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CERN May Not Have Discovered Higgs Boson After All

An anonymous reader writes Physicists Peter Higgs and Francois Englert won the Nobel Prize for discovering the Higgs Boson, but some scientists believe that the particle may not have been discovered yet at all. A new study by a group of scientists from the University of Southern Denmark raises the possibility that the data collected from the Large Hadron Collider could instead explain another type of subatomic particle. Mads Toudal Frandsen, a particle physicist, explained in a statement, "The CERN data is generally taken as evidence that the particular particle is the Higgs particle ... It is true that the Higgs particle can explain the data but there can be other explanations, we would also get this data from other particles."

80 of 137 comments (clear)

  1. The science is settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    These skeptics are going to destroy the planet.

    1. Re:The science is settled by kurzweilfreak · · Score: 1
      The problem is he can't reconcile the theory of quantum mechanics with the theory of the amount of gravitational force from his mom.

      Because she's so fat.

      --

      kurzweil_freak

      5th Kyu Genbukan Ninpo/KJJR student

      Be the darkness that allows the light to shine.

  2. Other particles by russotto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "As you can see here, I have postulated another particle which would leave exactly the same evidence as the Higgs, but would not be the Higgs. I call it the 'Madds' particle."

    OK, that's unfair, but "techni-quarks" which could make up dark matter? William of Ockham is going to need to set up a factory in Shenzhen at this point.

    1. Re:Other particles by rd4tech · · Score: 1

      OK, that's unfair, but "techni-quarks" which could make up dark matter? William of Ockham is going to need to set up a factory in Shenzhen at this point.

      Dark matter is dark, so probably not, cause they are made in technicolor.

      (Yes, my assumption is as valid to their statement, as theirs is to higgs theory :)

    2. Re:Other particles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You madds bro?

    3. Re:Other particles by lgw · · Score: 2

      It's amazing how people don't get this. Data that confirms both your new hypothesis and the established theory (or both your new hypothesis and the null hypothesis), isn't a reason to believe you.

      Sure, of course, you have to explain existing data, but that's just table stakes: you have to actually predict something new. When there's new data that only your hypothesis predicted, then it's interesting.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:Other particles by michelcolman · · Score: 5, Funny

      So now Higgs and Englert are in a superposition of having deserved the nobel prize and not having deserved it, right?

    5. Re:Other particles by r1348 · · Score: 1

      Neurotoxin will settle this.

    6. Re:Other particles by lgw · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sure, 300 years ago it was enough to simply have a more elegant theory. The fundamental idea of empiricism was still becoming the more formal idea of the scientific method.

      Today, though, while the Standard Model is roundly disliked for its inelegance, and more elegant, simpler hypotheses abound, the Standard Model sticks with us because it keeps doing a better job of predicting new data, while many more elegant ideas have already fallen by the wayside with LHC data (alas, poor Supersymmetry, we hardly new you). When the LHC re-opens next year with its new beam intensity, the culling will continue.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    7. Re:Other particles by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1, Funny

      Just don't open the box...

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    8. Re:Other particles by Nemyst · · Score: 2

      Yeah, it's always worth keeping in mind that the universe wasn't designed to be elegant... It wasn't designed at all. It just is.

      I'm actually often surprised at how elegant physics can be in spite of this.

    9. Re:Other particles by sg_oneill · · Score: 2

      Yeah, it's always worth keeping in mind that the universe wasn't designed to be elegant... It wasn't designed at all. It just is.

      I'm actually often surprised at how elegant physics can be in spite of this.

      True, but a universe that arises from a simple mechanism makes more intuitive sense than a giant hairball of complexity that exists for some reason nobody can quite work out.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    10. Re:Other particles by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Uhm, the particle at CERN had properties that didn't match either of the predicted properties of the Higgs boson. The particle they detected fell almost exactly in the middle of where the competing theories said it should have been.

      In other words, they got it WAY fucking wrong, or this is a different particle. It is CERTAINLY NOT LEAVING THE SAME EVIDENCE AS THE PREDICTED POSSIBILITIES FOR A HIGGS BOSON.

