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Fukushima's Fallout of Fear

gbrumfiel writes "Experts believe that the many thousands who fled from the Fukushima nuclear disaster received very low doses of radiation. But that doesn't mean there won't be health consequences. Nature magazine traveled to Fukushima prefecture and found evidence of an enormous mental strain from the accident. Levels of anxiety and PTSD-like symptoms are high among evacuees. Researchers fear that, in the long run, the mental problems could lead to depression and substance abuse among those who lost their homes. In other words, even if no one develops cancer as a direct result of radiation, the health effects could still be very real."

30 of 124 comments (clear)

  1. This is about information policy by rrohbeck · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If officials would reliably issue accurate statements there would be much less reason to stress out.

    1. Re:This is about information policy by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 2

      Or even more reason to be afraid...IIRC part of the problem was they weren't telling people how bad it really was wasn't it?

      That said "among those who lost their homes" would seem to include the many thousands of tsunami victims rather than just the ones displaced due to the nuclear issues.

      Attributing that to Fukushima isn't a fair metric (and I'm one to widely denounce nuclear power...)

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    2. Re:This is about information policy by joe_frisch · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Does this lead to suggesting that the government downplay risks since the fear causes more injuries that the actual risk? Should we avoid technologies that scare people even if there is not data to support that fear?

      I think the study is probably valid, but I think people need to be very careful on how this information is incorporated into policy.

    3. Re:This is about information policy by iYk6 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Or even more reason to be afraid...IIRC part of the problem was they weren't telling people how bad it really was wasn't it?

      That was the problem. By lying, officials were indirectly telling people that the nuclear disaster was so bad that they had to lie. Plus, not knowing how bad it is adds another layer of stress.

    4. Re:This is about information policy by maxwell+demon · · Score: 3, Informative

      Quite the opposite. There's nothing causing more fear than the government found downplaying the danger. As soon as the government is found downplaying, all claims by the government that there's no or only little danger completely lose any credibility they may have had, and people assume the worst.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    5. Re:This is about information policy by EdZ · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If officials would reliably issue accurate statements there would be much less reason to stress out.

      They did. Even prior to the hydrogen explosions, I was following the IAEA and NISA reports on exactly what was going on, complete with regularly updated radiation levels for various sampling stations.
      However, if all you're getting in media reports is fearmongering over THIS NUMBER IS 100 TIMES BIGGER THAN THIS OTHER NUMBER! (and neglecting to mention the units, let alone a helpful comparison to commonly encountered levels of radiation) you'd be forgiven for thinking that the people who know what's going on aren't telling anyone. They are, it's simply that nobody is bothering to listen (and think).

    6. Re:This is about information policy by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 2
      Article TITLE: FUKUSHIMA's Fallout of Fear.

      Article title does JUST that. Summary talks specifically about the PTSD for people who lost homes. Which happened significantly outside Fukushima Prefecture (as well as in it)

      Further from the summary:

      traveled to Fukushima prefecture and found evidence of an enormous mental strain from the accident

      Note 'ACCIDENT', not disaster, accident; i.e. the NUCLEAR PLANT.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    7. Re:This is about information policy by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yeah well even the summary still doesn't attribute all lost homes to the nuclear accident as you claim.

      The Summary says that the effects from the 'accident' (the reactor) include PTSD for people who lost their homes. That's quite clearly attributing tsunami issues since far more people 'lost' homes to the tsunami than to the reactor failure...which isn't a fair metric.

      I will happily take the RTFA blame as I didn't, but the summary is still quite clearly 'bad'.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    8. Re:This is about information policy by Mike_EE_U_of_I · · Score: 2

      Or even more reason to be afraid...IIRC part of the problem was they weren't telling people how bad it really was wasn't it?

      That said "among those who lost their homes" would seem to include the many thousands of tsunami victims rather than just the ones displaced due to the nuclear issues.

      Attributing that to Fukushima isn't a fair metric (and I'm one to widely denounce nuclear power...)

      Sigh...This is Slashdot, where no one actually RTFA, right?

          The article specifically mentions "But uncertainty, isolation and fears about radioactivity’s invisible threat are jeopardizing the mental health of the 210,000 residents who fled from the nuclear disaster."

          This is about the people who were forced out of their homes because of the nuclear disaster, NOT people whose homes were destroyed by the tsunami.

    9. Re:This is about information policy by Waccoon · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately, a lie is usually more effective than, "We don't know."

      The more you learn about sociology, the more depressing it gets. Ethical panic control isn't easy.

  2. So let me get this? by scsirob · · Score: 5, Insightful

    .. Are they saying that fear mongering will kill more people than the radiation from actual nuclear disaster? Wow.
    So that means, on the death toll scale:
    1. The actual Tsunami
    2. Traffic accidents from people trying to flee
    3. Stress related deaths
    4. Radiation related deaths

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
    1. Re:So let me get this? by sjames · · Score: 2

      That's about right.

    2. Re:So let me get this? by fredprado · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That seems accurate, but I would say that there are still a lot of other items between 3 and 4.

    3. Re:So let me get this? by Cryacin · · Score: 4, Funny

      You forgot #847. Tripping over cat and falling down stairs whilst hurriedly running to basement to get to fallout shelter.

      --
      Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck
    4. Re:So let me get this? by Cryacin · · Score: 2, Funny

      But... if you cut that out, then Fox news would just be the Fox logo.

      --
      Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck
    5. Re:So let me get this? by afgam28 · · Score: 2

      I wonder if pollution wafting over from China is one of them!

      It's interesting that when mostly coal-induced smog chokes a city of 20 million people, it's minor news for a day, whereas Fukushima made global headlines for weeks. I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Fukushima, but imagine how many hundreds of thousands more people will develop cancer from the smog.

  3. What about drowning? by vlm · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Experts believe that the many thousands who fled from the Fukushima nuclear disaster received very low doses of radiation. But that doesn't mean there won't be health consequences.

    Yeah I think having your friends, family, and coworkers drown might stress them a wee bit, even if americans think nothing happened there but a minor nuclear power incident.

    --
    "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
  4. A home is a terrible thing to lose by fnj · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Losing your home, let alone all your possessions, is a horrific thing to go through, no matter what the process of loss is: nuclear accident, hurricane, bankruptcy. I believe it is a more devastating loss than the one you have when you reach a certain age and the truth of your own mortality comes into full focus. Losing everything the day your own light goes out forever, there is a sense of loss in the anticipation, but there is no "you" to miss anything afterwards. Losing all your "stuff" on the other hand is the hurt that just keeps hurting.

  5. Re:very low doses????? by joe_frisch · · Score: 2

    We do have data. Natural radiation levels vary considerably with location. It is of course difficult to separate effects since lots of other things also vary with location, but there is so much data available that studies should be pretty good

  6. Low-dose radiation isn't a big deal by Robotbeat · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesconca/2013/01/11/like-weve-been-saying-radiation-is-not-a-big-deal/

    "A very big report came out last month with very little fanfare. It concluded what we in nuclear science have been saying for decades – radiation doses less than about 10 rem (0.1 Sv) are no big deal. The linear no-threshold dose hypothesis (LNT) does not apply to doses less than 10 rem (0.1 Sv), which is the region encompassing background levels around the world, and is the region of most importance to nuclear energy, most medical procedures and most areas affected by accidents like Fukushima."

    1. Re:Low-dose radiation isn't a big deal by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'm going to undo a bunch of mod points with this post, but I wanted to point out that the blog post you cite is flat out wrong.

      I'd like to say that I'm for building more nuclear plants of 4th or later generation design and that even with the LNT model, the maximum number of deaths from Fukushima might be on the level of a single bus accident. That said, the blogpost is incredibly misleading. It took me a while to track down the original source that the post claims to cite from UNSCEAR and it's this paragraph:

      In general, increases in the incidence of health effects in populations cannot be attributed reliably to chronic exposure to radiation at levels that are typical of the global average background levels of radiation. This is because of the uncertainties associated with the assessment of risks at low doses, the current absence of radiation-specific biomarkers for health effects and the insufficient statistical power of epidemiological studies. Therefore, the Scientific Committee does not recommend multiplying very low doses by large numbers of individuals to estimate numbers of radiation-induced health effects within a population exposed to incremental doses at levels equivalent to or lower than natural background levels;

      What they are saying in short is that the statistical uncertainty is strong enough at low levels of radiation doses WRT cancer risk is that it's not possible to tell whether the LNT model is true or not and THEREFOR it shouldn't be used to say "this many people will die from this much low level radiation". They aren't saying that LNT is wrong. They aren't saying that LNT is right. They are saying we don't know.

      The quote from the report is from here. It's from the latest report to the general assembly, page 16.

