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The Mathematics of the Lifespan of Species

skade88 writes "NPR is reporting on a study in which the author claims to have found the formula to predict the average life span of members of a species. It does not apply to specific individuals of that species, only to the average life span of members of the species as a whole. From the article: 'It's hard to believe that creatures as different as jellyfish and cheetahs, daisies and bats, are governed by the same mathematical logic, but size seems to predict lifespan. The formula seems to be nature's way to preserve larger creatures who need time to grow and prosper, and it not only operates in all living things, but even in the cells of living things. It tells animals for example, that there's a universal limit to life, that though they come in different sizes, they have roughly a billion and a half heart beats; elephant hearts beat slowly, hummingbird hearts beat fast, but when your count is up, you are over.'"

33 of 158 comments (clear)

  1. That's why I don't exercise by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Funny

    Keep my heart rate to a minimum...

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:That's why I don't exercise by darkfeline · · Score: 2

      Ditto.

      But in all seriousness, even the summary says that this only applies to a species as a whole. Even if there was a hard quota on how many heartbeats you had, there's no point saving up your heartbeats not exercising just to die early from a heart attack.

    2. Re:That's why I don't exercise by haruchai · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Funny but I don' t think the math adds up. Let's look at a 50 year period and assume a constant heart rate and skip pesky leap

      So for Joe Average, that's 26,280,000 minutes at 70 bpm or 1,839,600,000 beats.

      Now in that time Frankie Fitness works out 5 hrs per week for 50 yrs at a heart rate of 150 beats per minute so 780,000 min or 117,000,000 beats during exercise.

      Assume that drops his average heart rate to 60 bpm so over 50 years, the number of heartbeats outside when not exercising would be 60 * 25,500,000 = 1,530,000,000.
      So Frankie's total heartbeats over 50 years would be 1,647,000,000 so he saves close to 200 million beats over Joe Average.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    3. Re:That's why I don't exercise by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

      But I am surprised the article does not mention even one of the obvious -- one might even say glaring -- exceptions.

      Take various species of tortoise for example. They can easily live to be 150 years old, yet weigh (many of them anyway) far less than a human. Same with many species of parrot.

      Then there's the hydra ... 100 million years old or so, in its current form (just a wild guess... it could be a billion but I don't think that's likely), but every hydra is budded from its "parent"... so each individual hydra is ONE single organism that has lived for millions of years. (They don't die of old age, either.)

      I understand that they are talking about trends, but they should not use such superlatives as "every" and "all". There are exceptions all around us.

    4. Re:That's why I don't exercise by PmanAce · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Wrong. By exercising one can lower their heart rate. Around 72 is generally considered the number of beats per minute. From daily exercise I lowered mine to low 50s bpm. What is the difference of the number of beats a year for example between both resting heart rates? Around 11 037 600 beats, looks quite staggering.

      --
      Tired of my customary (Score:1)
    5. Re:That's why I don't exercise by Spugglefink · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Even if there was a hard quota on how many heartbeats you had, there's no point saving up your heartbeats not exercising just to die early from a heart attack.

      Actually, I don't exercise for crap, I'm overweight, and my resting heart rate is riduclously high. Sure, exercise would get my heart rate up in the short term, but if I had a stronger, more athletic heart, built through exercising, I would conserve heartbeats over time. Mom was very athletic, and her resting heart rate was something scary slow.

      Of course Mom died when she was 55. Oops.

    6. Re:That's why I don't exercise by justthinkit · · Score: 4, Informative
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  2. This is not new by mbone · · Score: 5, Informative

    Isaac Asimov wrote an essay about this a long time ago (in the 1960's IIRC), and I doubt the idea originated with him.

    I believe Asimov was talking about 3 billion heartbeats or so as the limit; 1.5 billion heartbeats is only about 60 years for a human, and we tend to live longer than that under good conditions.

    1. Re:This is not new by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Aye... I remember reading that article. Perhaps in an Analog.. Perhaps in an IASFM.

      Amazing that these scientists are now "discovering" this "new" fact.

      Wonder how much knowledge we lose and have to rediscover.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    2. Re:This is not new by rnturn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or correct.

      1.5 billion heartbeats for someone who has a constant heart rate of 72bpm would, according to this theory, only have them living for 39.6 years. So color me skeptical.

      And frankly, if my heart rate never deviated from 72bpm, I can't say I'd call that living. I'm still going out for a run tomorrow morning.

