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Why PC Sales Are Declining

First time accepted submitter Benedick writes "I have a four year old desktop and a three year old notebook. Why haven't I upgraded to a new machine? Because they still work great. PC sales aren't declining because of Windows 8. They are declining because our PCs are so good, they last a lot longer. Will Oremus of Slate explains it better than I can."

101 of 564 comments (clear)

  1. Reason number one. by kurt555gs · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Windows 8.

    --
    * Carthago Delenda Est *
    1. Re:Reason number one. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Windows 8 is kind of like getting your naughty bits pierced. At first it hurts like hell, but once you use it for a while, you begin to take really like it.

    2. Re:Reason number one. by ackthpt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Windows 8.

      I don't get every version. I tend to sit on the fence and see how newer versions sort out. Perhaps I get to see them at work. I avoided Vista as there were so many things wrong with it. Windows 7 looked like what Vista should have been. Windows 8 has raised too many questions and we're not getting it at work, staying with Windows 7 machines.

      Also, as I've said for the past coulple years, the PC is overkill for many people who just want email, social stuff, simple games, they get a phone or tablet for that now.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    3. Re:Reason number one. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      And then the infections start appearing.

    4. Re:Reason number one. by Strudelkugel · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Windows 8.

      It may be fun and easy to bash Windows 8, but I don't think that is the reason. It's fine. When I see the metro desktop after logging in, it just looks like the menu was automatically opened on Win 7. That's not such a big deal. Once you have organized your app icons, though, it is really no different than clicking on one in the taskbar or the desktop. I find it inconsequential from that perspective, but you also get the live tiles and new apps, some of which are useful. Windows 8 is not the fiasco that Vista was, with its required hunt for drivers. On a multi-monitor setup, I can have the metro UI pop-up on any monitor, which is useful at times. Most of the time I am in the desktop. but I really don't notice switching between metro and the desktop. I run Windows 7 in a VM as an attempt to isolate the email, Flash, etc, and browsing risks. I am impressed with the performance if Hyper-V, but not happy that you can't mount USB drives or burn CDs from the VM. Hopefully that will be fixed in the future.

      If I think of my own hardware purchases, it's easy to understand why PC sales are declining - tablets and phones. I by a new PC or motherboard about once every 7 years. I just bought a new PC after upgrading my mb about 7 years ago. I put it in a case that is 10 years old now. Since buying that last mb, I bought:

      • iMac
      • MBP
      • 2 iPads, sold one
      • iPod
      • 2 smartphones
      • Windows laptop

      I am going to sell the iMac and Windows laptop soon. I'm interested in a Chromebook and some sort of Win 8 laptop. I am sure all of the above will be replaced by the time I upgrade my PC again, part of which is due to how its speed is now more than sufficient for almost everything I do. Eventually I expect my hardware mix to be a powerful desktop, a cloud-centric tablet/laptop, and a phone, with the latter two being replaced much more frequently than the desktop. Note also that it is easier to upgrade desktop hardware, so the replacement cycle is longer for PCs. Tablet and phone hardware improves much more noticeably with each new model at the moment. The same isn't true for PCs. That is what is slowing PC sales, not Windows 8, IMHO.

      --
      Imagine how much harder physics would be if electrons had feelings! -Feynman, maybe
    5. Re:Reason number one. by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually? And as much as I HATE THAT STUPID DUMBED DOWN WIN 8 %$&%$^$...I gotta be honest and...TFA is pretty much right on the money. hell my AMD netbook is 3 years old, runs great, I was the guy that HAD to build a PC every year for gaming, but I'm up to a 6 core with 8GB of RAM and 3TB of HDD space, what more do I need here? Games are just now starting to really use duals and triples, most games won't even stress a triple so half my cores are sitting idle or doing other stuff, so why do i need more?

      This really hit me over the head about 2 years ago which is why I'm doing more HTPCs and security cams now, and that was when the Phenom II quads first got REALLY cheap. You see my dad is the perfect "test case" if you will for your "bog standard PC user" because he is as MOR as you can get, he surfs, watches movies, uses chat and webmail, runs his little office software, its about as bog standard of a use case as one can get. So I start seeing the new quads below $100 and I think "Hmmm, its been awhile since i built dad that Phenom I quad, maybe its time to build a new system" so I set up performance logging and came back 2 weeks later to see, what did I find?

      45%. No shit, we are talking a 2.2GHz first gen Phenom I quad and he ONLY was able to get to 45% usage and looking closer at what was going on it looks like a browser hang caused that spike, if I remove that? he's barely hitting 30% and that is when he is going full bore. I thought "Well yeah, its a quad, surely that older dual core i built for the shop has to be ready for the pasture"...nope, biggest spikes around 70% but only when he is loading something up and after that its nothing, 20s and 30s during background tasks.

      So it all comes down to one simple fact...The MHz war was a bubble. I would argue what we are seeing now is NOT "The death of the PC" anymore than the housing bubble popping meant the death of houses, its just a return to a more normal state. before laptops were getting replaced every other year and desktops around every 3 and now we are seeing laptops going 5-6 years and desktops that can easily go 8 or 9, I mean that Phenom I quad my dad has is circa 07 so its already at 6 years and its not being stressed.

      It all comes down to both AMD and Intel building chips that are just so insanely powerful that folks can't come up with enough useful work for them to do, certainly not enough to max 'em out. Of course Windows 8 being Satan spawn certainly isn't helping matters any but there are still plenty of places selling win 7 systems right now but if your system is already a multicore seriously what more do you need?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    6. Re:Reason number one. by Miamicanes · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Windows 8's desktop mode also happens to be butt-ugly compared to Aero Glass. It's like Microsoft took everything they learned about putting a 3D graphics card to good use for desktop window acceleration and eye candy, then flushed it all down the toilet right around the time they finally started to get it right.

      Fuck MetroModern. Unless Microsoft gives us back what we have now with Windows 7, Windows 7 will be the last Windows I ever run natively as my real operating system, and future versions will be in a VM under Linux. And if they ever take away my ability to reinstall Windows 7 and refuse to let me buy new copies, I'll be walking away from Windows entirely. When the day comes a few months from now that I'm ready to go buy a 3.8GHz+ i7 with 4-8 cores and pair it with 16 gigs and a 27" monitor flanked by a pair of ~20" monitors rotated into portrait mode, I'll be *damned* if I'm going to step backwards and settle for a new version of Windows that looks like someone ported Bob to Windows 3.1...

    7. Re:Reason number one. by Mr0bvious · · Score: 2

      Windows 8 may have some influence on diminishing PC sales but I also think the massive uptake of smart phones and tablets are having a massive impact here.

      I'm not by any means saying that smart phones and tablets are a general replacement for PCs, but I'd speculate that the vast majority of PC sales have in recent times been to people who use them for email, web browsing, facebook and the like. For these tasks, the smartphone and tablets are perfectly good, reliable, more convenient and cheaper alternatives to PCs.

      --
      Never happened. True story.
    8. Re:Reason number one. by David_Hart · · Score: 2

      Windows 8.

      Wrong... Windows 8 is becoming a scapegoat...

      People don't need to upgrade. Anyone with a Windows 7 system has everything they need for home computing. Only the outliers need the latest and greatest hardware (gaming, video editing, etc.). Everyone else is perfectly happy surfing on their tablets and using a Windows 7 desktop/laptop for their financial software, homework, day-to-day work, etc. Most people use their tablets or consoles for gaming.

      Anyone who is technical savvy who complains about the Windows 8 GUI as being the reason for not upgrading, needs to turn in their geek cred. It is ridiculously easy to find a start menu replacement and configure it to boot to the desktop.

    9. Re: Reason number one. by LVSlushdat · · Score: 2

      I've been working with computers since 1985, and until about 2005, I had always built every machine I ever owned, but then I discovered the Dell Outlet, since the company I was working for at the time was a Dell shop. This discovery ended really quickly my desire to build machines, as I could not build an equivalent system for what I could get a Dell refurb'ed system for. Oh I guess I could have gotten fairly close -if- my time was worth nothing.. The machine I just retired, a Dell Optiplex GX620, a Pentium 4D, 2.8Ghz, I bought from the Dell Outlet in late 2005 for $419. Over the years I added memory, a second drive, video capture, several different video cards, and when I retired it, back in February of this year, it was still working just fine, but I had an urge to get something from Dell in the Precision/Workstation class. Did a bit of search and came up two fantastic deals.. A Dell Precision T3500 with a Xeon Quadcore, 4GB of ram, a 160GB Seagate 10K enterprise SATA drive, and an Nvidia Quadro FX580/512mb. This was a Dell Financial Services offlease system, and with the 25% coupon I found on SlickDeals, I got the system for $408, added another $100 and took the ram up to 12GB and dualbooted it with Win7/64bit and CentOS6... This machine will likely last me another 5-6 years, perhaps longer.. Why buy a new system, I ask??

