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UN: Renewables, Nuclear Must Triple To Save Climate

An anonymous reader writes "On the heels of a study that concluded there was less than a 1% chance that current global warming could be simple fluctuations, U.N. scientists say energy from renewables, nuclear reactors and power plants that use emissions-capture technology needs to triple in order keep climate change within safe limits. From The Washington Post: 'During a news conference Sunday, another co-chair, Rajendra K. Pachauri of India, said the goal of limiting a rise in global temperatures "cannot be achieved without cooperation." He added, "What comes out very clearly from this report is that the high-speed mitigation train needs to leave the station soon, and all of global society needs to get on board."'"

433 comments

  1. Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Global warming is a motherfucking scam! We do not have the millions of years of data we require to prove that climate change is man made. Don't believe this shit for another motherfucking second. If you think you have the data that we need I want the full weather data from July 4, 1776 for the location where Las Vegas is presently located. If you can't provide this data you sure as hell can't prove global motherfucking warming!

    1. Re:Fuck this shit! by kenwd0elq · · Score: 2, Interesting

      WikiPedia may be the wrong thing to point to if you want "scientific journals".

      Nor are the real "scientific" journals doing such a wonderful job, either. "Peer review" is a joke, and the track record of scientific journals retracting controversial articles is too long to put much faith in it. The mathematical models cannot predict the present by using inputs from the past. Contra Michael "Chicken Little" Mann, the "Medieval Warm Period _DID_ exist, and his own emails (leaked as part of the HadCRUT archive) prove that he was trying without success to explain it away. Kilimanjaro's snows have not receded. The glaciers in the Himalayas have not disappeared. Billions of people have not starved, nor has Australia been overrun with panicked Malaysians and Indonesians.

      I got really suspicious when I saw that the same Socialist/World Government nostrums that Carl Sagan tried to prescribe for Global Cooling in the 1970s were being prescribed now for Global Warming.

      My degree is in Physics; I always believe the actual facts. I haven't seen many, and most of them are on the "It's not a problem now, and may never be" side. And if we can only avoid collapsing the world economy with phony scare tactics, the world of 2060 will be rich enough to mitigate what minor effects there may be.

      And if Siberia and northern Canada warm up a bit, there will be millions of acres of additional cropland that we can't use now. Maybe that would be a good thing.

    2. Re:Fuck this shit! by rally2xs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Doesn't matter, petroleum and natural gas will eventually run out, whether it's 30 years or 300 years. We need to build nukes that can handle Uranium and Thorium and Plutonium for fuels, and breeder reactors to create more fuel and reprocess old fuel. Keep working on fusion, and someday fusion will be practical and our energy source will then be virtually inexhaustible.

    3. Re:Fuck this shit! by DrPBacon1294 · · Score: 0

      Modded 'Interesting'. -1 mod points remaining.

    4. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll be the first to admit the propaganda war got old a long time ago, but that doesn't mean wind and solar energy are bad.

      Nuclear power on the other hand scares the hell out of me.

    5. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of what I've read about what people predict about the effects of global warming seem to be massive famine, extreme storms, extreme changes in all cites all over the world, extreme heat and cold, extreme rains, extreme drought. Basically everything in extremes everywhere wrecking havoc on the entire world.

      We can not accurately predict the weather in a two weeks, how are we predicting these massive changes that will happen in 20-50 years from now?

    6. Re:Fuck this shit! by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      1970's? Global cooling? Are you serious? The prevailing opinion at the time was 'we don't know', that is the science available at the time was not capable of modelling the effect of man's activities on climate.

      In this essay written by Carl Sagan in 1980 he expresses exactly this and makes a plea for support for such work.

      The idea that there was a 'global cooling' consensus in the 1970's is the sheerest poppycock. Complete wishful thinking by people with a political agenda back by no rigorous assessment of the situation.

      If you really are interested in just facts, you have failed to accumulate many.

    7. Re:Fuck this shit! by kenwd0elq · · Score: 1

      Hmmm. Are you SURE that "global cooling" and "The Coming Ice Age" weren't all the rage in the late '70's and early '80's? I sure remember a lot of headlines and magazine articles about that. I'm guessing that you weren't around to read those papers and magazines back then and that you get all your news from your iPhone now, but Siri can probably help you look up relevant articles.

    8. Re:Fuck this shit! by GarethIwanFairclough · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nuclear power on the other hand scares the hell out of me.

      Learn about it. I've found that in doing so, I have become far less frightened of it.

    9. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Global Cooling in the 1970s,

      In the 1970s? No, real scientists are still talking about that. I minored in physics, and my professor was former head of the US Navy. He had access to a tremendous amount of data, and his job required him to make the best predictions he could. He spent most of our class talking about global cooling. He also had the head meteorologist from NASA in to speak (Dr Marks, IIRC), and he talked about cooling. There's a reason politicians are talking about warming while the scientists are still talking about cooling.

    10. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I was only 10 in 1979 when the indecent happened at TMI but I lived only a hundred or so miles away from it so it was a topic for many years even as I aged.
      Long story short. I became a reactor operator for the US navy and did it for 10 years. I have no fear of nuclear power. I encourage it and I say that as someone that is no longer actively employed in the nuclear power or radiological control field so I have no financial interest in it or a job as risk. Even with negligence and cost cutting, it is still relatively safe. Pressurized water reactors are a sound safe design. Mining, transporting, and burning of fossil fuels and coal are not exactly much safer or healthier for the environment or the general population as a whole either and they are doing even more cost cutting along with a lot of campaign donations..

    11. Re:Fuck this shit! by MrNaz · · Score: 2

      Predicting local perturbations from data is very hard. Identifying long term trends is, by comparison, easy.

      --
      I hate printers.
    12. Re:Fuck this shit! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      An analysis of the peer reviewed literature from 1965 to 1979 [PDF] found 42 papers on global warming and only 7 on global cooling. There were some headlines in the popular press but it was never a leading theory in the scientific field.

    13. Re:Fuck this shit! by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      WikiPedia may be the wrong thing to point to if you want "scientific journals".

      If you can provide some examples of where Wikipedia is wrong about something non-trivial, please do...

      --
      No sig today...
    14. Re:Fuck this shit! by something_wicked_thi · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's the problem with people who get their science from the front page of Time magazine and such. They confuse journalists with actual scientists. Actual scientists have known for a long, long time that the earth is warming and will continue to warm. Journalists continue to get it wrong.

    15. Re:Fuck this shit! by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      I don't know how warm it'll be in two weeks.
      I can reasonably predict it'll be warmer in the summer and colder in the winter though, which is more than two weeks away.

      --
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    16. Re:Fuck this shit! by dave420 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You are clearly an intelligent person, which is what makes this so sad. Your post is full of errors which the actual facts you claim to believe have proven to be false.

      1. The medieval warm period affected just the northern Atlantic area - it was not global, and so is rather irrelevant in this discussion without you also discussing the rest of the world's climate during this period. It was also colder then than now, so it's rather pointless to even bring it up in discussion.

      2. The Himalayan glaciers *are* receding. It sounds like you are paraphrasing Christopher Monckton's claims that they are not, which is strange, as the man himself has recanted that particular belief in face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary. In fact, they've been receding constantly, at least since satellite data has been available to demonstrate that fact.

      3. Global cooling was not a scientifically-accepted hypothesis in the 1970s. It was, however, trotted around in the media for sensationalism, which is where this idea comes from that it was the scientific consensus at the time, when that is demonstrably nonsense.

      4. Since the early 1900s, 80% of the ice on Kilimanjaro has disappeared. 80%. To say that the ice (which, colloquially, is what "Kilimanjaro's Snow" refers to) has not receded is patently false.

      The source for your facts clearly needs some adjustment, as you are parroting the same debunked nonsense the anti-AGW crowd has been trotting around for years now. The facts are there - you don't seem to be wanting to look for them.

      Canada's topsoil in the areas which will warm up were scraped away by glaciation, meaning those areas will be next to useless for crops. Siberia's permafrost contains a lot of methane, which will be released into the atmosphere if it melts, which is a potent greenhouse gas, which will cause even more warming. Its topsoil also isn't great for farming, plus the industry, skills, and workers required to farm Canada and Siberia's non-existent suitable farmland isn't in either Canada or Siberia, which is a bit of a problem for your notion. That spreading north of suitable climate for growing crops means that huge swathes of the US will no longer be able to produce crops, which doesn't sound like a good situation for the US to be in.

      But whatever - you have your "facts", so I guess we can just ignore this stuff forever, with no ill-effects. Right?

    17. Re:Fuck this shit! by dave420 · · Score: 1

      And here-in lies the crux of your problem. If you rely on magazines and newspapers for your scientific knowledge, you will undoubtedly believe a whole bunch of crap. Just like you are showing now. What a pity. No wonder you are spouting the oft-debunked Christopher Monckton's talking points. It's strange that you claim to believe the facts, but you clearly make no effort to discover them, substituting newspaper articles for peer-reviewed papers. You are a bad scientist, my friend.

    18. Re:Fuck this shit! by delt0r · · Score: 1

      That is not a scientific journal. In fact i wager you haven't read them either if that is your "reference" point. What a scientific says in a peer review journal is very different from what they will say to a reporter. More so on this topic.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    19. Re:Fuck this shit! by Adam+Jorgensen · · Score: 2

      I live 60kms from a nuclear power plant (Koeberg Nuclear Power Station) and I'm not worried.

    20. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure. Just give me a moment to finish these edits...

    21. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And even if topsoil and skills were not an issue, the new Northern farmlands (lacking agricultural infrastructure, which would need to be developed) receive very oblique sunlight, which limits the types of crops which can grow there regardless of the ambient temperature. The Southern hemisphere has it somewhat worse - there's not much room to move agriculture further south before hitting the ocean.

    22. Re:Fuck this shit! by dbIII · · Score: 1

      1970's? Global cooling? Are you serious?

      Such folk are so serious about it that fake magazine covers have been photoshopped together to support it.
      Just ignore the loyal little comrade doing what his party tells him to do. It's just a bit of soviet russia style revisionism and propaganda.

    23. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Canada's topsoil in the areas which will warm up were scraped away by glaciation, meaning those areas will be next to useless for crops."

      It's worse than that. In much of northern Canada all you'll do is create more muskeg, and huge areas will be cut off from road transportation because it won't be possible to make reliable ice roads anymore. It's not a good thing.

    24. Re:Fuck this shit! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      What is wrong with ocean farming? Kelp is a wonderful food source.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    25. Re:Fuck this shit! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      You mean cut off from *cheap* road transportation. The correct response to such a problem is to develop new technology.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    26. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anon because I am modding.

      Ok, so you can not predict the lottery numbers but you can say someone will eventually win it. Though like the weather it is a chaotic system so you really can not predict how high the winnings will be or how many will win when it hits. You can only estimate based on past winnings which may or may not provide an accurate prediction of future winnings.

    27. Re:Fuck this shit! by MrNaz · · Score: 0

      Wrong again.
      You can't make any predictions about a single lottery draw. You can make reasonable predictions about 100 lottery draws, better ones about 1,000 lottery draws. You can make extremely accurate predictions, within a fraction of a percent, about 1,000,000,000 lottery draws.

      --
      I hate printers.
    28. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Do you use the "denier" term and "97% of scientists" a lot too?
      Hers is your facts : http://imgur.com/BKaEalG
      Please explain all the OTHER temperature trends in over the Holocene, apparently without the 1900's industrial C02?
      And please, don't make the mistake of using high frequency, high resolution data graphed on to this smoothed data.
      If you have better data than this, please post up.
      My fav blog post, yes, from a scientist:
      A)The increase in the first half of the 20th century is almost identical to the increase in the second half. The two halves are so nearly identical in form that unless you have studied them enough to be able to pick out specific features, you won’t be able to tell which one occurred with the hypothetical help of CO_2 and which one occurred without the hypothetical help of CO_2 when they are plotted on the same vertical relative scale and the same horizontal relative scale but with the actual dates obscured.
      In the first half of the 20th century, not even the most ardent warmists claim that there was enough anthropogenic CO_2 in the atmosphere to have any measurable effect. The global industrial revolution that started the CO_2 crank was 1950s on, and there was supposedly a lag of 30 years before that had any effect (to explain the fact that through the 50s, 60s, and early 70s the temperature was pretty close to flat, which didn’t fit in well with the instantly well-mixed, instantly more strongly forcing picture of CO_2 emissions.
      So as a matter of pure fact, the increase in temperature experienced during the 20th century was not unusual or abnormal in any way that can be definitively linked to anthropogenic activity as far as we can tell from the data! We had little to no impact on the first half, the warming in the second half matched that of the first half (with our hypothetical help), both halves were part of a perfectly reasonable continuing century-scale rebound from the lowest temperatures experienced on Earth since the Holocene Optimum during the Little Ice Age.
      It’s amazing how ignorant people who participate in this debate with total certainty that our climate is unusual are of the “patient’s” history. I like to keep the patient’s chart for the last 12,000 years handy to help them learn:
      http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Holocene_Temperature_Variations.png
      Note well, this is smoothed. Note also that the error bars (never, ever shown in climate science) are probably as wide as the total variability envelope of all contributing reconstructions — an easy 1 to 2 C. As Lief pointed out above, reconstructing things like solar activity or temperature in the pre-instrumental era is neither easy nor precise, and the tiniest hint of bias or prior belief in the part of the researcher can effortlessly further cloud the proxy-based extrapolations by causing them to make countless small, almost harmless decisions that ultimately are cherrypicking of the data, comparing low temporal resolution data to high temporal resolution data to make erroneous statements about extremes, or ignoring the possibility of confounding causes or degradation of the data sources in those sources that match their “preferred” narrative at the expense of those that do not. If you count the assumptions — most of which cannot possibly be verified in the present — that go into reconstructions, there are many and each one contributes to increased uncertainty in the final claim.
      Still, taking it for what it is worth — a possibly accurate reconstruction of the planet’s temperatures in the Holocene (post the Wisconsin glaciation, but including the Younger Dryas) that is at any rate the best we can do with the data and methods available (biased or not) at this time, what does it tell us?
      First, the climate now is not warmer than it was in the Holocene Optimum (do not make the mistake of conflating the high frequency, high resolution “2004 data point with the smoothed low frequency, low resolution d

    29. Re:Fuck this shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and even with all that data you can not tell me how many will win, when they will win, or how big the pot will get.

      Just as with climate scientists, they can not tell how hot/cold it will get, where it will get hot/cold, or much else and there data is far more limited that you may think with about 100 years of accurate measurements. Do you think your numbers would be right if you had 200 actual drawing numbers and 1,000,000,800 numbers from proxy data that was about correct?

      For example, running 200 lottery numbers from real drawings and then running a random number generator to generate out the remaining 1,000,000,800 numbers will not give you any good statistical data. The numbers will look like lottery number and be close to what they may be but they will only be a rough approximation via proxy that will tell you more about the proxy than the actual lottery.

  2. Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desired by GoodNewsJimDotCom · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's been what, like 50 years we've been using old tech? Nuclear is cleaner than coal barring an accident. Coal is guaranteed to kill and hurt people. With Nuclear you at least have a chance of everyone being healthy. Even if the country doesn't adopt some grand scheme of making a bunch of nuclear plants, making one here or one there would get our technology levels higher and create jobs for smart people.

    A lesser known situation is if you actually create an energy surplus, food costs, logistic costs, and transportation costs get cheaper. So if we ramped our energy production up by 2-8x what we got now, people could charge their hybrid car at home for even less than they do now. I think this dream is often grouped up with a superconductor power grid idea which is unrealistic for the short term. I think for a better world, we should be aiming to create energy surpluses.

    Sometimes I even have the strange thought that energy conservation ideas hurt society's growth. It would be almost better if we used more power in the short term so energy could invest in itself and provide more power at lower costs down the road. I mean it is better to conserve electricity, but I don't hear people championing the idea of creating a global energy surplus.

  3. Active countermeasures required. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A satellite shade, something that can block a small percentage of total radiation on a day to day basis could really mitigate the warming without being impossible.

    The idea of getting all the coal/oil/shale corpos and attached governments to give up on their investments and monopolies seems a lot less possible by comparison.

    1. Re:Active countermeasures required. by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      Mr. Burns?

    2. Re:Active countermeasures required. by egr · · Score: 1

      Nah, professor Wernstrom.

    3. Re:Active countermeasures required. by Virtucon · · Score: 0

      Make condoms and contraceptives available to the general population and limit families to two kids.

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    4. Re:Active countermeasures required. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      actually there are very few places in the world left were the birthrate is significantly higher then 2.

      the world population will top out somewhere between 9 and 10 billion people. that increase is inevitable* as the older smaller generations are replaced by the generations that are all roughly the same size.

      (* short of major disaster of course)

    5. Re:Active countermeasures required. by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

      Wernstrom!

    6. Re:Active countermeasures required. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      A satellite shade, something that can block a small percentage of total radiation on a day to day basis could really mitigate the warming without being impossible.

      There are two problems with that "solution". First you are blocking solar radiation which will necessarily reduce the amount of photosynthesis going on which will reduce crop yields. How much difference that makes I don't know but the effect is not zero. Second, it does nothing to stop ocean acidification which may turn out to be a bigger problem than global warming in the long run.

    7. Re:Active countermeasures required. by Jmc23 · · Score: 1

      Nice how you blame the corps, but the inverse, getting your average USian to give up their 'luxuries' is equally as undoable!

      --
      Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
    8. Re:Active countermeasures required. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except corporate "industrial" pollution and forced fossil choices are corporate, not local/personal. Sorry mr slick.

  4. Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Humans are too greedy and too unreliable for nuclear to be the safest option.

    Fix humans? That's way too hard.
    Use something else? Doable.

    Unless we just really have no problem with every X years some spot on earth becomes uninhabitable for the next 50,000 years...

    1. Re:Nope. by Rising+Ape · · Score: 3, Informative

      Unless we just really have no problem with every X years some spot on earth becomes uninhabitable for the next 50,000 years...

      More like 300 years at most, with most of the affected area clear in under 100. The offending isotope is Cs-137, which has a half life of about 30 years. The long lived stuff isn't volatile enough to be released in significant quantity.

    2. Re:Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      with every X years some spot on earth becomes uninhabitable

      Uninhabitable by whom? The Chernobyl exclusion zone, at least the part that hasn't been repopulated by evacuees, has become an amazing ecology of formerly rare species. The same thing has happened in the Urals where the Kyshtym disaster depopulated hundreds of kilometers of wilderness.

      The net effect of both of these events is probably an increase in non-human engineered biomass.

      Also, 300 years is the real figure for what you have in mind. Dangerous quantities of contamination from light water reactors is composed primarily of Sr-90 and Cs-137, and both of these are effectively gone in 300 years.

      I'm not sure I buy your condemnation of humans either. The US Navy and the French have both been safely operating large number of reactors for a long time now. "But they Navy officers were cheating!" Yeah, and they got called on it and have been mustered out. That's a sign of a healthy organization. "But Tim Giardina was a degenerate gambler!" Yep, they flushed his ass as well.

      If you're not firing people you're doing it wrong. An organization balkanized around protecting careers has ceased to prioritize competence.

    3. Re:Nope. by khallow · · Score: 1

      Unless we just really have no problem with every X years some spot on earth becomes uninhabitable for the next 50,000 years...

      If X is big (like say greater than 50,000 years, for example), then it's not that big a deal. Chernobyl and Fukushima won't be considered uninhabitable for that long.

      Plus, you can always put another nuclear plant in that spot.

    4. Re:Nope. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless we just really have no problem with every X years some spot on earth becomes uninhabitable for the next 50,000 years...

      As a rule of thumb: Short half-life = very radioactive. Long half-life = not very radioactive.

      It is true that the area will remain radioactive for 50,000 years but in 600 years the radiation levels will be low enough to not call it uninhabitable anymore.

    5. Re:Nope. by microbox · · Score: 1

      Fix humans? That's way too hard.

      We operate thousands of planes each day with an almost perfect safety record. We can do it if we want to.

      Human error and mismanagement is the biggest danger with nuclear, but there is a technical solution for human error: better control systems that know when a human is tried or inattentive.

      Mismanagement is really the biggest obstacle -- but we solved it with airport, all across the world, including places with little to no modern institutions.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  5. Don't care by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let this lump of shit known as Earth fucking burn.

  6. Re:Nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Since you're blowing off some anti-hippy steam, maybe run it through a turbine you insensitive clod.

    Solar/wind/geo/tidal/wave/hydro/peltier power isn't actually a patchouli and reefer crowd, it's more a smart people who build things that solve problems vibe.

  7. Gotta board this train soon by buybuydandavis · · Score: 0, Troll

    Because if Gaia continues to refuse to cooperate with climate models, the gig will be up and we'll never be able to squash the little economic freedom people have left.

    1. Re:Gotta board this train soon by bunratty · · Score: 1

      It's continued to warm and the ice has continued to melt at an accelerating rate. Isn't that what the models have predicted for decades?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:Gotta board this train soon by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Would that be like the no more snow in the UK, or there won't be any glaciers in the Himalayas? Or they'll all be gone in Greenland in the next 10 years(as said in 2000ish). Don't worry I'm sure it can be blamed on everything.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    3. Re:Gotta board this train soon by Kaenneth · · Score: 0

      A stopped clock is right twice a day.

    4. Re:Gotta board this train soon by buybuydandavis · · Score: 1

      What model predicted the current and ongoing pause in warming?

    5. Re:Gotta board this train soon by symbolset · · Score: 1

      It was too cold anyway.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    6. Re:Gotta board this train soon by dave420 · · Score: 1

      There isn't a pause in warming, so that is irrelevant. None have predicted space Elephants either, which matters just as much.

    7. Re:Gotta board this train soon by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Climate models are not expected to predict such short term variability. To try and judge them on that just shows you don't understand what they do.

    8. Re:Gotta board this train soon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is not a science site, and definitely NOT skeptical, it's a eco loon site, political garbage dump.

      They should go back to primary school and learn how to do maths CORRECTLY!!!

    9. Re:Gotta board this train soon by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Then write your obviously-easy-to-write-if-all-the-science-can-be-rebutted-in-a-single-sentence paper, get it peer reviewed, and collect your Nobel prize and $1m. Go on! Wait, you can't? Because science is hard, you don't understand it, and they're not wrong? How weird!

    10. Re:Gotta board this train soon by microbox · · Score: 1

      Haha, the glaciers in the Himalayas, greenland in 10 years !!! You don't know the context of any of this do you. I mean, you don't even know what was *really* said, and what *really* happened. But it sure makes you feel like you're onto something.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    11. Re:Gotta board this train soon by Zordak · · Score: 1

      Climate models are not expected to predict such short term variability. To try and judge them on that just shows you don't understand what they do.

      Then what do we judge them on? What's going to happen in 1,000 years?

      --

      Today's Sesame Street was brought to you by the number e.
    12. Re:Gotta board this train soon by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      As defined by the World Meteorological Organization the classical climate period is 30 years, long enough for the short term variations to average out but short enough for longer term variations to be discerned. So a reasonable judgement would be how well the model output matches the 30 year running mean of global temperature. You'll have to wait 15 years to see how well they match 2014.

      Better yet you can learn a bit more about how climate models work by reading these FAQs written by Gavin Schmidt, one of the principles for the NASA/GISS Model E, one of the worlds major climate models:

      FAQ on climate models
      FAQ on climate models: Part II

      He also wrote a post On mismatches between models and observations that is very interesting. It shows that he understands very well the issues involved in models and data collection.

      And finally here is an Ars Technica article on Why trust climate models? It's a matter of simple science.

  8. Renewables by masonc · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The long and short of it..we're buggered. Thankfully, we will all be dead when it gets really shitty. If you think that the countries of the world can band together to reduce emissions and turn to renewables, you are smoking the funny tobacco. I install solar in countries that have the highest electricity prices and the most sun, but they refuse to implement renewables, preferring that good old diesel products. People are inherently stupid, short sighted and greedy. Nothing but war and pestilence will cause change. Nothing else ever has.

    --
    CM www.cometenergysystems.com Blog: http://caribbeanrenewable.blogspot.com/
    1. Re:Renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They're not stupid, they're human, with the view-span of a human, ie. a few years or a few decades at best.

      And since capitalism is a human-made system, we can't expect it to do much better.

      Indeed, it's good news that we'll be dead when it gets really shitty.

    2. Re:Renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      The long and short of it..we're buggered.

      It's not much of a buggering to be honest. I'm more concerned about poverty, overpopulation, and desertification. Some of these can be made worse through extreme global warming, but they are major problems, bigger than global warming even in the complete absence of global warming.

    3. Re:Renewables by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Nothing but war and pestilence will cause change. Nothing else ever has.

