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Bosch Finds Solar Business Unprofitable, Exits

New submitter rwise2112 writes "German engineering company Bosch said Friday that it is abandoning its solar energy business, because there is no way to make it economically viable.'We have considered the latest technological advances, cost-reduction potential and strategic alignment, and there have also been talks with potential partners,' Bosch CEO Volkmar Denner said. 'However, none of these possibilities resulted in a solution for the solar energy division that would be economically viable over the long term.'"

42 of 477 comments (clear)

  1. I love working with PV cells by RevDisk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    But I'm also aware without government subsidies, it's not economically viable. On the large scale.

    That said, I love having a solar panel on my pack when I'm out hiking. It is a nice option when you're somewhere without access to the grid.

    1. Re:I love working with PV cells by TemperedAlchemist · · Score: 5, Funny

      I have a solar panel just in case all the major cities are wiped out.

      That way I'll still have the internet. Right?

    2. Re:I love working with PV cells by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Insightful

      But I'm also aware without government subsidies, it's not economically viable.

      Nor are most things.

      Government subsidies have been a fact of life since the days of the Pharaohs.

    3. Re:I love working with PV cells by grumbel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But I'm also aware without government subsidies,

      The problem aren't government subsidies, but simply that companies in China can produce cheaper solar cells then Bosch can. The solar business is full of companies and lots of competition and it's hard to get a lot of money out of that.

    4. Re:I love working with PV cells by Jeremi · · Score: 4, Informative

      But I'm also aware without government subsidies, it's not economically viable. On the large scale.

      Yet. The point at which solar energy becomes cheaper than the competition is called 'grid parity', and it's already happened in some countries. Over the next few years we'll see it happen in more and more places.

      --


      I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
    5. Re:I love working with PV cells by blue+trane · · Score: 5, Informative

      China's government subsidizes their solar companies to a much greater degree than the US does; that's why Solyndra couldn't compete.

      http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2012/0320/China-subsidized-solar-panels-US-finds.-Are-tariffs-the-right-response

      the Commerce Department's International Trade Administration determined that Chinese manufacturers had apparently dumped "massive" quantities of solar panels into the US market that were sold far more cheaply than US-made panels. According to the finding, the lower price was mainly because the panels were heavily subsidized by dozens of low-cost Chinese government loan programs and other subsidies.

    6. Re:I love working with PV cells by asm2750 · · Score: 4, Informative

      But I'm also aware without government subsidies,

      The problem aren't government subsidies, but simply that companies in China can produce cheaper solar cells then Bosch can. The solar business is full of companies and lots of competition and it's hard to get a lot of money out of that.

      Some solar PV companies in China are also exiting the market. http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2013/03/20/174828432/chinese-solar-panel-maker-suntech-goes-bankrupt

      Fabrication costs need to go down for makers, and ROI needs to go up for consumers.

    7. Re:I love working with PV cells by spire3661 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It doesnt have to be a full panacea to useful and viable. Right now im planning on converting my home to full LED lighting with some modest sized panels. After that ill work on putting all my computer and networking gear on the solar system, etc. It doesnt have to be an all or nothing proposal and it doesnt have to fully pencil out to be viable. Powering all my lighting and computers via solar is a damn good start.

      --
      Good-bye
    8. Re:I love working with PV cells by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Coal isn't economically viable either unless you subsidize it. Like allowing unlimited CO2 emissions...

      Charge coal to handle that and it fast becomes unprofitable.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    9. Re:I love working with PV cells by Technician · · Score: 3, Informative

      In some places include the mobile and remote. In my case, I picked up a pannel for the motorhome. Payback on the house is beyond the life of the panel at current electric rates with hydro, wind, and large scale solar nearby. On the motorhome, the longer I can leave the gas generator shut off the better I and my neighbors like it. Besides, electric generation with a motorhome genset is not in parity with local grid rates, thus the payback is measured in a few summers on the road.

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    10. Re:I love working with PV cells by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You demonstrate why we need better educations systems anyway.

