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NASA Considers Putting an Asteroid Into Orbit Around the Moon

Zothecula writes "To paraphrase an old saying, if the astronaut can't go to the asteroid, then the asteroid must come to the astronaut. In a study released by the Keck Institute for Space Studies, researchers outlined a mission (PDF) to tow an asteroid into lunar orbit by 2025 using ion propulsion and a really big bag. The idea is to bring an asteroid close to Earth for easy study and visits by astronauts without the hazards and expense of a deep space mission. Now, Keck researchers say NASA officials are evaluating the plan to see whether it's something they want to do. The total cost is estimated to be roughly $2.6 billion."

40 of 171 comments (clear)

  1. What could possibly go wrong? by halfEvilTech · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Could just imagine it done wrong and it eventually just smacks into us.

    1. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by superdave80 · · Score: 4, Informative

      They are looking at asteroids around 7 m in diameter. I doubt we would go the way of the dinosaurs if it fell to Earth.

    2. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It is actually staggeringly hard to deorbit an asteroid into a planet. Things don't just "fall' towards gravity wells - they orbit them. To actually hit something, you need to remove all the lateral motion relative to the body - which involves a lot of applied delta-V in the right direction of the orbit - for it to actually fall towards the target (+ - whatever you can get away with if you want to just skim the atmosphere).

      Without intentionally trying to, we're likely to have hundreds of years warning if an asteroid relocation was going to hit us.

    3. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by HawkinsD · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, they defintely mean 7 meters. 500,000 kg. Which seems like a lot, if it's hitting your house at several miles per second.

      But that's only 90,000 kg more than the ISS (http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/structure/isstodate.html).

      On the other hand, I bet the ISS would burn up a lot better on its way towards your house.

      --
      Never attribute to malice that which can be explained by mere idiocy.
    4. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Have you considered the possibility that they're not idiots? If it's 7m diameter asteroids, I assume those are small enough to burn up in our atmosphere. Either way, what are the chances that your thoroughly researched and calculated concerns will be something they haven't considered or justifiably dismissed?

    5. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by wierd_w · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think that would depend highly upon the composition of the asteroid they capture.

      Being scientists, and only getting big bucks on the table for a one shot deal, I would bet on their choosing as heterogenous of an asteroid as possible, preferably one with clear signs of stratification.

      This way portions of the asteroid will be rocky, while others will be more iron based, allowing for the greatest possible dataset to be collected from the expense.

      Such an asteroid would almost certainly fragment on re-entry, should it fall from orbit. This means many smaller asteroids, instead of a monolithic 500,000kg bombshell. I would expect most of it to burn up, and for it to rain tiny particles over a large area, with a considerable chance it will hit ocean.

    6. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by vell0cet · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Arguably... things in orbit ARE falling towards the "gravity well". They're just missing the ground.

    7. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by 14erCleaner · · Score: 2

      1. Find 500,000 kilogram solid-gold asteroid
      2. Tow into moon orbit for $2.6 billion
      3. ...
      4. Sell for current market price of $26 billion
      5. Profit!

      --
      Have you read my blog lately?
    8. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Spiridios · · Score: 3, Informative

      For those musing, here's a Asteroid Impact Effect Calculator. Should be quite a bang :-)

      Well, not quite knowing what density to use, I plugged in the 7m from TFA and chose porous object as a WAG at carbonaceous and left everything else at default and got this:

      The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth is 1.9 years

      I need to get out more if we have "quite a bang" every 1.9 years.

    9. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      They don't fall in the colloquial understanding of it though. Orbit, by and large, isn't some delicate state which will collapse at a moments notice.

    10. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by SilentStaid · · Score: 5, Informative

      1. Find 500,000 kilogram solid-gold asteroid
      2. Tow into moon orbit for $2.6 billion
      3. ...
      4. Sell for current market price of $26 billion
      5. Profit!

      4.5. Misunderstand macro-economics and intoduce more supply than could possibly be consumed by the demand and cause a collapse of gold prices as a precious metal.

    11. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Kylon99 · · Score: 2

      5. Secretly sell short gold prior to the news of this really getting out.
      6. Profit again!

      7. Get arrested for benefiting from manipulating markets.
      8. Go to jail and write a book.
      9. Profit!

      Ah, life is ever interesting...