      And Occupy Wall Street. We changed the world.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Renewables by stenvar · · Score: 1

      The long and short of it..we're buggered.

      The long and the short of it is that humans cope just fine with change; on the scale of decades, we don't even notice it.

      If you think that the countries of the world can band together to reduce emissions and turn to renewables, you are smoking the funny tobacco.

      That's because politicians and even dictators around the world actually understand what an economic disaster it would be to adopt climate change legislation and that they'd get lynched if they tried. So, they use it in speeches and don't do anything meaningful. And you should be grateful for it.

      Nothing but war and pestilence will cause change. Nothing else ever has.

      Funny, seems to me I'm living a whole lot better now than a few decades ago because of technology and engineering.

    5. Re:Renewables by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 1

      Nothing but war and pestilence will cause change. Nothing else ever has.

      And the sad thing is: I think you're an optimist.

      --
      If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
    6. Re:Renewables by symbolset · · Score: 1

      France has had cheap nuclear for so long that they heat with electric and refuse to insulate. Sigh.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    7. Re:Renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You changed jack shit. Stop smoking weed and make something out of yourself. That is how you change the world.

    8. Re:Renewables by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      According to the report the expected cost of mitigating global warming would be about 0.6% of gross world product. I'd hardly call that and economic disaster.

    9. Re:Renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ahh, so your a subsidy farmer? then...

      loads of scummy companies doing the same thing here.

    10. Re:Renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People are inherently stupid, short sighted and greedy.

      If people are short-sighted and greedy, then are you sure they're being stupid? Their strategy appears to be smart, having successfully maximizing their values.

    11. Re:Renewables by microbox · · Score: 1

      Thankfully, we will all be dead when it gets really shitty.

      Say that when you have children.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    12. Re:Renewables by microbox · · Score: 1

      Some of these can be made worse through extreme global warming, but they are major problems, bigger than global warming even in the complete absence of global warming.

      Global warming is a significant obstacle to solving the deeper problems of poverty and desertification. (Overpopulation can be considered the fundamental problem.)
      Desertification is on the menu for much of the world due to AGW. (e.g., all the USA from California to Indiana is expected to desertify.) Sure all the food production can move, but what will be the cost, and who will bear the brunt?

      The world population is expected to stabilize at 11 billion. Given sufficient time and stability, technology will allow 11 billion people to have a modern lifestyle, and I hope we have the time. (This solves the poverty issue.)

      My biggest fears with AGW is the immense loss of culture and history as the seas swallow and destroy most of the major cities in the world today. (They are, in general, all on the coast, and on the scale of 100s of years, they don't stand a chance.) But worse will be an outbreak of widespread war, which could happen due to various environmental stresses and mass migrations.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    13. Re:Renewables by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually I was wrong. To put it precisely the "percentage point reduction in annualized growth rate from 2010 - 2100" is 0.06% for strong mitigation.

    14. Re:Renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      Desertification is on the menu for much of the world due to AGW. (e.g., all the USA from California to Indiana is expected to desertify.)

      I'll just note that we don't have evidence for that claim. We do have plenty of evidence that continued poor agricultural practices (which the US has mostly abandoned) in the US would do much greater harm over corresponding time frames than even the worst predictions of AGW over the next few centuries.

      The world population is expected to stabilize at 11 billion. Given sufficient time and stability, technology will allow 11 billion people to have a modern lifestyle, and I hope we have the time. (This solves the poverty issue.)

      One of those expectations is that we don't reverse the trend to wealthier societies. Messing with the world's energy infrastructure for poorly thought out purposes is one way we can reverse that and our attempts to stabilize global population.

      My biggest fears with AGW is the immense loss of culture and history as the seas swallow and destroy most of the major cities in the world today.

      Most culture isn't dependent at all on location. And what is dependent can be moved or rebuilt for small cost over those periods of time. Similarly, history is something that happened. It won't change just because the future is not as you'd like. I find your fears rather trivial, but typical of those who prioritize AGW over much more serious human problems.

      Poverty and desertification can destroy cites as well.

    15. Re:Renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      khallow, I don't have time for your motivated reasoning. You obviously have no idea what it would mean to move most of the world cities inland. Yes you think the IPCC is crap, and that you magically know better, because of pixies or whatever, that desertification is their conclusion. The pure bullshit is that you think moving to a low carbon economy will actually harm anyone's style of life in the west, and this is based on philosophical economic ideals that have poor empirical support, and that the vast majority of economists disagree with. Talking to you is about as useless as talking to a creationist, but you believe that bullshit.

      I'll change my beliefs based on evidence, and actually care if they are right or wrong.

    16. Re:Renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      . You obviously have no idea what it would mean to move most of the world cities inland.

      About as much as it costs to leave cities in place. We already replace our cities every 50 years.

      The pure bullshit is that you think moving to a low carbon economy will actually harm anyone's style of life in the west

      Nonsense. The fantasy here is that what you want will magically have positive economic consequence. We need to keep in mind also that most of the world is not in the west. They will suffer as well.

      I'll change my beliefs based on evidence, and actually care if they are right or wrong.

      Sure, you will. I'll believe that when there's evidence.

  9. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by ericloewe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nuclear is cleaner than any fossil fuel, properly managed. Overall, despite the accidents, nuclear's impact has been a lot smaller than that of fossil fuels.

    Unfortunately, accidents aren't seen as an opportunity to learn and eliminate old flaws, but to halfheartedly dump the whole thing, leaving behind ancient designs with known flaws instead of new, safer designs.

  10. Re:Nuclear? by Noishkel · · Score: 1

    Found the vegan!

  11. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

    Energy conservation doesn't need to equal depraving ourselves of something. The usual tips about not leaving the lights on in empty rooms are fine, but you can apply the same reasoning for more modern things.

    A small example would be Netflix. You can use a small box like an Apple TV, which has a 6W power supply, or something like an Xbox 360 or Playstation 3 and use from 10 to 20 times more power for absolutely no reason.

    Try to reduce your daily energy usage whenever possible. The first one to benefit is yourself, via a lower power bill at the end of the month.

  12. Nothing will happen by rolfwind · · Score: 5, Informative

    Human minds just aren't made to react to something so abstract, so distant, so far away. Look at the crisis building up with the US economy, national debt, and so on - something that could cause a whole generation to undergo a great depression yet nary a thought is given to it.

    For example, on the economic situation, this guy was made the US's top accountant for over a decade, and appointed to posts by both R and D presidents and yet he makes videos that can barely garner 2k views about the situation (since September):
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

    I guess if there was a girl twerking in it, it might work.

    Anyway, that's how it is. We react, many don't think too far ahead. Both situations are basically simple concepts in theory (global warming is built on the green house effect which is simple to demonstrate, the economy on interest and other high school math), but so many interests go in and muddle issues, that the average guy doesn't know what to believe, so even those with a modicum of forethought are stymied by special interests.

    And the special interests want status quo. Nothing will happen. That's the tragedy of democracy and why it never really lasts long. Power and money is like water, it always gathers and concentrates.

    1. Re:Nothing will happen by jez9999 · · Score: 0

      For example, on the economic situation, this guy was made the US's top accountant for over a decade, and appointed to posts by both R and D presidents and yet he makes videos that can barely garner 2k views about the situation (since September):
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v... [youtube.com]

      I'd have voted it up if they hadn't disabled comments.

    2. Re:Nothing will happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The article is talking about cooperation when our global economy is predicated on competition. This is not a problem of the "human mind" (you are making that up), it's a defunct social system. One that people made up, and we have the freedom to make up another one.

  13. Freeman Dyson says warmists are WRONG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    about the cause of planetary warming.

    "Generally speaking, I'm much more of a conformist, but it happens I have strong views about climate because I think the majority is badly wrong, and you have to make sure if the majority is saying something that they're not talking nonsense." - Freeman Dyson

    "What I’m convinced of is that we don’t understand climate." - Freeman Dyson

    As a general rule, if Freeman Dyson doesn't understand something, you don't, either. And yes, Michael Mann, I am talking to you.

    1. Re: Freeman Dyson says warmists are WRONG by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      all the more reason NOT to mess with it wouldn't you say?

      but there are a couple of things we do KNOW. one is that the ONLY way for the earth to loss the energy the sun gives it, it by radiating it out into space in the form of infra red radiation.
      and we also know that greenhouse gasses are opaque to infra red while being transparent to most other wavelengths.
      so greenhouse gasses allow the sun to warm up the earths surface(using a variety of wavelengths), but slow down the release of energy out to space.

      btw, Dyson doesn't disagree with this, he acknowledges that AGW exists.
      "[one] of the main causes of warming is the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere resulting from our burning of fossil fuels such as oil and coal and natural gas."

      his main issue is that he doesn't believe the models currently used are accurate, because they fail to take into account many factors.

  14. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Noishkel · · Score: 2

    It think it would also help if we'd step away from the 'old fashion' reactors in favor of breeder reactors. Or the thorium based technology. When the kinks get worked out of that tech.

  15. The Real Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cut the population from ~7 billion to ~3 billion. Start with ebola and work up a good one. That eliminates the problem of selection. Random chance will take care of it.

    1. Re:The Real Solution by lister+king+of+smeg · · Score: 0

      Cut the population from ~7 billion to ~3 billion. Start with ebola and work up a good one. That eliminates the problem of selection. Random chance will take care of it.

      you first.

      --
      ---Saying gnome 3 is better than windows 8 not so much a compliment as it is damning with light praise.
    2. Re:The Real Solution by Mashiki · · Score: 0

      Cut the population from ~7 billion to ~3 billion. Start with ebola and work up a good one. That eliminates the problem of selection. Random chance will take care of it.

      Scratch a leftist, find a malthusian. I'll bet you're against GE crops and the green revolution too, not to mention golden rice. And are more than happy that greenpeace let millions of people in Africa die, over a lie.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    3. Re:The Real Solution by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Considering that a third of the worlds CO2 exhaust comes from the USA and that 'country' only has about 5% of the world population I'm at your side: it will work great! Ah, well, I'm not that good at math. Hm, you wanted to release ebola in Africa only, great plan, I guess we can settle there later!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:The Real Solution by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Greenpeace lets people die in Africa?
      How retarded is that oppinion? Over which lie, btw?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:The Real Solution by Mashiki · · Score: 3, Informative
      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    6. Re:The Real Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "you first" isn't random.

    7. Re:The Real Solution by smhsmh · · Score: 1

      This "solution" is on the correct track, except the estimate of the reduction necessary is probably a severe underestimate.

      My premise is that with current modes of energy use and energy production, the planet cannot support anything like the current load if most of the 7 billion aspire to energy consumption (actually, CO2 production) that is any significant fraction of the rates for the developed world. The easiest (both technically and morally) approaches are improvements in energy efficiency and reduction of the carbon load of energy production, but they will never be enough to save the planet. Decades ago the Chinese government realized they needed drastically to reduce population growth, and implemented the one-child policy with that government's usual brand of unacceptable and heavyhanded bureaucracy, but despite the implementation it was the right idea. If the 2+ billion people of India and China aspire to achieve merely a third of the average carbon loading of a USA citizen, the planet is cooked.

      There are many ways to reduce human population. Disease, famine, war, and all of the tired historical paradigms are possibilities, although it is impossible to predict which will arrive first. But without effective remediation, one or the other will suffice to correct the current imbalance. It is _late_ in the game to try to reduce population (and to further reduce energy consumption, and reduce the carbon loading of energy production, but alone together will not be enough) but we have to try.

      One good approach would be international promise of pariahship. The developed countries who understand the problem (North America, Western Chine, Japan, perhaps a very few other East Aisa countries, and some others who have achieved ZPG by indifference of the population, (Russia?) should unite and declare pariahship at any country that has not committed to Negative Population Growth, i.e. one child per couple. The pariahs could obtains no visas, no internet communication, no banking, and no commerce at all.

      Unfortunately, this can't work because it would require intelligent cooperation between the governments of the several countries. So we're all cooked.

    8. Re:The Real Solution by khallow · · Score: 1

      It's not uniformly random, sure, but it is a probability distribution and hence, random enough for our purposes.

    9. Re:The Real Solution by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      So linking to a newspaper article qualifies now as 'drawing a picture', I guess you are not good at drawing?
      Well, continue to practice and you will improve!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:The Real Solution by Rhymoid · · Score: 1
    11. Re:The Real Solution by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      So linking to a newspaper article qualifies now as 'drawing a picture', I guess you are not good at drawing?
      Well, continue to practice and you will improve!

      Oh I see. It's a classic case of, it doesn't fit my tidy little view of the world therefore I won't read it. After all it might shatter my fragile ego and endanger my strongly held viewpoint that an environmental organization is responsible for killing people by starving them to death.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    12. Re:The Real Solution by symbolset · · Score: 1

      In the Warmish Apocalypse the Sahara returns to grassland and verdant fields of grain oddly enough, as it was 5,000 years ago when alligators and hippopotamuses prowled the ground where dunes now stand. Something about changing precipitation patterns and increased uptake of water vapor over the tropical Atlantic.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    13. Re:The Real Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is just an article about an old fart who turned conservative in his later years. It doesn't really say anything about the issue at hand, is it better to allow a GMO to be freely planted or should we rather find another solution, such as "solve/fight poverty" as suggested by the Greenpeace campaigner?

    14. Re:The Real Solution by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      Actually, in less than about 40 years, it will be 'me first'. I have no children, so I'm doing my part to nip the population explosion in the bud. For that matter, so are my brother and one of my sisters. Out of us four siblings, there are only 2 children.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    15. Re:The Real Solution by microbox · · Score: 1

      While I agree that the opposition to GMOs is mainly based in irrational fears and anti-scientific sentiment, and that Greenpeace should, in theory, be a science based organization, most conservative attacks on environmentalists are really off-base, as in completely barking wrong. Lomborg makes arguments that sound good at face value, but he's one of the anti-science wingnuts at core, and has made absurd and incoherent claims about DDT.

      Even in this case Lomborg has gone astray, and there are a number of material problems with what he says. In particular, the golden rice available 15 years ago did not have enough beta-carotine to have an effect -- a problem since remedied. Sure the new golden rice would have saved lives, if we could put it in a time machine and transport it back to 2000 . But why stop there? You could just claim that billions died because golden rice wasn't invented in antiquity. It really is a case of being trivially wrong.

      I'm pro-science 100% down the line, which is why I support responsible use of GMOs, which means that they should be tested before letting them run rampart in the environment. Lomborg is a crank.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    16. Re:The Real Solution by microbox · · Score: 1

      Oh I see. It's a classic case of, it doesn't fit my tidy little view of the world therefore I won't read it.

      A smart person like you should know that newspapers and blogs are full of misinformation and plain bullsh*t. Obviously the GP doesn't know that Lomborg is an academic (albeit, a rather crazy one), but if he claims that newspaper articles are insufficient to change his mind, then that is fair enough. Provide some links to peer-reviewed literature, and if you're intellectually honest, provide links to *both* sides of a controversial debate, and trust that the truth will shine through.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    17. Re:The Real Solution by Kiwikwi · · Score: 1

      And indeed, Golden Rice has all the problems associated with GMO crops, which is why Greenpeace protests it.

      - A biological monoculture, increasing the risk that a single pest can cause immense damage to subsistence farmers throughout the region.

      - The possibility of unknown pleiotropic effects ("side effects") caused by the mutation.

      - Gene privatization, with Monsanto and others already asserting their patents, requiring farmers to obtain a license to grow their crops.

      Besides, malnutrition in the third world is the result of widespread poverty, which has numerous causes, none of which is Greenpeace GMO protests. Blaming Greenpeace for that is absurd.

    18. Re:The Real Solution by Jmc23 · · Score: 1
      Calling greenpeace an environmental organization is almost as bad as saying they are responsible for killing people.

      Get your head straight.

      --
      Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
    19. Re:The Real Solution by Jmc23 · · Score: 1

      because 'intelligence' = 'fascism'?

      --
      Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
  16. Ah, the joys of getting old by buybuydandavis · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Any other old geezers remember just *who* it was that put the kibosh on the general use of nuclear power in the US?

    Are we ever going to get an "oopsie, so sorry" from all the environmentalists who squashed the US nuclear power industry? Who have fought fracking tooth and nail, while it has been the prime enabler of decreasing US carbon emissions?

    1. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by Brett+Buck · · Score: 0

      I would savor the irony, if it was possible for them to learn from their mistakes. But of course, it isn't.

    2. Re: Ah, the joys of getting old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      except i'd rather have todays nuclear power plants then those from 30 years ago.

    3. Re: Ah, the joys of getting old by khallow · · Score: 4, Informative

      except i'd rather have todays nuclear power plants then those from 30 years ago.

      You might not have noticed, but today's nuclear plants in the US are from 30 years ago.

    4. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by dog77 · · Score: 1

      Bill Clinton announces cancelation of nuclear power:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

      Bill Clinton says wind solar are already cheaper than nuclear:
      http://www.politifact.com/trut...

    5. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear requires responsible regulation and monitoring to prevent disaster *today*. So clearly, everyone, including self-proclaimed environmentalists, prefer fossil fuels because that just results in a disaster *tomorrow*. Nothing like "pass the buck" downriver.

      Almost all the dangerous isotopes emitted by Chernobyl disaster or Fukushima lack-of-foresight accident will be decayed in a few generations. They will no longer pose a threat. At about the same time, the CO2 emitted today will continue to warm the planet as it will not yet reach new thermal equilibrium. So which pollution is worse? AGW that will continue to cause problems literally 1000 years from now and affect the entire planet *by design*, or nuclear, whose *accidents*'s most troublesome isotopes like strontium and cesium will be all but completely gone and no longer affect their small, local areas?

      Nuclear, by definition, is the cleanest energy source because we manage *all* its waste. This does not happen with any other energy source.

    6. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But isn't fracking causing land and water pollution?

    7. Re: Ah, the joys of getting old by dhanson865 · · Score: 1

      "The average age of U.S. commercial reactors is about 33 years. The oldest operating reactors are Oyster Creek in New Jersey, and Nine Mile Point 1 in New York. Both entered commercial service on December 1, 1969. The last newly built reactor to enter service was Watts Bar 1 in Tennessee, in 1996" from http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/...

    8. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by symbolset · · Score: 1

      We manage nuclear's waste by storing it 40 feet above the ground in concrete ponds that are not earthquake safe. It would be nice if we could at least get that stuff down to ground level in some dry casks. But we don't even have the dry cask production capacity to handle 5 of ongoing annual spent fuel production. Instead we license those ponds in the sky for ever-denser storage packing they were not designed for, reducing safety tolerances.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    9. Re: Ah, the joys of getting old by AbsGeekNZ · · Score: 1

      Wanted to mod "funny" for such a perfect reply.....but is sadly true.

    10. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by russotto · · Score: 1

      Are we ever going to get an "oopsie, so sorry" from all the environmentalists who squashed the US nuclear power industry?

      No, they and their heirs are too busy trying to keep wind and solar and geothermal energy down in the US. They'd like to stop oil, gas, and coal too, but those guys seem to have bought a better quality of politician. Shivering in the dark is the way they'd like us to live, if we live at all.

    11. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear that in the 60s, the enemies of the United States actually invaded environmentalist groups to steer them towards spreading propaganda that would hurt USA's industry. Climate change is a thing, but I haven't seen a good solution yet, they all seem a political game. Look at Kyoto, the west was supposed to have to shut down a great deal of industry and China was allowed to build more industry. I think until we can get over the big things of ending war and hate, global government solutions are just not going to fly.

    12. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      It's easy to blame environmentalists for the lack of nuclear power in the US but it really has more to do with nuclear being one of the more expensive ways to produce power. It's cheaper and quicker to build a coal or natural gas plant and you don't have to get government loan guarantees or government provided liability insurance to do it. If nuclear really were cheaper than coal there would have been more nuclear power plants built despite the cries of anti-nuke environmentalists.

    13. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      No single person "put the kibosh" on US nuclear, it just turned out to be too expensive. In the 50s and 60s it was thought that nuclear would be extremely cheap, to the point of being too cheap to bother metering. By the 70s and certainly by the early 80s it was clear that nuclear was actually always going to be very costly to run and maintain, and the early commercial reactors were reaching the point where they had to be dismantled at great expense too.

      Nuke-fans like to blame NIMBYs and enviromentalists for nuclear's problems, but at the core it's all commercial considerations. Governments are not willing to just keep pouring money into the technology like they did in the 60s. Back then they expected it to get much cheaper and become fully commercial, but by the late 70s it was obvious that it would never be self sufficient and always reliant on government subsidy (particularly for insurance). The UK had to pay people to take its government owned reactors off its hands in the 80s, they literally couldn't give them away.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    14. Re:Ah, the joys of getting old by sjames · · Score: 1

      If we managed it like we do fossil fuels we would load it into crop dusters and let it fly while chanting "the solution to pollution is dilution".

      OTOH, we could reprocess it and have lots of fuel and a lot less waste to manage.

  17. Adding yet another box by tepples · · Score: 1

    You can use a small box like an Apple TV, which has a 6W power supply, or something like an Xbox 360 or Playstation 3 and use from 10 to 20 times more power for absolutely no reason.

    If you happen to already own the Xbox 360 or PlayStation 3 console, how much energy does it take to manufacture and ship an Apple TV box and an automatic HDMI switch box?

    1. Re:Adding yet another box by retchdog · · Score: 2

      The "embodied energy" of a laptop is about 1500MJ, so let's call the Apple TV+HDMI a generous total of 2000MJ. Shipping energy is relatively low and fits easily in the 2000MJ upper bound.

      The Xbox360 uses ~120W to watch a movie, while according to ArcadeMan the Apple TV uses 6W. Thus you make up the embodied energy in about 2000000000/114 seconds, or about 200 days.

      The Xbox One is a bit more efficient, using ~75W, for a makeup time of about 335 days.

      Either one is less than a year, so if you want to minimize energy consumption, it seems like a good plan to buy an Apple TV.

      Of course it isn't clear that this is the right thing to be doing, but if it is, the benefit seems obvious.

      --
      "They were pure niggers." – Noam Chomsky
    2. Re:Adding yet another box by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Each time I watch a two-hour movie on the 6W device, it uses around 43 kJ. On the 120W device a two-hour movie uses 864 kJ - a delta of 821 kJ per movie. Given the 2000MJ number you provide, that's over 2400 2-hour movies until break-even... might be my lifetime total.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    3. Re:Adding yet another box by retchdog · · Score: 1

      Ah, yeah, fair enough, though the standby consumption of an xbox is also much, much higher than an appletv. The arithmetic is trivial, but I won't bother with it since I have neither.

      --
      "They were pure niggers." – Noam Chomsky
    4. Re:Adding yet another box by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      If the xbox would have been standby anyway then it doesn't matter. It's even unwise to add an appleTV's standby to it since however little that may be it's fully wasted.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    5. Re:Adding yet another box by mpe · · Score: 1

      If you happen to already own the Xbox 360 or PlayStation 3 console, how much energy does it take to manufacture and ship an Apple TV box and an automatic HDMI switch box?

      Since in such a situation you are likely to end up using both devices this has also increased the ongoing power consumption.
      With energy, as with software, TCO figures can be "cherry picked". With the T rarely actually equating to "Total" for all the senarios.

  18. Yeah I'm still not really buying this stuff. by Noishkel · · Score: 0

    Doesn't seem like the best idea to try and make policy based off a questionable study. After all all it said that the rise in temperature data had nothing do to with simple clime fluctuation. It didn't really address anything else.

    1. Re:Yeah I'm still not really buying this stuff. by bunratty · · Score: 1

      I'd agree with you if it was just one study. But there have been hundreds of studies (starting in 1896), and they nearly all agree that doubling the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will warm the planet by 2 degrees Celsius or more. And we've observed the temperature rise nearly 1 degree Celsius with a rise in CO2 from 280 to 400 ppm, which appears to confirm those studies.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  19. Debate... Debate... Debate... by Virtucon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    To paraphrase a movie: "Climate Change is People!" There's too many people on this world, all wanting the same thing and that's what's causing this. Depletion of our resources is occurring at an accelerated rate all because of more and more people and the rush for economic expansion. Fundamentally there will be two paths ahead, one which means controlling population growth and the second the upheaval of the worldwide economic engines both of which are driving the higher CO2 levels. Of course if a volcano or two erupt here and there it won't help but neither is allowing for commercial deforestation and destroying watersheds. Well before we all burn up, we'll have wars over water and other key strategic resources. We know it's on the horizon because we all can't get along on this planet and we'll never come to a consensus on wealthier nations changing their ways while allowing less developed nations a chance at economic growth. We're about due for another World War aren't we?

    My suggestion is to invest in Mountain-top real estate in a Northern latitude and live like Euell Gibbons.

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    1. Re:Debate... Debate... Debate... by symbolset · · Score: 1

      It is important to note that the 2C you are talking about is surface air temperature. It is less than 1 percent of our climate overall. The oceans are a vast reservoir of thermal sink, as is the stratosphere. 2C over the Holocene minimum does not even seem like enough buffer against the return of the ice to some. It isn't even up to the Holocene optimum which was not long enough ago to have a significant impact on evolution. Local effects will be more extreme - milder arctic winters and longer growing seasons should improve crops in Russia, Canada and northern Europe. Africa will see more precipitation turning the Sahara into grassland again. Oceans will rise some, but they have risen 400 feet already. This may stress reefs, but really - they are millions of years old and have seen this before.

      We lose New Orleans and Florida, but they were just on loan to us anyway. Ports save a little money on dredging expenses. Not a big deal.

      What we gain is 50,000 years of uninterrupted warmth to do our human evolution thing. To discover fusion, mine the asteroids, explore the stars, find a way to close the carbon cycle. That is preferable to an imminent return of glaciation, the inevitable nuclear winter and population bottleneck that costs our culture and science which might naturally ensue.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    2. Re:Debate... Debate... Debate... by dave420 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, the climate in Russia, Canada and Northern Europe will be more suitable for crops, but their soil won't be. Canada's topsoil in the places you are talking about have been scraped away by glaciation, meaning they are next to useless for growing crops. Russia's permafrost will release massive amounts of methane when they melt, exacerbating the problem. Oceans will rise, swamping trillions of dollars' worth of city property (including many capital cities, and New York, for example). If you think it's not a big deal to have tens of millions of refugees, then you might need to re-evaluate your definition of "big deal", as that will cause untold pressure on infrastructure.

      I guess if you don't actually look into what you claim, it all sounds peachy. It's once you actually do, and realise you are painting a rosy future not based on any actual science, do we realise we're in for quite a bumpy ride, to put it lightly. But you've already made up your mind, so this will fall on deaf ears.

    3. Re:Debate... Debate... Debate... by Xest · · Score: 1

      "It is important to note that the 2C you are talking about is surface air temperature. It is less than 1 percent of our climate overall. The oceans are a vast reservoir of thermal sink, as is the stratosphere."

      Right, but that's a sustained 2C, you can't have one thing at 2C and an adjacent thing much lower. Heat transfer occurs from hot to cold and the rate of transfer is proportional to the difference in temperature. To maintain a 2C surface temperature increase that means everything else must have increased too so pretending only 1% of our climate is going to increase in temperature is utter nonsense - the entirety of the oceans and stratosphere must also drastically increase in temperature for that 2C increase in surface temperature to be sustained, otherwise you wouldn't get a sustained 2C increase because the temperature would just be pulled into the oceans and stratosphere.

      Just because the surface temperature is commonly cited doesn't mean that's the only thing changing, everything else has to increase too, it's just more convenient to quote the only immediately obvious temperature to your average human - that which they're sat in day in and day out rather than to quote all the possible ecosystems that will increase by their relative but varying amount.

      "Local effects will be more extreme - milder arctic winters and longer growing seasons should improve crops in Russia, Canada and northern Europe."

      Right, central and southern North America, Australia, and much of Africa and the Middle East will become too prone to drought for any reliable crop growth. Why just focus on the areas where crop yield potential will improve and ignore the vast swathes of the Earth where agriculture will become impossible unless you have some kind of insanely biased agenda here?

      "Africa will see more precipitation turning the Sahara into grassland again."

      Great, that's Europe and South America fucked then given that dust from the Sahara blown to those continents is essential for the fertilisation that allows the high levels of green growth.

      What, you thought you could change a major ecosystem in the globe like the Sahara and there wouldn't be impacts elsewhere? that's not the way the world works.

      "This may stress reefs, but really - they are millions of years old and have seen this before."

      Not on a timescale that leaves no time for adaptation via evolution.

      At first you seemed to have an extremely over simplistic understanding of the natural world, and that that was leading you to reach a gross underestimation on the negative impacts global warming would have, but your cherry picking of the benefits and certain statistics implies it's not necessarily that you don't or couldn't understand the respective elements of the natural world, but that you're being intentionally dishonest to push a short sighted and selfish view.

  20. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 2

    France has done really well with nuclear.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  21. NIMBY rules by ArhcAngel · · Score: 2

    As someone who works at the company that is the largest generator of wind and solar power in North America I know how hard it is to get Nuclear projects off the ground. Most people will agree that Nuclear is a very cost effective and efficient means of power generations but mention building it anywhere near their zip code and they go ballistic.

    --
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    1. Re:NIMBY rules by lister+king+of+smeg · · Score: 1

      What we really need is for the federal government to step up buy the land put its foot down and say protest all you want we are building this fucker one way or the other. Anyone caught on the construction site will be shot for for trespassing in a secure location.

      --
      ---Saying gnome 3 is better than windows 8 not so much a compliment as it is damning with light praise.
    2. Re:NIMBY rules by stoploss · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Most people will agree that Nuclear is a very cost effective and efficient means of power generations but mention building it anywhere near their zip code and they go ballistic.

      I live 15 miles from a nuclear plant. I am pleased about this, but I wish they would tear it down and build a replacement plant with at least twice the generating capacity and a Gen 3.5 (or Gen 4, since I'm wishing) design.

      But, barring that, yay... I have locally-produced nuclear power at home!

    3. Re:NIMBY rules by exabrial · · Score: 2

      We need a little more forward-looking NRC. Need research into alternative fuel types (breeder reactors, thorium cycle, pebble bed, etc). AP1000 is a great step forward, but we need competition with even more designs.

    4. Re:NIMBY rules by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Ditto. There's a nuke plant within 15 miles of my home also.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    5. Re:NIMBY rules by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell them power will be 25% off for people within a certain radius ... and see how interesting it gets.

    6. Re:NIMBY rules by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is an excellent idea.

    7. Re:NIMBY rules by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      Anyone caught on the construction site will be shot for for trespassing in a secure location.

      In that case I wouldn't want to be a construction worker there!

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    8. Re:NIMBY rules by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      My local reactor is a bit farther away (28 mi), but they're attempting to license a new gen III+ reactor!

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    9. Re:NIMBY rules by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Not me I have one near me. They could build another and I would be fine with it. Just don't build a coal fired plant anywhere please.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    10. Re:NIMBY rules by microbox · · Score: 1

      More Gen 4 would be great; however, nobody tears down nuclear plants. It costs to much, and why tear down something that is making money? The marginal risk of accident is pushed onto the community anyway. This is why capitalism need regulations. If society is going to bear the risk of accident, then society should be able to say "though shalt upgrade that plant". This is precisely what *didn't* happen at fukashima, and in the wake of this accident, France has upgraded all of their plants. So, it takes a tragedy before the spin-doctors get silenced, and technocrats are listened to.

      Same goes for AGW. The technocrats have been yelling about this for over 30 years now. (Yes, that's how long there has been consensus.) The spin-doctors will stonewall significant change until everyday people *see* the effects directly. But we will be 50 years beyond some tipping point at that point.

      Global warming is, in theory, really a very small problem.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    11. Re:NIMBY rules by stoploss · · Score: 1

      I'm not concerned about the safety of the existing plant. I wished for its replacement with a larger, updated design because I imagine it is impossible for a new reactor plant site to be approved anywhere in the US.

      If we could have two commercially viable plants in my area, then that would be even better. Perhaps we could mothball the coal plant then.

  22. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Virtucon · · Score: 1

    A lesser known situation is if you actually create an energy surplus, food costs, logistic costs, and transportation costs get cheaper. So if we ramped our energy production up by 2-8x what we got now, people could charge their hybrid car at home for even less than they do now. I think this dream is often grouped up with a superconductor power grid idea which is unrealistic for the short term. I think for a better world, we should be aiming to create energy surpluses.

    Uh, that's what's getting us into trouble with Hydro-fracking across the US in terms of going back to "burning stuff" vs. Nuclear. Natural Gas doesn't pollute like Coal but the production side of the equation destroys watersheds, releases more GHGs and has pushed energy prices down in the US. Nuclear is an unpopular scenario for a lot of people because of Fukishima, Three Mile Island and Chernoble. All you have to do is look at San Onofre in California to see how political wrangling has killed Nuclear energy in the US. Creating energy surpluses is considered anti-green because you're depleting resources, somewhere.

    Unless there's a major push towards Nuclear on a lot of fronts it'll wither and die globally. Maybe we need like a GLAAD organization for Nuclear ??

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
  23. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by bunratty · · Score: 1

    Energy conservation doesn't need to equal depraving ourselves...

    Or depriving!

    --
    What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
  24. This is the part that makes Warmist heads explode by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

    "renewables, nuclear reactors and power plants that use emissions-capture technology needs to triple in order keep climate change within safe limits."

    To make 'renewables' a significant part of the equation you have to include projects like Glen Canyon, Foz do Iguaçu and Three Gorges - remember, the technology that all the folk singers loved to whine about before the first atom split. And the cost of capturing the carbon that coal (essentially pure carbon) emits os so high that we might as well spend the same money on a few hundred reactor starts.

    The other step we will absolutely have to take if AGW is as bad as Warmists are hoping is geoengineering to sequester carbon already in the atmosphere and oceans. This means projects like iron-seeding large enough areas of ocean over abyssal depths that algal blooms will pull significant amounts of carbon to the bottom.

  25. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    A lesser known situation is if you actually create an energy surplus, food costs, logistic costs, and transportation costs get cheaper. So if we ramped our energy production up by 2-8x what we got now, people could charge their hybrid car at home for even less than they do now. I think this dream is often grouped up with a superconductor power grid idea which is unrealistic for the short term. I think for a better world, we should be aiming to create energy surpluses.

    The more cheap energy you can get, the more cool stuff we can do.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  26. Build Gen4+ Nulcear Plants Exclusively by marcgvky · · Score: 1, Interesting
    I am really proud of Bill Gates putting his money where his mouth is, with his investment in Thorium burners.

    Overall, nuclear is a huge opportunity to safely service base and peak loads. This should always be combined with renewables and sustainables. The NRC-lefties need to be given direct guidance from the Executive, or they will never issue any new permits. Also, the DoE needs to quit wasting my money on fail-solar companies and build huge-super-safe-gen-4+ nuclear reactors EVERYWHERE!

    Start in my back yard, please. Seriously.

  27. Re:Nuclear? by blue+trane · · Score: 0

    How much compared to the Koch brothers' houses?

  28. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by david-the-go · · Score: 1

    [ Citation needed ] I did a quick Google for this and the statistics I found at http://www.forbes.com/sites/ja... showed this to be wrong. There are plenty of other resources which show the same thing.

  29. Re:Nuclear? by microbox · · Score: 0

    The house in question is also a large office space for many of Al Gore's employees. So its and apples and oranges comparison. But hey, BENGHAZI!!!!!

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  30. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    France imports electricity from Germany whenever it's too hot or too cold. In either case, limited cooling is available. In the winter, this is exacerbated by the enormous consumption due to the French preference for electrical heating combined with a lack of insulation, because electricity is cheap for consumers in France. Besides, the argument that stopping construction of new nuclear power plants is the reason for older designs remaining in service is bogus: Older designs remain in service no matter what (except for a total ban, which is happening in Germany). Keeping old plants online is simply the capitalist thing to do: They're bought and paid for and still work. Why would you shut them down?

  31. The Emperor Has No Data by mbeckman · · Score: 0

    All of the dire predictions in this new report come from computer simulations, not actual data. The simulations have proven to be worthless at predicting current climate (for example, no simulation predicted the current stalling of temperature increases). Simulations are not data. And the absence of data is not data. The truth is that we lack the computational ability to simulate climate change at all. Maybe someday, but we currently LACK EVEN THE DATA needed to identify all the variables and interactions that create climate. So even if computation capacity were to increase several orders of magnitude, we lack the foundation for the computations.

    It's the a Emperor all over again.

    1. Re:The Emperor Has No Data by bunratty · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Considering that the climate varies according to natural variation such as solar output and volcanic eruptions, both of which we cannot predict, I don't think it's surprising that we can't predict climate exactly, especially over the short term. And just because we can't predict climate exactly doesn't mean the predictions are worthless. That's a false dichotomy.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:The Emperor Has No Data by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Using surface air temperatures is ridiculous. It is such a small portion of the thermal mass that you may as well use the daily weather. Start there.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    3. Re:The Emperor Has No Data by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Danger of what? Extinctions? The natural course was to return to glaciation right about now, with global temps dropping 8 to 10C absurdly fast - the worst toward the poles. Ice caps spread to the 50th parralels north and south. Mass extinctions, including maybe us. Extreme weather events. Ports become dry land as the oceans drop 400 feet. This condition to last at least 90,000 years. That was the plan, so let's have a realistic baseline to your apocalyptic prediction AC.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    4. Re:The Emperor Has No Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You might want to reference the definition of the word 'fact'.

    5. Re:The Emperor Has No Data by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Hint: they don't just use the surface air temperature. Funnily enough, you are not more clever than all the climatologists in the world, even if you think you are.

    6. Re:The Emperor Has No Data by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      There has been some scientific research done that indicates it's impossible the Earth to drop into another ice age as long as CO2 levels remain above 280 ppm.

  32. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear is cleaner than any fossil fuel

    And nuclear waste is not pollution. /sarcasm

    Enough rhetoric already.

  33. The premis is flawed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    A rise in CO2 does not cause a rise in global temperature, it's the other way around. Temperature rises naturally first, then several hundred years later CO2 follows. Eventually temperate cools, then several hundred years later CO2 follows. These frauster liars are trying to usher in a worl government to save the planet, run by a small number of unelected tyrants.

    1. Re:The premis is flawed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks goodness we have Slashdot moderators to bury the truth:

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4rLRObEhC4I

    2. Re:The premis is flawed by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      So where is the temperature rise that caused CO2 levels to rise to a concentration not seen for millions of years?

    3. Re:The premis is flawed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      See the NIPCC reports.

    4. Re:The premis is flawed by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You made me laugh.

  34. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by marcgvky · · Score: 1

    Anonymous coward, you are sooooooo wrong. How many deaths are projected for the next 10 years, by the WHO? Go back and hide under your rock.

  35. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    And they are 'silently' switching to renewables, like the rest of the world, oops: the rest of Europe, Asia and Africa.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  36. Yup, that sounds familiar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and it's not something that's particular to the nuclear industry.

  37. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Tailhook · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sometimes I even have the strange thought that energy conservation ideas hurt society's growth. It would be almost better if we used more power in the short term so energy could invest in itself and provide more power at lower costs down the road. I mean it is better to conserve electricity, but I don't hear people championing the idea of creating a global energy surplus.

    The nations with the highest power consumption have ceased excessive breeding. They're all near or below replacement population growth among their indigenous population.

    That right there is an outstanding argument for surplus energy.

    A degree of conservation is a fine thing, but it's also a cop-out and a means of comfortable people to pull up the ladder behind themselves. Our millions of elite Al Gores will always live comfortably regardless of how hungry and cold they make you. Thousands of elderly Briton pensioners are learning all about that as the UK inflicts energy poverty on them.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
  38. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Nuclear waste disposal from conventional fission reactors is a solved problem. Unfortunately, the storage of said waste kicks the NIMBY crowd into high gear. Here's an idea...how about converting it to relatively inert ceramic blocks (already available tech) and sink it at some remote subduction zone fault where it gradually gets folded back into the mantle? That ought to suffice until the perpetually "50 years from now" fusion energy generation crowd catches up.

  39. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And nuclear waste is not pollution. /sarcasm

    Straw man.

    Enough rhetoric already.

    How is saying that nuclear is cleaner than any fossil fuel (Which generate far more pollution than nuclear, and in ways that can't really be stopped or contained.) rhetoric?

    And how about: Enough with the straw men already.

  40. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 2

    Pebble bed reactors solve the cooling problem. China is currently building a few of those, so we'll have a chance to see how well they work.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  41. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    , like the rest of the world, oops: the rest of Europe, Asia and Africa.

    that's.....basically you showing you know nothing about the topic. How many new nuclear plants is China building? Do you know? Your comment shows you don't.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  42. press this button! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i like the part where towns with a meteorological station grows to be a city and the
    station hasn't moved at all but is now surrounded by concrete and asphalt on all sides ...
    also nuclear produces awesome clean waste ... for the next generation. we have to fucking shepherd
    it for like .. for ever.
    if the freaking ocean rises we just freaking move ... but if some dumbass
    drops a coin made from pure cobalt-60 people are gonna drop like flies in a 100 meter radius and it's gonna
    get worse.
    also the climate is not something we are ever gonna control .. like ice ages? duh? this shit fluctuates.
    "global warming" is just an invention of the beggar underling-class to get them 0.1% rich people
    to get a stiffy:"WOW! you are so great! you changed the climate of THE WHOLE world!"

  43. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    In the winter, this is exacerbated by the enormous consumption due to the French preference for electrical heating combined with a lack of insulation

    That's why it's good that there's a EU directive that by the end of 2020, all new constructions will be required to be low-energy or passive houses.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  44. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2, Insightful

    True, nuclear waste is not pollution unless it escapes in an accident. Fortunately, the volumes are so small that unlike with many other by-products of our industrial civilization, this one is actually amenable to being stored in controlled conditions, indefinitely.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  45. Re:Nuclear? by mlts · · Score: 1

    Here is the ironic thing: Both the hippies and the Tea Party people I know are all over solar, wind, and other alternative energy.

    I just wonder when the tipping point happens where people and businesses stop wanting to be beholden to Middle Eastern oil and dirty coal, and move onto nuclear [1]. With more energy than what we have now, we can easily use thermal depolymerization to toss waste plastic and usable crude oil.

    [1]: Thorium reactors show great promise.

  46. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Interesting. How do you propose to make nuclear net positive profitable, risk- and debt-free?

  47. Too bad we don't have the will by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Accidents at nuclear plants are to be expected.
    There have been at least three, two breached containment big time.
    That's enough to say that they are not a fluke.

    The risks of nuclear might be less that the risk of climate change if two things were addressed.
          1) The waste storage plan. Fuel pools at reactor sites outside containment is bonkers.
          2) A failsafe, shutdown and walk away plant design is needed.

    Inspite of the dire need, I don't see either of these getting fixed.
    Fusion may be more likely.

    1. Re:Too bad we don't have the will by symbolset · · Score: 2

      There are several proven designs that meet your two points. IFR burns the spent fuel that is bothering you. They deliberately shut down its cooling twice and the reactor finds thermal equilibrium without becoming dangerously hot because thermal expansion of the fuel shuts down fission. It can be done.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
  48. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by khallow · · Score: 2

    And nuclear waste is not pollution.

    Actually, that is correct. Nuclear waste is not pollution - until such time as a third party or the environment is exposed to it. Nuclear waste in a cooling pond is not pollution. Nuclear waste in your ground water is pollution.

  49. The Emperor Has No Data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the fact the models leave much to be desired doesn't change the facts: AGW is a real danger.

    the models try to quantify how great the danger is, and so far haven't done a great job, but that it is a danger is a irrefutable fact.

  50. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Old stuff. Pebble bed reactors have their own problems. This one had atmospheric releases of radioactive material, contaminated the ground and groundwater below it (complete with increased Leukemia rates in the vicinity) and is currently much more radioactive than planned so that deconstruction can't begin: AVR Jülich. This one was decommissioned after just six years due to the continuous repairs driving the costs up: Thorium High Temperature Reactor 300MW.

    The nuclear industry will always try to convince you that the solution to all nuclear power problems is waiting right around the corner, to convince the public that nuclear is still an option. Whenever and wherever they're allowed to continue, not only do they keep the old designs online, the "new" designs never deliver on the promises either. They keep covering up accidents, they keep playing down potential risks, they keep deferring risk to the public (nuclear power plants are uninsurable: if - when - the shit hits the fan, everybody pays the price, in more than one way.)

  51. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by cheater512 · · Score: 1

    Guess why it is silent? Because it is so quiet as to not significantly increase the % of energy derived from renewables.

  52. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The nations with the highest power consumption have ceased excessive breeding. They're all near or below replacement population growth among their indigenous population.

    That right there is an outstanding argument for surplus energy.

    You know what they say about correlation/causation right?

  53. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 2

    Old stuff. Pebble bed reactors have their own problems.

    There is no power supply that doesn't have problems.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  54. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by khallow · · Score: 1

    Try to reduce your daily energy usage whenever possible.

    I would suggest doing a modest cost/benefit analysis first. Energy usage reduction is not that valuable for most people outside of a few big things. And who's going to consider the more ludicrous optimizations like changing your sex to male just so they can save a little energy usage?

  55. When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by American+Patent+Guy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    When it's the "UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change". Here's the BBC's description of IPCC: "The IPCC itself is a small organisation, run from Geneva with a full time staff of 12. All the scientists who are involved with it do so on a voluntary basis." http://www.bbc.com/news/scienc...

    Relax, people. There's no U.N resolution here; there's no consensus of nations here recognizing the urgency that requires this "tripling" of non-carbon-based energy. It's easy for the press to say this is the report from the U.N., when it's not.

    If you get 12 scientists in a room that have volunteered to produce a report on global warming, what would you expect them to produce? Something that says everything's peachy?

    You won't see this old boy freaking out over something dumb like this.

    1. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about freaking out? All we need to do is get more energy from non-fossil fuel sources. It's mostly about building new electric power plants, so it's not like we need your permission anyway.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Relax, people. There's no U.N resolution here

      When was the last time a UN resolution made a difference in the world?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      "We" is the human race. Where did I say anything about taxes or shutting up? Go scream your lungs out if it'll make you feel better. There's widespread agreement that we want to cut carbon dioxide emissions to limit the warming. But it's not up to you, nor to me for that matter. Don't act like we need to convince you first.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    4. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by American+Patent+Guy · · Score: 0

      Oh, your proof is another report from another body of the U.N. Oh, your words are so convincing ...

      Sure, your "widespread" agreement works if you consider only the environmental lobby, but it doesn't work so well if you include the general population of the world.

      Go forth if you want and proclaim your membership in a fictional human race that agrees as you think, but don't ask me to participate in your fantasies, please.

    5. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      I'm not trying to prove or convince you of anything. I'm just stating the facts. We (governments around the world) have agreed to cut carbon dioxide emissions. If you think we shouldn't, you're the one that's going to have to do the convincing.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    6. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by American+Patent+Guy · · Score: 0

      I didn't say that we should or we shouldn't. What I said was that there are people out there (like you) who will claim on the basis of a report produced by 12 people that the entire world agrees, because it was authorized by the U.N.

      I wish that you WOULD state facts. How about these facts:

      The U.S. has not ratified the Kyoto treaty/protocol.
      Russia no longer adheres to the limits of Kyoto.
      There is no way to enforce Kyoto, and any country that desires can opt out whenever they want to.
      Most countries that you claim are in agreement the cut carbon dioxide emissions are building new coal-fired power plants and putting more cars on the road (especially China).

      Enjoy your fantasy...

    7. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      American Patent Guy is obviously a troll.

      You seriously said something completely sane.
      "We don't want you to do anything, but when we build new power generation it should be nuclear not coal" and he goes off the handle about raising taxes etc.

      Obvious troll is obvious.

      Stop trying to convince him you aren't a (his words): "liberal quack" (hard to define, does that mean you are a doctorate-level-educated free market thinker?).

      Besides; these "12 guys" he talks about aren't even the ones coming up with the science. They are the ones compiling studies from other scientists, so he doesn't even know what he is talking about. (sorry; I should say ranting about).

    8. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Your lack of knowledge of this subject is matched only by your hubris, which I suspect is why you can scream your ignorance for all to hear, and not realise just how ridiculous it makes you sound. The report may have been produced by a handful of people, but it is based on the peer-reviewed papers of thousands of scientists. You do know how science works, right? Because I'm starting to think you really don't. But I guess if that keeps you happy, that's all that matters.

    9. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by American+Patent+Guy · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K...

      Wow. My "hubris" and "ignorance" is matched by my ability to find the Wikipedia.

      Enjoy your fantasy, all...

    10. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Wonderful - you got one thing right, which I wasn't even referring to. It's the rest of your post which is drenched in inaccuracy and ignorance. You knowing how to spell Kyoto doesn't change that.

    11. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by bunratty · · Score: 1
      I didn't claim the world agrees on the basis of a report produced by 12 people. I said it because governments around the world agree that we should limit the warming due to burning fossil fuels to 2 degrees Celsius.

      At the very heart of the response to climate change, however, lies the need to reduce emissions. In 2010, governments agreed that emissions need to be reduced so that global temperature increases are limited to below 2 degrees Celsius.

