Predicting the Risk of Suicide By Analyzing the Text of Clinical Notes
First time accepted submitter J05H writes "Soldier and veteran suicide rates are increasing due to various factors. Critically, the rates have jumped in recent years. Now, Bayesian search experts are using anonymous Veteran's Administration notes to predict suicide risks. A related effort by Chris Poulin is the Durkheim Project which uses opt-in social media data for similar purposes."
I make doctors commit suicide. God says...Neither ambitious piece constituted readest workings possessor requitest Ask sanctuary done consistent 'it fastings commiserate BUT hastened allaying deceived perished fluidness
take us & themselves out in one flewn swoop. free the innocent stem cells. stay here it gets better is the AD. never a better time to consider each of us in relation to each other & our abused spirits... momkind new clear options wwwildly popular
With significant development I think detection could become at least 50% successful. It would probably be more cost effective though to just not lose the quarters when you flip them.
This is just fucking retarded. Surely another way to strip returning veterans of their rights, since the label "mentally ill" label is now apparently being used to strip people of their rights. And once that sets in you won't have very long to challenge it, hell an M.D. Shrink can't even use that 8 years of college to give a proper diagnosis instead of roll you his Preferred Pills for free golf trips.
This is the tipping point between liberty and tyranny. Consider the widespread adoption of this a thank-you, from Big Healthcare, and their lobbyists and your policymakers who are now funneling your tax refunds to Obamacare.
-- Ethanol-fueled
this guy should get some; accounting problems still http://rt.com/business/us-unemployment-economy-crisis-assistance-006
no wonder the WMD on credit corepirate nazi analcystic numerologists are taking unscheduled flights? accounting problems still http://rt.com/business/us-unemployment-economy-crisis-assistance-006/
Perhaps soldiers and veterans realize that what are/were doing by blowing off the heads of Pakistani children and the like is wrong and against human nature... It's not surprising to me that they'd want to die. On the other hands, those who ran away from the draft during the Vietnam war, I would imagine, would have a much lower suicide rate.
this guy deserves much better treatment from US perfect balancing actors http://www.youtube.com/results...
it's late, cold, the cat is stuck in the microwave who wouldn't make some typos?
sop on intake for decades now. does the 'note' say otherwise?
According to the study this is 67% effective. But, once this is applied to the general population you have an issue, because the vast majority of people are not suicidal. In the US, about 122 in 100,000 people attempt suicide a year, and about one in ten are successful. Even with a test that is 99% accurate, you are going to end up with somewhere around seven million false positives every year if you screen everyone.
This is how I get my laundry money.
You don't want to know what I do with the dice from rolls of the dice. You couldn't sleep after learning, let me assure you.
It's refreshing to see predictive data analysis used for positive efforts, rather than simply selling more ads. Here's a call to action for all you data scientists at Twitter, FB, and other SV startups who think they're changing the world when all they're doing is putting money in their advertisers' pockets. News flash: statistics can be used to benefit society for a change.
Dictionaries are for loosers.
so the sop for them is to be a threat to/destroy their own perception of danger which is us. that we may rise up & eat them is their greatest fear? (it's happened before). kind of psychosis with a hysterical history base. history of abuse predominate cause of violence towards everything self loathing. fathers may i & mopery had nothing to do with it?
NT
Let's say that they diagnose somebody as "mentally unfit"... what happens then? Do they get locked up "for their own protection" or something?
File under 'M' for 'Manic ranting'
so using legal mumbo jumbo a 'mentally unfit' person ill or not can be confined indefinitely based on the court's perception
How about: Don't fight pointless/immoral wars?
the most glamorous of whackos,, history of abuse as a child + ptsd from helping out in 'civil' wars (harming others back) etc.. leaves us nearly spiritless unfunctioning in any positive manner poor prognosis
for best results be sure to check the gene pool & other dark matters
Risk of suicide? You make it sound like suicide is a bad thing ... so negative ...
shit's done changed
I'd want to kill myself too.
fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you fuck you am i suicidal yet you stupid fuck
Soldiers choose to kill themselves when they realize they serve the ultimate evil Obama.
Mentally Ill means Disobedient. There is no other definition.
of murder
Critically, the rates have jumped in recent years.
The rates aren't the only thing that've ah screw it.
systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
Good quality counselors and therapists have used this ground breaking technique for years...
It's called listening.
What they did was this: they identified 100 VA patients who committed suicide and then identified two "matched cohorts" who hadn't committed suicide, consisting of 70 patients each (one cohort had been hospitalized for psych reasons, the other hadn't). Then they gathered up all the doctors' notes and examined the frequency of all of the words and phrases occurring in the notes. Certain words and phrases occurred more frequently in the notes for patients who had committed suicide.
The single word which appeared to predict suicide most strongly was "agitation". Want to know which word was the second-strongest predictor of suicide? "Adequately". That's right, "adequately". Here are some of the other "predictor" words: "swab", "integrated", "Lipitor".
I guess the finding that "agitation" appears more frequently in the suicide cohort is of mild interest. (As the authors themselves point out, it simply confirms a piece of information that has already been well documented-- namely that agitated affect is a risk factor for suicide). The rest of it is obviously statistical noise. I don't know much about genetic algorithms or neural-net learning, but it seems to me that these techniques are being used to provide an end-run around any reasonable test for statistical significance.
One thing that the authors didn't comment on-- was the identity of the clinician a predictor for suicide? Maybe there were one or two clinicians who, for whatever reason, experienced a significantly higher suicide rate among their patients. (This would explain why "adequately" showed up so often-- every doctor has their own writing style with their own collection of pet phrases/words, and my guess is that certain doctors like to use the word "adequately" more often than others).
The V.A does not really do Mental Health, from my personal experience.
The V.A. does Medication.
They think that if you medicate the veterans enough that they no longer have a problem. I have been dealing with P.T.S.D. and a whole host of issues from my time in service. They issued me a whole host of drugs to make me better. These drugs mostly just made me suicidal and VERY angry. I stopped going there because of what they were doing to me, basically turning me into a Very Angry Zombie that didn't care if i lived or died or anyone else for that matter. The counseling consisted of "here take these and I will see you in six weeks" because we do not have anyone to counsel you, maybe next time. When they did get a counselor, it was usually some one that lasted a couple of sessions and left. Rinse and repeat, over and over and over. Out of all the 'help" they gave me, I had an intern suggest something to me that actually made a difference, an intern, not a doctor. I ended up throwing away all the medications (after YEARS of trying it their way). If not for my wife and family that stuck by my side through the worst of this, I most likely would have been dead.
I have found my own answers. I still have the hyper-vigilance, nightmares and even flashbacks triggered by certain sounds or smells but I am able to understand why and recognize that when these occur, I am able to deal with it in my own way. I cannot go anywhere with large crowds for any length of time, I have a very big avoidance problem. I really have no personal friends, just family, and I am OK with that. My quality of life is not what you would expect for a relatively healthy man in his mid-forties, and I am OK with that as well.
I am not advocating any veteran to toss their meds or forgo counseling, but my experience with the VA was LESS than satisfactory. So, when I hear anything from the V.A. I just think to myself "How sad for anyone in that system".