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Why You Should Worry About the Future of Chromebooks

dcblogs writes "PC manufacturers may try to corral Chromebook, much like Netbooks, by setting frustratingly low hardware expectations. The systems being released from HP, Acer, Lenovo and Samsung are being built around retro Celeron processors and mostly 2 GB of RAM. By doing so, they are targeting schools and semi-impulse buyers and may be discouraging corporate buyers from considering the system. Google's Pixel is the counter-force, but at a price of $1,299 for the Wi-Fi system, reviewers, while gushing about hardware, believe it's too much, too soon. The Chromebook is a threat to everything, especially PC makers, as its apps improve. Compare Tweetdeck's HTML5 version with its native app. Can you tell the difference? It might be a year or two before Adobe delivers Web-only versions of its products, but if it doesn't it will be surrendering larger portions of its mindshare to users of Pixlr, Pixel Mixer, PicMonkey and many other interesting and increasingly capable tools."

28 of 216 comments (clear)

  1. Yes by errandum · · Score: 5, Interesting

    And then when it fails to bring money it gets discontinued. And you have a very expensive paperweight... Google Reader was an eye opener. Depending on a third party for core functionality is something I'll be avoiding from now one, since you never know...

    1. Re:Yes by houstonbofh · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Other than Chromebooks can run full Linux. So it will never be totally worthless.

    2. Re:Yes by Tacticus.v1 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because android isn't that nice at providing a good desktop environment.
      the chromebook with normal nix running on it would allow much better interaction.
      I say this as someone with a very nice nexus 7 and an android phone.

      Though take the arm chip out of the nexus 10 and give me a linux laptop with the chromebook pixels monitor\keyboard and most importantly battery :)

    3. Re:Yes by mspohr · · Score: 4, Funny

      You bought Google Reader Hardware?... and now have an expensive paperweight?
      I'll buy it from you to put in my museum.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    4. Re:Yes by Shoten · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Gmail and Google Reader are two different beasts. Gmail is used as the primary authentication of many, many Google services and provides its parent company with much more detailed profile of users than what feed you read... Just saying.

      Actually, the authentication system used by Gmail is the primary authentication of many, many Google services. That's a whole different animal from Gmail itself, and it's very easy to cut loose a massive email system but keep the authentication infrastructure, especially when you developed both of them to begin with. You have a point about the detailed profile of users...but that's a double-edged sword. Google has been, I feel, under a level of scrutiny that I think is out of proportion with how they actually treat private data. All that it would take is a scandal (either at Google or at some similar service) and all of a sudden that one value they get out of Gmail could be taken away from them. Then what?

      Anyone here remember Juno? Just saying.

      --

      For your security, this post has been encrypted with ROT-13, twice.
    5. Re:Yes by Qwavel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Comparing Google's Chromebooks to Reader is silly.

      For one thing, Chrome and Chromebooks are central to Google's future.

      And for all the fuss about Reader (i'm a heavy user myself) switching away from Reader has been dead simple since it is just a viewer based around a standard protocol. Google turfing it was annoying at most, and no indication that they will kill off their core initiatives.

  2. ChromeOS is the problem not the hardware by thetoadwarrior · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Sorry but web apps could be 100% perfect. That's fine but only if you have a web connection. Yes, some apps at least have an offline mode but you get minimal storage even on Google high-end chromebook which is even more off-putting because you're paying macbook prices for something inferior to a macbook (no a touch screen doesn't add anything of real value). There is still a lot of real work, like development which seem impossible to do on a chromebook. Some businesses do use them but from what I see they're throw-away devices used for people only really need to write "word docs" on google docs and email. I don't think anyone would trust it for much else and I don't blame them. It's like a handicapped version of linux.

    1. Re:ChromeOS is the problem not the hardware by Capt.DrumkenBum · · Score: 4, Informative

      I think it is the price that is the problem.
      I have looked a couple of times. (Planning on dropping a real Linux on it.) But every chrombook I have seen was at least $100 too expensive for what you get. For the same money, or in some cases less, you can get a real full laptop.
      I freely admit to being a cheap bastard.

      --
      If I were God, wouldn't I protect my churches from acts of me?
    2. Re:ChromeOS is the problem not the hardware by McGruber · · Score: 4, Informative

      But every chrombook I have seen was at least $100 too expensive for what you get. For the same money, or in some cases less, you can get a real full laptop.

