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Russian RD-180 Embargo Could Boost American Rocket Industry

MarkWhittington (1084047) writes According to a Saturday story in the Los Angeles Times, the recent revival of tensions between the United States and Russia, not seen since the end of the Cold War, may provide a shot in the arm for the American rocket engine industry. Due in part in retaliation for economic sanctions that were enacted in response to Russian aggression in the Ukraine, Russia announced that it would no longer sell its own RD-180 rocket engines for American military launches. This has had American aerospace experts scrambling to find a replacement. The stakes for weaning American rockets off of dependency on Russian engines could not be starker, according to Space News. If the United States actually loses the RD-180, the Atlas V would be temporarily grounded, as many as 31 missions could be delayed, costing the United States as much as $5 billion. However SpaceX, whose Falcon family of launch vehicles has a made in the USA rocket engine, could benefit tremendously if the U.S. military switches its business from ULA while it refurbishes its own launch vehicles with new American made engines.

179 comments

  1. thankX by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    SpaceX and the American people thank you, Mr Putin.

    1. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The stakes are stark, and Elon Musk is Iron Man.

    2. Re:thankX by Teancum · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Name the mission that "goes up in flames" with the engine, then you can complain. Lockheed-Martin had engines made by American companies and even told Congress that even the Russian engines they purchased could be made in America (as recently as February when they made that pronouncement again under oath at a congressional hearing). This whole thing is a problem of their own making, and I hardly loose sleep or cry that they made themselves so vulnerable because of foreign outsourcing of their product line. All in the name of trying to make a buck or two extra.

    3. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Name the mission that "goes up in flames" with the engine, then you can complain. Lockheed-Martin had engines made by American companies and even told Congress that even the Russian engines they purchased could be made in America (as recently as February when they made that pronouncement again under oath at a congressional hearing). This whole thing is a problem of their own making, and I hardly loose sleep or cry that they made themselves so vulnerable because of foreign outsourcing of their product line. All in the name of trying to make a buck or two extra.

      Russian engines are reliable. American made ones who knows ?
      Copying is easy, making sure the copy is as reliable as the original is a whole other game.

    4. Re:thankX by LifesABeach · · Score: 2

      It is nice to see businesses in america not out sourcing, as much, to those that have nothing vested in the community that the product is made for.

    5. Re:thankX by PPH · · Score: 2

      Sure, until the first American made rocket engine goes up in flames

      If ULA's engines fail, SpaceX had better run and hide. Congress/NASA/Pentagon will find a way to force ownership of SpaceX into the hands of Boeing and Lockheed. Priority #1 is to keep profits flowing to those two. Not to actually launch stuff.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    6. Re: thankX by beltsbear · · Score: 3, Informative

      Care to back that up with anything? The last engine test that blew up was a Russian one for a Antares rocket. The last rocket to fail with payload was a Russian proton.

      Soyuz and space shuttle are almost identical for loss of crew rates. Russian rockets are not more reliable.

    7. Re: thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since the americans don't have rockets any more it's no wonder they never fail.

    8. Re:thankX by buybuydandavis · · Score: 2, Funny

      The US should know better than to rely on that KGB goon for anything, particularly military hardware.

      He'll cut off gas to countries - you think he won't cut off rockets?

      It's simply bad business to rely on a supplier who is going to jerk you around like that, and worse defense policy to rely on an unstable enemy.

    9. Re: thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FWIW, the engine that blew up had been sitting in storage for ~40 years and may have had age-related problems (like the failure in 2011) that were not caught during refurbishment.

      The Proton-M failure wasn't due to the engines; it was a sensor that was installed backwards.

    10. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you do with your sleep once you've let it loose?

    11. Re:thankX by Dahamma · · Score: 1

      Yeah, totally. America has never had much luck with its space program!

    12. Re: thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Proton-M failure wasn't due to the engines; it was a sensor that was installed backwards.

      Snort, if the russians don't have the expertise to install their sensors correctly anymore what makes you think that any engines they produce recently will be any better? ULA had better start up domestic production if they want to use the RD once the stored engines run out.

    13. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is it comfortable sitting with Putin's cock up your ass?

    14. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It beats dealing with the airline companies...

    15. Re:thankX by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you look at the raw numbers (total number of launchers vs failures), the most reliable engines today are actually Chinese, with American next, and then Russian.

    16. Re: thankX by beltsbear · · Score: 1, Informative

      Just to underscore how unreliable the Proton is you are referring to not even the latest failure, that was the 2013 failure. Just last month ANOTHER failed. Russian rockets are not super reliable.

    17. Re: thankX by beltsbear · · Score: 1

      Except the Atlas, Falcon, Anartes all having good reliable launches.

    18. Re: thankX by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      Problem is that the Soyuz hasn't had any loss of crew since 1971! I'd call that a lot more reliable than the space shuttle. And 5 times more NASA astronauts have died in space-related accidents than Russian/Soviet kosmonauts.

      --
      This is blinging
    19. Re: thankX by TangoMargarine · · Score: 1

      I would assume they probably have upwards of a thousand little fiddly bits like sensors in each rocket...in which case, installing a single one wrong seems to be pretty damn good. Well, other than the fact that it caused the whole rocket to fail, I mean...

      --
      Unity? Screw that: XFCE. Slashdot Beta? Screw that: SoylentNews. Australis? Screw that: Pale Moon. UX developers DIAF
    20. Re: thankX by TangoMargarine · · Score: 1

      To be fair, 2 each of Soyuz and shuttle missions have ended up killing their crewmembers. That NASA had 7 crewmembers on each of those flights vs. 3 and 1 on the Soyuz flights just means that the U.S. gambled more astronauts on each roll of the dice, not that they're less reliable statistically.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D...

      --
      Unity? Screw that: XFCE. Slashdot Beta? Screw that: SoylentNews. Australis? Screw that: Pale Moon. UX developers DIAF
    21. Re: thankX by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Not really. The GOP are still working to kill private space esp spaceX. Look at the recent push by Shelby for ghoulish documentation, even though the idea of a service is to simply buy it. Oddly, Putin is thankful that the GOP are pretty much traitors who would rather send .5-2B /year to Putin for the next 6 years, rather than spend .5-1b total getting private space going

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    22. Re: thankX by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      U mean delta, not atlas. The entire first stage is foreign made. And osc really made nothing of Antares. Heck, they do not make even the tanks.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    23. Re: thankX by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Not even close. Chinese have regular failures. Heck, they lose one every year or two.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    24. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ukraine owes about $2bn for past gas deliveries. Russia is talking about switching to pre-pay scheme.
      I you know any supplier, who is not going to "jerk you like that" and still in business, please let me know.

    25. Re:thankX by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      SpaceX and the American people thank you, Mr Putin.

      In the same light, the financial embargo against Iran is helping Iran to do what it could not do in regular circumstances. It will have the bomb, and industry to not require European, American or other foreign products.

      Embargos force governments to "roll their own".

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    26. Re:thankX by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      NASA and pentagon WANT multiple companies. And it is on the GOP that are striving to kill off competition in private space.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    27. Re:thankX by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Spoken by the idiot that pushes to have ULA everywhere. I am guessing that you are one of those conservatives that prefer to continue sending billions to putin rather than help American businesses.
      You traitors need to get big business and Putin's cock out of your mouth.

    28. Re:thankX by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      That only works if you have the technology and know-how.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    29. Re:thankX by PPH · · Score: 1

      NASA and the Pentagon are merely the customers. Congress doesn't give a flying F what they want.

      And it is on the GOP that are striving to kill off competition

      This.

      More accurately to make sure that their buddies get a piece of the action. Or, 'A piece of da' action, see? Dat's a nice little rocket company ya' got dere, Musk. Shame if sometin' happened to it.'

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    30. Re:thankX by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      The Russians keep jacking up the price. Then surprise surprise the Ukrainians don't want to pay.

  2. Hooray for the private sector, I guess by pushing-robot · · Score: 1

    Corporations — Less pissy than governments, since 1347.

