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When It's Time To Scale, US Manufacturing Hits a Wall
curtwoodward writes "MIT researchers looked at 150 of the school's spin-out companies in manufacturing businesses over a decade, and found many of them hit the same chasm: Once it was time to ramp up to large-scale production, they couldn't find domestic investors and had to go overseas. The bulk of the research will be published later this year, but it raises an interesting conundrum — if an MIT-pedigreed company has serious trouble ramping up production in the U.S., how much harder is it for the 'average' business that wants to grow? Is it even still possible to do high-tech manufacturing here — or should it be?"
Intel seems to be doing OK with U.S. manufacturing, but they have the advantage of established operations.
Americans have no one to blame but themselves and their short sighted insistence that they be paid enough money to keep themselves in food, shelter, transportation and medical care here in America, rather than what it would take to do all of the above in Bangladesh.
Just switch your focus to manufacturing things that either can't be made in/sold to/bought from other countries (like cryptography software).
Or maybe guns. Americans love American made guns.
An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
The US produces something like 18% of the world's GDP. It's silly to say the US can't manufacture things. There are problems with labor-intensive manufacturing, but manufacturing overall is still something that's done in the US.
But that is not even the point of the study. If you read the article, it mentions that at least some of the companies stayed in the US to do manufacturing (the article doesn't give numbers, it says "often they moved out of the US for manufacturing"). The problem they had was they couldn't find investors in the US. They had to find foreign investors. Sometimes they found foreign investors and managed to stay in the US for manufacturing, but there is the assumption that foreign investors encouraged manufacturing out of the US as well. THAT is what this study is about, not a poorly-informed speculation on the decline of US manufacturing.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
Where are all the Job Creators!! I hear so much about the favorable treatment they deserve.
The US does very well with big ticket items or things that can be scaled by automation. The world's largest manufacturing facility is Boeing's main assembly building in Everett WA.
Where it gets dicey is when it can't be automated and a lot of manual labor is needed. Like assembling stuff like iPhones. Then the wage difference really bites.
The MIT story didn't give much detail but I bet a lot of these startups were making little gizmos like the iPhone.
Somehow the advent of the car didnt result in massive unemployment because of all of the laid-off buggy drivers, and construction equipment didnt result in massive unemployment due to no-longer-needed ditch diggers.
Technology advances, old problems are solved, and new ones are found. Lets not go full-scale luddite here.
Explain the success of Germany then?
Table-ized A.I.
That is what TFA is really saying, not that America can not manufacture. That jives with my own experience. The US investment community is addicted to quick turn Internet services that can turn around in a matter of months. Startups that actually need to produce physical products are starving because investors don't want to put their money into projects that take millions of dollars and several years to break even.
What is interesting is that they are foreign investors willing to fund manufacturing. Some are even willing to manufacture in the US. So it is a US investor psychology problem not a global one.
I'm a small business owner (I created OpenBeam: http://www.kickstarter.com/projects/ttstam/openbeam-an-open-source-miniature-construction-sys). It is basically a small, nice version of an erector set, that is currently being used for building 3D printers. (See: http://reprap.org/wiki/Kossel).
US manufacturing is *hard*, for sure, for small businesses. In fact, the system is set up so that I'm better off shipping jobs overseas.
We buy our extrusions from a small mill in California, a family owned business. Our first batch was great. We made a small engineering change on the next batch and ordered the extrusions in October of 2012. We received the parts in early December, and the black anodizing was crap - it literally looks like it's been dive bombed by seagulls with diarrhea. We shipped back 700 of 2000 pieces for rework, and we still have not received it back. Meanwhile, I'm out of stock, I have thousands of dollars of backorders that I can't fill, and I still have no idea when I'll get replacement stock back in. And to make things worse, when we complained initially about the quality of the parts, the answer we got was literally "you're small potatoes, we don't have time for you"
Meanwhile half way across the globe, my injection molder (http://blog.openbeamusa.com/2012/05/18/behind-the-scenes-injection-molding/) is churning out parts, 50,000 at a time. He always delivers when he says he'll deliver. With UPS and Expeditors I can get goods landed on my doorstep anywhere from 48 hours to less than 3 weeks for ocean freight shipping. It costed me $1000 to ocean freight half a metric *ton* of parts, and it'll be here in 3 weeks. The reason for going overseas for injection molding is simple: The material we use is a high end glass-reinforced nylon and the only shops the US that can handle it are military and aerospace molders and they demand an incredible premium.