      You haven't been paying attention to the news at all, have you? Global warming is mentioned all the time, as is the widespread agreement to limit it by reducing carbon dioxide emissions by burning fewer fossil fuels.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    12. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      If you get 12 scientists in a room that have volunteered to produce a report on global warming, what would you expect them to produce? Something that says everything's peachy?You won't see this old boy freaking out over something dumb like this.

      Of course not. You'll be dead long before the worst of the consequences of our inaction actually take hold. So why would you care anyway?

      --
      ~X~
    13. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      The only thing I'm trying to get across to him is that it isn't up to anyone to convince him to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. If he wants us not to try to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, HE has to convince THEM (governments worldwide) not to do it. That's what happened, for example, with CFCs and sulfur emissions decades ago -- governments agrees to cut emissions, and they did. We don't have to go around convincing the non-believers. Good thing, too.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    14. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by microbox · · Score: 1

      You don't understand, the UN is all powerful, and here to take our guns.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    15. Re:When is the "UN" not the United Nations? by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      It should be noted that governments around the world actually agree that OTHER governments should limit the warming due to burning fossil fuels to 2C....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  56. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    True, but some power supplies don't come with the risk of making one of the most densely populated parts of the world uninhabitable. That risk is a bit of a drag if you live there.

  57. RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by MouseTheLuckyDog · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The RK-9000 is a mechanical keyboard made by Rosewill which is the inhouse manufacturer for NewEgg. What does a keyboard have to do with anything?

    You cannot find a more "green" keyboard then a mechanical keyboard. Each keyswitch is rated at 50 milliion keypresses. If a letter foes buy a new keyswitch. ( Though I would buy a whole bunch of them ).Desolder the old switch solder in the new. My miniUSB port just broke and I wil be soldering in a new one as soon as it arrives. If the controller goes I can get a new one. I can probably get a new PCB if I have to. They are made to last and when any part breaks, it can be repaired or replaced.

    So why are they banned in Illinois. Thanks to our idiot of a governor. ( Second only to Gov Moonbeam ). He created a law regulating e-waste. The law says that for a manufacturer to sell their product, they have to register and certify that they recycle a certain amount of their products. [1] So for this reason, instead of being able to buy a long lasting green keyboard, you have to buy a cheap will fall apart soon keyboard.

    More and more the wacked out conservationalists ae acting like this,.

    [1] In fact when you sto[p and think about it, many electronics products can last forever,so companies may never even get the chance to recycle a large percentage.

    1. Re:RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately I have often seen old mechanical workhorses get tossed in the garbage bin and replaced with cheap plastic for trivial reasons such as faded letters or because it didn't have volume controls or media keys.

    2. Re:RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Googling "can't buy mechanical keyboard in illinois" brought me to this thread: http://techreport.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=80022

      Apparently it's a Newegg issue and not a Rosewill one. People report being able to buy these "banned" keyboards via amazon and other outlets.

      But the thread is two years old, maybe it's different now. Too lazy to hop on amazon and see if it bans me from progressing through the check out process with a mechanical keyboard.

    3. Re:RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      certify that they recycle 100% of the products given to them after their use. (IE 0)

    4. Re:RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      Hmm, interesting story, but how likely is it that a keyboard would ever get repaired, with or without the legislation? We live in a throw-away society, and really only a tiny fraction of people know how to solder, let alone are willing to put effort into soldering something that could be replaced for $5. There are definitely pros and cons to every law. Do the pros outweigh the cons when you factor in actual human behavior?

    5. Re:RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by jopsen · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately I have often seen old mechanical workhorses get tossed in the garbage bin and replaced with cheap plastic for trivial reasons such as faded letters or because it didn't have volume controls or media keys.

      Or because it was dirty :)

    6. Re:RK-9000 is banned in Illinois. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I semi see your point, except that, well, most stuff doesn't get thrown out because it has broken. In fact most old phones/keyboard/TVs/whatever I've come across in my years of dumpster diving still work just fine. Stuff gets thrown out because it's out of fashion, scuffed, uncool or just plain "old", which the unwashed majority consider a synonym for bad.

      This is great news if you're a broke student living in a suburb with a yearly hard-rubbish collection but truly horrible news for the environment and our future.

      So, bizarre and depressing as it may sound, I suspect the e-waste program probably does more good than harm. If you want to be really green I'd suggest looking around ebay or your nearest tech dumpster for the second-hand, built like a tank goodies at extremely reasonable prices.

  58. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sad thing, is one can almost say "Nuclear is cleaner than coal *even with* an accident".

  59. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

    Oh ... interesting. The Wind farms and solar plants you see while traveling through france tell a different story.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  60. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 2

    don't put your nuclear plant in the most densely populated parts of the world. Problem solved. Please tell me you aren't suffering from the illusion that Asia is one giant city from one side to the other.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  61. I wish I'd saved that link by rs79 · · Score: 0

    ...that showed the nuclear industry is a major backer to the "global warming" PR hysteria.

    China builds two power plants a week. Big Nuke uses this "global warming" as a defensive posture to combat the sale coal plants.

    Of course the incorruptible UN suggests we need more nuclear plants - but then they have never actually administered a country.

    If you look at countries like Germany and India who are becoming less and less dependant on fossil fuels, it's because of
    solar, not nuclear and in fact the trend is to get away from nuclear. They're always way over budget to build, way more expensive to run and in some cases cost too much to decommission so they sit there.

    If you want to see just what a boondoogle contemporayr nuclear plants are, Adam Curtis explores this really well:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Not only is the corruption involved massive but the design is fundamentally flawed - they're scaled up sub reactors and they work in subs because you can dump the small core at sea. The guy that designed them objected most strenuously to the idea you could scale them up to a massive size on land and consider them safe: Fukushima proved he was right,

    Nuclear: the gift that keeps on giving: for tens of thousands of years. In a world where we still can't get Fukushima under control the idea we should build more is morally reprehensible.

    This is the most insane idea yet from the UN all because of a "problem" that's as real as WMD in Iraq. Bad math + bad science = we need more nukes. Dear mother of God...

    --
    Need Mercedes parts ?
    1. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

      If you look at countries like Germany and India who are becoming less and less dependant on fossil fuels, it's because of solar, not nuclear and in fact the trend is to get away from nuclear. They're always way over budget to build, way more expensive to run and in some cases cost too much to decommission so they sit there. .

      The nuclear phase out in Germany has actually increased their dependance on fossil fuels. Coal burning has shot up. Germany has a huge energy cost problem coming if they continue down the no nuke path. Nuclear helped pay for a large portion of the solar/wind buildup. As nukes are shut down, that money source goes away. Much higher energy bill and/or taxes will be needed to offset the lost generation, not to mention the ever increasing cost of wind turbine overhauls and even replacement of first generation solar installations.

      Meanwhile, after years of heavy investment and the richest subsidies ever seen for any power source, in 2013 solar generated less than one half of one percent of US electrical output. That includes commercial and residential solar. Wind has done much better in that regard.

      The new nuclear plants coming on line in the US will offset much more carbon, much more quickly that equivalent solar investment.

      Unrealistic risk perception driving uneducated fear is key problem for nuclear. Even at Fukushima, and accident that was easily preventable by simply not siting and designing for a known event, 4 Units experiencing the worst accident scenario, no detectable public health risk is expected, no deaths. A relatively small section of land will be off limits for some time period. A small price to pay for the many millions of tons of coal that was never burnt, CO2 and radioactive particulates never spewed, and coal ash never piled. Yes, nuclear waste is a big drawback, but put it scale with the benefits and its clearly our best proven technological path forward. Politics makes the waste problem worse, there are solutions.

      And if the sun starts shining 24 hours a day, then maybe solar will be able to help a little.

    2. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by rs79 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Portugal’s electricity network operator announced that renewable energy supplied 70 percent of total consumption in the first quarter of this year.

      http://thinkprogress.org/clima...

      I somehow doubt what you are saying.

      If one panel provides all you need during daylight hours you use 2 or 3 or 4 and store it in a battery.

      This, and not nuclear it undisputably the way of the future. There is no such thing as a safe nuclear plant. I'm sure the people that had to leave Fukushima prefecture would disagree about the lack of danger to public health. Would you live there now?

      Germany will be 100% renewable by 5050. Portugal is already 75%.

      We can not afford, on many levels, and do not need: nukes. This has been shown.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...
      Germany is the world's top photovoltaics (PV) installer, with a solar PV capacity of 35.996 gigawatts (GW) at the end of February 2014.[2] The German new solar PV installations increased by about 7.6 GW in 2012, and solar PV provided 18 TWh (billion kilowatt-hours) of electricity in 2011, about 3% of total electricity.[3] Some market analysts expect this could reach 25 percent by 2050.[4] Germany has a goal of producing 35% of electricity from renewable sources by 2020 and 100% by 2050.[5]

      "In July 2009, India unveiled a US$19 billion plan to produce 20 GW of solar power by 2020.[2] Under the plan, the use of solar-powered equipment and applications would be made compulsory in all government buildings, as well as hospitals and hotels.[3] On 18 November 2009, it was reported that India was ready to launch its National Solar Mission under the National Action Plan on Climate Change, with plans to generate 1,000 MW of power by 2013.[4] From August 2011 to July 2012, India went from 2.5 MW of grid connected photovoltaics to over 1,000 MW."
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S...

      " In 2012 China installed 5.0 GW of solar panel capacity. As of 2012, about 8.3 GW of photovoltaics contribute towards power generation in China.[1] Solar water heating is extensively implemented as well.[2]"
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S...

      And we're not even trying hard. Hopefully soon, well. Anything to avoid those damn dirty dangerous nuclear disaster that endanger countless future generations.

      --
      Need Mercedes parts ?
    3. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Admiral Rickover preferred once-through BWRs to breeders for practical reasons to get nuclear power launched in a realistic timeframe. The jury is still out on whether he erred in haste. As a legacy of that decision we have all this spent fuel and nowhere to put it. We may as well burn it all up while we figure that out. The once-through design burns up 0.65 percent of it. Breeders burn up 99.7 percent of the trash.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    4. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Germany already has problems on their power grid because of the amount of PV.
      Maybe it is possible to smooth out PV with batteries, but that requires home owners to have a room full and maintain batteries.
      Storing in batteries will probably half the energy produced, which means the home owners will pay more, or receive less money on their power bill.

      So the government will need to force home owners to average out their electricity production.

    5. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by pantaril · · Score: 1

      We can not afford, on many levels, and do not need: nukes. This has been shown.

      Maybe not for energy production on earth. But how would you propell space craft in deep space or a lander on dark side of the planet? How would you create elements needed in research, medicine etc. which are products of fission reactions?

      I think it is foolish for greens to call for complete abandonment of nuclear technology. We certainly need to research and test it, we need to build specialized reactors for various purposes.

    6. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

      I somehow doubt what you are saying.

      If one panel provides all you need during daylight hours you use 2 or 3 or 4 and store it in a battery.

      This, and not nuclear it undisputably the way of the future. There is no such thing as a safe nuclear plant. I'm sure the people that had to leave Fukushima prefecture would disagree about the lack of danger to public health. Would you live there now?

      Convenient to just blow it off. Germany is already seeing grid problems, and are destined to buy their power from nuclear plants in France and those that Poland is likely to build.

      Solar is costly without the battery. Adding batteries increases cost tremendously and reduces efficiency. Seems that you like to ignore the cost part. Cost factors heavily into any viable solution. Solar does look very attractive when you ignore the details.

      There is no safe anything. Its a matter of risk vs benefit. No airplane is safe. No car is safe. No solar panel is safe.

      Would I leave near Fukushima? Yes, in any area where folks are allowed to live I would live. In those areas cleared for living in the future I would live. Why would I be willing? Because I have experience in this area and understand the risks. I understand the fears of those who just get informed by the media and movies.

      And remember, 1 MW of installed solar capacity on average generates less than 1/5 of the electrical energy of 1 MW of installed base load generation. Many conveniently ignore that when spouting numbers.

    7. Re:I wish I'd saved that link by ncc189 · · Score: 1

      There is such a thing as a safe nuclear plant, LFTR http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L..., a type of reactor that is walk-away safe. No active safety systems, nothing to power to keep the plant safe, you can walk away from it and it will never melt-down. It doesn't even use the same family of fissile material.

      Germany is not the top PV anything anymore: http://www.slate.com/blogs/fut...

      as for storing PV-generated power, good luck with that: http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the...

      The real problem and that 90% of the people pushing alternatives like PV and such is that they don't understand that scale at which humanity consumes energy. The land needs to build enough PV are staggering, a 1MW facility requires about 7.9 acres of land, not much until you consider that most nukes produce 1200MW on about 100 acres, you would need 9480 acres to get the same capability. The amount of land needed to displace fossil fuel consumption is staggering. Solar PV is fine for your rooftop to help offset grid costs to your household, but it can not scale to satisfy the needs of the world, at least not at the ~9% efficiency they currently have, maybe at 75% or more but not now.

      With cheap abundant clean electrical energy you can generate liquid fuels from the carbon in the atmosphere, the best way to get that kind of load is nuclear and the best nuke we currently have is LFTR. The key is displacing fossil fuel use with something that can maintain and grow with our current consumption. PV is not going to cut it.

  62. get stuffed by stenvar · · Score: 3, Interesting

    During a news conference Sunday, another co-chair, Rajendra K. Pachauri of India, said the goal of limiting a rise in global temperatures "cannot be achieved without cooperation.

    Actually, that's the only way it can be achieved: "without cooperation", through markets. Economic development both makes it easy for individuals and nations to cope with the effects of climate change, such as they are, and to develop and switch to other forms of energy.

    The "cooperation" people like you propose are going to keep global economic development back by decades, hinder the development and deployment of more efficient energy sources and technologies, and worst of all form the basis for massive corruption and rent seeking as big corporations and their political cronies write huge handouts into the regulations.

    What we should do, however, is stop subsidizing fossil fuels and stop propping up regimes in the Middle East that give us cheap fossil fuels. We should also stop subsidizing energy-inefficient industries like agriculture. Having to bear the true cost of fossil fuels would do wonders for the adoption of renewable energies. But, of course, cutting subsidies is not on the table, which already tells you that all this bloviating about the apocalypse isn't about saving the planet, it's about adding even more crony capitalism to the crony capitalism we already have, now courtesy of the UN.

    Thanks, but get stuffed Mr. Pachauri.

    1. Re:get stuffed by symbolset · · Score: 1

      How are you going to get Russia, Canada and northern Europe to agree to cooperate with a plan that prevents their climate from approaching utopia? It is not in their interest.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    2. Re:get stuffed by stenvar · · Score: 1

      I suppose the "conspiracy of the shivering north" is another hypothesis for why people might want climate change.

      Personally, I think they just aren't going to vote for carbon emission restrictions because it makes gas and food more expensive.

    3. Re:get stuffed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simple: put tariffs on their goods corresponding to the carbon taxes they aren't paying. Compensate for increased prices via a lowered/negative income taxes for the poor.

    4. Re:get stuffed by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      A large percentage of Canadians and northern Europeans live on the coast and don't consider underwater to be utopia. Russia doesn't have any major low elevation cities I can think of though... even Vladivostok is high enough.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    5. Re:get stuffed by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Correction: I forgot about St. Petersburg, parts of St. Petersburg are flood-prone.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    6. Re:get stuffed by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Because it won't be utopia? How do you know that warming those areas won't cause feedback which increases the temperature even more? Because that's a distinct possibility, given the huge amounts of methane trapped in the frozen ground. And, funnily enough, people like the weather where they live, as that's what they (and their cultures) are used to. Weird, I know.

  63. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    It does not matter how many nuclear plants China is building.
    The parent claimed that overpopulation is the problem. He seem not to realize that 5% of the world population holds the rest (95%) hostage. That 5% are the USA.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  64. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Amorymeltzer · · Score: 5, Informative

    Nuclear is cleaner than coal barring an accident. Coal is guaranteed to kill and hurt people. With Nuclear you at least have a chance of everyone being healthy.

    I beg to differ: nuclear is cleaner than coal even if you include accidents. The calculations on that page are admittedly from early 2011, but it accounts for 4,000 deaths from Chernobyl. I could add up a bunch more from Wikipedia, but screw that, lets just throw in Hiroshima and Nagasaki into the mix - about 250,000 deaths. And then let's round that to an even one million for the heck of it.

    The death rate is still lower than coal by an order of magnitude. Nuclear is cleaner than coal even if you include 4x the deaths of atomic acts of war.

    That whole piece is fascinating, especially for insights such as

    Coal and fossil fuel deaths usually do not include deaths caused during transportation. The more trucking and rail transport is used then the more deaths there are. The transportation deaths are a larger component of the deaths in the USA than direct industry deaths. Moving 1.2 billion tons of coal takes up 40% of the freight rail traffic and a few percent of the trucking in the USA.

    and

    Those who talk about PV solar power (millions of roofs) need to consider roof worker safety. About 1000 construction fatalities per year in the US alone. 33% from working at heights. Falls are the leading cause of fatalities in the construction industry. An average of 362 fatal falls occurred each year from 1995 to 1999, with the trend on the increase.

    --
    I live in constant fear of the Coming of the Red Spiders.
  65. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 0

    Hmmmm I think you might have responded to the wrong post; I don't see overpopulation mentioned anywhere.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  66. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by cheater512 · · Score: 1

    Which explains why France is the 12th largest oil user in the world?

    And why Électricité de France gets 74% of their energy from Nuclear?
    16% from Hydro, and a whopping 0.1% from wind and other renewables?

    For 0.1% they might as well not even bothered with it.

  67. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 5, Informative

    You need to look no further than Germany renewables plan, flush with hundreds of billions of euro in funding has stalled. They can't add more wind or solar panels to the Germany grid. The problem isn't money. Every extra solar panel and wind turbine added to the grid increases grid instability a little more.
    When are you environmentalist nuts start studying how the electrical grid actually works instead of having fantasies about how it should work.
    If solar and wind were so great, Hawaii would have shutdown its oil based thermal plants already. They have very expensive electricity, making renewables cheap, yet it doesn't quite work, cause it's just not that simple.
    Get a grip. Without nuclear, there's no hope to solve climate change. And nuclear is not the boogeyman your environmentalist friends have convinced you it is. Zero Fukushima deaths, zero confirmed radiation related cancers. Its been three years. It's already becoming another Chernobyl (as in the environmentalists overblow the problem about a thousand times).
    Until the environmentalists show they understand the actual impact of nuclear accidents, accurately predicting the effects of nuclear accidents, in my view they are a bunch of looney tunes alarmists that should be given ZERO credit when the subject in nuclear power.

  68. Nuclear is nto obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In all the years we've(humans) had nuclear only one commercial plant was built 'properly'( in France), it burned hot enough to burn it's own waste; It was closed because it was too expensive.... When considering nuclear, this is perhaps the only method we should consider imo.

    Anything which requires spent fuel rods to be cooled by mechanical means and supervised by humans for YEARS to prevent gasification and venting of radiation shouldn't be used imo, because your trusting conditions will always be adequate to 'handle' any problem. Tsunami, long term grid failure, civil unrest, could be all the more(exponentially) disastrous if we can't keep the waste cool.

    Wanna save the world, a good start would be a world wide '1 child rule' an get our numbers way down. Our numbers are the real problem, but it's such a taboo subject in most of the 'free world'. We go to extraordinary lengths to let infertile people reproduce.

  69. Don't use climate change denial to stigmatize by jphamlore · · Score: 3, Insightful

    One of the problems is that the "wrong stance" on climate change is just a reason to stigmatize people as being morally unworthy. We have reinvented the Pharisees versus everyone else. The Pharisees were actually reasonably moral people, virtuous and giving donations to charity. In fact the deniers of climate change are not doing a thing to prevent any major renewable energy project from proceeding in the world. There has been a massive build-out in solar panel and wind turbine manufacturing capacity, and there are multiple giant installations being constructed in solar concentration and in offshore wind farms. The technologically super-advanced Germany, regardless of political party, is firmly committed to its Energiewende that will increase that country's usage of renewables to 60% by 2050. Whatever obstacles there are to renewables, the climate change deniers are for practical purposes unimportant. Failure is not because of others, it lies in ourselves. Stop blaming, start fixing.

    1. Re:Don't use climate change denial to stigmatize by microbox · · Score: 1

      In fact the deniers of climate change are not doing a thing to prevent any major renewable energy project from proceeding in the world.

      I agree with your sentiment, but this is not really true. A carbon price would cause more R&D and a faster roll out of renewables. Also, the RGGI in north-eastern USA (covering 20% of the USA economy) has shown that it is possible to reduce carbon usage with very little impact on the economy. (This part of the economy is growing relative to the rest of the USA.)

      A carbon tax could balance the budget with minimal impact -- but we know that "Pharisees", as you call them, aren't really interested in reducing government debt. The GOP has also stood in the way of extending government investment in wind power, and also pressuring the USA to ignore kyoto.

      Exxon, Koch, et al. are definitely getting value for money in their stalling campaign of doubt. The wingers are just pawns. But the fundamental economic situation is stacked against fossil fuels, simply because renewables are cheaper, and will get much cheaper in the future, while oil/coal can only stabilize or go up in price. Really, the question is whether it will be too late to prevent catastrophic change (like sinking Florida and Manhatten by 2200), which it may well be.

      But I hold out hope that cheap cheap low carbon energy may even allow use to remove CO2 from the atmosphere, but we're a long way from that being feasible.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  70. Face it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're never going to convince people to allow nuclear power in near their homes. It's just not going to happen.

    People think that winning the lottery is likely. People think, in the same way, that if you stick a nuke plant in their backyard they're going to be the next Fukushima. Heck, they might simply be the next Vermont Yankee or Palisades which are bad enough.

    The only chance we have is renewable, non-polluting power. Actually, I don't think we have any chance. We've killed the planet and every computer-loving nerd on slashdot is part of the problem so don't start blaming the "hippies."

    If the U.S. and western Europe would lead, everyone would follow. It's just the way of it. So why aren't we leading?

    And anyone who is still denying that the climate is changing and we are the reason is just a fool hiding in a basement listening to limbaugh. You're living in denial. And you're a great big part of why we can't get started fixing this mess.

    1. Re:Face it... by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 1

      Nobody is suggesting that people use nuclear energy in their homes... Nuclear works best with large reactors in isolated areas that rely on the power grid to get electricity to customers

      The electricity from that source is great for generating hydrogen for fuel cells and powering manufacturing that is required for building components of 'clean' energy projects

      We really need to get off of using fossil fuels, and no industry will do that with a solution that is more expensive like solar, wind, etc... nuclear is the most cost efficient alternative to fossil.

      --
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  71. Re:Nuclear? by symbolset · · Score: 2

    There is another technology, Integral Fast Reactor, that also looks promising. My problem with nuclear power as we are doing it now is a lack of a plan for the spent fuel which has accumulated to unmanageable and dangerous levels. These technologies that burn spent fuel solve both the source and trash problems at once. We are still left with the proliferation problem but that is not as much an issue domestically. Both Thorium and IFR would create a good supply of Pu-238 we desperately need for NASA space probes.

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  72. Efficiency is better bullet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We could be using less than HALF what we use now if proper conservation and efficiency standards were implemented using current technology. Why doesn't anyone ever talk about that? Profit margins too low?

  73. Same rules for everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The solution to this is to apply the same environmental rules to all nations equally, including China and India. The US may emit more CO2, but those two countries emit a whole lot more of the stuff that makes CO2 irrelevant: Lead, Mercury, Cadmium, and so on - all atmospheric and water, so it's just killing everything.

    The US has to stop offshoring its pollution problem.

    1. Re:Same rules for everyone by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 2

      the WTO has legal protection for polluters in developing nations the prevents other nations from raising trade barriers to using their goods

      We need to reevaluate the designations that were made in the mid-nineties and make them relevant in a world where China and India are economic powers

      --
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    2. Re:Same rules for everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL. That is too funny.

      First off, western Europe offshores as well. They just ship it to eastern Europe which is not under the same oversight.

      Secondly, it is most of Asia that is cheating by massively manipulating their money against the dollar, so that it force offshoring. Look at India. They are now trading at over 60 rupee to $1. Yet their inflation is running rampent because they refuse to allow the rupee to trade freely and rise to about 15-25, which is where it belongs. Right now, India is over 10% inflation reported by the gov, but real numbers show closer to 20-30%.

      Likewise, china's gov keeps their yuan fixed to the dollar at about 6 to $1. Sure, it floats a BIT, but nothing major. Yet, based on the massive trade deficits, combined with their REAL inflation, they need about 2 or even 1 yuan to $1. And their gov. reports a 3% inflation, but 15% or more is actual numbers.

      And as to pollution, America has some of the lowest going. We have better pollution control on our coal plants than does Europe, and Europe continues to grow their coal production and plants. Heck, America had ~1200 coal plants, and we are now at around 900 plants. Another 300 are expected to go off-line over the next 4 years.
      OTOH, europe is building loads of new coal plants. Interestingly, OECD-Europe consumes more than double the coal that America does. That is HUGE. And then add in China, which is more than 5x what US does.
      Which brings up the interesting question of where does USA's CO2 come from? Our transportation. Right now, we make massive use of cars and are very spread out, esp. in the west. Now, if America can move to electric cars, as well as nat gas commercial vehicles, then USA's CO2 emissions will plummit, esp. compared to what the rest of the world does.

  74. Cooperation by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    Cooperation is the key word.

    The world currently operates primarily on competition. Competition between companies, workers and nations. But since there is only a single ecosystem that makes human life sustainable, that means there is a general interest for humankind, and cooperation is needed to enforce it.

    1. Re:Cooperation by BullInChina · · Score: 1

      Cooperation is never "Enforced" because if it is enforced it stops being cooperation and becomes a dictatorship.

    2. Re:Cooperation by manu0601 · · Score: 1

      Please read me carefully. General Interest should be enforced. Cooperation is the way to enforce it, without sacrificing cooperating democracy that can exist in cooperating states.

  75. Re:Nuclear? by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's not even all of the environmentalists, check out Patrick Moore:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P...

    He used to be the President of Greenpeace and was *ahem* asked to leave, primarily due to his advocacy of Nuclear Energy

    At this point Greenpeace is as stuck in its position of advocating against Nuclear Energy as the NRA is against gun control, and they are both looking like obstacles to any positive change in the status quo

    By working against Nuclear Energy, Greenpeace has managed to be as big a supporter of continued fossil fuel dependence as the Koch bros.

    There are plenty of smart environmentalists out there, and the uninformed ones should be donating their money somewhere besides Greenpeace

    --
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  76. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dumping it into the ocean has been suggested, and investigations conclude that it is a perfectly safe option. However, no one in their right mind would do that, as disposing of valuable resources is frowned upon. Existing "waste" contains enough energy to power our planet for centuries. See Is nuclear waste really waste?

    Conventional reactors only extract a fraction of a percent of energy from the fuel. The remaining spent fuel can be completely consumed in advanced reactors, producing tremendous amounts of energy while permanently destroying the elements which pose a long term hazard. Molten salt reactors are ideal for this purpose, and are even capable of reducing the net radioactivity of the planet.

    With such a dense energy source and short lived fission products, the true waste is easily managed. Even if our planet derived 100% of its power from nuclear energy, the steady state waste inventory would be minuscule and easily fit onto the site of a single coal ash pile.

  77. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hate to break it to ya: but the US is by far the biggest wind energy producer.

  78. Re:Nuclear? by mlts · · Score: 3, Interesting

    +1.

    We have 50-60 years of technology advancements. Look how cars have advanced. Had there not been such a strong oil/coal lobby, there would be advancements that would be impossible in today's political climate:

    1: Thermal depolymerization -- turn waste products back into crude ready for use again.

    2: Droughts would be mitigated as issue with desalination plants combined with the infrastructure to pump it inland.

    3: More technologies would be possible to reclaim used components. Waste can be recycled cleanly.

    4: More expensive (expensive as in energy) chemical processes can be used to reclaim toxic sites.

    I think future generations will think we are dolts as not to have moved to nuclear sooner, because more energy available per person can mean a lot more advances and a better quality of life.

  79. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by dcollins117 · · Score: 1

    You never know. He may have meant "I'm a profligate user of energy resources and I need a spanking" whereby his original phrasing is entirely appropriate.

    I've learned not to second-guess some of these folks ...

  80. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Wrong. The US isn't the biggest wind energy producer, it's the biggest producer of hot air. China is the single country with the highest amount of energy extracted from wind. The EU combined produces twice as much electricity from wind as the USA, and also more than all of Asia. Germany alone accounts for more than a quarter of the EU's electricity from wind. http://www.gwec.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/GWEC-PRstats-2013_EN.pdf

  81. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by guruevi · · Score: 2

    Nuclear reactors aren't nuclear bombs. You need to refine the fission material very well in said reactors and then re-refine it in more specialized reactors to get a material that has the potential of wiping a large area. Even then, the offensive material degrades very quickly to manageable levels, Hiroshima or even the Nevada desert is far from uninhabitable, Chernobyl even continued generating electricity in it's other reactors for 20 years after the disaster. Even Three Mile Island, which was in a relatively densely populated area of the world is only expected to maybe cause ~300 cancers, far less than the average coal plant in it's life time.

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  82. Saving Climate != limit a global rise in mean temp by nicoleb_x · · Score: 1

    Really bad headline, "Saving Climate" does not equate to "limit a global rise in mean temperatures". I'm all for manipulating the environment to give the best possible outcome for humans. If we could all agree on what climate is best I'd be really amazed.

  83. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I agree with you that Nuclear is completely safe. So safe that I propose that we build all nuclear power plants in your back yard, in that way you and your family would stay nice and safe.

  84. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no safe internal exposure limit to highly energetic, atomized, reactor-derived isotopes.

    Xrays are all great until they sit inside your body emitting from hundreds of tiny areas, 24/7.

  85. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ever heard of fallout?
    Over a million dead from Chernobyl and that's straight from Russian Govt.

  86. Re:Nuclear? by symbolset · · Score: 1

    We are definitely not taking advantage of advances in nuclear energy. The basic principles of a PWR were established when nuclear power was only a few years old. It was chosen for simplicity and speed to market, not inspired holistic life cycle efficiency. There was an urgency to get those turbines turning. Unfortunately now we have all this spent fuel, which has enough energy in it to provide 100x all the nuclear power ever generated before we ever need to mine another gram of fuel. If we don't burn it up in the new reactors we have to bury it for 100,000 years, and where is the sense in that when we could use it up first an then bury a much safer waste?

    We should exploit the other opportunities too. Efficiency in home heating and cooling with insulation and heat pumps, LED lighting, mobile processors and low-E displays, electric autos, rooftop PV solar, wind, PV solar, thermal solar, geothermal where appropriate.

    One big problem is that we need a big, rich company like a Google, Microsoft or Apple to pull this off for us. Those companies are obviously able to make investments on this scale but are looking for a quicker turnover on their investment. They lack the patience for the long term commitment to an investment which, honestly might not work out for reasons other than the science. Political activity or another Fukushima incident could derail it and lose the whole investment.

    Now that the US Navy of all people has found a way to convert electricity and seawater into jet fuel, maybe that will get the fossil fuel giants engaged in the nuclear solution. Running industrial refineries to close the carbon cycle may be a more reliable means of generating their traditional product in a way that doesn't suffer from the diminishing return of an ever more difficult to find and extract mineral resource.

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  87. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by ArcadeMan · · Score: 1

    Sorry, english is not my primary language. I did mean depriving.

  88. Global Warming could be stopped by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    HAARP is a weapon of mass destruction, capable of destabilising agricultural and ecological systems globally. Climatic warfare potentially threatens the future of humanity, but has casually been excluded from the reports for which the IPCC received the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize. By Prof Michel Chossudovsky
    Global Research, November 09, 2013

    This is exactly the kind of things that are being written all over the internet, and everyone still seems to be oblivious to the looming total destruction of planet Earth in the Milky Way galaxy. Its a generation Z thingy.

    What are people going to do about it?

  89. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    30 years of the cleanest, most energy efficient fuel, followed by 10,000 years of absolute horrible shit.

  90. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem is, and I used to be pro-nuclear, We can't run anything without cutting corners. So until we can run say a bank, or a prison without violating our own rules for operations I'm going to have to say no nukes.

  91. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by symbolset · · Score: 1

    Many of the modern proposals involve mining only the overfull spent fuel ponds of existing reactors, recycling their toxic payload into 100x the energy they gave up their first time through and producing less toxic outputs from waste we already have. Surely you can't have a problem with that?

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  92. Re:Nuclear? by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

    And nuclear is not the boogeyman your environmentalist friends have convinced you it is. Zero Fukushima deaths, zero confirmed radiation related cancers.

    While I happen to think Nuclear on balance is a good deal this "no confirmed cancers" argument is garbage.

    Humanity lacks capability to "confirm" cause of radiation caused cancers.

    Determinations were hardly even possible in the aftermath of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Only by use of statistics was anyone able to observe cancers at a rate some very small percentage ~1% above background.

    In any scenario like Fukushima even statistics fail as radiation caused deaths sink well below any practically discernible noise floor.

  93. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Your.Master · · Score: 1

    What are you talking about? Deaths per Terawatt in Nuclear is the best by far. It's several times better than the next best option on that metric (wind energy)!

    http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/...

  94. What problems will it leave for future generations by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    The same way our generation was left a carbon legacy all I see is the selfish thinking of the baby boomer generation wanting cheap electricity until they die and forcing the costs onto the X, Y generation and those that come after that. These costs will be realized by these generations in terms of infrastructure to handle all of the problems that have been offset to be dealt with "sometime in the future".

    This "Not in My Generation" thinking has to end. In these years now we have the energy and expertise to create technological solutions however the entrenched status quo has the same capacity to mold opinions into complacency as it does for solving these problems permanently. Molding opinions though, is much cheaper.

    Nuclear and carbon capture in their current forms are only stopgap measure to a more permanent solutions. Carbon capture looks like a dead technology that will only serve to delay facing the issue of carbons a means to just keep using coal.

    Nuclear looks more promising, but requires a more serious attitude to deal with the sobering danger the impact of its failures present. Infrastructure to deal with spent fuel containment, reactor decommissioning, reactor design, enrichment and, especially, infrastructure to move the existing fuel all have to be dealt with if we are to have any realistic energy return from Nuclear. These problems become more intense as the energetic costs to produce uranium continue to rise due to the transitions from processing soft ores (like sandstone) to hard ores (like granite) as a source material for extracting uranium. The energetic costs of seawater production is also very high with current technology. And before you say breeder reactors or thorium reactors, they still require the above infrastructure. Whilst a thorium fuel cycle, from my understanding, will trade Plutonium 239 for Thallium 238 as a spent fuel product, so we have 2 problems instead of one.

    Creating an alternative energy production infrastructure based on Solar, Wind, Wave and geothermal, independent of existing infrastructure, is a smart choice as it also allows us time to create a new technological base that produces less externalities. Doing so would also allow a more planned approach to Nuclear power that improves the development of that technological infrastructure base as it is proven that solar thermal can do base load and that wind scale quite well.

    What this means is that OUR generation deals with the transition of the technological bases in a more controlled manner while the costs of doing so can be handled for lower cost. It will never be perfect and mistakes will be made however, if we don't learn from the past mistakes and invest in high externality power infrastructure (like coal and nuclear in its current form) while we have a functioning infrastructure then we will be leaving a greater set of problems for humanity to deal with in the future.

    None of this though, is a concern that the current establishment cares about.

    --
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  95. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by WaffleMonster · · Score: 0

    Dumping it into the ocean has been suggested, and investigations conclude that it is a perfectly safe option. However, no one in their right mind would do that, as disposing of valuable resources is frowned upon. Existing "waste" contains enough energy to power our planet for centuries.

    Reprocessing = plutonium = high proliferation risk. Not 1940's anymore must assume modern technology has significantly lowered barrier to successful implosion design.

    With such a dense energy source and short lived fission products, the true waste is easily managed. Even if our planet derived 100% of its power from nuclear energy, the steady state waste inventory would be minuscule and easily fit onto the site of a single coal ash pile.

    The problem with nuclear fairy tales they sound great except for that one aspect you failed to consider that throws a wrench in the whole thing.

    Personally would rather see solar + energy storage + conservation win out in the end but Nuclear is far better than nothing (e.g. Coal)

  96. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you call shipping their waste to someone else, Moruroa atoll tests that damaged the environment in the South Pacific and causing increased rates of cancer.

  97. a "people who can't do arithmetic" thing. Greenpea by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Solar / wind / geo / hydro INSTEAD OF nuclear is a "people who can't do arithmetic" thing. Together, they can reasonably provide about 20% of our energy needs. The founder of Greenpeace agrees - the other 80% can come from fossil fuels, or from nuclear. Those are the two options that can provide the majority of our power. We need power at night, we need power when the wind isn't blowing, and when it's blowing too strong and windmills have to be "turned off". If you'd like , I can point you to a paper that gives all the detailed facts in 10 pages.

  98. yes, and when the wind blows, windmills etc. by raymorris · · Score: 2

    You're right, only fossil fuels or nuclear have the capacity to provide the majority of our energy needs. Nuclear is historically the safest energy source as well - hydro has had quite a few disasters, for example. ALSO, we should acknowledge that the greenies have a good idea - use wind power when the wind happens to be blowing at the proper speed. If you happen to live on a fault line, geothermal is pretty good. For the 80% of of our energy needs that can't met by "alternatives" sources, we can choose nuclear or fossil fuels. That doesn't mean we should be anti-hydro, we should acknowledge that hydro is great. We just don't have any more 200 mile stretches of wilderness to flood, so we can't increase our hydro by much .

    (I put solar in a separate category because the 95% of the solar industry that are scammers give the 5% who are honest a bad name.)

  99. Prexisting Conditions by blagooly · · Score: 0

    Pre- existing conditons are long term storage and handling of the existing radioactive stockpile, and the vulnerable Spent Fuel Pools, earthquake resistance in the coolant subsystems, and Fukushima..

    Want more? Fine.

    1) Agree to move the waste from the vulnerable storage pools to proper on site cask storage.

    2) Do earthquake resistance improvements instead of studies.

    3) Fukushima. Get an International plan in place to wall, corral, and cap it.

    Then talk about more nuclear waste producing power plants to make the world safe from carbon dioxide.

  100. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow ... 1995 to 1999? Seriously? Stats from last millennium in 2014? How about some recent stats:

    https://www.osha.gov/oshstats/commonstats.html

    278 of 775 deaths due to falls in construction. Neither data point increased from 362 / >1000. Not against nuclear, definitely better than coal. I see a time when there is zero fossil fuel and energy production split something like 60% nuclear 15% wind 15% solar. If solar battery efficiency increases, nuclear and solar could easily flip.

  101. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by davester666 · · Score: 1

    great. now somebody has to produce a porn video depicting this. Oh wait, no, it's already been done.

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  102. OT: Undo moderation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Undo moderation

  103. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by bored · · Score: 2

    A lesser known situation is if you actually create an energy surplus, food costs, logistic costs, and transportation costs get cheaper.

    I think a lot of people have been talking about this recently. The US economy in particular is heavily dependent on energy costs. So, a lot of what has been floating Midwestern states is the fact that energy companies are hiring like mad and putting in oil/gas wells pretty much as fast as they can. This drives unemployment down, while helping to lower energy costs, all while the energy companies are making money hand over fist.

    If something similar happened with nukes, it could happen nationally, and as you point out people would be more incentivised to buy leaf's and teslas if the monthly power bill were less than a single tank of gas.

    Of course the other big advantage would be that it would make gas/oil wells less economically advantageous too, similar to what has been happening with coal vs natural gas.

  104. Re:Yes, Global Cooling by kenwd0elq · · Score: 2, Informative

    Anthony Watts of WattsUpWithThat compiled an interesting list of "Global Cooling" references all through the 1970's.

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/201...

    I may be old, but my memory is still MOSTLY here.....

  105. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A better idea would be just to get laws changed so that existing nuclear fuel be reprocessed to make new fuel. That is also a solved problem. What's left could be sunk into a subduction zone like you mentioned.

  106. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    not to mention that burning coal releases about as much radioactive material into the environment each year as what is used by US nuclear plants during the same period of time.

  107. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The % of humans controlling the vast majority is much smaller than 5%. Dig deeper.

  108. Only less than 1% by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Actually, as a physicist, rather than trying to make simplistic arguments as to why experts in the field might be wrong you should just look at the statistics that the experts quote in the first line of the summary:

    On the heels of a study that concluded there was less than a 1% chance that current global warming could be simple fluctuations...

    Now "less that 1%" sounds low but is less than a 3-standard deviation (or 3 sigma) signal. In physics 3 sigma is generally the level at which you can claim "evidence for" a given effect and to prove it to others you need a 5-sigma signal which is less than a 1 in ~1.7 million chance.

    The reason that we use these levels is because it is next to impossible to remove all human bias from an experiment. Hence you have to accept that there will always be some and it has been found from experience that these levels of proof tend to be ones which, once reached, are rarely found to be wrong. Although 3 sigma is just at the level where you can say "this is something likely to be true".

    While I think it likely that humans have caused some degree of global warming it is a little worrying that the evidence for it is still so flimsy. If we then ask say whether more than 50% of global warming is due to humans I expect that the probability becomes even less certain. So to start motivating a major change in direction from fossil to nuclear (which has its own but different problems) we need a 3-sigma signal (less than 0.27%) that mankind is responsible for at least 50% of the current warming.

    1. Re:Only less than 1% by kenwd0elq · · Score: 1

      You write: "...because it is next to impossible to remove all human bias from an experiment." My concern is not that the advocates for anthropogenic global warming (AGW) have tried insufficiently to remove bias, it is the near certainly that the so-called "scientists" have been busy INTRODUCING bias. Not satisfied with merely being wrong, I think they are actively lying.

      One of the fundamental principles of experimental science is accurately publishing your methods and your data, to allow other researchers to perform the same or similar experiments and attain the same results. To the extent that methods and data are not shared, it isn't "science".

      One other thing; "science" is NEVER EVER "settled". There is always new things to learn, now experiments to be performed, new interpretations to be examined. Once the "science is settled" and no further debate is allowed, it has devolved into a religion. And it is scary how closely the current strident denial of debate in the AGW realm has come to a hunt for heretics to be burned at the stake. Just last week, a "journalist" opined that climate change "deniers" should be imprisoned.

      '

    2. Re:Only less than 1% by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      Did this 3 sigma rule also exist when Newton created his theories?

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    3. Re:Only less than 1% by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2

      I find it equally interesting that "less than a 1% chance that current global warming could be simple fluctuations" is somehow being translated as "less than a 1% chance that current global warming could be natural". The two statements are not equal. The possibility still exists that the cause of global warming is something we don't understand yet. All they actually did is prove that global warming is happening, they failed to prove that it is caused by man.

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    4. Re:Only less than 1% by Bongo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Where it gets "religious" is where researchers amongst themselves discuss the uncertainties in carefully considered scientific language, and then decide that these nuances are too complex for the public to understand, so they decide that the public message needs to simplify the message because otherwise, the public might fail to act, so they figure, if they lead the public to failing to act, they would be "unethical", likewise, letting any "denier" get access to data which they might seize upon to highlight uncertainty, thus leading the public to ignore the problem would also be "unethical", so they opt to promote an image of ever greater confidence, ever increasing certainty, worse than we thought, a science field that is always improving, always painting a clearer and clearer picture, where there are no "paradigms", just ever-building on more and more knowledge.

      But the problem is, ethics is not a science topic. If you are making an ethical decision on behalf of others, there is some ethical imperative that you ask them whether __they__ think it is ethical. It isn't just about democracy, but about an OPEN society where we know all views are fallible, all views are limited by our own perceptual ability and bias, so we don't go round making decisions for others without them knowing, because it is quite likely that despite our own best intentions, our purest and smartest of ideals and knowledge, our perceptions are in error, and hiding those decisions and ethical judgments from the public only means it takes far longer for the problems to be corrected.

      We trust science because it is self correcting. If it stops being self correcting, or that self correction is delayed by say, 50 years, there is no reason to trust it. The AGW stuff is doing some rather extensive damage, unfortunately.

    5. Re:Only less than 1% by kenwd0elq · · Score: 1

      You write: "We trust science because it is self correcting. If it stops being self correcting, or that self correction is delayed by say, 50 years, there is no reason to trust it."

      I would go one step further; when it stops being self-correcting, it stops being "science".

    6. Re:Only less than 1% by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      Well given that this is from statistics based on a gaussian distribution and Gauss was born 50 years after Newton died clearly the answer is no. Something for which Newton ought to be extremely thankful since I doubt he would have survived 1,000 apples falling on his head to get the necessary statistics! ;-)

      However there is also a more serious reason for this: Newton's experiments were simple and easy to reproduce. Rather than rely on one or two experiments done be large collaborations with massive resources Newton's experiments could be performed by anyone with enough interest, moderate wealth and a few hours of time on their hands. Newton himself could repeat them multiple times to convince himself that they were right.

      Unfortunately we cannot afford to build 30 LHCs with 60 experiments and measure the Higgs boson mass 60 different times and so we have to get very particular with statistics. In the same way we do not have 100 different, independent global temperature datasets for the past century or more nor 100 different international teams to analyze them. When you only have one or two experiments which cannot be easily repeated multiple times you HAVE to get very careful with statistics.

  109. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If the rate is less than 1% more cancers than normal, then you just proven my point.

    It will be really proven by the time Fukushima is some 10 years old, and we can show with statistics that cancers among even those most affected by the accidents radiation caused a small extra cancer and a tiny extra death rate. Like Chernobyl, the nuclear community learned very little from Fukushima, cause the mistake was disregard to common nuclear safety knowledge, rather than the need for fundamental redesign of state of the art reactors. The real problem is the reluctance of replacing all Gen II reactors with Gen III+ or Gen IV reactors. Not that I'm a big fan of AP1000 and similar designs, but they are safe enough to have two miles from my home.

    Such a finding would both show that the anti nuclear community are very wrong on all of their predictions and should be ignored.
    Most people are unaware that there are 435 operational nuclear reactors in the world with an output around 400GW electrical.
    My contention is that if nuclear fission were really that unsafe, we would have many more accidents over the decades.
    If France and USA can do safe nuclear for 30 years (top 2 users of nuclear fission today) why can't the whole world do safe nuclear ?

  110. Sensible nuclear talk? *Faints dead away* by Chas · · Score: 1

    Holy crap. This is one of the first serious pieces I've seen in altogether too long a time.

    Actually acknowledging that nuclear is a vital part of the way forward.

    And it's the UN doing it?

    Did someone slip me a mickey or something?

    --


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    THANK GOD!!!
  111. Zero chance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The fact is, that it is in every nation's best interest to CHEAT, which is exactly what we see. Europe has not really shifted that much since kyoto. There is really only ONE way to stop this, and enforce it.
    Have nations put a tax on all goods based on where they and their parts come from. The tax should be based on the CO2 from the region that they come from. In addition, it can not be normalized on emissions per capita, but on emissions per $ GDP (for a ration of why, simply look at China vs India; they used to emit at the same level, with the same population 25 years ago; Now, China accounts for more than 1/3 of all CO2 emitted, and within 5 years, will account for not only 1/2, but will be the largest contributers to CO2 in the air through history). Finally, do not go with the estimates. They are WAY WRONG. Instead, use OCO2 that launches later in 2014. It will show the CO2 that flows in and out of a region, such as a nation or a state.

    If we do the above, basically, it cools somebodies economy when they are emitting loads, while rewarding them, when their emissions drop.

    This is the ONLY way that this is going to happen. Otherwise, nations will follow Europe and China's lead, and will build out loads of new coal plants (which major parts of europe is dropping their nukes and replacing most with coal plants).

  112. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear is cleaner than coal barring an accident.

    What do you mean barring an accident? The Fukushima plant had been operating for what, 40 years before the accident?
    What does it cost to clean up after 40 years of operating a coal power plant?
    Can it even be done in any other way than waiting for nature to clean up the mess?
    How long does it take before nature has taken care of it?

  113. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by TheLink · · Score: 1

    Yeah after all nuclear bombs can help reduce world-wide daily power consumption for centuries.

    But most people don't want that nuclear option right? ;)

    --
  114. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's been what, like 50 years we've been using old tech?
    What are you smoking?

    Nuclear is cleaner than coal barring an accident. Coal is guaranteed to kill and hurt people. With Nuclear you at least have a chance of everyone being healthy.
    You also have a chance of a thermonuclear detonation in a populated area. Bigger question; why the fuck are we talking about chances and not facts?

    Even if the country doesn't adopt some grand scheme of making a bunch of nuclear plants, making one here or one there would get our technology levels higher and create jobs for smart people.
    Because if our technology level reaches 10\10, we get a shiny widget from the great spaghetti monster? Since when did Smart people need jobs made for them; the world is always short smart people because the term smart possesses connotations of superior relative intelligence thus you can never have an excess of smart people unless the problems people are solving are trivial yet seemingly complex.

