Would Scottish Independence Mean the End of UK's Nuclear Arsenal?
Lasrick writes The referendum on Scottish independence on September 18th affects more than just residents of the United Kingdom. All of the UK's nuclear deterrent is located in Scotland, and Alex Salmond and the Scottish government have pledged to safely remove and permanently ban nuclear weapons from Scottish territory within the first term of a newly independent parliament.
Nope
They would just move it to England. Or Wales.
This might be the least intelligent question I've seen on Slashdot.
the Ministry of Defence has said that removing Trident to the English coast would be extremely difficult and abhorrently costly. Great Britain has thus staked out its position as having no fallback, arguing that even if one did exist, it would be a logistical and financial nightmare. This would be all well and good—if the Scottish government was not especially clear that it will remove the weapons as quickly and safely as possible after independence. With Scotland at that point an independent state, the remaining United Kingdom would have no legal authority to prevent this from happening.
Interesting. I would've thought diverse sites would be part of the strategy from the get-go with this sort of thing. Eggs in one basket, and all that
I guess we would have to detonate them all the second Scotland declares independence ;)
Mean Russia gave up its nuclear arsenal? This title is a very stupid question. The rest of the UK is not going to give up the nukes because Scotland wants to secede, and Scotland will turn them over if it wants to ever have military cooperation from the rest of the UK, let alone the Five Eyes countries and probably NATO.
I believe Alex has mentioned before that "when" Scotland breaks free, they'll try and use their current position of being British to just seamlessly slot into NATO and the EU. I wonder if theyre allowed to stay Nuclear free zone whilst being in NATO.
More likely, the threat to remove the Nuclear weapons is a way of renting out the bases from the new English Commonwealth (or whatever us English will end up calling ourselves, most tend to coin the nUK moniker) goverment. Its a great distraction amongst the fact they'll not get a monetary union, Spain will veto their EU plans (over their own want-to-breakaway regions doing the same thing in the future).
I for one would be interested to see how an independent Scotland fares I wish them all the best, but more then anything, it will mean England finally gets their own parliament as well, kinda stupid that Scotland has power over England but not vice versa. Devo Max (if they vote No) would just make us even more jealous/angry over the whole situation. Maybe the marriage has run it course since our integration. Shame the Tories will be our government forever whilst we lose all the Labour voters north of Hadrians wall...
This was long then expected!
The Government have already looked into moving it and all the jobs related to it from Faslane to Portsmouth or Plymouth - sure, it will cost a few billion to move, but that's peanuts compared to how much Scottish independence will ultimately cost to enact. While the new base is being built and readied for use, the submarines will be homed at a US port already familiar with Trident.
The real question is what are Scotland going to do about their currency post-independence? Parroting the same old lines about a currency union is getting old, especially as all major UK parties have said it will not happen - sure, Scotland could continue to use the Pound long term without permission from the UK, but they want a say in monetary policy, interest rates and a seat at the table on the Bank of England monetary committee, which is what has been turned down by the UK parties.
And yet Salmond and his crew keep saying it will happen (their favourite line is quoting an unnamed "senior civil servant" as saying "of course it will happen" - an unnamed source saying it will versus the heads of all major UK parties saying it won't...) and refuse to outline any other plan.
Betteridge says no.
We'll just have to fine somewhere else to stick them.
Besides, the deterrant actually lives at sea. It's the ones not currently being a deterrent which are berthed.
I do find the anti-nuke stance naive and a bit pathetic personally. Sure, the world would be a nicer place without nukes. However, it's late 1940s tech and people who don't like you also have them.
If one wants to be all "nice" and "give them up" you're implicitly asking the US, UK/England and France to basically step in if something bad happens. It's basically freeloading since they know that the other countries will step in (as they have before) if they really have to.
Then again, a good part of King Salmond's personal independence movement seems to be about freeloading so that figures.
SJW n. One who posts facts.
I hope it does mean the end of the weapons of mass destruction we have north of Glasgow, removing Trident is one of the major reasons for voting yes to independence next month. It's a shame this is the only issue that has caused it to be brought up on Slashdot.
