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Mt. Fuji Volcano In 'Critical State' After Quakes

An anonymous reader writes: Mount Fuji, in addition to being a picturesque landmark and an important part of Japanese culture, is also an active volcano. Its last eruption was just over 400 years ago, but its location — where the Eurasian, Pacific, and Philippine tectonic plates meet — mean it will always have potential for eruption. A new study (PDF) has examined the pressures around Mount Fuji in the wake of several recent earthquakes, including the magnitude 9 tremor that unleashed the destructive tsunami in 2011. The researchers now say the volcano is in a "critical state." According to the study's lead author, "The volcanic regions are the ones where the fluids trapped in the rock – boiling water, gas, liquid magma, which cause an eruption when they rise to the surface – exert the greatest pressure. The seismic waves add to this pressure, causing even more disturbance." They have no way of predicting when an eruption might happen, but the potential seems greater than ever.

29 of 151 comments (clear)

  1. Who wants to bet... by KingOfBLASH · · Score: 5, Funny

    ...this thread erupts with first posts?

  2. Great by kruach+aum · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'm leaving for Tokyo later this month. At least is easier to pronounce than Eyjafjallajokull.

    1. Re:Great by theVarangian · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm leaving for Tokyo later this month. At least is easier to pronounce than Eyjafjallajokull.

      Eyjafjallajökull let's not forget the umlaut...

    2. Re:Great by CastrTroy · · Score: 4, Funny

      Thanks. That makes it a whole lot easier to pronounce. It's so obvious now.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    3. Re:Great by Luckyo · · Score: 4, Informative

      On a serious note - it's actually very easy to pronounce. You just need to think of it properly - three separate words.

      Eyja Fjalla Jökull.

      It's actually a limitation of our brain. We can manage words up to reasonable length, and after that, we have to switch to far less efficient general abstraction instead of specialized brain centres. To avoid this limitation, slice the word into manageable pieces and you will find it very easy to pronounce once your task-specific brain centre handles it.

      This is the same thing as trying to do the math on 7*8 versus 78*87.

    4. Re:Great by aevan · · Score: 2

      Eyja Fjalla Jökull

      Isn't that how you summon a Deep One?

  3. Re:volcano by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    not stupid - just a bad choice in parents. I cannot blame them, my decision was no better.

  4. Re:volcano by zeroryoko1974 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Ask someone from Seattle

  5. Re:racist html by kruach+aum · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Your inability to correctly interpret simple anaphoric references would make you fail a Turing test.

  6. Um... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They have no way of predicting when an eruption might happen, but the potential seems greater than ever.

    They say they can't predict it, then in the same sentence predict it. Amazing.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    1. Re:Um... by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      They say they can't predict it, then in the same sentence predict it. Amazing.

      They say they can't predict it, and then they don't. They only say that it seems more likely than ever before. Then you fail to read. Sadly, not amazing, nor unusual.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Um... by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Informative

      And that's a prediction.

      If the water in your kettle is hotter than it's ever been before, then you know it's closer to boiling than it ever has been before. You can say that without announcing the time at which it will boil, or even whether it will boil. And that's why it isn't a prediction.

      Oh internet, so fast on the useless attacks. Will there be a day when people keep it civil?

      That day will have to come after people start R'ing TFA and understanding it before posting. But in fact, I was perfectly civil. I may have misstated the case slightly, however. He may have read the article, and simply failed to understand what he read. I don't want to attribute to one type of incompetence what is actually due to another.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Um... by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Using the definition of prediction in AmiMoJo's post (which you ignored... why?):

      In fact, I used it as my guide.

      Your estimation may never come to fruition, but it was still a prediction.

      They said it was more likely, they did not say how much more likely it was. Thus, they did not in fact make an estimate. You want words to mean things that they don't mean, to support your argument.

      It is because you actually believe that that the internet has mostly negatively toned comments. Lack of empathy.

      Civil discourse does not mean never pointing out a fault or a flaw. Criticism is an absolute necessity for progress.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    4. Re:Um... by wbr1 · · Score: 2
      Okay. You have a full 2-liter soda bottle. You drop it from hip height to the floor. The shock releases dissolved gas, increasing the pressure in the bottle. Now pick it up and drop it again. And again.