    A lesser known situation is if you actually create an energy surplus, food costs, logistic costs, and transportation costs get cheaper.
    God, finally, a reasonably intelligent assumption.

    So if we ramped our energy production up by 2-8x what we got now, people could charge their hybrid car at home for even less than they do now.
    The world consumes around 6.210 Billion Barrels of oil a year.

    http://www.unitjuggler.com/convert-energy-from-Mboe-to-MWh.html

    Converted roughly to Watt-Hours, that's 10,111,122 GWh or around 10 ExaWatt Hours.

    Per Google: "As of March 11, 2014 in 31 countries 435 nuclear power plant units with an installed electric net capacity of about 372 GW are in operation and 72 plants with an installed capacity of 68 GW are in 15 countries under construction."

    So the entire worlds output of nuclear power is .000000372 ExaWatt Hours. That's a long way away from 10 Exawat Hours. You'd need about a million nuke plants using present technology to completely replace oil. Also that does not include inefficiencies like mining or refining plutonium or uranium.

    I think this dream is often grouped up with a superconductor power grid idea which is unrealistic for the short term. I think for a better world, we should be aiming to create energy surpluses.
    Again, reasonably intelligent assumption.

    Sometimes I even have the strange thought that energy conservation ideas hurt society's growth. It would be almost better if we used more power in the short term so energy could invest in itself and provide more power at lower costs down the road. I mean it is better to conserve electricity, but I don't hear people championing the idea of creating a global energy surplus.

    So here's the thing, if energy gets cheaper, then people are less inclined to use it efficiently.

    Nobody wants to drive a Smart Car to work; they either want the SUV on Monster Wheels, the Sports car that does 0-60 in 3.0 seconds flat, the luxury sedan with seatwarmers and night vision, or a Minivan or full sized Van with StainGuarded Interior and a 5-star safety rating against incidents involving high speed impacts with blunt objects.

    Getting regulators to set ever increasing standards on industry is a vastly unpopular idea; cars are only getting more fuel efficient because manufacturers are taking metal out of the engine, wheels, frame, and other components. This requires a much more complicated manufacturing process on their end which introduces new challenges to several industries.

    The other problem here is that, after WW2 the 3rd World was woken up and found out how shitty their existence was; industrialists then began using them as a cheap source of indentured servants to commit wage arbitrage against labor in the US. After a few local wars, revolutions started by selfish little Ceasars, and said Industrialists becoming so successful in wage arbitrage on a international scale that they stopped making money because the

  115. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At least the solar statistic always came across as bullshit, as the roofs need to be put up nonetheless. Also, many of the bigger solar plants are ground based, and then there are the molten salt towers being worked on.

  116. Re:Nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The new reactors seem safe, but when I am looking at the EPR in Finnland and France, it is so massively over budget, ill-built, ill-designed and everything, that I am seriously doubting the continued benevolence towards nuclear reactors around here. We all know how projects at that scale never are as easy as they seem, so a lot of the arguments brought forth here (these plants are safer than the old ones, cheaper than other solutions), are not really true, at least when taking the EPR as an example. Let's see how the Chinese versions of them perform over the decades, as they do not seem to have any safety concerns or problems with the materials or anything else.

  117. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Tailhook · · Score: 1

    You know what they say about correlation/causation right?

    I know cop-outs when I hear them.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
  118. Re:Yes, Global Cooling by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    Even if all that *was* junk, it doesn't mean today's science is also junk.

    eg. Medicine in the 19th century was almost all quackery. Today? A lot less so.

    --
    No sig today...
  119. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

    Air filtration, chemicals for narcose/desinfectant/pre and post op medicine, a couple of people busy, hospital heating.
    A sex change operation is quite expensive, even just energy wise. It may cost more to change from female to male than there can be saved.
    Especially since adding those parts may not change a woman from semi coldblooded to warmblooded.

    Although, if every woman did that the energy consumption would dropping quite far in a hundred years.

    Oh and GPP probably meant whenever reasonably possible.

    --
    Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
  120. Re:Yes, Global Cooling by something_wicked_thi · · Score: 1

    Uh-huh. You know what The Washington Post, the L.A. Times, The Chicago Tribune, and The New York Times have in common? They aren't scientific journals. Do you believe the press does an accurate job representing scientific consensus today? Probably not, if you've been paying any attention. So why do you think they were doing a better job 40 years ago?

  121. Re:Nuclear? by mwvdlee · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Greenpeace is a prime example of an organisation that doesn't know when to quit.

    As some point Greenpeace actually reached it's targets. Instead of throwing a celebration party and disbanding, they started looking for new targets, regardless of whether they actually made sense; Greenpeace's unwritten goal became the continued existence of Greenpeace itself.

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  122. Re:a "people who can't do arithmetic" thing. Green by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    The question going forward is is nuclear power going to be able to compete with other methods of producing power? Contrary to many peoples opinions the primary reason more nuclear power has not been built in the US is because it couldn't compete with other methods of producing power on a cost basis. Even now it's not clear it can compete with solar and wind power going forward especially if the solve the problem of a reasonable cost means of storing power to even out the ebbs and flows of renewable power.

  123. Re:Yes, Global Cooling by dave420 · · Score: 1

    Again - newspaper articles! Ha! It's not your memory that is fading, but your ability to reason. Newspaper articles are not a source for gauging the scientific consensus in any given period of time. You know that, as the scientist you claim to be.

  124. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by dave420 · · Score: 1

    Thermonuclear detonation? No. Not even close. You clearly have no idea of what you speak.

  125. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by ColaMan · · Score: 1

    So the entire worlds output of nuclear power is .000000372 ExaWatt Hours.

    No, that's just Exawatts. You need to multiply it by the runtime per year, which you can comfortably call 8500 hours, allowing for downtime. So that makes it 3.16 ExaWatt-hours, which is just about a third of oil's output, but you can still have oil for mobile transport for quite a while and flip all the power plants to nuclear, that would certainly help,.

    Oh, and perhaps you should consider smoking less crack. Or posting to Slashdot whilst under the effects of said crack. Or both.

    --

    You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
    There is a lot of hype here.
  126. I laugh. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh look-> values used for Nitrous Oxide = 60% uncertainty, CO2 from Forest/Land use 50% uncertainty, and yet they say they have CO2 from fossil fuel = 8% ???? wtf Clearly this finding is based on "expert judgement" lol. (page 6 ipcc wg3 ar5 summary) Clearly they just move shit around to make it look scary.

  127. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by stooo · · Score: 2

    >> True, nuclear waste is not pollution unless it escapes in an accident

    Bullshit.
    Nuclear waste will escape. why ? because it has billion years of time, will structurally degrade, and there is no known material to contain it.
    It already escapes after a few years in every storage man has built for it.
    During it's lifetime, it will inevitably mix with soil on a large scale., with all the consequences.

    --
    aaaaaaa
  128. Re:Nuclear? by NoKaOi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If solar and wind were so great, Hawaii would have shutdown its oil based thermal plants already. They have very expensive electricity, making renewables cheap, yet it doesn't quite work, cause it's just not that simple.

    How ironic that you point out Hawaii. Hawaii exemplifies the political problems moving away from oil, not the technical problems. Our PUC is utterly impotent and lets our electric utility (HECO) get away with whatever they want. For example, if you want grid-tie solar HECO charges you $3,000 for an "interconnect study" which is complete and utter bullshit. They claim to the politicians that the grid can't handle more solar or wind with no technical basis whatsoever. Why? Because of the way they've got the PUC to structure they rates, they make more than double the profit from burning oil than from anything else, because they get to "pass-through" the cost of the oil, which amounts to more profit and the customer getting screwed.

    Here's essentially how it works:
    Generation from oil costs them 6.5 cents/kWh, plus the cost of oil.
    They are allowed to charge 16-18 cents/kWh -ish (sorry, I don't remember the exact number offhand) PLUS the cost of the oil.
    They buy wind power for 13 cents/kWh.

    Customer cost per kWh of oil generated power = 40 cents, consisting 18 cents allowed rate + 22 cents for fuel , of which 11.5 cents is profit (18cents allowed - 6.5 cost not including oil).
    Customer cost per kWh of wind power = 18 cents, of which 5 cents is profit (18cents allowed - 13 cents they buy it for)
    Customer cost per kWh of home grid tie solar = 0 cents / kWh, so they manage to charge $3,000 upfront for the privilege even though there's already a base monthly charge for being connected to the grid.

    HELLO, of course they are going to lobby (or bribe or give blow jobs or whatever it takes) the politicians. The PUC has got to be so utterly corrupt, and HECO so entrenched with the legislators to allow this to happen, but that's exactly why this is a political problem and not a technical problem.

    Don't get me wrong, I totally agree with you on the nuke subject, just pointing out how you don't know wtf you're talking about with Hawaii and solar+wind power. What's ironic is that people here are so utterly scared of nuclear just saying the word is worse than saying the other 'N' word, yet they revere the Navy's presence here and apparently don't realize what "Nuclear Submarine" means...there's at least 15 nuclear reactors running around the islands right now.

  129. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by delt0r · · Score: 1

    Where does this come from? Billions of years? You pulled that out of your arse. The worst waste is sort of not bad after a few centuries. And only sort of. With reprocessing is fine after a few centuries and sort of not bad after about 100 years. By sort of not bad, i mean there are larger natural sources of activity.

    Compare that to lead, or Cadmium. That stuff is bad for TRILLIONS of years.

    --
    If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  130. The cost of mitigation is cheap. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    According to the report the cost of mitigating global warming is about 0.6% of gross world product. All of the alarmists who say it's going to cost too much are wrong.

    1. Re:The cost of mitigation is cheap. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I was wrong. To put it precisely the "percentage point reduction in annualized growth rate from 2010 - 2100" is 0.06% for strong mitigation.

  131. Zero Jobs - Permanent Unemployment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only costs 2-6% GDP yadda yadda. Do you realize that 3% GDP cost would see all new jobs wiped out in the United States. No jobs for graduates, and the student loans and housing can go to to the toilet. The USD would take a hit too, if interest rates drop lower anything under GDP, say 1.55 means bankers will loose big time. Unhappy voters. So good that the modern youth waste their prime years on low income holding pattern, subsistence jobs.

    Politically, that will never happen, dream on. And forget loony crackpot theories about coal and oil having nuclear replace them - can you imagine all those jobs going? Which is why Thorium reactors are off the table. You can waffle on about reported GDP growth and
    actual GDP growth, but the bottom line is there is no spare cash for niceties.

    Money first, jobs second, and social stuff last. Green is dead.

  132. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    Pebble bed reactors have their own problems. So far no-one has managed to demonstrate one that didn't have some severe issue or other. Decommissioning at the end of life is a particularly difficult problem. That's why no-one is willing to invest in commercial scale ones, except for the Chinese government.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  133. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

    Even the third world has mostly ceased excessive breeding. The fertility rate in Bangladesh has fallen from over 6 in the 1960s to 2.2 today, and the same is true in other countries. Contraception and family planning schemes have worked pretty well. The focus is now on Africa, and a lot of progress is being made.

    The world population will continue to rise due to the large number of children and child-baring age people we have now, but is looking like it will level off at about 11 billion later this century. That sounds like an unsustainable amount but it really isn't. Most of the growth will be in Africa, where there is also great opportunity to improve agriculture and feed all those people. The critical part will be getting them to do it cleanly, not like how the already developed nations did. Fortunately they have massive renewable resources like geothermal and solar, and little existing infrastructure which means they can build a distributed grid from the start.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  134. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by stooo · · Score: 1

    Yep sorry, my fault, usual figures from the nuke industry is in the million of years.
    But don't think HLW will be inoffensive after waiting 20 million years. Yes, most of the activity will be gone, but It'll still be deadly.

    --
    aaaaaaa
  135. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by khallow · · Score: 1

    Oh and GPP probably meant whenever reasonably possible.

    That will probably be the excuse for the AI program that ends the world in order to produce hamburgers a little faster.

    And it's always possible that he didn't mean it that way. I have seen the occasional bit of magic thinking where someone believes something is so good that it should be optimized at the expense of everything else and it is only after being confronted with the logical consequences of that statement that they decide they really mean "reasonable".

  136. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Virtucon · · Score: 1

    Oh I don't have a problem with Nuclear energy but most nations don't have the political will to push forward with it. With the cost of each plant possibly in the Billions you also have to wonder if the investment community will back it as well because the money has to come somewhere. I'm also in favor of pushing for more local Solar along the lines of household domestic use considering we're burning through a lot of natural gas just dealing with peak load demands. Then again, I'm not in DC so all I can do is invest in areas where I think it'll help... You know, think globally, act locally but that still means dealing with retarded Gladys Kravitz types who will fight you putting up solar panels on your roof or planting a few more trees in your yard.

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
  137. Nuclear Energy is a Battery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Everyone is talking about the end stage of Nuclear energy, the reactor. How it managed to get fuel rods installed and how much work to build the facilities, and waste from production of the fuel rods isn't being taken into account. All Told, the amount of fossil fuel used to mine U235 is greater than the energy returned in radiant heat in the reactor.

  138. See also flying cars stories by dbIII · · Score: 1

    There were some idiots that went looking for such shit in what they said was in "the interests of balance", but really it was about creating a fake argument to try to have something sensational to provoke readers to read their rag instead of another publication. It all blew over within weeks. If there was as much to it as you seem to remember then there wouldn't be any need for faked magazine covers to try to pretend it was all the rage back then.
    See also articles in the same magazines predicting that we'd all have flying cars by 1990.

  139. Re:Nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sum total of damage from Fukushima is not merely about deaths or cancer cases, of which you are correct that none have been demonstrated yet. It's also about making large, formerly-populated areas unsafe to inhabit and unsafe for agriculture for many decades due to deposition of radioactive isotopes on the surface that bioaccumulate (e.g., cesium isotopes), not to mention the effect on the adjacent fishery. Even if you ignore the immediate health risks, an accident that makes it unsafe to occupy whole cities and towns over large areas and ruins agriculture and fishery businesses is a pretty big impact economically. The effect won't last forever, but it will be a generation before things get somewhat back to normal. Thousands of people are displaced and their lives turned upside-down, and that's a "small" accident compared to Chernobyl, which was a lot worse due to the release of large amounts of strontium 90 in the mix. When coal-fired plants or wind turbines go bad, the side-effects aren't much. Hydropower can be pretty bad if something serious goes wrong, but in all of these cases when the dust settles people can move back pretty promptly, unless of course you're including global warming itself as one of the side-effects. Then the costs for fossil fuels get higher, but it's hard for people to see (or accept) that connection.

    The thing that is particularly frustrating in the case of Fukushima is not that an accident happened, but that it was entirely avoidable, even with such a serious earthquake and tsunami occurring. There are other nuclear plants along the same coastline of Japan that survived just fine. Why? Because some of the engineers stood up to the bean counters and put in tsunami walls or built at elevations much higher than the accountants wanted. Walls that actually dealth with the known risks, rather than the ones at Fukushima that didn't even deal with the long-term historical tsunami known from the area.

    There are costs and safety risks from every type of power generation. I agree with you that reactors can be built reasonably safely, especially with more modern designs, but more careful study of natural hazards and some basic common sense regarding them would help as much as better engineering of the plant itself. I agree that the problem was "disregard to common nuclear safety knowledge", but it's hard for people to have confidence when there's a been a list of serious mistakes and impacts due to that type of failure. These aren't subtle and tricky mistakes. They are really STUPID ones, like the guys turning off most of the safety equipment to experiment with Chernobyl's reactor, or not building tsunami walls high enough to handle historical tsunami in a tsunami-prone areas, or building backup generators in the basement where they can flood.

    When we don't even have a permanent waste disposal solution for the spent fuel, we aren't exactly handling the challenges we've got now, and people want to triple production? That's pretty bad planning. This generation is not facing up to the obligations of what nuclear power we've already been using. What evidence is there that we can handle triple, even if there are now even safer designs?

  140. Re:Nuclear? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    I just wonder when the tipping point happens where people and businesses stop wanting to be beholden to Middle Eastern oil

    It was 1979, but a later administration decided to go into business with Saudi Arabia, Iraq etc in a big way and scrapped the move towards energy independence.

    are all over solar, wind, and other alternative energy

    Not as much as the Chinese are, which should be a wake up call because they are about as far from "green" as you can get and are doing it for pragmatic reasons.

  141. Re:Nuclear? by dbIII · · Score: 1

    doing it now is a lack of a plan for the spent fuel

    Reprocessing into MOX and the rest (plus reprocessing waste) going into Synroc.

  142. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by delt0r · · Score: 1

    No it really won't. Not any more deadly than say a pile of sand from central India.

    --
    If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  143. No it's a practicality and time thing by dbIII · · Score: 1
    Nuclear had very large potential returns but you have to put in a lot of capital and a lot of time to build the things. Banks won't touch it and governments don't have spare cash lying around so things with smaller unit sizes and shorter construction time are the things that get built.

    I can point you to a paper that gives all the detailed facts in 10 pages

    Most readers here are probably beyond far that and probably want something a bit less simplistic than is suggested by your comment above, especially since I just had to state what should be obvious to someone who thinks they know enough about the topic to share their opinion on it here.

  144. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    You know what's the funniest thing about radioactivity? The most dangerous stuff is dangerous precisely because it decays at an appreciable rate in our lifetimes, and conversely, the stuff that last the longest is the one you don't have to worry about too much.

    But don't think HLW will be inoffensive after waiting 20 million years. Yes, most of the activity will be gone, but It'll still be deadly.

    After 20 My, the vast majority of the HLW will be gone. "Deadly" is an exaggeration. Sunlight is about equally deadly.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  145. Apply critical thinking by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Every extra solar panel and wind turbine added to the grid increases grid instability a little more.

    Who told you that bullshit - some accounts intern at an energy company annoyed at losing market share? It certainly wasn't anyone with enough of a clue to even know ohms law. Try thinking for yourself instead of swallowing then regurgitating such shit. Back in the day we would have loved a lot of nice clean waveform silicon rectified electricity sources right at the points of maximum consumption and pumping out power during the daytime peak.

    1. Re:Apply critical thinking by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Fact one - Germany's CO2 emissions have gone up since they shutdown nuclear reactors after fukushima, and they still haven't managed to offset that.
        google "germany co2 nuclear 2014"

      Fact two - Too much electricity in the grid is just as bad as too little.
      Solar and wind are unpredictable energy sources, each cloud passing over then leaving a solar panel is changing electricity production, wind gusts are way worse.
      Plus you have the problem of what to do if they have a few hours in the winter without wind or a windless summer night. In the peak of winter solar PV is producing 5% of what it produces in the best day of the year, so solar is next to useless all day long in the winter at Germany's latitude range.
      I know they have some pumped hydro, some peaking fossil fuel sources, and can import electricity from its neighbors, but that's where the fun begins, if they need their neighbors to have lots of baseload nuclear, hydro, coal, natural gas, the bottom line is they are kind of preventing their neighbors from doing the same, since wind patterns affect large areas.

      The Germany clean energy plan is a one trillion euro plan. For a 65GW peak demand grid, and to shift about 40GW worth of fossil fuels and nuclear to renewables. 40GW is 10 full sized nuclear reactors (1333GW each), even using the crazy anti nuclear numbers, that's 10 billion euros each, or 100 billion euros using the crazy inflated numbers the anti nuclear nuts use. One tenth the trillion dollar Energiewende plan.

    2. Re:Apply critical thinking by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the lecture but I suggest attempting to understand what I wrote above before writing simplistic shit like "Too much electricity in the grid is just as bad as too little". It may help if you learn a little bit about how those panels you are being critical about are connected to the grid and how they are controlled.

    3. Re:Apply critical thinking by macpacheco · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I am thinking for myself. I have college level physics education (engineering basic curriculum), and I have friends and relatives that are accomplished electrical engineers in transmission, industrial electricity consumption (MW+ levels) and some generation experience.
      You seem to ignore that the grid has ZERO energy storage characteristics. Ohms law isn't the issue. It's that electricity flows at the speed of light, use it or it overloads the grid (too much electricity = high voltage, too little = low voltage).
      Load following sources can't shift production like 1% up or down every sub second period.
      So I don't see you showing how I'm wrong to say that specially too many wind turbines on the grid with their power output from 0 - 35Km/h winds proportional to wind speed cubed, a mere drop from 35Km/h to 30Km/h reduces production by 1/3. The theory that having thousands of turbines linked up smooths that is certainly true when looking at 15+ minute power production intervals, but electricity is nanosecond by nanosecond !
      The solution is technically simple, but economically daunting which is having gigantic electrical battery storage systems to smooth out the oscilations. To date it's still acknowledged as uneconomical. Huge capacitors would be much better (very fast charge/discharge, even though they have low energy density).
      Bottom line, I'm yet to see a self contained grid operating on at least 2/3 wind + solar year round. The case in point isn't Germany, it's the whole European grid, with nuclear + hydro + baseload fossil + peaking fossil producing well over 3/4 total electricity production, in that scenario, wind has plenty of buffer in the rest of the grid.
      That's why I insist on something like Hawaii, Puerto Rico, Bahamas, Bermuda that is big enough to become an energy storage challenge to run without fossil or nuclear sources. Show just one of those running on solar+wind+geothermal+biomass+hydro alone... Make it happen. I'm indifferent to being proven wrong or not. I'm not cheering against renewables. I'm just posing the challenge hoping some of you is an accomplished transmission and generation electrical engineer that shows me with solid arguments I'm wrong (that I will run by my buddies, on of which is my dad, to verify it, BTW most of them are retired, they have zero vested interest in renewables failing).

    4. Re:Apply critical thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are two outstanding proposals for improving the US grid

      One is a new high throughput 'superconducting' conduit up and down the East Coast
      Another is a massive exchange in New Mexico to act as a bridge between the three major grids
      The NM exchange in essential to bring Midwestern wind energy to large markets that can consume it

      All of the 'renewable' sources sound great and get a lot of press, but none of them address the need to supply a dependable 'base' to supply energy in all conditions

      Refusing to use Nuclear for this base source only leaves fossil fuel as an option

    5. Re:Apply critical thinking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      "It's that electricity flows at the speed of light, "

      You might want to hold back on boasting about your physics and engineering "knowledge" when you obviously lack even a basic understanding.

    6. Re:Apply critical thinking by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I have college level physics education

      What do you think it was for then? Use it! Don't fall for the bullshit spread by people with a political agenda.

    7. Re:Apply critical thinking by dbIII · · Score: 1

      are accomplished electrical engineers in transmission

      Ask one of them instead of name dropping and supplying stuff dreamed up by political interns instead. The most "accomplished electrical engineer in transmission" I know started in the business in about 1950 - he has solar panels on his roof and wishes they were widespread before he retired. They would have made his job a lot easier. If you can't work out several reasons why you are not really thinking about the issue.

    8. Re:Apply critical thinking by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      You are ignoring the words of many serious environmentalist scientists. They are saying there's no way out without lots of more nuclear power !
      People like James Hanson. All the folks that made Pandora's Promise.
      I watched every anti nuclear attempt to answer Pandora's Promise. Filled with utter generalities calling it names, void of facts.

  146. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    Real life isn't like Sim City. You have to build stuff where it is practical. Where adequate cooling is available, with adequate transport links, connection to the grid, geological stability etc. Some countries have it far worse than others, but none has a free choice of placement.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  147. But what is "nuclear waste" ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Everyone seems to forget that half of the entire fucking nuclear power station is also "waste" - it's radioactive and damned fucking hard to get rid of.
    Unless they factor in the dismantling and disposal costs of the reactor, the pro-nuclear crowd are full of shit.
    And they NEVER do. If you factor in the total costs, nuclear power becomes vastly more expensive than the alternatives.
    Let's all "do the google" and found out how many nuclear power stations have been completely decommissioned and paid for. Let's do it. Then come back here and talk sensibly...

    1. Re:But what is "nuclear waste" ? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Everyone seems to forget that half of the entire fucking nuclear power station is also "waste" - it's radioactive and damned fucking hard to get rid of.

      You don't need to immediately get rid of it. Just leave it in place until it's no longer radioactive waste. And it's low grade waste too. There's a reason for the lack of drama.

  148. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

    Yep sorry, my fault, usual figures from the nuke industry is in the million of years.

    No, usual figures from the ANTI-nuke hysterics is in the millions of years.

    But don't think HLW will be inoffensive after waiting 20 million years. Yes, most of the activity will be gone, but It'll still be deadly.

    I'm assuming that by HLW you mean Pu-239 (which isn't really very high level - not like, say, Strontium-90).

    On that basis, if you started with a mass of HLW the size of the planet (~6E24 kg), you'll be down to rather less than 1/4 of a nanogram of the stuff after three million years.