      *Breathing* does not contribute to CO2 in any harmful way. It's a natural cycle as that CO2 was removed from the environment within the last year (or 20 once Twinkies are back!). Same for burning wood. It was recently taken out of the atmosphere and put back, net zero over a timeframe the earth can handle and still keep us alive.

      Adding millions of years worth of CO2 to the atmosphere in just a century is much much different.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    11. Re:I love working with PV cells by ThePeices · · Score: 3, Funny

      The problem with that is that you usually need lighting when the sun DOESN'T shine.

      Thats what batteries are for.

      Yes, yes, I am totally aware that this is a novel concept that has many sceptics and cynics out there, but trust me on this one. Really.

    12. Re:I love working with PV cells by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 3, Informative

      Yes, most things benefit from some level of government subsidy.

      If you are competing with one of those, and you don't have *any* subsidies, then you're not economically viable because you have higher cost relative to your competition.

      Fossil fuels and nuclear power enjoy generous government subsidies, in areas including tax loopholes, military security support for oil producers, cut-rate socialized liability insurance for nuclear risks that private insurers wouldn't touch with a hundred-foot pole, saddling the public with the costs of environmental damage... the list goes on and on. If solar power gets no subsidies relative to all that, of course it can't compete.

      If you somehow magically removed *all* government subsidies on everything, then solar power might be "economically viable" again. But thousands of years of history, and human nature in general, show that it is just not going to happen in the real world. Ever, Deal with it.

    13. Re:I love working with PV cells by Solandri · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You can make all the excuses you want about solar's poor market performance. The bottom line is that solar is far more expensive than other power sources. Frequently by a factor of 2 to 5.

      I'm all for continuing to fund research into improving photovoltaics - they're going to get better eventually. But people have to get it through their heads that the dream of powering our society with sunlight is at present just that - a dream. There are specialized applications (particularly off-grid) where solar is competitive or even ideal. But for powering our society? The reality is that it's currently just about the worst possible choice. And trying to force it into market acceptance with big government incentives will result in a net economic loss, meaning its contribution to the standard of living is negative.

      If you want to insist on clean renewables, wind is far more viable.

    14. Re:I love working with PV cells by meglon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      From before the day you were born YOU have used services and gained benefits from the government. You breath clean air, drink clean water, eat safe food, have protection in the form of police, fire fighters and the military. Consumer products are monitored for safety which helps keep you alive every day. You benefit from a power grid, communications, and transportation systems.

      Every generation reinvests into future generations. About 30 years ago some worthless fuck decided he'd lie to the mentally ignorant, and say that government was always the problem. Those worthless fucks now think that they don't need a government, mostly because they're too fucking stupid to understand all the benefits they use EVERY SINGLE FUCKING DAY from the government.

      I'm sorry you're too fucking stupid to understand that, so i'll help you put: Look at it this way... that money being taken from you isn't taxes, it's YOU paying for all the benefits YOU use. Or would you prefer to be fucking stupid AND a thief?

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    15. Re:I love working with PV cells by AmazingRuss · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Coal, Gas, and Oil are known to be horrible for society."

      Read that. Analyze it. Know that it's nonsensical.

      This is the kind of thing people point to when they want to discredit environmentalism.

    16. Re:I love working with PV cells by meglon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Cutting government spending is also an investment into future generations.

      Look at it this way... that money being taken from you isn't taxes, it's YOU paying for all the benefits YOU use.

      Now look who's being fucking stupid. Call his bluff. Cut the taxes and the benefits. Then when he's doing really well despite life's adversities, you can tell him "I told you so".

      ...which only shows that you're just like the AC. Fine, let him move off the grid... no electricity, no phone, no roads, no tv, no fresh water unless he goes down to the stream, no medical services, no police, no firefighters, no military protections...and if he's doing just as good as he is now with all that, then the Unibomber has found his long lost twin. Oh wait, even the Unibomber used roadways, and the postal service.... and product safety.