    --
    How can I believe you when you tell me what I don't want to hear?
    1. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Kensai7 · · Score: 1

      What happened in 1347? :p

      --
      "Sum Ergo Cogito"
    2. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Trepidity · · Score: 1

      In the defense sector, corporations are more or less proxies of governments. American corporations won't go against U.S. government policy, of course, but other countries' corporations might. American defense corporations don't defy the American government, Russian ones don't defy the Russian government, Swedish ones don't defy the Swedish government, French ones don't defy the French government, etc.

    3. Re: Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The black death. I sense a great sci fi movie plot...

    4. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

      American corporations won't go against U.S. government policy

      Corporations buy government policy, in the U.S. and elsewhere.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by mmell · · Score: 1, Insightful
      Hey - I'll have you know we have the best government money can buy!

      Yes, I know - hackneyed and trite. Still true.

    6. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      In the defense sector, corporations are more or less proxies of governments. American corporations won't go against U.S. government policy, of course, but other countries' corporations might. American defense corporations don't defy the American government, Russian ones don't defy the Russian government, Swedish ones don't defy the Swedish government, French ones don't defy the French government, etc.

      In America, the American government doesn't defy the corporations; they go along, generally speaking--what's good for GM is good for the country--MI complex notwithstanding. Kapeesh?!

    7. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Ah no. At best, they lease it. Of all people you should realize the impermanence of ownership.

      As as aside, it should be pointed out that the Russia isn't the only country that makes rocket engines. Arianespace has some perfectly cromulent launch systems available for hire. Bulk discounts likely available. The advantage for them is that they are quite further along with the systems integration than SpaceX.

      However, it may be even less politically palatable to be beholden to the .... French .... for space access.

      'Now go away, or I shall taunt you a second time.'

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    8. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      However, it may be even less politically palatable to be beholden to the .... French .... for space access.

      Oh yeah, one whiff of that in the press and the american space market is a sure thing. Not french rockets, freedom rockets! MURICA!

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by SQL+Error · · Score: 4, Informative

      The charter for Stora, a Swedish mining company, was granted in 1347. It's probably the oldest limited-liability corporation in the world. Yes, it's still around today.

    10. Re: Hooray for the private sector, I guess by LifesABeach · · Score: 2

      Caused by merchants bringing infested vermin to a trusting customer?

    11. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      American corporations won't go against U.S. government policy

      US Govt Policy is whatever the companies paying the campaign contributors want it to be.

      Of course they wont go against it. They thought it was a good idea when they came up with it!

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    12. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by lgw · · Score: 3, Funny

      Ha ha. How ribald! Your mockery of America is quite original and unexpected. Why, you must be quite the intelligent fellow with such novel wit.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    13. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by sjames · · Score: 1

      Nah, they're just as pissy, they just have smaller bladders.

    14. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only reason Ariane exists is to subsidise France's SLBM arsenal.
      The USA wouldn't give them the massive discount on Trident that the UK enjoyed, so they had to go it alone.

    15. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Nidi62 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Shame it's not in the US. Then it would hold the world record for oldest person in the world as well.

      --
      The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    16. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      you're funny, some of those corporations, the banking cartel, have had government in their pockets since about that time

    17. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      U mad bro?

    18. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      You know why I'm sad that there isn't a god?

      Because if there were, homophobic cowards would be able to feel good about themselves, since YHWH justifies both cowardice and homophobia?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    19. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And yet, the GOP is working hard to kill off private space, at the behest of larger corporations (i.e. Boeing, L-Mart, and ULA).

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    20. Re:Hooray for the private sector, I guess by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but elsewhere, it is called bribery and fascism. Here in the USA, we call it CONgress operating under Karl Rove's rules.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  3. "Costing"? by wisnoskij · · Score: 2

    "Atlas V would be temporarily grounded, as many as 31 missions could be delayed"

    It sounds like it should save the government money.

    --
    Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    1. Re:"Costing"? by mmell · · Score: 2
      No, it's we taxpayers footing the bill. Any deviation from original plans will cost more. It's another opportunity for corporations to participate in the feeding frenzy.

      Pretty lousy, eh chum?

    2. Re:"Costing"? by phayes · · Score: 2

      No, it would cost ULA money as their contract states that the launches will be performed on Atlas or Delta but Atlas (with the outsourced russian engines) costs less.

      ULA could launch on Delta (reserving the launches that NEED to be on Atlas for that launcher) but ULA would have to eat the difference. Very unpalatable for ULA that...

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    3. Re:"Costing"? by beltsbear · · Score: 1

      And if the government got over it's SpaceX fear, it could launch many of them on the Falcon 9 for much less money.

  4. Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    I love how the writer of the article tries to bend the story as if the russians were somehow bad for not selling military equipment to a country that turned on them.

    I know it's standard american hipocrisy, but I still find it disgusting how always americans always pretend to be blind to the reasons for which they are hated, and only see the hate and point at it.

    Come to think of it... I seem to remember there is a group of people who always did that... who were they?

    1. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1
      Oh yeah...

      Due in part in retaliation for economic sanctions that were enacted in parallel to the NATO expansion to the Ukraine, Russia announced that it would no longer sell its own RD-180 rocket engines for American military launches.

      FTFY, just so you kids get some context.

    2. Re:Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Oh yeah...

      Due in part in retaliation for economic sanctions that were enacted in parallel to the NATO expansion to the Ukraine, Russia announced that it would no longer sell its own RD-180 rocket engines for American military launches.

      FTFY, just so you kids get some context.

      That is a quite contorted spin on events. You seem to hold an underlying premise that the Ukraine is a client state of Moscow and does not have the right to voluntarily establish economic relations with the EU nor military relations with NATO. And that Moscow is justified for invading and meddling in Ukrainian internal affairs when the Ukrainians decide Moscow is perhaps not their best option as a partner or friend.

      And you take things further with an outright lie. Sanctions followed the Russian invasion of the Ukraine, no sanctions existed as the Ukraine was seeking to improve its relationship with the west, there was no "parallel to".

    3. Re:Yawn by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah...

              Due in part in retaliation for economic sanctions that were enacted in parallel to the NATO expansion to the Ukraine due to Russia invading Crimea under a flimsy legal pretense to secure their black sea port, Russia announced that it would no longer sell its own RD-180 rocket engines for American military launches.

      Added just a little more context.

      I'm sure we could do this all day-- the russian entanglement goes back to 1783 when Catherine the Great defeated the existing Khanate in power since 1449.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    4. Re:Yawn by ericloewe · · Score: 0

      If I wanted Russian propaganda, I'd watch RT.

    5. Re:Yawn by the+gnat · · Score: 3, Informative

      NATO expansion to the Ukraine

      NATO never expanded to the Ukraine. Their government asked to join in 2008 but was turned down; it's never been seriously considered since then. Perhaps you're confusing NATO, a US-dominated military alliance, with the European Union, which has nothing to do with the US (militarily or otherwise). It's the kind of distinction I can imagine the Russia Today writers glossing over, but these things do actually matter in the real world.

    6. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      NATO expanding means NATO troops/infrastructure there. You're thinking just the obvious, but that's what CNN/BBC writers like glossing over, yadda yadda yadda.

    7. Re:Yawn by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You colours are shining through. If you're going to be a long term about it, don't be an asshole and cherrypick - go all the way back to Kiovan Rus, and then to the history of said Khanate, which was basically about Tatar conquerors being dumped by retreating Mongols of Mongol-Tatar yoke and some of them saw Ottomans raping and slaving Slavic nations of the Northern Black Sea, so they moved there to help.

      Defeat of Ottomans was a combined effort that galvanised Russian-Ukrainian alliance back then.

    8. Re:Yawn by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Just a note. People of Ukraine call it Ukraine. It is only Russians that call it The Ukraine.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    9. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      Even if that is true (though arguably wrong - you know, there was an election) at least it's not a "flimsy legal pretense" to secure oil reserves (and other geo-political/economical interests) in countries without any substantial population of the actor (like Iraq, Sudan, I'm sure we could do this all day and night...).

    10. Re:Yawn by fnj · · Score: 0

      On which grounds do you refuse the right of the residents to decide who they want to belong to again?

      I suspect GP realizes on some level that there are no conceivable moral grounds for such refusal, any more than there were grounds for the Union, headed by the tyrant Abraham Lincoln, engaging in murder and mayhem to prevent the self-determination of Virginia and the Confederacy.

