Slashdot Mirror


What If We Lost the Sky?

HughPickens.com (3830033) writes "Anna North writes in the NYT that a report released last week by the National Research Council calls for research into reversing climate change through a process called albedo modification: reflecting sunlight away from earth by, for instance, spraying aerosols into the atmosphere. But such a process could, some say, change the appearance of the sky — and that in turn could affect everything from our physical health to the way we see ourselves. "You'd get whiter skies. People wouldn't have blue skies anymore." says Alan Robock. "Astronomers wouldn't be happy, because you'd have a cloud up there permanently. It'd be hard to see the Milky Way anymore."

According to Dacher Keltner, a psychology professor at the University of California, losing the night sky would have big consequences. "When you go outside, and you walk in a beautiful setting, and you just feel not only uplifted but you just feel stronger. There's clearly a neurophysiological basis for that," says Keltner, adding that looking up at a starry sky provides "almost a prototypical awe experience," an opportunity to feel "that you are small and modest and part of something vast." If we lose the night sky "we lose something precious and sacred." "We're finding in our lab that the experience of awe gets you to feel connected to something larger than yourself, see the humanity in other people," says Paul K. Piff. "In many ways it's kind of an antidote to narcissism." And the sky is one of the few sources of that experience that's available to almost everybody: "Not everyone has access to the ocean or giant trees, or the Grand Canyon, but we certainly all live beneath the night sky."

Alan Robock says one possible upside of adding aerosols could be beautiful red and yellow sunsets as "the yellow and red colors reflect off the bottom of this cloud." Robock recommends more research into albedo modification: "If people ever are tempted to do this, I want them to have a lot of information about what the potential benefits and risks would be so they can make an informed decision. Dr. Abdalati says deploying something like albedo modification is a last-ditch effort. "We've gotten ourselves into a climate mess. The fact that we're even talking about these kinds of things is indicative of that."

74 of 421 comments (clear)

  1. Highlander III did it already... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Possibly the worst movie ever, but everyone in their world hated their lives because they had no sky.

    1. Re:Highlander III did it already... by durrr · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Another movie did it too.

      They called it Operation Dark Storm and shortly afterwards most of humanity went extinct, just like how the greenies like it.

    2. Re:Highlander III did it already... by stjobe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      To quote the (only) movie: "There can be only one".

      I refuse to acknowledge that the fantastic movie Highlander ever has had any sequels, prequels, tv shows, a franchise or anything else.

      Just that one movie, with its marvellous soundtrack and the mystery of who the immortals were, where they came from, and why there could be only one.

      None of this "they came from space. No, the future!" malarkey. It is and was a mystery, never explained.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    3. Re:Highlander III did it already... by durrr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes I think like this.
      The greenies want to see the earth depopulated and they take every opportunity they can to make predictions about this or suggestions on how to do it via population control. Paul Ehrlich summarizes the whole movement pretty well with his numerous antihuman quotes.

    4. Re:Highlander III did it already... by taiwanjohn · · Score: 4, Informative

      Those time-traveling immortals should have taken a detour via 2013 to hear Allan Savory's TED Talk: Allan Savory: How to green the world's deserts and reverse climate change. The action is all in the soil, not up in the sky.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    5. Re:Highlander III did it already... by Troed · · Score: 3, Funny

      Nothing that mankind has control over is more likely to cause mass death than continuing to contribute to climate change

      The most likely stable state the climate is going to end up in, compared to the interglacial we're in right now, is back into full glaciation.

      There's no stable "hotter" state known (no matter the historical CO2 levels, which have been much much higher than we're projecting to ever reach) to science. The only question during an interglacial is whether the poles will be free of ice or not - and looking at the latest interglacial, the Eemian, we shouldn't be surprised if the arctic circle becomes ice free (still without any catastrophic effects whatsoever).

      What do we need to do to get back into full glaciation?

      Nothing. Absolutely nothing. Although - changing the albedo as proposed in the article might well bring us there sooner rather than later.

      Caveat: This post reflects the current state of science accurately. Watch out for replies that don't.

