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EPA Mulling Relaxed Radiation Protections For Nuclear Power

mdsolar sends this news from Forbes: Both proponents and opponents of nuclear power expect the Environmental Protection Agency in coming months to relax its rules restricting radiation emissions from reactors and other nuclear facilities. EPA officials say they have no such intention, but they are willing to reconsider the method they use to limit public exposure—and the public's level of risk.

At issue is a 1977 rule that limits the total whole-body radiation dose to any member of the public from the normal operation of the uranium fuel cycle—fuel processing, reactors, storage, reprocessing or disposal—to 0.25 millisieverts per year. (This rule, known as 40 CFR part 190, is different from other EPA regulations that restrict radionuclides in drinking water and that limit public exposure during emergencies. Those are also due for revision.) "We have not made any decisions or determined any specifics on how to move forward with any of these issues. We do, however, believe the regulation uses outdated science, and we are thinking about how to bring the regulation more in line with current thinking," said Brian Littleton, a chemical engineer with EPA's Office of Radiation and Indoor Air."

40 of 230 comments (clear)

  1. About time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    It's good to see the EPA finally considering relaxing some of its uptight, business-hostile regulations. No wonder the US is losing ground to the developing world when for a few decades it has pushed this regulatory regime that holds industry back and has really harmed wider adoption of nuclear energy. As the case of China shows, the population is willing to accept an increase in pollution as long as the country sees strong economic growth and (something to think of after the "Obamacare" wrangling) advanced and affordable health services are available to somewhat make up for the possible decrease in life expectancy that said pollution might entail.

    1. Re:About time by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As the case of China shows, the population is willing to accept an increase in pollution

      It's amazing how much the population is willing to accept, provided that they have no say in the matter.

    2. Re:About time by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, jeez, in the case of China, the alternative is "stark poverty" so it's not really a choice. Forty years of Marxism reduced their people to equality - equally poor. The Communist Party hijacked the people's revolution onto the capitalist road and it's been all up since then. And the EPA really does have uptight, business-hostile practices. Just ask the people who work there what they think about the very idea that businesses should be allowed to exist, much less make a profit.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    3. Re:About time by linearz69 · · Score: 2

      China is aiming to build enough nuclear capacity to beat the USA + France (#1 and #2 users of nuclear power) combined.

      Mr. President, we cannot allow a nuclear capacity gap!

    4. Re:About time by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's good to see the EPA finally considering relaxing some of its uptight, business-hostile regulations. No wonder the US is losing ground to the developing world when for a few decades it has pushed this regulatory regime that holds industry back and has really harmed wider adoption of nuclear energy.

      You're trying to be sarcastic, but your words are quite literally true. 0.25 mSv is:

      • 12x the radiation you get from a chest x-ray
      • 6x the radiation you get from a 5 hour airliner flight
      • 3.5x the radiation you get from living in a stone, brick, or concrete house for a year
      • about half the radiation dose from a mammogram
      • an eighth the radiation dose from a head CT scan
      • 1/28th the radiation dose from a chest CT scan

      If the 0.25 mSv limit were applied consistently to other aspects of our lives, we'd ban mammograms and CT scans, limit people to a dozen chest x-rays in a year, restrict pilots and stewardesses to just 30 hours of flight time per year, and severely curtail brick, stone, and concrete as building materials. If the proposal someone made below to reduce the limit to 0.025 mSv were carried out, we'd have to ban air travel and chest x-rays altogether.

    5. Re:About time by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Nuclear isn't profitable without heavy subsidy. It seems only fair that a business which is entirely dependent on government hand-outs should have to play by some fairly strict safety rules.

      The alternative is to just let them get on with it, in which case they will be filing for bankruptcy next Tuesday when they find they can't get any insurance, can't afford to run the plant and can't deal with all the lawsuits coming their way. I'm up for that, but only if every penny of subsidy is immediately transferred to renewables.

      --
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    6. Re:About time by gdshaw · · Score: 2

      Nuclear plants don't emit an even level of radiation in all directions. They emit radioactive particles that then move around on the wind, in the soil and in the water. These particles can accumulate, so the level needs to be kept very low so that they can keep dispersing.

      0.25 mSv is a measure of the dose received, not the radioactivity emitted. A given amount of radioactivity inside your body will result in a larger dose than the same amount outside, so the effects you describe should already have been allowed for.

