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Drought Inspires a Boom In Pseudoscience, From Rain Machines To 'Water Witches'

merbs (2708203) writes Across drought-stricken California, farmers are desperate for water. Now, many of them are calling dowsers. These "water witches," draped in dubious pseudoscience or self-assembled mythologies—or both—typically use divining rods and some sort of practiced intuition to "find" water. The professional variety do so for a fee. And business is booming. They're just part of a storied tradition of pseudoscientific hucksters exploiting our thirst for water, with everything from cloudbusters to rainmachines to New Age rituals.

25 of 266 comments (clear)

  1. 1st post by deadweight · · Score: 4, Funny

    Dowsers? They need THIS http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A...

  2. It's OK to attack mythology and superstition... by mythosaz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...unless someone was taught it over a series of Sundays. :/

    I suppose ignorance on things like this is generational, and we'll stamp it out slowly, like racism or smoking.

    1. Re:It's OK to attack mythology and superstition... by mythosaz · · Score: 4, Funny

      To quote Cecil Adams:

      Fighting ignorance since 1973 -- It's taking longer than we thought.

    2. Re:It's OK to attack mythology and superstition... by onkelonkel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Too true. People believe, because they were taught to believe, from an early age by people they trust. The vast majority of Christians (insert religion of your choice here) are Christian by an accident of birth. They are Christian because they had Christian parents. Had they been born in Mumbai, to Hindu parents, they would be Hindus.

      If you want a good laugh ask a Christian why they believe in God and Jesus and the Holy spirit, but not in Zeus or Odin or Brahma, Vishnu and Shiva. If you get anything other than circular logic or "because" let me know.

      --
      None of them can see the clouds; The polished wings don't care.
    3. Re:It's OK to attack mythology and superstition... by LordLimecat · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Too true. People believe, because they were taught to believe, from an early age by people they trust. The vast majority of Christians (insert religion of your choice here) are Christian by an accident of birth.

      You have a source for that? Anecdotally from my church a large percentage of folks joining came to faith later in life (college, etc). Looking at a poll on this indicates that thats about right-- 40% or so tend to switch from what they were raised with, 60% do not. Im really not sure in what world "60%" forms a vast majority, but whatever.

      Its sort of hillarious to hear people talk of ignorance and then bust out anecdotal and unsupported "facts" like this.

      If you want a good laugh ask a Christian why they believe in God and Jesus and the Holy spirit, but not in Zeus or Odin or Brahma, Vishnu and Shiva. If you get anything other than circular logic or "because" let me know.

      Do you mock Stephen Hawkings declaration that the universe self-created itself because "there is such a thing as gravity", for being circular reasoning? Why not?

    4. Re:It's OK to attack mythology and superstition... by SparkleMotion88 · · Score: 3, Informative

      You have a source for that?

      The poll that you supplied supports GP's argument. From the data, 40% of people change religion after birth, but over half of that is caused by people switching "within the same tradition" (e.g. changing from Baptist to Methodist or Agnostic to Atheist), and most of the rest is people leaving the church altogether. Only 4% of people in the survey were raised outside of religion and later joined a religion. So of all religious people in the survey, 96% got there by being born, and the other 4% were raised non-religious and then later became affiliated with a religion. By any reasonable definition, 96% is a "vast majority".

      As to your anecdote, some denominations (e.g. Charismatic) cater to the "born again" crowd and so will be composed of a lot of converts, which others (Catholic, Episcopal) are composed almost entirely of people who were born or married into the faith.

  3. As it's always gone by quietwalker · · Score: 3, Insightful

    People who are suffering, ignorant, and afraid are more willing to turn to the supernatural - be it religion or superstitions - as a 'solution' to their problems.

    1. Re:As it's always gone by polyphemus · · Score: 3, Informative

      People who are suffering, ignorant, and afraid are more willing to turn to the supernatural - be it religion or superstitions - as a 'solution' to their problems.

      Definitely.

      I see parallels between this and any number of other situations that make people desperate:

      * Cancer patients turning to stem cell "remedies" from quacks who don't bother looking for evidence

      * People with autistic children who can't find a cause so they blame vaccines

      * People who can't see any obvious good options, so they turn to psychics

      Fear is a wonderful tool if you're a charlatan, as it makes your victims less likely to pause and ask whether you're actually qualified to do (or to know) any of the things you claim.

  4. What's the problem? by blue9steel · · Score: 4, Interesting

    As long as the contract stipulates payment only after confirmation of findings, who cares if they use geology or dowsing?

    1. Re:What's the problem? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Let's say I'm a farmer, but I don't want to hire a geologist because a dowser is cheaper. The dowser causes me to dig 3 wells and find water only on the third. Then I pay their flat fee. I have expended resources and time to dig those two previous wells, causing me not to have those resources or time to do other things with. A dowser is less effective than a geologist and bears, at the minimum, a higher opportunity cost over the average (of instances of people searching for water with a dowser instead of a geologist).

      TL;DR: It's called wasting your time. Even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

    2. Re:What's the problem? by idontgno · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A dowser is less effective than a geologist and bears, at the minimum, a higher opportunity cost over the average (of instances of people searching for water with a dowser instead of a geologist).

      A fine economic analysis, but you're forgetting the balance-of-costs comparison.

      If what you saved using a dowser (who, by your own scenario, is cheaper than a geologist) is more than the cost of two wasted wells, the dowser was a cost-effective alternative. In that case.

      If, on the other hand, the dowser wasn't much cheaper, or you had to sink 5 dry wells, or your dowser never finds water, the dowser was a net loss.

      I think that on balance, the latter scenarios are more likely. If you're thinking about choosing dowsing, you're better off just throwing darts at a large map of your property and saving that cost for the same effectiveness.

