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Toyota Opens Patents On Hydrogen Fuel Cell Technology

An anonymous reader writes that Toyota will share almost 6,000 hydrogen fuel cell patents. "Hoping to speed development of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, Toyota said Monday that it would offer thousands of patents on related technologies to rival automakers, for free. The announcement, made at the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, echoes a similar move by electric car maker Tesla in 2014, when Chief Executive Elon Musk made Tesla patents available to all, hoping to spur innovation in the electric vehicle world (and, perhaps, to draw publicity.) Toyota has similar goals for the fuel-cell car market. 'At Toyota, we believe that when good ideas are shared, great things can happen,' Bob Carter, senior vice president at Toyota, said before the announcement. 'The first generation hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, launched between 2015 and 2020, will be critical, requiring a concerted effort and unconventional collaboration.'"

124 comments

  1. At Toyota... by almitydave · · Score: 3, Funny

    At Toyota, we believe that when good ideas are shared, great things can happen

    So I take it they're not going to open their patents on gas pedal design?

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    1. Re:At Toyota... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      So I take it they're not going to open their patents on gas pedal design?

      That's okay, this is the hydrogen gas pedal, not the gasoline pedal. What could possibly go wrong? Anyway, this is basically the only chance for the infrastructure to get built up. Otherwise, other automakers won't even think about trying to follow suit. They don't want to be perpetually behind. On the other hand, they may also not want to be perpetually dependent on Toyota for the technology...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:At Toyota... by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      I wonder how long before Red Barchetta becomes a fact of life rather than a dismal tune about a dystopic future?

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  2. Very clever by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Let the competition flail around with dead-end hydrogen technology while Toyota works on a secret battery electric car?

    --
    Mostly random stuff.
    1. Re:Very clever by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      That would make a lot of sense. Hydrogen doesn't make much sense, it gives you the high initial vehicle cost of an EV with the fuel cost and carbon pollution issues of a gasoline vehicle (most hydrogen is fossil-sourced), with the energy transportation issues of something new entirely (a gas that escapes through solids and is flammable when mixed with air? Fun!)

      Toyota was making a lot of amazing battery innovations before they apparently hit their head on something and forgot what a crappy idea Hydrogen is.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  3. Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    This is great. Hydrogen is clearly superior to pure electric in usage, but is tricky to work with currently and patents probably were an encumbering factor for other users...

    I predict within five years we'll see a hydrogen Tesla car. Tesla already knows how to build great electric cars, imagine when they are un-emcumbered by tons of batteries...

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by wchin · · Score: 1

      Nope. Until there is a eco-friendly, sustainable way to generate hydrogen, there is no reason to move to hydrogen powered cars.

    2. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by DarkOx · · Score: 1

      Until there is a eco-friendly, sustainable way to generate hydrogen

      I would think a handful of Nuclear generating plants around the country could be build with their output going to simply cracking water.

      We seem to get by with a handful of oil refineries today. So it seems reasonably a small number of large multi reactor facilities could provide adequate resilience while limiting the ecological impact to just those sites. Without going down the usual Slashdot nuclear discussion rabbit hole, if these facilities were specifically designed to have a long operation life 100+ years and were breeders the outputs could be almost nothing besides the H2 gas we want and whatever impurities existed in the input water; some of which might be desirable itself such as salt.

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      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    3. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Hydrogen is clearly superior to pure electric in usage
      bullshit. show us how.

    4. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      Hydrogen is clearly superior to pure electric in usage

      How so? In a hydrogen fuel cell, hydrogen is not used to power the vehicle directly through internal combustion. It is converted first to electricity (thus the term "fuel cell", because it is essentially a battery). The engine is powered by that electricity.

      Due to conservation of energy, hydrogen fuel cells will never be more efficient than "pure electric".

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    5. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're just asserting that H is superior. What's your reasoning?

      I believe it's inferior because you have to build a new gas delivery infrastructure, and it's not a primary source of energy. You have to use energy to make H2, and then deliver it. There's a loss of energy making H2 that's non-trivial. Then there's a delivery loss which is non-trivial. Then there's the conversion of H2 to electricity in the vehicle.

      With batteries, you use energy to make electricity. The delivery of electricity comes with efficiencies in the 90-percent range. Charging/discharging batteries to electric motors is also close to that ballpark.

      Really though, the deal-killer is that the infrastructure for electricity is in place, and you can pick up an old fashioned phone book and find dozens of electricians capable of installing more amps in your garage. H2? Good luck.

    6. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by archmcd · · Score: 1

      You've got it backwards. Until there is high demand for hydrogen, there is (economically) no reason to move to eco-friendly, sustainable ways to generate hydrogen. Using current hydrogen production technologies, there simply wouldn't be enough hydrogen to power all-hydrogen transportation. However, the demand for hydrogen simply isn't high enough to move to better production processes. By getting hydrogen powered vehicles on the road and increasing the demand for hydrogen, things like HTE become economically feasible. New power plants can be built with HTE in mind from day one. And there's research going on now to retrofit existing power plants with HTE production.

      --
      I'm not an expert, but I play one on slashdot.
    7. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Clearly monatomic hydrogen would be a superior fuel. Didn't you take physics?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      >until there is a n eco-friendly, sustainable way to generate electricity , there is no reason to move to electric cars.

    9. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      there's not much additional needed to make green hydrogen. Buy renewable electricity for your hydrogen station rather than dirty electricity, and your done.

      >Using current hydrogen production technologies, there simply wouldn't be enough hydrogen to power all-hydrogen transportation.

      you're forgetting that H2 has been used for decades for industrial processes, and the market for industrial H2 is >>> transportation H2 by several OM. There's plenty of room to scale up hydrogen transportation production.

    10. Re: Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by harborpirate · · Score: 1

      Except you can't fill up with hydrogen at home. All this garbage about needing electric charging stations everywhere is moot when you account for everyone with an electric car charging it at night in their garage. We should only need public charging stations for road trips and forgetfulness/emergencies.

      Hydrogen is far less convenient than electric and has gotten a slow start. Therefore my bet right now is heavily on electric, especially when you account for battery swap tech that already has been demonstrated. Moving away from battery ownership towards battery-as-a-service is probably the next logical innovation.

      I don't see anything hydrogen offers other than appealing to existing consumer habits.

      --
      // harborpirate
      // Slashbots off the starboard bow!
    11. Re: Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Except you can't fill up with hydrogen at home.

      And that children, is why the fancy gasoline powered auto never took off over the horse and buggy, which you can simply feed at home.

      All this garbage about needing electric charging stations everywhere is moot when you account for everyone with an electric car charging it at night in their garage.

      Is slashdot wholly populated by elitist pricks that live in mansions or what? You never lived in an apartment complex????

      Hydrogen is far less convenient than electric and has gotten a slow start. Therefore my bet right now is heavily on electric

      Saying you "bet on electric" means nothing since that's hydrogen also.

      especially when you account for battery swap tech that already has been demonstrated

      Right, because that's going to be possible to do when every car is electric, you simply attach a wal-mart sized building to every gas station. Why can't all those morons see how well that works!

      I don't see anything hydrogen offers other than appealing to existing consumer habits.

      Apart from the only thing thing that matters, why there's nothing good about it at all!

      Except that of course, hydrogen also means electric and all of the advantages that offers.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    12. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by tingentleman · · Score: 1

      Elon is already on record stating it is a dead end technology, I believe.
      Electricity is required to make the hydrogen - that has to be physically shipped using an infrastructure that does not exist - to be converted back to electricity inside the car. Longer range than electricity? How far off is a Model S? Weigh up filling up in a couple minutes against filling up _at home_.

      It is somewhat debatable whether Hydrogen would be preferable even with the gargantuan infrastructure required to make it's quick fill-ups convenient.

    13. Re:Smart, hydrogen clearly superior.... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Elon is already on record stating it is a dead end technology, I believe.

      NEWS FLASH - MAN PRONE TO EXAGGERATION SAYS COMPETITION TECHNOLOGY IS DEAD END.

      Electricity is required to make the hydrogen - that has to be physically shipped using an infrastructure that does not exist

      Electricity is required to charge a car, which at the scale of needing to charge EVERY car has to be shipped using an infrastructure that does not exist, and is far vaster than upgrading gas stations (we already have the physical infrastructure for transport of liquids like hydrogen, just not widespread storage).

      Longer range than electricity? How far off is a Model S?

      The model S has a great range. And a massive battery, And the larger the battery is, the longer to recharge.

      Weigh up filling up in a couple minutes against filling up _at home_.

      Not if you live in an apartment which hundreds of millions of people do.

      I cannot believe how many people trot out the "just fill it at night at your house" when so many do not have a house... talk about insensitive.

      Weigh up filling up in a couple minutes

      If you run out while out and about that's over 20 minutes currently - at a Supercharger station. Just plugging in and it's several hours.

      It is somewhat debatable whether Hydrogen would be preferable even with the gargantuan infrastructure required to make it's quick fill-ups convenient.

      I don't think ripping up every sidewalk and parking garage in the whole country is any less "gargantuan" a task.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  4. So to make invention still go... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... you first need to patent it, then you release it for free to all.

    Why do we still have patents at all, again?

  5. Probably neccecary by DarkOx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    echoes a similar move by electric car maker Tesla in 2014, when Chief Executive Elon Musk made Tesla patents available to all, hoping to spur innovation in the electric vehicle world (and, perhaps, to draw publicity.) Toyota has similar goals for the fuel-cell car market. 'At Toyota, we believe that when good ideas are shared, great things can happen,'

    While I think its good of them to do this I am not so sure Toyota or Tesla really have many options. They want to sell a product, cars, that depend on certain infrastructure namely filling/charging stations. Unless they want to be forever in the business of operating those themselves they have to make it attractive for others to do so.

    First they can't really expect people to pay to a risk investing in supporting their product, so extracting fees from would be station operators would only make it less like anyone will step forward. Which in turn makes it less likely they can sell cars to the public.

    At the same time they really need their competitors to embrace 'their' technology as a kind of standard, for pretty much the same reasons. If they want the infrastructure to spring up there needs to be a critical mass of vehicles out there to make money supporting. If they want to sell vehicles beyond the boutique space Tesla currently operates in they need the infrastructure built out.

    --
    Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
  6. What? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well I'll be dipped in $hit! Never thought I'd see the day where a patent would be relaxed to advance ingenuity.

  7. Battery tech is dead-end in cars by SuperKendall · · Score: 0

    You simply need too large a battery pack to give cars a decent range, and the larger the battery pack the longer a charge takes...

    Hydrogen has some issues around production and storage, but those are being worked around - when they ware worked around filling is as quick as gasoline cars now, and you can retro-fit existing gas stations with hydrogen tanks. A hydrogen station can process the same number of cars per hour in the same space as the existing gas station, a fact that will never be true of electric charging stations.

    If you want the vast majority of cars on the road to be electric, the only possible way that happens is with hydrogen tech.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Battery tech is dead-end in cars by CastrTroy · · Score: 2

      I'm not so sure about that. Tesla just announced and upgrade to the Tesla Roadster that gives it a range of 400 miles. That's 643 km for those using metric. That's a pretty good range if you ask me. Sure it won't be for everybody, but there's maybe only 2 or 3 times a year that I'd need to drive a car further than that in a single day. For those situations it might be better to just rent a gas car. Gas is low now, but it has nowhere to go but up over the long term. When the price of gas gets high enough, and electric car technology gets cheap enough, there will be a tipping point where people will choose electric over gas. And electric cars are much lower maintenance than gas cars. That will be a the major advantage.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    2. Re:Battery tech is dead-end in cars by itzly · · Score: 1

      a fact that will never be true of electric charging stations.

      What is the basis for this wild claim ?

    3. Re:Battery tech is dead-end in cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Gas is low now, but it has nowhere to go but up over the long term. When the price of gas gets high enough, and electric car technology gets cheap enough, there will be a tipping point where people will choose electric over gas.

      You're assuming there won't be a similar tipping point for bio-petrol, e.g. butanol, which would have the distinct advantage of fitting in almost perfectly with existing distribution channels and engine technology. In contrast, electric vehicles need a big leap in battery technology, and hydrogen vehicles need a big leap in containment technology.

      I believe we've been betting on the wrong horses. Butanol has been known as a gasoline alternative for about as long as we've had automobiles, and the 1973 oil embargo should have been a wake-up call spurring a moon-shot level initiative into cost-effective domestic butanol production. Instead, Ford, Carter, and every presidency since has left us at the mercy of OPEC. Consider where Brazil is with ethanol fuel; by now we could have been way past that with butanol if we had started in earnest in the mid-70s. Given current technologies, we could almost certainly get there much faster with a concerted effort. Hell, after nearly half a century of research, we probably could have made a real dent in combating that vomit odor from improper combustion.

      - T

    4. Re: Battery tech is dead-end in cars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only Americans drive more than 50 miles a day on a regular basis.
      An electric car with model S range and no charging station would already cover most people's needs outside of road trips if the price was right.
      If 400 miles/charge becomes the standard anytime soon I just can't see how fuel cells can make any sense.
      You are wasting energy in making hydrogen, moving it to a gas station and again by burning it to produce electricity. At its best, with magic catalysts giving away free hydrogen, one could still make and transport it far more easily as electricity.
      Who will pay for expensive refills when they could just wait 5 more minutes?

    5. Re: Battery tech is dead-end in cars by billdale · · Score: 1

      Sorry, Kendall, you're not using any common sense. There are BILLING being spent every year in a frenzy to be The Next Big Thing in battery chemistry, and that's even in you don't include Tesla and it's Mega factory in Reno. You should check facts before showing your lack of, awareness of what is state-of-the-art: look up nanopore batteries, carbon n a not be vatteries, silicon nano wire batteries, lithium air batteries, ultracapacitors... you'll see chemistries that can accept charges faster than you can put that expensive fuel in your gas guzzler, and provide ten ten times as much range per charge. I have multiple electric vehicles, they're quiet enough I can actually HEAR the stereo even when it's not blasting as so many cars are... near - zero maintenance... no smog tests, tune-ups, oil changes... no transmission service... and I can get my electrons from a variety of sources, including my own solar panels, not just from OPEC bloodsuckers that want to use our money to finance terrorism and suppress their own countrymen (and women). If you don't bother to look, you won't see there is constant improvement and maturation in the EV universe, and there is no sign that anyone is running out of clever ideas to keep making each day's EVs even better than the EVs before. Like Elon Musk says... "Don't they ever get tired of being wrong?"

    6. Re: Battery tech is dead-end in cars by billdale · · Score: 1

      God, I should have turned off Spell Check... it creates more mistakes than it corrects. .. "BILLIONS" for "BILLING", "its" for "it's", etc... I should have proofread before submitting.

    7. Re: Battery tech is dead-end in cars by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Don't worry about the spelling, I knew what you meant. Unlike other Slashdot posters (not talking about you here) I'm not a whiny gradeschooler who snickers at each spelling/grammar issue in a post.

      I also follow the improvements in battery tech, but it still doesn't bring down charging time significantly, nor the huge amount of weight and space batteries in a car take up.

      Meanwhile there are ALSO lots of improvements around using hydrogen as fuel.

      In the end both technologies will be around, but hydrogen has some fundamental advantages after a few rounds of technical improvements that are hard to overcome. Not the least of which is you can imagine hydrogen production in places where it's not even feasible to run electricity...

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    8. Re:Battery tech is dead-end in cars by patniemeyer · · Score: 1

      Hydrogen fuel cells cannot even compete with *current* battery technology much less future batteries in the labs. The process of creating hydrogen, compressing it, and distributing it is insanely inefficient and dangerous and the idea that we are going to create a whole new hydrogen infrastructure in the world when every home already has electricity is just nuts. You are never going to fill your vehicle or your lawn mower with hydrogen at home. You can charge a Tesla to half its rated range in 20 minutes (for free no less) at locations all over the country and that will only improve (Tesla has said they hope to get it down to 5-10 minutes.) And if there were some reason one needed super fast stop-and-go Tesla has demo'd swapping their batteries in 90 seconds gas station style.

      It's clear that battery tech has won and the only people still talking about hydrogen are people who have lots of IP invested in hydrogen.

  8. There will be by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    Nope. Until there is a eco-friendly, sustainable way to generate hydrogen

    The move to electric cars is inevitable.

    The use of batteries in all those cars is impossible at large scale for all sorts of reasons.

    Therefore there will be developed practical means of hydrogen generation - though why you insist on "eco-friendly" is a mystery, it just needs to work.

    As for it being "sustainable", that's kind of obviously true if you think about where hydrogen generally comes from... :-)

    What is also a larger mystery, is why a company with the resources of Toyota clearly knows hydrogen can and will work, yet you doubt that it can. Do you really think Toyota would have such a big push for this if it were not workable?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:There will be by itzly · · Score: 1

      What is also a larger mystery, is why a company with the resources of Toyota clearly knows hydrogen can and will work

      Microsoft thought that Bob would work.

