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Why Scientists Should Have a Greater Voice On Global Security

Lasrick writes "Physicist Lawrence Krauss has a great piece in the NY Times today about the lack of influence scientists wield on global security issues, to the world's detriment. He writes, 'To our great peril, the scientific community has had little success in recent years influencing policy on global security. Perhaps this is because the best scientists today are not directly responsible for the very weapons that threaten our safety, and are therefore no longer the high priests of destruction, to be consulted as oracles as they were after World War II. The problems scientists confront today are actually much harder than they were at the dawn of the nuclear age, and their successes more heartily earned. This is why it is so distressing that even Stephen Hawking, perhaps the world’s most famous living scientist, gets more attention for his views on space aliens than his views on nuclear weapons. Scientists' voices are crucial in the debates over the global challenges of climate change, nuclear proliferation and the potential creation of new and deadly pathogens. But unlike in the past, their voices aren't being heard.'"

32 of 167 comments (clear)

  1. Because government no longer listens ... by gstoddart · · Score: 5, Insightful

    An increasing number of politicans will only listen to the scienticians if what they're saying supports the conclusions they've already arrived at.

    They're not interested in facts, just their own ideology.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    1. Re:Because government no longer listens ... by SerpentMage · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The problem with science and scientists is that they are money losing ventures. Scientists are not rich, they talk in very complicated manners, and do not come to conclusions! Scientists know the world is complex and all problems are complex and solved in a piecemeal manner.

      Its much easier to say, "And I am here to tell you 1776 will commence again if you try to take our firearms!"

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/video/2013/jan/08/alex-jones-pro-gun-tirade-piers-morgan-video

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtyKofFih8Y

      There is nothing factual about this. Nothing of value, but gee it sure sounds good and makes a good impression. This is what American society and many other societies have degraded to. So yeah no politician wants to listen to a scientist because this is what a scientist sounds like:

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=anfbjiShjP8

      Compare the Youtube count, 6 million vs 100K. Yeah people are interested in facts!!!

      --

      "You can't make a race horse of a pig"
      "No," said Samuel, "but you can make very fast pig"
    2. Re:Because government no longer listens ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They're not interested in facts, just their own ideology.

      Criticizing politicians for having an ideology is absurd. Political questions are not like engineering questions - 'how much should we spend on bridges' is not at all the same category of question as 'estimate the ultimate load-bearing capacity of this bridge'. Political issues require consideration of things like the underlying values of society, legitimacy of decision-making and economic priorities, none of which have a single 'right' or even an 'approximately right' answer. Stephen Hawking is not a nuclear weapons specialist (although I dare say he knows more than 99% of the population) so why should his views on nuclear weapons be particularly important given that many of the questions involved are about fairness, desire for security and economic constraints? When deciding whether Truman's decision to drop the A bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki was appropriate, how useful is it to understand the technical difference between the two types of bombs used?

      Of course, many politicians ignore the facts on subjects like Global Climate Change, and that can't be approved of. But I also groan when I read scientific experts move from explaining the facts about a subject to advocacy of their preferred course of action without differentiating the statements.

    3. Re:Because government no longer listens ... by LateArthurDent · · Score: 2, Informative

      Criticizing politicians for having an ideology is absurd.

      The criticism is when they ignore evidence against their particular ideology.

      Political questions are not like engineering questions - 'how much should we spend on bridges' is not at all the same category of question as 'estimate the ultimate load-bearing capacity of this bridge'.

      Although there certainly are decisions that cannot be made objectively, your example is not one of them. We can certainly do cost-benefit analyses to decide whether building a bridge somewhere is worth the amount of money that will be spent building it.

      Sometimes it is subjective. For example, most of us are not anarchists and believe that the government should establish certain laws, even though every law is a restriction on your freedom. We do, however, disagree on where that line is between order and safety and freedom. This is purely ideological. However, even if you lean towards sacrificing more freedom for increased safety, we can empirically determine whether a piece of legislation would actually make people safer or not, whereas right now we don't bother with that.

  2. 3 problems by banbeans · · Score: 4, Insightful

    To much politics in science today to trust them with decisions.
    There is a lot of junk out there being passed off as science.
    Many scientists are available for sale to the highest bidder.

    This has caused a loss of trust in the scientific community by the general public and the leadership.

    1. Re:3 problems by Amorymeltzer · · Score: 5, Insightful

      - Science is too political to be trusted with decisions, leave it to those who are entirely political
      - The signal-to-noise ratio, while significantly higher than current political rhetoric, is less than one.
      - Not every scientist can be bought.

      FTFY.

      Okay, snark aside, at a time when Congress ranks below cockroaches are you truly suggesting this wouldn't improve the situation? Your points are, in a sense, all valid, but we should not let the perfect be the enemy of the good. An improvement is just that, and need not be perfection.

      --
      I live in constant fear of the Coming of the Red Spiders.
    2. Re:3 problems by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2

      Problem 4: today's scientists don't have the street cred of the WW2 generation. Those guys went from zero to (many) operational weapons systems in six years or less, and by many objective measures Knew What They Were Doing, and millions of people in uniform and out saw it with their own eyes. Today's average global warming scientist, pure mathematician, or theoretical physicist can only point to publications and slide shows for his accomplishments. Not the same gravitas with the average Joe, and not even the same gravitas with technical types like myself who get their flu shots and don't subscribe to young earth creationism.

  3. If Scientists Ran Global Security... by Press2ToContinue · · Score: 3, Interesting

    - "hackers" would be called "tireless researchers"
    - finding security flaws would be called "peer-review"
    - there would be a lot more 14-year-olds leading new scientific advances

    and...

    - people who put their own self-interests aside to disseminate paywalled scientific research for the betterment of humankind would be labeled "heros," and be awarded posthumous honors

    --
    Sent from my ENIAC
    1. Re:If Scientists Ran Global Security... by DickBreath · · Score: 2, Funny

      Look, seriously. If scientists ran the world and occupied political positions of power, if we got rid of marketing departments and corporate communications, then what jobs would be left for stupid people?

      --
      Necessity is the mother of invention. Greed is the mother of patents.

      --

      I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
    2. Re:If Scientists Ran Global Security... by vlm · · Score: 2

      LOL if science was in charge of global security:

      If you want to join .mil, basic training in .mil would be about four to six years long, you'd have to pay $50K and all expenses to .mil for your first 4 years, afterward for a couple years they might (or might not) provide you room and board while you're basically a drill instructor to the new recruits, then if they like your work, and most importantly if you're lucky, about 1/4 to 1/2 of you would get hired to become Generals, of which maybe 1/2 would get tenure and $1M/yr jobs and everyone else who didn't make it would have to quit the whole subject and become freelance computer programmers or bums or whatever. And no one would get more than $20K/yr except a couple elite tenured Generals at the top none of whom would make less than $100K/yr (actually kind of sounds like the corporate view of the ideal future)

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    3. Re:If Scientists Ran Global Security... by desdinova+216 · · Score: 2

      I thought it was the publishers who do did thing like 90/copy and killing resale markets.

  4. Scientists promote Godless ideas by DickBreath · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Scientists promote Godless evil ideas such as global warming, evolution and birth control. They also seem to think you should believe something based on the evidence for it, sound methodology, and peer review. If every idea had to be scrutinized thusly, do you realize how difficult it would be to get every new idea about aliens and conspiracies onto talk radio? Then how would we are to be learning about these important topics?

    --
    Necessity is the mother of invention. Greed is the mother of patents.

    --

    I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
  5. A quote by RenHoek · · Score: 4, Informative

    Anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that "my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge".