      The biggest threat to our society isn't terrorists, or the national debt, it's fucking clueless asshats who can't think more than it takes to regurgitate a bumper sticker. People like you piss on every American who's come before that wanted this country to succeed, all because of stupid fucking ideology. Your trickle down economics is and was bullshith; a lie, and only mental midgets still believe that fucking crap.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  2. FINANCIALLY viable by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 4, Insightful

    They probably mean that they cannot make enough money on it. Economically viable means that your situation (literally your household) improves. Most probably they are economically far more viable than cheap polluting alternatives.

    --
    Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    1. Re:FINANCIALLY viable by schneidafunk · · Score: 5, Informative

      In TFA: "European makers of solar energy have accused low cost Asian competitors, especially manufacturers from China, of creating the trouble for their western peers, partly by flooding the market with products at prices far below production costs."

      --
      Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    2. Re:FINANCIALLY viable by M0j0_j0j0 · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's called dumping and it is working, Chinese dumping was the main reason EU and US removed the benefits.

    3. Re:FINANCIALLY viable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What I find ironic is that the US Congress "saved" Harley when there was legit competition from overseas motorcycle makers by levying punitive tariffs.

      However, something as vital to our national security as energy independence, Congress lets China dump panels on the market for less than the cost of the rare earths in them.

      Ironic this. Even more ironic was the fact that 3-5 months before the dumping happened, every major US solar maker was being inundated by intrusion attempts, both foiled or successful.

      I'm sorry, Harleys are decent bikes, but they are definitely not critical to US national security, while solar panels are.

      Oh yeah... we have wind, but with voltage losses, the noise factor, the demonstrated stress in animals, and bird kills, wind power does not even come close to solar as a good solution to slow down the use of oil or coal.

    4. Re:FINANCIALLY viable by MaWeiTao · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm surprised they didn't institute anti-dumping tariffs like they did when Chinese companies start dumping cheap clothing on Europe. Considering the EU's usual tendencies I wonder what are the distinguishing factors here.

    5. Re:FINANCIALLY viable by nedlohs · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Why would you not want to let China handle all the pollution and production issues and then sell you the product at less than the cost of the raw materials?

      Just stock up enough of them to give local production time to start up if the freebies stop flowing in.

    6. Re:FINANCIALLY viable by AK+Marc · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's not dumping. Their cost of production is less than the sale price, so it's not dumping. The PV makers in China are making a profit. We just aren't used to such small margins (expecially when not needed, as pricing 10% below your competition is just as good as pricing at half, but China is actually more capitalistic than the US and doesn't price on "value" but "cost plus" resulting in a much lower price), and yes, the Chinese government is subsidizing the local rare earth mining, but the US is subsidizing resource development as well.

  3. Unprofitable by schneidafunk · · Score: 5, Informative

    The reason it is unprofitable is because China is flooding the market with panels that cost less than the production cost. If China was punished for its behavior, these companies would be able to compete and stay in business.

    "European makers of solar energy have accused low cost Asian competitors, especially manufacturers from China, of creating the trouble for their western peers, partly by flooding the market with products at prices far below production costs."

    --
    Some people die at 25 and aren't buried until 75. -Benjamin Franklin
    1. Re:Unprofitable by z4ce · · Score: 4, Funny

      I hate it when countries make stuff for us for free or below cost. Maybe we should punish them buy sending them some free/discounted stuff. I'm sure that will teach them a lesson they won't soon forget.

    2. Re:Unprofitable by Ziggitz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's a huge problem if they selling them below their own production costs. It's a strategy to push your competitors out of a market by selling a competing product at a an unsustainable loss. When the competitor leaves the market you use your new found monopoly to ramp up the prices to extortionate rates. The outcome is almost never in the public interest.

      --
      There is no memory shortage. yes I have heard of XFCE. Go away.
    3. Re:Unprofitable by jandrese · · Score: 4, Informative

      People have been doing that, and causing some of the Chinese producers to bankrupt themselves already, even with all of the government subsidies and kickbacks.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    4. Re:Unprofitable by Smidge204 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The payoff on the system I looked at was something well over 10 years - who stays in a home that long? I do and have but we're now talking 1- MORE years!

