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CO2 Levels Reach 400ppm at Mauna Loa For First Time On Record

Titus Andronicus writes "Today, NOAA reported, 'On May 9, the daily mean concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere of Mauna Loa, Hawaii, surpassed 400 parts per million for the first time since measurements began in 1958.' For comparison, over the last 800,000 years, CO2 has ranged from roughly 180 ppm to 280 ppm. 'For the entire period of human civilization, roughly 8,000 years, the carbon dioxide level was relatively stable near that upper bound. But the burning of fossil fuels has caused a 41 percent increase in the heat-trapping gas since the Industrial Revolution, a mere geological instant, and scientists say the climate is beginning to react, though they expect far larger changes in the future.' The last time Earth had 400 ppm was probably more than 3 megayears ago."

32 of 497 comments (clear)

  1. queue the denialists! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    i hope there's a special place in hell for people who spent the 70's til present denying climate change - you know who you are. Unfortunately it will be the same place in hell as everyone else when it gets too hot around here.

    1. Re:queue the denialists! by KeensMustard · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Interestingly it appears to easier to deny some impersonal reality than to admit a personal failing. I find, even in these latter days, that many smokers will default to arguments we would otherwise imagine were long proven false: there is no link between smoking and lung cancer, my uncle smoked all his life and died at 95 so I can too, some people enjoy taking risks etc, etc.

      I suspect that these notions are just easier to have floating in your brain than being constantly confronted with an uncomfortable truth about yourself e.g. I'd give up if I could, but I can't.

      Climate Change denial arises from the same mechanism. The questioning of objective facts about discernable changes in the concentrations of CO2 and measurable (and predicted) effects on the troposphere arises from the desire to avoid confronting the personal implications: I will need to do something about that and This problem arose, in part, because of me and because of an edifice I believed in. It's very confronting.

    2. Re:queue the denialists! by migla · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You are kind of right, but you might be duped.

      You or me, hopping along minding our own business, looking for locally produced green alternatives is a drop in a bucket. Meanwhile they are destroying the planet for more profit.

      The ones profiting from fucking up the planet are to blame. They have, however, managed to school us into accepting their reality - that we all are in control, individually.

      They've taught us, through millions of 30 second tv-spots and with a little help from collaborators, that their world - the "free" market economy is somehow normal and natural, a basic truth and not an ideology of greed and lying and cold blooded disdain for human weakness while every other ideology, of compassion and sharing, for example, is old-fashioned and silly.

      "The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he doesn't exist."

      So yes, one should do something. And living lean and green is a good thing, but, off the top of my head; getting organized (contact your local anarchist chapter), throwing stones, pestering your local politicians, eating the rich, fucking shit up or getting into politics are probably more effective avenues.

      --
      Some of my favourite people are from th US; Vonnegut, Chomsky, Bill Hicks.
    3. Re:queue the denialists! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      "You also sound like an idiot."

      So wait, I am the idiot for siding with scientific consensus, while YOU are not an idiot... because you believe that the connection between rising temperature and human activity aren't real... because the Sun will die in 1 billion years... uuuh i don't know what to say. the stupidity is mind boggling.

      Well one of us is right and one of us is the idiot. I've sided with 99% of the scientific community, and you with blowhards and TV pundits.

      Gentlemen, place your bets.

    4. Re:queue the denialists! by hawkfish · · Score: 3, Informative

      Do you breathe? Do you drive a car? Do you make s'mores? If so, get in line because you are no more part of the solution than a "denier".

      Of these three activities, only the second is not carbon neutral. And yes, I bike to work every day.

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    5. Re:queue the denialists! by Dahamma · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do you have ANY scientific basis for those statements at ALL? Of course you don't, it was about as fact free as most of the anti-global warming arguments, which is at this point starting to approach the science denial of anti-evolution arguments.

      And it doesn't have to cause 100% extinction to be an utter disaster for the human race in the long run, and something we should work to prevent. Rising sea levels, increased weather variability, desertification, deforestation, and changing climate zones (all of which have been linked to human contributions to global warming and other activities) can do huge amounts of damage to many millions of people both directly and indirectly.