      Besides, if you believe in the LNT model (which current standards are based on) then it makes little difference whether you give 0.25 mSv/yr to ten people or 2.5 mSv/yr to one person (both being well below the level at which acute effects become significant). Bioaccumulation is an issue, but merely having an uneven distribution should not be.

      Relaxing the rules may in theory be safe. The problem is that if you give people an inch they will take a mile. We knew that in the 1970s, but despite Fukushima the EPA seems to have forgotten it now.

      Bear in mind that the safety precautions needed to prevent very low level emissions are different to those needed to prevent catastrophic meltdowns. Focussing attention and resources on the former rather than the latter isn't necessarily in the best interests of safety.

    7. Re:About time by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Nuclear plants don't emit an even level of radiation in all directions. They emit radioactive particles that then move around on the wind, in the soil and in the water.

      Did you just make this shit up? Completely false. Radioactive particles are defined as contamination, and there is no contaminated material released from nuclear plants, except for a few cases of tritium leaks. But, tritium is quite benign and doesn't "travel around on the wind". Your statement displays the common misconceptions nuclear power, radiation, and the associated risks.

      It is funny how people's definitions of "safe" change depending on the subject. You can get multiple acute radiation doses, each many times above present day safety limits, and your risk of any physically threatening results are still many times less than riding in a car for just a short trip. You have so many higher risk things you just accept. How about leaching chemicals from semiconductors or even your cookware? How about pesticides? How about the risks listed on every medication we take?

      For those that don't buy into the FUD, here is a good overview of where we stand today with assessing risks of very high acute exposure medical tests.

      http://www.scientificamerican....

      A key excerpt;

      "All these estimates share a serious flaw. Among survivors exposed to 100 mSv of radiation or less—including the doses typical for CT scans—the numbers of cancer cases and deaths are so small that it becomes virtually impossible to be certain that they are significantly higher than the rate of cancer in the general population. To compensate, the National Research Council and others based their estimates primarily on data from survivors who were exposed to levels of radiation in the range of 100 mSv to 2 Sv. The fundamental assumption is that cancer risk and radiation dose have a similar relationship in high and low ranges—but that is not necessarily true."

    8. Re:About time by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      All energy sources are subsidized to some extent, as most countries place great economic value on having lower cost electricity. If all subsidies were removed, gas would completely dominate, followed by coal and nuclear. Solar and wind would not stand a chance. Solar, on a dollar per kwh generated basis, receives subsidies many times greater than any of our traditional sources, as does wind.

      I'm all for equal subsidies on all forms of power, but I'd rather have diversity and not be totally reliant on shale gas.

    9. Re:About time by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Solar is already way cheaper than nuclear, has been for a few years now.

      You'll have a hard time backing that claim up with real numbers. Solar doesn't come close when it comes to total cost of producing MWh on an annual basis. Many confuse price with cost, and on top of that forget that pricing is quite artificial due to production credits.

    10. Re:About time by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Informative

      In 1988 when the big nuclear three-holer went in near Phoenix, utility ratepayers were aghast at the idea of paying $2 billion apiece for the reactors. Today, we're all thankful now that the plant is the state's lowest cost provider of power.

      Meanwhile, just across the line, the People's Republic of California just paid $2.2 billion for the Ivanpah solar thermal plant, which will generate 0.4 GW compared to our 6 GW, and at much higher operating cost. Ivanpah's cost was also grossly inflated by a slightly less maniacal version of the same useless lawsuits and regulatory delays that plague nuclear construction. The Luddite strategy for any type of energy construction is delay, delay,. delay. As bonding interest steadily ticks upward with time, you can eventually make any project cost too much.

      The problem isn't subsidies. we need to fix our legal system to strip Luddies of the legal standing to interfere with vital infrastructure.

    11. Re:About time by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 2

      > Solar doesn't come close when it comes to total cost of producing MWh on an annual basis

      True, but certainly not as true as it was even a year ago:

      http://www.epelectric.com/files/html/Macho_Springs/Macho_Springs_Notice_of_Proceeding_and_Hearing_12-00386-UT__2_.pdf

      20 yr PPA at 5.79 cents/kWh (see para 2). Very competitive with wind and NG.

  2. Re:headed in the wrong direction by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

    it is the common view of medical and general science during the century-odd that we have discovered and been able to document radiation and its effects... that no amount is "generally recognized as safe" and standards need to be tightened.