      --
      THANK YOU, Edward Snowden!! Americans owe you a debt of gratitude (whether they know it or not..)
    10. Re:Reason number one. by sdsucks · · Score: 2

      Also, as I've said for the past coulple years, the PC is overkill for many people who just want email, social stuff, simple games, they get a phone or tablet for that now.

      Hell, the maintenance aspect alone makes PC's not worth it for those uses.

    11. Re: Reason number one. by VortexCortex · · Score: 3, Informative

      Why buy a new system, I ask??

      Because for the same price ($500) I got the same RAM, a 3.8ghz quad core APU capable of playing last years games and able to crossfire to double it's GPU for $80 (later), and a much larger hard (500GB). Took 20 minutes to assemble it. Probably took me less time to just buy what I wanted, and put it together than you did stumbling around looking for deals and redeeming coupons. Additionally: I got a much better machine, with all new parts, which will last a few more years than yours will. That's why.

      I mean, if you're time's worth so damn much, you can't spare 20min to assemble the system, then you'll be making enough money that price isn't a consideration -- What's a few hundred dollars? I suspect this isn't actually the case, I mean, if it was you'd just buy the best thing possible at the time so that you wouldn't have to waste time upgrading that crappy 160GB drive later.

    12. Re:Reason number one. by hairyfeet · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, and you are gonna laugh your ass off as it'll probably sound like a sales pitch but YOU sir need to replace those boards with AMD E350s.

      You see 10 years old means Pentium 4 which was the POWER PIGGIE FROM HELL because Intel just quit giving a shit about anything but clock speed. the amount of power those suckers just blast through is just nuts, it truly is. You can get AMD E350 boards for $70, pair that with a $12 4GB RAM stick and a little $7 PCI to IDE board (since I bet most of your stuff is IDE) and frankly you will use LESS power when the system is at full load than the fans in the box use when the P4 is at idle. I am not shitting you, before some jackass stole my kill-a-watt out of the shop I measured and just the fans plugged into the PSU was something like 24 watts and the board maxed out was only between 18 and 19. Of course when I added the P4 holy crap, that thing was blowing through enough juice ( Prescott P4 with HT, 2.8GHz IIRC) that you could run FOUR of the E350s for the cost of ONE of the P4s.

      So you see you are in one of the few situations where I recommend an upgrade, you can keep your OS as the E350 supports XP-Win 8 no problem, as far as performance the E350 APU scores about the same as a 1.7GHz first gen Core2Duo which is of course a hell of a lot better than the long piped P4, and finally the electric bill will just drop like a stone. I have done this conversion for several businesses and they just love the hell out of it as you don't even need any fans, just the fan in the PSU is enough to keep it cool so they are just whisper quiet and like I said the next month's electric bill you WILL notice the difference.

      But I wouldn't say either is "resting" because even their previous gen chips are just so insanely bad ass that if you have a chip made after...ohhh lets say late 06/early 07? The differences will be minor unless you are just slamming the dogshit out of the chip. I mean take dad's quad, its 2.2GHz so plenty of speed, it can drop the speed on unused cores so the power usage is actually quite good, the systems has 4GB of RAM and can hold 8GB of DDR 2 if he needs it (which he don't, hell I game and have 8GB and most of mine is used for caching) and it has a TB of HDD space which is extreme overkill for my dad. hell even the IGP is something like a HD4300 which I actually played the original Bioshock just fine on an HD4300 while waiting for my GPU to come in so for movie watching or checking the video cameras I set up at his shop its just overkill.

      As I have said here before five years ago my low end machine I was selling was a Phenom I X3 or X4 with 4GB and a 500GB HDD and an HD3xxx or HD4xxx IGP...seriously how many users are gonna even stress that out? Hell I picked up my aging aunt an offlease PC the other day, she got a Core2Duo with 3GB of RAM,250GB HDD and Win 7 for IIRC it was $187 shipped, think she will slam that system anytime soon? She scans family photos with her little scanner and plays her little flash games so I seriously doubt that system will be hitting more than 40% anytime soon, its just total overkill.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    13. Re: Reason number one. by RR · · Score: 2

      Why buy a new system, I ask??

      Because for the same price ($500) I got the same RAM, a 3.8ghz quad core APU capable of playing last years games and able to crossfire to double it's GPU for $80 (later), and a much larger hard (500GB).

      I think LVSlushdat got the better deal.

      By nearly every metric, a modern Intel Xeon is better than an AMD A10. Performance per watt, instructions per clock, peak clock speed, framerates, responsiveness. AMD only challenges Intel on price by having desperately low margins, and they don't even win at that consistently. The one place where AMD has an advantage is the GPU, and LVSlushdat got a pretty powerful GPU that works especially well with professional applications, not games.

      A dinky consumer hard drive is noticeably slower than a 10,000 RPM enterprise hard drive, and probably less reliable. You can pirate more movies onto 500GB, but you'll spend more time every day waiting for data to come on and off that drive. Though, both of you should be getting modern SSDs.

      And then the Precision workstation comes in an attractive case with good airflow. I don't know how loud this particular machine is, but in my experience the Dell systems, on average, tend to be less noisy than the cheap computers that are built from parts. This is a workstation, so it also doesn't suffer from an anemic power supply.

      --
      Have a nice time.
    14. Re:Reason number one. by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 2

      The elephant in the room that no one is really talking about is that Silicon doesn't really scale past 5 GHz. While it is possible to get a CPU to run at 100 GHz (yes, GHz) unfortunately
        a) you can't afford it, and
        b) can't afford to cool it.

      It is going to be quite a while (decades) before (Silicon-)germanium are ubiquitous enough. The jury* is still out if graphene will pan out. Time will tell...

      > It all comes down to both AMD and Intel building chips that are just so insanely powerful that folks can't come up with enough useful work for them to do, certainly not enough to max 'em out.

      Yeah we can, but the market is extremely narrow. I would rather take a 100 GHz machine with 1 core, then a 1 GHz machine with 1000 cores. Not every problem can be parallelized !

      There are tons of applications and algorithms that will bog ANY GHz machine; ALSO partially due to the problem of dog-slow-RAM which is an order-of-10 magnitude slower then the CPU's native L2 cache speed.

      Us graphics guys (and I would imagine the AI) guys want/need 100 Ghz + 10,000 core machines for real time processing (we already work with a 2,000 core GPU! i.e. Scientific/Math computing via nVidia CUDA.) The rest of the general public doesn't give a fuck about GHz, cores, and slow bottlenecks like hard drives / memory speeds.

      * http://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=564490

      Graphene is where silicon was in 1948 (the first transistor used Germanium BTW): basically nice in theory and very promising but many practical issues existing that prevented even lab prototype devices from being made. It wasn't even possible to make a reliable silicon transistor until the mid-to-late-1950s.

      Will graphene be practical in only 10 years? It's a long shot because of current infrastructure and technologies: ...

    15. Re:Reason number one. by erroneus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's truth to that but also that their old PCs are "good enough."

      The thing is, the output of PCs hasn't really improved much in the last few years. We used to see jumps in performance between 50% and 100% more. The best we've seen is the slow adoption of 64 bit-windows-ness where people hope to improve things by having more than 3.5GB RAM. (And for most it wasn't much benefit)

      There was nothing in terns of software that required an upgrade from XP to 7. That XP magically got slower than 7 with every update and patch remains "a mystery" but people got the idea. That WinME and Vista were such crap that people wouldn't buy it broke the public of its notion that "upgrade means it's better!" long ago. 7 had been more or less forced on people. They didn't care for it but before long when they wanted a new PC, they had no choice. And it least it wasn't too dissimilar from XP and so adjustments could be made.

      But now with 8 it's even worse. Microsoft had convinced the PC industry that they needed to lock the hardware to the software so that downgrades or running other OSes would be more difficult. Combined with the previous public experience, it means "holy hell no we don't want to change now!!"

      So yeah... PCs haven't improved much. It's basically true. But they break and stuff. But I almost always want to keep a laptop under some kind of warranty. I didn't this go around. If there was a contributing reason, it would have to be because I would rather wait to see how bad this hardware locking thing gets. So yeah... it's Microsoft's fault even though I don't run Microsoft.

  2. Written by a non-cat-owner by HBBisenieks · · Score: 5, Funny

    Obviously. I don't know anything that can kill a computer better than a few feline-induced keystrokes.

    1. Re:Written by a non-cat-owner by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Fire, swimming pools, hot tubs, lava, shotguns, Gallagher, cannons, M80s, trebuchets, toddlers, flame throwers, tanks, grandmothers, that fat gamer dude, gorillas, tornadoes, ninjas, wood chippers... well, you get the idea. In fact, when it comes to destroying a computer kittehs are not anywhere near the top ten.

    2. Re:Written by a non-cat-owner by fafalone · · Score: 5, Funny

      Fire, swimming pools, hot tubs, lava, shotguns, Gallagher, cannons, M80s, trebuchets, toddlers, flame throwers, tanks, grandmothers, that fat gamer dude, gorillas, tornadoes, ninjas, wood chippers... well, you get the idea. In fact, when it comes to destroying a computer kittehs are not anywhere near the top ten.