      1) Half of home owners stay in their home at least 10 years. Buying a new home is a good time to do remodeling and renovations, so it's also a good time to install PV solar.

      2) Roughly a third of home owners stay in their home at least 20 years.

      3) A PV system adds value to the home which can be used as a potential selling point and increase the asking price if you decide to move, so it's not like the entire unrecovered cost of the installation is lost.
      =Smidge=

  4. Re:Simple physics and the law of diminishing retur by ByOhTek · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If cars need gas, we'll either need to figure out how to create gas from atmospheric CO2 (probably more biodiesel) or give up on cars in not too terribly long. Eh. Electric or hydrogen will work, it will just take time to ramp up.

    As for power plants. I can certainly see Nuclear as been a good and viable plan for the future (keep them away from coasts and tectonically active regions), but... What is wrong with also using solar? In areas where there is a lot of sunlight, and low enough latitude, solar is a perfectly viable solution. If it can be almost viable in Germany, there are certainly many parts of Africa, the American Southwest, and Central America that could use it just fine.

    --
    Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
  5. Solar is great by bhlowe · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I have solar and an electric car. It is an amazing combination. A 10Kw grid-tie system is now about $3/watt installed, and that drops to $2/watt after a 30% tax credit. If most new houses built included a solar panel on the roof, I could see the US becoming energy independent in a decade.

    1. Re:Solar is great by BLKMGK · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I looked into this myself. With the 30% credit and for a 3KW system the vendor was offering it was right around $30K using 280watt panels. My bills are actually pretty low, well below $200 on the worst month and power here is fairly cheap. The guy was figuring efficiency levels fairly low and I'd have probably done better but the payoff for this system was quite long. I decided to skip the system, the wattage potential was too low and the payoff far too long. I have a South facing home but apparently need more roof. The vendor also seemed to be pricing high and with no State incentives I just couldn't see myself doing it, I wish I could.

      Bosch exiting the market isn't good IMO. They have been doing this a very long time and for them to find the business untenable really signals that the market may not be healthy. I do understand their frustration at the dumping that has occurred but if you price panels those are the ones that are actually affordable. They really need to drive prices downward or the price of electricity needs to rise a great deal before it's worth it - at least when there are so few incentives. Overall I would agree that we need to get more people into solar, yes even with Govt. incentives. Once the install hurdle is passed the damned things produce power for a good long time during peak usage hours. It simply makes sense as a nation to do this IMO but until prices to the consumer come down I don't see any mass movement in that direction :-9

      --
      Build it, Drive it, Improve it! Hybridz.org
    2. Re:Solar is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm a solar installer, based in Switzerland.
      For $25K I fly with my buddy to wherever you are (presumably in the US somewhere), and install a 3kW PV-System, everything included. Seriously.

      Here is my offer:
      Panels: 12 Trina TSM 245 $200 each, total $2400
      Inverter: SMA Sunny Boy 3000 $1200
      Installation Cost: $3000
      Transport Cost Material/Tools: $2000
      Flight from Europe to somewhere US and back for two person: $5000
      Getting all permits and eventually "bribe", err hire a local electrician: $2000
      2 weeks accomodation, which consist of 13days vaccation and 1 day working: $2000
      Profit: $7400

      Just give me a call

      Markus Amsler
      Eigenstrom GmbH
      http://www.eigenstrom.ch
      markus.amsler@eigenstrom.ch
      ++41 62 877 18 14

  6. Get Lockheed to do it by TheCarp · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seriously, do I have to think of everything?

    Look you can produce a product, put it on the market, blah blah blah. Fuck that. Do what lockheed does.

    1. Open a number of plants within the US, get the politicians to give speeches about how wonderful each plant will be locally. Make sure to choose towns that would be as deastated as possible by any future plant closure.