    6. Re:queue the denialists! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The ones profiting from fucking up the planet are to blame. They have, however, managed to school us into accepting their reality - that we all are in control, individually.

      They've taught us, through millions of 30 second tv-spots and with a little help from collaborators, that their world - the "free" market economy is somehow normal and natural, a basic truth and not an ideology of greed and lying and cold blooded disdain for human weakness while every other ideology, of compassion and sharing, for example, is old-fashioned and silly.

      "'free' market" you write - so you know that it isn't a free market. As to the ones profiting, do you include teachers' unions? If not, why not? They are just one of thousands of groups (whether a union, business, department, politician) that can be blamed.

      Almost half (~40%) of US GDP is spent by the government directly. Of similar magnitude are all the mandated or propped up industries. Regulation compliance, fields with limited competition (doctors/lawyers, anything with government patents or copyright), and mandatory insurance (auto/health) which is really mandatory skimming of the associated costs (I.E., and incredibly dumb fucktarded proposition to force purchase of anything).

      Of course, you mention no specifics beyond "eating the rich" and "fucking shit up". I'm not sure how warmongering is going to decrease CO2? As for attacking the rich, same thing.

      We make good money manufacturing insulation which is used to DRAMATICALLY decrease CO2 consumption. If we become rich off this... is it OK for you to eat us or fuck up our shit?

      As for anarchism, I'm down with it as an anarcho-capitalist (technically also a minarchist/voluntaryist type too - I'm not going to stake a flag in one specific area without better definitions). But I don't advocate murder or fucking people up!!!

      Who mod's this interesting, "eating the rich, fucking shit up"??? I hate to Ayn Randian on you, but I have little doubt that the rich are - in your case - morally superior. You set the bar so low, it would be hard to find worse scum.

    7. Re:queue the denialists! by rusty0101 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      As pointed out by Lionel Dricot at http://ploum.net/post/the-cost-of-being-convinced, there is a cost of changing your position. A large number of climate deniers have invested themselves in the position they have taken, and unless they can find a benefit to changing their position that outweighs the investment they have made, they are likely to stand firm in their state of denial.

      Potentially a far more useful technique, than bashing them over the head with the facts, is to start by having them review the facts surrounding the level of CO2 in the atmosphere, and then ask them to provide proposals as to why those levels have changed in the timeframe they have. That engages them in the process of actually doing science, as once they have proposed a hypothesis as to what may be causing an increase in CO2, those hypotheses can be tested. (I.e. it's the destruction of the rainforest - what does satellite data show about the circulation of O2 generated in the rainforest? It tends to stay in the area of the rainforests. Volcanoes emit CO2! Have we seen a tremendous increase in volcanic activity in the past century? No. Etc.) Start getting them to invest in looking at possibilities that can be tested, rather than having them try to change their minds based on decisions they have invested in.

      Nah, it probably won't work, but it seems to me to be better than trying to sit and debate the topic with people who've come to the table already decided that no matter what the logic of proof that's provided, they are not going to change their position.

      --
      You never know...
    8. Re:queue the denialists! by KeensMustard · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It seems imprudent to me to speak only of the dogma of one side of a complex discussion while ignoring the dogma of the other side.

      Yes of course - science is the same as wishing on fairies, and the current climate swing is caused by phlostigen imbalance because of there are not enough people who believe in fairies. Be sure to remain true to your convictions, and refuse any western medical treatment if you feel ill, and be sure to avoid any other products of the science that you scorn, like electricity, sanitation and the internet. Perhaps you could get a job as a tanner, a stone cutter for a cathedral, or a charcoal maker, and live out your short life in the woods far away from the corruptions of science.

      What bothers me is that AGW mitigation advocates have yet to justify their position.

      I know that bothers you - because you imagine that they need to justify the need for climate action to you, the guy who previously said that Tuvaluans should be trying to "better themselves". Pro tip: Nobody cares what you think. Enjoy your new career - I hear that stale urine is actually quite good for the toenails, though I won't bother explaining why - the explanation is packed full of that sciencey stuff, and you wouldn't like it.