      You, sir, have obviously never owned a cat.

    3. Re:Written by a non-cat-owner by evil_aaronm · · Score: 2

      WTF...? You do not own a cat. At best, they live with you. You, the human, are being used. You provide food and shelter. If they like you, they'll grace you with their presence. If not, they're outtaheah. "Own..." Such noobness.

  3. The folks who want the latest stuff just build it by sandytaru · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It used to be that the average user would replace their desktops every few years for something newer. The aforementioned "longer lasting system" trend - my husband's laptop is well over five years old and shows little signs of age - combines with the fact that PC enthusiasts build their systems, lovingly hand picking components or starting with a kit and slapping whatever OS they have lying around on it. (I have at least two OEM Windows 7 licenses kicking around from various systems.

    There are still people who will pay oodles of money for a pre-built machine, but most of those folks have migrated over to the Mac platform by now.

    --
    Occasionally living proof of the Ballmer peak.
  4. Lasting A Lot Longer You Say? by Improbus · · Score: 2

    I'll say, most of my company's employees are using 10 year old Gateway SFF Pentium 4 boxes running Windows XP. What is really scarey is that they are connecting to Novell servers (NOVELL!!!) that are even older than their desktops for file storage. I want to cry every morning when I go to work in the IT department for the shame of it.

    1. Re:Lasting A Lot Longer You Say? by solidraven · · Score: 2

      Nothing wrong with netware and pentium 4s. The former's stability record might only come in danger once somebody bothers to leave NetBSD running for over a decade. And the latter is one of the most efficient ways to convert electricity to heat, no need for central heating when you have a pentium 4!

    2. Re:Lasting A Lot Longer You Say? by s.petry · · Score: 2

      As the old saying goes, "If it ain't broke don't fix it!". The reason people migrated to Windows NT from Novell was not because the server was better, it was because of marketing hype. When my small company back in the day migrated from 1 Novell server to NT we had to put in 4 to do the same job. We kept hearing how it was cheaper than Novell, but we had to buy Anti-Virus software, backup software that worked, pay extra for user licenses or face the wrath of the BSA, and buy bigger and faster computers for every new product that was released (or add servers). All of that quickly dwarfed what we paid to Novell, but the brass kept hearing how cheap and good Windows was, and feared the costs of moving back to Novell. Probably more, they feared having to admit they were wrong to waste money trying to migrate in the first place.

      I never supported Windows after the initial fiasco of NT4 was released and have supported exclusively Unix/Linux since.

      Windows may have come a long way since then, but the costs have never reduced either. Now, we have huge budget deficits in the private sector as well as the public sector.

      Be happy you have something that works so well! And use that knowledge to your advantage. There is good money to be made consulting for Novell experts.

      --

      -The wise argue that there are few absolutes, the fool argues that there are no probabilities.

  5. What about gamers by Spy+Handler · · Score: 5, Interesting

    back in the day, not everybody had a PC. Gamers and engineers and other hardcore users comprised a larger % of the PC market. These users tend to upgrade often to run the latest Doom at max 640x480 resolution with all options on.

    Nowadays everybody, i mean EVERYBODY has a pc, even the village idiot and 98 year old grandmas. All they do is check facebook, google maps, and send some email. These users do fine with 5 year old pcs. The hardcore users are a tiny percentage of the market now.

    btw TFS is not quite right, the old machines weren't of lesser quality... my old 486 ran great for 10 years and it was still working when I threw it out.

    1. Re:What about gamers by Tridus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You don't even need a new PC to play games. My going on 3 year old PC was bought to play games, and it plays everything coming out at max or near max settings. Clearly no need to upgrade there.

      My six year old *Vista* PC is now what my wife uses when she wants to play a game. Although it can't play at max settings anymore, we still haven't found a game that it can't actually play reasonably well. Again, no particular need to upgrade there.

      Games being cross platform has meant they need to deal with the pathetically low specs on the current consoles, which combined with games being stuck being compiled for x86 and DX9 to work in XP means you just don't need new hardware like you used to.

      --
      -- "So they told me that using the download page to download something was not something they anticipated." - Bill Gates
    2. Re:What about gamers by bloodhawk · · Score: 2

      It has been pretty hard to get a PC less powerful than a ps3 for quite a few years now.

  6. The Cloud is RAM, apparently by geekd · · Score: 4, Interesting

    from the article:

      "Meanwhile, the rise of the cloud has reduced the need for extra memory."

    Really? "The Cloud" acts as RAM?

    1. Re:The Cloud is RAM, apparently by zAPPzAPP · · Score: 5, Funny

      No silly.
      The cloud is the new floppy disk.

    2. Re:The Cloud is RAM, apparently by RatBastard · · Score: 2

      I think they meant "more storage". It's a common mistake.

      --
      Boobies never hurt anyone. - Sherry Glaser.
    3. Re:The Cloud is RAM, apparently by LordLimecat · · Score: 5, Funny

      Youve never really experienced cloud computing until you've put your pagefile on Google drive.

    4. Re:The Cloud is RAM, apparently by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 2

      its not reliable, though.

      however, if you run it in RAIN-5 mode, it can be more robust.

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    5. Re:The Cloud is RAM, apparently by LodCrappo · · Score: 2

      if "work" includes being stupendously slow but technically functioning, sure, it might.

      you do realize that a page file on a fast local disk is already a horrible compromise of speed for functionality, right?

      --
      -Lod
  7. My computers always lasted a long time... by 00Monkey · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I don't know if it's just me but my computers pretty much never die. I've been building them myself since the mid 90's. I stopped upgrading when Core 2 Duo came out because the PC I built still runs everything great today. I wouldn't use the Athlon XP 2000+ system I have that still runs because it doesn't run everything great but it does still work. I really don't see it being a problem with computers lasting so much longer but I could be an odd case since I don't buy stuff from Dell, HP, etc.

  8. It's worse than that by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I went to a few computer shops in the last month, and not only did my old computer seem good as the demo models, it seemed better. When I looked at them, I felt the pain of having to learn something new. They gave the impression of unnecessary and non-useful crapware. Touching the screen is kind of lame, and Windows 8 is confusing until you get the hang of it.

    So yeah, not only is the current computer good enough, but there are actual disincentives to upgrade. They could at least put a racing stripe on it, make it prettier.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re:It's worse than that by BrentNewland · · Score: 2

      YOUR current computer is enough.But it was probably quite a bit more powerful than the average when you bought/built it. Most people buy PC's in the low $$$ range, which means they fall behind after 3-5 years. TONS of people still on ~3GHz P4's with 512MB of RAM.

    2. Re:It's worse than that by Nemyst · · Score: 2

      When has being a geek involved "feeling pain of having to learn something new"? I am appalled that we are even thinking like that.

    3. Re:It's worse than that by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Of course, nothing wrong with learning something new, the problem comes when it is something new for no reason. If someone changed all the Berkeley networking API names to yiddish verbs I would be annoyed as well. Technically it would be new but not in a good way.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:It's worse than that by Darinbob · · Score: 2

      As geeks, we should all go out and learn lion taming since it's something new to learn.
      Unless of course, it turns out to be nothing at all like chartered accountancy.

    5. Re:It's worse than that by Darinbob · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Typically I think computers don't fall behind, instead the applications have become more demanding. The applications aren't necessarily better but they do want more RAM or more CPU, often deciding that they want to load into memory and stay there before you even use them, just so that you get the instant-start when you do click the icon. The application makers see everyone with faster computers and so they decide they should use more of those resources. So with newer apps your power horse computer suddenly feels bogged down. Even Windows itself is essentially bogging the system down before you even load your first application (win8 though seems a bit better in this regard than win7, though worse than xp).

      For example, I'm using Firefox on mac, and it is always sucking up CPU. It is NEVER idle! Even when it's not even visible it takes up CPU. I upgrade to latest version and it greatly improved for awhile, but if you let it run long enough you start to see it always being active again. Why does it do this, I'm not really sure. I've seen some devs explain that it's going through memory and trying to clean it up in the background. But at some point shouldn't it figure out that it has been idle for 2 days and decide to just stop? Maybe all these tabs that are not active have some background javascript running for no reason at all, but no way to see this and no way to shut it off. In version 19 I saw it take up to 90% of cpu even though I hadn't touched it in hours. Basically the devs in their desire to do what the user doesn't want have decided to take up those unused cycles and make them do stuff.

      Now add in full disk encryption, antivirus, corporate spyware, apps that need byte code interpreters, and your work machine that used to be a dream to work on starts to drive you insane by how slow it is.

  9. Because old machines are perfectly fine! by iamwhoiamtoday · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm currently playing through Crysis 2 on my old gaming computer, and it is running perfectly. No lag, shiny graphics, everything. Why spend money to replace it? It does everything I want it to do!

    Q6600 @ 2.4Ghz
    8GB DDR2 800
    Two 9800GTX cards in SLI
    two 500GB Hard Drives RAID 0
    Windows 7 64-bit
    2560*1440 monitor

    "High" settings, Crysis 2. Runs fantastically. I don't see the point in replacing it (at least, until I move into a place where I have to pay the power bill...)