    6. Re:Highlander III did it already... by taiwanjohn · · Score: 2

      Thanks for sharing, that's the first time I've seen a somewhat thoughtful and serious (if not rigorous) attempt to debunk Savory's claims. Unfortunately, it disappoints on several fronts. First it gets some key facts wrong. For example, Holistic Management is not a "livestock management system" it is applicable to any context, not just agriculture. The livestock management system used by Savory is called Managed Intensive Rotational Grazing (MIRG) or just "rotational grazing" for short. A minor distinction, perhaps, but one that Savory takes pains to make clear in numerous lectures. So, right out of the gate, it tells me that this author might not know as much as he thinks he does about Savory's methods.

      In general, the entire piece is long on "common sense" or "everybody knows that..." claims, and short on actual scientific citations. (I counted zero throughout... maybe I missed one?) It also has some contradictions and logical failings. For example, "Most arid grasslands have low productivity, thus low ability to store new sources of carbon." This ignores the whole point of MIRG, which is to improve the health and productivity of marginal lands, thus increasing their ability to sequester carbon. I could go on, but I don't have all day.

      Yes, before and after photos may just be "anecdotal" evidence, but at least they are evidence. I didn't see much in the way of superior or more-rigorous evidence in this article.

      Meanwhile, folks like Joel Salatin and thousands of others continue to enjoy success with MIRG on 6 out of 7 continents, in virtually every type of climate where grazing is possible.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  2. on starting with smaller-scale albedo modification by FooAtWFU · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Developed areas currently cover around 1% of Earth's surface already. Switching to more-reflective materials -- asphalt mixed with recycled glass, roofs with light-colored shingles instead of dark, Mediterranean-style exterior color schemes -- not only increases albedo but can mitigate heat-island effects and reduce the need to expend energy on cooling.

    --
    The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  3. This sounds like... by J'raxis · · Score: 2

    ...the plot to a really terrible movie.

    1. Re:This sounds like... by FooAtWFU · · Score: 2

      If you ask me, it actually sounds more like the plot to a really terrible movie.

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
  4. Don't fucking do it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I know we think we're all-knowing, or at least smarter than mother nature. But we just shouldn't be fucking around trying to fix something by doing something more. History is full of humans trying to fix one invasive species by introducing another to 'control' the first, and then winding up even worse off. Fix the cause of the problem rather than trying to chase around the symptoms. Or else we're all fucked.

    1. Re:Don't fucking do it. by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 3, Insightful

      She swallowed the spider to catch the fly....

      --
      Got them moderator blues I blieve I walk out the do', With these mod-points I been gettin', I 'most never post no mo'
    2. Re:Don't fucking do it. by zm · · Score: 3, Informative

      Mother nature did this before. It wasn't pretty. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Y... Something tells me we shouldn't fucking do it.

      --
      Sig ?
    3. Re:Don't fucking do it. by stjobe · · Score: 3, Informative

      Known around these parts as "eighteen-hundred-froze-to-death".

      As in "Wow, that's old. Haven't seen one of those since eighteen-hundred-froze-to-death".

      My friends usually look at me weird when I explain that the expression references 1816 and the effects of Mount Tambora exploding and putting lots and lots (and lots) of ash into the atmosphere.

      --
      "Total destruction the only solution" - Bob Marley
    4. Re:Don't fucking do it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I prefer the astronaut saying... "there is no problem so bad that you can't make it worse."

    5. Re:Don't fucking do it. by war4peace · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Some questions:
      1. How do you plan to decrease that amount?
      2. How do you know how long you need to wait to realize you've overdone it? Suppose the temperature rises 0.5 degrees per year, so you spit some substance out. Next year there's no reduction of the trend, so you do what? Wait to see if that goes down next year or spit some more substance? Do you wait a decade? A century?

      These global mechanisms are poorly understood and overly complex as it is, the last thing I'd want is meddling with it. It's like a 2 year old shoving both hands into a running car engine to make it sound more like the lullaby his mom's singing to him every night.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  5. Changing for you maybe by cupantae · · Score: 5, Informative

    "You'd get whiter skies. People wouldn't have blue skies anymore."

    Living in Ireland, the sky is white or grey about half the time. You get over it.

    --
    --
    1. Re:Changing for you maybe by stud9920 · · Score: 2

      "You'd get whiter skies. People wouldn't have blue skies anymore."

      Living in Ireland, the sky is white or grey about half the time. You get over it.

      The other half, it's just night time.