    If the ENTIRE UNIVERSE were made of Pu-239, you'd have one ATOM of the stuff left after only SIX million years.

    On the other hand, if we were talking reasonable amounts (no more than one million tons), it'll be decayed to less than one microgram in about a million years.

    On the gripping hand, if we were talking about REAL HLW (the kind that emits enough radiation to actually be, you know, dangerous) we're not talking things with a 24KY halflife. We're rather more concerned with things with a century halflife or less.

    For a 100 year halflife, your mass-of-the-planet wastes would be down into the milligram range in 10 KY. For a million tons of the stuff, it's down to less than a microgram in 5KY years.

    And for really radioactive stuff (like, say Strontium-90), well, it'll be gone in a couple centuries.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  149. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by dave420 · · Score: 1

    It only equals readily-available plutonium with our currently-used fuel cycles. That will not always hold true.

  150. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    So what you are saying is that both coal and nuclear suck and that the US construction industry isn't very safe. In any case PV is often installed when buildings are being built or roofs are being repaired anyway, so the actual increase in danger due to poor working practices and inadequate on-site safety is minimal.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  151. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    Nuclear waste will escape. why ? because it has billion years of time, will structurally degrade, and there is no known material to contain it.

    No known material to contain it??

    It should be noted that most of the ionizing radiation emitted by your nuclear waste can be blocked by wrapping the nuclear waste in old newspapers (yes, both alpha and beta can be blocked with a sheet of paper, or a few feet of open air).

    It should also be noted that the only radioactives that will last billions of years are things like U-238 (half life in the billions of years), which is so faintly radioactive that you'd never notice the radiation effects of it if a ton or so of it stored under your bed....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  152. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    I see you are a fair person and so am I.
    I want solar and wind to get their fair chance, so I hear you that the extra cost is unfair, but it's a one time cost, so it's not like it's a deal breaker.
    They should separate transmission costs and profits from generation costs and apply feed in tariff just to generation costs. And get rid of the $3000 cost.
    That would make the number fair.
    Hawaii citizens unite. Make it a campaign issue, force the hand of the politicians. Protest.
    The interesting challenge is once Hawaii runs over 50% from solar and wind, it will mean overproduction during the day. What to do with the surplus energy ? Do they have viable pumped hydro sites ? Ultra expensive electrical batteries ? Those are challenges that have only been fully solved on much smaller grids that migrated from diesel generators to solar+wind+battery storage, considering ultra high electricity to being with (much higher even than oil thermal plants, due to small scale demand).
    Germany is mostly doing it with pumped hydro and selling their overproduction to their neighbors and buying it back when it needs to (selling cheap and buying expensive, they are selling unplanned overproduction and buying surplus energy at peak demand times).

  153. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    You also have a chance of a thermonuclear detonation in a populated area.

    No, you don't.

    First, "thermonuclear" means FUSION, not fission.

    Second, there is ZERO possibility of even a nuclear fission detonation from a nuclear reactor, since it takes considerably more than 95% enriched uranium to make a boom, and nuclear reactors use ~20% enriched uranium.

    So, no, there is no chance of any kind of nuclear explosion from a nuclear power plant, whether it's in a populated area or not.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  154. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

    Often I find it fun to do that too. Poking holes in extreme statements I mean.

    --
    Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
  155. Well... by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

    The problem is electricity generation only accounts for 33% of all greenhouse emissions (source: http://epa.gov/climatechange/g...). Ahem, so what about the remaining 67%... so how do we care to try to address that lol?

  156. Re:Nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wasn't it Carter who put the permanent ban on place on all new reactor (especially breeder reactor) construction after 3MI as an executive order? A ban that is still in place today.

  157. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by ssam · · Score: 1

    Most of your radiation exposure is from the radiation that's been in the rocks for ever and from cosmic rays. Releases from nuclear power are tiny compared. Radiation safety limits are incredibly conservative.

  158. Information Black Hole by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    Actually, Siri can't. There is a well known phenomena that there's a lack of published articles online that were published between 1960-1990 Articles before 1960 are considered historical and interesting, articles after 1990 were when the early digital services that were the precursors to the web were competing for content. Someday we'll get around to digitizing the magazines that contain the information you seek, but not soon, because there's no money in it.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  159. Re:Nuclear? by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    Any nuclear fuel that is dangerous- is also nuclear fuel that is still fuel, that is, still giving off energy. What we really need is a way to recapture and recycle that energy.

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  160. Dialogue... by matbury · · Score: 1

    UN: "Hey USA, you need to use less energy and reduce your greenhouse gas emissions."

    USA: "Hey UN, frack off!"

    BTW, carbon capture and nulcear power? Really? What are the economics and time scales on that?

  161. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Excuse me, but none of that matters, we just hate fucking coal. Get it? Oh, and oil. But we want the free health care, keep that a comin'.

  162. Re:Nuclear? by randallman · · Score: 1

    "When are you environmentalist nuts start studying how the electrical grid actually works instead of having fantasies about how it should work."

    While a agree with your sentiment about anit-nuke positions, I think your "study the grid" viewpoint is narrow-minded.

    Power demand (and thus supply) fluctuates greatly throughout the day. I'm an M.E. I worked for FPL, who know runs three solar power plants. I know how the grid works and it's sad that we still have to match production to demand. Energy storage systems are long overdue. There are some in place including uphill reservoirs, flywheels and thermal salt storage, but we haven't arrived yet. Though I'm not sure if centralized or decentralized (panels on houses) is best, it's clear that grid storage is a necessary step that will enable much needed flexibility on our power grid.

    Grid storage is no more a "fantasy" than splitting atoms. I personally like nuclear. And I like wind and solar. And geothermal. They could work together nicely as base plus spike production. After we move to grid storage and look back, our current system of ramp production to meet demand will seem ridiculous and truly ancient.

  163. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

    And Germany imports it at night. Also Germany is build new COAL plants while shutting down nuclear....
    Dubm.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  164. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by ToddInSF · · Score: 1

    BS.

    Two false options, and both are unacceptable.

  165. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by microbox · · Score: 1

    Agreed. Irrational fear is the main problem with nuclear. Not that there aren't other problems, but they are technical and management issues which can be solved. Fearful ignorance defends itself, and has no known solution.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  166. Re:Nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is easy to point the finger at utility companies for 'overcharging' for connections to their grid...

    However, we all have to recognize that the 'grid' is aged and overworked, patched together with newer systems and prone to collapse

    If we want to use diverse small generators, then we are going to have to show the financial commitment to upgrade the whole thing. Propositions have been made and proposals put forward, but nobody wants to foot the bill. For the utility companies, it would be the equivalent of paying to slit their own throats

  167. physics doesn't care banks by raymorris · · Score: 1

    It doesn't matter how regulated nuclear is, or the capital required. The physics is such that it's one of two options that can provide the majority of our power. Unless you plan to flood 1/3rd of the United States, hydro can't do it. Unless the sun starts shining at night, and there are no more cloudy days, solar can't do it. These things aren't politically bad, they are physically incapable of providing more than 4%-6% of the need.

    1. Re:physics doesn't care banks by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Doesn't matter? Without somebody putting up the capital it doesn't happen. Civilian Nuclear IMHO has two options - very small units that don't cost a lot or (the unlikely approach) find some way to get itself funded.
      A windmill doesn't cost much even if it takes ten thousand to match a nuclear power station - but they are not being purchased ten thousand at a time are they?

  168. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by microbox · · Score: 1

    There is no power supply that doesn't have problems.

    True, but hardly insightful. Really, the question should be "what are the problems" and "what are the solutions", and then you can say whether pebble bed reactors are worth pursuing, or if there is something better.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  169. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by microbox · · Score: 1

    Here's an idea...how about converting it to relatively inert ceramic blocks (already available tech) and sink it at some remote subduction zone fault where it gradually gets folded back into the mantle?

    Because that "waste" will be fuel when India/Europe finally get a safe breeder reactor working, which is only a matter of time. There was such a breeder reactor here in the USA, but the Dems axed it in the 90s. (Truly unfortunate.)

    Also, note that very little radioactive waste remain hot for a long time (about 10% I believe). You don't want to fold plutonium into the mantle of the earth, and then who knows what will happen to it. It will be quite safe in some vault somewhere. There isn't that much of it. And it will be useful fuel one day.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  170. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Yeap. I don't know all the problems, and I don't know all the solutions. I'm willing to wait and see how it turns out for China.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  171. Solar and wind compliment, not compete by raymorris · · Score: 1

    In the last two years, natural gas has provided cheap, stable power. That's not why for decades new nuclear plants weren't built. The problem with nuclear is political, and yes those political hurdles create costs, but when the federal government IGNORES nuclear paperwork for years at a time, that's not that nuclear isn't competitive, that's the federal government choosing not to do its job.

    Wind power is good. It does not compete with nuclear. Wind provides clean, safe power about half the time, and no power half the time. Wind allows you to throttle down your nuclear, gas, or coal plant sometimes. It doesn't replace the stable, reliable power supply of nuclear or older technologies. In the best case, solar is the same - it provides power for several hours per day. The other 18 hours, you can choose nuclear, natural gas, or coal. Unfortunately, solar now has a lot of worst case, since it's the industry chosen as a front for graft and corruption at the moment.

    1. Re:Solar and wind compliment, not compete by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Before the natural gas boom it was still cheaper, faster and more profitable to build coal power plants than nuclear power plants. There are some costs in the government paperwork but coal plants have plenty of paperwork of their own to go through. The paperwork for a nuclear plant may be excessive but given that the American taxpayer is on the hook for any major nuclear accident (see the Price-Anderson Act) I'm not complaining about it. Better too much rather than too little. It's a little hard to pin down the costs of the Fukushima incident cleanup but it looks like it's sure to be over $50 billion and counting.

  172. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by dl_sledding · · Score: 1

    ...we should be aiming to create energy surpluses.

    You realize that this would be detrimental to the bottom line of the power companies. That have boards that exist to protect investors. And investors who demand returns on their investments. Etc.

    Not unlike researchers who know who is paying for their research, and do not want to offput those grantors by coming up with data that undermines the grantor's position on the research.

    This society that we live in is not designed to find truths or to do the "right thing". It is designed to make people money so that they can live more comfortably. Period. I don't care where you live or what you do, this is truth, whether you live in Manhatten or the Serengetti, humans do what they do to improve their own lives. If you improve other's as well while you are at it, that's even better. If you don't, no love lost. If you think I'm off base here, then I challenge you to work for a year for free: no salary, no compensation, just for the good of the world.

    Cynical, but true.

  173. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are several cities in China that can tell you all about what it feels like when a power solution renders a large metropolitan area "uninhabitable". Air pollution deaths in their core cities have reached the point where they are the number one source of death beating cancer and heart failure (Not related to air pollution inhalation).

    If you look at the history of nuclear power in the U.S. our nuclear energy program has never caused the kinds of deaths any other power source has. Solar power and wind power kill hundreds of times more people every year than nuclear, with coal accounting for hundreds of times their numbers. Modern reactor designs do not produce the unburned fuel "waste" that previous designs created, and have been engineered not to cause the hydrogen issues Fukushima suffered. The risk of a modern nuclear facility causing as you put it "densely populated parts of the world uninhabitable" are vanishingly small. You'd stand a better chance of winning the Powerball two weeks in a row. For the record, no I do not take into account for Russian designed nuclear reactors. The USSR and Russia do not care about safety the way U.S. programs do. Chernobyl was such a mess it had no containment dome.

    If Thorium power can be realized it will solve the last of the fears of nuclear power as it will be passive safe against melt down, cannot produce weapons grade waste, burns 85-90% of the fuel and has a fuel source so abundant that it would take modern growth hundreds or thousands of years to put a dent in the easily accessible sources.

    Please leave the FUD at the door.

  174. Re:Nuclear? by WaffleMonster · · Score: 1

    If the rate is less than 1% more cancers than normal, then you just proven my point.

    You misunderstand.

    Cancer is poised to become the worlds leading cause of death as worlds average population ages with at least 1 out of 5 of everyone dying from it regardless.

    Assume an effected area has a population of 1 million.

    20% of 1M peeps = 200,000 dead peeps
    1% of 1M peeps = 10,000 dead peeps
    0.1% of 1M peeps = 1,000 dead peeps

    Even 1% is a LOT of dead peeps yet in relative terms next to 20% quite small.

    In the real world pool of victims is likely to be orders greater than 1M as contamination is distributed to nearby densely populated cities yet the percentage of cancer deaths much lower than 1%.

    Even very small percentages of increased risk are still to borrow from Biden a "big fucking deal" they still translate to hundreds or thousands of real peeps dying that would have never happened anyway but vanishingly difficult to see with confidence using statistical methods because the 20% represents such a huge noise floor.

    Waving your hands saying there are no confirmed radiation caused cancers is disingenuous and this is my only point. As mentioned earlier I am not against nuclear power especially inherently safe designs requiring no active components to prevent meltdowns all sounds quite reasonable to me. Fukushima was shit design - would be a mistake to use it as the poster child to prevent forward progress.

  175. LFTR, CO2 and such by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    While I am all in favor of LFTRs used to burn all the nuclear waste we have accumulated and thorium from mine tailing ponds I have to wonder why this is constantly wrapped up in "global warming". If you really do want LFTR, solar, LENR and other clean energies used quit tying yourself to the dead horse of global warming and the CO2 controls climate theory. If your theory and reality differ your theory is WRONG. Abandon or modify your theory.

    Look we have a few long term climate predictions that have been accurate and do not rely on CO2 and on the other hand we have lots of medium & long term predictions that have failed completely based on CO2.

    From the 1970s and it has been an accurate prediction for close to 4 decades:
    http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2011/05/26/1979-before-the-hockey-team-destroyed-climate-science/

    And not as long but still accurate for more than a decade Dr Easterbrook
    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/17/cause-of-the-pause-in-global-warming/

    So for all those of you out there who think CO2 controls the climate the question is: How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit that CO2 does not control the climate? 20 years? 30? 50? Never?

  176. Re:Nuclear? by microbox · · Score: 1

    Every extra solar panel and wind turbine added to the grid increases grid instability a little more.

    This is true, but Germany has a *lot* of renewables right now. I think they need some modern nuclear as well. But don't think that they won't try and solve the grid problems.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  177. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by operagost · · Score: 1

    If the byproducts of fission reactors had such a long half-life, they would emit so little radiation in the short term it wouldn't be much of a threat.

    --

    Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
  178. Re:Nuclear? by microbox · · Score: 1

    Humanity lacks capability to "confirm" cause of radiation caused cancers.

    A mathematical model is used to estimate how much additional cancer comes from radiation leaks. It is plausible, but not without controversy. If you want to learn something about estimating the human cost of a reactor accident, then read the TORCH report on chernobyl. (Unlike the WHO report, the TORCH report actually explains the underlying science and uncertainties with estimating cancers caused from radiation leaks.)

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  179. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by microbox · · Score: 1

    India and Europe also have extensive nuclear programs. Despite interference from the Dems, the USA still does a lot of nuclear research as well. Pebble reactors are an advancement, but have their problems. I'm hopeful that there will be failsafe breeder reactors in the future, and maybe Bill Gate's traveling-wave reactor research will provide a robust and decentralized solution to the energy situation.

    Pebble reactors are a great idea. You can read about some of the history and problems here

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  180. Just end all Oil Coal Gas tax exemptions by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    You can accomplish the same thing by ending all Coal, Oil, and Gas tax exemptions and below market rate leases for the same on public lands and oceans.

    And then use the remaining cash after the deficit is all paid (about 4 times larger than the deficit) to literally provide low cost loans to US consumers and businesses to build solar, wind, and tidal energy nationwide. The main barrier is the capital cost to build these systems, not the operational costs.

    Problem solved.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  181. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Pffft ... do they use oil to create electric power?

    Oh no, they likely are also the number 12 in the world car owners, or close to it ... and/or use oil for heating.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  182. Re:a "people who can't do arithmetic" thing. Green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the energy companies weren't daft, they'd use all that heat they make in a nuclear reactor for other things besides rotating a turbine, like desalinization and hydrogen cracking; things that solar and wind have a hard time doing.

    I believe it's called a "secondary revenue stream."

    But, they've got their heads firmly planted in their duodenums. So, forget it.

  183. Re:Nuclear? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

    The Koch brothers don't have a share of a Nobel prize for making a PowerPoint about climate change, nor do they pretend to tell everyone how to be more eco-friendly while zipping from venue to venue on a private fucking jet.

    Apples and Oranges in this context.

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  184. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Qwertie · · Score: 1

    It's interesting to watch the different arguments from pro-nuclear and anti-nuclear forces. The pro-nuclear forces point out that building all new power plants as 100% renewable in the near future is not practical but a mixture of renewables and nuclear is. They go on to point out the relatively high rate of deaths from coal power (such as direct deaths in coal mines, and indirect deaths from air pollution) per unit of power generated, compared to the few deaths from nuclear. They may even then point out that petroleum power in general has a poor safety record compared to nuclear worldwide.

    The anti-nuclear crowd, meanwhile, either focuses on a tiny number of accidents like Chernobyl and a couple of problematic, but non-lethal, old reactor designs (like the 1970 pebble-bed reactor mentioned by the parent), as if costly problems are unique to the nuclear industry. After all, why pay any attention to accidents, deaths or cost overruns in fossil-fuel power when we can simply make every single new power plant a renewable power plant? Never mind that not every place in the world has plentiful sunlight or wind. They then move on to the only argument about nuclear that is actually fair--that it often costs more than renewables.

    Nuclear faces political and popular opposition, often due to outdated opinions based on a few unsafe reactors from the 60s and 70s (did you know that Fukushima reactor 1 was built before Chernobyl? Or that there is another nearby reactor run by a more safety-conscious company that survived the tsunami?). This opposition and regulatory uncertainty increases costs, plus reactors are traditionally built with the "craftsman" approach where every reactor is large, somewhat unique, and built on-site. It seems to me that costs could be reduced greatly if nuclear reactors were mass-produced like trucks (small reactors seem to work great for nuclear subs!) and distributed around the country from factories, and if they used passive failsafes to make uncontrolled meltdowns "impossible" so that outer containment chambers could be less costly.

    But the public opposition is no small barrier to overcome. Remember how a Tesla car makes nationwide news whenever a single battery pack is damaged and catches fire, even though there are 150,000 vehicle fires reported every year in the U.S.? You can expect the same thing with small modular reactors--barring some terrible disaster, all sorts of problems with petroleum power plants will be scarcely noticed, while a single minor nuclear incident will make nationwide headlines. Surely this makes potential nuclear investors nervous.

  185. Re:Yes, Global Cooling by tbannist · · Score: 1

    Sure when you see the list of 70 articles, it looks compelling. However, a little thought should tell you that's it's pretty thin evidence for his claims. If you average it out, it's a mere 7 articles a year spread across the entire English speaking world. That not terribly surprising that some articles would be written about it, given the combination of some unusually cold weather and the not-yet-settled debate in the climate science about whether the long-term natural cooling trend (plus aerosols) or shorter-term anthropogenic warming trend would be the primary driver for climate change in the near future.

    Of course, as I often find when I look at the Watt's Up blog, the evidence only passes a friendly cursory review. Several of those 70 articles are repostings of the same article in different newpapers, and even more troubling is that some of the articles in that list aren't even about global cooling. For instance, they list a 1977 Times cover story called The Big Freeze. Apparently, it's about a cold and snowy winter, not a coming ice age.

    Of course, this is not unexpected. Anthony Watts always seems to hold people who disagree with him to a much higher standard than those he agrees with. Just look at his treatment of Mueller who was an unquestionable god of climate science right up until he tried to tell Anthony Watts something he didn't want to hear, then suddenly he was a turn coat who sold out.

    --
    Fanatically anti-fanatical
  186. Fix Nuclear - LFTR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We need to ditch all our 50+ year old Nuclear technology and get with the (modern) program: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LFTR

  187. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Jmc23 · · Score: 1

    but that 0.1% makes for a very eco-inspiring country side!

    --
    Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
  188. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Jmc23 · · Score: 1
    What is the definition of 'at heights'? Is the normal 1-2 story house considered 'at heights'? How many deaths actually occur from average height of a house roof? Are solar installations even done 'at heights'?

    Being able to read is not enough.

    --
    Don't complain about syntax, grammar, or spelling. There is no.hell like input on android.
  189. Re:Nuclear? by NoKaOi · · Score: 1

    It is easy to point the finger at utility companies for 'overcharging' for connections to their grid...

    But the $3k is in addition to a monthly fee for being connected to the grid, so they're double dipping. Really, they're just extorting extra profit because they are allowed to get away with it. Their profits are still increasing every year so they can't complain they are losing money over solar. They are a monopoly and as such are supposed to be regulated by the PUC. The PUC isn't doing their job, which can only be explained by either incompetence or corruption. If they were putting that money into infrastructure upgrades instead of lining their own pockets then the cost of those infrastructure upgrades could legitimately be considered by the PUC when the PUC sets the rates, but that's not the case.

  190. Re:Nuclear? by blue+trane · · Score: 1

    The point is, he uses less than he could. Harm reduction.

  191. Hydroelectric Banqiao killed 160,000. Coal similar by raymorris · · Score: 2

    Fukushima was nasty. It killed about two people. Hydroelectric killed 160,000 when Banqiao failed. When the original Niagra Falls dam failed, it wiped out a couple of towns. I don't know the inflation-adjusted cost off hand, but it wasn't minor. Coal mining accidents have killed thousands. There's liability risk for any workable option. For some reason , the safest option (by several orders of magnitude) is the one the government wants billions in liability reserve for.

    Have you ever heard of a hydroelectric operator being required to deposit billions of dollars in case they have an accident? No, which is interesting since hydro has FAR more accidents.

  192. Not talking about IS not, talking about CAN not by raymorris · · Score: 1

    We're talking about two different things. You're talking about what IS happening. My comment was about what CAN happen, what's POSSIBLE by the laws of physics.

    If 10 million windmills magically appeared tomorrow, that wouldn't provide for most of our energy needs, because most of the time, the wind isn't blowing at the right speed.

    Similarly, there is a certain amount of water in the rivers. Those rivers start at a certain altitude. The weight of the water multiplied by the distance it falls is the potential energy. To capture the energy in the water, you have to build dams. To capture more energy, you build bigger dams, holding bigger reservoirs (more tons of water). In order to have enough energy to meet our needs, the reservoirs would need to cover 1/3rd of the United States. It simply isn't possible.

    I'm not saying it's unlikely, or that it's not politically viable, I'm talking about what's physically possible. The physics is such that there are two/three sources that have enough energy. Nuclear can, mathematically, provide enough. Old fashioned fossil fuels DO provide the majority. Clean fossil (natural gas and clean coal) can, at least for awhile. Wind cannot. It doesn't matter how many windmills you have, because at the moment it's not windy out.

    1. Re:Not talking about IS not, talking about CAN not by dbIII · · Score: 1

      No I'm writing about why it can't happen.
      Things may change from outside influences but there are some massive roadblocks including the US Nuclear lobby themselves.

  193. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by sjames · · Score: 1

    It still amazes me TMI is even mentioned in the same paragraph as Chernobyl or Fukishima. Yes, I can well imagine TMI scared a lot of people who lived near it, but ultimately not much happened outside the plant.

  194. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by bingoUV · · Score: 1

    as if costly problems are unique to the nuclear industry

    I'll tell you what is unique to the nuclear industry. Other industries have costly problems, they insure, and get on with it. A construction company paid out a huge sum in compensation for an under-construction building collapse recently in my country.

    Nuclear industry insists on immunity from consequences of any accident. Not very confidence inspiring, wouldn't you say?

    --
    Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  195. Re:Hydroelectric Banqiao killed 160,000. Coal simi by bingoUV · · Score: 1

    Ok, so why are nuclear equipment builders and suppliers running away from having to pay compensation if equipment is found to have caused the accident ? In fact the "global standard" is for builders to have no liability!

    --
    Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  196. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Every hydro dam that isn't full is an energy storage system. It can follow load demand. With its turbine generating full time (but variable load) regardless.
    I'm not against having economical energy storage. My contention is that purely pumped hydro doesn't get many viable sites. Some countries have none or extremely few.
    But the specific characteristics of wind turbines are extreme. They vary too much constantly. I'm not saying no to wind. I'm just saying that I have a big issue with saying we have the solution with solar+wind+energy storage alone, when the storage component is still perhaps a decade from becoming economical on a GWh scale.
    I'm not against solar or wind. I'm against those that say we don't need nuclear cause "renewables alone" are a sufficient solution.
    I'm pro geothermal power, but against those that ignore geothermal is produced by very inefficient thorium consumption (decay) in the earths core. Thorium is as renewable an energy source as geothermal. Thorium decay produces radioactive radon gas, which is one of the radioactivity sources we inhale from constantly. It seeps from the ground continously.