      I consider my $250 Samsung Chromebook was money very well spent. I fly a lot for work --two roundtrips per month-- and am usually stuck in tiny "economy class" seats. I can open up the chromebook and actually type on it while sitting on a plane, even tiny regional jets. I usually can't open my regular notebook computer up on a plane because it is too big to fit between me and the seat in front of me.

      The Chromebook also came with a dozen free Gogo passes. Gogo passes currently cost $14 each, if I buy them prior to my flight.... so the dozen free passes are woth $168 to me.

    3. Re:ChromeOS is the problem not the hardware by hrvatska · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Samsung Chromebook is $250. The Acer C7 Chromebook, with a 320G hard drive, is $190. I purchased the Samsung for my wife when her laptop died. She's been very satisfied with it. She likes the size and weight, that it boots rapidly, lack of a fan, relatively cool operation, and that for her usage patterns the battery lasts all day. Outside of work all that she does on a computer is email and consume content from the web, so the Chromebook fits her needs extremely well.

  3. Stop drinking the Kool Aid by MrEricSir · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just because something is new doesn't magically make it better. HTML5 isn't a silver bullet that magically makes everything better; in fact Adobe makes desktop applications because that's what makes sense to do, *not* because it's the latest fad.

    At any rate, have fun uploading 20 gig videos to the cloud before editing them. I'll stick with Final Cut on my Mac, thanks.

    --
    There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
  4. Ah, yes, Tweetdeck. by PhxBlue · · Score: 3, Informative

    Compare Tweetdeck's HTML5 version with its native app. Can you tell the difference?

    No, because I'm still using Tweetdeck 0.38.1. I tried the newer version, but every so often it just decides it doesn't want to pull updates anymore.

    --
    !#@%*)anks for hanging up the phone, dear.
  5. Time Travel by MLCT · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We are about to begin the process of travelling back in time. Back to a time when PCs were for experts: people who coded, people who needed specialist tools and people who wanted to tinker.

    The good news in this transition is that we may get back to buying a PC that is geared to what we want rather than being full of junk that tech-illiterates need (specifically in the OS). If MS don't want to provide that experience (and evidence suggests that they don't) then we will just all wipe the machines and put linux on them.

    The bad news is that we will also travel back in time with the price of a PC. Inflation has ran at 3-5% for the last 25 years (give or take a couple of years), yet the cost of a baseline PC has more than halved in that time. That scale only comes with the addition of the tech-illiterate (& Chinese assembly) - once they buy pixibooks and tablets we will be left to pick up the full price for our dedicated high power PCs. The only possible depression on prices is corporate buying, but it can't be too long before they create a stable lightweight environment to get the bulk of corporate work done instead of buying a workstation for every desk.

    1. Re:Time Travel by epine · · Score: 4, Interesting

      once they buy pixibooks and tablets we will be left to pick up the full price for our dedicated high power PCs

      Time travel? Looks more like space travel.

      Most of the decline in price in desktop systems results from chip-scale integration. I can't even figure out what you mean by "pick up the full price". We've been paying less? This is news to me. The only reason the price will bounce upwards is further consolidation of the market, as we saw with Seagate and Western Digital.

      The largest overhead in the PC business stems from the design cadence. Every shrink is more expensive than the last one. I wouldn't be the least surprised if Intel's two year shrink cadence begins to stretch out, which might slow the investment cycle and reduce prices in the short run, but publicly Intel seems to think not.

      From Intel Has 5 nm Processors in Sight -- September 2012 by Wolfgang Gruener

      According to the company, future production processes down to 5 nm are on the horizon and will most likely be reached without significant problems. Following the current 22 nm process, Intel's manufacturing cadence suggests that the first 14 nm products will arrive in late 2013, 10 nm in 2015, 7 nm in 2017, and 5 nm in 2019. A slight adjustment has been made to include different production processes for traditional processors and now SoCs. The company previously indicated that SoCs will be accelerated to catch up with the process applied to Intel's main processor products.

      Looks like the underlying cost structure is largely shared.

    2. Re:Time Travel by jedidiah · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Your argument only works so long as you completely ignore any thing that isn't a DOS clone. Once you allow consideration of things that weren't DOS clones, the price situation doesn't seem nearly a grim.

