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Wind Power Is Cheaper Than Coal, Leaked Report Shows

merbs writes: A leaked report shows wind is the cheapest energy source in Europe, beating the presumably dirt-cheap coal and gas by a mile. Conventional wisdom holds that clean energy is more expensive than its fossil-fueled counterparts. Yet cost comparisons show that renewable energy sources are often cheaper than their carbon-heavy competition. The report (PDF) demonstrates that if you were to take into account mining, pollution, and adverse health impacts of coal and gas, wind power would be the cheapest source of energy.

28 of 610 comments (clear)

  1. Too bad... by exploder · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Too bad the operators of coal plants don't have to take all that into account.

    --
    Yo dawg, I heard you like the Ackermann function, so OH GOD OH GOD OH GOD
    1. Re:Too bad... by Immerman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We could change that - it's just a pollution tax away.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    2. Re:Too bad... by thesupraman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And too bad they include completely made up additional costs to nuclear (like a cost of heat production - complete BS, and cost of using up uranium resources, when in fact reprocessing reduces that to almost zero very quickly ).

      In other words this is a fluff piece written by some pro-wind political pressure group with the intention of getting some good headlines and hoping no one actually looks at the numbers.

      Put another way, propaganda.

      Enjoy the lies. Pity that environmentalists so often have to resort to them - not many ideals on those idealists.

    3. Re:Too bad... by sycodon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They list all the things they don't like and arbitrarily assign some value to it and claim it as a cost.

      If you have to make shit up in order to justify your cost benefit, there must be no real benefit.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    4. Re:Too bad... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Take away the absurdities, and they've shown that nuclear is by far the most economical solution.

    5. Re:Too bad... by durrr · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "This project was carried out and authored by Ecofys. "
      "Ecofys is a leading knowledge and innovation company in the field of renewable energy, energy efficiency and climate change."

      How surprising that a report written by a renewable energy company found out that renewable energy is best energy.

    6. Re:Too bad... by thesupraman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This.

      Nuclear is safe and cheap - it has killed far less people than ANY other form of power generation per output (including wind and solar, due to the high incidence of installation fatalities).

      It has been politically buried in a mountain of oversight and penalty 'costs' for political reasons - basically a cost created by the cold war 'fear the enemies radiation!' propaganda that was brainwashed in to everyone.

      the REAL negative things about nuclear power these days are:
      The NRC, an organisation that has for far too long held back sensible improvements in this critical part of infrastructure.
      The old, outdated, and unnecessarily less safe reactors being kept live due to the political impossibility of replacing them with modern ones (and even THEN their safety history is pretty damn good compared to alternatives).

      Any TRUE environmentalist should be screaming at the top of their lungs, protesting in the streets, to have more nuclear power built and shut down the damn coal plants that ARE spreading radiation everywhere!

    7. Re:Too bad... by Cyberax · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Hmm.. Let's see. The Sun is getting hotter and the last time the concentration of CO2 was as high as it is now was about 20 millions years ago. At that time there were trees growing in Antarctica and the global temperatures were about 8C hotter than now. The seas were at least 30 meters higher.

      Oh, and since we're not planning to stop spewing CO2 any time soon, it's possible that we'll get its concentration as high as during the period when dinosaurs roamed the Earth and trees were growing near the poles. Are you sure that such sudden change won't overwhelm natural feedback mechanisms?

    8. Re:Too bad... by sumdumass · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And yet your energy costs have not gone down. A quick look shows yhe cost per kilowatt in germany is three times as much as the US and almost twice as expensive as france.

      But hey, as long as they increase your rates at a slower pace it means i'm wrong right? Here is a hint, 25 years ago, germany's eletrical costs were on par with the US. Rates have not gone down in the US. You suppliers are not passing all the savings down. They are banking most of it. BTW wind energy raw costs in the US is about 7-9 cents per kwh(adapted from Mwh). Or course there will be about 4 cents more by the time it reaches a house which is still a fraction of the average cost of electricity in Germany.

      You actually proved my point while feeling good about being raked over.

    9. Re:Too bad... by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Believing that burning ALL fossil fuels would NOT result in a runaway GH is either wishful thinking or just plain ignorance. Science tells us that a runaway GH is the NATURAL fate of our planet and without our help will occur in about 500 million years from now. However if we put our minds to it we could accomplish the same thing in less than a 250yrs.

      Yes there were times in the distant past when CO2 was ten times what it is now but there was also zero oxygen in the atmosphere for about 3.5 billion years, what's your point, do you really think we can't surpass pre-historic levels? There is also more carbon available on the Earth's surface today than a billion years ago, no pixies required, light elements such as carbon are still bleeding to the surface from the molten core via the actions of tectonic plates. These well studied scenarios are not the work of greenpeace, it is text book planetary science that we have known about for over half a century, had you done more thinking and less "criticising" you would already know that.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  2. Article ignores variability by steveha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The article discusses wind power vs. coal and other types of power purely on the basis of cost, with absolutely no discussion of reliability.

