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"Dark Lightning" Could Expose Airline Passengers To Radiation

mbstone writes "Lightning researcher Joseph Dwyer of the Florida Institute of Technology claims that thunderstorms unleash sprays of X-rays and even intense bursts of gamma rays which could cause airline passengers to receive in an instant the maximum safe lifetime dose of ionizing radiation — the kind that wreaks the most havoc on the human body. Dwyer hopes his sensor aboard the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope, will provide more data."

57 of 263 comments (clear)

  1. Hrmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    I smell a boost in tinfoil hat sales skyrocketing ....

    1. Re:Hrmmm by telchine · · Score: 4, Funny

      I propose that we should legislate to ensure that all the passengers are wrapped inside one metal enclosure before take-off!

    2. Re: Hrmmm by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Normally I would say Whoosh.
      In your case I have to say Douche.

    3. Re:Hrmmm by myowntrueself · · Score: 4, Funny

      Tinfoil does not set off metal detectors.

      Yes, I have first-hand knowledge of this.

      That can't be right, I saw a tinfoil covered cucumber set off a metal detector in the Spinal Tap documentary!

      --
      In the free world the media isn't government run; the government is media run.
    4. Re:Hrmmm by Lumpy · · Score: 2

      Fischer Price airlines has not received FAA approval yet.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    5. Re:Hrmmm by MTEK · · Score: 2

      "Ladies and gentlemen, the Captain has turned on the 'tinfoil bag' sign."

    6. Re:Hrmmm by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You and everybody else is making jokes but did you forget we thought "radiation is your friend" and even looked at using nukes to make harbors in the 50s and in the 40s nearly every boat and a lot of the tanks used asbestos "for the safety of the men" because of its fireproof qualities?

      I'll never forget a lecture I saw by Neil Tyson where he said "All great scientists work at the edge of ignorance" and he's right, if its one thing that science has taught us is that we REALLY don't know as much about how everything works as we THINK we do. Now is this happening? I do not know which is why i look forward to his findings, it would explain why we seem to have a lot more cases of cancer, at least from what I've seen. Maybe some people are more sensitive to this than others, like how some people can smoke all their lives and never get cancer while somebody else smokes 5 years and gets it, who knows? All I DO know is if it turns out to be true it wouldn't surprise me, anymore than it surprises me we knew so little about radiation and asbestos back in the day. We still have so much to learn about how everything works, especially hard to study things like lightning.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    7. Re: Hrmmm by steve_bryan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Gamma rays are stopped by 1/4 inches of aluminum? I can see it messing with radio waves, but gamma radiation? Requiring all passenger planes to include a radiation dosimeter for a while (include it with the black box recorder) and we would have a practical answer.

    8. Re:Hrmmm by Cormacus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      From the article:
      thunderstorms unleash sprays of X-rays and even intense bursts of gamma rays

      From http://science.howstuffworks.com/radiation3.htm:
      Beta particles can be stopped or reduced by a layer of clothing or a substance like aluminum .... Gamma rays often accompany alpha and beta particles. Unlike alpha and beta particles, they are extremely penetrating. In fact, several inches of lead or even a few feet of concrete are required to stop gamma rays. ... X-rays ... aren't quite as penetrating as gamma rays, and just a few millimeters of lead can stop them

      On top of that, the aluminum body of an airplane has *lots* of holes in it (windows, control avionics, etc).

      --
      Mon chien, il n'a pas du nez. Comment scent-il? TrÃs mauvais!
    9. Re:Hrmmm by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      Hate to break it to you all but lots of recent planes are composed of significant amounts of carbon composites.... Not as much as our favorite problem child, the 787, but enough to change the radiation penetration behavior of the fuselage.

      That said, neither 1/4 inch of aluminum or composite is going to do much to a high energy gamma ray.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    10. Re:Hrmmm by prelelat · · Score: 3, Informative

      If this were actually the case then I can think you would be seeing a disproportionate number of pilots and flight attendants getting cancer. Anyways it's something that is hopefully already being considered anyways as it's a fact that flying at higher altitudes increases your exposure to radiation anyways because of the lack of shielding from the atmosphere.

      Also concord planes*(at least some) have radiation dosimeters any spikes caused by dark lightning must either be extremely rare or are not being announced by people who operate the sensors on planes.

      *http://www.iaasm.org/documents/Cosmic_Radiation.pdf

    11. Re:Hrmmm by jafiwam · · Score: 2

      While it is true that shielding from Gamma rays on an airplane is basically impractical, that isn't a realistic measurement of how "dangerous" it is. "X feet of lead" is what it takes to block it. What we really need to know is how much the human body absorbs. A body doesn't block gamma rays, and rays not absorbed by the body pass right through doing nothing.

      So really, the question becomes how much is absorbed on pass-through and what the rays stopped in the human body do there.

    12. Re:Hrmmm by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Informative

      Did you know that certain preservatives when mixed basically creates benzene, which is a seriously nasty cancer causing agent? Do YOU know which combos to avoid?

      Just avoid anything that contains the word "benzoate". Any of those substances mixed with any number of acids can produce benzene. Easier to just avoid sodium/potassium benzoate entirely than to worry about combinations.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  2. FUD summary as usual by N1AK · · Score: 4, Informative

    However, because there’s only about one dark lightning occurrence for every thousand visible flashes and because pilots take great pains to avoid thunderstorms, Dwyer says, the risk of injury is quite limited. No one knows for sure if anyone has ever been hit by dark lightning.

    It's an interesting claim and I look forward to hearing more about it but there is effectively no risk to people flying being suggested. Unfortunately /. has decided to focus on the non-existent risk rather than the rather interesting properties of 'dark lightning' and what study of it could help us to understand.

    1. Re:FUD summary as usual by macraig · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Not so fast, mister cynic. First the article says "one dark lightning occurrence for every thousand visible flashes" and then shortly afterward "thunderstorms produce about a billion or so lightning bolts annually".

      So that's one million "dark lightning" incidents every year, and how many global aircraft flights? Avoidance of thunderstorms or not, odds are it's been happening and we didn't know to look for symptoms until now.

    2. Re:FUD summary as usual by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 3, Interesting

      we didn't know to look for symptoms until now.

      Still, if you have to looking for symptoms, it can't be that bad.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    3. Re:FUD summary as usual by N1AK · · Score: 2, Interesting

      A billion lightning bolts really doesn't tell us very much and I'd be disinclined to just pretend that 'dark lightning' behaves in the same manner; however if it was, and if it did, then the odds of being hit by lightning ~1/1,000,000, thus odds of 'dark lightning' hitting you is ~1/1,000,000,000. If you're making any kind of decision based on a 1 in 1 billion chance of something happening to you each year then you are wasting your time.

      As I said, the research is interesting and I look forward to seeing what they find out; However, one of the least important things about this research is the fact that it may or may not indicate that a tiny number of people are being exposed to radiation. ~24,000 people die each year from the emissions of coal power plants in the US, it would make far more difference to your chances of dying/getting a medical condition if you chose a house ~1% further away from the nearest coal plant than the risk of dark lightning while flying does.

    4. Re:FUD summary as usual by OolimPhon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Still, if you have to looking for symptoms, it can't be that bad.

      The symptoms, in the form of radiation damage, don't appear until many years afterwards. Like the damage cigarettes cause, for example.

      How do you associate your cancer to the airplane rides you took 20 years previously?

    5. Re:FUD summary as usual by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Most cancers from cigarettes are I believe caused because the layer of tar prevents the body from repairing itself normally. After a couple of years off them the tar and other negative effects should have dispersed for the most part.

      What I don't get about this research is why they don't just stick a few geiger counters and recorders on planes and fly them near thunderstorms, surely that would be the best way to test the theory? Also, is there any chance this could lead to the return of zeppelins, because that would be awesome.

    6. Re:FUD summary as usual by cffrost · · Score: 2

      So that's one million "dark lightning" incidents every year, and how many global aircraft flights? Avoidance of thunderstorms or not, odds are it's been happening and we didn't know to look for symptoms until now.

      I think it'd be interesting to find out if whole plane-loads of cancer patients could be traced back to individual flights — and to consider that this phenomenon could have been occurring since the beginning of the airline industry.

      --
      Thank you, Edward Snowden.

      "Arguments from authority are worthless." —Carl Sagan
    7. Re:FUD summary as usual by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 3, Funny

      “Scientists have calculated that the chances of something so patently absurd actually existing are millions to one. But magicians have calculated that million-to-one chances crop up nine times out of ten.”

      Terry Pratchett, Mort

      NOW what do you say.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    8. Re:FUD summary as usual by Splab · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, to make it a million to one chance he'd need to have one pilot blindfolded while a stewardess dances a waltz down the center, with the airplane going directly through a thunderstorm.