      It was the PC that dragged it's feet with a GUI, a real OS, and even reasonable pricing.

      My first non-PC cost me 1/3rd what a cut rate and inferior clone of the time would have cost.

      Once you stop fixating on secretary terminals, the history isn't quite so grim.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  6. Bah, humbug... by theVarangian · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Chromebook is a threat to everything, especially PC makers, as its apps improve. Compare Tweetdeck's HTML5 version with its native app.

    It's a thin client. Chrome OS is not likely to put a dent in my plans to continue buying PCs until Google can guarantee complete network coverage everywhere and HTML5 apps are written that can replace complex native apps like Photoshop and the likes. There is a world of difference between Tweetdeck and really complex native apps. Then there is the issue of all my data residing on 3rd party data-center which might get hacked, data mined by the service provider without my permission, destroyed in an unseasonal flood disaster or just discontinued because the service failed to meet profitability goals. Nobody is going to discontinue the SSD in my laptop due to its failure to meet some corporate weasels profitability expectation any time soon and the same goes for my backup disks.

  7. Who's pushing these articles? by Spy+Handler · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Every few years there seems to be a push to get people to accept these ass-backwards computers. Apparently the software companies love the concept of users being held captive to them and requiring their permission just to run the simplest application. "Renting" software on a per usage basis is like their wettest dream.

    I remember back in the day, Oracle was pushing these "Net Computers" or NCs as being the future. Nobody needs to run software from their own hard drive, you can just get everything from the Net! Except for the fact people's hard drives were 4 orders of magnitude faster than their internet connection (and will continue to be so for any foreseeable future). Nobody ended up buying this shit and it went into the dustbin of history.

    But looks like they're trying it again, except now it's been renamed "cloud computing".

    1. Re:Who's pushing these articles? by JanneM · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I got a Nexus 7 with 16GB memory. Half a year of daily, even constant use, and several large apps and games (Final Fantasy III for instance; and Dungeon Defenders) and I've used up all of 4.5GB.

      Storage is important, I agree, and we all use our devices differently. But don't make the mistake of blindly believing that you always need more. I've noticed on my desktop too, that storage has actually outgrown my needs for it for years now. It surprises me now to remember a time when I'd actually have to uninstall a large game or app in order to install another one; have to actually select what Linux packages to install or choose one desktop over another in order to save space.

      --
      Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
  8. Re:Run.. run away by wierd_w · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The decision that "privacy is dead" happened over a decade ago. Or, do you not remember Scott McNealy, former chairman of Sun Microsystems, who in 1999 said, "You have zero privacy anyway. Get over it." And the observation by Oracle CEO Larry Ellison: "The privacy you're concerned about is largely an illusion. All you have to give up is your illusions, not any of your privacy." ??

    Privacy gets in the way of money, and money is a means of attaining and exercising power. Throw in the alarming statistic about CEO psychopaths, and you have what ails our world today.

    Government has no incentive whatsoever to intervene here, because they also directly profit from stomping on privacy. Look at this editorial for instance. Unless the politicos are themselves harmed by the loss of privacy, they have no incentive to protect it, and every reason to trample all over it instead.

    The cleary proscribed solution to this problem is to exploit the fuck out of this surveylance society they are working oh so hard to make, and put THEM under the spotlight. It is the only way to get the retractions on positions and rulings required to halt the slide downhill. The leaders are only concerned with themselves, as is true of all psychopaths. You have to make them feel the fires too to get them motivated to do what is right, and they will bitch mightily about it the whole time.

    Amusingly, that's what orgs like wikileaks aimed to do. We saw how that's worked for the likes of Assange. (Yes, he is the very definition of douche, but a douche that exposed a lot of dirty dealing, and pissed in a lot of cheerios, which is exactly what was needed, and is still desperately needed.)

  9. history repeating by bloodhawk · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The same broken concept of crippled terminal type computers seems to have been repeated so many times over the past 30 years (time I have been in IT). The chromebook is just yet another attempt at a concept that consumers have shown repeatedly they don't want. I really expect (and hope) chromebooks also end up on the trash heap of bad ideas just like all the previous versions, the concept seems more aimed at what software and advertising companies want not what users need or want.