In reality the submarines can be housed in England but politically many people in England don't want nuclear bombs next to one of their major cities. That London based politicians think it's fine to put them next to one of Scotland's major cities shows why we need this referendum.
That is what Scottish independence would mean. But WTF, break what is left of the Kingdom up if you must.
Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
Anyone stupid enough to just dismantle nukes instead of selling them is a moron.
I sure hope that fat stupid prick doesn't get in to power, Scotland will be destroyed.
He is genuinely ignorant as to how international relations and economy works.
Independent Scotland will thrive while England, Wales and NI will go down the shithole (they're already halfway there).
Scotland in the EU will be a great plus. As for England, just ostracise that damn country. Or better give it away to the Americans. Although I don't think the Americans would be so fucking stupid as to take that island of crazies as a colony.
It should be noted that the nuclear armoury is based only 15 miles from Scotland's most populous area, the city of Glasgow -- which in the politics of the union is totally fine so long as it's nowhere near English cities. The system has had multiple failures and there have been attempted coverups of accidents at Coulport (where the weapons are stored). The Royal Navy also stores the decrepit and rusting nuclear submarines at Rosyth, a mere 10 miles from Edinburgh, our capital city. Again the thought of storing these at Southampton or Portsmouth would not be considered because it's too close to English who don't want rusting nuclear vessels in their backyard.
Senior MOD officials have been on the back foot in this debate even though most UK military assets have already been removed from Scotland (airbases have been shut and army decimated). Rather like in a divorce where one party tries to remove as many assets as possible before a possible split. The problem with the nuclear armoury is that none of the other areas of the UK want it and it would be political suicide for an English MP to accept into their area.
Scotland, if the vote is YES next month, would be a small country and it would not be right to have nuclear arms. Scotland wants to set an example by not having them on our soil. Scotland has only been invaded by one country in the last 1000 years, it's a country to our south. Scots like the English (this is not an anti-English referendum) - we just don't like the arseholes in Westminster telling us what to do (neither does large areas of England as it happens)
To learn more about the Scottish independence, see The Wee Blue Book
No. "I fart in your general direction"
bickerdyke
The whole UK nuclear deterrent is a colossal waste of money anyway. It would be far better to get rid of them (who do they deter? who would we use them against? And in the case of a global thermonuclear war it wouldn't even make a difference anyway) and spend the money on conventional forces that we can actually use and probably are more of a deterrent to potential enemies.
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If UK no longer is a country possessing nuclear bombs it would be a big PLUS for the world
This world needs fewer countries which have nuclear bombs, not more
Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
Surely this will be a decision to be made by the first independent government. Alex Salmond may not be the majority leader. The SNP may not get a single vote (I can't think why anyone would want to vote for them afterwards).
If Independent Scotland chooses to ban nuclear weapons then that is theiur right as an independent state. If they choose not to that is also their right. But whether they actually do or not is a matter of national party politics, and notpart of the independdence movement. The fact that they will have the decision is a matter for the independence debate but what that decision should be is no.
Salmond seems to think the referendum is bout electing him Scotland's president.
I am delighted to confirm that we have made plans to resite our Nuclear Deterrent. After much consultation and with the agreement of the Legislative Assembly, I am pleased to announce that in the event of a Referendum "yes" vote, the UK will be breaking ground on a new facility in the Falkland Islands.
This is an immensely popular decision that has the full support of all our inhabitants, stated the Chief Executive of the Legislative Assembly.
On hearing this announcement Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, President of Argentina, wept before exploding into flames.
Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
Karma: Chameleon
The real question is why is anyone talking about Scottish independence? There's no popular support for it and the numbers are fairly stable. It's simply not happening.
Would Martians prefer chocolate or vanilla ice cream if they existed? What color is bigfoot's fur?
there's no USSR
for the moment, but Putin is on top of it
Who logs in to gdm? Not I, said the duck.
"My other half is from Inverness. ALL, repeat ALL of her family will leave by the end of the year is there is a Yes vote in September".