      At some point the bottle will fail and the soda will erupt.

      Can you say on which drop? Can you say how it will fail (split seam, pinhole rupture that expands, cap failure?)

      No? But you can say that it likely will if the behavior continues.

      Lets take another example, say HDD failure. Any HDD will fail, at some point. Is it head failure? Bearing failure? Temperature damage to the media? You do not know, but you can say it WILL fail.

      So, nice troll attempt, but it falls flat.

      --
      Silence is a state of mime.
  7. Re:racist html by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    According to tlhIngan (30335) in post #47460141

    Unicode is also supported. It does actually work, just that the whitelist of allowable Unicode codepoints is small. Adding in extra codepoints is on an as-needed basis. You're not likely to see those new emoji anytime soon.

    So it is working as long as you count "not allowed" as "working".

  8. It's over 9000 by xxxJonBoyxxx · · Score: 2

    The only thing missing from this breathless article was an animation of a scientist inspecting a piece of monitoring equipment, watching the needle bury itself, and screaming "it's over 9000!!!"

  9. Re:racist html by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    You guys must be new here. There's no Unicode on Slashdot at all.

  10. Re:racist html by NatasRevol · · Score: 2

    "working as designed" which is a metaphor for "not a bug, no sir".

    --
    There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
  11. Re:Potential greater than ever? by NatasRevol · · Score: 2

    I don't know, that eruption doesn't sound that bad. In fact, there wasn't even any lava flow.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H...

    This potential one has already had higher intensity earthquakes, 9 vs 8.2. That's almost an order of magnitude larger.

    --
    There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
  12. Mt. Miyajima? by superflippy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Mt. Fuji is more well known, but I wonder how all this seismic activity is affecting Mt. Miyajima in the southern part of Japan? It's another active volcano, one I visited in the 90's. It was actively smoking at the time, and surrounded by lava beds.

    --
    Your fantasies contain the seeds of important concepts.
  13. Re:Fukushima by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Hmm, a quick bit of research finds that MOX fuel rods are basically PuO2, which doesn't do the pyrophoric thing - it's stable in dry air, heats up slowly in the presence of water vapor.

    Which at least suggests that the panic at the thought of a Pu fire is a bit exaggerated....

    Note also that spent fuel rods have rather less Pu in them than you might think, since most of it has been burned in the nuclear reactor before it became "spent".

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  14. Re:Solution! by LVSlushdat · · Score: 4, Informative

    Still, there's a limit to how close to an active volcano people are willing to live, so the really hot zone (in both senses) would not be as direct a threat to people or livestock.

    Tell that the millions in Mexico City, right under the "Popo" volcano or Seattle, not far from Mt Rainier.. If/when those blow, those cities are in deep kimchi... Of course, those pale in comparison to the Yellowstone caldera.. if THAT one blows, at least the western part of the USA has a BIG problem....

    --
    THANK YOU, Edward Snowden!! Americans owe you a debt of gratitude (whether they know it or not..)
  15. Re:volcano by LVSlushdat · · Score: 2

    Ask someone from Seattle

    Or Mexico City... It has Popocatépetl just down the street.. Arguably the most dangerous volcano in North America...

    --
    THANK YOU, Edward Snowden!! Americans owe you a debt of gratitude (whether they know it or not..)
  16. Re:Relieve pressure? by skydyr · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Part of the problem with trying to relieve the pressure is that many eruptions occur because of gases suspended in the magma. Once the pressure drops enough, the gas ceases to be soluble in the magma and it's the expansion of the gas that causes the violent eruption. It follows that relieving the pressure could easily trigger the eruption you are trying to prevent in this case. Whether this is the actual cause of an eruption in a specific case is dependent on the volcano, I believe, and is implicated in the more explosive ones, as opposed to the gentler flowing eruptions found with others.

  17. Re:Solution! by Narcocide · · Score: 2

    ... Of course, those pale in comparison to the Yellowstone caldera.. if THAT one blows, at least the western part of the USA has a BIG problem....