    9. Re:FUD summary as usual by muon-catalyzed · · Score: 5, Interesting

      > just stick a few geiger counters and recorders on planes and fly them near thunderstorms

      Rewind the footage to about 5:00 when the airplane is at about the cruising altitude, it is that bad, even without the pesky thunderstorms.
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p2IMEk1dvNw

    10. Re:FUD summary as usual by Xest · · Score: 2

      "So that's one million "dark lightning" incidents every year, and how many global aircraft flights? Avoidance of thunderstorms or not, odds are it's been happening and we didn't know to look for symptoms until now."

      You can't just dismiss avoidance of thunder storms, have a look at this map:

      http://geology.com/articles/lightning-map.shtml

      You're far more likely to be close to a lightning strike led in your bed at night, than you are in a plane on a transatlantic flight or whatever because as the map shows, there's very little lightning over the atlantic and so forth. By far the vast majority of lightning occurs in the Congo which isn't exactly known as one of the most common flight paths on Earth.

      Taking an average of about 8 lightning strikes per square kilometre per year from the graph at the above link, it seems that across the whole of Europe these sorts of strikes would occur about once per year for every 125 square kilometres of land mass. The chance of a plane being in exactly the right spot at the right time of year in that 125 square kilometre area to be hit by one of these "dark lightning" bolts is pretty negligible.

      The risk is obviously a bit higher in the Americas, much of Africa, and South East Asia, but even in these places I'd be inclined to agree with the GP, this seems to be a non-issue in practice. Unless you're flying a little Cessna around over the Congo below or at cloud level for a combined few weeks a year then I can't see you have much to worry about.

      P.S. Damn you data and facts for taking the fun out of films for me, having spent 5 minutes gazing at that interesting lightning map now, each time I watch a film where the protagonist is stuck in the middle of the Atlantic, Pacific, or wherever with a raging thunderstorm going on with lightning hitting everywhere, instead of taking in the awe of the dramatic effect and fearing for the safety of said protagonist I'll instead be thinking "What a load of bollocks, the chance of one lightning strike, let alone many like that hitting in that part of the world is basically non-existent". That's another not uncommon plot line ruined then.

    11. Re:FUD summary as usual by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well this should be easy enough -- there are tens of thousands of retired lifetime commercial pilots already. Do they have increased cancer risks?

      Stop blathering and look into it. I would think such would have been discovered already, in fact.

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    12. Re:FUD summary as usual by doom · · Score: 2

      Hydrogen is everywhere and Helium is running short and getting more expensive. New hydrogen barriers are developed all the time, and Helium requires special barriers as well.

      Heh. Your point is that a careful assessment of modern technical capabilities would conclude that hydrogen-filled lifting bodies can be built and operated relatively safely, and have technical and economic advantages, and therefore will be used.

      Now, let me introduce you to the nuclear power debate.

    13. Re:FUD summary as usual by afeeney · · Score: 2

      The waltz would have to be the The Hedgehog song in 3/4 time.

    14. Re:FUD summary as usual by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      Well, your impression isn't exactly concordant with the facts (it's complicated):

      Between 2000 and 2009, overall cancer incidence rates decreased by 0.6 percent per year among men, were stable among women, and increased by 0.6 percent per year among children (ages 0 to 14 years). During that time period, incidence rates among men decreased for five of the 17 most common cancers (prostate, lung, colon and rectum, stomach, and larynx) and increased for six others (kidney, pancreas, liver, thyroid, melanoma of the skin, and myeloma). Among women, incidence rates decreased for seven of the 18 most common cancers (lung, colon and rectum, bladder, cervix, oral cavity and pharynx, ovary, and stomach), and increased for seven others (thyroid, melanoma of the skin, kidney, pancreas, leukemia, liver, and uterus). Incidence rates were stable for the other top 17 cancers, including breast cancer in women and non-Hodgkin lymphoma in men and women.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    15. Re:FUD summary as usual by Solandri · · Score: 2

      How do you associate your cancer to the airplane rides you took 20 years previously?

      Why bother? Since the risk here is directly proportional to the time spent flying, just compare cancer rates among pilots and stewardesses vs. the general population.

  3. Why haven't we seen the effects then? by Dodgy+G33za · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Should be really easy to study - are aircrew more likely to suffer the ill effects of ionizing radiation, whatever those are.

    It would be the sort of thing that an established Airline and staff (or air force) would probably already have noticed, particularly any that fly through and around the intense storms in the tropics. The fact that they haven't leads me to think that this may be a non-story.

    1. Re:Why haven't we seen the effects then? by telchine · · Score: 5, Informative

      Should be really easy to study - are aircrew more likely to suffer the ill effects of ionizing radiation, whatever those are.