    12. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by icebike · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The question is perfectly reasonable for anyone on earth to ask. This idea that you can't ask rocket scientists to justify anything is pretty elitist if you ask me.

      How precisely can the place it in orbit. You've got something on the order of 417 metric tons of material (if measured on earth) assuming its a loosely packed ball of rock, which many asteroids of that size are. That could do a lot of damage if it became uncontrolled.

      Can you bag that without it changing shape?
      Can the bag and tethers withstand the amount of strain necessary to decelerate it from its current orbit to earth orbit, then to the moon's orbit?
      Can the engine last that long?
      What happens when (not if) the engine fails?
      Would it burn up on entry into earth's atmosphere if the engine failed, or a tether broke?
      If you lose control of the package for any reason, where does it end up? In 5 years, in 25 years?

      If you, and they are so certain of their calculations and abilities, why not put it in earth orbit as others have suggested?

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    13. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Opyros · · Score: 4, Funny

      Actually, they're flying – under the Arthur Dent definition. (1. Aim yourself at the ground 2. Miss)

    14. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 4, Informative

      The asteroid's delta vee relative to Earth would be very low by the time it was approaching the neighborhood. That is strictly implied by the idea of "capturing" it. As such it would present very little more danger to the Earth than Sky Lab did. Not pleasant, but not a dinosaur killer, either.

      The Tunguska Event may have been an asteroid with a high delta vee. It may have been something else. It was not an asteroid cozying up slowly to the Earth, the way a captured asteroid would.

      --
      Will
    15. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by stjobe · · Score: 4, Informative

      Perhaps not, but it could still cause a lot of damage

      Not really. 7 meters is a *lot* less than 100 meters when we're talking about asteroid impacts. It would break up in the atmosphere.

      Here's a more detailed look at what would happen, I'll highlight the relevant parts:

      * Energy before atmospheric entry: 1.63 x 1013 Joules = 0.39 x 10-2 MegaTons TNT
      * The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth is 1.9 years
      * The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of 65500 meters = 215000 ft
      * The projectile bursts into a cloud of fragments at an altitude of 41400 meters = 136000 ft
      * No crater is formed, although large fragments may strike the surface.
      * The air blast at this location [1 km away from the impact point] would not be noticed. (The overpressure is less than 1 Pa).

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    16. Re:What Could Possibly Go Wrong? by stjobe · · Score: 2

      Chicken little.

      They're talking about capturing a 7-meter asteroid. Those already impact the earth roughly once every two years. And when I say "impact", I mean "break up in the atmosphere and do little to no damage to things on the ground".

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    17. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Cito · · Score: 5, Interesting

      But wait the moron scientist will calculate it as 7 miles diameter instead of 7 meters and we'll all die to some math screwup...

      Precedent

      "The Mars Climate Orbiter, which cost $Aus 136 million, disappeared because a Lockheed Martin engineering team used Imperial measurements while the JPL (Jet Propulsion Lab) team used the more conventional metric system. The wrong navigation information was sent to the Mars Climate Orbiter. It most likely burnt up in the atmosphere."

      hehe

    18. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by solarissmoke · · Score: 4, Informative

      You've got something on the order of 417 metric tons of material (if measured on earth) ...

      Why does it matter where you measure it? The mass won't change.

    19. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by solarissmoke · · Score: 2

      Er, no. Metric ton is a unit of mass.

    20. Re:What could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Here's another fucking precedent: the same agency landed people on the Moon with computers no more powerful than that of a pocket calculator. And this same agency explored all of the gas giants and has sent probes to every single planet, including multiple landings on Mars.

      Sorry, but one screwup by NASA doesn't obliterate their astounding exploration record. Nobody, but nobody can even compare. There is no better agency in the world that could pull off this mission.

  2. Deja Vu by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I feel like I have read this article before. NASA Plans To "Lasso" Asteroid and Turn It Into Space Station

    1. Re:Deja Vu by SternisheFan · · Score: 2

      I feel like I have read this article before. NASA Plans To "Lasso" Asteroid and Turn It Into Space Station

      At the time of that story, NASA would not confirm any involvemant in any asteroid capturing.