      --
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    11. Re:Other particles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I guess with a complex set of laws it would help lend credibility to the evolutionary multiverse theory.

    12. Re:Other particles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Uhm, the particle at CERN had properties that didn't match either of the predicted properties of the Higgs boson

      And which two properties are you talking about? If they got it so wrong, you should be able to name them, or look it up easily otherwise.

      Here's a hint, there are three main properties of the Higgs boson predicted by the Standard Model: Spin 0, where spin 1 has been experimentally eliminated for the candidate, and results are now more than three sigma certain of eliminating the other alternative spin 2. The parity was also predicted and confirmed to more than 3 sigma. Finally, the biggest one was the decay paths, four of which have been confirmed and the branching ratios match within experimental error.

      That's three for three. There is some possibility that with more data the branching ratios might be slightly different, which would not be evidence it is not a Higgs, but only that it is interacting with things beyond the Standard Model.

      In other words, they got it WAY fucking wrong

      So far it has been essentially dead on, the exact opposite of "WAY fucking wrong," which seems to better describe your post at this point.

  3. Mind tricks by Latent+Heat · · Score: 5, Funny
    (waves hand)

    These are not the Higgs' you're looking for . . .

    (Associate Editor turns towards reviewers) Let their paper through . . .

    1. Re:Mind tricks by rd4tech · · Score: 1

      Somebody mod this man up!

      Made my morning here :)

    2. Re:Mind tricks by JustOK · · Score: 1

      I don't get it.

      --
      rewriting history since 2109
    3. Re:Mind tricks by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Type "These are not the" in Google, and it will autocomplete it to "These aren't the droids you're looking for".

    4. Re:Mind tricks by JustOK · · Score: 3, Funny

      No, no. I understood the joke perfectly. It was well setup and executed. I just don't get "it".

      --
      rewriting history since 2109
    5. Re:Mind tricks by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 2
      It all depends on how (and how long) you look at it - the uncertainty principle strikes again!

      So in the end the universe devolves into a big reese's peanut butter cup - "You've got techni-quarks in my higgs bosun" "You've got higgs bosuns in my techni-quarks."

      "Mmmm Peanut Butter Cups." were the last words heard from the over-universe as we were gobbled up by some dude who looked remarkably like Homer Simpson.

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    6. Re: Mind tricks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Ohh. Don't worry. Nobody here gets that either.

  4. As a python and WP programmer... by CrowdedBrainzzzsand9 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm pretty darn sure it proves the existence of Unobtainium.

  5. Fairly common.... by f3rret · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's a whole community out there of theoretical phycisists that do nothing but come up with alternatative theories explaining existing data.

    This is their job, they might not beleive they're right, they just came up with the theory because it was not the currently believed one.

    --
    Admit nothing. Deny Everything. Make Counter-accusations.
  6. When pet theories die... by MetricT · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Many in the physics community were hoping for a "weird" Higgs boson, which might point the way towards new physics such as supersymmetry or technicolor.

    Alas, the Higgs boson we actually discovered doesn't seem to require any new physics. It's covered by the Standard Model. It is, by physics standards, annoying dull. This has done a good job of killing off several people's pet theories (some models of supersymmetry and technicolor).

    Rather than just admit that "when you hear hoofbeats, think of horses not zebras" (ie, the simplest explanation is usually the right one), they are busy adding epicycles to their pet theories to try to accommodate reality (which, admittedly, is how science works).

    Being sensationalist and dumb, journalists hear things like "it *may be* that...", and trump up all sorts of stupid headlines like "ZOMG, scientists didn't discover Higgs after all." And we get Slashdot posts like this.

    1. Re:When pet theories die... by Eevee · · Score: 1

      And yet, there are zebras.

      On July 4, 2012, CERN director general Rolf Heuer announced that his team had detected âoea particle consistent with the Higgs boson,â and that the discovery was confirmed by two separate experiments (ATLAS and CMS). However, Heuer noted that additional data was required to confirm that it was, in fact, the so-called "God particle."

      The article basically says we've found something new, but by running some more tests at CERN, we can pin it down better. Which, as we can see from the quote, is also the belief of the people who made the discovery.