      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/557340.stm

    2. Re:Why haven't we seen the effects then? by stenvar · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's been studied. Airline pilots get more melanoma than the rest of us, probably from hanging out on nice beaches too much. They don't get any of the other cancers you'd predict from large bursts of x-rays or gamma rays any more than anybody else.

  4. No Dosometers on Board by nukenerd · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It being common knowledge that flying is subject to higher than normal radiation levels, and there is therefore a worry about crews, I had assumed that aircraft carried dosimeters so that crew members' total personal doses were monitored. No? If so, then this would not be a theory - it could be checked from the monitoring.

    If they do not carry dosimeters, why not? Ground level radiation workers have to by law. I am a nuclear engineer and do so on visits to plant - yet my total life dose over some years of this is tiny, less than typical aircrew would have I believe.

    1. Re:No Dosometers on Board by Chrisq · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If they do not carry dosimeters, why not?

      It's an avoidable business expense. As most airlines are either bankrupt or teetering on the edge, they don't spend a red cent more than they absolutely have to.

      Plus why carry something that could only give your airline bad publicity, and open up the possibility of being sued for "not taking sufficient evasive measures".

    2. Re:No Dosometers on Board by jma34 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      There are dosimeters on board. I have completed several radiation safety courses during my work and radiation levels for airline crew are monitored and tracked just like they are for workers in nuclear and other research fields. Frequent fliers are not monitored and tracked. I work at CERN and I know exactly how much ionizing and neutron dose I receive during my work, but I also have to travel between my home at Fermilab and CERN and I have no idea how much dose I receive on my trans-Atlantic flights. The pilot of the plane is monitored and his dose is tracked. That pilot should also have access to his personal dose, but I don't know what the level of transparency is in the airline industry. So if there were a significant likelihood, the data is there.

      Speaking from a physics point of view, a huge acceleration is need to produce x-ray and gamma rays. And they aren't hard to detect. It would seem that a balloon experiment flying some CsI or other crystals in some thunderstorms would quickly detect this phenomena even if it is 1/1000 or even 1/10000.

  5. Re:Flying abobe clouds by Archtech · · Score: 5, Informative

    Don't most planes fly above the storms?

    Not necessarily. Airliners in which I have flown commonly go no higher than 36,000 feet - occasionally perhaps 40,000 feet. The tops of thunderstorms often reach 55,000 feet and can be even higher. One extreme case reached about 70,000 feet. Moreover, it is necessary to fly well above the tops of the visible clouds, as bad things can happen up to a mile higher. Check out, for instance, http://www.airliners.net/aviation-forums/tech_ops/read.main/152684/

    So pilots almost always opt to fly around storms instead.

    --
    I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
  6. Thunderstorms reach into the stratosphere... by mha · · Score: 2

    ...and no commercial passenger airplane can fly that high, only some very special aircraft (hint: some spy planes... by now replaced by cheaper satellites, though).

  7. Re:I got spayed ! by Angeret · · Score: 2

    Not if you've been spayed. My condolences to your reproductive capabilities ;)

  8. Re:Flying abobe clouds by cffrost · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Airliners in which I have flown commonly go no higher than 36,000 feet - occasionally perhaps 40,000 feet.

    I thought flight levels were odd-only starting at and above FL290 — or do the airliners in which you fly not adhere to flight levels?

    --
    Thank you, Edward Snowden.

    "Arguments from authority are worthless." —Carl Sagan
  9. Re:Flying abobe clouds by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    I thought flight levels were odd-only starting at and above FL290 — or do the airliners in which you fly not adhere to flight levels?

    Not since 2005 in the U.S. - under a program called Reduced Vertical Separation Minima, the 2000-foot separations apply at FL410 and above. Below that, it's based on heading (or actually ground track); 0-179 will be assigned odd FLs; 180-359 get assigned even FLs.

  10. implausible by stenvar · · Score: 2

    People have been flying for many decades. Epidemiologically, there is a significant increase among airline pilots only of melanoma and breast cancer, not of other cancer types. That's not consistent with occasional large bursts of x-ray and gamma radiation (it may be due to leisure activities).

  11. regulations by ssam · · Score: 4, Funny

    Airlines should be subject to the same regulations as nuclear power. All planes should have a few meters of lean and concrete shielding to protect the passengers. Anything that saves one childs life should be done.

  12. Re:What about the pilots? by EmagGeek · · Score: 2

    Pilots (I am one) live longer because of the strict medical requirements imposed upon them, and the fact that the moment a pilot shows any sign of sickness, especially with respect to the most common health problems in the US (Heart Disease, Diabetes, and Hypertension), they are grounded and do not get included in the long-term studies of pilot lifespan.

