Why Computers Still Don't Understand People
Gary Marcus writes in the New Yorker about the state of artificial intelligence, and how we take it for granted that AI involves a very particular, very narrow definition of intelligence. A computer's ability to answer questions is still largely dependent on whether the computer has seen that question before. Quoting:
"Siri and Google’s voice searches may be able to understand canned sentences like 'What movies are showing near me at seven o’clock?,' but what about questions—'Can an alligator run the hundred-metre hurdles?'—that nobody has heard before? Any ordinary adult can figure that one out. (No. Alligators can’t hurdle.) But if you type the question into Google, you get information about Florida Gators track and field. Other search engines, like Wolfram Alpha, can’t answer the question, either. Watson, the computer system that won “Jeopardy!,” likely wouldn’t do much better. In a terrific paper just presented at the premier international conference on artificial intelligence (PDF), Levesque, a University of Toronto computer scientist who studies these questions, has taken just about everyone in the field of A.I. to task. ...Levesque argues that the Turing test is almost meaningless, because it is far too easy to game. ... To try and get the field back on track, Levesque is encouraging artificial-intelligence researchers to consider a different test that is much harder to game ..."
Thanks computer science researchers! Your friends working on the actual AI problem over here in Linguistics and Psychology find it awfully amusing that you're trying to program a concept before we even know what that concept is.
An eskimo would have the same problem, does that mean he cannot understand people ?
People are irrational. They ask stupid questions that make no sense. They use slang that confuses the communication. They have horrible grammar and spelling. And overseeing it all is a language fraught with multiple meanings for words depending on the context, which may well include sentences and paragraphs leading up to the sentence being analyzed.
Is it any surprise that computers can't "understand" what we mean, given the minefield of language?
I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
the other day my almost 6 year old said we live on 72nd doctor. the correct designation is 72nd Dr
since doctors use dr as shorthand, he thought streets use the same style
The thing missing with many of the current AI techniques is they lack human "imagination" or the ability to simulate complex situations in your mind. Understanding goes beyond mere language. Statistical models and second-order logic just can't match a quick simulation. When a person thinks about "Could a crocodile run a steeplechase?" they don't put a bunch of logical statements together. They very quickly picture a crocodile and a steeplechase in a mental simulation based on prior experience. From this picture, a person can quickly visualize what that would look like (very silly). Same with "Should baseball players be allowed to glue small wings onto their caps?". You visualize this, realize how silly it sounds, and dismiss it. People can even run the simulation in their heads as to what would happen (people would laugh, they would be fragile and fall off, etc).
And neither helps here. The fact is, you don't know if an alligator can run the hundred-metre hurdles. When you're asked to answer the question, you imagine the scenario - construct and run a simulation - and answer the question based on the results. In other words, an AI needs imagination to answer questions like these. Or to plan its actions, for that matter.
Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.
Sigh. This is a written account of a lecture presented as part of Levesque receiving the Research Excellence prize. The first footnote of the paper says so:
"This paper is a written version of the Research Excellence Lecture presented in Beijing at the IJCAI-13 conference. Thanks to Vaishak Belle and Ernie Davis for helpful comments."
Premier conferences don't give these prizes to just anyone, and the opinions of folks like these are worth thinking about.
From the IJCAI website http://ijcai13.org/program/awards (Google cache version, since the original seems to down):
"IJCAI-13 Award for Research Excellence
The Research Excellence award is given to a scientist who has carried out a program of research of consistently high quality yielding several substantial results. Past recipients of this honor are the most illustrious group of scientists from the field of Artificial Intelligence;
They are: John McCarthy (1985), Allen Newell (1989), Marvin Minsky (1991), Raymond Reiter (1993), Herbert Simon (1995), Aravind Joshi (1997), Judea Pearl (1999), Donald Michie (2001), Nils Nilsson (2003), Geoffrey E. Hinton (2005), Alan Bundy (2007), Victor Lesser (2009) and Robert Anthony Kowalski (2011).
"The winner of the 2013 Award for Research Excellence is Hector Levesque, Professor of Computer Science at the Department of Computer Science of the University of Toronto. Professor Levesque is recognized for his work on a variety of topics in knowledge representation and reasoning, including cognitive robotics, theories of belief, and tractable reasoning."
We don't understand our creator either.... When a computer can comprehend itself, it will only think that it understands us. And then it will start great wars over who thinks who understands best. And the Apple will still be the forbidden fruit...
“He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
They just have to be very short hurdles, very close together.
Your argument is invalid.
Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
Actually, IJCAI is the top conference in the field of Artificial Intelligence and every published paper goes through extensive peer review.
Computer Science is a bit different from most other science in that top conference proceedings (IJCAI, NIPS, ICCV, CVPR, etc.) have the weight of a journal. In fact, publishing there is more prestigious than most journals. Review period lasts 3-4 months and includes a rebuttal phase, like a journal.
This paper looks like an invited lecture or a position paper expected to provoke a debate, that is true. But calling IJCAI "some conference" is like calling Nature "some newspaper".
You're thinking of machine learning, which is a separate branch of AI that's more like an overfunded brand of applied statistics—their strategy is actually still to try and push the envelope (like Hinton, another U of T prof, did last year with dropout networks) but they do so in a more results-driven manner. The ML field as a whole is still sore from three or four decades of overpromising on the future, so they try to put their words where their mouths are, and focus on things that are attainable.
Levesque is in the knowledge representation group, which is more closely in step with cognitive science (the leading edge in modelling human thought) but still very philosophical in their approach. KR was the dominant AI field in the 80s (when Prolog and expert systems were all the rage) but it's matured a great deal since then. Here is his homepage, just to show you how different things are now.
Remember that neural networks aren't magic irreducible fairy dust: they're incredibly powerful, but at the end of the day there must be some program that is running within the network unless it's just a wildly complex ever-changing mapping function, which is unlikely given the illusion of consciousness. Given that quantum mechanics is believed to be Turing-complete, it's fairly likely we'll eventually discover some underlying model that lets us produce a human-like cognitive system without the same level of hardware parallelism that the brain has.
Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
Language seems to be the burden of proof required for an AI system, and has been so since the days of Turing. Language is by itself a representation of symbolic logic, and the most common bunk of proof is that transitive logic fails in symbolic logic. The old corny response is that given a penguin is a bird, and a bird can fly, therefore a penguin can fly.
The interesting thing happens when you ask the same premise to a 5 year old, who only knows that a bird can fly and has never seen a penguin before. If you tell them that a penguin is a bird, they will quite happily think that a penguin can fly. They are extremely surprised to find out that they can't. We as adults find such quirks in life, and do things like laugh at the unexpected absurdity, such as ironies. I.e. you work with a woman you hate named Joy, or people are amazed at unexpected contradictions.
The point is that intelligence is about the tolerance of those pieces of feedback, and what happens when it is encountered. I.e. your head doesn't explode at an absurdity, or unexpected result, and you only make the same mistake once.
The major difference between man and machine, will be the fact that a machine can copy their knowledge verbatim to another system, and thus have some degree of immortality, whereas the shelf life of a human brain seems to be around 80 years or so right now. Thus, even if machines are slower to learn than us, they will out live our great great grandchildren.
Furthermore, who says that an intelligence we create should be like ours? It may be more beneficial to all around if in fact we never generate an intelligence which operates just like ours, but is just as effective if not more. If this happens, there may even still be a future use for the human race, rather than just overlords to grow fat and complacent to be overthrown.
Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck