Slashdot Mirror


Do Big-Money Acquisitions Mean We're In a Tech Bubble?

Nerval's Lobster writes "When a major IT company pays a reported $30 million—roughly 90 percent of it in cash—for an iOS app with no monetization strategy and a million downloads since launch, is that a sign that the tech industry as a whole is riding a massive, overinflated bubble? Yahoo isn't alone, by a long shot: over the past couple years, a few apps have been snatched up for enormous sums—think Facebook's $1 billion acquisition of Instagram in 2012, or Google buying Sparrow for a reported $25 million. Nor has the money train stopped there: in a pattern that recalls the late-90s market frothiness for anyone over the age of 28, a handful of tech companies have either launched much-hyped IPOs or witnessed their share price skyrocket into the stratosphere. But does all this IPO activity and app-acquiring actually mean 'bubble'?"

10 of 266 comments (clear)

  1. yay for bubbles by iggymanz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    get it while the gettins' good, save the money - don't blow it, then get out

    rinse and repeat, pt barnum was right

    1. Re:yay for bubbles by SternisheFan · · Score: 4, Informative

      get it while the gettins' good, save the money - don't blow it, then get out

      rinse and repeat, pt barnum was right

      Offtopic: P.T. Barnum never did say, "There's a sucker born every minute.", his competitor did. Here's a link to what really went down then...

      http://www.historybuff.com/library/refbarnum.html

    2. Re:yay for bubbles by lightknight · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Indeed. Looking at the college loan bubble...as well as the new real estate / mortgage bubble...I am without words. We just went through this not even a decade ago, so...why are we doing this again?

      As for the 'tech' bubble...these are purely fluff acquisitions...good money paid for crap...that makes the original DOTCOM bubble look rock solid in comparison. I don't have the figures in front of me, but I've read some of this stuff recently...we're looking at paying premiums for companies in excess of their earnings for the next 50 years...many of them aren't even paying a dividend, so the only money that can be made is by selling it off to someone else who thinks it will go higher...or possibly someone who needs to claim a fictitious loss through some mystic means. Like Instagram, a number of these companies don't even seem to have anything resembling new technology.

      From what I've seen, the heart wood of the tech sector has given out, and it appears to be shrinking. We're seeing a compacting of the tech sector, not new energy.

      An easier way to chart things is to ask the tech sector "have your wages risen greatly, on average, in the past three years, allowing for inflation?" Find out which sector is seeing a rise in wages, either regional or global, and you'll know which one is currently enjoying a boom. Last I checked, which was a while ago, the Australian mining companies were doing pretty well here.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
  2. Yes, it's inflation driven by roman_mir · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yes, it is a bubble, but it's not simply a tech bubble, it's money bubble this time. It's all inflation, people are looking for place to park value.

    For all the Keynesians that deny one of the 3 major functions of money (storage of value), that's what you do when you print and print without regard to the actual purchasing power - you force people to look into alternative ways of storing purchasing power, and obviously with the interest rates being pushed down by this same action by the Fed and other central banks around the world, there is no yield.

    Savers, investors are in a search of yield and they can't find it. That's how bubbles form. While the Fed is trying hard to reflate the housing bubble it doesn't really control what the inflation goes into and when it comes rushing out, so it results in higher stock market prices, higher asset prices that go up in bidding wars, whatever people can think of, anything that is not the paper printed by the central banks.

    It will burst, what will be the second worst of the bad is unclear right now but the worst of the bad will be USD denominated debt, bonds, dollars themselves.

    1. Re:Yes, it's inflation driven by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Keynesian's would run surpluses during good times.

      Yes, which is what Keynesian economics advocates. Also, these surpluses should be used to pay down debt that was accumulated during the last economic downturn or accumulated to make a rainy-day fund to shore up the economy during the next economic downturn or (and conservatives will be shocked by this) taxes be reduced so that there is no longer a surplus.

      However, parent also seems to confuse what is recommended by Keynesian economists (who broadly believe these recommendations) and the actions of the politicians, who often ignore actual economists (of any stripe), which seems to be some odd tactic to discredit Keynesians simply because (just like most normal people) politicians don't listen to them.

      --
      That is all.
  3. Re:Bubble by houstonbofh · · Score: 5, Interesting

    That is not the right question. Of course it is a bubble. The question is, "Where in the bubble are we?" Just starting, or about to pop?

  4. Re:Bubble by Rob+Y. · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We've been in a bubble economy-wide since the crash of 2007. It's (more or less) intentional, fueled by artificially low interest rates and the Fed pouring money into the banking system. That money has no place to go, so it goes into whatever's trendy at the moment - whether there's real value there or not.

    Everyone (again - more or less) agrees that the economy needed the stimulus, but a better approach would have been to pump the money into the economy via smartly targeted (or even non so smartly targeted) direct government spending. Funded, if possible, by new revenue streams themselves defined to have little effect on employment and other economic activity. But we don't have either a functioning market economy or a functioning democracy capable of managing the economy through the political system. So we go from bubble to bubble - or crash to crash, depending on how you view it.

    --
    Posted from my Android phone. Oh, I can change this? There, that's better...
  5. Re:Acquisitions over Taxes by dehole · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is in their best interest to take advantage of any loophole, just as normal people would go to a tax accountant to get the most money for our tax return. To do otherwise is silly. Do you really pay more taxes than you should?

    If there are loopholes in tax laws, then our representatives should fix those. But our representatives don't represent us, they represent the corporations which spend money lobbying. Perhaps the Onion piece about America hiring a lobbyist is what we should do to get some representation...

  6. Re:Bubble by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Keynesians criticizing other Keynesians for being Keynesians. If you all backed off and shut it and let the damn thing crash, we could get back to having a stable market after we pick the pieces up. Keep hoisting that piano higher while the rope continues to fray...

  7. It is new world bribery and payouts by sebo2000 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Father works for Morgan Stanly and Mother is some lawyer. People don’t you really see? It is new world bribery and payouts? Yahoo could write “similar” app for much less, but they do not really need it. Kid got 300k from some investors in the past, then raised another million from Li Ka Shing (look him up) Yahoo or whoever needs to pay, can not pay directly to Li Ka Shing any money to avoid audits and conflict of interest charges and lawsuits, so what they do? Pays the kid 30 millions for some stupid app, 29.5 goes to Li Ka Shing (main investor) the rest goes to the kid. Now those investors got paid off. Kid is in the media selling light of hope for all the losers dreaming about another face book, and all the messes and government have no clue what just happened. As they say if something looks stupid and ridicules probably it is.