      But then again, Ukraine and Russia are both similarly at fault, although at least there has been very little bloodshed to date in the current affair, when compared for example to the War of Northern Aggression.

    11. Re:Yawn by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      NATO expanding means NATO troops/infrastructure there. You're thinking just the obvious, but that's what CNN/BBC writers like glossing over, yadda yadda yadda.

      According to a Russian news agency, this is not happening either: "NATO has no plans to deploy troops on the territory of Ukraine". This was one of the first links that came up when I Googled for "nato troops ukraine".

    12. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      "NATO has no plans to deploy troops on the territory of Ukraine"

      And there are WMDs in Iraq and no one's planning an invasion there. Sure think, Chekov!

    13. Re:Yawn by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      always pretend to be blind to the reasons for which they are hated, and only see the hate and point at it. Come to think of it... I seem to remember there is a group of people who always did that... who were they?

      Russians?

    14. Re:Yawn by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      And there are WMDs in Iraq and no one's planning an invasion there. Sure think, Chekov!

      Iraq is a good point of comparison: the US perceived a security threat where none existed - or at least not enough of one to be worth thousands of lives and trillions of dollars - and rushed to invade in the face of international condemnation, while making absurd claims about "liberating" the Iraqi people. We are still dealing with the fallout from that disaster, obviously. Putin has now invaded a sovereign nation under similar delusions and/or pretenses, and I can only hope that fewer people die in the process. Unlike the US, however, he actually annexed the territory. (Although it already worked once in Georgia, so perhaps he was encouraged by that precedent.)

    15. Re:Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so where are these NATO troops then?

    16. Re:Yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      ->I'm also unaware of any historical precedents about an invasion happening without the deaths of large amounts (i.e. measured at least in percent) of local (!!) population. Perhaps you would like to point one out?
      Oh, and while we're at it, didn't you just mention "voluntarily" in your previous paragraph? On which grounds do you refuse the right of the residents to decide who they want to belong to again?

      "Voluntarily"? Lets look at few facts, and then smart people can make their own conclusions:

      1. In Crimea the Pro-Russian party on the last elections in 2012 took ... 4!!!!% of votes. BTW the same party came to power with Russian military and "asked" Putin to take Crimea into Russia.

      2. During the last sociological survey also in 2012, only 41% of people of Crimea wanted into Russia (only 10% of those apparently really wanted bad enough to vote for Pro-Russian party). Now how much was the "Referendum"? 96.36% was it? Find me with a single sociological survey with that amount of consensus, any one please: It is good to smoke? It is good to Drink Alcohol? Do you believe in God? Do you like candies? any survey please...

      3. In case you didn't know it is a prison term in Ukraine (as probably most of the other countries in the world) to:
      a) remove national symbols like flags from government buildings (not to mentioning placing Russian ones in their place);
      b) encroach on territory of Ukraine (separatists);
      c) attack or fuel racial or religion differences of people of Ukraine (Russian TV propaganda and pro-Russian activists);

      4. Didn't Russian troops come to Crimea to "save" the Russians from banderol-fascists of Ukraine, why did they have to save them if no one died or was attacked?

      5. Most of Ukrainian military in Donetsk and Lugansk still do not have a bulletproof vests even few months after the previous president was ousted. Do you really think they wanted to start fighting with 15k+ of fully armed and ready Russian troops in Crimea, if you watched Ukrainian TV at the time, you would know that government was doing everything in their power to avoid any possible conflicts and deaths in Crimea, so don't go around speaking as if there were no conflicts because 96% of people supported Russians.
      There you can compare Ukrainian military with Russian in Crimea as the proof:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tA3R48lx_Yk

      6. Its funny how Russians often speak about freedom of speech and freedom of people to decide what they want, considering that in Russia you get into prison and get a pretty big fine (for Russians) if you go to any, especially non government allowed, antigovernment protest.

      7. So what you are saying is that it is fine for say China (sorry Chinese people) to migrate a few hundred thousand, or even millions of its people into neighbor regions of neighbor countries, and then annex those territories because majority of the populace are Chinese? Then do the same again, and again, and again... Did you hear that Chinese government, get to it NOW!
      If someone wants to live in another country, they sell all their property and move to the said country and buy a house there. Not storm a government building, change flag and scream that it belongs now to the other country.

    17. Re:Yawn by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      So what you are saying is that it is fine for say China (sorry Chinese people) to migrate a few hundred thousand, or even millions of its people into neighbor regions of neighbor countries, and then annex those territories because majority of the populace are Chinese? Then do the same again, and again, and again... Did you hear that Chinese government, get to it NOW!

      Well, I can think of another country that famously does this, but I don't want to stir up that shit-storm...

      But your description isn't too terribly different from the CCP's actual policy in Tibet and Xinjiang, which has been to move large numbers of Han Chinese (which historically were not present in either province in large numbers, aside from relatively small occupying forces), and then use their presence as one of many justifications for denying self-determination to the Tibetans and Uighers. (It also encourages a sense of ownership among the remainder of Chinese who don't live their, but whose nationalism is an important factor in the survival of the CCP.) But neither China nor Russia has ever been shy about claiming the territory of other ethnic groups as "theirs", which is one reason why so many former Warsaw Pact nations have joined NATO (as Georgia and Ukraine wished to at one point). Not that this makes them unique among nations, of course.

    18. Re:Yawn by kwbauer · · Score: 1

      A few months back I was watching a documentary where a bunch of Ukrainians were also calling it "the Ukraine".

    19. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      It's "the Ukraine," simply, because it means "the edge", so call it what you want, I'll stick to what I know.

    20. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      ad 1, possibly. So? (see next point.)

      ad 2, the point is that once people started realizing that the newly formed "government" is going to abolish Russian as a language and treat the majority of the people of Crimea as if they were a small minority, the sentiments changed abruptly.

      ad 3, a,b: what's your point again?
      ad 3 c: Yes, see point 2. The putschist government did exactly that acting illegal and without consent of the people.

      ad 4: First, it's Bandera, not banderol. Second, they came to secure their assets and were allowed to do so (i.e. perimeter around their bases and up to 20k soldiers).

      ad 5: They do have bulletproof vests, sponsored by EU & US; I don't watch Ukrainian TV, I get my information from the ground; please explain, why so many military units defected. Lugansk and Donetsk are not Crimea.

      ad 6: It's just pointing out the hypocrisy of the EU, US and new "government". What Russians do in their own country is their business.

      ad 7: It's fine, if they did it 200+ years ago. Why do people keep forgetting that Crimea used to be a part of Russia? Seems convenient.

    21. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      I dunno, I feel uncomfortable with the whole "invasion" term.
      Difficult to put it in US terms, but imagine, if the Canadian government would decide to revoke the official status of the French language (or the other way around); I guess they'd be pretty fucking pissed as well.
      Georgia is a whole different story altogether: South Ossetia "declared independence from Georgia in 1990" and Apsny/Abhazia is similar.
      The point is that if an ethnic majority of a region wants independence, they should be able to attain it, isn't that what democracy is all about? The right to self-determination? It makes little difference anyway, because eventually we will all be globalized (economically and politically) or perish.

    22. Re:Yawn by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Come on man, the data was already cherry picked.

      And I mentioned the khanate already and the fact we could keep iterating this. I think you are reaching on this one.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    23. Re:Yawn by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      If we allow that kind of election to stand, then there is no country on earth which couldn't be legally nibbled away from the edges. It showed a complete disrespect for international laws regarding sovereign boundaries.

      Besides it was a sham "heads I win, tails you lose" election in terms of what you could vote for.

      The ballot questions were :
      According to a format of the ballot paper, published on the parliament's website, the first question will ask: "Are you in favour of the reunification of Crimea with Russia as a part of the Russian Federation?"

      The second asks: "Are you in favour of restoring the 1992 Constitution and the status of Crimea as a part of Ukraine?"

      I.e. " Do you want to be part of russia, or not part of Ukraine".

      And the icing on the cake was of course plainclothes russian soldiers on the street beating non russian looking voters, and despite voters intimidated and staying home areas reported up to 123% voting records and allowing people with russian passports to vote.