    I'm looking forward to seeing how well this computer handles Bioshock Infinite.

    1. Re:Because old machines are perfectly fine! by Psychotria · · Score: 3, Funny

      I agree. This is me playing the new Tomb Raider: http://mathsci.ucd.ie/~plynch/eniac/ENIAC.jpg

      It's slow as shit :(

  10. the old ones are still "good enough" by Chirs · · Score: 2

    Since non-linear video editing became more common there haven't been any new "must-have" functionality that bogged down the system to the point where people feel like they need a faster system. (Yes, gaming can be the exception to this, but most "normal" people aren't high-end gamers.)

    The last computing device I bought was a firesale HP Touchpad that now dual-boots Android. Before that I spent under $450 on a Dell laptop that I'm still using today. It works fine for surfing the web, doing email, playing videos (even high def), etc. While it would be fun to upgrade, I don't *need* to.

    Heck, my in-laws are still running Vista.

  11. He has a point by JanneM · · Score: 2

    The last two times I got myself a new laptop, I did because the previous one was breaking expensively (screen going bad in both cases), not because it was actually getting too slow or anything like it. That's not to say I don't enjoy the higher speed and capability of my latest one â" an SSD and enough RAM not to need swap is nice â" but nowadays such performance bumps are firmly in the "nice to have" category, not "pressing need" for me.

    --
    Trust the Computer. The Computer is your friend.
  12. PC companies missed their chance. by Junta · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you want to see how an industry keeps people on an upgrade treadmill, look no further than the cell phone market.

    Once upon a time, the subsidy scheme was required to get people to play in the market given the genuinely high cost of the devices. Nowadays, 'unlocked' prices are hyper-inflated to lend a sense of legitimacy to carrier subsidies. Every two years, the average consumer might as well buy a new phone because it's 'just such a deal that would go to waste' even if their last device still works fine for their needs.

    It's the same way so many people buy cars so frequently that they always have car payments. They get accustomed to the payment and suddenly *not* having a car payment is 'weird' and means they better get a new car.

    Meanwhile, consumer PCs never really embraced some scheme to get people to have some low, forgettable monthly payment (cloud computing being an exception). They see the expense in a straightforward manner and thus don't feel the same compulsion to upgrade. Therefore, the bulk of the market goes to buying a new one when it breaks.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve the problem, use more.
    1. Re:PC companies missed their chance. by Tridus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Phones also are advancing quite a lot. There's a lot more difference between an iPhone 3G and a high end phone today than there is between a 4 year old PC and a new PC.

      --
      -- "So they told me that using the download page to download something was not something they anticipated." - Bill Gates
  13. Reality is exponential growth has to slow... by blahplusplus · · Score: 2

    ... sometime.

    The breakneck pace of innovation we saw for the last 30 years is slowing down. The reality is as hardware power increased software cost (like games) increased in time and money to develop. Compare a game that is ugly by today standards - descent - to any modern game.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=_-slr7wL8KE#t=85s

    Then on top of that add ghz and heat break wall that was hit around the time of the pentium 4. If you all remember right the P4 was to scale towards 10Ghz eventually it never got even close and the industry went a bit nuts because not all software can be parralelized. Just many trends have converged is all that makes PC's last a lot longer.

  14. They stopped selling working computers. by ka9dgx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It used to be you could buy a new computer, and use it. Now to do that, you have to find an operating system, figure out how to get it to work with the new (unsupported on older OSs) hardware. Why bother? I'm dreading the task when this laptop finally dies.

    I bought a Windows 8 machine on Black Friday, it lasted 4 hours before I gave up and returned it.

    Windows 8 sucks so much, it can lift matter back past the event horizon of a black hole.

    1. Re:They stopped selling working computers. by _xeno_ · · Score: 4, Informative

      Windows 8 sucks so much, it can lift matter back past the event horizon of a black hole.

      My favorite Windows 8-ism, and I swear this is true, is that they removed the ability to shutdown the computer.

      No, really. They did.

      There's still a "shutdown" option in the new "power charm." It even brings your computer to a power-off state. It just doesn't shutdown the OS.

      Instead, "shutdown" logs you out (closing all your open applications), and then hibernates the machine rather than shutting down.

      The concept is that this makes booting "faster" but in my experience, it's at best a wash. (I think booting fresh is slightly faster than restoring the entirety of memory.) In any case, you still have to wait for all your applications to restart when you log in, so what's the point?! Plus, generally when I choose "shutdown," it's because I want the OS is shut all the way down for some reason. If all I wanted to do was turn the power off, I'd just hibernate the machine.

      Which brings me to my next point. The Hibernate option does not exist in the "Power charm." You can't Hibernate anymore. Apparently there's a setting somewhere that can reenable this feature, but searching for "hibernate" in the new Start Menu didn't find anything useful.

      Anyway, long rant short: Windows 8 managed to break the ability to turn your PC off!

      --
      You are in a maze of twisty little relative jumps, all alike.
    2. Re:They stopped selling working computers. by Darinbob · · Score: 3, Informative

      There is an option to disable this and do a normal shutdown and boot. There is still a control panel so maybe it can be found there.

      I did notice that when you power off, that after the screen goes blank that the computer is still active with the hard drive light still flashing for another 10 seconds. If you kill power this way (via power strip) I wonder what gets screwed up. I think some genius decided that since 90% of people never turn off their computer that everyone else can be ignored.

    3. Re:They stopped selling working computers. by amiga3D · · Score: 2

      You can still pull the plug from the electrical socket. They haven't figured out how to fuck that up....yet.

    4. Re:They stopped selling working computers. by gQuigs · · Score: 2

      > Anyway, long rant short: Windows 8 managed to break the ability to turn your PC off!

      Gnome 3.0 did that. They eventually reverted it. Impressive how UI people do seem to think alike.. Oh right, Apple somewhat started that trend...

      but when Apple does it, it makes it more usable :) /sarcasm

    5. Re:They stopped selling working computers. by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      My favorite Windows 8-ism, and I swear this is true, is that they removed the ability to shutdown the computer.

      No, really. They did.

      There's still a "shutdown" option in the new "power charm." It even brings your computer to a power-off state. It just doesn't shutdown the OS.

      Not to mention the stupidity of the whole "charm" thing to begin with. When my boss bought Windows 8 (during the $25 sale, and as he puts it "admittedly replacing Vista so how bad could it be") he came to work a week later triumphantly exclaiming that his neighbour figured out how to shutdown the machine by moving the mouse to some random corner of the screen.

  15. Another theory: few multi-process apps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Single cores in new equipment aren't getting significantly faster, and while the number of cores in CPUs is slowly increasing, most apps are still sequential in their processing. This makes new machinery not really worth buying because it wouldn't speed your apps up by much. It's a poor investment to buy a whole new PC for a small incremental upgrade in performance.

    Even in those cases where apps could potentially harness multiple cores because some of their internal tasks are naturally concurrent, they don't do so because they're written in sequential languages that cannot easily multiprocess. Developers have been really slow to embrace the new raft of concurrent languages like Erlang or Go which make multiprocessing so easy. I'm not sure why that is, but a good bet is familiarity with the old and aversion to the new.

    'Just another theory to add to TFA. Any others?

  16. He's largely right by Tridus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Windows 8 is a factor. It's not the largest one, but it is a factor. People don't like it, and people also feel that they don't *need* a PC like they used to. That means when faced with a Windows version you don't want vs the iPad (or whatever other tablet) that you do, the tablet is going to win an awful lot. That wasn't the case in the past, because the technology simply wasn't up to par. Today it is - a typical consumption only web user can get by just fine on a tablet and only occasionally needs a PC. Fundamentally, Metro on the desktop sucks. Microsoft could have avoided the whole problem if they'd just put a button in Control Panel labelled "make this OS work like Windows 7", in which case you'd have a faster version of Windows 7 that can also run Metro apps. That would be more popular. (You can do that yourself with start menu replacements and neat tools like ModernMix, but telling users they can download third party tools to fix it just points out that Microsoft botched the release.)

    That makes the implications obvious: households that used to have 2 or 3 PCs now only need one. Many households won't need a PC at all.

    For people who do still need or want one, existing PCs last a lot longer than they used to. XP machines are still kicking, and do what people want. 3 year old PCs aren't significantly worse than brand new ones if they're properly maintained. Fundamentally, the product used to improve by leaps and bounds. It now improves in tiny increments, and tiny increments aren't enough to promote replacement. It's now like a stereo: you replace it when it dies.

    Multicore is part of the problem here, as well. Intel and AMD can cram as many cores in as they want, most of the stuff I run only uses one of them. It's hugely frustrating to have a CPU sitting at 25% usage while I'm waiting on calculations because most of the software out there still doesn't use multiple cores very well. Unless they're trying to sell me something with significant single thread performance boosts, why would I care how many more cores they can shove in?