    1. Re:history repeating by DragonWriter · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The same broken concept of crippled terminal type computers seems to have been repeated so many times over the past 30 years (time I have been in IT).

      The Chromebook isn't intended to be a "crippled terminal type computer", and its concept is new.

      The reason people keep getting this wrong is that they think of it as an OS that is "just a browser", but refer to an outdated concept of what a web browser does that misses the entire point of Chrome (not just ChromeOS, but Chrome more generally.)

    2. Re:history repeating by Malenx · · Score: 3, Interesting

      A large portion of consumers have repeatedly stated the Chromebook is exactly what they want. It's cheap, handles basic computing needs (word processes, etc), handles online streaming, and is nearly virus proof with little to no learning curve. There is also no slow degrade of speed over time as your not installing any software. For a lot of non-techies, it's a dream come true.

      Looking forward to getting a few more bucks saved up to get my wife another as she's used her old Chromebook into the ground (the monitor is literally held on with tape as it was a beta product and she's a rough user).

      You may not agree, but I find it hard to believe you formed your opinion on the realities of what the common computer user wants.

  10. Re:OMG The Sky is Falling! by safetyinnumbers · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It used to be that I'd use a web browser for websites and specialized applications to access other services like email and newsgroups.

    Now I read my email in a browser, but websites are always asking me to install an app to view them!

    If that isn't a sign of the end-times, what is?

  11. Offline apps and storage by DragonWriter · · Score: 3, Informative

    Serious question. Can you store files and run apps locally?

    Yes. That's rather the point of the variety of offline-related APIs that have been pushed as web standards by -- largely though not solely -- Google and which are supported by ChromeOS (and, for that matter, Chrome and a number of browsers on other OS's, too.)

  12. Re:OMG The Sky is Falling! by gander666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    1^googleplex is still 1. Just sayin'

    --
    Suppose you were an idiot and suppose you were a member of Congress ... but I repeat myself. - Mark T
  13. You are not the target market by ArchieBunker · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Chromebooks are awesome for non tech folks. Buy one for your parents and you'll never get another tech support call. I'd call the $249 Chromebook a deal for what you get. Yes they do have slots for more storage including USB. Stop trying to cram Linux on something just because you can. Great you installed Linux, now what? Meanwhile people are using them for their intended purpose. If you want a real laptop then buy one. I'll never understand the Chromebook hate on here.

    --
    Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
  14. Why you shouldn't worry by fyngyrz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Because Chromebooks are exactly zero threat to any of the three established operating systems. It's all hype, smoke and mirrors. If people want a lightweight computer, the iPad and its Android counterparts are right there, priced well and offering all manner of ergonomic amenities superior to any lap-anything... even if you need to type seriously, a cheap bluetooth keyboard and you're going. If, on the other hand, someone actually needs a laptop, it'll be to run software X; and a Chromebook... won't. Best you can say for them is they can be crowbarred to run linux; but we already know how linux laptops fare in the marketspace. Not well. Chromebooks are simply a bad idea, DOA, FUBAR and catastrophically late to the party.

    What you want to be paying attention to at this point in time is Google Glass. Now that is likely to change your life. You won't like it, either.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  15. just in time for MS to double up by slashmydots · · Score: 3, Interesting

    For the first time in human history, Microsoft may break their "every other product sucks" cycle by releasing two crappy OSes in a row. So they're just in time for massive non-MS tablet and phone adoption where everyone and their grandma knows how to operate an android interface. Apple already doubled their market share during Vista time. Ubuntu is (debatably) getting more useable by the average Joe. Now Chromebooks come in a non-toy, actual business-use device that's cheap. Thin terminals are an incredible, unbelievably, immensely stupid solution but a monitor and terminal is like $200 so tada, call centers and places run by cheapos use them. So Chromebooks at $250, most people know how to operate one, and it runs useful apps? The tipping point is when 3rd party mega-suites start releasing alternate OS versions of their client software. Right now it's basically VPN/RDP or native Windows for CRMs and stuff. But Driven and Fishbowl and Quickbooks all have Android apps so, bye bye MS.
    In reality, they have the money. They'll fire every other person in charge of UI design and planning and make something their customers actually want by Windows 10. I just hope, FOR ONCE, they learn their lesson permanently! Considering the every other cycle is since Windows 3.1, that's doubtful.