    What makes your "common view" any more valid than any other "common view"? Especially given that "generally recognized as safe" is a completely non-scientific quantity. In the end, you need evidence to back up such assertions not alleged consensus of vague groups of people.

    so a comprehensive review based on science would move the decimal point to the left, at least to .025 mS/year, and perhaps .0025 mS.

    Background levels are around 1 mS/year. So why advocate thresholds more than two orders of magnitude lower than what people normally get in a year? I just don't think science has much to do with your choice of thresholds.

  3. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Gothmolly · · Score: 2

    When does it, versus the notion of "protecting the children" ? If you think that the government and associated puppet regulators actually have anyone's good as their goal, think again.

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
  4. Re:There is no "safe" amount of ionizing radiation by khallow · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'm sick and tired of the notion that it's OK to pollute, as long as you don't pollute "too much."

    It's pretty straightforward actually. We do valuable things and sometimes they cause pollution, sometimes minor sometimes massive. Instead of being "sick and tired" about the non problem of minute pollution (especially given that there is actual large scale, heavy, life-threatening pollution out there), do a cost/benefits analysis instead.

  5. Fossil fuel plants get to radiate us all they want by blindseer · · Score: 5, Interesting

    While the EPA is thinking about raising limits on how much radioactive material nuclear power plants can release into the environment there are no limits on what coal plants can release. The radioactive material in coal is considered "naturally occurring" since it was dug out of the ground. However thorium is not naturally occurring radioactive material because it is... also dug out of the ground.

    The federal regulations on radioactive materials and pollution have little relation to reason. This nonsense is holding up research in nuclear power. If our "carbon footprint" is an issue then it does not look to me like the government cares a whole lot. They'll toss money at coal powered "electric" cars but not allow a nuclear power plant to get built in four decades.

    What happens to our carbon footprint with all those electric cars powered from coal and natural gas? Oh, we power our cars from wind and solar? That's laughable. No one has yet made a solar panel that can make a profit. Wind power might make a profit but it relies on natural gas turbines to make up for when the wind does not blow. Wind power actually increases carbon output because instead of using efficient boilers they have to use inefficient turbines.

    Getting back to the radiation aspect the burning of natural gas releases radon into the air. Is there any regulations on that? No, because that is "naturally occurring", as if because it's "natural" radiation it does us no harm. What we need to do is hold up fossil fuels to the same standard as nuclear power. We'd switch over to nuclear power on that aspect alone.

    All power sources release radiation into the environment. We're disturbing the earth as we dig for coal, uranium, silicon, or hydro electric basins. Even bio-fuels release radiation because we dig up the earth to plant the crops.

    Nuclear power has the lowest carbon footprint of any power source we know of. Solar and wind cannot even compete because of all the concrete needed to hold up the structures. I'd suspect that if anyone did an honest assessment of the radiation released then it'd probably do better than the rest there as well.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  6. Re:There is no "safe" amount of ionizing radiation by khallow · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yep, I think we can all agree that it's worth a few punkin' headed babies and/or a couple of deaths so the rest of us can have brighter colors and whiter whites.

    I know you're trying to be sarcastic, but yes, that is right. A small or even non-existent harm for vast benefit to many people justifies the harm. Given that we know there are far more serious problems, not just environmental, but of the human condition, this is a strong indication that we should be bothering with those big problems rather than obsessing over the small or non-existent ones.

  7. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2, Informative

    Yours was actually an early, post-WW II fear about radiation effects, with the modern perception trending the other way, as TFA indicates.

    If radiation really were 'cumulative' with no threshold, the constant drizzle of background radiation we all live in would have terminated human existence long before this argument even started.

  8. Re:Fossil fuel plants get to radiate us all they w by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I am not impressed with the state of coal fired emissions regulation (sulfur compounds are down; but fly ash certainly isn't something that cures what ails you, and the general 'Eh, old stuff just gets grandfathered because we can't fight the incumbents' model of regulation is broken); but your snarking about the poor reactors being treated as unnatural is rather flawed.

    The further your coal gets from being pure carbon, the more dire some of the potential aerosolized-and-spread-hither-and-yon materials are; but the process is just conventional chemistry, you aren't going to emit anything you didn't dig up(except the added oxygen). A nuclear reactor; shockingly enough, is not subject to this limitation, and fairly aggressively shoves assorted fissionables down the decay chain.