    The PC market had a great run, but it's over. The market is going to contract to a new normal: systems being used years longer than in the past, and fewer people needing them. It won't go away for a very long time, simply because phones and tablets aren't nearly as good a replacement for many tasks that we're doing... yet. But stagnation and decline are the new norm.

    --
    -- "So they told me that using the download page to download something was not something they anticipated." - Bill Gates
  17. I always keep a desktop for 5 years by SampleFish · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have always built my own desktop PCs. They always last longer than 5 years. I build a new one after 5 years because I want to not because I have to. In fact I often hand down my old PC and it stays in service for many more years. You might lose a PSU or a HDD but the computer itself should last long after obsolescence.

    PC sales are down for the same reason all sales are down. The middle class has been robbed of buying power. Poor wages, lay-offs, outsourcing, tax burden, or whatever other reason you can come up with. There are more people than we have work to do. When people struggle they often won't buy nice things like computers. They may not be happy with the old one but they can't afford to replace it. I'm sure new car sales are down as people keep the old ones longer.

    The middle class = the American economy. When the people suffer there is a "trickle up suffering" *

    *("Trickle up suffering" is a registered trademark of SampleFish)

  18. In other words, PCs aren't improving enough by JoeyRox · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's not that existing PCs are too good but that they haven't improved much in the past few years, in particular processing speed. The days of huge computing jumps with a new processor generation appear to be behind us, at least for x86.

    1. Re:In other words, PCs aren't improving enough by ThePeices · · Score: 2

      But is a huge increase in computing power going to make my computing experience that much better than it already is?

      I doubt it. Fast enough is good enough.

  19. I blame the Gema Consoles by luckytroll · · Score: 2

    Lets face it, the average user and business PC are serviced well enough by Windows 7, or even XP. So who is left to chase the gains brought by Moores Law?

    The PC gaming enthusiasts, thats who. And why are those guys for the most part sticking with the same PCs?

    Because most PC games are locked to the performance of a game console - Xbox, et all - and those are a little long in the tooth themselves.

    Until the next generation of Consoles pushes the envelope of hardware, and the game developers follow suit... PCs will have no reason to follow...

    1. Re:I blame the Gema Consoles by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 2

      The other aspect of this is that game performance is mostly graphics card performance.

      If you have a decent PC all you need to play almost any game at a really good level is a graphics card upgrade.

  20. Extended lifecycles by EvilSS · · Score: 2

    Virtually every company has stretched their update cycles on PCs in the past few years. It started with the economic downturn but like many new "efficiencies", they have discovered they can live with a 5, 6, even 7 year life cycle vs their old 3-4 year cycles.

    At the same time home users are not seeing a reason to upgrade. Most people are not doing much more than surfing the web and maybe using some form of an office suite. With fast multicore CPUs, cheap RAM, and SSDs, even power users are not replacing as much continually upgrading. I used to go through laptops in 18 months tops. Now, I'm over two years on my i7, 16GB, 256GB SSD equipped laptop and I see zero reason to upgrade anytime in the near future. It's just not being taxed, even with some of the crazy analytic workloads I throw at it. My home PC is going on 2 years old. I've upgraded. Added a new video card to replace my old 8800 GT, I added an SSD boot drive, new monitor. But replacing the whole box, I don't see it happening anytime soon.

    The industry needs to face it, PCs are the new TVs.

    --
    I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
  21. Re:If it ain't broke.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    just like apple did in the late 90's

    oh your 2 year old mac is doing fine? OK heres os 9.22, everyone will be using it, except for you cause we told our installer to specificly ignore anything less than our brand new shiny G3, pay up or fuck off

    or in the mid 2000's

    oh you just bought a G5 OK we switched to intel, pay up or fuck off

  22. Re:The folks who want the latest stuff just build by DigiShaman · · Score: 3, Informative

    PC enthusiast market is dying. Intel plans on having motherboard manufactures solder the CPU directly to the PCB. High end CPU to high end motherboard. Low end CPU to low end motherboard. About the only system you can come close to building on your own in the future will have to be workstation/server class hardware. That means expensive Xeons. God knows what AMD will do. And then there's the whole Windows OS being abandoned as we know it in favor of a tablet OS (Win8).

    Serious question. Where does that leave nVidia? The market has been shifting toward mobile low-powered devices for a long time. That, and Intel's integrated video sub-system is butter smooth in 2d, and good enough for 3d. Commodity video hardware is dead. Thank Intel for that. Their high-end will still be niche enterprise market though.

    As for the future of gaming? Phones, Tablets, Consoles including newer generations of Apple TV (Pippin reincarnated) , and mini-itx platforms would be my guess.

    --
    Life is not for the lazy.
  23. Re:That really makes no sense by tftp · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Windows 8 ... ummm... I guess I can use the drive it came on as a backup someday.

    Microsoft loves you as a customer. You bought their product and trashed it, thus making it not necessary for them to support you. (Not that they would ever do such a thing.) Microsoft only cares about the number of units sold, and you contributed to that.

    I used to buy prebuilt boxes (HP, Dell, Acer) with Win7, and I used them as they are, with Win7 OS. But if I am required to buy Win8 when I need another box I will instead buy parts and build a PC this way - something I haven't done for a long, long time. TigerDirect still sells Win7 OEM packages, but for many of my needs Linux will do just fine. Or I will raise an odd, old P4 box from the dead - as matter of fact, one is on my bench right now, loud and hot as they used to build them in 2007 or so. But it's free. Will install some Linux on it for a simple server duty.

  24. I can't think of a car analogy, but... by fox171171 · · Score: 2

    Computers lasting longer, Win8 not the problem?

    Just like looking at a toddler with a pee soaked diaper thinking the kid can make this diaper last a bit longer because it still works. While partly true, the kid is mainly hanging on to this one because the only new diaper comes pre-loaded with shit.

  25. Value-added resellers by tepples · · Score: 4, Informative

    You won't find them in an Apple Retail Store or on Apple.com, but I'm told a lot of local Mac dealers sell Macs with Windows OEM already installed in Boot Camp.

    1. Re:Value-added resellers by IANAAC · · Score: 2

      ... and install a fresh Windows 7 Pro on it. In the 18 months that I've had the machine, I've never once used it.

      The last netbook I bought, I decided that I'd keep a Win partition around with Win7 on it, for the maybe one time a year I need to use a single program not available to me in Linux (in truth, there are alternatives, but a couple of the agencies I work with insist on this one piece of software) in addition to my usual Linux everyday workhorse distribution.

      Last week was the first time I booted it into Windows since I set it up with Linux. It was painful. A few hundred megs of anti-virus updates needed to be downloaded, which took forever. Surprisingly, Win7 only had 15 security updates for the entire year and a half-or-so that I'd not used it. They were big, though.

      To be fair though, I've downloaded at least as much, if not more, than that for Linux updates over that time period.

  26. Classic Shell by tepples · · Score: 2

    I know I wont upgrade until the start button is back.

    You could try Classic Shell to put the Start button back on the Windows 8 desktop.

    1. Re:Classic Shell by Khyber · · Score: 2

      He shouldn't fucking have to.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  27. Not only that they last longer by Pf0tzenpfritz · · Score: 2

    It's not only that they last longer (supposed they do, which I can't confirm). The main reason to buy a new machine has always been mostly speed. First we had the GHz explosion of the late 1990s when CPU clockspeeds went through the roof (my first Wintel box was a 200MHz PII, my next one ran at 1700MHz), then memory greedy 64bit machines and now... nothing for a while. Everything concentrates at the mobile market. Fine. These thingies still leave a lot to improve, liberate, hack while the good, old PC mostly does what it is supposed to. (Even if you're gamer, because your machine's not really supposed to be complete ever, is it?)

    --
    Oh, the beautiful gloss of greality!
  28. Old computers never die... by eriks · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I've been saying this for years. Sometime shortly after the 1Ghz "barrier" got broken, almost all computers became "good enough" for almost everyone.

    I just recently put a built-from parts (and virtually silent) circa 2003 machine with a 1.8 Ghz AMD Barton, back into service with a modern 80+ power supply, 1.5 gigs or ram and a new(ish) drive. It may not be quite as snappy as my current main system (which is 5 years old) or my htpc (which is 7) but it's really a perfectly usable machine with a fresh install of pretty much any modern OS.

    The primary reason to run current-gen hardware these days is lower power consumption, and to a certain extent modern graphics hardware (capable of hardware HD x264 decoding). If all you need is a web browser and office suite, anything that uses reasonably fast RAM from 10+ years ago will more than fit the bill.

    Lots of people end up replacing perfectly good hardware just because "windows gets slow" which (sadly) few people seem to know that a reinstall will fix. That might take a few hours, and to hire a tech to do that might cost $75 or so... but that's still cheaper than a new machine.