Great, that means there will be lots of cheap houses for sale in that beautiful, tranquil (except near Lossiemouth) part of the world. Where are those estate agent pages?
I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
The americans have enough already .. there's no USSR .. I wonder why they'd want to maintain an "arsenal" .. wouldnt a few thermo tipped pencils be enough deterrent ?
Ultimately, yes, because you can't expect another country, even a close ally, to risk nuclear war for you. The UK can't guarantee that the States would retaliate if necessary, especially since they would be bringing likely retaliation, and millions of American citizens deaths, on themselves. Nuclear warheads suck, but once you have them you damn well keep them, otherwise the deterrent doesn't work.
There isn't any USSR, however Russia is still a nuclear power and there is many other nuclear power countries: China, USA, Pakistan, India, North Korea, France and possibly Iran at least. Not having this in your arsenal is to rely on someone else in the event of a nuclear war, even if the probability for such an event is low. In some sense, you put your soveignty in the hands of someone else in that case. That's the reason why UK will not throw away its nuclear arsenal.
Also, having more than one country in the NATO having such an arsenal is also a major argument against anyone who would like to start an nuclear conflict thinking suffice to neutralize and target only the one with nuclear warheads.
Achille Talon
Hop!
He wrote to EDF power and told them he'd not object to extending the life of their reactors. Quite simply he's lying to the electorate to get the vote.
Mr Salmond wrote to the EDF Chief Executive Vincent de Rivaz, after holding a meeting with him in May:
Mr Salmond’s letter, obtained by Channel 4 News, said that: “ provided the necessary stringent safety considerations are met, we are not opposed to life extensions for Hunterston B and Torness.”
http://blogs.channel4.com/michael-crick-on-politics/salmond-tells-edf-independent-gov-nuclear-plants/4307
"Anyone stupid enough to just dismantle nukes instead of selling them is a moron".
Thanks, that's the best laugh I've had this year! So, to whom do you suggest selling the British nuclear deterrent:
1. The USA (which sold it to us years ago, doesn't accept trade-ins, and has masses of more up-to-date equipment of its own);
2. The potential enemies against whom the deterrent has been directed;
3. Or nations that currently don't have nuclear weapons (thus breaking the NNP treaty and making the world a far more dangerous place)?
Or perhaps you would prefer they be sold directly to a terrorist group?
I am sure that there are many other solipsists out there.
Currently estimated to cost 50 billion pounds. This will be straw that broke the proverbial camel's back. And not for the first time. In the late 1970's the UK seriously considered abandoning its nuclear force since it was unaffordable and the country was broke. So there's a good chance that if their option is to spend all that money building a new submarine base, which would take years and years before it's operational then they may decide to toss all of it. They're not thrilled with leaving France as the sole European nuclear power but there you have it. And the upside is that when Britain becomes another insane caliphate, at least they won't have atomic weapons.
Great, that means there will be lots of cheap houses for sale in that beautiful, tranquil (except near Lossiemouth) part of the world. Where are those estate agent pages?
Second this. Always dreamed of an estate there, I like rain and I drive AWD.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
"Not having this in your arsenal is to rely on someone else in the event of a nuclear war ..."
Oh look, they're having a nuclear war, let's join in. What a great excuse.
'400 rads, ladies and gentlemen. A lethal dose to anyone within ten yards. Get it while it's hot!'
I'll see you for a pint in the Gellions bar.
However it seems to me that you did not understand the question - which was : what to do with deterrent if there is nobody to deter?
You have a point about a libertarian source. But a communist source would be considered leftist by both the mainstream left and the mainstream right. What you're looking for is opposing perceptions of bias from other media.
You seemed to have missed Israel on your list of nuclear countries, but included Iran a non-nuclear country on your list.
There is a problem with nuclear bombs these days. It's not that any of the countries that have them are going to use them, in all honesty, it seems like the places that have them have no desire to use them.
So pissing off the countries that don't have them, means that if they can find a way to get them, they will use them on us. Why? Because No countries that have them will use them in retaliation.
So in all honesty, the best bet would be to get rid of them all, so no one can get their hand on them and use them.
They aren't protecting us anymore, they aren't protecting anyone anymore.
Be seeing you...
The UK's deterrent isn't like France's really. The US supplies most of the Trident missile system with the UK putting its own warheads on (I think we still do that, at least we used to make them at Aldermaston). The thing is it's not really an independent deterrent. The UK doesn't need US permission before using it but it's almost totally dependent on US technology to launch and maintain it. Regardless the deterrent was really only design to guarantee that the UK could completely flatten Moscow in the event of Russian aggression against the UK. I'm not too sure such a capability is all that relevant any more.
Generally, that's what Ukraine thought when it gave up it's nuclear weapons. Working pretty well for them, isn't it?
Though to be fair, they chose not to join NATO.
More like:
UK: "Oh, they're firing nukes at our cities. Hey, USA, bestest bud, could you retaliate with your nukes please?"
USA: "That'd make us a target as well, so no, sorry, you're on your own."
UK: "Well fuck."
Are you thinking of one of the Americas as an ally?
One of today's Americas?
No brain, no pain.
The UK's deterrent isn't like France's really. The US supplies most of the Trident missile system with the UK putting its own warheads on (I think we still do that, at least we used to make them at Aldermaston). The thing is it's not really an independent deterrent. The UK doesn't need US permission before using it but it's almost totally dependent on US technology to launch and maintain it. Regardless the deterrent was really only design to guarantee that the UK could completely flatten Moscow in the event of Russian aggression against the UK. I'm not too sure such a capability is all that relevant any more.
Thing is, *is* that the only requirement, and is it going to be the requirement in 20 years, 40 years? I can't say, of course nobody can, so I'd rather keep it.
On the other hand would anyone nuke the UK if they didn't had any nukes?
What suck is if the world get less powerful against the terrorists and Islamists.
Not really. Modern Russia is different to USSR in almost every way imaginable, including the things that were actually good.
The only country closely resembling the USSR of old would be Belarus.
"It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
So it is good to have them - I agree, I also have this warm fuzzy feeling when I think about all these nukes stationed nearby.
However it seems to me that you did not understand the question - which was : what to do with deterrent if there is nobody to deter?
Given that you don't know that there's not going to be anyone to deter - you can't be sure now and definitely not about 20 years in the future - you keep it. Russia is hardly a benign friend now.
There's a big jump from "thankfully we don't seem to have a need for this anymore" to "we can get rid of them permanently because they will never be useful again"
do not want the weapons stored in Scotland never mind 20 miles from our largest city.
The prospective sites such as in the Plymouth/Southhampton area were deemed "too close to population centres" for the MOD..... hmmmmm but it's ok to lob them next door to Scotlands largest most populated city???
and they wonder why the YES vote is rising and rising???? well that amongst other things.
What is HILARIOUS is unionists tryto say "oh but Scotland wouldn't not get into NATO" or some such utter bullshit..... again the vast majority of NATO members have no nuclear capability.
personally i cannot wait to cast my vote and get the unionm, irt's nuclear weapons and it's fucking hideous foreign policy and domestic policies to fuck out of Scotland.
At any rate the Mutually assured destruction philosophy ios hardly relevant these days in how wars are waged and they certainly don't deter any terrorist act.... and have never done....personally i'd rather spend the money of schools,hospitals and pther such projects to boost and enrich the population rather than squander over 100 BILLIONS on a replacement for those fucking weapons and i say this as a Veteran of the Parachute Regiment who served from Northern Ireland to the 1st gulf war to Bosnia..... Alba gu brath agus Saor Alba
Is it just me or did anyone else visualize the warheads of these missiles being painted with mean looking sheep with fangs and red eyes...
Or perhaps sexy sheep in alluring pinup poses ah la fighter plans in WW2... :)
Anyone stupid enough to just dismantle nukes instead of selling them is a moron.