      ---

      Now if you want to talk oil wars- I'm all over it with you. What bush did was shocking and in my opinion was in part to "out do" his hold man who had the wisdom to stop. It also cost close to 2 trillion dollars which *should* be reflected in the price of oil but isn't so it acts as a "subsidy" to big oil to suppress alternative energy. But two wrong's don't make a right.

      I'm not a jingoist. America (and any major power) is going to have black marks on it's record.

      Taken on it's own- as a grab for a black sea port, the move is a black mark. I'm more worried about the internal politics of russia. They are jailing those who dissent and are building themselves a very nice echo chamber. If they keep this up, combined with rising nationalism, they are going to keep going until they start world war 3. Fortunately, russia's weak economy and fleeing capital from their militarism seems to be reigning them in for now.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    24. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      I.e. " Do you want to be part of russia, or not part of Ukraine".

      Huh? The 1992 constitution of Crimea sees it as an autonomous republic of Ukraine. Maybe You, I or both of us are misunderstanding something here.

      Regarding the Russian passports, I guess it has something to do with dual citizenships, i.e.:

      [...] if [a Ukrainian] citizen acquired citizenship of (was naturalized by) another country, then in legal relations with Ukraine, the person is recognized as a citizen of Ukraine only. Thus, presently, according to the legislation of Ukraine dual citizenship is not prohibited, but also is not recognized [...]

      It's also pretty much plausible and conceivable that the passport was used only for ID purposes and they had lists of eligible voters beforehand (at least that's the way it works in Germany: you just have to present a valid ID and be on the list).

      And, re: "beating non russian looking voters", regardless of whether it actually happened (source?), there were not too many of those:

      where they now form ~ 12% minority

      (Crimean Tatars & ethnic groups in Crimea).

      I'm not a jingoist. America (and any major power) is going to have black marks on it's record.

      Agreed.
      What I'm really trying to achieve here, is to cut through the thick fog of propaganda (from all sides) and get at the core of the issue (i.e. discrimination of a large part of the population by a (then) unelected government).
      If I put myself in their shoes, I can totally understand the wish to distance themselves from a seemingly oppressive regime (not everyone welcomes their new overlords as we do here on /.), and being a semi-autonomous region (e.g. unlike Kosovo), they made use of their right to do so.

      In addition, there were international observers present during the referendum.
      And, as a last one, (internal Russian politics notwithstanding,) this is long but raises some interesting points: http://original.antiwar.com/ju...

    25. Re:Yawn by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Source for the beating and for allowing people with russian passports to vote was the huffington post. The article says one of their reporters (who didn't have dual citizenship) was allowed to vote.

      It's often derided as a "liberal" source.

      The article explained that the "1992 constitution phrase" was actually a "gotcha" phrase that was inserted intentionally. Otherwise it would have simply said, "Vote B to remain a part of Ukraine".

      Sort of like when you vote for "bonds to provide free buses" without realizing that bonds *require* taxes. So when you vote for bonds, you are actually voting for taxes.

      The propaganda is a problem. It's pretty think here. I really don't see America as warmongering right now tho and I'm concerned that Russia is turning nationalistic in a way that's really dangerous.

      Not that I can do anything about it except yammer on message boards.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    26. Re:Yawn by qpqp · · Score: 1

      Otherwise it would have simply said, "Vote B to remain a part of Ukraine".

      Well, that's what it meant, except with more autonomy (e.g. with the ability to keep Russian as an official language inside Crimea).
      Huffington Post has a pretty one-sided narrative of the events from what I've read in recent months. They also miss a lot of information.

      Not that I can do anything about it except yammer on message boards.

      Dito... :-/

  5. Are you actually telling me? by wisnoskij · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That the official operating procedure for the biggest military on Earth, many times over, is to buy mission critical equipment from anywhere that will sell it the cheapest and to not have any redundancy in place to ensure continued supply or alternatives?

    What is the point of even having a military if that military requires good relationships with all other powerful nations on Earth to continue to function.
    I can only imagine the level of damage a Chinese embargo would do.

    --
    Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    1. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, yeah, imagine doing without Chinese made equipment. How would the American General staff function without their iPads and iPhones?

    2. Re:Are you actually telling me? by pefisher · · Score: 1

      There is a redundant system. It's called Delta IV. That's why we have two booster systems; to assure US access to space. The news media seems to not understand this.

    3. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Running the government like a business" has been a catchphrase used by both major parties for some years now. Outsourcing in order to save money is standard practice in business. Is it surprising that they did exactly that?

    4. Re:Are you actually telling me? by msauve · · Score: 5, Interesting
      "What is the point of even having a military if that military requires good relationships with all other powerful nations on Earth to continue to function."

      To redistribute money from common taxpayers to military-industrial complex corporations.

      Until the latest of our world conflicts, the United States had no armaments industry. American makers of plowshares could, with time and as required, make swords as well. But now we can no longer risk emergency improvisation of national defense; we have been compelled to create a permanent armaments industry of vast proportions. Added to this, three and a half million men and women are directly engaged in the defense establishment. We annually spend on military security more than the net income of all United States corporations.

      This conjunction of an immense military establishment and a large arms industry is new in the American experience. The total influence -- economic, political, even spiritual -- is felt in every city, every State house, every office of the Federal government. We recognize the imperative need for this development. Yet we must not fail to comprehend its grave implications. Our toil, resources and livelihood are all involved; so is the very structure of our society.

      In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the militaryindustrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist.

      - Dwight Eisenhower

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    5. Re:Are you actually telling me? by alen · · Score: 1

      yep, back in my day it was PowerPoint. Made in America

    6. Re:Are you actually telling me? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      I need to go to take a nap, I've just misread it as "ruining the government like a business". But then again, perhaps I needn't!

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    7. Re:Are you actually telling me? by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

      The military doesn't NEED rockets to put up new satellites right at this moment in order to defend the country.

      If Russia cuts us off and then attacks us, the sattelites currently up there would work just fine. The missiles would work. The airplanes and boats would work. The guns would work. It would take, what, several years before the satellites for weather and spying shut down and would need to be replaced.

      It would just be a waste of money given the plans we had based on the rockets. Plans which, again, are not necessary for defense of the country. Actual war would undoubtedly be vastly more expensive too. And realize that the $5 billion lost was an estimate put forward by people who have an interest in the rocket industry: it's advertising.

    8. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      They would function by buying them, for a little more money, from American companies.

      For all their manufacturing, most of these devices sold in the U.S. are still U.S. design. The manufacturing could be moved back here (in fact some companies are doing that already). Turns out the "savings" from outsourcing, in the long run, led to unintended consequences which at least partially offset those savings.

      Returning the manufacturing to the U.S. is not as short-term profitable as many companies would like, but the long-term economic benefits are worth it.

    9. Re:Are you actually telling me? by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

      Except apparently the loss of those imports are already shutting down programs and canceling missions...

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    10. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 4, Informative

      "Running the government like a business..."

      Is a distortion of the old principle that the government should be run "more like" a business. But not "like" a business. Some people took that idea, interpreted it kind of sideways, and made the government run like a BAD business.

      "Outsourcing" to your own competitors has never been good business.

    11. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Luckyo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      US military does not exist to defend US. It exists to attack foreign entities for US agenda. As a result, it needs a good number of spy and other military satellites in orbit to ensure it's intelligence gathering and other military purposes across the globe are as efficient as possible.

    12. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From what I've heard, due to the way USAF payloads are designed around the Atlas V, many payloads don't fit on the Delta IV Medium and would require the vastly more expensive Delta IV Heavy. The USAF would rather not fly than pay for a Delta IV Heavy every flight.

    13. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The funny thing about "running the govt. like a business" is cui podest. For a business, it's the owners. For the government, one would only have to ask who the owners are to realize this is already happening. Owners = the ones who invested capital in the business (or, occasionally easier, who bought it). So, who bought your government?

    14. Re:Are you actually telling me? by fnj · · Score: 1

      Laying waste to domestic industry is a whole hell of a lot cheaper and faster to do than [re-]building domestic industry.

    15. Re:Are you actually telling me? by fnj · · Score: 1

      USA and USAF, welcome to the real world where you pay to play.

    16. Re:Are you actually telling me? by sumdumass · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually, out sourcing like this made perfect sense.