  2. Re:Megayears? by Kaenneth · · Score: 4, Funny

    Kinda, so is it 3,145,728 years, 3,000,000 years, or the bastard 3,072,000?

    Which contributes more to global warming, Memory or Storage?

  3. Dupe by Hentes · · Score: 5, Informative

    Dupe.

  4. Re:LOL by noh8rz10 · · Score: 5, Funny

    wtf is a megayear? I only know gigadays.

  5. Re:CO2 at an active volcano? Who wudda thot? by noh8rz10 · · Score: 4, Informative

    hawaii gets all the air blowing across the pacific, so it can be considered a better baseline than doing it in a city where local emissions may influence. I don't see how the size of the cone or islands makes any difference. it's just a weather station on top of the mountain. And no, all the other islands were formed by their own volcanoes so stfu or are you a plate tectonic denier as well?

  6. Re:CO2 at an active volcano? Who wudda thot? by Jah-Wren+Ryel · · Score: 4, Informative

    > So this seems like a silly place to consider as a steady-state CO standard.

    If you lived on the volcano, you'd know better. Wind direction is very consistent and it is precisely because the volcano is so large that contamination is rare - it only comes out of the vents and those are few and far between.

    How do scientists know that Mauna Loa's volcanic emissions don't affect the carbon dioxide data collected there?

    --
    When information is power, privacy is freedom.
  7. Re:Stop breathing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Stop breathing. It is the only way to keep the CO2 from rising...

    You first. And keep on holding it. When your vision starts to go and you feel like you are about to pass out, that means it's working. If you want to ensure you stop breathing, might I suggest you tie yourself to the bottom of the deep end of the nearest pool.

    In the mean time, I'll concentrate on keeping the carbon that has been safely stored in the ground for millions of years, in the ground... instead of wasting my time with silly, not well thought out rebuttals that focus on carbon that is already active in the environment and merely cycled when we breath, grow plants and eat them.

  8. Re: Stop breathing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is /., so mission accomplished.

  9. Re:LOL by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 5, Funny

    sheesh. 640 kilayears should be enough for anybody

    --
    People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  10. Re:LOL by pipatron · · Score: 4, Informative

    Megayear is actually very common in science circles when talking about time spans where using millions of years makes sense. It's usually written "Ma" or "mya".

    --
    c++; /* this makes c bigger but returns the old value */
  11. Re:CO2 at an active volcano? Who wudda thot? by jcupitt65 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Fortunately for science the Mauna Loa readings are in good agreement with those taken at hundreds of other sites around the globe.

    Here's a great animation from NOAA showing global CO2 distribution and putting recent changes in the context of the last million years or so. It takes a few minutes to watch, but it's worth seeing to the end, in my opinion.

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/history.html

  12. Or it our fondness for beef... by kenh · · Score: 3, Informative

    No less an authority than the United Nations pins a full 9% of all human-related CO2 production on cows, but it's worse than that:

    When emissions from land use and land use change are included, the livestock sector accounts for 9 per cent of CO2 deriving from human-related activities, but produces a much larger share of even more harmful greenhouse gases. It generates 65 per cent of human-related nitrous oxide, which has 296 times the Global Warming Potential (GWP) of CO2. Most of this comes from manure.

    And it accounts for respectively 37 per cent of all human-induced methane (23 times as warming as CO2), which is largely produced by the digestive system of ruminants, and 64 per cent of ammonia, which contributes significantly to acid rain.

    Source: Rearing cattle produces more greenhouse gases than driving cars, UN report warns

    --
    Ken
  13. Re:LOL by noh8rz10 · · Score: 4, Informative

    actually, for 95% of the population 32 kilodays is sufficient :(

  14. Re:Stop breathing by The+Wild+Norseman · · Score: 4, Funny

    or you could just strap a fern to your face

    I don't particularly care what her name is, just get her over here!

    --
    "A government is a body of people usually -- notably -- ungoverned." -Shepherd Book
  15. Re:Excuse me by kenaaker · · Score: 3, Informative
    They have the actual atmosphere from 800,000 years ago in ice cores. It's been pointed out several times already. Read a little bit will ya!?

    It must interfere with your invincible ignorance field. But do try to keep up Ok?