    Aside from the one (known) incident at Oklo, the crust isn't seeing much in the way of activity above background decay rates, and it follows that anything with a short half life is going to be extremely scarce. Something that's been dug up, concentrated, and carefully stewed in its own neutrons, by contrast, will have a very different collection of isotopes, some remarkably scarce anywhere else.

    This doesn't mean that coal power is good for you, or restricted in what it contributes to our air supply; because that is very unlikely; but it's just silly to pretend that reactor products are isotopically similar to what you'll find in the ground; the 'power' in 'nuclear power' is only there because they aren't.

  9. Re:Fukushima, Baby by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Fukushima exclusion zone will shrink with time as the site is cleaned up. Meanwhile, the German Greens have replaced nuclear with the world's largest strip mine (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garzweiler_surface_mine), which is about to be supplemented by a pit twice its size (Tagebau Hambach). Who can't love the smell of smoldering lignite in the morning!

  10. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Uecker · · Score: 3, Informative

    I have no opinion about the threshold, but there are two things to correct in your post:

    it is the common view of medical and general science during the century-odd that we have discovered and been able to document radiation and its effects... that no amount is "generally recognized as safe" and standards need to be tightened.

    What makes your "common view" any more valid than any other "common view"? Especially given that "generally recognized as safe" is a completely non-scientific quantity. In the end, you need evidence to back up such assertions not alleged consensus of vague groups of people.

    He is absolutely right though. It is the common view of the scientific community that no amount of ionizing radiation is safe. This is also the basis of all radiation protection regulation everywhere (ALARA principle). The reason is simple: Ionizing radiation creates DNA damage with a small probability which then causes cancer with a small probability (which has then a certain probability of killing you). So even a single particle has a very small probability of causing cancer. There is a minority of people that believe that there are other effects (e.g. radiation at low doses activates the immune system) which dominate at low doses, but this is a minority view point and the data we have does not support this. From atomic bomb survivors see a linear correspondence between dose and risk down to about 50 mSv. For example, from this it was predictated that CT scans cause cancer with a very low probability and this has recently been confirmed.

    so a comprehensive review based on science would move the decimal point to the left, at least to .025 mS/year, and perhaps .0025 mS.

    Background levels are around 1 mS/year. So why advocate thresholds more than two orders of magnitude lower than what people normally get in a year? I just don't think science has much to do with your choice of thresholds.

    This is a fallacy. The threshold should be set on the estimated benefits of a higher threshold vs the estimated harm from the additional radiation. The background radiation has nothing to with it.

  11. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 4, Informative

    so a comprehensive review based on science would move the decimal point to the left, at least to .025 mS/year, and perhaps .0025 mS.

    Quite the opposite actually. A comprehensive review based on your assumptions might, but based on science they would use real world data with real people. Even with the decades of medical data we have today, exposure from numerous CT Scans, regional radon exposures, and other sources, there is still no evidence in the real population that there are any negative effects from low dose radiation, and it is increasingly clear that the existing safety limits are ultra conservative. Those limits are based on decades old war era studies that observed effects of huge radiation doses which dropped off at lower rates to non-observable percentages. In the interest of being conservatively safe in a world where nuclear fear was at an all time high, they simply drew an almost linear correlation from the high does cases down to zero. But it is quite clear that once you get down into ranges even several times higher than safety limits, no actual increase in cancers or similar are found.

    The problem is the old issue of proving the negative combined with a societal mus-perception of radiation exposure risk. There is little incentive in society to improve on the outdated basis we are using.

  12. Re:headed in the wrong direction...riiight! by Chas · · Score: 3, Informative

    Never mind that, even were all nuclear power stations (and their accumulated waste waste), and the effects of every nuclear test in history to disappear from the planet TODAY, you'd STILL be living in an environment FILLED with radiation.

    And how do you explain places like Guarapari Brazil, with its naturally radioactive beaches? Where the average exposure a year is 175 mS? Yet they don't have higher instances of cancer and radiation-related disease?

    I'm sorry, your views of radiation, and its place in nature are uneducated, fear-driven and have no real basis in "science".

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  13. Re:Banquiao, baby. 230,000 killed by hydroelectric by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

    Fukishima killed 1,000 people, which is really sad.

    Nobody was killed from the nuclear accident at Fukushima. Some were killed by the Tsunami, of course. Workers have been injured from construction type activities, but it is nowhere near 1,000.

  14. Re:Fukushima, Baby by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

    Not to mention, most of the exclusion zone is perfectly safe right now, just precautionary and logistics reasons are keeping much of that area in the zone.