    If wind power is as cheap as he claims, then with a reliable storage technology wind would be a total no-brainer. But as it is, wind can only be part of a strategy. You can't count on wind for base load, and when wind varies you need to have other types of power (such as natural gas) ready to pick up the slack.

    I'm hoping that the Ambri liquid metal batteries will do everything that Professor Sadoway claims. If so, they will change everything, and I will be cheering for more wind and solar. Until then, wind power only can serve as a niche producer.

    --
    lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
    1. Re:Article ignores variability by dbIII · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Wind power IS a vast spinning reserve most of the time.
      We're also sitting on a vast number of gas turbines for peaking power that take almost no time to spin up. Power networks are designed for days of maximum usage plus a bit more, plus often some wriggle room in case one of the largest units on the grid at such a time.
      So much fuss about one of many things in the energy mix. I'm sick of this bullshit of cowards just using an item of technology as a proxy to attack a political viewpoint instead of going after that viewpoint directly. Like it or not, windmills are mainstream now and owned by Republicans as well as Greens.

  3. Re:as the birds go by MightyYar · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's true that they kill birds. But so do cars and skyscrapers. And I'd wager that coal - between the waste disposal, emitted mercury, and mining - kills birds, too.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  4. Re:as the birds go by beernutmark · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yep. Pretty certain that Coal kills more birds than wind power. It's just that the birds that coal pollution kills are not killed at the site of the coal plant but all over the globe.

  5. Diseconomies by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Unfortunately our system of economics doesn't capture these diseconomies.

    Imported oil is another one. If you factored in the cost of political and military involvement in the middle east the price of oil would look very different.

  6. Fuck autorefresh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Fuck autorefresh.

  7. Getting better at it too by EmperorOfCanada · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I would think a whole other factor is that when wind turbines are new to an area the expertise in putting them up and maintaining them would be low; thus the costs would be a bit higher. But after a decade or so of experience that the local talent would be getting better and better at selecting, installing, and maintaining the turbines and associated electrical infrastructure.

    This would be on top of the fact that the turbines themselves are becoming cheaper and better with their nearly continuous improvements. So for anyone making decisions on future projects these numbers would not only be getting more reliable but could end up not being optimistic enough. Whereas with more mature technologies like coal the numbers are going to simply be the numbers.

  8. Read the Report by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The study was performed by Ecofys, a renewable energy consultancy, and the cover sheet comes with disclaimers about its accuracy.

    The actual report is more interesting than the articles that hype its findings. The core results are seen on page 36 (PDF Sheet 53).

    You will find that there are a lot of assumptions. In particular, they place a great cost factor on "depletion of energy resources". That single adder more than doubles their cost for nuclear. The explanation is that this is the cost of using up our uranium supplies. This is on top of the cost of uranium, already included elsewhere. If you read enough youll find that they just made a big assumption and don't yet really have a basis for it. Its quite convenient for them to make an assumption that magically brings nuclear up to their derived cost for solar. Of course, even as assumed, that cost could be mostly eliminated by reprocessing. They also place a cost on "heat production".

    There are no cost considerations included for reliability, intermittancy and variablility. Nor direct infrastructure costs associated by technology, such as the need to add new transmission lines to accommodate wind. In fact, that is probably the biggest cost factor left out of the wind result. Section 3.4 talks about trasmission infrastructure. I'll paraphrase.. "we ignored it because it was too hard to figure out". Another nice convenience for them.

    Taken at face value, if I'm a renewables guy looking at this report, I'd have to question why more money goes in to solar than wind.

    1. Re:Read the Report by SillyHamster · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Sooner or later, a transmission infrastructure upgrade will be cheaper than dealing with the rising fuel prices and external costs. I don't see how this could be possibly a matter of "if" rather than "when".

      If this happens, the transition will happen pretty naturally following the prices of energy/fuel.

      Trying to pre-emptively optimize for the "right" outcome ignores the risk of guessing the wrong new future energy tech.

    2. Re:Read the Report by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And will that happen before, or after we find out how much the environment change will have cost us by then? That's the one skeleton in the closet that's being addressed by this, which many people seem to be constantly ignoring.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  9. Study summary by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Wind was cheaper if you added costs to coal for Global Warming (a large cost), for depletion of energy resources (a medium cost), and in the third category (a small cost even when all elements are totaled) "human toxicity, agricultural land occupation, water depletion, metal depletion, ecosystem toxicity, radiation, acidification and eutrophication."