  16. NOT Dupe by alexhs · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually this is a follow-up :

    2013-05-05 : "individual observations [...] have exceeded 400 parts per million" "The daily average observation has crept above 399 ppm" "the daily observation will break the 400 ppm milestone within a few days"
    2013-05-09 : "the daily mean concentration of carbon dioxide [...] surpassed 400 parts per million"

    Of course, Soulskill should have referenced timothy, they were obviously aiming for the dupe, but new data arrived in the meantime.

    --
    I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of killer sig, which this margin is too narrow to contain.
  17. Re:LOL by hawguy · · Score: 4, Funny

    wtf is a megayear? I only know gigadays.

    It's just marketing fraud by geologists to make the time span seem longer, 3 mega-years is only 2.86 mebi-years.

  18. Re:Why not? This proves Warmists are wrong. by Dahamma · · Score: 4, Informative

    A very high CO2 measurement is found after a decade of reduction in overall temperature.

    Where did you get that "fact"? The last decade had the highest average global temperatures on record.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Global_Temperature_Anomaly_1880-2012.svg

    If you can't even get a simple quantitative *fact* like that right, why would anyone listen to any of your *opinions*?

    And if you actually RTFA it's not about just the last decade, they have over 50 years of data showing a rise in both CO2 and ave global temperature.

  19. Re: Why not? This proves Warmists are wrong. by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

    . It also may indicate negative feedback loops responding to the changes.

    But that's my skepticism in a nutshell. If I light some candles in my apartment it gets gradually warmer, For a while. Then the AC kicks in. The temperature feedback mechanism in my apartment is much larger than the heat source of a candle, or my gaming rig for that matter,

    We know there's some sort of 100 k year cycle. Is it a feedback mechanism? Is it a strong one? Is more CO2 just going to kick in the cooling sooner, or overwhelm the cooling?

    The one thing we do know is that "stable climate" is an oxymoron. Keeping temps at the same level just isn't one of our choices. So is warmer or cooler going to bring a better standard of living in the long run? And is more CO2 going to make it warmer (the simple analysis) or cooler (due to corrective feedback coming sooner)? And if it's going to get bad, what that cost in $, and what's it cost to avoid some of it in $, and what's the cheaper path?

    It amazes my how many people have strong opinions about this, but have never thought about it beyond "man change - man change bad".

    --
    Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  20. Re:I'VE BEEN DUPED! by jbengt · · Score: 3, Informative

    Daily peak is not the same as daily average.

  21. Re:The CO2 change IS NOT 40%! by close_wait · · Score: 4, Informative

    The relationship between CO2 content in the atmosphere, and how much heat the Earth absorbs from / radiates into space, is basic physics, and has been well understood for a hundred years or so. Increasing CO2 from 280ppm to 400ppm will cause a significant heating of the atmosphere and oceans. Dismissing it because it's only 0.00012 is vacuous handwaving.

  22. Re:CO2 at an active volcano? Who wudda thot? by Guezo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The annual cycle in CO2 is due to springtime uptake of carbon by plants and autumn release of CO2 as leaves fall and photosynthesis shuts down. The paleoclimatic delay between temperature and CO2 concentrations is characteristic of a positive feedback in the system.

  23. Re:LOL by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Funny

    mya

  24. Re: Why not? This proves Warmists are wrong. by dryeo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Interesting, I hadn't thought about soil erosion. What I was thinking about was rock weathering where CO2 is consumed by silicate weathering which results in calcium carbonate. This page shows it pretty well, http://dilu.bol.ucla.edu/home.html. There are vast amounts of carbon sequestered as calcium carbonate, maybe half that has ever been released from the mantle. Wiki mentions that erosion also transports dissolved CO2 to the ocean where various organisms convert it to calcium carbonate, think shells falling to the bottom of the ocean to form limestone.
    In geological time frames this has a large impact on global climate. When the continents are in one mass there is little rainfall in the interior and little erosion. Global CO2 levels increase along with temperature. And the opposite also happens, lots of continents, especially with mountain ranges in the right places so lots of rainfall on land causing erosion and CO2 levels go down. This is perhaps the current situation.

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism