basis and utilize applied ethics to determine their actions based on the pros and cons.

    What they should however avoid doing for the best interest of the Anon public image is avoid criminal activity, remain non-violent, avoid anything which can make Anon look like the bad guys, but do everything possible to make Anon look like the good guys. If Anon were a corporation they suck at public relations. They also suck at philosophy, ethics, math and science, where are their apps? Why aren't they generating source code? Why isn't there a consequentialist philosophy or a methodology for deciding on the ethics of ops? Why isn't there Anon blogs everywhere studying the actual results of ops so that lessons can be learned or promoting best practices?

    As Anon exists today, they just suck. They got involved with guys like Julian Assange which was a bad move, as Julian Assange should never have been allowed to use Anon as a personal army. They also messed up by not having level headed smart people to explain what their function is. You're telling me there isn't a single professor in the United States or in the world who can explain Anon in a scholarly and academic manner to the erudites and luddites?

    Anon has a function. The technology landscape is becoming dangerously oppressive and it makes perfect sense to maintain the ability of dissent, but their method of dissent is often misguided or unintelligent and I hope my post explained why.

    1. Re:Anon can improve their design and reform itself by Da_Biz · · Score: 1

      Movements don't need to have leaders.

      You could use this same assertion against democracy ("people MUST be lead, fascism sounds good.").

  33. Flawed by design by elucido · · Score: 1

    Thats kinda the point of Anon. It has never been this is the leader and here is what we are gonna do. It was more of a bunch of angry people, or stupid, or bored, or someone just looking to hide behind the mask of anon, trying to do something. Good? Bad? Logical? Every time its something different. Its not a collective as much as a revolving door to a community room.

    If that is the point of Anon then it's time to replace it. Autopoeitic symbiosis within and between social systems can be achieved but the main thing Anon in particularly has to do is decentralization. Also the Anon banner has been in my opinion permanently diminished as a resource as it's now associated with hackers, with thugs, with criminals.

    Anon itself isn't bad conceptually but the implementation was like giving a bunch of children rocks and baseball bats and sending them to go against the mafia and other bigger older thugs with guns. These children weren't even the best and brightest in many cases, creating the perception among the best and brightest that Anon is populated by people who are incompetent. Conceptually if you understand what Anon is on a philosophical level then you understand it's a collective autopoeitic system with the intent of PROMOTING security and symbiosis between systems. The problem is it doesn't do this.

    Anon ultimately breaks down to moralist cock shuffling. Those who think their morality is better than the morality of another so they have the exclusive right to break the law to enforce their feelings, afterall they believe their feelings are right simply because they feel more passionately than everyone else or they are louder or more willing to break the law. But that does not mean their feelings are any more correct or are of any more value than anyone elses.

    Anon is at this point in time too adapted to moral realism and has not yet adapted itself to the more accurate yet more complex which is moral anti-realism (More can be found here on the problem of moral bigotry in Greene's Dissertation). Moral realism is the problem with Anon in it's current form and in my opinion if Anon is ever going to be effective as an organization it has go under a different banner as Anon is now toxic due to FBI arrests etc, and it would have to adopt moral anti-realism. This way it could actually promote security for everyone or at least the vast majority of people rather than worry about niche issues like West Baptist.

  34. Criminals should not be "core members" of Anon. by elucido · · Score: 1

    I'm surprised McAfee's argument for its decline has no mention of five of the anonymous core group being busted by the feds after one turned informant.

    And does this not display a flaw in their design? The fact that by design they allow for "Core Members" to be arrested and by design allow themselves to be treated as a criminal organization. They fucked themselves. How would an informant get you arrested if you're truly Anon? How would you get busted if you don't break the law? It seems fairly obvious that if you're a criminal then you're not really a core member of Anon.

    The problem with Anon is that criminals have become the leadership. When criminals run the organization then no one who is truly an intellectual and who doesn't want to go to prison will be bothered to associate with Anon. Why not just join a local street gang if one wants to associate with that?

  35. Most of those patriot groups are extremist by elucido · · Score: 1

    Meanwhile, patriot groups self-organized into cyberarmies and spreading their extremist views will flourish.

    Love the juxtaposition of "patriot" and "extremist".

    Because clearly, not wanting to live in a corporate dystopia is an "extremist" viewpoint.

    But even if that is the case, if they are more well organized and better designed than Anon was then they'll probably last a bit longer. They wont last but they'll last longer because they at least pretend to follow the Constitution while breaking the law.

  36. FTFY by s.petry · · Score: 2

    "all your bath salts are belong to us."

    --

    -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  37. Agreed. by Andy+Prough · · Score: 1

    Kind of hard to say "the corrupt fear us" when you ARE "the corrupt".

  38. Challenge accepted! by glowend · · Score: 1

    Challenge accepted! - Anonymous

  39. another headline by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    Slashdot predicts decline of McAfee antivirus in 2013.

  40. Pot, meet kettle by TheGoodNamesWereGone · · Score: 1

    This is an example of one joke calling another one a joke. John McAfee has just about doomed the company he founded and sold, in just a short time with his crazy drug-addled antics. Meanwhile, Anonymous may be popular with a few hackers and the Slashdot crowd, but they're a bunch of collectivists who get no sympathy from the general public, the internet equivalent of gangbangers with spray paint cans.

  41. I hadn't realized... by Hunter+Shoptaw · · Score: 1

    that Anon was a single group, person, entity or body that had one single focus. Last I knew Anon was much bigger than that, yet it seems everyone commenting has this belief that Anon is either good or bad and that one action directly affects another. I'm beginning to wonder how many of these tech savvy users actually understand what Anonymous is.

  42. McLaughee by GrBear · · Score: 1

    Does anyone even listen to these idiots anymore? I lost all respect for them a decade a go, anything they say is usually wrong or completely laughable.

  43. Re:He who controls the vocabulary controls the deb by trev.norris · · Score: 1

    Because clearly, not wanting to live in a corporate or government dystopia is an "extremist" viewpoint.

    FTFY. Don't want either dictating how I live.

  44. Re:hmmm by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    As a Kentucky native, I hereby certify that "bard" is howlingly correct. :D

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.