      It started at a time which we wanted to calm down a threat. You, lile many others in this thread think this was only about being cheep and saving money. It is or was not. When we started buying from the Russians, it was about funneling money to them in ways that didn't create resentment while dealing with their concerns about continued US military strength after the colapse of the USSR.

      In short, this had more diplomatic reasoning than financial when it was implemented. It served those diplomatic purposes well until recently when the advantage has been turned around. But ignoring the diplomatic aspect originally involved does not explain the situation properly.

    17. Re:Are you actually telling me? by pefisher · · Score: 1

      I was answering wisnoskij who couldn't believe that the Air Force didn't have a redundant launch capability. They do. It's called Delta IV. And yes, it may cost more. Partially because the Russian engine was artificially inexpensive. And partially because Delta IV's LOX/H2 is less dense than LOX/RP-1, and requires more machined metal tankage to put a payload in orbit.

    18. Re:Are you actually telling me? by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      It would just be a waste of money given the plans we had based on the rockets. Plans which, again, are not necessary for defense of the country. Actual war would undoubtedly be vastly more expensive too. And realize that the $5 billion lost was an estimate put forward by people who have an interest in the rocket industry: it's advertising.

    19. Re:Are you actually telling me? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      To move manufacturing requires you to either build a factory or find one with spare capacity, then you have to fit out that factory to do what you need to do, train the staff to make it with suffuicant reliability and so-on. For any non-trivial product this takes time, especially if lots of people are doing it at once and in the event of a country dropping off the supply map you would have to think about not only your factories but those of your suppliers and your suppliers' suppliers and so-on.

      For beter or worse the world has become very interconnected. Taking out peices of that interconnectected puzzle would cause large shocks to the system not just "slight increases in price".

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    20. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Nimey · · Score: 1

      Can you link to a Democrat saying that? I ask because being pro-business is the Republican stereotype.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    21. Re:Are you actually telling me? by werepants · · Score: 1

      It's complicated. Technically, there is redundancy. ULA was formed out of Boeing (Delta IV) and Lockheed Martin (Atlas V). The Atlas V relies on the RD180 from the Russians. One of the big selling points of ULA for US govt flights has always been what they call "Assured Access", which means that if there's a problem with the Atlas V, they can use the Delta IV, or vice versa. The problem is, Lockheed has always sort of run the show at ULA, and when the merger happened they discarded much of Boeing's engineering, shoehorned a lot of Atlas V tech into the Delta IV, and have treated the Atlas V preferentially. So basically the Delta IV is now far more expensive, and useful only for extra heavy launches or if an Atlas V won't work for some reason.

      People foresaw this problem in the past, and gave ULA some money to develop a domestic alternative to the RD180. That cash never did what it was supposed to. They also get fat checks regularly for assured access.

      So yes, putting a bunch of government launches on a rocket using many foreign-sourced parts wasn't a great move. Some people did foresee these problems, and attempted to rectify them, but it was easier and more profitable just to continue outsourcing the engine work to the Russians. And, in all honesty, they are impressive engines and the Atlas V has an enviable launch record. So the reason we are in this situation today is a mixture of messy corporate infighting, ineffective government contracting, and massive organizational inertia, along with having a "good enough" solution up to this point.

    22. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA == military?

    23. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Actually, out sourcing like this made perfect sense.

      No, it didn't.

      In short, this had more diplomatic reasoning than financial when it was implemented.

      I am aware. But while it may have had political purposes, from a strategic standpoint it was a completely boneheaded thing to do. No matter how much you might want to make friends with your aggressive neighbor, you don't do it by handing them your guns keys and saying "Here, hold these while I go on vacation." That's a bit of an exaggeration but it describes the situation pretty well.

    24. Re:Are you actually telling me? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      well, for once, you and I do agree.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    25. Re:Are you actually telling me? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      No, we should not have been outsourcing in the way that we did. Even now, what is going on with China and even India is a HORRIBLE mistake and will be coming to bite us bigger than this.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    26. Re:Are you actually telling me? by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      What is going on with China and India is largely private sector and for profit motivations. Thats entirelt different than attempting to prop up a failing nation we want rebuilt as allies politically.

      Do you know why we imported so much korean and japanese crap way back when it was crap? Largely the same reasons and while South Korea still has a military dependency on the US, Japan hadn't needed it ever since they were allowed to have a standing military again. And yet they are still very friendly to us.

    27. Re:Are you actually telling me? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Before WWII, the US had no armaments industry? Pull the other one. The US Army in WWI used a lot of foreign equipment, but that was an exception.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    28. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Thats entirelt different than attempting to prop up a failing nation we want rebuilt as allies politically.

      Yeah, and look how well that worked. :( They got help to rebuild their economy and they're back to pulling the same old bullshit.

      We really should have known better. I was taught in history class as a child (a long time ago) that historically, giving aid to other countries has NEVER paid off in the long run. Now we have more decades proving the same.

      There's nothing wrong with helping other people, but there IS something wrong when we help other people and they use it against us. As they have, almost every time.

      It's time we stopped.

    29. Re:Are you actually telling me? by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      You were taught wrongly in history class. Germany, South Korea, and Japan are instances in which proves you wrong directly. We can extend that even further to most of free Europe as we helped rebuild it as well as fronted the lion's share of military spending across the cold war through a little known organization callef NATO.

      Now, there have been failures and i would put Russia on the fence as one. But most of our allies today is a payoff from helping them at one point in time.

      Even Mexico is an allie mostly due to our aid. They certainly have been courted but potential enemies and told them to piss off (not in so many words). And considering a history of waring with the US (even by proxy) they had good reason to flip us off and piss on the border fence in the past.

      It all depends on our policies and their implementation. Russia, i think would be a different story if we had different leaders. Of course if we had different leaders, a lot of things in history would have been different from our relationship to Iran, Chavez, and even North Korea. But hindsight is a lot easier then when the shoe actually drops.

    30. Re:Are you actually telling me? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Germany, South Korea, and Japan are instances in which proves you wrong directly.

      How so? Please explain how helping them paid itself back to the U.S. and its economy.

      Seems to me that except for Germany, those other countries were primarily targets for "outsourcing", which actually helped them far more than it helped us. In fact it can be argued that it hurt us greatly, to their advantage.

      I would be happy to be proven wrong, if you can do it.

  6. Reusable rockets by symbolset · · Score: 1

    If Musk successfully executes his reusable rockets plan, every US government launch will produce a 0 cost rocket for up to 20 more commercial missions.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:Reusable rockets by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Well, technically the fuels (~200k) and the rechecking/recertifying (unknown, hopefully not much) will prevent it from being actually zero-cost, but it'll be a pittance compared to current prices.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    2. Re:Reusable rockets by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I hope so but I remember that was the way the shuttle was sold and it turned out to cost about a billion per flight in the end.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    3. Re:Reusable rockets by symbolset · · Score: 1

      It is no wonder Musk wants a new spaceport. After he has a dozen or so reusable surplus rockets he will be able to launch almost every day.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    4. Re:Reusable rockets by LVSlushdat · · Score: 1

      Yeah.. but the shuttle had the gummint butting in.. all of CONgress making sure their home turf got a piece of the shuttle "pie".... In the case of SpaceX, its Musk and his stockholders.. and I'm not even sure how many "stockholders" SpaceX has, as I'm pretty sure its not a publicly traded company.... If ANYbody can do what he claims to be planning, I bet Musk can...

      '

      --
      THANK YOU, Edward Snowden!! Americans owe you a debt of gratitude (whether they know it or not..)
    5. Re:Reusable rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A reusable rocket doesn't generate pork for districts... the billion per flight was a feature.

    6. Re:Reusable rockets by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I suspect that safety inspections alone will run you far more than 200k. Then there's the fact that some parts cannot be reused and will be single-fire only, unless they want to build a rocket that keeps its entire structure throughout the flight, which sounds extremely wasteful. There's a reason why most modern rockets have several stages, all designed for specific part of the flight.

    7. Re:Reusable rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeaaaaah... the shuttle was going to be cheap too. Turned out that those "rechecks" involved enough work and technician time investigating every last everything for weeks on end that it would unquestionably have been cheaper to fire off all 130-odd STS missions on 130 disposable boosters instead.