On top of all this, I currently import a bunch of motors, pulleys, bearings for my 3D printer kits, US customs requires that I file an individual HTS classification for each line item, and taxes me individually. I then pay my old coworker's kid $20/hr, which is a princely sum for a 14 year old girl, to do my packaging and kitting. However, If I paid some guys overseas $10.00 a day to do the same job, I can declare my imported goods as "construction toy set" and avoid paying import taxes all-together. Therefore, there are absolutely NO incentives for me to keep the packaging job in the US, except for the short flexibility between an engineering change and getting the change pushed through on the line.
When it comes to export, I'm equally screwed. Until I signed up with Expeditors, there was no easy way for me to export my shipment around the world. So while I have customers in the UK, EU, and NZ/AU areas, for the longest time I had to resort to USPS Priority mail to ship them stuff, and priority mail rates just went up. Surface parcel service was discontinued a few years ago during budget cuts, so unless you are a bonded importer / exporter, you really have no option of doing a low cost export. Meanwhile, I paid US$20.00 for a batch of parts for 2 day shipping for a crate of timing belt pulleys from Shanghai to Hong Kong. There are so many Chinese logistics company these days that shipping is incredibly cheap to move things around in China.
People don't realize that the world is getting a lot smaller these days. The other day a vendor returned an email quotation - 5 weeks after initial RFQ. I had already paid someone else and landed parts in that amount of time. A supply chain is only as strong as its weakest link and it seems like for small businesses there are just no good options for manufacturing.
-=- Terence
Not just Germany, but nearly the entire rest of the western world. Canada and Australia are good example.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
The trick is vertical in-house integration. That is what our family has done with our businesses. The more we do in-house the more control we have the lower the costs and the more money stays in our pocket. This gives us better resilience for surviving and even thriving through economic downturns. Own the tools of manufacturing as much as possible.
Startups that actually need to produce physical products are starving because investors don't want to put their money into projects that take millions of dollars and several years to break even.
If it ever does (break even). Scaling up is an incredibly high-risk business, because some things just don't scale.
In Canada we recently opened a national chemical engineering facility (http://www.greencentrecanada.com/) that is specifically aimed at helping researchers scale chemical processes that work at lab-scale (grams) to industrial scale (kilograms to tonnes). There are plenty of things that just don't work outside of the lab, and new processes in particular are often invented by experts who are the only people in the world who can make them work successfully.
The skills required for scaling up are very different from those required for discovery, and having something like this were there is a specific group of experts in scaling up is a godsend to university spin-off businesses, and adds a level of reassurance to investors that simply couldn't exist otherwise.
Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
Yea, with a username of CncRobot its probably a good guess I would have no idea what a CNC Router could do.
"Germany (much like Spain) had a chronic unemployment problem, a result of a labor market that was too highly regulated and offered too much protection for workers. German policymakers began to change the system back in 2003 with a series of measures that made the labor market more flexible and encouraged greater participation in the workforce."
TRANSLATION: They weakened the unions....
"Germany is making BMWs, not Chevys. If you’re making a BMW and charging so much for it, you can manufacture in a high-cost environment and still make a nifty profit. If you’re making a Chevy, which to a greater degree competes on price and doesn’t have a strong brand reputation"
TRANSLATION: They manufacture high-profit margin stuff.
"German management also just seems more determined to find ways of staying profitable while still manufacturing in Germany. The chairman of power-tool maker Stihl, Bertram Kandziora, told me that U.S. companies “don’t try hard enough to keep production inside the country.”"
TRANSLATION: Germans try NOT to reward offshoring.
Read more: http://business.time.com/2011/02/25/does-germany-know-the-secret-to-creating-jobs/
Your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
Didn't Andy Grove famously write a few years back about how scaling up innovations into mass production was a serious obstacle which was bleeding jobs and product ideas overseas to countries more efficient at this?
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_28/b4186048358596.htm
I'm surprised Slashdot is only just coming around to the issue just now.