      --
      CUR ALLOC 20195.....5804M
    3. Re:This is not new by Empiric · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The 1960's was "a long time ago"? We have a much more accurate value than Asimov's in Genesis 6:3, applying to all the billions of human lives since, and verifiably correct to the two significant digits of precision indicated.

      In terms of specific methodology to arrive at that figure, though, I cannot say beyond the obvious. ;)

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    4. Re:This is not new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      True, the essay was published in The Magazine of Fantasy and Science Fiction, and the title was "The Slowly Moving Finger".

    5. Re:This is not new by retchdog · · Score: 4, Interesting

      the summary says that the result is valid for species, not individuals. even that is wrong; it's not exactly valid for every species; the result is actually that there is a significant power-law trend across species which is that the mortality rate and birth rate both scale approximately as -0.25*(dry mass) on a log-log scale. however there is also significant variation from the log-log line-of-best-fit; the r^2 is around 0.8, though i don't care enough to read exactly how they designed the study. http://www.pnas.org/content/104/40/15777.full

      humans have, of course, cheated death to some extent, so we're outliers, though it is worth noting that prehistoric humans had a max. lifespan of around 40 years...

      this is an old result for animal species; the `result' here is that they checked the extrapolated fit for ~700 plant species and validated it in that domain. scientists generally make small extensions or validate previous conjectures; since the public doesn't understand what they're building from, the media has to present the history as the novelty. it's kind of funny, really.

      i remember reading a paper (from sante fe institute, of course) ~20 years ago or so which tried to define a `generalized heartbeat' for cities and nation-states to see if the scaling law would extrapolate. of course, the problem is you can define such a thing however you want.

      --
      "They were pure niggers." – Noam Chomsky
    6. Re:This is not new by u38cg · · Score: 3, Insightful
      --
      [FUCK BETA]
  3. Dunbar in Catch-22 by retroworks · · Score: 4, Funny

    Time passes faster when you're having fun. If we have a limited number of heartbeats, the trick is to stay as miserable as possible, so that the time will pass more slowly.

    --
    Gently reply
  4. "Formula" = Log-Log Regression by Irate+Engineer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    He plots lifetime in days to entity mass in grams on a log-log plot and slaps a line on it. Note that some of the scatter in the vertical axis is up to 3 *orders of magnitude*. Had this been plotted on linear scale it would have looked like Jackson Pollock sneezed on the page. All that can be extracted is that big critters tend to live longer than small critters. So what is new here?

    --

    Left MS Windows for Linux Mint and never looked back!

    Vote for Bernie in 2016!

  5. Re:Daisies? by smallfries · · Score: 2

    The period is directly proportional to the loveliness of a summer's day, perchance?

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  6. Just proves by zixxt · · Score: 2, Funny

    All life was designed by God.

    --
    ---- GENERATION 26: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    1. Re:Just proves by sidevans · · Score: 2

      All life was designed by God.

      Yes... it's a miracle, but how the fuck do magnets work?

      --
      I'm not signing anything
  7. Relax by quantaman · · Score: 3, Funny

    That thumping sound you hear in your chest?

    That's your life beating away.

    If that sounds worrying you shouldn't worry, the worrying only just makes your heart beat faster and brings your inevitable demise that much closer.

    That worry is very dangerous, even if you stop now you've already shortened your lifespan, and for every second you worry longer you're losing more and more of your life. This worry and stress is literally killing you and it won't stop unless you stop getting stressed out.

    Just some friendly advice.

    --
    I stole this Sig
    1. Re:Relax by VortexCortex · · Score: 2

      That thumping sound you hear in your chest?

      That's your life beating away.

      If that sounds worrying you shouldn't worry, the worrying only just makes your heart beat faster and brings your inevitable demise that much closer....

      Is your Heart attacking you? Well tell it to Beat It!
      Don't Despair, and Don't Delay!
      Get your AbioCor Pulse-less blood pump today!

      Our patented double helix flow system monitors and regulates your blood pressure smoothly, for all your oxygenation and cooling needs.
      Now your blood can course through your veins without the noisy and annoying pounding in your ears!
      Other implants have embarrassing charging wires, but you won't have a mess hanging out of your chest with our new wireless Transcutaneous Energy Transmission System.

      Give a gift that keeps on giving this Valentine's Day; Give your loved one a Heart of Gold.