  29. Not entirely correct by frovingslosh · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sure, some machines might be lasting longer. And some people might be forcing their machines to last longer. But, even though there are people with mod points and Win 8 who will mod down anyone who suggests that they may have made a poor choice, I can assure you (at least until I'm silenced by being modded down as a "troll") that there are people like me who are not buying a machine because of Win 8. I'm definitely in the market for a new laptop. 0But you just can't get anything at a decent price new that doesn't include Win 8. And I don't want to pay new or higher prices for a refurb, when that system will likely have a compromised battery, a screen with stuck or dead pixels, or come pre-infested with malware and perhaps unable to make that "only-one-to-a-machine" set of backup disks that they used to send out with the machine but now require you to make for yourself. If I could find a comparable deal to some current Win 8 laptops on a similar New Win 7 system I would snap it up, but I didn't have the cash free before Win 8 came out and now it is too late. Can't even buy a Win 8 system and them pay again for Win 7 and install it, since Microsoft forced the manufacturers to make machines that you couldn't install other operating systems on!

    So some Microsoft fan boy might have written a counter argument to what most of the industry is saying, but the real truth is Win 8 is awful and few people want it. Microsoft ad blitzes and modding people down who disagree will not change that.

    --
    I'm an American. I love this country and the freedoms that we used to have.
  30. People dont want to buy more broken by design stuf by Marrow · · Score: 2

    Its all broken. Its all wrong. Its all crap. Its all fix-it-in-the-field bullshit and people are not biting on the promise that it wont be broken this time.
    1., A printer with its own damn webserver in it but I still have to search the manufacturers website for the driver. FU
    2. Each application has its own method of delivering updates? FU
    3. I have to download a distro and then download the entire freaking thing again and again as updates? DangIt!
    4. I install a 500 dollar application and then updates come. And come again. And a service pack comes. A and more updates come again!
    5. I change hardware and Windows Media Players says FU to me, I changed my hardware and my digital rights are foobar. No fix. FU,.
    6. I have a SSL security system that any two bit monarchy can make a key for any website on the planet? FUUUUUU.
    7. I can encrypt my filesystem, except not /boot where the kernel is. Which can be replaced. Really?
    8. I go to the store and see computer cases that look 20 years old. Zero innovation. Really?
    9. And finally we have a economic system that people dont believe in anymore and they are hoarding their money which is being devalued in their pockets. FE

  31. Er(icsson)lang and Go(ogle) by tepples · · Score: 2

    Developers have been really slow to embrace the new raft of concurrent languages like Erlang or Go which make multiprocessing so easy. I'm not sure why that is

    Blame instructors in the colleges and trade schools who aren't familiar with these languages either. Unless you work for a well-known company whose name begins with Er or Go, you're not likely to get exposed to them.

  32. unplanned non-obsolescence by epine · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Unplanned non-obsolescence is the dumbest thing I've heard since breakfast, which puts it in with some stiff competition.

    How about frantically, desperately deferred non-obsolescence? How about IE6, Exchange, and Office suite document non-portability as a modern-day Maginot Line, equally doomed?

    But in the end, what could they do? We were clearly entering the end-game on the desktop PC as a rain-maker a full ten years ago.

    Meanwhile we managed to gadgify consumption with pocket trinkets where the entire device costs about the same as any decent ISA expansion card back in the day. Because they are autonomous (and you can lose them under a sofa cushion) each gadget is separately counted. It's a bit like counting remote controls instead of televisions, but we'll ignore that.

    And best of all, according to the true nature of innovation, we now have the cyanide-green Apple business model of land-fill express non-replaceable batteries. Microsoft and their OEM cabal are green with envy they can't sell a PC whose golden age is so effectively knackered. That was not their father's green. The times they are a changing.

  33. Reason Number Two... Ease of Use for Video Editing by Proudrooster · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I know there is a lot of speculation into the PC Sales dip, but let's face it, it is the same old song and dance in PC land. If I buy a new PC it has Windows 8 it comes loaded with crapware and doesn't do very much of what most people want to do. Tonight I went to Staples to browse and most of the Windows 8 machines were stuck on "Your protection expired XX days ago. Would you like to purchase Norton." AND I STILL CAN'T CREATE AND EDIT A VIDEO OUT OF THE BOX. However MS-Paint, Calculator, and Notepad are still hanging in from 1987, but to be fair, MS-Paint did get a facelift.

    Flash forward to the iPad. I can give grandma an iPad with iMovie within 15 minutes she has first amazing video trailer of the grandkids on YouTube. Yes, I know the PC has robust suites like Adobe, Roxio, and Vegas but they aren't simple. Grandma has to figure out the Camera, take the SDHC card out, import the video, setup a project (hmm.... does grandma want DV-NTSC Standard-48Khz or DV-NTSC-Widescreen-48Khz, or maybe AVCHD-1080i(50i) Anamorphic) , import the video segments into timelines and on and on until she gives up. It is far too painful, just opening the door to the SDHC card can be a 15 minute project.

    The problem with the PC is it hasn't gotten simpler. It hasn't gotten less painful to use, and grandma still can't get her video onto YouTube. One a daily basis on I use Linux, Windows 7, iPad, and MacOS/X. To me they have just become tools to get different jobs done. The clear winner for ease of use, efficiency, and convenience is the iPad tablet where I can get my video onto YouTube without crapware popping up telling me I need to update or am unprotected.

    Oh and one more reason. SSDs. I can put an SSD in an old box, and suddenly, it becomes a vibrant fast box, even with all the crapware.

    And MS, if you are listening. Put some useful WOW factor, polished software into your OS. Make the consumer feel like they really got something high value for their dollar or just keep doing what your doing. And if you keep on the same path, make sure you knee-cap the next XBOX with always on Internet required for play. Also, if you decided to launch a phone, make sure you abandon all your early adopters and ensure that the phone has no polished apps. Does anyone at MS still know how to code beyond rearranging the UI? Just asking.

  34. But it IS broke. by real-modo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But it is broke.

    Nearly all new computers sold today are laptops. and nearly all of them have shitty displays, shitty keyboards, and shitty mouse pads. The key caps start falling off fairly soon. After a while, other keys just stop responding, or lose their debouncing so you get 40 'w's in a row. The wifi adapters fail just after warranty expiry, and they have miserable range and throughput. The bluetooth never worked properly to start with. The USB ports get loose and stop working. And as for the battery...

    All bad. All really bad. But not the worst.

    New PCs come pre-loaded with endless amounts of bloatware that slow them to a crawl. As soon as you log in your shiny new "productivity tool" for the first time, it insists on downloading updates to all of its update downloaders (thanks Randall), and demands that you reboot it sixty-one times. Or, worse, reboots without warning.

    For non-technical users, using a consumer PC is like driving through a blizzard, even when it's new. You can do it, but it's no fun. Compare that to a tablet or a large (four or five inch) non-Windows smartphone, and there's no contest.

    Why are computer sales down? New computers are broken, and consumers have cottoned on to that.

    1. Re:But it IS broke. by Miamicanes · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Kind of like ~1998, when manufacturers started shipping PCs with one stick of ram instead of two, no secondary cache, and HSP winmodems that ended up being half the real speed of the nominally-slower PCs they were supposed to replace. Rarely in computer history has there been a similar era when the performance of new computers was so *devastatingly* compromised for the sake of saving so little money. Granted, most of those PCs could be rescued by adding more ram and a $10 COAST module, but still... Jesus H. Christ... it was absolutely *criminal* what PC manufacturers did that year just to save a few bucks.

  35. Not only windows 8 by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I don't think that most people care about what OS they use as long as the OS they are presented with can run the critical programs that the individual needs. For most people the critical program probably boils down to a browser and the ability to view various document types such as PDFs. Other "critical" programs would include Netflix, an office suite (and many people do demand MS Office as that is what they are familiar with) some software to deal with pictures from their camera (or the camera on their phone) beyond that you are starting to get pretty specific with things like Photoshop. Gamers and programmers are oddities and while driving the high end of the market don't make up that much of a percentage.

    My mother uses Linux and probably could not tell the difference between it, Mac OS X, and any version of Windows. Nor does she care. She is also running it on an 8 year old machine. Now can anyone possibly tell me why she would need to either switch OS's or upgrade her machine? Keep in mind that the machine can run HD Youtube videos at full screen with no problems.

    But hypothetically lets go down to staples with a $900 budget and buy her an off the shelf machine(laptop desktop doesn't matter) and do the minimum required to hook her up. I might as well keep the phone handy for when Norton or whatever bloated bit of AV pops up and tells her that her machine is in peril. Then she will click on some pay music crap and maybe game center. Then I will tell her to google things but she won't find them because her default browser will have been set to something stupid, not to mention the crap toobar that was probably running.

    Then a few months later she will call me and ask why Office has stopped working. I will tell her that she never bought office and that she was running a trial version and that it will be a nice stack of cash to get it working again.

    Or she can spend nothing and keep her present machine, which in her opinion would be better than something brand new.

    Windows 8 barely enters the equation. Now switch to my brother. He has bought tiny laptops for years. Paid a fortune for each one. He travels and writes. He also wore them out fairly quickly (none lasted 2 years). But now his laptop is a bit bigger and only comes out when he is parked in his final destination. In between his large screen phone serves many of his portable device needs. He can email, review writing, and do research. I suspect his laptop will last him much longer this time around.

