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How Weather Influences Global Warming Opinions

An anonymous reader writes in with this story about how people's belief in climate change shifts with the temperature. "Last week's polar vortex weather event wasn't only hard on fingers, toes and heating bills. It also overpowered the ability of most people to make sound judgments about climate change, in the same way that heat waves do, according to a new study published in the Jan. 11 issue of the journal Nature Climate Change. Researchers have known for some time that the acceptance of climate change depends on the day most people are asked. During unusually hot weather, people tend to accept global warming, and they swing against it during cold events."

21 of 517 comments (clear)

  1. Sure by rmdingler · · Score: 5, Insightful
    But only for people who confuse weather with climate.

    The very same logic is used to fashion correlation from coincidence the World over.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

    1. Re:Sure by Racemaniac · · Score: 4, Insightful

      isn't it just that people react emotionally to such things? the real discussion is far above the understanding of 99.99(don't know how many more nines until i only keep the real experts)% of the people, so when asked an opinion, they react more emotionally than logically. So on depending on the current weather it's logical those emotions are different.

      I also hate discussions about topics like this, because it's just emotional shouting at eachother with facts only used to confirm what you feel is right. Even when people on this site would love to claim how intellectual they are, both sides are more about emotions and personal viewpoints than real science, we might now some good facts, read some interesting articles, but do we really know anything about climate science, all the subtle things, ... everything that can't be easily found in popular science magazines or the few popular arguments from both sides that people keep repeating to prove their own feelings are the best.

  2. They don't understand the difference by sjbe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    During unusually hot weather, people tend to accept global warming, and they swing against it during cold events."

    Of course they do because many people (most maybe) do not understand the difference between climate and weather. They have either a poor understanding or perhaps no concept at all that short term temperature fluctuations are merely data points in a longer term trend. It is just like how people overreact to a few worse than usual days in the stock market even though the long term trend for the overall market for the last 100 years has been upwards.

    Weather = what is happening today
    Climate = average weather over time

  3. Re:Egocentrism by Kythe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    1) There is Islamic terrorism, and U.S. militia terrorism, and atheist terrorism, and Christian terrorism, and others. I know of no one worth listening to who seriously disputes any of these.
    2) If you're really sitting around worried about Islamic terrorists hitting your town, you need to get a hobby.

    --

    Kythe
  4. Re:Egocentrism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "I'm not sexist because I'm female."

  5. Re:Egocentrism by TWiTfan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It would probably help if every time there's a hurricane like Sandy, Katrina, et. al. there wasn't some global warming advocate on TV arguing that this was evidence of global warming. You can't taut every weather event that supports warming as evidence and then turn around and dismiss every weather event that doesn't jibe with the narrative.

    Nor do I find the argument that EVERY weather event (extreme, mild, or otherwise) somehow supports warming. You can't just set up a hypothesis and then say that there is no evidence that can ever possibly contradict it. That's religion, not science.

    --
    The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
  6. A bit hypocritical by sideslash · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I find this ironic since the political AWG alarmism lobby deserves a lot of the blame for this. Remember the use of Hurricane Katrina splashed on Al Gore's "Inconvenient Truth" movie cover. And pretty much whenever there's a natural disaster you have AGW alarmists (not just trolling internet comments, but also occupying high places in government) stirring the pot some more.

    Researchers have known for some time that the acceptance of climate change depends on the day most people are asked.

    I don't doubt that this is true. I also don't doubt that the enthusiasm of researchers to jump on bandwagons follows the "weather patterns" of public funding availability. That's how Richard Lindzen of MIT describes it, and it seems to fit.

    1. Re:A bit hypocritical by itsdapead · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I find this ironic since the political AWG alarmism lobby deserves a lot of the blame for this

      and the AWG denial lobby deserves a lot of the blame for the AWG alarmism body.

      Unfortunately, when you have a well-funded denial campaign telling people what they want to hear (no problem here, ignore the commie academics, relax and enjoy your SUV) a lobby that doesn't resort to alarmism is a lobby that doesn't get listened to.

      A bone fide climatologist would have made a more accurate documentary than Al Gore - which would then have been seen by an audience of, oh dozens of people who watch PBS at midnight.

      Or, just wait 50-100 years until there's enough data to decide for sure whether Katrina or the polar vortex were just statistical blips or part of the AGW-predicted increase in extreme weather - if the latter then good luck building a time-machine to go back and fix the problem (hint: don't use the traditional DeLorian because if we go on using oil as if there is an infinite supply then, AGW or not, you won't be able to afford enough gas to get it up to 88 mph, and Mr Fusion is about as technically plausible as the flux capacitor) .

      --
      In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
  7. Re:Egocentrism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "There's no God because I haven't seen him"
    "There are no unicorns because I haven't ridden one."
    "The Loch Ness Monster doesn't exist because no one has ever videotaped it."

    It's NOT "all the same." Sometimes the skeptics are right.