        -- Isaac Asimov

  6. A Question of Fields by Millennium · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It has been a long time since anyone existed who could only call himself (or herself) a "scientist." The term is now a generic way to refer to people whose actual work is in any of a staggering number of highly specialized fields. There is some acknowledgment of this in TFA, which states (correctly) that many of today's greatest scientific minds don't work directly in the fields related to the things that affect our security. To use the article's own example, Stephen Hawking is a theoretical physicist and cosmologist: he doesn't work on nuclear weapons.

    But for a given question, what grounds are there to privilege the viewpoints of those whose expertise is not in a field of direct relevance to that question? On questions concerning nuclear weapons, for example, why should Stephen Hawking's viewpoint be held as equivalent to a nuclear physicist's viewpoint? For that matter, why should his viewpoint be held as superior to the viewpoint of anyone else who is not a nuclear physicist?

    1. Re:A Question of Fields by c0lo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But for a given question, what grounds are there to privilege the viewpoints of those whose expertise is not in a field of direct relevance to that question?

      The capacity to apply critical thinking? Which probably leads to conclusion of "I don't know enough" - if the scientist attempting this is outside the area of expertise required - but nevertheless will show what other things need to be known to reach a conclusion.
      BTW, critical thinking is something that most of the politicians don't show/use in their exercise.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
  7. There's no time for reason... by ADanFromCanada · · Score: 2

    there's money to be made!

  8. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  9. As much as we all hate politicians, he's right by PPalmgren · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Scientists are specialized brains who devote a significant majority of their life and time to one discipline or sub-discipline. A specialist is good for explaining how something works in layman's terms, a generalist is better at integrating this information into other specalist's explanations to mesh out something that works. A scientific council with general recommendations and upper/lower bounds to possible solutions? Great. A scientist deciding the solution outright? No sir.

  10. The actual message: by Hartree · · Score: 2

    The writer wants greater influence from scientists who agree with him.

    I suspect that given the chance to have given Edward Teller or William Shockley greater influence on global security, he might decline.

    On the other hand, he might have wanted more influence by someone like Linus Pauling.

    All three mentioned were good scientists in their fields. So, the criterion becomes what their positions are rather than just that they are good scientists.

  11. Scientists by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Scientists don't have a good track record on setting policy. They tend to get too focused on their own little area and end up making bad decisions. And that doesn't even take into consideration what can happen when the wrong scientist gets in control, if you remember the Russian horrors of Lysenkoism.

    Any time you create a process whereby people can acquire power, that process will be abused. Remember the fighting between Oppenheimer and Teller? It can get much, much worse than that.

    If scientists have more power than average people, then everyone will rush to redefine themselves as scientists, like this guy. Instead of marketers, we'll have "social researchers." Instead of accountants we'll have "capital flow researchers." And I'm not going to stay out of the game, I'll definitely be a computer scientist, not a programmer. Soon the term "scientist" will lose its meaning.

    If scientists want to affect policy in a democratic society, they need to get better at explaining. Albert Einstein reportedly said, "You do not really understand something unless you can explain it to your grandmother." It may sound excessive, but remember that's what Feynman did with advanced theoretical physics. You can do it. Of course, in a democratic society, if everyone collectively wants to shoot themselves in the foot, there's not always much you can do about it.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  12. Re:Well, not these scientists by Hentes · · Score: 2

    But nuclear warfare isn't random, it's not like Putin and the President throws a dice every day to decide whether or not to launch. The chance in this case came from lack of knowledge, which over time has disappeared. By your analogy, after rolling 20s for decades, it's safe to say that the dice is loaded.

  13. Blind Faith vs Science by RichMan · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The major power structures, church and state, are formed around blind faith.
    They know what is best and will do it for you. You just have to believe.

    Science is based around inquiry and questioning what is going on.

    To accept science you must be open to doubt.
    The major power structures are based on doubt and questioning being a very very bad thing.

    If we want science to go up we must become free of the current power structures.

  14. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by Amorymeltzer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Perhaps that indicates a problem with politics rather than scientists.

    --
    I live in constant fear of the Coming of the Red Spiders.
  15. Science and politics by Hatta · · Score: 2

    Science should have a greater voice on policy at all levels. Laws are intended to accomplish goals. They should be tested regularly to see if they accomplish those goals, and repealed if they do not. Evidence based legislation is a good idea for the same reasons evidence based medicine is.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  16. Scientists on slashdot by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 2

    An increasing number of politicans will only listen to the scienticians if what they're saying supports the conclusions they've already arrived at.

    They're not interested in facts, just their own ideology.

    It's not just politicians, it's everywhere - even on Slashdot.

    If you look at the gun control debate and only consider the evidence, the answer is obvious. It's been obvious for a long time - there was an article in Scientific American decades ago which explained the evidence and statistics. The conclusion hasn't changed since then.

    And yet, people go back and forth on this very website arguing storylines instead of facts. Both sides continuously cite heartfelt stories in an attempt to sway others that what they believe is correct. The statistics are there, there's some attempt to mislead the debate by framing the numbers in specific ways, but overall it's clear-cut.

    Being a scientist means you make evidence-based decisions. I may not like the decisions, and it may feel wrong to me, but at the end of the day I know that basing decisions on evidence is the most likely path to success.

    If you don't form your beliefs based on evidence in the gun debate, why bother using evidence at all? If you can believe stories over evidence, then vaccinations cause autism, cell phones cause cancer, a little inflation is good, and a talking snake convinced a rib-woman to eat an apple from a magic tree.

    There are cases where we don't have enough information, and "best guess" and "expert opinion" can probably serve; however, many times the evidence is overwhelming and the path is clear.

    We would all do well to stop talking "pathos" in our posts and concentrate on facts.

    That's what we should be doing, really: keep the debate focused on evidence. When there's a clear indication from evidence, don't let the other side wander off into storyland.

    (I chose gun control as an emotionally-charged topic that's fresh in people's minds. I claim the point is valid for many issues discussed on Slashdot.)

  17. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by Hatta · · Score: 5, Insightful

    their tests for success and advancement are radically different than those in the political space

    This is exactly why they are supremely qualified to work on policy. Scientists and politicans have different tests for success because only scientists are concerned about truth and effectiveness. Politicians are concerned about getting reelected and doing favors for their cronies. It is actually politicians who are hoplessly unqualified to work on policy.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  18. Restore science to it's rightful place by kenh · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Scientists' voices are crucial in the debates over the global challenges of climate change, nuclear proliferation and the potential creation of new and deadly pathogens. But unlike in the past, their voices aren't being heard.'"

    Four years ago a candidate for President promised to "restore science to it's rightful place" - why hasn't it happened? He got elected (and re-elected) to office on that pormise (among others)?

    --
    Ken
  19. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by Hatta · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Effectiveness being a weasel word. Effective based on what criteria?

    Obviously those criteria should be set out in the law itself. Every law should have a goal, and specify a way for evaluating progress towards that goal.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  20. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by Hatta · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why is compromising with people who are demonstrably wrong a desirable feature?

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  21. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

    Why is compromising with people who are demonstrably wrong a desirable feature?

    Because it enables you to actually accomplish something.

  22. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by tnk1 · · Score: 2

    Because you can't always demonstrate that they are wrong to everyone's satisfaction. Experimentation *may* clarify outcomes, but often the political battle is whether to do the experiment to begin with, because experiments have their own effects.

  23. Re:What do scientists know about politics?` by riverat1 · · Score: 2

    How do you think climate scientists would be doing if they had the same PR budget as many of the forces trying to discredit their work do? How would you feel about it if they spent 5 or 10% of their grant money on PR? Should scientists spend more time schmoozing and thereby reduce the amount of science they end up doing? Some scientists are good at that sort of thing but many are not. Scientist's jobs are to study reality and publish their findings and to pass their knowledge on to the next generation of scientists.