    2. Re:Changing for you maybe by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yeah, a lot of people already live in the sort of environments that they're warning against. This line got me:

      And the sky is one of the few sources of that experience that's available to almost everybody

      Is that a joke? People's ability to see the night sky varies vastly depending on where they are. In big metro area, all you can see are the brightest of stars. There's little to no majesty to it. It's when you get out into the deep, deep countryside and look up at the uncountable multitude above you that you feel little and insignificant compared to the cosmos around you. There's nothing universal about ready access to a dark sky. And it's getting rarer and rarer.

      --
      We gotta go to a crappy town where I'm a hero.
    3. Re:Changing for you maybe by Rei · · Score: 2

      Quite true. Last spring I went to the US (Indiana and Texas) from Iceland with my then-fiance to show him where I grew up and went to school (he grew up in Iceland). It was too bright for him in Indiana, and in Texas it was downright painful for him.

      We don't get much of that "sun beating down straight overhead" stuff here that you get in the states, it more sort of rotates around you, with really long sunrises / sunsets (sometimes with multiple sunrises / sunsets in a day as it moves past mountains).

      --
      We gotta go to a crappy town where I'm a hero.
  6. Sadly by rmdingler · · Score: 2
    Because the salting of pseudo-scientific facts and studies has been so successful,

    and our leadership is filled by tools bent on their own reelection above all else,

    we are likely to wait until such a measure is a the only recourse.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  7. Burn the land by pr0t0 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Burn the land, boil the sea; you can't take the sky from me.

    --
    I'm sorry, but your opinion seems to be wrong.
  8. Cripes, what could possibly go wrong? by L.+J.+Beauregard · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What effects might the aerosols have?

    What if we use too much? Do we really want to risk a snowball Earth?

    Do we really want to risk anything on such a large scale just because some yahoo wants to roll coal?

    Can no one see that not messing with the climate any more than we have to is the conservative position, at least as "conservative" is properly defined?

    --
    Ooh, moderator points! Five more idjits go to Minus One Hell!
    Delendae sunt RIAA, MPAA et Windoze
    1. Re:Cripes, what could possibly go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      What effects might the aerosols have?

      What if we use too much?

      At least we'll all have great looking hair that always stays in place.

    2. Re:Cripes, what could possibly go wrong? by MozeeToby · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Think about how much power was generated over the past 100 years of burning carbon, you're going to need more than that, probably much much more than that, to pull all that carbon out. And that's on top of all the power we'll be using in the meantime.

    3. Re:Cripes, what could possibly go wrong? by donaldm · · Score: 2

      There is one thing that could be done. Pull CO2 out of the atmosphere on a large scale. That would take enormous amounts of carbon-free electricity.

      Where do you suggest we put all this CO2? Over millions of years the excess CO2 of our planet was removed by plants and safely locked away until we decided to dig it up and released it. What is really needed is a balance but how to determine that balance and even implement it that is the question although planting more trees would help.

      Basically we need to be fairly energy neutral and a balance between producing bio-fuels and consuming that fuel is essential. All fossil fuels do is produce more CO2 and other products although even this can be offset with some thought.

      Please note I am well aware the pluses and minuses of bio-fuels not to mention some ridicules and possibly criminal choices of the type of fuels for certain areas. It is very important to decide on the appropriate bio-fuel that can be relatively cheap to produce and appropriate for area. In some areas such as those with high population densities growing of bio-fuels impacts on the growing of food so some sort of balance is needed and that is not easy when greed takes over.

      --
      There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
    4. Re:Cripes, what could possibly go wrong? by david_bonn · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Some idiot is just going to do it.

      It wouldn't surprise me if some consortium of obnoxious rich people (billionaires who own substantial amounts of Florida real estate are good candidates) and a low-lying country (my bet is on the Maldives) are just going to go distribute aerosols in the upper atmosphere.

      The thing is, the actual volume of material you need to get into the stratosphere is not very large. A small jet flying eight or ten hours a week could do it. The problem is that most small business jets don't fly high enough to get effective distribution.

      So you'd need to re-engine a gulfstream or two -- that's the big capital investment.

      Someone could do this and not even need to ask permission.

    5. Re:Cripes, what could possibly go wrong? by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Can no one see that not messing with the climate any more than we have to is the conservative position, at least as "conservative" is properly defined?