    I hate to have to mention this, but if Yellowstone goes, the western part of the USA will be someone ELSE's problem; at minimum, the entire rest of that hemisphere - this is assuming the whole planet doesn't just pop like a zit and crack in half at that point. Most models suggest this would be an extinction level event.

  18. Re:.. not in italy by Luckyo · · Score: 2

    They were convicted for making statements that earthquake will not happen, which caused people to not prepare and react appropriately. It was still pretty messed up, but it's nowhere near as bad as faux news makes it sound.

  19. Re:volcano by istartedi · · Score: 2

    Ask someone from Seattle

    Ask someone from the entire central US. Yellowstone's "next to" is pretty large when you consider the projected ash fall from a major eruption. Aside from that, the knock-on effect on food supply and weather would have global consequences, so I guess we're all pretty "stupid".

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  20. Re:volcano by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2

    Yellowstone is the "most dangerous" because it is really acting up lately and is considered to be a ELE capable Super Volcano. In fact, Yellowstone may be the biggest volcano threat in the world.

    It just doesn't scare people because "Old Faithful" sounds so reassuring.

    --
    Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
  21. Re:Solution! by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 5, Informative

    With an abundance of sustainable and reliable energy, survivability of an event such as a volcanic winter would be drastically increased. Energy is the only limiting factor in producing a 100% self-sufficient and self-contained living environment, not only in space, but on earth as well. Energy availability would be instrumental in facing such a disaster, and with adequate preparation we could manage quite comfortably.

    However, if the green dream of a world powered exclusively by renewables were realized, humanity would have no hope whatsoever. The lights would go out indefinitely, and any sort of civilization would promptly collapse, with only a handful surviving in miserable conditions. Renewables are not reliable, and are incapable of sustaining civilization through such a crisis.

    While efficiency is a laudable goal (to which most engineers already aspire), eking by with extreme conservation is highly anti-productive, and exacerbates environmental and societal problems. Energy is not a disease to be eradicated, but a resource essential for enabling greater levels of recycling and reuse, and ultimately a sustainable high quality of life with minimal environmental footprint. With prosperity, population also tends to level off, solving that problem as well.

    Energy is only a problem when it is derived in an environmentally destructive manner, as with mining and extraction of fossil resources, or the vast and inefficient collection, storage, and distribution infrastructure for wind and solar. These sources also require extensive mining for the raw materials comprising the infrastructure, and the fuels required for transportation in both cases.

    Owing to a far superior energy density, nuclear energy necessitates very little mining and supporting infrastructure. Molten salt reactors like LFTR use nuclear fuel roughly 200 times more efficiently than todays LWRs, and with passive safety and no need for water cooling, they can be sited virtually anywhere. For perspective, a 1GWe LFTR plant would be roughly the size of a Walmart. Incidentally, there are upward of 10,000 Walmarts, which would accommodate 10TW of LFTR power production--enough to provide for 10 billion people at US per capita power consumption.

    Each year, a 1GWe reactor would only consume about a ton of thorium, and produce about a ton of fission products. All of the fuel required to power the world for a year could be mined at a site not much larger than a Walmart itself. However, it could instead be recovered from the tailings of rare earth or other mining already in progress. (For reference, a metric ton of thorium fits in a sphere 55cm (or 1.8ft) in diameter.) A plant could easily have decades worth of thorium on hand.

    Of course, the picture wouldn't be complete without considering the waste. A single GWe of generating capacity is enough to power a sizable city, producing 1t (metric ton) of fission products per year. One might worry that these are going to accumulate and produce an intractable problem, but in reality the radioactivity is constantly disappearing, and will reach a steady state when the creation balances the decay. As 83% of the fission products of a LFTR are stable after a decade, and the rest no more radioactive than ore in 300 years, the sum total of waste produced for one GWe of power, will gradually build up to, yet never exceed 59t after 300 years. This is a trivial amount, which is still overstated as many of the fission products have uses. (radioisotope thermal generators, sources for medicine or food irradiation, etc.) Even if politics prevents doing something useful with it, it could still be safely stored in a small room on site.