    Then take my other brother. He runs a large multinational business with a cellphone and an iPad. He has an awesome dataplan on his 3G iPad and I suspect he may never buy another PC-Type computer again in his life.

    Again little of this is about Windows 8. If anything I would say that the mistake of windows 8 was even making it. They should have just kept updating Windows 7. I never used it much but it seemed fine. I doubt that it would have been that much of a pain to add multi-touch and anything else that Windows 8 has.

  36. Win 8 a contributing factor, not the main culprit by Taco+Cowboy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    We used to replace our desktop PC once every 5 years or so, and our laptop once every 3 years or so, on average

    What I get from my friends (and the companies they work for) is that nowadays, companies are keeping their office desktop PC for a longer period --- many Pentium 4 machines running Win XP are still being used --- mainly because of budget constraint and that they are not that satisfied with the latest offerings from M$

    I can't say that Win 8 is the main culprit of people not upgrading their machine, but it *IS* a contributing factor

    On another comment that I've posted on another Slashdot thread I already told you guys that my company is not purchasing any laptop for our sales force this year --- while in the past we bought, on average, 1,500 to 2,500 laptops every year --- and the reason for my company's not buying this year is because we couldn't find any laptop vendor supplying 3rd generation i7 powered laptop that runs Windows 7

    We decide that it will be best none of our system run Windows 8

    Only the laptops of my company run Windows --- our office computers are all running Linux --- and the reason the laptops that we purchase for our sales force run Windows is because of the software they use

    Or else we would standardize everything in Linux

    --
    Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
  37. Re:disagree by VanessaE · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Or maybe, just *maybe* coders could start focusing on making fast software again instead of just waiting for faster processors? You know, like we did in the old days?

  38. Software activation by MpVpRb · · Score: 3, Insightful

    One reason people don't buy new computers as often as they used to is software activation

    I dread buying a new computer because moving all of my stuff to the new computer has become a multi-day ordeal of trying to convince Indian call center operators that I am not running the software on more than one computer

    If I could buy a new machine, clone my hard drive and go, I would upgrade about three times as often

    1. Re:Software activation by Sir+Holo · · Score: 4, Informative

      MpVpRb: If I could buy a new machine, clone my hard drive and go, I would upgrade about three times as often.

      I've done that cloning trick multiple times with Macs, when moving from one lab to another, or upgrading a laptop. It is a beautiful experience.

      Or, if your new laptop has a newer OS, the Mac's Migration Assistant still makes moving over completely painless. I've done this a couple of times, too. Usually no applications barf or ask for activation, etc. And again, everything is where you left is. A beautiful experience.

      And, (now I'm sounding all fanboi), I recently smashed my iPhone. Bought a replacement, wiped the old one right there in the Store. Got home, plugged in the new phone, and iTunes figured out that I had a new iPhone. It copied the backup right over, along with apps, settings, old messages, etc. Everything right where I left it. So painless.

  39. Re:Win 8 a contributing factor, not the main culpr by Tridus · · Score: 5, Informative

    If you're buying professional versions of Windows, you should have downgrade rights. It might come with 8 on it, but you can just remove it and put 7 on provided driver support is there (and considering almost no enterprise is going to 8, there are business class laptops with full driver support in 7).

    --
    -- "So they told me that using the download page to download something was not something they anticipated." - Bill Gates
  40. Re:Win 8 a contributing factor, not the main culpr by thoper · · Score: 3, Informative

    we couldn't find any laptop vendor supplying 3rd generation i7 powered laptop that runs Windows 7

    i'm not sure if i missundestood you, english is not my primary language, but srsly?!?!

    http://www.dell.com/us/business/p/laptops.aspx?c=us&l=en&s=bsd&~ck=mn#!facets=80770~0~16063830,226292~0~14720685&p=1

    took me 60 seconds, first stop.

  41. Re:That really makes no sense by ZipK · · Score: 3, Informative

    I used to buy prebuilt boxes (HP, Dell, Acer) with Win7, and I used them as they are, with Win7 OS. But if I am required to buy Win8 when I need another box I will instead buy parts and build a PC this way - something I haven't done for a long, long time.

    Dell or HP would be happy to sell you a Win7 machine:

    • http://dell.to/Qouedq
    • http://bit.ly/124B3ox
  42. Partly Correct by FuzzNugget · · Score: 2

    Indeed, there's little reason for anyone to buy a new PC anymore. I'm typing this up on a Core Duo 1.8Ghz with 3GB RAM. It's maybe not as snappy as my primary machine with an i7 and 8GB and awesome switchable VGAs, but it's still sufficiently capable for web dev and graphic design and certainly any office tasks. But I have a hard time believing that Windows 8 as no role in this ... it's a massive dose of WTF is this shit?

    Then enter the proliferation of tablets and smartphones, and suddenly a lot of people have no reason to own a fully-fledged computer. Why buy an over-featured device that will just add complication? If all you need is something for email and dicking around on FaceTwitstagramtrest, a tablet or smartphone is all you need. They are devices with interfaces designed for consumption with little interference of features. This is why mobile software mostly sucks and desktop software is so much more fully-featured. They are necessarily limited by their interfaces.

    If PC makers expect to live through this transition, they need to refocus their efforts to users who actually use their computers as computers, not glorified TV sets. No more shiny-ass, overstyled, glitzy shit laptops would be a nice start, ie.: go back to making this tidy, understated and decidedly square, business-looking sort of thing, stop removing useful features, give us the form factor we actually want and stop making the godawful shiny, plasticky lumps of crippled shit that laptops are today.

    Oh, and please, please, PLEASE give us our 7-row desktop-style keyboards back! How does anyone actually manage to get anything done on these bullshit 6-row monstrosities?

  43. Real reason: virus infections by mcrbids · · Score: 2

    I have seen it too many times... Somebody complains that their computer is worn out and getting slow. You look at their browser and its 19 toolbars and wonder how that was allowed to happen.

    Since they're about to get a new computer, I offer to refresh the drive, and, frustrated, they agree. So I run the recovery position restore to factory defaults, run windows update, download chrome, install f-prot, let them marvel at it being just like new.....

    I only do this for family, but I have a big family.

    If anything, the reason why PC sales are down is because windows 7 is more secure and gets fewer viruses!

    --
    I have no problem with your religion until you decide it's reason to deprive others of the truth.
  44. Re:PC not offering the best experience by Grizzley9 · · Score: 2

    Touch screens are inefficient and need to die eventually, we simply haven't found the right solution to the problem according to most people. In my opinion it comes under the form of the keyboard but oh well. And tablets will never be useful for professional activities, for starters they lack the processing power to go through a few gigabytes of data quickly and the quick and easy to use interface. And that's becoming a common requirement these days.

    I have a feeling you're gonna be disappointed in the future...

  45. He sees the trees but misses the forest. by bored · · Score: 2

    He is correct PC's have always been upgraded because the old ones wern't as nice/cheap as the new ones.

    The reasons he thinks new PC's aren't as nice as old ones are squarely the fault of the OEM's that think they can continue to sell the same shit they sold 5 years ago with tiny bumps for outrageous sums of money.

    The netbook market took off, when you could buy netbooks for $200. But the PC manufactures got scared and promptly started trying to sell them for $400-600.

    PC's were also places where the latest and greatest technology was available.

    Now the only PC manufacture selling new technology is apple. Please show me a windows machine with a monitor similar to the macbook pro. Where is thunderbolt? Oh yah on the mac. Today I can buy a $400 tablet from google with a better screen than any PC. Heck just about any tablet being sold today that isn't running windows has a better screen.

    Then there is windows8 of course...

    Bottom line, the PC manufactures have gotten fat/greedy selling garbage and they wonder why their sales have fallen off now that there are other competitors.

  46. Re:If it ain't broke.... by dave562 · · Score: 2

    Even the late 2000s. I just had to buy Snow Leopard for my g/f's MBP (older 15", Dual Core 2.4, 4GB RAM) so that she could play WoW. WoW ran just fine on all the previous versions, but for some reason the newest version needed a version higher than 10.6. Same thing for... Google Drive and newer versions of Chrome and Firefox. WoW I could kind of understand, not really, but fine, whatever. Simple web browsers? That was what upset me. From a hardware point of view, there is no reason that the laptop could not run the web browser. I have an older desktop with less impressive specs running Win7 and it runs Chrome and Firefox just fine. But not OSX, nope, no sir. Pay the Apple tax.

  47. Re:Win 8 a contributing factor, not the main culpr by hairyfeet · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Well then I'm sorry but your company is retarded. The Pentium 4 was a power blowing space heating piece of shit, its the one system where I tell folks "That has GOT to go" and honestly today you'd have to be an idiot to keep one. You can get a mini based on the AMD E350 ready to go and that gives you the performance of a first gen Core2Duo at 1.7GHz while using less power than the fans in one of those P4s, in fact you could probably replace 5 of the P4s with E350s and you'd be using less juice than 1 of the P4s did under load while having better performance.