  15. Re:There is no "safe" amount of ionizing radiation by Chas · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sorry, but YES.

    This isn't about "brighter colors" and "whiter whites".

    It's about providing for the world's energy needs WITHOUT massive greenhouse gas pollution, whose effects could kill off significant chunks of life on this planet.

    Unless YOU want to be one of the unlucky 99% who is volunteering to go shiver and starve in a cave someplace.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  16. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 2

    For example, from this it was predictated that CT scans cause cancer with a very low probability and this has recently been confirmed.

    No, this is false. There are estimates of case probabilities based on the same old data that was used to determine safety limits, but although there are continued efforts to find a statistical increase in the real world, none has been observed despite a the huge number of CT scans that have been performed.

  17. Re:There is no "safe" amount of ionizing radiation by bidule · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm sick and tired of the notion that it's OK to pollute, as long as you don't pollute "too much."

    If it isn't "too much", it isn't pollution.

    In a sense, breathing and pissing are polluting but as long as the ecosystem can handle it you are in a sustainable pattern.

    --
    ID: the nose did not occur naturally, how would we wear glasses otherwise? (apologies to Voltaire)
  18. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Uecker · · Score: 2, Informative

    It is the common view of the scientific community that no amount of ionizing radiation is safe.

    That is incorrect. It is one of several common views. Argument from consensus is not scientific, especially when the consensus doesn't actually exist.

    Here is a relative new review: http://dx.doi.org/10.1259/bjr/...

    This is a fallacy. The threshold should be set on the estimated benefits of a higher threshold vs the estimated harm from the additional radiation. The background radiation has nothing to with it.

    I agree. But a high natural background radiation indicates that the estimated harm is likely very overstated.

    No, you didn't get it. I will try with a car analogy: There are about 30000 fatal accidents with motor cycles per year in the US. This does not mean that the harm (16 deaths total or so) from GM's ignition key issue was overstated. The harm was huge relative to the minor cost savings. The other deaths are simply irrelevant to this consideration.

  19. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Uecker · · Score: 2

    Pearce et al., Radiation exposure from CT scans in childhood and subsequent risk of leukaemia and brain tumours: a retrospective cohort study, The Lancet 2012;380:499-505

    First sentence of the discussion section: "In this retrospective cohort study, we show significant associations between the estimated radiation doses provided by CT scans to red bone marrow and brain and subsequent incidence of leukaemia and brain tumours."

  20. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Uecker · · Score: 3, Informative

    The other deaths are simply irrelevant to this consideration.

    No, they indicate that society accepts a certain level of harm from automobiles. The "minor cost savings" is capped from above before it is just not worth doing.

    The overall harm society accepts for mobility is unrelated to the question whether a couple of lifes are worth the cost of an improved ignitation key.

  21. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Uecker · · Score: 3, Informative

    I see your point, but I do not agree to the idea that society, by tolerating fatalities from traffic accidents, has accepted a universal trade-off between risk of death and cost. (There are many problems with this idea: how would you quantify the total value of mobility? Also society is not one single entity but consits of many different people with different interests. Cost and risks are also not equally distributed, e.g.. why should society trade a cost to GM with a risk of death to others?). But this is also irrelevant to the original question: The natural background radiation is nothing society has voluntarily accepted.

  22. You fail statistics forever. Science too! by Chas · · Score: 2

    There's no such thing as "zero" radiation.

    You'd DIE in a zero-radiation environment, as your body and its symbionts are accustomed to certain levels of naturally occurring radiation in the background.

    Also, contrary to your assertion, there's no such thing as a linear progression of exposure levels to cancer.

    Average background radiation is usually between 1-3 mS. But there are places like Guarapari, Brazil, where the background radiation is something in excess of 175 mS.

    But you do NOT find 175x the instances of cancer there.

    Try again.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  23. Re:headed in the wrong direction by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

    (Pretty pointless to have a 1mSv/year limit when you have had a population of millions living in twice that for a couple of millennium without any measurable problems.)

    Indeed, this is even measurable. 1mSv/year is average, if variations caused significant differences in cancer rates you'd expect it to readily show in in areas like Colorado vs Mississippi.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  24. Re:headed in the wrong direction by gdshaw · · Score: 2

    Background levels are around 1 mS/year. So why advocate thresholds more than two orders of magnitude lower than what people normally get in a year? I just don't think science has much to do with your choice of thresholds.