      Nobody is saying the particle isn't "Higgs-like", or that it's not a major discovery, or even that we're misunderstanding its role. But, and it's an important but, we've never pinned it down exactly. Which every article I've ever read in the last couple of years has said. Using Wikipedia (dangerous, I know), it uses "tentatively confirmed" for a couple of test and notes values are slightly off the prediction for branching levels. (A term that I gladly admit to knowing nothing about, but if it's being mentioned, I would think it must be important for the verification)

    2. Re: When pet theories die... by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      Protip: any article that uses the phrase "God particle" is also wrong on the facts.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    3. Re: When pet theories die... by Eevee · · Score: 2

      Like it or not, the term "God particle" was created by Leon M. Lederman for a book he wrote. Now, Dr. Lederman has won the Nobel Prize for Physics, the Wolf Prize in Physics, and the National Medal of Science. I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that given a choice between you and him...well, he's the one who is right.

      However, to be fair, once you've won your Nobel Prize, I'll start paying attention to your opinions compared to his.

    4. Re:When pet theories die... by Your.Master · · Score: 2

      Gravy train? Retired and comfy?

      How much money do you think CERN researchers make?

    5. Re:When pet theories die... by radtea · · Score: 1

      Rather than just admit that "when you hear hoofbeats, think of horses not zebras" (ie, the simplest explanation is usually the right one)

      What makes horses simple and zebras complex?

      Answer: nothing.

      The issue is not simplicity, but prior probability. All else being equal, horses are more likely in most locales than zebras. When you hear hoofbeats, the plausibility of "There is a horse nearby" and "There is a zebra nearby" go up by the same factor. Since horses were already more likely, horses are still more likely.

      Ockham's razor works, in the very few cases it does, as a consequence of Bayes' rule, and invoking some ill-defined notion of "simplicity" rather than prior plausibility is misleading.
       

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    6. Re:When pet theories die... by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      The energy range for the particle detected fell almost exactly in-between the values expected for super symmetry and the values expected for the standard model.

      I don't think you've been paying attention if you think it matched up perfectly with everything already thought about the standard model. It most certainly did not.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
    7. Re:When pet theories die... by globaljustin · · Score: 1

      they are busy adding epicycles to their pet theories to try to accommodate reality (which, admittedly, is how science works)

      yes...it definitely is analogous to epicycles

      but you're wrong to say, "that's how science works"....that attitude is what causes people to have 'pet projects' in the first place

      the problem is Academia has evolved to become bloated and cloistered...

      if we were funding science well, and giving new scientists freedom, **we wouldn't have to have pet projects**

      in Academia, a scientist is not encouraged to do new work...the typical mantra is to silo yourself and never truly experiment

      --
      Thank you Dave Raggett
    8. Re:When pet theories die... by Kozar_The_Malignant · · Score: 1

      >What makes horses simple and zebras complex?

      Depends on where you are. If you're in Nevada, horses are the simple explanation. If you're in Kenya, zebra's are the simple answer. Without adequate location data, neither is simpler than the other, since both exist.

      --
      Some mornings it's hardly worth chewing through the restraints to get out of bed.
    9. Re: When pet theories die... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Gravy train?! Is that what they have running around that big loop thing???!!

  7. To Sum Up, lucky if it is not the Higgs by DumbSwede · · Score: 1

    So if we're lucky this won't be the true Higgs partilce, as that would point to more discoveries involving a fifth force dubbed the technicolor force and allow us to see particles composed of techni-quarks. Should this come to be, then that probably more than justifies the expense of the LHC as just finding the Higgs would not really give us radically new knowledge.

  8. Higgs impostor by grimJester · · Score: 1

    There are loads of Higgs impostor models where something else mimics the Higgs. Perhaps they're unlikely but it's not easy to come up with alternative explanations that are both mathematically consistent and don't contradict observations.

    1. Re:Higgs impostor by f3rret · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There are loads of Higgs impostor models where something else mimics the Higgs. Perhaps they're unlikely but it's not easy to come up with alternative explanations that are both mathematically consistent and don't contradict observations.