    2. Lobby congress directly to buy the solar panels as a national security issue, and ignoring any irresponsible departments who claim they are not cost effective or they don't need them.

    3. If #2 doesn't work right away, threaten to close individual plants, rinse and repeat until congress orders enough to ensure your profits. Be sure to tell your employees that the plant might be closing because of the uncertainty around government orders. Try to get the whole town involved.

    4. Once they are buying them, get them to throw a few orders into the foriegn aid bucket. (Isreal needs solar power to keep it safe from Iran!)

    5. Profit.

    --
    "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
  7. Blaming the industry??? by gurps_npc · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Look, in every business, there is going to be a low cost provider, a high quality provider, and a bunch of also rans.

    The low cost provider will ALWAYS make money.

    The High quality provider may or may not make money.

    The also rans usually get eaten up by the low cost provider.

    The fact that your particular company fails in a business is a failure of YOU, not the business. It means you can't compete with the rest of the world.

    When Bosch leaves, it lets everyone else raise their prices just a little bit.

    Maybe that will be enough to make the rest of the corporations profitable. Or maybe some more 'also rans' may have to quit because THEY are losing money.

    But I guarantee you, once enough also rans have left the business, the rest of the people will make money hand over fist.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  8. Re:Simple physics and the law of diminishing retur by Spy+Handler · · Score: 4, Interesting

    electric cars only suck because our battery technology sucks. But there's nothing in the laws of physics that says you can't make batteries that don't suck.

    (triple negative... yikes)

    Somebody's gonna come up with a new battery that exploits quantum effects and raises energy density by 10x. The world will be theirs.

    Hell, just yesterday I saw a Slashdot article about Lockeed Martin coming up with a new nano-material that decreases water desalinization energy requirement by 100x. We're just scratching the surface when it comes to nano-sized materials and quantum effects (which are related to nano stuff cuz they only happen at very small scales)

  9. Re:Capitalism by chill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    In a word, yes.

    Money is a proxy here for the input/output ratio of resources, energy and labor.

    Not making money means consuming more in energy, resources and labor than you get in return. That in itself isn't good for the planet, or us uncultured swines.

    What you probably want to whine about is not producing ENOUGH money to satisfy investors. Then we get into opportunity costs, and deeper into economics that I want to bother going in this post.

    --
    Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
  10. How long term? by Hatta · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Petroleum isn't economically viable over the long term either.

    --
    Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
  11. Re:Simple physics and the law of diminishing retur by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I want a nuclear powered electric car.

    A co-worker of mine has one. It's powered (mainly) by the nuclear plant up the road.

  12. ENVIRONMENTALLY viable by tlambert · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No, it's called productivity.

    The manufacturing costs for manufacturing a generally similar in both Europe and China, balancing German automation + power costs vs. Chinese labor costs.

    What isn't the same is the after-cost of adhering to German vs. Chinese environmental regulations.

    Most industrialized nations could easily save their local manufacturing bases by imposing requirements on products being manufactured in accordance to local environmental standards in the locations they are sold. It's optional whether they would want to impose environmental tarrifs and take the product anyway, despite "dirty" manufacturing, or simply block entry of the product into the country.

    For China, depending on how far up the supply chain you wanted to push the requirement, you could take it to the point of requireing scrubbers on the stacks of the coal-fired power plants that powered the manufacturing facilities.

    It's ironic that environmentalism has succeeded only in moving the mess out of view (to China), rather than keeping the mess from being injected into the global ecosystem anyway. But at least health care costs tend to go down when you have no local manufacturing going on, due to a reduction in pollutants.

  13. Re:Simple physics and the law of diminishing retur by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Informative

    When in history has technology jumped 1000% in one discovery?

    1945.

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  14. Re:You laugh... by Adriax · · Score: 4, Funny

    Blasphemy.
    Inventing something implies he did not know it already.

    The Omnipotent Lord our Jobs willed the internet into existence when humanity was ready to ascend one step closer to true enlightenment.

    --
    I don't suffer from insanity, I enjoy every minute of it!