    8. Re:Reusable rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, technically Elon's small penis (~2 inches) doesn't mean there's zero pain in your ass.
      When NASA, ESA... among others have concluded reusability is simply not economically viable, I'm not about to trust small penis Elon Musk, who touted the lowest costs, but failed miserably to deliver with Falcon/dragon, losing the price battle to the aforementioned Russians.

    9. Re:Reusable rockets by cbhacking · · Score: 2

      Currently the first stage (by far the most expensive; ~70% of the total launch cost for the Falcon 9 stack) and the spacecraft capsule (specifically, the just-unveiled Dragon 2) are reusable or close to it. The ablative heat shield on the capsule puts a limit on its lifetime unless they can replace the shield, but the rest of it supposed to be fully reusable with little more than refilling consumables, and the shield is supposed to survive multiple re-entries. The second stage and the spacecraft trunk section are not yet observed to have any upgrades for reuse, although there are already talks of how to make the second stage reusable. The trunk is inexpensive; I don't know if it's even worth the cost (in payload capacity) to recover it.

      To the best of my knowledge, there are no parts (except possibly an explosive bolt or three?) that are single-use on the capsule or the first stage. The first stage engines are already relightable - the booster makes a propulsive landing - and so are the "superdraco" landing thrusters on the Dragon 2.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    10. Re:Reusable rockets by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They can't run a Formula1/NASCAR/NHRA engine more than one or two races before a complete overhaul/rebuilt with new parts.
      You seriously think a rocket engine is reusable many more times without having to basically replace every part after one launch?
      Every "hot" part probably have to be replaced (thermal and mechanical stress).
      Every "cryo" part the same.
      The rocket structure itself, as everything else, is as flimsy as they can make it to save weight, not likely reusable if it even survives the recovery mostly intact.
      Elon Musk would basically be putting a whole new rocket on the pad, while trying to couch it as a refurb. Where's the saving in that?

    11. Re:Reusable rockets by TangoMargarine · · Score: 1

      Just because they're reusable doesn't mean they're reusable forever. It wouldn't surprise me if by "reusable" they mean "we can launch them about four or five times before they wear out, with a lot of maintenance in between. Assuming they don't come back down on a granite mountain or something."

      Back in the 70s, they spent a hell of a lot of time twaddling with the rockets before launching them.

      --
      Unity? Screw that: XFCE. Slashdot Beta? Screw that: SoylentNews. Australis? Screw that: Pale Moon. UX developers DIAF
    12. Re: Reusable rockets by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      They are shooting for 30-50 Xs. I suspect they will be doing good to get 10. However, with ten launches on just the first stage, they can knock 1/3 of the price off.
      and if they can get all 3 cores of FH to come back, they will be able to put 40 tonnes into Leo for less than what it cost F9 to fly today.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    13. Re:Reusable rockets by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      They've already demonstrated multiple successful test firings that have lasted many times longer than any given flight, with multiple shutdowns and re-lights, of the exact same rockets without even dismounting them. Try again?

      F1 and such have completely different goals from SpaceX. Professional racecars are machines that push the bleeding edge of the performance envelope, with minimal concern for cost, and squeezing out 0.03% more performance is worth the cost of rebuilding the thing even if it doesn't need it. Rockets are built for reliability and safety first and foremost, with performance coming behind them. For the old guard government contractors, costs come in last, but for SpaceX it needs to be higher priority than that; they have to actually win bids for their launches and don't have long-standing arrangements with the feds.

      Landing legs on the reusable Falcon 9 first stage cost some payload capacity, but drastically reduce the effective cost of each launch. We'll see how much it costs when they actually re-use one for an actual launch instead of a test or demo, but I'd bet my estimate of how much work needs to be done is closer than yours.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  7. Move 10% of the military budget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    On top of the current research budget:

    Move 10% of the US military budget to space R&D.
    50% of that goes into general (civillian) research, the other 50% can stay in rocket/missile/sattelite research connected to to military.
    Of the the 50% that go into the civillian branch, give out (total) 10% to private companies, fund universities and NASA with the rest.

    We'd roughly see 65 billion put to new uses, of that go like 30 to the civilian sector, of those like 6 to private companies/general funding of companies. Annually.
    I think we'd be seeing a Golden Age of Space pretty soon where there's simply no question how to get stuff into space - without losing any capability of finding new way to being able to blow up foreign people on all scales.

    1. Re:Move 10% of the military budget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They'd just find clever ways to waste it or tack on ancillary costs.

    2. Re:Move 10% of the military budget by gatkinso · · Score: 1

      In case you are not up on not so current events, the last attack on the US was executed by a few guys with box cutters and multitools.

      --
      I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    3. Re:Move 10% of the military budget by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      and only because our federal agencies were watching those Saudis to see what they'd do. well, we saw what they did.

  8. Congress by jeff13 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Wait... does anyone seriously think that Congress will pass funding for anything related to NASA and the space programs? The current, Tea Party locked, science committee that recently called Climate Science "not science at all", Congress???

    Good luck with that.

    Unless it's a back-scratch back-room subsidy for their ilk and/or a state they wanna buy votes outta, forget it. Not ... going... to... happen.

    1. Re:Congress by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      You don't give it to NASA. You give it to 'protecting the American way of life'. The contract goes to YoYoDyne^HBoeing. NASA then 'needs' a heavy lift booster that YoYoDyne just happens to have tested recently.....

      With the exception of the Saturn boosters (the 1B and V), every US space launch has been done with a booster that is to a greater or lesser extent, military.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Congress by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      I can only assume you're using some convoluted definition of "US space launch" that excludes all the ones that SpaceX has flown, whether for the government or not. Because I can't even imagine how you'd manage to call the Falcon/Dragon stack "military".

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    3. Re:Congress by lgw · · Score: 1

      The Tea Party loves folks like SpaceX. NASA is all politics and earmarks anyway. (And climate "science" is more politics and earmarks than science right now, but that a different topic).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:Congress by the+gnat · · Score: 3, Insightful

      does anyone seriously think that Congress will pass funding for anything related to NASA and the space programs

      If it's sold as a matter of national security and economic competitiveness, and especially if it's sold as an uplifted middle finger to the Russians, I can imagine this happening. Rocket launches are used for lots of other things besides climate science, most of which aren't terribly controversial. And right now the US rocket industry couldn't possibly hire a better lobbyist for its cause than Vladimir Putin.

    5. Re: Congress by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      And yet the tea* trash joins the neo-cons in gutting funding to private space while increasing funding for SLS along with more money to Putin.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  9. Choice of vendor by meerling · · Score: 2

    I actually had no idea we were buying Russian rockets.
    Oh well, at least they are better than North Korean models.

    So, what is the Arianes launch record and failure determinations?

    I wonder if SpaceX has a design for a heavy lifter yet...

    1. Re:Choice of vendor by GNious · · Score: 1

      you're not - you're buying the engines.

    2. Re:Choice of vendor by LVSlushdat · · Score: 1

      Falcon9Heavy.... http://www.spacex.com/falcon-h...
      Hasn't flown yet, but if it does redundancy and has as many fail-safes as the current Falcon9, I bet it will do well...

      --
      THANK YOU, Edward Snowden!! Americans owe you a debt of gratitude (whether they know it or not..)
    3. Re:Choice of vendor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sure that if we decide to economize on sources, and give North Korea and Pakistan any remaining technical information they haven't gotten already, they can start manufacturing just the kind of rocket engines that we deserve to have come our way.

      For that which we are about to receive, we must be truly grateful.

    4. Re:Choice of vendor by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      I believe it's just "Falcon Heavy", since if it was numbered for the same reason the Falcon 9 is, it would be the Falcon 27 (or possibly the Falcon 9 3). But yes. The basic design is, I believe, complete... they're just having some trouble with the propellant cross-feed (where the side fuel tanks are used up first by all 27 rockets, allowing the side boosters and their 18 rockets to be dropped after their tanks are used up, while the central one booster and its 9 rockets still have a full supply). Currently they could probably try a launch just burning from all three tanks simultaneously, which gives a bit less payload but is still pretty impressive.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    5. Re:Choice of vendor by manu0601 · · Score: 2

      IIRC, Ariane accounts for 50% of commercial payloads launches. It rarely fails, but the major drawback is that it is not designed to carry peoples.

