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Oso Disaster Had Its Roots In Earlier Landslides

vinces99 writes: The disastrous March 22 landslide that killed 43 people in the rural Washington state community of Oso involved the "remobilization" of a 2006 landslide on the same hillside, a new federally sponsored geological study concludes. The research indicates the landslide, the deadliest in U.S. history, happened in two major stages. The first stage remobilized the 2006 slide, including part of an adjacent forested slope from an ancient slide, and was made up largely or entirely of deposits from previous landslides. The first stage ultimately moved more than six-tenths of a mile across the north fork of the Stillaguamish River and caused nearly all the destruction in the Steelhead Haven neighborhood. The second stage started several minutes later and consisted of ancient landslide and glacial deposits. That material moved into the space vacated by the first stage and moved rapidly until it reached the trailing edge of the first stage, the study found. "Perhaps the most striking finding is that, while the Oso landslide was a rare geologic occurrence, it was not extraordinary," said Joseph Wartman, a University of Washington associate professor of civil and environmental engineering and a team leader for the study.

10 of 64 comments (clear)

  1. eh? by sociocapitalist · · Score: 2

    To summarize the summary: "The most striking finding is that...it was not extraordinary."

    Not to belittle the loss of those involved but it's always a bit much that 43 dead in the US = catastrophe. If this had happened in Asia or Africa it wouldn't make the news unless hundreds or thousands had been killed.

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    1. Re:eh? by John.Banister · · Score: 2

      I reckon 43 being killed in a short period of time by a single natural occurrence would make someone's local news. It's just that their local news wouldn't make Slashdot. I also think - not to belittle the ability of those Asians or Africans you mention to keep their people from dying - that when more than twenty people dying in a short period of time from the same cause happens fewer than twenty times a year in their country, then those happenings will be highlighted as catastrophes in their national news media also.

    2. Re:eh? by paiute · · Score: 2

      To summarize the summary: "The most striking finding is that...it was not extraordinary."

      Not to belittle the loss of those involved but it's always a bit much that 43 dead in the US = catastrophe. If this had happened in Asia or Africa it wouldn't make the news unless hundreds or thousands had been killed.

      You are assuming that the Oso slide made the Asian and African news outlets.

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    3. Re:eh? by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 3, Insightful

      To summarize the summary: "The most striking finding is that...it was not extraordinary."

      Not to belittle the loss of those involved but it's always a bit much that 43 dead in the US = catastrophe. If this had happened in Asia or Africa it wouldn't make the news unless hundreds or thousands had been killed.

      Who cares what it's called? No one I know of is trying to compare this to the horrific losses in Japan after the tsunami, or other major disasters around the world. It was a big deal to us here in WA state (and I heard the terms "disaster" and "tragedy" used more often anyhow). An entire square mile of mud 10 to 40 feet thick wiped entire families and/or all their property from the face of the earth in an instance. Whatever you want to call it, it was pretty awful for everyone involved - including the rescuers.

      If my next-door neighbor gets robbed or had their house burned down, that would be a big deal to our local little neighborhood. Someone in the next town over might sympathize, if they heard about it at all. It wouldn't get reported on the other side of the country. That's just the reality of life, and it's nothing to wring our hands over.

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  2. a question.... by thephydes · · Score: 2

    I don't live there, but looking at some of the photos, is deforestation potentially part of the problem? Honest question for which I expect to be flamed by some.... but there it is.

    1. Re:a question.... by penix1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No. Deforestation is not the problem. The problem is the entire area is a natural slide area because of the soil type. People encroached on that slide area and expected it to be stable (much the same as they encroach on floodplains and barrier islands and wetlands).

      No, what "caused" the loss of life more than anything was people moving into a high risk area.

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    2. Re:a question.... by timeOday · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What is the solution? Other than allowing insurance companies to price such considerations into their policies, I don't see one. Simply zoning the land into oblivion by law is too crude, given that many places come with risks to varying degree. Money is practically the only way to get people to think quantitatively, and insurance companies have the resources to factor in things like environmental studies whereas individuals do not.

  3. Re:Watching the hourglass by demachina · · Score: 2

    Sand slides in an hour glass are instances of "Self Organizing Criticality"

    There is a book

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    @de_machina
  4. Well, this is a waste of time. by B33rNinj4 · · Score: 2

    I really like how instead of intelligent discourse about the triggers for the landslide and any possible ways to prevent/predict future landslides, people latch on to one phrase, and use it to belittle the media or other political stances. It's like those Christian right-wing people obsessively throwing the word "hypothesis" around to justify their idiotic creationist beliefs. Was it a tragedy? Yes. Was it a disaster? Yes. Is that was this discussion is about? No. Please take it somewhere else, so we can continue to discussion.

  5. Re:OSO by CauseBy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The real problem was that libertarians fought hard and demanded the right to die in a landslide, and then they won that right. Famously kooky Richard A. Epstein and his political brethren demanded that big government bureaucrats stay out of his business when they tried to tell him that he lived underneath an inevitable landslide. He went to political meetings and courtrooms angrily demanding his right to live and die however he wanted. He got his way. I personally have zero sympathy for them. They were asshats who wouldn't accept good advice when it was given to them. They deserve to become lessons to the rest of us.

    I also reject the suggest that his hard-fought freedom made his life better. No, it didn't He could have lived equally well a quarter mile down the road where the rest of us wouldn't have to pay a bunch of money and do a bunch of work dealing with the disaster that befell him. It could have been a landslide onto an unoccupied hillside, but no, because of that jackass and his jackass friends we all have to deal with it as a human tragedy.

    Screw them. They don't like it when we tell them not to live under disaster-prone hillsides? Well I don't like it when I have to clean up his postmortem mess. Preventing this mess is why we tried so many times to tell him not to live there in the first place.