  3. Use film to inspire scientific dreaming by DustinB · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It would be spectacular if movies were made based upon potential Nasa missions and the awesome adventures that would entail. Perhaps that would get through to the masses. Unfortunately these thins are so mind-boggling to our uneducated masses that they don't see the amazing technical feat and engineering this requires, nor the art and wonder of it all. It's beyond their culture of lulz, shopping, and life stress. We love our movies though and they can still help us remember how to dream. I'd love to see a resurgence of sci-fi with an aim at inspiring us to push forward.

    1. Re:Use film to inspire scientific dreaming by Smallpond · · Score: 2

      Haven't you seen NASA's TV channel? I can hardly wait for each episode of "ISS Update".

  4. What could possibly go wrong? by sam_vilain · · Score: 2

    For those musing, here's a Asteroid Impact Effect Calculator. Should be quite a bang :-)

    --

  5. LOL by sgt+scrub · · Score: 4, Funny

    "using ion propulsion and a really big bag" It'll be worth every penny for the your momma jokes alone.

    --
    Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
  6. Re:Good. lease do this by newcastlejon · · Score: 2

    That got me thinking about something from 3001 (not that good a read, but still) wherein humans had been dropping comets onto Venus to slow terraform it. I wonder how many we'd have to drop onto Mars to make it a little more liveable there...

    --
    If God forks the Universe every time you roll a die, he'd better have a damned good memory.
  7. Dream team by phrostie · · Score: 2

    points to sky

    Billy: You see those two rocks? Asteroids. I was an engineer working on them. First they just wanted to put one but I said, "Fellas, we're here. What the hell, throw the other one up". Turned out pretty well, didn't it?
    Henry: Fantasy.

  8. place it in one of the lagrangian points by Mister+Liberty · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Earth–Moon L1 I mean.

  9. Bargin by DarthBling · · Score: 4, Interesting

    For only $2.6 billion, sounds like a bargain to me. For some perspective, here's what else $2.6 billion can buy or is equivalent to:

    - F22 Raptor
    - About one day of War on Terror
    - 60% of the money spent during the 2013 Presidential campaign.
    - The Mars Science Laboratory
    - Total worldwide box office revenue for Avatar

  10. Only a small one by Hentes · · Score: 2

    I don't really see the point of astronauts visiting a rock that's smaller than they are. This is a waste of resources, there are plenty of small asteroids that come to Earth by themselves, why not study them?

  11. Re:As a diver... by Beardo+the+Bearded · · Score: 2

    As a fellow diver who understands physics, none at all.

    --

    ---
    ECHELON is a government program to find words like bomb, jihad, plutonium, assassinate, and anarchy.
  12. Re:As a diver... by wierd_w · · Score: 2

    Consider newton's law of universal gravitation.

    The effect applied is equivalent to the gravitational constant, multiplied against the product of the two gravitating masses, divided by the square of the distance between them.

    Eg, waaaaaaaaaay out at the moon's lagrange point, and weighing in at a paltry 500,000kilos... that rock isn't going to do much.

    It wouldn't even displace a single millimeter of ocean water at that distance.

  13. Re:As a diver... by geekoid · · Score: 2

    Are you..serious? are you SERIOUSLY concerted about the tide being impacted by a 7m object orbiting the moon?

    It's amazing you live through any dives.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  14. Re:Good. lease do this by wierd_w · · Score: 4, Informative

    Mars already has a large extant of iron and oxygen on its surface. It is why it is red. (Iron III oxide.)

    For venus, I could see it dropping to "still bitching hot, but cool enough to work with on the surface with robots" in about 2000 years.

    Venus' surface temp is just a few degrees centigrade below the thermal decomposition temperature of aramid plastics. (Related to kevlar and pals.) Venus has a similar overall quantity of nitrogen in its atmosphere as earth does, just diluted by considerable excess of carbon dioxide.

    The secret to venus is to sequester the carbon.

    Engineering an extremophile atmospheric microbe to colonize the tops of the sulfuric acid cloud layer (were it's a nice, sunny 70F or so, at earth sealevel pressures.) That uses a stable sulfur cycle based derivitive of photosynthesis, that is engineered to produce aramid plastics, would do just that.

    Lacking any natural predators, and having a huge petri dish to colonize, with an excess of "food", the little bitches would rapidly "snow" out thermally stable plastic molecules and deplete the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and thereby puncture the thermal equilibrium of the planet.