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
  7. Re:very low doses????? by BlackThorne_DK · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Please do me a favor. Don't go to the Grand Central Station with a geiger counter. Also stay away from Capitol Hill i D.C. and any other granite or marble building.
    Also bananas could be scary to look at, and flying to the east coast would also be a no-go.

    http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/reaction/interact/facts.html

    I wouldn't have you ramp up that nuclear fear too high, or you might be a part of statistics.

    Radiation is all around us, and the scientist are not even sure it is a bad thing.

  8. So why evacuate? by leannet3 · · Score: 2

    The article comes close to saying the evacuation was a mistake. It looks like far more deaths and suffering will come from the evacuation that the low doses of radiation.

  9. Implications by sjames · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Given that, I wonder how the total financial meltdown courtesy of Golden Sacks and co. complete with people losing their homes, income, and healthcare compares to every reactor in the U.S. suffering a Fukushima style meltdown all at once.

  10. Re:very low doses????? by gdshaw · · Score: 2

    I don't think there is a low dose minimum. Sure we have background radiation. So this plus whatever folks received from the leakage from the Fukushima plants is considered low? What BS. [...] But looking at the basic physics and the effects of radioactive molecules on nearby cells, we can with a certain amount of certainty say that radiation in any amount will have not so good effects on the human body.

    If you follow that line of reasoning then you are left with a choice between declaring large parts of the world uninhabitable due to background radiation (and banning air travel), or treating natural and artificial exposure differently even when both are elective.

    Japan, as it happens, has a relatively low natural background level under normal circumstances. Doubling it sounds pretty bad but is actually no worse than the average for the USA. Cornwall in England is about five times higher: should we evacuate, or is it OK because it is natural?

    There is a strip of land that was downwind of the reactors at the time of the accident with levels that few if any places on Earth would match from natural sources. Avoiding long-term exposure at those levels is sensible; panicking about a fractional increase over the background level is not.

  11. This happened at Chernobyl too. by InterGuru · · Score: 2

    From the IEEE spectrum's article Chernobyl's Stressful After-Effects

    Perhaps most widespread are psychosomatic illnesses--even in not-too-contaminated areas, there has been a large upswing in stress-related physical ailments, notably stomach and autoimmune disorders. In fact, morbidity and mortality due to such disorders may well in the end exceed sicknesses and deaths caused by radiation.

    Also see the book Toxic Turmoil (one review here)for more discussion of the role of stress in disasters.

    We should note the Chernobyl's radiation release was an order of magnitude greater than Fukashima's .

  12. The Radiation is Irrelavant by strangeattraction · · Score: 2

    People lost their homes, loved ones, possessions and jobs. Why anyone would think the power plant issue/evacuation is the main source of their depression is beyond comprehension.

  13. Re:Yes. Yes they did. by khallow · · Score: 2

    As an exercise, why don't you try finding official statements that back up your opinion? It's worth noting that a number of these statements would be true, if they were uttered before the event happened. For example, within the first couple of days, a statement that there was no meltdown would be correct.

  14. Re:Yes. Yes they did. by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    As an exercise, why don't you try finding official statements that back up your opinion?

    As an exercise, why don't you try paying attention next time something like this happens? Those of us who were don't need a citation, because we saw it happen. Japan actually shut down blogs that were telling the truth about the incident "in the national interest". Not that this is special. How much are you hearing about the NJ residents locked up in prison right now for the crime of being in the way of a natural disaster?

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  15. Actually comparitively sane by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I was in Japan shortly after the Tsunami, and most people seemed to understand that the radiation would have no impact on their lives for anyone in Tokyo or south of Tokyo, compared to the mild panic say on the west coast of North America. The authorities seemed to have communicated somewhat effectively the risks, at least for those not in the immediate area, and people were far more focused on getting support to tsunami victims than concerned about radiation. As such, the damage due to panic was relatively localized.

    I'd hate to see something similar happen in the US - with the culture of fear, panic, and entitlement, people would go nuts and the damage across the entire country could well be hundreds of times larger than any radiation release could cause. This is why the prospect of a dirty bomb is such a scary terrorist scenario - it wouldn't cause much damage itself but people would tear each other apart, avoid anyone exposed due to fear, and permanantly cordon off a large section of urban landscape. Even though if this were to happen it is likely to be home grown, the army will likely go to war with the first country that blinks, and politics will get even more insane. Scary stuff - though completely preventable and self-imposed.