    Interestingly, they also included ozone depletion as an external cost. I didn't realize the ozone layer was affected by coal plants, but apparently it is.

    To calculate the damage caused by Global Warming, they relied on some other papers published on the topic. I wasn't able to access those papers, so that is where my summary will end.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  10. I have a question ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1, Insightful

    ... for ALL sources of energy, do we calculate cost, from cradle to grave?

    For instance, take wind (could be solar, thermal, and all others).

    How do we produce the components that make up the turbines and masts and blades and everything else that is needed? Doesn't that genesis start with mining raw materials and doesn't that process involve fossil fuels just for manufacture? What about the space the turbine masts (solar panels, thermal mechanisms, wires, cables, etc.) occupy? What machinery do we use to dig holes and erect them? Are they fossil fuel driven?

    For any source like wind, or solar or thermal and others, what are the costs of disposal?

    As a physicist, the law of conservation tells me we are never going to get something for nothing.

    It's nice to talk about how well an existing wind turbine works, but I suspect the energy we invest in creating, and disposing of, them is more than the energy we get out of them.

    However, I don't know that.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  11. Power Companies Don't Have Real Costs by Etherwalk · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If this author were correct, the power companies would already be rushing to build wind-driven turbines. They already have people carefully weighing the costs and benefits of each power-generation method. When I see wind-driven turbines appearing on the windy parts of my horizon, then I'll believe that wind is cheaper than coal.

    You are forgetting the major factor of externalized costs. Processes have costs that are internal so they have to be paid for by the owner, and external so they get paid by someone else. Pollution is a major source of externalized cost in conventional power generation.

    The power company doesn't have to pay for those costs, but society as a whole does, for example in asthma treatments and deaths, or likely in certain kinds of cancers. So the power company will do the thing which is cheaper for *them* but more expensive as a *whole*.

  12. Re:I'm waiting for the doomsayers by dryeo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Skyscrapers also interfere with wind. On the other hand, we've removed many a tree that used to interfere with the wind

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  13. Cheaper? Cheaper means only one thing. by thegarbz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Cheaper means only one thing. How much is my electricity bill at the end of the month.

    What? You want me the end user to be responsible for the carbon emissions of my energy use? I'm perfectly fine with that ... as long as it's as cheap as it can possibly be.

    Ok I may sound like a troll, but the reality is that is exactly how people think. Our local energy utilities have often provided split bills. For a little extra money you can fund a separate unit that is monitored by the government as not for profit, and that fund offsets the cost differences between dirty and clean energy. I bet you can imagine how much of a voluntary uptake there is on people being charged 5c/kWh more.

  14. XFD @ wind subsidies costly cf. oil by Rujiel · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wind energy subsidies amd tax breaks are miniscule compared to those provided to fossil fuels. What fox news incubation tank did you climb out of?

  15. Re:as the birds go by towermac · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Heh. By golly, once it's in your agenda, whatever it takes, eh?

    Giant, spinning blades of doom. But that's fine, because liberals like it, because conservatives hate it. Unless it's off the Massachusetts coast. I guess I'm not sure.

    Of course they kill birds; they're giant spinning blades of doom, set up in such a way as to maximally extract energy from the air. Birds exist in the air. Therefore, if you're a bird, and you live there, sooner or later, you're likely to get extracted.

    But fuck 'em. Price of Progress, eh?

    Nuke plants, I would argue, are just tiny little concrete domes by comparison, and birds are free to nest and live among any nooks and airspace they might find. Not to mention the zero carbon. Energy, already stored here by past supernovas. All the energy you want, nobody and no creatures have to die, and the land looks nice with this little white building on it. I won't even go into the fact that we need a few just to burn up the waste we already have, since it can't be stored.

    But keep justifying giant, spinning blades; stretching as far as the eye can see...

  16. Re:as the birds go by dbIII · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Heh. By golly, once it's in your agenda, whatever it takes, eh?

    And it really pisses me off when such "whatever it takes" political losers pollute this site and attempt to blame their end justifies the means bullshit on others. Pretending to be far too stupid to have any sense of scale (giant, spinning blades; stretching as far as the eye can see) is an added touch that makes me despair that we've wasted a generation and not protected them from weasels with propaganda.
    When did this place turn into an anti-technology site for idiots who wallowed in student politics and never grew up?
    Why do "conservative" losers who make fun of others interest in wildlife conservation suddenly pretend to get worried about a trivial number of birds running into a couple of thousand windmills spread over a vast continent? Fuck the tendency to treat various bits of technology as proxies for political parties - stop being cowards and address the politics directly on sites dedicated to such a thing and please leave this place as somewhere to discuss the technology on it's own merits.