    6. Re: Choice of vendor by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Not really. The atlas first stage is made mostly out of the nation . it is Russian, Ukraine, and European.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  10. Documentary on the engines by Krashed · · Score: 5, Informative

    There is a great documentary on YouTube on the subject of the engines and United Launce Alliance's work on buying them from Russia to be fitted to launch vehicles. The Russians were doing things with their engines which Americans thought impossible until they were demonstrated first-hand. This video has those initial tests towards the end of the file.

    The Engines That Came in From The Cold
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

  11. they do have redundancy by YesIAmAScript · · Score: 1

    One of the companies who makes the launch system was required to take out a license to produce the boosters themselves. This is the backup plan.

    It's not a great backup plan, because just having the plans and license doesn't mean you necessarily can make them, especially with the reliability needed for defense launches.

    --
    http://lkml.org/lkml/2005/8/20/95
  12. Civilians created this policy, not the military... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you actually telling me? That the official operating procedure for the biggest military on Earth, many times over, is to buy mission critical equipment from anywhere that will sell it the cheapest and to not have any redundancy in place to ensure continued supply or alternatives?

    Well it is not the military that chose this policy, it was the civilian leadership that commands the military. The White House and Congress decided to kill existing programs that could have provided domestic launch capabilities, decided to use the Russians for launch until commercial ventures like SpaceX could become viable.

  13. Arming US Domestic Drones by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I would rather be taken out with a US made rocket armed domestic drone shouting my hometown USA alma mater hoorahs than with a russian made rocket purchased with our US taxpayer money. Just trying to be a good patriot here.

  14. Soon to be spied on... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Soon to be spied on by satellites launched by wholesome American made rocket engines!

    God bless America!

  15. Russians have better engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a case where the Russians clearly had, and have, superior technology. The thrust to weight ratio of the RD-180 is, to my knowledge, unmatched by anything in the western inventory.

    However let's be real, western payloads can get into orbit. It may cost more but there are numerous alternatives. JAXA, ESA, ULA (with different engines), Space-X, Bigelow. Heck we could arrange a launch or two with the Indians or Chinese in a pinch. Don't bother telling me how "the west is stranded on the ground." That is most certainly hype and not true.

    NASA got in to orbit before the RD-180 (literally hundreds of times) and they will do it again. In fact the RD-180 is very likely to come back in to widespread western use again, once this business with the Ukraine is sorted out.

    1. Re:Russians have better engines by gatkinso · · Score: 1

      Proven technology - not necessarily superior.

      that said military thinking prized proven above all else... so your point is valid until proven otherwise.

      --
      I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    2. Re:Russians have better engines by jonwil · · Score: 1

      Why don't the US just take the RD-180, tear it to bits, reverse engineer it and build a direct clone locally?

    3. Re:Russians have better engines by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      And you think that they haven't done it by now?

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    4. Re:Russians have better engines by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Informative

      They haven't. When closed circuit technology was discovered by US after Cold War ended, most rocket scientists simply didn't believe it was real. To specify: they thought that closed circuit liquid fuel rocket booster technology was impossible to build. Until they tested the engine in their own facility, many of them thought they were being lied to about specifications of the engine in question.

      To quote Lockheed Martin engineer: "This discovery made us ask some very uncomfortable questions about our own development processes".

      This sort of stuff is not something you can just copy. This is what Chinese discovered when they copied Russian aircraft. They could copy the airframes and the engines but... engines would only last a few flights and then break down. Because building extremely complex components like jet and rocket engines requires extremely complex understanding of the process itself as well as material technology. Something you cannot acquire through simply copying it. And Russians are known to have destroyed many, many rockets and spent many years perfecting that particular rocket engine before it would actually work instead of suffering a catastrophic failure of some kind. It was that difficult to get to work right. This is not something that you can just grab and reverse engineer. You'll have to blow up quite a few rockets, or do some very difficult simulation work to get to work.

      This is a problem of metallurgy, process technology and construction process itself. Things you cannot copy just by reverse engineering the end product.

    5. Re: Russians have better engines by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      So many things wrong. American lh2 engines are superior engines to rp-1 engines in nearly every major spec, save 2: fuel tank size and costs.
      the reason why l-mart executives chose Russian engines was pure costs against Boeing.
      now ula has lost nearly everything except for us gov launches, all because they are subsidizing Russian space program.

      However, musk has not focused on the best specs, nor just 1 customer. They are focused on being the cheapest and safest launch vehicle in the world. That is nearly all other space programs are afraid of spaceX. They are looking at economics instead of a pissing contest.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Russians have better engines by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Point of order here. While the Russians are known for their conservative use of technology generally, the RD-180 is something different. It is both proven reliable and a superior design. It's something the Russian space program can take considerable pride in.

      To repeat my point, to my knowledge the RD-180 has the best thrust to weight ratio of any engine in it's class. The experimental ion engines that have flown in recent years almost certainly exceed the RD-180 on thrust to weight. The limitation is that no one has built a heavy lift engine using ion technology. Ion engines are only suitable once in space because their power output is so low.

  16. Dependent on Russia, China.... by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

    No more shuttle so we could save a trivial amount of tax money. We've shipped our manufacturing to China to make more money for CEOs and upper management who can live anywhere and could give a rat's ass about the USA.

    Gee, I wonder where that could all end? Any ideas?

    --
    Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
  17. Sorry but no. LA Times fell for a PR scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

    In the GHW Bush(41) and Clinton(42) Presidential administrations BOTH parties saw banefits from chanting "The Cold War is OVER!" and the bi-partisan dysfunctiona and corruption of those years is STILL harming the American taxpayers and workers. The elder Mr Bush wanted to say the cold war was over both so HE could take credit for its smooth ending and so his international business associates could be freed from cold war trade restrictions. Mr Clinton wanted to say the cold war was over so he could please his base by cutting defense and shifting money to social programs. The net result of this political short-sightedness was that [1] huge portions of America's best tech manufacturing were shipped to asia [2] the Russians (who still have ICBMS aimed at the US, just as we still have them aimed at Russia) were given easier access to western tech [3] China was enabled to rise in military, economic and international stature, [4] huge waves of American tech and aerospace workers were laid-off and [5] American defense contractors contracted and were permitted to merge at an alarming rate without anti-monopoly restrictions. Each defense contractor merger was justified by the claim that the new environment would not support multiple vendors of a particular prduct.

    Where we used to have lots of significant aerospace firmes like North American Aviation, Rockwell, Convair, Douglass, McDonell, Martin, Grumman, Lockheed, and many many more (SOME of which had merged during the Cold War) we ended-up going down to essentially three big guys: Boeing, Lockheed-Martin, and Northrop-Grumman and a bunch of small vendors who made sub-assemblies (this is the category rocket engines fall into).

    In this environment, America HAD three significant rocket engine vendors: liquid-fuelled engine maker Rocketdyne (of the Saturn V F-1 and Space Shuttle SSME fame) AerojeGeneral (maker of the liquid-fueled engines on the Gemini-Titan, and also many, primarily unsegmented, solid rockets) and ATK (maker of the large segmented solids used to boost the Space Shuttle). The Obama administration recently approved of the merger of Rocketdyne and Aerojet (the two vendors who made liquid-fueled engines). Unfortunately Aerojet has in recent years been using its liquid-fueled engine capabilities to import Russian Engines stockpiled from the old Soviet moon rocket program (40 year old NK-33 engines) and turn them into at supposedly American AJ-26 engine (used on Orbital's new rocket that is coimpeting againsts SpaceX to haul cargo to the ISS). The merger of Boeing and Lockheed-Martin rocket launch businesses into a single vendor called ULA (United Launch Alliance) flys the Atlas V rocket which depends on Russian RD-180 engines. NONE of these vendors has had any interest in employing Americans designing and building American engines if they could import cheaper Russian stuff, Amercian nationa security be-damned... it's all about executive bonuses and stock valuations. Now that the Russian Engines are a problem, are any of these vendors starting on their own liquid engines? NOPE. The congress, however, always eager to do a little crony capitalism and bail-out their friends in the corporate board rooms are preparing to trow a pile of cash at ULA/Aerojet/Rocketdyne to build a replacement engine for the Atlas. Here are the problems:

    1. America's traditional big aerospace firms were paid many hundreds of Billions of dollars over the decades to design and build a wide-range of launch vehicles and rocket engines. Every single one of these massive defense contractors was effectively fully-subsidised in the creation of these things in the first place. These contractors had some of the world's best engineers, technicians, manufacturing capabilities, and designs. They made the calculated choice to throw that all away and hire cheaper workers in Russia and buy cheaper engines from Russia in order to maximize profits at the risk to American national security. The American taxpayer should not now be made to back-fill the costs of re-establishing the domesti

    1. Re:Sorry but no. LA Times fell for a PR scam by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You are making one HUGE mistake in your rant.