    The studies of pilot lifetime have the unfortunate bias of the FAA weeding the unhealthy from the sample group long before the "bad" samples can be included in the statistics.

  13. Re:Flying abobe clouds by gmclapp · · Score: 2

    Note that it doesn't actually matter whether you're above or below the storm. If this dark lightning is releasing gamma radiation it is likely doing so in all directions. Including *up*

    --
    Common Sense (+1)
  14. Re:s/aluminum/aluminium/g by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    FTFY

    You crazy Americans insist on misspelling everything

    That's exactly how we spell 'everything', what are you talking about?

  15. What is this "maximum safe lifetime dose"? by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 2

    Radiation damage isn't cumulative. If it were, you would see greater incidences of cancer in areas with higher naturally occurring background radiation, or in workers with greater exposure. Unless you overwhelm your body's repair mechanisms, the damage is essentially harmless and repair is a natural part of everyday life. Low levels of radiation are much less dangerous than ordinary carcinogens and particulate that we are dumping into our environment by the billions of tons every year.

    Granted, this so-called dark lightning may exceed safe levels over short periods of time. Then again, if you are struck by lightning, you will also probably exceed a maximum safe number of electrons transiting through your body. This would appear to be an extremely rare, if not entirely imaginary problem. To my knowledge, there have't been any planefuls of people who have died of acute radiation exposure.

    1. Re:What is this "maximum safe lifetime dose"? by iggymanz · · Score: 2

      Radiation damage isn't cumulative. If it were, you would see greater incidences of cancer You are committing the logical fallacy of asserting the consequent, without a shred of proof for anything you say. Moreover, death is not the only possible result of radiation exposure.

    2. Re:What is this "maximum safe lifetime dose"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Radation dammage comes in two forms. Massive doses can cause acute dammage; 'radiation poisoning' and kill you quickly.
      Radiation exposure can also trigger cancers at any dose.
      Nuclear regulatory agencies use the "linear, no threshold" model for guaging radiation exposure risk. Essentialy, any ionizing radiation absorbed by your body has a chance of triggering a cancer. The more exposure you have, the more chances you have.

      Think of it this way: every unit of radiation exposure is like a cancer lottery ticket.
      You can buy a few tickets and your chances of winning are slim but the more tickets you buy, the more chances you get. Buying 10 tickets a day for the rest of your life doesn't cause any accumulation of your likelihood to win, it just gives you more and more chances at the same odds.

      Studying and being aware of our exposure and taking reasonable steps to minimize it is both reasonable and prudent.

  16. Re:s/aluminum/aluminium/g by White+Flame · · Score: 5, Informative

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aluminum#Etymology

    The scientist who first named the actual element settled on the name aluminum, which matches the oxide to the elemental name, alumina -> aluminum, as is consistent with other oxides. It is not incorrect, and predates the -ium use.

  17. Re:Flying abobe clouds by dywolf · · Score: 2

    thats just the thundercell itself, essentially the motor that drives the rest of the storm system. the rest of the storm system will still produce rain and lightning without rising higher. the thundercell is essentially a self-reinforcing vortex (though vortex isnt really the right word) that builds and builds on itself, and provides the energy to the rest of the storm.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  18. Denied! by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

    Also, is there any chance this could lead to the return of zeppelins, because that would be awesome.

    Of course they'd need radiation shielding. Something like lead?

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  19. Intense bursts of gamma rays? by QilessQi · · Score: 4, Funny

    Then don't get those flight attendants angry. You wouldn't like them when they're angry.

  20. LZ by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

    They have tethers. They can be led.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  21. Re:s/aluminum/aluminium/g by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

    Listen buddy, were it not for us and our "aluminum," you'd be referring to it as "das aluminium" right about now.

  22. Re:s/aluminum/aluminium/g by sl3xd · · Score: 2

    It's not that we're "misspelling" it; it's that we had a spelling reformer by the name of Noah Webster whose dictionary has been the standard of American English for nearly 200 years.

    Given that England has dramatically different ways to pronounce words, and throwing in Scotland, Ireland, and Wales mixes things up even more, I'd expect there to be a more enlightened understanding that distance and time results in different, but by no means incorrect, dialects.

    America is over a thousand miles from the British Isles, and has a culture sundered from the British for centuries. We're not British, and we don't speak British English. We have our own set of dialects, and our own linguistic history. It's no more incorrect for an American to spell "color" than a Britain to spell "colour".

    --
    -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
  23. Re:s/aluminum/aluminium/g by sl3xd · · Score: 2

    No, I just don't give such obtuse attempts at humor anything but derision.

    --
    -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.