      It's got nothing to do with those theories being 'imposters', it has everything to do with the the fact that no theory should ever be unchallenged, even if a theory is correct (as the Standard Model might very well be) it does not mean we should not try to come up with alternative explanations for the phenomena we observe in experiments.

      If the Standard Model is correct it should ideally be "more" correct than those "imposter" theories.

      --
      Admit nothing. Deny Everything. Make Counter-accusations.
    2. Re:Higgs impostor by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's got nothing to do with those theories being 'imposters',

      The theories are not imposters, the specific category of theories the GP was referring to contain "Higgs imposters", i.e. particles that to various degrees look like what is expected for the Higgs boson. What the poster said was correct, that as more observations are made, it can be more and more difficult to come up with alternative theories that are consistent. That isn't a statement about what should and shouldn't be done, only that it becomes harder.

      If the Standard Model is correct it should ideally be "more" correct than those "imposter" theories.

      We already know that the Standard Model is wrong on some level, and have accumulated quite a few theories that extends the Standard Model to deal with some of its shortcomings. The big question at this point isn't if the Standard Model is more correct, but which of the competing extensions is more correct, especially considering they often are a superset of a large part of the Standard Model.

    3. Re:Higgs impostor by paiute · · Score: 1

      Theories are not "correct", just strongly supported by experimental evidence.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    4. Re:Higgs impostor by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

      But every one must understand and at all times remember that creating a theory that fits the data is a completely different thing than coming up with a theory that makes predictions than end up coming true. Until one of these alternative theories makes a prediction that is proven true, it is just a theory with no evidence going for it at all.

      --
      Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
    5. Re:Higgs impostor by timeOday · · Score: 1

      But that's why I don't understand how it makes sense to argue about whether the observations are about "the Higgs boson," or something "else." If the Higgs boson was previously a prediction, as were these others, and new observations are consistent with several of them but don't rule out all but one, what is the basis for saying one was the real one and the others were impostors?

    6. Re:Higgs impostor by f3rret · · Score: 2

      Theories are not "correct", just strongly supported by experimental evidence.

      That was kind of my point. The point of these alternative theories is not to attempt to disprove the current leading theory but to offer an explanation that also could explain the data. Then new data is found that does not support the alternative theories but do support the main leading one, and you come up with new alternative ones.

      If you only work with one theory you are falling victim to confirmation bias.

      --
      Admit nothing. Deny Everything. Make Counter-accusations.
  9. Nothing to see, move along by Depili · · Score: 1

    This is just about how science is supposed to work, even when one model fits the observations its not necessary that its the right one. And as with the Higgs the standard model predictions are quite a dead-end when it comes to dreaming new and exiting physics so pretty much every theoretical physicist is trying to figure out a alternative, less boring, explanation for the LHC observations.

  10. if not the higgs... by PaulMattSutter · · Score: 1

    It would be great if this *wasn't* the Higgs, because then we would have some clue how to move past the Standard Model. It sucks when nature agrees with your predictions.

    1. Re:if not the higgs... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, perhaps, but science isn't religion and having hopes and strong beliefs into a replacement model doesn't make it real and valid. The most probable explanation for the bump in data observed at CERN LHC is the Higgs. The techni-higgs is much, much less probable, by many magnitudes of order because it relies on a yet to discover techni-force and so on.

      So, unless we have a load of new data we cannot explain with the Standard Model, it is very unlikely this particle is something than Higgs.

      But the guy got his 15 minutes fame.

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
  11. This will keep... by UttBuggly · · Score: 1

    ....Sheldon Cooper employed!

    --
    I am my own gestalt.
  12. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I doubt many scientists believe that you can prove any scientific theory true.

  13. Re:April 1st? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Color charge in physics was named because it behaves abstractly like the addition of primary colors, and that made a decent analogy for the description. Technicolor is the name of a theory that extends the Standard model with some stuff that originally was similar to the color charge, so the name reflects that. The theory does a nice job of wrapping up some loose ends from the Standard model, and doesn't require fine-tuning. But like most extensions to the Standard model, it will be a while before alternative theories are confirmed or strongly eliminated because the most obvious results of models extending to high energies require particle accelerators large than what we have.