    The issue is the hydrogen scarcity. The microbes would have to be able to produce their own water from their sulfur based respiration cycle from sulfuric acid, excrete sulfur dioxide, and sequester the water inside their cellular membranes. This means they would have to be extraordinarily robust in the face of anhydrous sulfuric acid. That alone is a pretty impressive feat to accomplish with engineered biology. I was thinking that the microbes could use a heavy metal complex with lead to reduce the chemical activity of their cellular membranes, and use of the aramid plastic as internal skeletal structures might work. (One of the interesting features on venus is lead sulfide snow. It volatizes on the surface, then crystalizes in the atmosphere. This makes it a potential raw material for the microbes to use. Lead is very resistant to acidic attack.)

    Releasing such microbes on venus would cause a runaway reaction in the atmosphere, transforming venus from a cloudy hot furnace, into a hellish sea of acidic gel oceans, and do so very quickly.

  15. Re:Copyright the Story by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 2

    ... they should recruit astronauts with dark pasts, a drinking problem, or who are Elmo.

    But you repeat yourself...

  16. Re:Good. lease do this by countach74 · · Score: 2

    Make all the robots run the same direction. It should act like a hamster in its wheel.

  17. Remember, it's a REUSABLE SPACE TUG by wisebabo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Ok, so once the asteroid collector has delivered the asteroid to high lunar orbit, what does the spacecraft do then?

    Well, if its got even a tiny fraction of its propellant left over (remember it just towed something maybe 100x its size clear across the solar system) , it slowly spirals down to low earth orbit and... REFUELS.

    Now here's where things get interesting. Once it's refueled (remember its main consumable is up to 12,000 lbs. of Xenon, it gets its energy from solar power), it can do any number of things. Of course it could be sent out again to get another asteroid (including, as I mentioned in a previous post, one with precious WATER) but that might be boring. How about having it PAY FOR ITSELF by moving satellites from LEO to geosynchronous orbit. (This is very expensive as it typically requires an additional booster, I think the cost per pound is at least double that to low orbit). I think this market is on the order of $5B per year.

    The reason why this would work is because the asteroid tug would clearly be capable of moving very(!) large payloads. It wouldn't even have to be very slow, if it can accelerate a 500 ton asteroid at 1/10,000th of a g, it could accelerate a 5 ton satellite at say 1/200th of a gee (taking into account the tug's own weight). So it could deliver the satellites in weeks if not days. Of course there would need to be a few minor design modifications to the tug. The collapsible "bag" would have to be removable and some sort of industry standard docking ports added. There would need to be some provision for refueling ports and critical components (gyroscopes, reaction wheels, electronics) would need to be replaceable/upgradeable like the Hubble space telescope. Of course servicing this "space tug" in this way is probably beyond the near term capabilities of robotics. Rather than this being a problem, it could be an opportunity -

    - for the International Space Station to actually be USEFUL. Here it could serve as a fuel depot, servicing "garage" and interchange point for these "space tugs". The kind of problem that robotics can't handle yet are ideally suited for an astronaut with a wrench (and maybe some elbow grease). The fact that the main propellant for these tugs is Xenon, an inert noble element, makes handling the fuel much less problematic (no problems with corrosion or toxicity) and safer (no fear of explosive combustion). Even the fact that these tugs use ion thrusters would be an advantage meaning that everything would be happening very slowly, if one went out of control they could probably move the entire station out of the way (like they do when avoiding space junk). The station could also keep spare, interchangeable parts for these tugs such as additional "bags" or robot arms or other modules. In short, the ISS would have a PURPOSE.

    With even a little thought, these space tugs have lots of additional uses. The same high power ion engines that can move a 500 ton asteroid could also send 500 tons of cargo cheaply (if slowly) to Mars. The same collapsible bag that can capture a tumbling asteroid can easily capture a much lighter piece of space junk. All it takes is for a government with foresight to make the initial investment that may (as I've suggested) quickly repay itself perhaps many times over. And isn't that the purpose of government (if not NASA)?

  18. oops by ridgecritter · · Score: 2

    Sorry to reply to my own post - I mistook the energy in 1 ton of TNT (4.2e9 Joules) as being the energy for 1 kiloton of TNT, so my energy estimate is 1000x too large. Actual energy release would be in the low kiloton range, which I agree we could easily miss if most of the energy were coupled to the atmosphere by an endoatmospheric burst.