  197. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    There is no question that Fukushima could have been avoided. With a cheap solution (moving the generators from the basement to higher floors, increasing tsunami defenses height, either would have done the job). And those exact suggestions were made to TEPCO years prior to Fukushima. But since they were suggestion instead of mandatory, and TEPCO was cash strapped, they thought since the reactors were fine for 35 years, why they needed to change.
    I wish those anti nuclear can conduct a serious honest study that proves your point, and that they announce they are going to conduct such study and publish the results regardless if they prove or disprove their point. My contention is we get no such honesty from anti nuclear folks, anything they might stumble upon that is pro nuclear is censured inside.

  198. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    I hope they succeed and that we know the honest cost to fix it.
    My main contention with the trillion euro number is the solution can't be applied in less developed countries.
    I'm not cheering for them to fail. I'm just being honest about the risks of failure.
    I'm specially worried about the risk of them not investing on nuclear and never reaching significant CO2 emissions reductions.
    The reality is in other forums populated by a few very anti nuclear germans, they see nuclear as absolutely unacceptable. There are way too many people that are like that. So I have some serious doubt Germany will ever build another nuclear power plant until "they feel the shit has hit the fan".

  199. Re:Nuclear? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

    Everyone uses less than they could. I don't have a giant natural gas flaring operation in my back yard, even though I could.

    What the hell does that have to do with anything?

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  200. Nuclear risk was never "paid for" by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    "Keeping old plants online is simply the capitalist thing to do: They're bought and paid for and still work. Why would you shut them down?"

    In theory, fission-based nuclear energy is quite workable. In practice so far, within either a Soviet command economy or a Western capitalist economy, the "externalities" of systemic risk of meltdown (like Fukushima) have not been accounted for in up-front costs. So, these plants have never been "paid for". It is just that the general public has been forced to take on a risk, either as individuals or as a society. Fukushima is a tragic example of this. And many people affected by Fukushima are just left to pay many of the disastrous costs on their own, plus taxes go up for everyone, plus there are many other costs (like inspecting Japanese seafood or seaweed for radiation). So, the cost of Fukushima was not paid for up front. If the plants had been shut down sooner, huge future costs would have been avoided. Because capitalistic organizations eventually specialize in internalizing profits while socializing risks and costs and capturing their regulators via revolving doors and (legal) bribes, high risk nuclear power is a particularly difficult thing for such societies to manage. Sure, we could build much safer reactors, including probably thorium ones, but even now plans for new reactors are not fully fail-safe. TRIGA is an example of an alternative that is much more fail-safe.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T...

    Of course, I could say much the same for coal plants and their environmental affects. as externalities. Oil dependency also has huge costs in military defense of supply lines and pollution risks like the Exxon Valdez in Alaska or recently the US Gulf Coast.

    That is why many renewables (as well as energy efficiency) have been cheaper than fossil fuels since the 1970s, all things considered. But all things were not considered, so we got coal and oil and bug health costs and big defense costs all paid either on health insurance premiums or taxes, not electric bills or at the gasoline pump. Even PV has externalities (including potentially cadmium runoff from some types of panels, as well as potentially blighting the landscape), although overall they are probably much less than coal and oil, and ideas like "solar roadways" may reduce the blight problem, as well as reduce the need for above ground electrical wires.
    http://www.solarroadways.com/i...
    "The Solar Roadway is a series of structurally-engineered solar panels that are driven upon. The idea is to replace all current petroleum-based asphalt roads, parking lots, and driveways with Solar Road Panels that collect energy to be used by our homes and businesses."

    With the costs of PV solar falling as predicted decades ago, to now reaching "grid parity" in more and more areas, it is rapidly becoming uneconomical to install anything but solar, especially as battery and fuel cell technology continues to improve for energy storage.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G...
    "Predictions from the 2006 time-frame expected retail grid parity for solar in the 2016 to 2020 era, but due to rapid downward pricing changes, more recent calculations have forced dramatic reductions in time scale, and the suggestion that solar has already reached grid parity in a wide variety of locations."

    Hot fusion or cold (LENR) fusion may change that equation. I don't see fission being more cost effective than solar anytime soon though, although maybe factory-made micro reactors (like Hyperion) will prove me wrong on that.

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
  201. Using nuclear waste to protect wildlife by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    Like at Chernobyl, as I suggest here: http://p2pfoundation.net/backu...
    "At SUNY Stony Brook, I knew one grad student who studied wildlife (turtles) in a reservation around a nuclear contaminated area, and while there was more mutations, in general, the wildlife was thriving [because human activities including hunting and habitat destruction were effectively excluded]. ... So, despite the problems, half-seriously, I suggest designating the NY Adirondack Park (where I live) for a nuclear waste disposal of glassified (vitrified) apple-sized lumps of waste. :-) That would be very good for a resurgence of wildlife in the Park. I might move out, but I would know a place I love would be "forever wild" for sure. :-)"

    See also: "Chernobyl Area Becomes Wildlife Haven"
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

    --
    A 21st century issue: the irony of technologies of abundance in the hands of those still thinking in terms of scarcity.
    1. Re:Using nuclear waste to protect wildlife by sjames · · Score: 1

      It is interesting to see how the wildlife has fared in the exclusion zone. Perhaps it is truly fair to say that general human activity is more harmful to nature than nuclear waste.

      I also find it interestiung that there are a few people who never left the exclusion zone. They are still alive and living on food they grow in the zone.

      I wouldn't call radiation healthy, but perhaps we need to review our understanding of the risks.

  202. Your article explains why. $300 sale = $300M liabi by raymorris · · Score: 1

    The article you linked to isn't as clear as it should be, but it does indicate the problem with the law in India. If I manufacture AA batteries, or example, and I sell $300 of batteries that end up at a nuclear power station, I'd be liable for $300,000,000 in case of an accident. Why would anyone take on a $300,000,000 liability to make a $300 sale? It would be kind of dumb to provide any of the odds and ends needed for a nuclear reactor in India, until their law is "tweaked". Suppose you have the contract to mow the grass at the power station. That contract pays $100 / week. If one of your guys bumps into the wrong thing with the mower, you're liable for a nuclear accident. It's not worth it, so nobody would take the lawn contract at a an Indian power plant.

  203. Re:Nuclear? by microbox · · Score: 1

    So I have some serious doubt Germany will ever build another nuclear power plant until "they feel the shit has hit the fan".

    True, but they may be able to figure it out anyway. We are talking about one of the best engineering cultures ever, and a society with great institutions.

    The nuclear crowd like to paint renewables as expensive, but it is a lie. Wind is cheaper than every other source of electricity except natural gas. (Look up levelized cost of energy by source.) Solar is only twice as expensive as nuclear. But the kicker is when you realize that renewables are coming down in price *fast*, and 20 years from now, even solar easily be half the price of the next best technology. Material science really is progressing that fast. Renewables have other advantages, like small capital costs, which make them better investments. The third world is building coal for now, but not too much longer. It is simply economics.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  204. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Virtucon · · Score: 1

    Well you had to live during the whole TMI episode to understand the panic it created. Sadly it was a turning point for nuclear power in this country. After that Jimmy Carter pulled the permits for all proposed nuclear plants and stopped the TVA for example in their tracks on 4 plants that were in progress. He and his buds in congress the bureaucratic nightmare that is now the DOE. That kind of knee-jerk reaction pushed investors away and you have to look around and see that. Until 2013 there has been no ground-breaking on new plants since 1977, the same year as TMI. So if you want to see how one administration can doom an industry in this country, look at TMI and the ripple effects. TMI was minor but the public became afraid and movies like the "The China Syndrome" didn't help either. These plants were built on investments mostly through bonds or by the Federal Government in the case of the TVA and investors want safe returns on their money and because of TMI, nuclear became a pariah in the US. Look at the whole Yucca Mountain situation if you need a refresher course on how jammed up things can become.

    I won't argue that nuclear power is cheaper overall, in most cases it isn't. It is efficient given the size/complexity of the plant and the output it produces. It's cleaner than coal or burning gas on many levels. It is a political football and if you look at the closing of San Onofre you can see that everybody including DC based ass-clowns want to get into the act. I used to surf at San Onofre beach right next to the plant and it was always great because the water was warmer from the cooling water released back into the ocean near offshore. It was fine then, it'd be fine now but politics is politics as they say.

    That's why authoritarian/autocratic societies will be able to expand the use of nuclear power faster than democracies and while we may push for solar nuclear is in the same boat as to why we don't consider large hydro projects either in this country because a) we've pretty much exhausted most of aquifer systems necessary for large scale hydro b) environmental impact studies take decades and we might hurt the fish (see snail darter for a reference) c) tree-hugging morons who are the same idiots against nuclear power. These folks still tool around in pre-1980s VW vans for example and vacation at Burning Man. Sure we can do more wind power but now we kill bald eagles, hawks and other birds so that's bad oh wait, what about more solar? Yeah, with nearly 100% imported technology we give away our engineering skills, money and competitive advantage to nations ultimately selling us out now and for future generations.

    One thing I can agree with with the IPCC is that human activity is fucking up the planet but we live here and in order to live in the confines of our modern society that requires energy. Ultimately energy choices will dictate, as they always have, what nations/regions of the planet will be successful and thrive while others will either wither into pre-industrial decay or keep being places where they mine conflict diamonds and other resources for those successful nations who take an aggressive approach to energy production.

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
  205. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Except when you consider the cost of the peaking sources or energy storage to give you a 99.9999% stable electrical grid.
    If a wind turbine gives you cheap electricity when the wind is blowing, it doesn't make it cheaper than natural gas, because gas will produce when you want it to produce.
    Solar is the same thing.
    Plus you are conveniently disregarding the cost of the real state used to install the solar panels. That's why I like rooftop solar, while I have little respect for those huge desert solar farms.
    We need a solution to make desert land perfectly livable. We need massive scale desalinization of seawater. The only people that can say they have an economical proposal to do that is the LFTR nuclear reactor (using waste heat means it's having zero or a tiny impact on the reactors electricity generation capacity).
    That's why I reject this statement of fact about the cost of solar and wind connected to the grid. Show me a real world system with zero fossil fuel energy sources being used, and then we can make a real world evaluation about the cost of wind and solar instead of a biased one like what you quote.
    This is why we always are locked in this circular debate. Baseload and peaking electricity sources are an essential characteristic of today's grid, and will probably be for another 20 years. Saying baseload is an outdated concept is an extreme exercise in wishful thinking.

  206. Re:Nuclear? by microbox · · Score: 1

    If a wind turbine gives you cheap electricity when the wind is blowing, it doesn't make it cheaper than natural gas, because gas will produce when you want it to produce.

    The levelized cost of energy takes this into account. Read about it. It's very complex. There are grid stability issues, and nuclear must surely be part of a complete zero-carbon energy system.

    --

    Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
  207. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by sjames · · Score: 1

    Oddly enough, because I have 'tree hugging' tendencies, I fully support nuclear power. It's the one tech we have for power that when done right releases no pollutants into the environment and otherwise minimises it's impact. No flooded land and disturbed fish and no chopped eagles.

  208. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

    Well you had to live during the whole TMI episode to understand the panic it created.

    I *was* alive then. And thought the whole business was blown waaaaay out of proportion.

    The panic was induced by the anti-nuke mob that were looking for any excuse they could get to ban nuclear power.

    And thanks to a President that was a complete dolt, they pretty much managed it....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  209. Re:Your article explains why. $300 sale = $300M li by bingoUV · · Score: 1

    Yes, the article is not the best, but this is the one I found in a hurry that deals with the complete issue at once rather than a one day news update at a time. All this transpired over some months so better articles are some 50 in number, each adding a bit to the story so far. But the issue is quite famous.

    And no, you are caricaturing the isssue by your battery example. India is not going to Canadian manufacturer for $300 batteries. The agreements being discussed are for billion dollar deals, over years.

    If someone were saying it is ridiculously easy to not cause an accident at nuclear plants by making a mistake in mowing grass, yet no company is ready to undertake that including the risk even at twice market rates, this is a serious argument against it being ridiculously easy to not cause accident, right?

    And India is ready to limit liability of manufacturer upto purchase price, but manufacturers are STILL not ready. That tells about their confidence in their own technology, doesn't it?

    --
    Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  210. Re:Nuclear is obvious, an energy surplus is desire by Virtucon · · Score: 1

    I *was* alive then.

    Glad your back from the dead then. Was it covered by your Health Insurance?

    --
    Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
  211. no, risking millions to make hundreds is stupid by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > no company is ready to undertake that including the risk even at twice market rates, this is a serious argument against it being ridiculously easy to not cause accident, right?

    Twice market rates would be $200 ($120 profit). Is is smart to risk $200 million in order to make $120? No.

    And, they do need to buy batteries from somewhere, and right now it would be stupid for anyone to sell batteries to them.

    1. Re:no, risking millions to make hundreds is stupid by bingoUV · · Score: 1

      Twice market rates would be $200 ($120 profit). Is is smart to risk $200 million in order to make $120? No.

      Not if odds of losing $200 million in this way is one in a billion.

      And, they do need to buy batteries from somewhere, and right now it would be stupid for anyone to sell batteries to them.

      Ok, telling the second time - they buy batteries but these agreements are NOT about those.

      And of course you conveniently ignored that manufacturers do not even want a liability with an upper bound at the sale price.

      --
      Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  212. France has done really well with nuclear. by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    France has not done well with nuclear power. Sure they get most of their electricity from nuclear power plants, however despite their lead in reprocessing France still has trouble with storage. While reprocessing allows spent fuel to be reused and shortens it's half-life doing so creates toxins and hotter fuel.

    As far as building nuclear power plants go state planners on free market determines what gets built. CATO, that is the institute "dedicated to the principles of individual liberty, limited government, free markets and peace" printed the article "Hooked on Subsidies that was first published in the November 26, 2007 issue of "Forbes". The opening statements is "Why conservatives should join the left’s campaign against nuclear power." Further down it says:
    "How do France (and India, China and Russia) build cost-effective nuclear power plants? They don’t. Governmental officials in those countries, not private investors, decide what is built. Nuclear power appeals to state planners, not market actors."

    Now if private businesses want to build nuclear power plants they should get, and pay for, their own insurance. They would also have to finance the construction, not government. I might even invest in such a company that uses thorium as it's fuel. Provided the finances come out good.

    FalconWolf

  213. Re:Nuclear? by falconwolf · · Score: 1

    At this point Greenpeace is as stuck in its position of advocating against Nuclear Energy as the NRA is against gun control, and they are both looking like obstacles to any positive change in the status quo

    I oppose taxpayers paying for nuclear power. Actually I advocate eliminating all subsidies. And don't think energy companies aren't subsidized. Allocation of subsidies in the United States lists some subsidies different energy producers received between 1950 and 2010. Nuclear power received $73 billion in federal subsidies. "BusinessWeek" has the article When It Comes to Government Subsidies, Dirty Energy Still Cleans Up date 21 October 2012..

    I also support the NRA and their stance on gun controls. The only effective gun control is when the shooter hits what they aim at. And if they hit someone they should pay for it. I find it ironic the first "environmentalists", those who cared for the environment, were conservationists and hunters. Now how can hunters be environmentalists? They kill wildlife. Guess what, they also want the environment that that wildlife lives in to be clean and not polluted. Teddy Roosevelt was an avid hunter who as president created the National Park Service. He wanted to preserve wild lands for hunting among other reasons. Many hunters supported this too.

    FalconWolf

  214. and they want Jessica Biel wearing whipped cream by raymorris · · Score: 1

    > of course you conveniently ignored that manufacturers do not even want a liability with an upper bound at the sale price.

    Of course they WANT no liability. They WANT Jessica Biel, wearing nothing but whipped cream, too. Neither of those is reality, so I don't know how that's relevant.

    Yrs, under current law in India, anyone providing any products or services to a can be held liable. Anyone includesanyone who sells them batteries for their smoke detector. If something scary were to happen, the lawyers may well sue everyone and see what sticks. It's clear you don't run a business. The most worrisome thing isn't that you actually screw up and ARE liable. Most if the cost is that someone sues you and you have to spend millions s prove that you aren't liable, then hope that the jury doesn't decide "someone needs to pay".

  215. Apply critical thinking instead of changing topic by dbIII · · Score: 1

    What a disgusting little weasel you are. When your made up "facts" failed to impress you've made an empty appeal to authority about a completely different topic. Please use that education and life experience instead of acting like a teenage school debate club member.

  216. Re:and they want Jessica Biel wearing whipped crea by bingoUV · · Score: 1

    Every sentence in your post about Indian law and business environment is false. Most verifiable by 15 second Google search, some run deeper - might take 10 minutes.

    --
    Bingo Dictionary - Pragmatist, n. A myopic idealist.
  217. Re:Apply critical thinking instead of changing top by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Honestly, I'm not paid to post here. This helps me think, blow steam. Like J.K.Rowling once said, if I stop writing, I'll go insane.
    Plus this goes around in circles anyways. It's not like this will be the ultimate argument that will settle this subject forever.
    I have already explained all my opinions on this subject. You don't need further answers from me.
    I know I can't silence anybody with an opinion, I'm not looking to a formal I give up.
    Bottom line is while Solar and Wind work just fine for small scale projects (compared to retail electricity prices), I'm still unconvinced about solar PV and wind turbines on a utility scale until I see a real world example for a half a million or larger isolated grid running on such sources. Every assertion that I'm not thinking, and that perhaps with more thinking I would see the light, no, I'm not going to think further, I'm waiting for a real world proof that it works until I believe. Then we can sort out the economics in a real world system. Until then, I believe in baseload and peaking sources. I believe that in solar+wind could scale up to 20% of total grid generation (with lots of load following like hydro, biomass and natural gas), but I'm convinced a grid 50% wind+solar will be seriously unstable with current tech.
    My opinion is we desperately need to loose the anti nuclear attitude. If nuclear were that risky, I'm sure we would see hundreds of former nuclear workers with cancers, showing symptoms of radiation sickness and other serious bad stuff. Instead what I see is lots of conjecture based on FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt). Green Peace has a US$ 200 million / yr budget. They have the money to do some serious studies and publish them. But I'm fully convinced those on the anti nuclear side are locked in a view that nuclear can't possibly be good, that their job isn't to sort out the truth, instead their job is to throw as much dirt as possible on the subject (exact definition of FUD). And I'm pissed that how ridiculous it has become. Since Three Mile Island we see a pattern of extreme dire predictions that are always off by a factor of 200 to 10000 in level of exaggeration and they never seem to learn. So, yeah, that's my agenda. I'm like youtube thunderf00t, I'm in it so cleanup the BS. I'm pro nuclear because I think we are killing the goose that is laying golden eggs every day. Until I see the likes of you starting a nuclear discussion agreeing that Chernobyl didn't kill one million or even 200 thousand people like predicted, but about 6000. Until you agree that the prediction that the Pacific is lost is totally bonkers. Like some guy measuring naturally occurring uranium / thorium radiation in a California beach as proof Fukushima radiation has poisoned his beloved beach. Or just cause some fish has measured borderline radiation levels over recommended maximums means eating that fish would be even a minimal radiation risk. Those levels are set because we can't experiment on people to find out what are the real risks, so they are utterly conservative. Or the fact that right now, the radiation exposure at the areas evacuated present a lower risk to life than living in downtown Tokyo, but Tokyo isn't being evacuated, while the Fukushima evacuation is still in place. Or that the health hazard of having a smoking parent is like an order of magnitude higher risk of cancer than living less than a mile from the Fukushima Daichi.
    Unless you can agree to those logical pieces of data, don't see much of a point in arguing anything else.
    Bye bye.

  218. Re:Apply critical thinking instead of changing top by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Honestly, I'm not paid to post here

    I never suggested that. However in hindsight you are acting as if you were so I can understand now why you decided you needed to point out that you are recycling silly propaganda for free.
    You have stated that you are no longer a child. I suggest acting accordingly and lay off the stupid lies or you will get people taking you to task for such stupid lies.

  219. Re:Apply critical thinking instead of changing top by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Oh yeah, if anybody is pro nuclear must be either misguided or a paid propagandist.

    While the anti nuclear folks predicts a massive catastrophe after each nuclear accident and are shown to be exaggerating the effects by an order of 1000 in average.
    Any presence of radioactivity anywhere is a sure sign of cancers, they don't prove those cancers are happening, content with throwing mud at nuclear. Raising doubt is enough. Come to think of it, those anti nuclear really sound like the paid ones, because they are shown to be radically alarmists all the time.

    I'm not a fan of current pressurized water+solid fuel reactors but they are the only solution we know for sure we can solve climate change with total certainty. A paid nuclear propagandist would say LWR reactors are the eight wonder of the world. I want reactors that can't suffer accidents because they are fully passively safe instead of safe through a dozen active safety systems. I have debated this with lots of nuclear technologists that feel that LWR reactors are just fine, thank you.

    So I love molten salt reactors because all technical materials about them show me they are truly walk away safe. They aren't pressure cookers trying to throw radiation into the atmosphere. Favorite design is a Fluoride (Lithium and Berrilyum) design. Actually inside the reactor everything is a Fluoride (Uranium, Thorium, Plutonium, Caesium, ...). All of those nuclear atoms and fission products fluorides are solids or dense liquids even at modestly high temps, so they don't want to go into the atmosphere. It changes the whole ballgame.

    I'm 41 BTW. My core area of expertise is IT and Telecom, but I would call myself a scientist of everything I work at, since I'm always trying to expand the proverbial box substantially all the time. I question everything. But above all, I have a huge problem with the lack of honesty of those with an anti nuclear stance. I'm also a private pilot, and I see all the time the sensationalism thrown at each aircraft accident, and all the BS invented by the media for maximum sensationalism. Nuclear gets the same badgering, but its worse, cause we have even less nuclear accidents than aircraft ones.

  220. Re:Apply critical thinking instead of changing top by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Oh yeah, if anybody is pro nuclear must be either misguided or a paid propagandist

    I didn't say anything about nuclear one way or another which is why I'm calling your distraction and accusations childish.

    but I would call myself a scientist

    Oh FFS. Act your age.

  221. Re:Nuclear? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

    I don't recall the Koch brothers saying I had to reduce my energy usage and carbon footprint, while sitting in a house that drew the power of 20+ families

  222. Re:Nuclear? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

    pure bullshit

    his 300 employees (at the time) were in 40 field offices

    the reality is he pushes scams to increase the value of his "green" portfolio, while living hedonist lifestyle in that mansion that takes power of 20+ families, all the whle telling us to decrease our standard of living and energy consumption. hypocrite of the vilest sort.

  223. Re:Nuclear? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    while living hedonist lifestyle

    Haha Wingnut!!! Good luck deluded boy.

  224. Re:Nuclear? by jwhitener · · Score: 1

    I like nuclear power, but the grid can be stable with mostly renewables. I don't know about Germany's plans in details, but if they didn't include energy storage (pumped hydro, batteries, etc..) as part of the plan, of course they would hit a wall with how much sun/wind they can use at any particular time.

    Get a grip. Without nuclear, there's no hope to solve climate change

    Very true, if we do not invest in any energy storage.

  225. Re:Nuclear? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    The Germany plan includes two ways to preserve electricity when they over produce and retrieve it when they have a shortfall:
    1 - It does include LOTS of pumped hydro, but the total of Germany's pumped hydro capacity is insufficient to store all overproduction
    2 - Exporting electricity to its neighbors (at a lower price) and buying it back when there is a shortfall (at a higher price), but since that electricity is mostly nuclear and fossil, it represents an on demand peaking source
    Now they are shifting to investing on battery based electricity storage solutions (far more expensive than pumped hydro), specially having citizens owning large PV installations storing electricity themselves, such that they can limit selling overproduction during sunny summer days and use that overproduction in the night, and can buy off peak electricity in winter nights after peak hours are gone and consume it during the day (in the peak of winter PV systems produce less than 1/10th of summertime peak production, so they are close to useless in the winter).
    Funny thing is pumped hydro works much better with nuclear, since nuclear can produce 24x7 at 100% power (except for refuelling and maintenance outtages both planned), such that pumped hydro can be cycled almost fully on a daily basis, while energy storage capacity needs to be maintained for any periods when the wind underproduces for a few hours any time in the winter or in summer nights.
    That's the advantage of having a fully predictable electricity source (nuclear) versus a intermittent electricity source (solar is mostly predictable, while wind isn't very much predictable).

  226. Re:Nuclear? by rubycodez · · Score: 1

    the way Gore lives is as a wealthy man, the 1%. He is the wingnut, asking us to sacrifice the benefits of our energy-driven civilization to live like peasants.