    This is a fallacy. The threshold should be set on the estimated benefits of a higher threshold vs the estimated harm from the additional radiation. The background radiation has nothing to with it.

    It would be a fallacy if background levels were fixed and unavoidable. They're not. So long as people are allowed to and choose to travel by air, and live in areas with above-average background radiation, it is reasonable to argue that nuclear power should be held to a similar standard.

    (Granted that medical imaging is different because you would normally be doing it for a good medical reason.)

  25. Re:headed in the wrong direction by mdsolar · · Score: 2

    Bogus. We are adapted to background radiation but it still causes cancers. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R...

  26. Re:There is no "safe" amount of ionizing radiation by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative

    Yep, I think we can all agree that it's worth a few punkin' headed babies and/or a couple of deaths so the rest of us can have brighter colors and whiter whites.

    That's the tradeoff we make with vaccination programs. A small percentage of kids who are vaccinated get sick, and a few of them die every year. But we still vaccinate everyone because the benefits far outweigh those costs.

    The flaw in your reasoning (it's a pretty common flawed line of reasoning, not just yours, so I'm not picking on you) is that you're trying to compare against a nonexistent zero state. Radiation can cause death. If there were no radiation, there would be no deaths. Therefore we must avoid radiation. Likewise, if we didn't vaccinate, those kids who died from vaccination wouldn't die. Therefore we shouldn't vaccinate.

    To do a correct comparison, you can't compare to a zero state. You must take into account opportunity costs; you have to compare with alternative equivalent states. Without vaccination, far more people would die from the diseases we're vaccinating against. Without nuclear power, the world loses 13% of its electricity. The harm from that far exceeds the few deaths from even Fukushima-level accidents. Or if you replaced that nuclear generation with the next most-viable alternative (coal/gas), the emissions from those are far more harmful than the radiation hazards from nuclear. Even if you managed to replace them with wind and solar, the number of deaths installing and maintaining all those turbines and rooftop panels (roughly 11,000 turbines for a Fukushima-level plant, or 4.8 million homes with 40 m^2 of panels installed on each of their roofs) far exceeds the number that nuclear has killed.*

    * Math for the wind/solar comparison:

    • The Fukushima plant had 4696 MWe of nominal generating capacity.
    • Nuclear has a capacity factor of 0.9, so in a year it produced on average 90% of that, or 4226.4 MW.
    • Average wind turbine generates about 1.5 MWe peak.
    • Onshore wind's capacity factor is about 0.25 on the high end, so in a year that turbine produces an average 375 kW.
    • You'd need 11270 1.5MW turbines to equal Fukushima's output.
    • PV Solar using high-end 20% efficient panels generates about 150 W/m^2 peak.
    • Average rooftop installation is about 20 m^2, but the roof size is about 40 m^2. So 6 kW peak.
    • Solar's capacity factor in the U.S. is 0.145. So on average the rooftop would generate 870 Watts.
    • You'd need 4.86 million rooftops to equal Fukushima's output.
    • Working in high places is dangerous. Roofing is the 5th most dangerous job in the U.S., at 34.7 fatalities per 100,000 workers each year.
    • If a solar installation requires 3 roof-top workers and they can do 100 installs per year, you'd expect 51 deaths per year vs. an estimated about 30 deaths from cancer caused by Fukushima's radiation release in a once-per-25-year accident.
    • I can't find stats for turbine worker fatality rates, but wind already kills about 5-10 maintenance workers per year while providing less than 1/10th the world's electricity that nuclear does.
  27. Re:headed in the wrong direction by fnj · · Score: 4, Interesting

    So long as people ... live in areas with above-average background radiation

    Which is to say, forever. By definition precisely one half of the population live with background radiation above the median level. That can be stated without any knowledge whatsoever of what that median level is or what the distribution is. It is a truism. I'm not aware of the precise statisic for percentage living with above average background radiation, but for example we do know that the natural background radiation in Finland is about three times that in the UK.

  28. Re:Fossil fuel plants get to radiate us all they w by sjames · · Score: 2

    The key stat though is the radiation released. Coal plants release far more than nuclear plants. It really is silly to treat that emission with less care than emissions from a nuclear plant.

  29. increased cancer risk by raymorris · · Score: 2

    The 1,000 figure is based on increased cancer risk. See von Hippel 2011 for details.