  8. Exercise by eric31415927 · · Score: 5, Informative

    I came up with a similar theory years ago as an excuse not to exercise, for exercising increases one's heart rate. I concluded that exercise would therefore shorten my life. My girlfriend at the time didn't buy my logic. As a step aerobics instructor and science graduate student, she assured me that exercising only temporarily increases one's heart rate and that people who exercise regularly have slower heart rates during the non-exercising parts of their lives. I hate it when people use my own logic against me.

    1. Re:Exercise by SpaceLifeForm · · Score: 3, Funny

      There is that Reality Distortion Field again.
      On my Android phone, it says your heart rate is 56 beats a minute.

      --
      You are being MICROattacked, from various angles, in a SOFT manner.
  9. Wrong wrong wrong by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There are so many exceptions to this "rule" that it is at best an interesting pattern. There are big turtles that live great long lives and big turtles that don't with little turtles being all over the place as well. There are birds of all kinds of sizes with small birds that live 80 years and big birds that live under 20. Some bacteria seem to be nearly immortal and others live days. Within dogs the big ones hardly outlast green bananas while the little ratty ones go on for decades. Poplar trees grow huge and die fast, oaks go on and on but some smaller trees are thousands of years old.

    Even humming birds live a few years at crazy heartbeats as high as 1200 bpm (look it up if you don't buy that mind blowing number) yet other bigger birds with much slower heart beats live for the same length of time. So it isn't size or heartbeats.

    If I had to suspect anything lifespan will be an evolutionary advantage like anything else. If you are surrounded by ever changing dangers a short fast life-cycle is probably best. But if you are fairly safe in steady environment a long life is probably safer. Turtles have slow metabolisms which allow them to survive long periods without food and are fairly safe from predictors so they don't have to worry about adapting too much. Rabbits are basically the forest's McNuggets so they need to continuously adapt in numbers and probably other things such as coloring; hence a fast short life cycle. We have created civilization where we are nearly 100% safe from predators and with things like food storage are not so buffeted by a changing nature; so we are getting longer an longer lived.

  10. apropos Redd Foxx quote by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "Health nuts are going to feel stupid someday, lying in hospitals dying of nothing."

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
  11. 2038 by Tablizer · · Score: 5, Funny

    "roughly a billion and a half heart beats...when your count is up, you are over.'"

    But I have a Unix heart; the counter flips over to zero in 2038.

  12. Re:Ancient news by michelcolman · · Score: 2

    Exactly, and if I recall correctly (from at least a decade ago, if not more), it does not apply to humans.

  13. Re:Ancient news by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 2

    Exactly, and if I recall correctly (from at least a decade ago, if not more), it does not apply to humans.

    Humans get old which is extremely unusual in nature.

  14. Re:Ancient news by ggpauly · · Score: 2

    This was taught at Frances Slocum elementary school (Fort Wayne, IN, USA) circa 1968.

    --
    Verbum caro factum est
  15. 120 years till the flood by tepples · · Score: 3, Informative

    We have a much more accurate value than Asimov's in Genesis 6:3

    "After that Jehovah said: 'My spirit shall not act toward man indefinitely in that he is also flesh. Accordingly his days shall amount to a hundred and twenty years.'" (Genesis 6:3, NWT) That verse could be referring to the fact that God was about to flood the inhabited parts of Earth 120 years later to wipe away the interference of the Nephilim, right after Lamech and Methuselah were about to die. Noah was born when Lamech was 182, Methuselah died when Lamech was 782, and Lamech died at 777. (Genesis 5:25-31) So both Methuselah and Lamech died fairly shortly before Noah turned 600 and the flood came. (Genesis 7:6) The parallel view of Genesis 6:3 suggests that the authors of some paraphrase translations, such as the New Living Translation, didn't consider this possibility, even despite Abraham's over 170-year life.--Genesis 25:7.

  16. Re:Ancient news by fauxjargon · · Score: 2

    A tree's heart beats really slowly though, so it makes sense.

  17. Re:Ancient news by mikael · · Score: 2

    Trees work on the flow of water from the roots to the leaves through narrow tubes allow photosynthesis. There are different layers of food that have different functions. Basically the trunk of a tree is one giant artery. The inner core of the trunk, the heartwood is for strength, while it is the sapwood which transports water. The outer layer is for protection only.

    Due to disease and old age, the sapwood will become damaged and no longer carry water.

    --
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  18. Re:Ancient news by viperidaenz · · Score: 2

    The outer layer transports sugars made from photosynthesis back down to the roots.
    See this
    The tree has no heart, the water is drawn up the tree by a process called transpiration.

    Age doesn't really matter to water transport, since the cells that make up the tubes that carry water are dead.