  8. Weather is Not Climate? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And yet we are to believe things like Katrina and Sandy are evidence FOR Global Warming? Aren't those things just as much "weather" as the national cold streak (which, btw, I've heard Global Warming advocates cite as evidence FOR Global Warming)?

    It seems that every "weather" event is trotted out as evidence FOR Global Warming by someone. According to the advocates, there appears to be no piece of evidence that can possibly be used against Global Warming, but it can all be used as evidence it is happening. Actions like this make the whole AGW movement seem more like a religion than science.

  9. Re:Egocentrism by Charcharodon · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Just as you can say

    "There's global warming because it's hot."
    "I'm poor because someone else is richer than me."
    "I can't be racist because I'm black."

  10. Re:Egocentrism by jcr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    . I'd say an atheist group out of Wisconsin that regularly tries to use the power of liberal courts by filing what could be financially crippling lawsuits against small communities in the South that they don't agree with could be considered as being a form of terrorism.

    Nope. Harassment and malicious litigation aren't terrorism. Nobody's afraid that these people in Wisconsin are going to kill them.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  11. Re:Egocentrism by TWiTfan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Since you seem to think that these weather extremes are evidence for global warming, is mild weather contradictory evidence (if we have a mild winter or summer, for example)? And if not, then can *any* weather evidence *possibly* ever exist to contradict your argument? If the answer is "No," then that's not science. It's religion.

    --
    The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
  12. Re:Egocentrism by Zedrick · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you think Stalin or Mao were motivated by atheism, then perhaps you also think that Hitler invaded Poland because he was a vegetarian? Or because he wasn't a buddhist?

  13. Re:Smog's wish by mi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All those articles really say is that the atmosphere may not be as sensitive to CO2 as previously thought

    Yes. And that "only" puts the existing theories — than man's CO2 emissions are responsible for the warming — on their heads.

    So, maybe, there is no need to tax/ban certain fuels and activities, after all? And thus no need for further expansion of governments (to enforce the bans) and merging of sovereign governments into an unelected "world-government" body?

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  14. Re:Egocentrism by Vanderhoth · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I hate to point it out, because the initial commentor was being a heavy handed idiot, but I think the initial comment meant people don't go around killing others because they're Atheists or in the name of Atheism. If someone just happens to be Atheist while doing something terrible we might as well say they're doing it because the like the color blue. It's not being used as a reason to kill people like Romans feeding Christians to the lions or Christians killing Muslims (crusades) or Muslims blowing up buildings, which I'm not really religion was the reason for that. I think it was more political or ideological.

  15. Re:Egocentrism by OrugTor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Stalin was no more guilty of "atheism terrorism" than he was of mustache terrorism.

  16. Re:Egocentrism by taiwanjohn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would say Stalin and Mao were dictators who sometimes used terrorism as a tool. Call it state terrorism.

    Obviously the GP is a bit foolish to suggest there are no atheist terrorists. Politics is just as capable of producing terrorists as religion is. But by the same token, there's no more truth to the old chestnut that says atheists are "morally rudderless" and thus more liable to commit atrocities.

    Both Stalin and Mao may have been atheists, but they both drew on a vast tradition of superstition among their respective populations. Hitler's armies famously used the slogan "Gott mit uns" ("God with us") on their uniforms, and had a cozy relationship with the Vatican.

    OTOH, perhaps the GP was referring to "atheist terrorists" who use terrorist tactics to advance the "cause" of atheism. In that case, I would have to agree with him, at least provisionally. If you can show me evidence of "militant atheists" blowing up buses and planes in the name of atheism, I'll take a look.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  17. Re:Egocentrism by haruchai · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Climate scientists do NOT make those claims and have been explicitly stating that no single weather event can conclusively be linked to AGW.

    Also, the "G" in AGW stands for GLOBAL, which seems to be a difficult concept for some North Americans to grasp.

    While the polar vortex was wreaking havoc in America, much of Scandinavia was having an unusually warm winter, with flowering plants & bears coming out of hibernation.

    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jan/10/polar-vortex-us-mild-weather-scandinavia

    So whose narrative does that jibe with?

    --
    Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  18. Re:Egocentrism by taiwanjohn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Stalin and Mao did try very hard to eliminate religion in their states.

    Yes, but not "for the cause of atheism"... they did so because they couldn't tolerate any "authority" that might oppose their power, whether institutional or individual. In the meantime, they were quite happy to co-opt the superstitious tendencies of their populations to encourage a "cult of personality" -- especially in Mao's case.

    Seems like we mostly agree that tyranny is different from terrorism, though they may often use similar methods. I'm sure there are plenty of atheists (or at least "doubters") among the terrorists, and doubtless many religious believers among the tyrants. But the the guys who actually strap on the explosive vests...? I doubt there are many atheists among that lot.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  19. Re:Egocentrism by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Ah, the old "whites can't suffer racism" canard.

    Where, exactly, did GP said that?

    Of course there's racism targeted against whites. However, if you are a white in a society dominated by whites, your chances of running into it are much lower than they are for one of the minorities. And there are, indeed, people who claim that there's no racism because they have personally not experienced any.