    2. Re:There will be by Headw1nd · · Score: 1

      The use of batteries in those cars is impossible at large scale for all sorts of reasons

      That is a terribly overreaching statement. Perhaps "We currently do not have the capacity to produce the number of batteries necessary using existing processes and sources in a way that is economically feasible" would be better.

    3. Re:There will be by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      We currently do not have the capacity to produce the number of batteries necessary

      That is only one aspect of the insurmountable problems using batteries for all electric cars.

      Again, ALL CARS WILL BE ELECTRIC. You have to think how that can work. The only way it can work is hydrogen. It's not hard to reach the conclusion hydrogen will therefore be used.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  9. Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

    As a post above points out, the hydrogen supply isn't up to it.

    The main supply of hydrogen today is ... yes, you guessed it, fossil fuels. Electrolytic production of hydrogren doesn't even come close. And it's ridiculously inefficient compared to battery electric vehicles.

    The only useful thing that hydrogen has going for it is a fast fill time. On every other metric, it sucks balls - range, complexity, safety, price of storage equipment, price of equipment to convert it into useful work, energy efficiency.

    This is a play by the fossil fuel industry aimed at either preserving some market for them or delaying the adoption of electric vehicles, they don't care which.

    1. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And I suppose that you're a shill for the Lithium industry? Or are you going to pull all of these high energy density batteries out of your ass, not to mention where you will put them after they wear down.

    2. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by itzly · · Score: 1

      After they wear down, you just recycle them into new batteries.

    3. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Ogive17 · · Score: 1

      I'm just curious, what do you think is the source of most electric generation in the US?

      --
      "Action without philosophy is a lethal weapon; philosophy without action is worthless."
    4. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by itzly · · Score: 1

      The beauty of electricity is that it can be generated in a number of different ways. Even though the majority is now generated by coal and gas doesn't mean it has to stay that way.

    5. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The beauty of hydrogen is that it can be generated in a number of different ways. Even though the majority is now generated using hydrocarbons doesn't mean it has to stay that way.

      FTFY

    6. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even when it's coal it's a point source that is infinitely more controllable than millions of mobile fossil fuel plants all with their own emissions.

    7. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by itzly · · Score: 1

      You forgot to mention that hydrogen generation from electricity is not very efficient. Transport and storage requires all new infrastructure, and converting it back to electricity isn't very efficient either.

    8. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      The beauty of electricity is that it can be generated in a number of different ways. Even though the majority is now generated by coal and gas doesn't mean it has to stay that way.

      The beauty of electricity is that it can be generated in a number of different ways. Even though the majority is now generated by coal and gas doesn't mean it has to stay that way.

      the exact same thing is true for hydrogen. hydrogen electrolysis scales incredibly well. when you build a station you buy electroloysis units with all of the balance of plant in a standard size shipping container, so it's literally electricity in, water in, high pressure H2 out. Then you can stack these things in as many as you need and have room for. It's stupidly simple.

      Most H2 today is from NG, but it's used in industrial processes, mainly refining (it's easy to make H2 at a refinery, since you have a bunch of NG you need to offgas anyway!). Most transportation H2 is on-site electrolysis.

      I don't know why you think H2 sucks balls for range. A Nissan leaf only gets 80 miles range. H2 can get 300+, at which point it's whatever range works best for the customer.

    9. Re:Which oil industry shill bribed them? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uh, you do know you can stick a pair of electrodes in water and extract hydrogen off one and oxygen off the other don't you? What's the ocean made of?

  10. Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
    That is why Elon released his battery car patents pre-emptively?

    Come on Elon, please quit fooling around with stupid things like hyper loop or manned mission to moon or orbital space colonies. Give us a 40 K sedan with 150 mile range.

    Convince railroads to haul 18wheelers and cars on flatbed cars. 200 miles at a stretch. Build roll-on roll-off terminals at the highway intersections. We will happily sit in our cars while being hauled at 80 to 100 mph. It is not perfect, but it is better than the alternative, which is to stay cooped up exactly like that in a car, but one would be driving at less than 80 mph. Money saved on toll, gas and wear and tear will pay for the train fare. The damned trains are getting 450 ton-mile per gallon of diesel. Almost all of us are within 150 miles of a major highway intersection. We could even charge our electric cars while being hauled. Solve range anxiety using railroads.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Take a trip on Amtrack then get back to us with a revised plan.

      I'll be at my destination while you are still waiting on the last car to load.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      Yes, Amtrak is bad. The freight lines are also quite bad when it comes to innovation. But instead of shuffling passengers from ancient railway stations from downtown to downtown, they could build a clean loading ramps near the major highway interchanges, like I-79 @ I-76 or I75 @ I80-90. Away from crowded cities, a mile or so from the highway. The flatbed railroad cars should form a long continuous strip and a string of cars and trucks should just roll into it from the last flatbed car. Cars and trucks have been rolling on and rolling off ferries for quite some time. It is an operation that can be streamlined a lot.

      Price it to compete with the cost of tolls, gas, wear & tear, motel stop overs and a rental car on the other end, we could create a rail based long distance transportation for autos. If the long haul is taken care of by rail, 100 to 150 mile range electric cars will get lots of traction.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    3. Re:Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Convince railroads to haul 18wheelers and cars on flatbed cars. 200 miles at a stretch. Build roll-on roll-off terminals at the highway intersections.

      With respect to commercial trucking, we already do that to an extent with standard size cargo containers. You may have seen these going by on trains, assuming you're in the US, particularly the midwest. I don't know why more long-haul trucking hasn't been replaced by a combination of commercial rail and short haul trucking.

      We will happily sit in our cars while being hauled at 80 to 100 mph. It is not perfect, but it is better than the alternative, which is to stay cooped up exactly like that in a car, but one would be driving at less than 80 mph. Money saved on toll, gas and wear and tear will pay for the train fare.

      OK, now I wonder if you're in the US. I doubt most Americans would even tolerate this, let alone participate "happily". Furthermore as implied by another response, commuter rail in the US is a distant second priority to commercial rail, and for a variety of reasons, that just isn't going to change any time soon.

      As for driving less than 80 mph, speak for yourself; if you are careful, you can do 80 mph for long stretches on most interstates and many US routes. There are even places where the speed limits are at or only just below that, so you can do so legally. And your idea of trains consistently moving at 80-100 mph is overly rosy. Trains are required to slow down when going through even lightly populated areas, as slow as 35 mph, though they are sometimes guilty of failing to comply.

      There are practical problems with your idea as well, including an indefensible underestimation of the logistics of loading, unloading, and properly securing large numbers of passenger vehicles on rail cars. That alone would offset any time savings. This works well for shipping containers because they are of a standard size and construction. For passenger vehicles, you'll need qualified humans to properly secure each one, from a two-door Mini Cooper to a four-door longbed F250 (and there goes all of your cost savings). We put up with this for ferries only because there is generally no better alternative where they are used.

      Your idea is fine for cargo - I wish we used it more. However, it's terrible for humans. Most of us would rather take a plane (or even commuter rail) and use a rental car or local mass transit at the destination.

      - T

    4. Re:Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      right on many points. logistics companies are savvy, and know how to balance trains, trucks, boats and ships to move cargo most efficiently. Specifically to the GP, it is quite common to see COFC (container on flat car) either single stack or double stack, as well as TOFC (trailer on flat car). The reasons for choosing one mode or another are quite complex, but generally are an optimization of startpoint/endpoint, volume, available infrastructure, short term or long term business, desired price point, desired shipping time, etc.

      Also agreed that nobody is going to wait in a terminal parking lot to be loaded on a train. There's a reason containers or cargo moves by train rather than truck. It makes sense when time is not critical. Things can sit in a terminal for a long time, and train movements are notoriously start-stop.

      An exception is the Amtrak Auto Train, which runs nonstop from Newport News VA to Orlando FL. the idea is you drive your family and bratty kids to VA, then load up on the train and enjoy the train ride, then when you reach Orlando get your car again and drive to disneyworld. TBH it doesn't make sense to me but according to !w "The Auto Train had the highest revenue of any long-distance train in the Amtrak system."

    5. Re:Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      TBH it doesn't make sense to me but according to !w "The Auto Train had the highest revenue of any long-distance train in the Amtrak system."

      You also have all the snowbirds. But just keep in mind that revenue doesn't equal profit if the expenses are higher yet.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    6. Re:Elon has it covered Was Re:Very clever by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Tesla is 100% limited by Li Ion supply. Until the Giga factory is ready, Tesla can't divert Li Ion cells from high profit model S even to slightly lower profit model X.
      The Gen III vehicle will be done, but it will take another 3-5 years.
      I actually hope Tesla Model S + Model X demand will be so high the Gen III car will have to wait cause the initial giga factory output will be tied with Model S + Model X production. The most important goal Tesla must achieve isn't the Gen III car, but actually fully disrupting the Model S competition. Once BMW and Mercedes start having financial trouble cause people are buying a Tesla instead, we'll start having auto analysts realizing the electric car will take over.
      Realize the BWM i3 is still a compliance car. BMW is still not serious about making a Tesla competitor. It seems like no company in the planet is even trying to compete with Tesla.
      Its entirely possible Tesla will achieve 200 thousand Model S + Model X per year, at those scales Tesla might be able to drop the price a little bit due to higher economies of scale, further increasing demand. That won't make the MS/MX get to US$ 40k, but it might make the cheapest MS/MX get bellow US$ 60k with incentives, still sounds expensive, but over 10 years a driver might save the full cost of the car if driven a half a million miles + residual resale value of the car.

  11. chicken and egg by deadweight · · Score: 1

    Tesla wants others to use their tech so charging stations get built everyplace and make their cars more useful. Toyota wants everyone to use their tech so hydrogen filling stations are built everyplace and make their cars more useful. In some Frankenstein experiment someone will get around to buidling a Tesla-Ota with batteries AND a fuel cell.

  12. Charging time still issue by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    I'm not so sure about that. Tesla just announced and upgrade to the Tesla Roadster that gives it a range of 400 miles.

    The range is fine - because it has a massive battery pack, that even at a Supercharger station takes 15 min per year.

    If a tipping point were reached and most people were driving electric cars, you'd be waiting about a day or so for a spot to open at a Supercharger station.

    With the dead weight of the battery gone you have all the advantages of an electric car (because it's till electric), now with far lighter body weight meaning better acceleration, or better range...

    In the end what probably makes the most sense is a REAL hybrid, that is to say a combo of hydrogen/electric. The electric could charge for a 50 mile range, the hydrogen could kick in for extended trips.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Charging time still issue by itzly · · Score: 2

      you'd be waiting about a day or so for a spot to open at a Supercharger station.

      Because we can't extend the capacity of charger stations beyond what we have now ?

    2. Re:Charging time still issue by CastrTroy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But if 99% of your trips don't require an engine, then why tote it around on a daily basis. Maybe a trailer with a gas generator would be a better idea. For long trips, bring the trailer/generator and you have extended range. For the in-city commutes which constitute the vast majority of your trips you don't have to carry around the heavy gas engine. If this was the case, the battery pack could be much smaller, maybe only enough for 200 miles, because that's all that's needed for in-city driving. Currently the battery is a little oversized because it needs to be able to go quite far, because there is no other option for powering it. Maybe you only go on 1 or 2 such long trips a year and you could just rent the trailer/generator.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    3. Re:Charging time still issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But if 99% of your trips don't require an engine, then why tote it around on a daily basis. Maybe a trailer with a gas generator would be a better idea. For long trips, bring the trailer/generator and you have extended range. For the in-city commutes which constitute the vast majority of your trips you don't have to carry around the heavy gas engine. If this was the case, the battery pack could be much smaller, maybe only enough for 200 miles, because that's all that's needed for in-city driving. Currently the battery is a little oversized because it needs to be able to go quite far, because there is no other option for powering it. Maybe you only go on 1 or 2 such long trips a year and you could just rent the trailer/generator.

      Or you only carry a small engine to provide enough electricity to match average power requirements, not peak power requirements. An ICE not unlike the one in a chainsaw could charge the car even while it's parked.

    4. Re:Charging time still issue by someoneOtherThanMe · · Score: 1

      The electric could charge for a 50 mile range, the hydrogen could kick in for extended trips.

      In this case, quite a small part of driving will be on hydrogen. So it doesn't really make that much sense to go hydrogen, fuel cells etc when you can just add a small gasoline-powered generator, like the BMW i3 range extender. 20 kW would be more than enough, even 10 kW would be acceptable (enough to sustain an average speed ~100 km/h, the battery will buffer accellerations and uphills).

    5. Re:Charging time still issue by Dr_Barnowl · · Score: 1

      Indeed ; combine it with a cargo trailer and you have a sale : I have a small 2-door car that's a little snug when loaded with three people and their Christmas luggage. That Christmas trip is one of the few occasions I drive it more than 130 miles in a day. I'd happily rent a range-extending trailer with some cargo space in it for those occasions.

  13. Drug dealer business model by mspohr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The fine print on this announcement is that the patents are not really free. You have to apply and be accepted to the program (serious contenders need not apply?) and the royalty-free license period only goes to 2020. This is just enough time to develop and start producing something and then you can get hit with big royalty payments.
    This is sucker bait.

    --
    I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
  14. No, not practically, no. by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Because we can't extend the capacity of charger stations beyond what we have now ?

    Filling up a car now takes about a minute. A Supercharger station filling up in about 15 (or longer) means you have to have 15 times the number of "pumps", more if the charging time really takes longer OR if more cars have less range.

    Do you really think cities can hold 15 times the number of gas stations we have currently?

    There is some reduction from people who can charge at home, but not really much because of the number of people in apartments or just traveling long distances.

    What none of you seem to be thinking of is what happens when ALL CARS AND TRUCKS are electric, which I consider inevitable. You all seem to be planning for a world where only the rich drive electric cars which makes for a huge reduction in the requirements around power distribution.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:No, not practically, no. by itzly · · Score: 2

      Filling up a car now takes about a minute.

      That's wildly underestimated. It's probably closer to 5 minutes for an average tank, including all the overhead. Also, there's no reason why charging a battery should never be improved to less than 15 minutes. Additionally, people can charge their batteries at home, at work, or in public parking lots.

    2. Re:No, not practically, no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5V0vL3nnHY

      2/
      >Do you really think cities can hold 15 times the number of gas stations we have currently?
      you can install chargers at every parking spot. This would mean an equivalent of 1000 times the number of gas stations.

    3. Re:No, not practically, no. by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      Filling a car takes a minute? No.... more like 3-6 minutes depending on the vehicle.

      >> A Supercharger station filling up in about 15 (or longer) means you have to have 15 times the number of "pumps"

      You're forgetting one very important thing. I can't plug my car into a gas line at home and have it fill itself overnight, but an electric car owner can. I'm betting 99% of Telsa owners don't use a Supercharger station habitually.

    4. Re:No, not practically, no. by romanval · · Score: 1

      You make it sound like people won't be plugging their cars when while they're sleeping...

    5. Re:No, not practically, no. by vivian · · Score: 1

      Supermarket and shopping mall car parks are the perfect place for charging. Around here, it gets pretty bloody hot and sunny during the day, and getting back into your car after doing the shopping is a less than pleasant experience.
        Supermarkets are already getting into the fuel business here with shopper docket discounts on petrol, so it would be a logical extension for them to shade car parks with solar panels that charged your car while you were shopping. It would give them an instant competitive advantage over rivals, or alternatively could create a new revenue stream, all while allowing them to rightly claim they were helping "save the planet"

    6. Re:No, not practically, no. by Macdude · · Score: 1

      Do you really think cities can hold 15 times the number of gas stations we have currently?

      Considering that a charging stations can easily be installed in parking stalls at coffee shops, restaurants, strip-malls, parking structures, home garages, etc. I think it would be no problem for a city to have 15 times the current number of gas stations.

      --
      "Grab them by the pussy" -- President of the United States of America
    7. Re:No, not practically, no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes Cities can hold 15 times the number of gas stations.

      In fact cities already have more than 15 times that many electric Gas stations.

      They are called YOUR FUCKING HOUSE.

      Why would you ever go to a fast charge station, when you could charge your car EVERY MOMENT IT IS IN YOUR DRIVE WAY.

      Christ, you people are fucking retarded. The only time you will ever need to use a "Gas Station" (fucking americans) is when you are driving 400+ miles and you are between cities.

      God damn you people are so stupid.

    8. Re:No, not practically, no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I assure you there is no fucking in my house. Ask my wife.

    9. Re:No, not practically, no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Aside from security issues, imagine parking meters that double as chargers.

    10. Re:No, not practically, no. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Really?

      The fastest I've gotten a pump to run is about 1/10th gal/sec. That's 6 galons per minute. So you fill your tank every time you're six galons down?

      My "car" - a Ford F-150 pickup truck - has a 37 galon tank, which I normally run nearly dry before refilling when I'm using it in the SF Bay Area. (I keep it full when I'm in less forgiving areas - like the Nevada desert.) At 6 gal/min maximum that's a 6+ minute fill up - plus "topping off" to a round amount, two trips to the cashier. (No WAY I'm trusting that much cash to the bill eater kiosk.) Waiting in line, getting change and reciept, hitting the rest room, ... Call it 15 to 25 minutes.

      Fortunately I only have to do it a couple times a month.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    11. Re:No, not practically, no. by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      That's 6 galons per minute. So you fill your tank every time you're six galons down?

      Usually filling up 6-7 gallons at a time, yes. It's only an 11 gallon tank...

      I fill up about once per week.

      At 6 gal/min maximum that's a 6+ minute fill up

      I checked the Tesla site, it's at least 20 minutes - I seem to remember a reporters account of it being a half-hour.

      So there goes the extra time you thought you were taking for gas... it's still much longer to charge.

      Most people have smaller tanks that you though, so they are there a few minutes at most.

      two trips to the cashier.

      I have driven all over the US (literally coast to coast). I have not in a decade done anything other than use the card readers at the pump, which takes less than 30 seconds.

      Rest rooms are for when you stop to eat.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    12. Re:No, not practically, no. by akc · · Score: 1

      Filling up a car now takes about a minute. A Supercharger station filling up in about 15 (or longer) means you have to have 15 times the number of "pumps", more if the charging time really takes longer OR if more cars have less range.

      This is a misconception. With Electic Cars, you more often than not have the equalent of a Gas station where your car is parked overnight. Each morning you start with a full tank. You still might need to charge en-route, but not as frequently as an ICE.

  15. You ignore the future of hydrogen production by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    Toyota was making a lot of amazing battery innovations before they apparently hit their head on something and forgot what a crappy idea Hydrogen is.

    Or perhaps a giant corporation with lots of money and a huge R&D department might be a bit more aware of what the future roadmap for hydrogen production looks like than you?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  16. Not everything needs to be patented. by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    Patents work on a new market technology. Where the new idea can change the industry and the inventor should be able to get a strong first to market advantage. However for automotive there is a huge infrastructure and everyone is afraid to being first to market. There isn't a first movers advantage towards non-gasoline cars, it is actually a disadvantage because there isn't a proper infrastructure to support it. So in this case opening the patents makes sense, to allow all your other competitors to share in rebuilding the infrastructure, and being able to get into the market on a level playing field, vs. at a First Movers disadvantage.
     

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  17. I believe you are looking for "parking" by Imazalil · · Score: 1

    I believe you are looking for something called "parking" which happens usually for an excess of 15 minutes. Yes, obviously, charging stations would need to be installed, but that is pretty trivial.

    Fully agree that the North American power grid (really, world wide) is nowhere near ready for that much extra demand, and will probably be the biggest obstacle in going full electric. But hey, by the time it's ready, we're bound to have wireless charging concrete/asphalt.

  18. Reality vs. Fantasy by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The difference is that Microsoft just made some software and hoped it would take.

    Toyota on the other hand makes real physical objects that rely on vast infrastructure to operate. You can bet that Toyota is nor pushing for Hydrogen without having a damn good idea of it being feasible.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Reality vs. Fantasy by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Toyota knows there will be one winner. Electric of H2 power? It won't be both.

      Same as Tesla.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  19. In filling, range, car weight, etc. by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

    How so? In a hydrogen fuel cell, hydrogen is not used to power the vehicle directly through internal combustion. It is converted first to electricity

    Exactly, hydrogen is all of the benefits of electric cars, without the huge weight of the battery pack, without the long recharge time when you need to refuel on the go, without having to recycle batteries and produce them in huge quantities either.

    Due to conservation of energy, hydrogen fuel cells will never be more efficient than "pure electric".

    So current cars are about efficiency? Of course not, they are about convenience. That is all you generally need to know to understand the future of, well, anything.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:In filling, range, car weight, etc. by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      Ah, so you meant to say:

      Hydrogen fuel cells are clearly superior to common batteries in usage

      Because the way you initially phrased it, I assumed you were talking about the efficiency of the energy conversion process.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    2. Re:In filling, range, car weight, etc. by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 1

      Why don't you tell us how much Toyota and "American Hydrogen Systems" stock you own?

      "So current cars are about efficiency? Of course not, they are about convenience. "

      It would be convenient to have a supermarket inside every home so I don't need to go anywhere.

      --
      Mostly random stuff.
    3. Re:In filling, range, car weight, etc. by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Why don't you tell us how much Toyota and "American Hydrogen Systems" stock you own?

      I didn't own any before today, but that's about to change (assuming you can buy stock in Toyota).

      It would be convenient to have a supermarket inside every home so I don't need to go anywhere.

      Amazon predicted, BOOM.

      So sad that people can't take an obvious fact about humans in general and extrapolate anything obvious from it... all because of what you WANT to happen, vs. thinking about what WILL happen.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    4. Re:In filling, range, car weight, etc. by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Because the way you initially phrased it, I assumed you were talking about the efficiency of the energy conversion process.

      I appreciate you trying to make the statement more clear, though I think only engineers would treat "usage" as the efficiency of using electric to move a car, vs. the person using the car.

      However, given the makeup of Slashdot readership I'd say probably you are a lot closer to the phrasing I should have used than I was. :-)

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  20. Toyota is just pulling an HP and giving up by Spy+Handler · · Score: 0

    when HP realized their webOS was going nowhere, they open sourced it to save a little face and gain a little goodwill, and then abandoned it.

    It probably occurred to Toyota recently that hydrogen is not a good idea because:

    1. hydrogen molecules are tiny and thus tend to leak out of everything

    2. storing hydrogen is costly because of its low density (lowest in the universe) and the insanely cold temperatures required to liquify it

    3. the chicken-and-egg problem of getting gas stations to carry it

    According to the DC-X team (via Jerry Pournelle's blog) hydrogen is a very frustrating fuel to work with for reasons 1 and 2. Initially they were attracted to it for performance reasons (cryogenic fuel is the most powerful chemical rocket fuel in the universe) but after working with it for awhile came to the conclusion that kerosene/LOX was a far better choice from the standpoint of operational efficiency and cost. Lesson which SpaceX is using now to great effect.

    1. Re:Toyota is just pulling an HP and giving up by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 1

      If they abandoned hydrogen in a money-be-damned Cold War project like the SR-71, that should tell us something.

      --
      Mostly random stuff.
  21. Charger fraud by tepples · · Score: 1

    I believe you are looking for something called "parking" which happens usually for an excess of 15 minutes.

    While the vehicle is unattended. Charging while parking would need some means to secure the charging transaction to make sure someone else doesn't unplug the charger while the vehicle is unattended during the charging session that you paid for. A gasoline fill-up is short enough that one is not terribly inconvenienced to remain standing outside the vehicle during the entire fill-up.

    1. Re:Charger fraud by worldthinker · · Score: 2

      It's my understanding that you can't simply just pull a charger handle out once charging has started, It's locked (on the Tesla Model S)

    2. Re:Charger fraud by itzly · · Score: 2

      Charging while parking would need some means to secure the charging transaction

      You act like that's a huge deal. Just make a locking mechanism. And in the case somebody breaks the lock, the power can be cut until a new payment authorization is made.

    3. Re:Charger fraud by Headw1nd · · Score: 1

      Locking isn't even necessary, when the charger is removed it ends the transaction. Done.

    4. Re:Charger fraud by tepples · · Score: 1

      Locking isn't even necessary, when the charger is removed it ends the transaction. Done.

      In case of an early removal, how would it refund the cash that was prepaid for the transaction?

    5. Re:Charger fraud by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Prepaid card account per charging station chain? Swipe and plug, get charged as much as you pulled, and top up your credit once in a while.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    6. Re:Charger fraud by tepples · · Score: 1

      Prepaid card account per charging station chain?

      That depends on 1. how much it'd cost to obtain a set of reloadable cards per driver, one for each chain, and 2. how the machines would prevent a third party from removing and stealing the prepaid chip card to which the transaction in progress is being charged.

  22. On Infrastructure by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    I believe it's inferior because you have to build a new gas delivery infrastructure

    But not one that is dissimilar to what already exists and works.

    There's a loss of energy making H2 that's non-trivial.

    I was not aware that gasoline refinement was free.

    Then there's the conversion of H2 to electricity in the vehicle.

    In many versions of hydrogen storage you essentially get batteries that consume hydrogen.

    The delivery of electricity comes with efficiencies in the 90-percent range.

    But not the distribution of electricity before it goes into the vehicle.

    Really though, the deal-killer is that the infrastructure for electricity is in place, and you can pick up an old fashioned phone book and find dozens of electricians capable of installing more amps in your garage. H2? Good luck.

    As more realistic readers have noted elsewhere, every car being electric means essentially ALL parking spots have to have electric charging stations added. That means essentially tearing up and rebuilding every sidewalk, everywhere, and every parking garage, everywhere.

    Which is more likely - that happens, or gas stations are slowly over time converted to support hydrogen?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  23. Unjustified assumptions by sjbe · · Score: 1

    If a tipping point were reached and most people were driving electric cars, you'd be waiting about a day or so for a spot to open at a Supercharger station.

    Only if you make the rather dim assumption that Supercharger stations cannot be enlarged or more of them added. Furthermore electric cars can be and would be charged at home so the need for refueling stations as we currently use them would be significantly reduced.

    In the end what probably makes the most sense is a REAL hybrid, that is to say a combo of hydrogen/electric. The electric could charge for a 50 mile range, the hydrogen could kick in for extended trips.

    Umm, where are you going to get the hydrogen? Gasoline/electric hybrids make sense because we have existing infrastructure built to support them. We have essentially zero hydrogen fuel infrastructure and no reasonable prospect of that changing anytime soon. Not that it couldn't be built but the advantages of hydrogen do not appear to justify the expense even if the technology works well. Maybe for some fleet vehicles but we certainly aren't going to move to hydrogen cars in the next 10 years. I see no reasonable scenario where hydrogen cards make any real dent in the market in the next 20 years baring some miracle technology breakthrough.

    1. Re:Unjustified assumptions by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Only if you make the rather dim assumption that Supercharger stations cannot be enlarged or more of them added.

      You have to be even more dim to not understand how MANY would have to be added to serve a world with only electric cars.

      If you want to keep electric cars as toys for the rich or super-dedicted, fine then.

      Furthermore electric cars can be and would be charged at home so the need for refueling stations as we currently use them would be significantly reduced.

      That's what I've always said, screw people that live in apartment buildings! Those low-inome losers can just line up for days or whatever!

      Umm, where are you going to get the hydrogen?

      Umm, where do we get gas from now?

      Really hydrogen is better than gas in that regard, because a hydrogen production station in the future is going to primarily extract hydrogen from water it will be MUCH clearer than a refinery, so there will not be as much objection to having them locally.

      We have essentially zero hydrogen fuel infrastructure and no reasonable prospect of that changing anytime soon

      Did you already forget the very story these comments live under? There is in fact a very reasonable prospect of significant hydrogen infrastructure being built out by Toyota, and possibly other car makers. There are already hydrogen stations in CA, not a lot but they do exist so the number is clearly not Zero. In fact there are only 151 supercharger stations today, not that much of a leap over the 9 stations (with 18 more being built) that are in CA today. The supercharger stations only exist because Tesla is building them out, can you really not imagine Toyota ramping up a lot of stations quickly?

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    2. Re:Unjustified assumptions by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      You have to be even more dim to not understand how MANY would have to be added to serve a world with only electric cars.

      Let's say that 2016 is the 'year of the electric' because they manage to figure out a battery that acts like LiIon but holds 10x the charge, using sodium chloride and carbon, so it's also 10x cheaper. ;)

      However, cars today are living to 13 on average. Even with such a cheaper battery, it would normally only make sense to upgrade to EV when you're looking for a new car anyways.

      Tesla managed to build enough supercharger stations to cover all the major highways in about 3 years, and it's still a relatively small company.

      I'm not going to deny that in such a scenario that the electricians wouldn't be busy, but you'd only have to build around 10% of the capacity necessary a year.

      Also, I figure you'll still sell quite a few gasoline vehicles, as the price per gallon drops through the floor as demand decreases. They'll still be useful in many locations. Though in my scenario the electric vehicles would actually have more range than gasoline. Without the extra energy gasoline vehicles might be a common rental/road warrior/rural/remote/field item.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  24. Electricity not going to curb in general sense by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Yes, obviously, charging stations would need to be installed, but that is pretty trivial.

    Then why are parking meters either solar or mechanically powered?

    Claiming charging station installation is "trivial", ignores the reality of how everything is built. Look inside a parking garage sometime and think of how "trivial" it would be to route power to every spot, when all that exists currently (ha!) is wiring built to support a handful of lights.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by itzly · · Score: 1

      Start with the places where it's easiest, and gradually extend. When building a new parking garage, make sure there are plenty of power cables and/or empty conduits. It's also not trivial to retrofit existing gas stations with an additional hydrogen tank and pumps, especially not since hydrogen isn't very energy dense, so it requires much more tank volume.

    2. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      the endpoint infrastructure is a PITA and nobody wants to pay to install it. But it is a trivial problem compared to the massive challenges if EVs were to get 50%+ vehicle share. it's the mainline distribution that's an issue. Expanding the electrical grid feeder for a residential block where the block energy use goes up 10x? then this happens throughout a city? extraordinarily expensive and difficult.

      While there would be similar energy demands if we were 50%+ hydrogen (like Japan plans to be), you would only need to provide the electricity or NG to specific endpoints (H2 stations), not to hundreds of thousands of endpoints throughout a city.

    3. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Look inside a parking garage sometime and think of how "trivial" it would be to route power to every spot, when all that exists currently (ha!) is wiring built to support a handful of lights.

      That sounds like a job for exterior grade conduit. It's a parking garage, it doesn't have to be pretty.

      I'm not going to say that it'd be cheap, but it'd be a fairly straight forward job. Expense would depend on how many garages they're doing, whether they want rigid steel conduit or are willing to go with flexible and/or plastic stuff. My thought is rigid steel.

      As for parking meters - mechanical is legacy. Solar is because the power demands are trivial enough that solar is just plain cheaper than running wires.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    4. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Expanding the electrical grid feeder for a residential block where the block energy use goes up 10x? then this happens throughout a city? extraordinarily expensive and difficult.

      Wouldn't be 10X, at least in most use cases. I once figured it out - at 100% penetration, using median cases for power usage, miles driven, miles per kwh, cars per household, etc... The average household would use 50% more power if all their vehicles were electric.

      Figure that the high 3 figure into 4 figure chargers are capable of standard time of use/load moderation signals, they'll even start charging at like 11pm when the grid is at it's lowest ebb anyways.

      Though if solar power keeps taking off, it's possible that charging during the day(like at work) will become the new thing.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    5. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      average home averages 1KW load --> 24kwh/day. Nissan Leaf (and similar smallish EVs) has a 24kwh battery. if a home charges 2 cars, then the load triples. that's for a single family home. Now what about an apartment building that may have 100 vehicles parked? How much electricity will they use?

    6. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      That sounds like a job for exterior grade conduit. It's a parking garage, it doesn't have to be pretty.

      But it DOES have to have enough power coming into the garage to run through the massive number of power lines you now have all ever, each one of which can expect a high voltage load...

      Not to mention that all of those conduits being attached to the walls means a MASSIVE increase in maintenance to keep the concrete walls from crumbling around every bolt...

      Solar is because the power demands are trivial enough that solar is just plain cheaper than running wires.

      Well I'm being told running electric to every parking space is "trivial" also.

      Is it trivial or not???

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    7. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      But it DOES have to have enough power coming into the garage to run through the massive number of power lines you now have all ever, each one of which can expect a high voltage load...

      Wiring the garage and running a power line of sufficient size to it are somewhat separate issues, at least in my mind.

      Also, I'd say less 'high voltage' and more 'high wattage'.

      Not to mention that all of those conduits being attached to the walls means a MASSIVE increase in maintenance to keep the concrete walls from crumbling around every bolt...

      There's already plenty of bolts and such in them... As for attaching it, with rigid steel you don't need a lot of bolts. For maintenance that's more the realm of applying the proper epoxy/glue/sealant that might be chemically fancy, but simple to apply.

      Is it trivial or not???

      I wouldn't call it trivial, no. If the economics support it it'll still get done though. Consider if EV prices come down enough that apartment dwellers want them. Suddenly an electric charging port becomes a selling point for them, much like wireless in hotels. They'll install them just to get (better) business.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    8. Re:Electricity not going to curb in general sense by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      average home averages 1KW load --> 24kwh/day. Nissan Leaf (and similar smallish EVs) has a 24kwh battery.

      You're missing that the battery isn't going to be empty on average. If the battery is at 50% charge, that's only 12kwh needing to be charged, or another 500 watts of average load. 50% more.

      Keep in mind that I said 'median everything' for a reason.

      Redoing some work: .3 kwh/mile (leaf/roadster/model S are all about the same - the leaf is lighter but Tesla's inverter and motors are a bit more efficient).
      12k miles/year per car
      11k kWh/year per household
      1.9 vehicles per household(2.58 people)
      6,840 kwh, about a 62% increase.

      Thanks, I need to update my figures - electricity use has dropped per household(and/or I hit on a study that was looking at higher usage areas more). If you use the alternate 15k average miles per vehicle, that would be 8.5k extra kwh per household per year, or 78%.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  25. That is wrong, both will exist by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Toyota knows there will be one winner. Electric of H2 power? It won't be both.

    What you are crazily ignoring is that H2 *is* electricity!!

    Electric cars are the winner, absolutely. It's just so obvious it's absurd.

    But to claim there will only exist H2 or battery powered cars is to go just as far into the realm of absurdity.

    The question then is what mix will there be of H2 use vs. battery, and that leads you to think about what it means if the majority of hundreds of millions of cars need power somehow...

    Just follow that road and at the end are the answers.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:That is wrong, both will exist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The mix will be no H2 (leaky containers) and all battery with some natural gas or petroleum range extenders.

      Pretty much what we have right now.

      Why would you move to hydrogen when you could just use your current fuel sources more efficiently?

      LNG, Petroleum, Diesel supplementing a primarily battery electric universe.

  26. Electric fueling infrastructure will be different by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Do you really think cities can hold 15 times the number of gas stations we have currently?

    Why would they need to? I think you are presuming electric fueling infrastructure will strongly resemble gasoline fueling infrastructure. It will not. Electric charging stations can be put in every parking lot, home, business etc. Heck my little downtown has a half dozen electric car charging stations right now in our shopping district. One of my customers has battery charging stations in front of their office. We have gas stations because they are handling a toxic, flammable and bulky chemical which is impractical and dangerous for most people to get at home in large quantities. We would need LESS fueling stations than we currently have if anything. You really only would need a fueling station for longer trips and it's not exactly tough to find a large patch of surplus farmland next to a highway.

    There is some reduction from people who can charge at home, but not really much because of the number of people in apartments or just traveling long distances.

    People in apartments have parking places for their cars too. No reason we couldn't wire many of those for charging purposes. Wouldn't happen overnight but we aren't going to switch to electric cars overnight either.

    What none of you seem to be thinking of is what happens when ALL CARS AND TRUCKS are electric, which I consider inevitable.

    I don't consider it inevitable at all unless there are some pretty significant breakthroughs in battery tech to allow faster charging and lower cost. Electric cars are a promising niche right now. I think you'll see a LOT of hybrids before you see any sort of wholesale change to pure electrics. In some locations (remote and cold especially) I don't see internal combustion going away anytime soon.

  27. Vague appeals to authority by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Or perhaps a giant corporation with lots of money and a huge R&D department might be a bit more aware of what the future roadmap for hydrogen production looks like than you?

    Perhaps but if so they are being rather coy about how hydrogen somehow makes more sense than electric+battery. I'm an engineer who works in automotive and it's not like I wouldn't understand a good argument why hydrogen would make sense. I don't have anything against hydrogen as a fuel source. In theory it has a lot of potential advantages. But the reality is that those potential advantages face some very serious real world obstacles. I have yet to see anyone point out a roadmap for hydrogen powered vehicles that I think has even a remote chance of actually occurring. The biggest obstacle (though hardly the only one) is the lack of fueling infrastructure. Solve that without introducing a pollution problem in the process and I'll listen.

    1. Re:Vague appeals to authority by Noah+Haders · · Score: 1

      I don't understand your perspective and focus on pollution issues. right now most industrial H2 in US is made from NG, but most transportation H2 is made from on-site electrolysis. If it's made from electrolysis then it's mostly made from NG, coal, or nuclear anyway. any EV is also powered from NG, coal, or nuclear as well. You could say that well EVs can be powered by renewables, then I can say that as well about hydrogen.

      it's clear that due to the infrastructure issues there's a much larger critical mass network effect with FCEVs rather than BEVs. This is why Toyota, Hyundai, and others are focusing on specific markets like CA and northeast.

      I'd say the biggest problem is your "one ring to rule them all" approach. there's room in the market for both BEVs and FCEVs.

  28. Household not Space by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    The average household would use 50% more power if all their vehicles were electric.Though if solar power keeps taking off, it's possible that charging during the day(like at work)

    Because what cities are no for is so many open areas where sunlight falls down upon everything. Um, no????? No to mention it would give you something like 10 minutes of power for a solar cell mounted on a car!?!

    I cannot believe the massive ignorance of reality that goes on around thinking of mass numbers of EV chargers.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Household not Space by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      No to mention it would give you something like 10 minutes of power for a solar cell mounted on a car!?!No to mention it would give you something like 10 minutes of power for a solar cell mounted on a car!?!

      How'd you get the damnfool idea that I was proposing to mount the solar cells on the cars? You put them on building roofs and such where they belong! The idea is that if we start producing more than about 20% of our electrical energy from solar that the balance of generation vs consumption would flip from nighttime being the cheap time for electricity(due to always on powerplants matched with lower nighttime demand), to daytime because you have so many solar panels only producing power during the day, actually outweighing the increases in power demand.

      Because what cities are no for is so many open areas where sunlight falls down upon everything

      Cities cores don't have the open space. On the other hand, you shouldn't be parking there either. Worst case, import the electricity from the solar panels mounted on roofs out in the suburbs, where they aren't using the power because 'everybody' is at work. If you have a parking lot(other than a multilevel garage), that's a lot of open space you could slap solar panels over and even 'improve' your space because now there's 'improv' car-ports for everyone to keep their fancy electric cars in the shade, not being rained or snowed on. ;)

      I cannot believe the massive ignorance of reality that goes on around thinking of mass numbers of EV chargers.

      Going by your response to me, that's mostly because you construct straw-men and take every statement in the worst way possible. Though re-reading my post, I did screw up - "use 50% more power" should be "use 50% more electricity" - I don't want to imply that the peaks would go up 50%. Using proper load-leveling systems power demand should actually even out a bit.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    2. Re:Household not Space by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      How'd you get the damnfool idea that I was proposing to mount the solar cells on the cars? You put them on building roofs and such where they belong!

      Which would produce enough electricity to "fill" a car or two, per rooftop. That sure does solve everything!

      Going by your response to me, that's mostly because you construct straw-men

      Sorry if you consider basic physics a straw-man. Not much I can do to help you if you insist physical laws of the universe do not matter any,

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    3. Re:Household not Space by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Which would produce enough electricity to "fill" a car or two, per rooftop. That sure does solve everything!

      If it's a residential rooftop, then yeah, it does pretty much solve everything. Well, at least the 'How do we charge these EVs?' question. You can already produce enough electricity to power the average home if it has about 50% of it's roof facing south, without using all of the roof.

      From another post I did, the average household uses about 11k kWh/year and has 1.9 cars it drives ~15k miles each with.

      So you need roughly 20k kWh/year. Figuring on 30% capacity factor, a 300 watt panel should produce around 788 kwh/year. So you'd need 26 panels. Call it 22 square feet per panel, that's 572 square feet of roof needed to cover 100% of the household's needs. Given that the average house size is up to 2.2k square feet, that's 1.1k square feet available even before you consider roof pitch.
      Of course, lacking something like 'retired to grid use' Tesla EV batteries this would mean that you'd have a massive over-production during the day if 'everybody' did it, so long before it happened the power company would actually start charging more for power produced at night(and paying solar producers less).

      Don't forget that all the above depends on solar panels continuing to experience price drops that I think are unsustainable. IE it's not economical for now.

      Sorry if you consider basic physics a straw-man. Not much I can do to help you if you insist physical laws of the universe do not matter any,

      You're fine to cite physics, but you might want to actually do the math first. It doesn't actually take that much rooftop space to keep a car powered. The problem with solar panels on a car is that you need something like 200 square feet of solar panels placed in a fairly optimized fashion to keep it powered, and a car isn't going to be placed in a 'fairly optimized' position all that often and it just doesn't have that much surface area that's practical to use anyways. Instead you're seeing things like solar rooftops that aren't intended to power the car's movement so much as to counter the drain from all the gadgets.

      *Lots of caveats here. I'm only considering 'average' case - average latitude, solar exposure, etc...

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  29. Re:Electric fueling infrastructure will be differe by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    I think you'll see a LOT of hybrids before you see any sort of wholesale change to pure electrics. In some locations (remote and cold especially) I don't see internal combustion going away anytime soon.

    Perhaps. Up here in Alaska I actually proposed installing a small hydrocarbon burner to provide the heat necessary as opposed to burning it in an engine. Even up here 'most' of the heat goes out the tailpipe and such. A gallon or two of 'something' burned intentionally for heat would still be a lot less energy wasted. Plus, faster heat!

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  30. Not gas stations, charging ports... everywhere. by phorm · · Score: 1

    "Do you really think cities can hold 15 times the number of gas stations we have currently?"

    I don't know about 15 times, but around here we're probably down to about 1/3 of what we had a decade ago, so if we went 3-4x we'd probably be about on par.
    More likely though, gas "stations" will become passe, and charge-spots will become like parking meters (hell, probably *part* of parking meters). Stop your car on the curb, grab a bite or do some shopping, and let the vehicle charge while you're away. Same while you're at work. If workplaces set up charging for employee vehicles, then line-ups at the "pump" could be less than they are now.

    Your local grocery store? Yeah, they'll have charging ports everywhere. They'll probably give you a discount if you buy groceries there while charging, too. Coffee-shop, same.

  31. Sea water Hydrolysis by Martin+S. · · Score: 1

    The hydrogen will be provided by sea water hydrolysis powered by off shore wind farms with off peak surplus power.

  32. It's like GPL by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    So to make invention still go you first need to patent it, then you release it for free to all. Why do we still have patents at all, again?

    Because that's the current law and getting it changed is an exercise in futility.

    So, just like copyright and the GPL, they have to patent it first to keep OTHER people from patenting it and locking them out of their own invention. Once that's done they can go ahead and give it away if they want (or cross-license with people with other patents on useful stuff).

    Sure it would be nice if patents went away on a lot of stuff - or even everything. It would be nice if other countries wouldn't try to conquer us if we disarmed, too. But as long as patents are there, inventors are forced to stay armed.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  33. Electric vehicles that create their own power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Electric vehicles that create their own electricity as they move. A magneto produces power when a turning part (wheels, axels, etc.)
    by way of belts or otherwise make the magneto turn to excite permanent magnets (e.g. wheels or fifth wheel turning magneto shaft). Current returns to central motor after moving through an inverter to battery and motor controllers and then goes on to Central DC Motor. Battery starts car as usual. Battery is replenished by Direct Current coming from the Magneto via Inverter. Extra DC current flows through motor controller to Central DC Motor which moves car. OR a Magneto-Motor Overunity would accomplish the same thing by having multiple permanent magnets, each bank of them with number of poles to correspond to cycles of motor, mounted on central rotating shaft. These magnets then excite stationary coils which send their AC current back to Central Motor via Inverter and battery and motor controllers. You have a car that runs itself forever.

  34. Fool cells are still fool cells ! by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Every single fuel cell car is still an underpowered, unsexy car.
    In the meantime Tesla is showing its cars can rival half a millon buck cars at less than 1/3 the price.
    What Toyota will never conceed is that its fuel cell cars where never truly intended to replace gasoline cars. They are compliance cars, made strictly to comply with emissions regulations to offset the lowest mpg cars on Toyota's product line.
    In the meantime Tesla is producing cars people actually want to buy, because its a high end car with all of its sex appeal !

  35. Battery tech is the automotive heir apparent. by billdale · · Score: 1

    You're woefully short-sighted, my friend! You assume batteries are improving in mere increments, or perhaps are even out of tricks to try to better their game-- but not so. As I said earlier, several of the upcoming chemistries, such as (several competing versions of) nanotitanate, and nanopore ceramics, and silicon nanowire can be recharged either fully in a matter of 5 minutes or so, or to 80% in a similarly short time, at which point they must be charged more slowly if you want to top them off, but a full pack is rarely needed regardless. Even today's Leaf can be recharged quickly enough to make them quite attractive to buyers, given the enormous savings in travel expenses, lack of need for tune-ups and service, and lack of the dreaded Smog Test. There are a number of primary battery chemistries, once tweaked to their maximum potential, whose energy density can be increased by an order of magnitude by coating the electrodes with silicon nanotubes (or other materials that increase electrode surface area). That means that for a car such as the Model S that can already top 400 miles range per charge with less aggressive driving, it could easily make it nonstop from Los Angeles to Atlanta... and, rather than increasing an EV's range to ridiculous extremes, the battery pack could instead be reduced in size, making EVs lighter, less expensive, more nimble and with even greater vehicle cargo capacity than they already have. (There's a REASON the Model S got the best rating in the history of Consumer Reports, as well as Motor Trend's Car of the Year Award! You would have to be delusional to ignore that, and continue to believe without basis that fuel cells will ever overcome EV momentum! Critics love the totally flat floors, and, huge trunks in both front and back. FCVs will not likely ever have such roomy cargo space.) And, since batteries are still far from running out of new tricks, they need not remain the vehicle of choice for the rich. Within the next few months or a year, more models and other variations of the Model S, Model 3 and others that will be available which will put Teslas within the reach of the average American. Musk laid out that plan publicly even before the first Roadster was sold... very serviceable EVs in the range of $30,000 or so in the third generation. You appear stubbornly obsessed with this idea that EVs are heavy-- that is already not true, at least that today's EVs are typically only slightly heavier than today's ICE cars, and EV car makers already are working out the production lines to deliver battery packs that will be lighter, more energetic, more robust and cheaper than what is available today. The Tesla Gigafactory will be poking a hole in the whole battery cost thing... Musk's not going to tell everyone of breakthroughs he's putting online-- but look at his past history, and you can tell he's got some surprises to reveal soon. He is a showman, and loves to spring incredible publicity blockbusters at gala events... and if you think I'm lying, notice that at no time in the last couple of years has he betrayed any stress of "Where do I go from here? Do I have any options left? Is the other shoe about to drop?" Anything but. He's been behaving like a giddy daddy the week before Christmas, just waiting to see how the kiddies respond to the toys beneath the tree. As for your misplaced, gushing enthusiasm for FCVs, there are enormous hurdles for FCs to be overcome, which appear to a lot of specialists in such chemistry, to be ominous, thorny, and expensive to resolve. Fuel cells might make some good sense for stationary installations such as homes as cogenerators of heat and electricity, but natural gas is still a finite resource, and may become even more finite if fracking proves to be causing an increase in ground water contamination, as well as the swarms of troubling earthquakes that have been occurring in the last few years. Solar power is not perfect, but in balance, is far more sensible than continuing to use up finite resources when clean, quiet renewables are avai

    1. Re:Battery tech is the automotive heir apparent. by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Even if the batteries can be refilled in a shorter time (and I still see a lot of if around real versions of that coming to market) that just increases the electrical demands on the systems that have to feed electricity to the charger, which were already substantial... basically you are always just shuffling deck chairs on the ship of impracticality for mass adoption.

      Tesla has done a better job promoting electric cars that anyone, by far - but they simply do not have the resources Toyota has, and Toyota is going to be pushing Hydrogen heavily going forward.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    2. Re: Battery tech is the automotive heir apparent. by billdale · · Score: 1

      Kendall: you are allowing your FC biases to skew reasonable judgment. Back in the 60's, backers of FCVs declared confidently that we'd all be buying fuel cell cars within ten years... they have kept saying it for the last 50+ years... and FCs are still "just a few years away." Keep beating your dead horse as long as you think it's gonna wi you the Preakness, but meanwhile you'll continue to see EVs surge forward, and FCS stagnate as they always have. You're wearing blinders that allow you only to see the FC "progress" that you think will eventually vindicate your viewpoint, but meanwhile that sad, blind loyalty of yours keeps you from objectively looking to see if their are any reasonable solutions to the deadly flaws in the FC game plan, as I outlined in my previous comment-- what do you think will ever allow FCs to overcome The-Chicken-and-Egg problem, The Hindenberg Effect (which is inevitable) and the dozens of other huge problems FCS face? It is all those huge stumbling blocks that all the other car makers realize that Toyota is ignoring... just because they can handle some of the minor technical problems that have always been there, until they look at the broader picture and see that they' re fighting a losing battle, they will continue to flounder as Tesla swallows them up with impeccable products that have them with huge backlogs of orders to fill, which is why the $5B Gigafactory is being built. Again, yes, Toyota, is "big"... but look instead at the trends of both companies and it's obvious Tesla and all the other companies that are putting their money into EVs are the ones who will emerge the winners in this brawl. You and I cannot both be right on this issue... I'm confident that with every passing month, the gulf between Toyota and Tesla (and other EV makers) will continue to grow in the favor of EVs. If you cannot read the handwriting on the wall, I'm sorry... this will be the last comment I'm going to leave on this thread.--- Electric Bill