      But if you're going to do an economic analysis, show all your work.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
  5. Re:Eww.. by epyT-R · · Score: 3, Insightful

    just your county? that employee is a canary. you should feel bad for the whole country.

  6. Could try sacrificing virgins by BenSchuarmer · · Score: 4, Funny

    but it's California, so they may be hard to find.

    1. Re:Could try sacrificing virgins by Jerrry · · Score: 3, Informative

      "but it's California, so they may be hard to find."

      Only if you restrict said virgins to females. There are plenty of male nerd virgins living in their parent's garage (we generally don't have basements here).

  7. Re: A fool and their money by radtea · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know this runs against everything /. but I have seen it work a couple of times.

    Why do you think that an unconfirmed anecdote being presented fallaciously as an argument is against everything /.?

    It would actually be astonishing if no one had "seen it work a couple of times", for several reasons. One, if there were a 100% failure rate dousing would have been abandoned years ago. Even pre-scientific peoples mostly abandoned things that were never, ever correlated with their nominal goals.

    Second, given humans are known to be prone to confirmation bias, we can predict that almost everyone who has ever seen a dowser identify one of the many, many places where water can be found will come away believing "dowsing works".

    So a large number of scientifically illiterate people saying, "Hey I saw it work a few times that proves it's true so I believe it!" is exactly what science would predict if dowsing doesn't work.

    If dowsing did work science would predict a bunch of peer-reviewed studies systematically detailing how accurate it is and investigating the factors that influence it's accuracy.

    We see the former, not the latter.

    Posts like yours actually constitute evidence that dowsing does not work.

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  8. Not surprising by ericloewe · · Score: 3, Funny

    It sounds like a typical reaction:

    "No, I'm afraid we can't fix this. We're going to have to work around our problem... Conserve water, reuse wa.... No, no! Don't pay the fucking witch doctor for a rain dance!"

  9. Re: A fool and their money by Copid · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It would be interesting to see if drilling randomly in 3 other places on the property also generated water at around 70 feet. It could very well be that the property just sits on a lot of shallow water.

    --
    An interesting anagram of "BANACH TARSKI" is "BANACH TARSKI BANACH TARSKI"
  10. Re: A fool and their money by blackest_k · · Score: 4, Informative

    once you get below the level of the water table you find water.
    similar story just outside blarney apart from no douser involved just a big drill that went down until water was found. Ireland has no shortage of water. Outside the cities septic tanks are usual and wells are fairly common place. With water charges coming in for domestic water, there may be a little boom in well digging.

  11. Re: A fool and their money by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    my father called the local dowser in for his house in a remote part of SW Ireland.

    The low areas of Ireland get more than 40 inches of rain a year, and the mountains get as much as 80 inches. I would be much more surprised if he found an area without ground water.

  12. uh no by Charliemopps · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This has nothing to do with farmers, or droughts.

    Plenty of people here on Slashdot believe in:
    Ghosts
    Vaccines cause Autism
    Sugar is poisonous
    Gluten sensitivity
    Alien visitors
    Wifi allergies

    and on and on and on...

    Some people are desperate for water, others are desperate to explain their childs ailments, desperate to explain their own ailments, desperate to live in a world different than our own. Desperate people will believe strange things. Myth is the anesthesia for anguish.

  13. Re: A fool and their money by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Found 3 spots that felt just right, drilled the first, and found water at 70 feet.

    How deep did you have to drill for the holes in the control group?

  14. Re: A fool and their money (Witching Sticks) by HornWumpus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The Amazing Randy has $1 million waiting for you to come and claim. You fucking liar.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  15. 100% would be interesting by DrYak · · Score: 3, Insightful

    One, if there were a 100% failure rate dousing would have been abandoned years ago.

    Actually if the failure rate was exactly 100%, it would be a valuable tool:
    it would very reliabily show where NOT to look for water, and by deduction you'll know that you need to look for water at the remaining NOT dowsed places.

    The real failure rate would be something very high, but not close to 100%.
    By random chance, you're bound to find water, eventually.

    The whole point of a scientific statistical test would be to see if the few successes occur as frequently as random chance, or if dowsing has a slightly higher success rate that could NOT be explained purely by random chance.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
  16. Re: A fool and their money (Witching Sticks) by tompaulco · · Score: 4, Funny

    Gas lines, water lines, sewer lines, coaxial lines, electric lines can all be found with a minimum of effort without witching sticks. All you have to do is go to a random spot, any old spot, it doesn't even have to be within 1000 miles of a human settlement, and dig. If you do not hit one of the above, you will at the very least cut the only fiber connection to an entire continent.

    --
    If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  17. Re:A fool and their money by Pinkfud · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Okay, I'm a geologist. It happens that I live in an intermontane basin filled with alluvium, and I know the water table is about 30 feet down at my location. If I were so inclined, I could take a couple of wires or a willow stick, walk around a bit for show, then "find" a place. I'd tell you to dig 30 feet and you'll find water - and I'd be right. The knowledge this takes is not that hard to acquire, especially if you want to work in a specific region. I suspect many of the "professional" water dowsers are simply doing that and making a buck from credulous buyers. That said, I have seen people do some freaky things with dowsing rods. As a scientist I have to doubt any mystical source, but I admit having had a few WTF moments courtesy of one old fellow I used to know. He would find ore veins - where I knew they actually were, and he couldn't have because I hadn't shared my survey findings. But guess what? Ore veins do affect both the magnetic and gravitational fields. I don't completely discount an ability by some people to detect that - after all, some birds apparently do.

    --
    The world is my oyster. That's why it's always in a stew.