  14. And? by RaccoonBandit · · Score: 1

    And in any case, throughout the whole discovery they were all really careful to repeatedly emphasise that they found a particle with Higgs-like properties, rather than outright stating that they found the Higgs.

    So it's not really news that it could be something else with similar properties. Okay, someone came up with a model. Great. But why do those headlines make it sound like "in you face, CERN, you got it all wrong"?

  15. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    +1 thank you. Fucking idiots don't know how science works. Science doesn't deal in "proof", just in making iteratively better models. Another gripe about a lot of commenters here: Science is also not reality. Physics is not reality. Math is not reality. These are all human created abstractions to help us model the underlying reality. The model is not reality.

  16. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by hawkinspeter · · Score: 2

    Except for when we find out that we're living in a simulation - then the model is reality.

    --
    You're a temporary arrangement of matter sliding towards oblivion in a cold, uncaring universe
  17. Re:Told you... by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

    Actually, it is Turtles. All the way down.

    --
    Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
  18. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by hawkinspeter · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Well, who's a tetchy Anonymous Coward then?

    --
    You're a temporary arrangement of matter sliding towards oblivion in a cold, uncaring universe
  19. Re:Obligatory by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 1

    Nice. But please use a proper link

    --
    Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
  20. Herman Melville by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    It's the Starbuck bosun.

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  21. Predicting, not discovering by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 4, Informative

    The summary was wrong: Physicists Peter Higgs and Francois Englert did not win the Nobel Prize for discovering the Higgs Boson. They (along with some others) predicted it, but didn't discover it. (More accurately, they won the Nobel for elucidating the Higgs mechanism of symmetry breaking as a means for massless particles to acquire mass).
    This was a deduction (deducing that a particular field would lead to symmetry breaking with particular properties, from the mathematics of field theories), not an induction (fitting a model to theories).

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  22. Re:Obligatory by jones_supa · · Score: 1

    Just to tune that even further, a proper link would not read "a proper link" but XKCD #1437. :)

  23. Confirmation, not proof [Re:Problem with induc...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 4, Informative

    I doubt many scientists believe that you can prove any scientific theory true.

    In general, this is correct: you can prove a scientific theory false, but never prove it true. (You can prove mathematical theories true. But mathematical theories require assumptions, called postulates. To prove that a mathematical theory is true in the real world, you would need to find a way to prove the postulates true.)

    Physical theories are confirmed by evidence, and well confirmed by large amounts of of evidence... but confirmation is not exactly the same as proof

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  24. Re:Confirmation, not proof [Re:Problem with induc. by michelcolman · · Score: 3, Funny

    So what they should have done, is make a theory that says the Higgs Boson does not exist, and then prove that theory wrong. That would have been airtight.

  25. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by suutar · · Score: 1

    Well, then _a_ model is reality. But it's not our model.

  26. Doctor Sheldon Cooper by mimino · · Score: 1

    *Doctor Sheldon Cooper

  27. The nobel was for prediction, not discovery by Pro-feet · · Score: 3, Insightful

    TFSFS, i.e. The First sentence of TFS, is a load of crap. Physicists Peter Higgs and Francois Englert won the Nobel Prize for *predicting* the Higgs Boson, *not* for discovering it!

    And the rest of the summary doesn't make me a bit interested in reading TFA either. There's been Higgs imposter models out there from before the discovery was made. And sure they have their merit. But as long as we have no new physics observed, the Standard Model covers it just fine.

  28. Journalism Rant by Arterion · · Score: 2

    This article really makes me think that journalism need to be laid to rest. In the case of physics specifically, there are some brilliant communicators. Neil deGrasse Tyson, Michio Kaku, I'll even throw in Bill Nye (though he's a Mechanical Engineer) are all great examples of people who actually (this is the kicker) UNDERSTAND THE TOPIC they're talking about. I think if a "journalist" wants to report on something they aren't personally an expert on, or at least understand well, the whole article should be framed as in interview. An article like this just compromises the integrity of the journalist and journalism at large.

    *editing note* The section below is me going off on a tangential rant. Thank you amphetamines.