      Russian engines are not cheaper. They are BETTER. Much better. So much better that Lockheed Martin engineers did not believe the specs they were presented when they were told about the engines and would not believe them until they test fired one engine in their own testing facility.

      It wasn't even a generational gap. It was a technology that was deemed "impossible to build" by US rocket engineers.

    2. Re:Sorry but no. LA Times fell for a PR scam by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Heh, even Glushko (the constructor of RD-170) himself couldn't believe that it was possible, that was the reason for the conflict with Korolyov. So Korolyov gave the engine development to an airplane engine designer who didn't know that it was impossible and NK-33 came out of this.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    3. Re: Sorry but no. LA Times fell for a PR scam by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Not even close to true. Russia has a small set of rp-1/lox engines that are better. But our lh2/lox engines are superior to Russian engines. Regardless, the reason why l-mart went with rd-180 was cost not because it was better. They wanted to beat Boeing's prices, which having the first stage built in nations that manipulate their money vs. $, does make it cheaper. And that was decided by management, not the engineers.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re: Sorry but no. LA Times fell for a PR scam by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Educate yourself on the issue. US has no closed circuit engines. At all. Closed circuit engines are, by their very nature, significantly more efficient than open circuit which is what US uses.

      The engines that you call "superior" are in fact vastly inferior but are designed for a different task, which is heavy lifting with just a handful of engines. Russian engine in question is designed to be used in combination of up to 30 engines per rocket for extremely heavy lifting, whereas US decided to go with 4-5 engines per rocket. Hence the engines are in fact bigger and produce more lift, but are far less efficient and vastly inferior when compared to Russian engines used as specified in similar task.

  18. stupid posters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, except that people smarter than you have already thought about that, and have plans and rights to build the RD-180's in the US. It will take a few years, yes, to get them into production, but this is not the disaster that you think it is.

  19. "Tough Love" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We all know Russia wants the US to succeed as a World Super Power. Sometimes a Big brother just has to show a little Tough Love.

  20. Increase security at SpaceX facilities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Increase security at SpaceX facilities, protect their cyber assets and put the 780th Military Intelligence Brigade on speed dial. Oh, and protect the employees.
    We don't need mysterious failures of SpaceX launches.

  21. I'm a bit surprised. by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

    I'm a bit surprised that they still use the RD-180 engine, I thought that it had a successor by now. It's after all 70s/80's technology.

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    1. Re:I'm a bit surprised. by Max_W · · Score: 1

      Yes, I agree. It would be nice to have new technologies, like - matter transmitter, teleportation, or at least a wormhole. But these are hard scientific and technological problems. It will take some more years.

    2. Re:I'm a bit surprised. by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      Well - I thought more about an upgraded/updated version with a bit more power, not a giant leap forward! :)

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
  22. With the EXCEPTION of Saturn? Re-think that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Saturn rocket development program and the initial lunar studies began under Eisenhower (which is how much of the early work was done and available for Kennedy to choose to use when he decided to send man to the moon for geopolitical reasons). The Saturn launch vehicles development began while Von Braun was still working (effectively "on a short leash") for the the US Army ballistic development office at the Redstone aresenal. The project was originally called the "Juno V" and was a follow-up to the Juno and Redstone boosters (The Saturn IB Booster was a stretched Juno booster tank surrounded by eight Redstone boosters and powerred by a cluster of eight H-1 engines (also from the Redstone)) Do some googling and LOOK at the pictures.

    When Republican president (and former General) Eisenhower decided he wanted a civilian space agency, he teamed with Democrat Senator Lyndon Johnson to create a new agency (NASA) by moving Von Braun and his Redstone and Juno V projects from the US Army under the same roof with the government aviation R&D agency (NACA) and as part of the transition the Juno V project shed its "military" name and became the Saturn. The Army at that point really was not harmed by losing this purely R&D project since it did not need such a massive ICBM; The US had nuke warheads that were far smaller and lighter than the soviet ones and therefore only needed the Atlas, Redstone and Titan sized missiles (intermediate or intercontinental ranges). The initial launches of the Saturn Booster from Cape Canaveral Air Force Base were on the Army's dime.

    Oh, and someday you should take the time to read ALL of Eisenhower's farewell address. His warning about a "military-inductrial complex" was a warning that modern technology and warfare had led to a place where government would need a permanent set of supliiers of high tech weapons and that this would lead to an impetus to buy werapons we dd not need but it would also lead to a public that would increasingly be told to do things because some elite group of scientists would tell them to; that the coming possible tyranny would by both by military-industrialists and by scientists.

  23. And the reason we don't build our own? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Couldn't *possibly* have anything to do with the Republicans cuitting NASA's budget for decades, and the big three companies desitre to outsource for ROI.... Nah....

    And as for an engine? I'll say it in one word: F1B

                    mark

  24. You're superficially right, but actually wrong by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US engineers were working on better engines at the time, and competing those designs and using them would have maintained the US capability in LOX-RP1 engines, but LockMart wanted to save money so they went with the Russian engines and the US rocket engine makers then dropped their efforts (since the customer went away and made it clear he would not buy American). As a result, the US lost a lot of the experienced people, and institutional memeory, that we'd developed on the Saturn V program's massive F-1 engine project. Since the US developed and used the LOX-LH2 J-2 on the Saturn upper stages, SSME on the shuttle, and RS-68 on the Delta IV (and very recently the J-2X for the cancelled Constellation program), we kept all that in-house experience with hydrogen burning engines (which are poorer deep in the atmosphere but far more efficient iin the high atmosphere and in space)

    So, while you are correct that the Russians had a high-performance engine, you are wrong about the rest and your conclusion; The decision WAS about money because it was CHEAPER to buy Russian than to finish any of the American designs. In fact, the US licensed the design of the RD-180 and has the legal right to make them in the US, but has never exercised that right BECAUSE BUYING THEM FROM RUSSIA IS CHEAPER. Now, however, the money spent on the license is probably a loss because [1] it has become known that even if we built them we would still require Russian support personnel during testing and use (since they have the design expertise) and [2] the license has an expiration date, so if we were to spend all the money to setup an assembly line and start production the first US manufactured RD-180 would likely just get through testing and certification in time for the license to expire.

    It was ALWAYS about the MONEY for LockMart, and it STILL IS.

    You cannot blame a coroporation for being completely morally-blind and totally un-patriotic, they ARE a business after all and their primary mission is to be profitable for their share holders. You CAN however blame the government for BUYING their product w/o regard for national security concerns (National Security IS the job of the Federal Govt) and you CAN be completely put-off by the hypocrisy of a giant defense contractor that continually screams that the taxpayers need to buy its newest products (to protect them from the "Russkies!") and then turns around and claims its completely fine to have our military space assets completely dependent upon engines made by those very same Russians... Which is it, LockMart???? Do we need to buy your rockets and missiles and F-35 planes or not? If the RD-180 is safe, then we do not need your other products.

    1. Re:You're superficially right, but actually wrong by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      You are viewing the problem in the capitalist light of "if we have the money, we can build better technology".

      This angle has no roots in reality. This was shown in F-35 which attempted to implement one reverse engineered and one licensed piece of technology from Russians developed in 70s and 90s respectively.

      In spite of massive cost overruns, they still don't work. Throwing money at the problem simply didn't solve it, because complex technological solutions cannot be in fact solved with money. Instead they need to be solved with human excellence, which money often cannot buy.