I sure hope that fat stupid prick doesn't get in to power, Scotland will be destroyed. He is genuinely ignorant as to how international relations and economy works.
holy fuck... now here speaks a typical unionist.. this referendum isn't about Alex Salmond it's about the constitutional future and the future for our children in Scotland.
When it comes to who is the First Minister post independence.. that's what election are for you blatant fucking MORON.....
As for being ignorant on economics.. he's an economist and specialised in oil and worked in that for fucking years.
Thgis makes him more qualified than that pretty much all the Westminster chancellors put together.. such as the latest one.. with a degree in art history... I mean really? is this the best debate you can put forward? no nonder you posted AC.. typical unthinking dogmatic moronic unionist bilge.... just like the "better together2 campaign declared that if Scotland became independent the roaming charges would be horrendous in Europe for Scots... and this on the same day the EU announced the end of roaming charges.. LOL,
. You sir are genuinely ignorant.... about everything especially Scotland,it's politics,what would happen post independence and it's political personalities
Again I stress this referendum has nothing to do with salmond and everything to do with independence... hence the name.. the independence referendum!
People don't like to admit it but the existence of Nuclear weapons has prevented a major conflagration between the `big powers', at least since the Korean War (MacArthur wanted to use them there, his boss didn't).
Britain does not have a nuclear deterrent what they do have is the U.S. Trident missile, even though they pay for the Trident missile the U.S. control it and have the launch codes for it. If the U.K. wishes to use the Trident missile they have to contact the U.S. first and ask permission to use it as only the U.S. has the launch codes.
Israel consistently denies their possession of nukes, so they don't count. On the other hand, Iran consistently denies their possession of nukes, so they must have them.
Putin's model is a combination of both.
Scotland wants a formal currency union.
Rest of the UK needs their nukes and has no place to put them.
A deal would be done where Scotland keeps the nukes on her shores until a suitable replacement site can be built, this would take a least 10 years, it's been suggested privately already by some Tory minister (I'm sure it was The Guardian that ran the story at the time). That said, this is all moot since the vote isn't going to pass unfortunetly.
its not like scotland would own those weapons. Just move them to the UK and continue business as usual...
I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
Why have you omitted Israel from your list of nuclear powers? And why have you included Iran which does not as yet possess such weapons?
http://www.acetonestudio.com
Bullshit.
http://www.acetonestudio.com
Riding the UK of Arsenal would be the best thing to happen! Think of all the Gooners they could clear out.
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People don't like to admit it but the existence of Nuclear weapons has prevented a major conflagration between the `big powers', at least since the Korean War (MacArthur wanted to use them there, his boss didn't).
Yup. It is certainly a big factor preventing war over the Ukraine. If the Ukraine had nuclear weapons, it would probably remain intact.
Would the US nuke China over an invasion of Japan? Probably not.
Would the US nuke Russia over an invasion of Germany, France, or the UK? Probably not.
In the end, when you're talking about doomsday the stakes are pretty high. Just letting the other guy invade your ally tends to look like a very good option. If you don't want to get invaded, having your own nukes is better than relying on somebody else's.
The only reasonable choice is selling them back to the rest of the UK, I guess? If that's not what he meant I have no idea.
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It's a bit presumptuous of him to be setting out policy for the first government of independent Scotland. Is it not going to be a democracy?
All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
'400 rads, ladies and gentlemen. A lethal dose to anyone within ten yards. Get it while it's hot!'
"'Azure' is a codeword indicating that the property is under some kind of electronic surveillance." Which is amusing, because Grogan rather reminds me of Bill Gates.
Sir Humphrey: Russians? Who's talking about the Russians?
Hacker: Well, the independent deterrent.
Sir Humphrey: It's to protect us against the French!
Hacker: The French?! But that's astounding!
Sir Humphrey: Why?
Hacker: Well they're our allies, our partners.
Sir Humphrey: Well, they are now, but they've been our enemies for the most of the past 900 years. If they've got the bomb, we must have the bomb!
Hacker: If it's for the French, of course, that's different. Makes a lot of sense.
Sir Humphrey: Yes. Can't trust the Frogs.
Hacker: You can say that again!