    I somewhat blame how writing is taught in schools and universities. It's nearly an essential requirement that you integrate quotations into your writing as if they were naturally part of your sentences. A question/response formation is forbidden, and while there is a special rule for including a block quotation, I've very rarely seen it used in practice. I understand a English 102 research paper is quite different from news piece like this, but that it is deeply ingrained not only into writers, but also readers (since we mostly did papers at least in high school) to expect that kind of quotation, mostly to the detriment of communication.

    I think it's because there is an academic obsession with attribution, where you are given scary warning about PLAGIARISM and being banished from the university, should you fail to properly attribute! Yeah, if you pull a paper off the internet and present it as your own, that's clearly cheating. The academics are so obsessed, I suppose, because being published is some required right of passage. So then students spent half again the cost of tuition on textbooks every year, and then hardly use them. Why isn't Elizabeth Warren posing hard questions to the wealthy textbook barons and the academics who support their industry? I suspect that a non-trivial amount of student loan debt was acquired buying textbooks. Yes is complicated, but at the end of the day, we're collectively paying to prop up this system, and the end result is crappy journalism like this. (editing note: surprised I managed to bring that full circle.)

    --
    "That which does not kill us makes us stranger." -Trevor Goodchild
  29. Independent confirmation by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Large amounts of evidence only confirms a theory if the evidence is independent.

    Yep. That's why you want independent confirmation. Replication is what makes science.

    Never rely on scientific results until they're independently confirmed.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Independent confirmation by blue+trane · · Score: 1

      Who's replicated the Higgs?

  30. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by jigawatt · · Score: 1

    jigawatt's first rule of slashdot: Every scientific discussion on slashdot devolves into a heated argument about what science actually is.

  31. Supersymmetry by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Technicolour models have been around for ages and this does not seem to be anything significantly new. Indeed it is no different from Supersymmetry which also has a Standard Model-like Higgs boson...plus another 4 on top two of which are electrically charged. SUSY can also explain Dark Matter if the lightest SUSY particle is stable and has far better theoretical motivation than techni-colour models.

    While this does not make it any more likely to be correct I really hope techni-colour is not how the universe works. Having a smaller scale for the fundamental particles will push the energy of any new physics likely to solve the fundamental questions we have far higher and probably beyond the reach of current accelerator technology.

  32. Re:Confirmation, not proof [Re:Problem with induc. by radtea · · Score: 1

    In general, this is correct: you can prove a scientific theory false, but never prove it true.

    Science is the discipline of publicly testing ideas by systematic observation, controlled experiment, and Bayesian inference.

    Because science is at heart applied Bayesian reasoning it is not in the business of certainty of any kind: theories become more plausible or less plausible, and are never "true" or "false", which would imply that they are immune to any further evidence whatsoever. This state simply cannot be achieved within the Bayesian formalism.

    The quest for certainty is science's equivalent of alchemy: alchemists weren't wrong because of their investigative techniques (which were often quite good) but because they were pursuing the wrong goal (transmutation of the elements). The proper goal of science is not certainty but knowledge, which is inherently uncertain. Philosophers don't understand this, and will no-doubt continue to promulgate the model of Poperian method for generations to come.

    --
    Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  33. Obviously by nospam007 · · Score: 1

    Stephen Hawking told us there is no god, not even a particle. :-)

    http://www.cnet.com/news/steph...

  34. Nobel Prize for Hype? by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    given a choice between you and him...well, he's the one who is right.

    on what?

    choice of analogy?

    he chose that b/c it lent significance to his work...which was not new theoretical work but confirming a model we already know is incomplete

    getting academic accoloades doesn't mean you are immune from criticism of language choices

    "God particle" is not a good analogy...what about the Higgs/Boson does it help you understand?

    it's more like trolling Creationists than anything else...

    "god particle"....please

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
  35. Re:Confirmation, not proof [Re:Problem with induc. by blue+trane · · Score: 1

    'theories become more plausible or less plausible, and are never "true" or "false", which would imply that they are immune to any further evidence whatsoever. This state simply cannot be achieved within the Bayesian formalism.'

    Really? What in the formalism prevents a prior of 1? Is Cromwell's rule enforced in some way by the math? Or is it a heuristic outside of the formalism, a guideline, easy enough to overlook? Inferences on new never-seen-before samples have to use such hacks as smoothing to prevent breaking the Bayes model. Are all those hacks included in the formalism?