    Now as far as the laptops and the abortion known as Windows 8 AKA "LOL appstores tablets touch"? On those 2 points I agree completely, I have several customers using 3 and 4 year old laptops and they are just fine, they do the job quite well. Hell I have a 3 year old E350 netbook and for the kinds of jobs I have when I'm on a service call, as well as my personal websurfing and video watching? Works wonderfully, hell it even still gets 4 hours on the original battery.

    So while I agree on the laptops and avoiding the Win 8 STD keeping P4s is just fucking retarded, if they were first gen core or even older Athlons? yeah I could see it, but there really is a reason why nothing Intel makes uses netburst and that is because it was simply a shitty power pig and the sooner those things are recycled the better.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  48. Re:That really makes no sense by RR · · Score: 2

    Microsoft loves you as a customer. You bought their product and trashed it, thus making it not necessary for them to support you. (Not that they would ever do such a thing.) Microsoft only cares about the number of units sold, and you contributed to that.

    "A computer on every desk and in every home, running Microsoft software." That's Microsoft's original slogan.

    Microsoft cares about the license fees, but they also care about the power to define the industry. As long as the vast majority of PCs are running Windows, then Microsoft technologies will dominate, which makes it easier to convince companies to install Windows. It's a vicious cycle.

    Also, they have direct financial incentive to keep you running Windows. As long as you run Windows, you are eligible for Microsoft Office license fees, and Microsoft Support fees, and advertisement dollars connected with the Windows Live account that they want you to get. If you have Windows 8, then they also benefit when you use the Windows Store to get apps.

    --
    Have a nice time.
  49. Re:That really makes no sense by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Dude do NOT save that P4, the amount of juice you waste feeding that beast makes it not worth the trouble. Since you like Tiger kits (which I do to, they are fricking fantastic) you should look at the $130 E350 Mini which just uses 16w under load while giving you a dual core APU that is great for everyday tasks. Since you already have the box you can get just the board at Amazon for like $70, slap in a $12 RAM stick and the system will pay for itself just on the amount of power you save and waste heat you don't have to deal with.

    I've been turning old P4 office boxes into E350 boxes and its quite popular with the SMBs, better performance than the P4 at not even a fifth the power. I like 'em so much if I ever get a few days "me time" so I can take my time and set my software up the way I like I'll be ripping the guts out my old Sempron nettop at the shop and replacing it for an E350, I'll get a nice performance boost while using even less power than the Sempron, its cheap, great for basic tasks, and low power, its really a sweet little unit.

    --
    ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
  50. Re:If they lasted longer... by bfandreas · · Score: 2

    You will have to break it down to what people use their machines for.

    For the usual tasks like light office work and web browsing tablets nearly have all the processing power you'll ever need. Which means a machine like an Ouya with a keyboard, a mouse and a screen are enough. Ican remember whan PCs hardly could handle a GUI and autocorrection of Word would bog the machine down. These days are gone and have been gone for 10 years.

    Gamers used to buy/upgrade every 2 years if they could afford it. But even for gamers, CPU power ceased to be an issue 10 years ago(with very few exceptions). We upgraded our machines when the newest graphics cards didn't fit into our mainboards anymore and upgraded the whole thing instead.

    Speaking of graphics cards. The current console generation has kept us at a DirectX9 level for ages. Since most games tend to be either cross plattform or not very resource hungry to begin with, that is the level you actually needed. If you've got a Geforce 580 you will be good to go for some time even though upgrades have been available for some time now.

    If you do really heavy lifting development then you propably also are content with what you have and if you aren't you might rather buy a second machine. I do a lot of development and I typically run a database, an IDE, an application server, tons of browser taps, multiple PDF and OpenOffice documents at once and my machine is bored stiff. I've got an i7, 16gigs of memory and the single biggest and best upgrade I got in the past years was an SSD drive. If that machine were bogged down by the stuff I run I'd rather buy a cheapass second machine to run the application server and databases on.

    This is something that's currently just thinking in. We have a hardware generation that is basically good enough. If you have specialised need then as in any generation before this one you will need specialised hardware(for example for video encoding...but I suspect a stock beefy graphics card will be sufficient).


    A lot of companies understand this. For instance nVidia(I've been following their strategy the closest out of curiosity) bowed out of the big 3 console market and left that to AMD. Instead they eagerly beaver away to get the power consumption of their current gen Kepler tech down. They seriously want to build this into phones and tablets. That's their 600 line of products. In a phone!

    I can see the appeal of simply sliding your tablet/phone into a docking station and have a full gaming grade/office machine. We are already nearly there.
    I've ditched my laptop for a tablet-come-netbook(Asus Transformer series) for my computing needs on the road. I decked it out with 256GB of storage and use all my notebook pripherals with it. It's more than enough for web browsing, giving presentations and outlining specs.
    If that is powerful enough for office work then you can see why Microsoft is crapping their pants. This is a non-Windows environment poaching on their turf. And ARM based non-Windows machines with these capabilities outnumber PCs by a staggering magnitude with a lot of growth in power and a 1-1.5 year upgrade cycle.
    The tablets you now can buy for 700 bucks have graphics capabilities of 10 years ago. Those you can buy in summer have graphics capabilities of 5 years ago. And they continue at this pace. And if you were clever enough to go Android instead of iOS then you most likely can use stock peripherals with these. My PS3 controller works flawlessly with my tablet. No rooting, no hassle. Connect via USB and it's paired via Bluetooth. For the lulz I tried using a cheapass wireless keyboard and mouse with my tablet. I attached the USB dongle thing and was good to go without faffing around in any systems menus. A beamer is easily attached via USB and the controller support is so good I can control presentations with a PS3 controller. Mouse support is equally good. Same goes for keyboards. And I get 12 hrs of heavy use out of this thing because it has a second battery in the keyboa

    --
    20 minutes into the future
  51. The netbook shall return by caywen · · Score: 2

    Win8 bashing aside, I think there may be a new netbook revival coming. I actually think netbooks did a lot of cause these issues. People bought these $300 el cheapo WinXP / Win7 machines instead of shelling out $1000 for a quality machine. And they found that these things actually work pretty OK for what they are. So well that their expectations have adjusted - they'll shell out no more than $300-$400 for their new PC. This is after HP already cranked out tons of $799 el cheap PC's which set expectations low already.

    Then Intel comes in with $1000+ Ultrabooks, proclaiming a new birth of PC's. That didn't work.

    Which tells me that should Wintel produce a next generation of $350 netbooks, with touch and Bay Trail, perhaps some nicer design, they'd sell a lot of those. And this would be bad for Microsoft and its partners, because they really want you buying $1200+ PC's. A race to the bottom would be bad for the Wintel industry. But they'd sell.

    My wife is one of these users. She bought this crappy Acer Aspire some 4 years ago. She refuses to buy a quality PC - she even refuses to buy a tablet! But now she's looking for a replacement *netbook*, and if one came out she'd buy it in a heartbeat.

  52. Re:That really makes no sense by bemymonkey · · Score: 2

    Of course it makes sense - you bought a Windows 8 machine because your mother needed a new machine, and you have no problem installing Linux on it.

    The sales that are slipping through PC makers' fingers are the "Oh, my old laptop with the factory Win7 install still works perfectly well, but I'm in the mood for something new that's slimmer/lighter/has better battery life." When faced with the prospect of upgrading to a new machine and having Windows 8 on it (and actually wanting to use Windows), it's a pretty easy decision to just stick with what you already have.

    I bought a Windows 8 machine myself, so I'm actually a traitor in that respect, but I needed a full-blown Windows tablet with decent battery life for OneNote, and Windows 8 Atom tablets are the only option so far...

  53. PCs are not good enough. PCs are underused. by ponos · · Score: 2

    The problem is not that MS launched a new OS that underwhelmed. The problem is that we have a machine with a ridiculous amount of CPU and GPU power compared with the portable shit (tablets and phones), yet we can't seem to put this power to meaningful use. I mean, if you don't to scientific computing or video/photo editing or gaming, what's the point of a PC over an underpowered piece of junk or a console? Software developers should really start thinking hard (yes, MS too). But I guess it's far easier developing 2D games for a shiny new platform than doing real innovation.

  54. Re:Win 8 a contributing factor, not the main culpr by HuguesT · · Score: 2

    And crappy Intel video.

  55. Re:Win 8 a contributing factor, not the main culpr by Compaqt · · Score: 2

    >, you should have upgrade rights

    FTFY

    In the /. dialect, going to a lower version of Windows is called "upgrade".

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
  56. Downgrade to Windows 7 For Free by robertzaccour · · Score: 2

    Nobody is stuck with Windows 8. If you want Windows 7 on a new pc just download an official Windows 7 ISO, burn it to a disc, boot it up, install, then validate it with 7loader, its a free program. Recommended to all people that wanna keep using Windows but hate Windows 8. Hope I helped someone on here :-)