  36. Re:Obligatory by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    Double-click + double-click (or double-click + drag to tab bar) WFM.

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  37. TFA by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    confirming or not finding the Higgs boson is exactly science

    but according to TFA, they didn't do that

    i understand your greater point that it's research and it increases our knowledge, but i'm criticizing the research design, and the context/reporting of the findings

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
  38. There's always another theory that matches by amaurea · · Score: 2

    Despite the flood of high-precision data from particle accelerators, in some sense particle physics is a data-starved science. It's much easier to come up with a new hypothesis than to perform an experiment that can distinguish it from others, and so there is usually a plethora of theories that match any given new observation, and all the ones before it. But some of these hypotheses will be simpler and hence more predictive (fewer free parameters) than others. As far as I'm aware, the "standard model Higgs" is the simplest and oldest hypothesis that matches all the data. There is good reason to prefer it, though of course there are always other possibilities.

    It's a bit like trying to determine the species of a bird. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quaks like a duck, etc, then "it's a duck" would be your nr. 1 hypothesis. But it could still be some some alien creature from another planet that just came out of an invisible UFO. Perhaps it's been engineered to look just like a duck. Or perhaps it's just a coincidence. I think most of us wouldn't spend too much time worrying about those possibilities.

    Thechnicolor higgs and other alternative hypotheses are much more reasonable than the alterntaive hypotheses above, but the standard model higgs is still the default explanation.

  39. Higgs [Re:Independent confirmation] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Physical theories are confirmed by evidence, and well confirmed by large amounts of of evidence... but confirmation is not exactly the same as proof

    Who's replicated the Higgs?

    The Higgs discovery was done by two groups, working independently and doing different experiments, although using the same accelerator, so that's a good start.

    I would not call the Higgs discovery well confirmed, though; not yet. You definitely want to keep on doing experiments to nail this one down more confidently.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  40. Re:Problem with inductive reasoning by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    But there's still the distinction between the external model, and our internal model which can be incomplete.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  41. use of resources by globaljustin · · Score: 1

    Regardless, however crappy the reporting was does not make the work suddenly "the opposite of science."

    regardless of the crappy reporting, the research design was bad

    as i said before, when I addressed the research design, the idea that we needed to "confirm" a model that is already full of holes, and that, as you even admit, the are other particles that can produce the same data....

    it's bad research design...why test that?

    test another, more relevant hypothesis with your CERN supercollider

    --
    Thank you Dave Raggett
    1. Re:use of resources by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      it's bad research design...why test that?

      Umm, this was already spelled out in the previous post. Finding a single particle there was a test of several theories, including SM alternatives.

      test another, more relevant hypothesis with your CERN supercollider

      There were two large tests expected from the LHC with the biggest impact on new theories: test if the Higgs Boson exists, and if low mass supersymmetric particles exists. Supersymmetry was one of the more straightforward class of SM replacements, and variations of it predicted new particles within reach of the LHC. These particles have now been shown not to exist in those energy ranges. Additionally, some of those theories predicted certain mass ranges for the Higgs boson, which don't agree with the particle found, so the LHC has basically eliminated a group of preferred SM replacement theories.

      So yes, the LHC has been testing other hypothesises. Keep in mind that the machine operation is about the same for a wide variety of these tests, and it gathers the same data regardless of what they test, with the final actual tests being performed on the accumulated data set. This isn't a huge team and machine spending a year just looking for the Higgs boson and doing nothing, it is a huge machine working on gathering generic data, and a smaller team sifting through that data to perform a wide variety of tests and measurements.

    2. Re:use of resources by globaljustin · · Score: 1

      well, i'd mod you "informative" if i could

      thanks for breaking it down

      i guess i still think the "god particle" stuff was hype, but like i said a few iterations back, i agree that scientists doing science is good in general

      their data is good...so it's there for us to use forever...that's great...i think we can agree on that

      --
      Thank you Dave Raggett
  42. Even if this turns out wrong... by vandamme · · Score: 1

    ...they can turn it into a YouTube video