      There are two fairly rational rebuttals to that, at least that I know of, and I'm on your side. The first is that we're already messing with the environment, so we might as well try to mess with it in a way that improves it. The second is that we're not going to stop messing with the environment, it's kind of what we do, so again, let's try to do it right. So both inertia and our nature work against the idea of not doing something.

      Now, with that said, there are a couple of patents on making chemtrails- uh, excuse me, "persistent contrails" which have been tested by the DoD. One of them is special fuel additives. The other is spraying powder. Of course, reducing albedo by spraying aerosols is itself patented. And yeah, the things the patents describe using are not things you want to be using.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  9. We did this already... by VanessaE · · Score: 4, Funny

    "We don't know who struck first, us or them, but we know that it was us that scorched the sky."

  10. Highlander II but the sky part should own movie by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2

    Highlander II but the sky part should of been it's own movie not Highlander + a B movie scifi plot.

  11. Do it to Venus first by msk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Subject says it all.

    1. Re:Do it to Venus first by halivar · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Venus is a little more complicated. It's got no internal dynamo, so its magnetic field is generated by the convection of its intense atmosphere. If you cooled it or slowed it, the magnetic field would disappear and its atmosphere would be eroded by solar wind.

    2. Re:Do it to Venus first by halivar · · Score: 2

      Again, speaking as a layman, but my understanding is that it isn't the rotation of the planet that creates the internal dynamo, but the fact that our cool mantle constrains the energy of our hot core, which can only then be expressed as an internal convection. Venus, unlike Mars, also has a hot core, but also has a hot mantle; heat energy from the core radiates out without constraint. The energy that would have been used to power the dynamo instead goes to heat up the planet's crust.

  12. Re:What? by PvtVoid · · Score: 2

    What climate mess?

    I am convinced that the primary reason Bill Nye thinks that tech people tend to be scientifically illiterate is that he reads
    Slashdot.

  13. Don't fuck with Mother Nature by NotDrWho · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Any fix on this scale will come with many, many unintended consequences.

    --
    SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    1. Re:Don't fuck with Mother Nature by MozeeToby · · Score: 2

      Don't fuck with Mother Nature

      We. Already. Did.

      I'd rather have us fuck with Mother Nature after a decade of exhaustive research, debate, and cost benefit analysis than continue fucking with Mother Nature purely based on what's most profitable at the moment (aka, what we do now).

    2. Re:Don't fuck with Mother Nature by neilo_1701D · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'd rather have us fuck with Mother Nature after a decade of exhaustive research, debate, and cost benefit analysis

      I refer you to the calicivirus experiment in Australia for a truly scary example of exhaustive research, debate and cost-benefit analysis that didn't quite work out as intended.

      Rabbit haemorrhagic disease, also known as calicivirus, was trialed in Australia to eliminate the rabbit population. Calicivirus can only infect rabbits; there is no interspecies transmission or carrier.

      The trial was conducted on Wardang Island, some 2.4 miles off the coast of South Australia in Spencer Gulf. The island was already loaded with rabbits that were cut off from the mainland, and there was no known way for any of these rabbits to cross the water.

      In 1991, the virus was introduced to the island. By 1995 it had spread to the mainland, killing 10 million rabbits within 8 weeks of it’s arrival. Those that were left developed immunity.

      So, we have an isolated island with a virus that can only be transmitted within a single species; said species can’t swim; certainly not the two miles. Yet, unintended and unforeseen consequences of this carefully planned, carefully modeled and (apparently) highly contained in a very controlled area that was heavily policed by AQIS went horribly awry and made the rabbit plague in Australia much worse, but managed to wipe out huge numbers of pets rabbits..

      We can't get it right on the small scale; how do we know we'll get it right on the planetary scale?

  14. Re:Harvesting resources from other planets/space by ihtoit · · Score: 2

    no not really, new theory suggests that Earth might once have been a gas giant the size of Neptune. Solar wind pressure burns off the hydrogen and helium, leaving behind a small rocky core and a tenuous layer consisting of nitrogen and argon, carbon dioxide and a little oxygen. Biological processes start and begin to liberate oxygen, and we're where we're at now.

    --
    Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
  15. Reversing what now? by Ashtead · · Score: 2

    This is supposed to "reverse" the climate change? As in making it essentially perpetually cloudy? This sounds nothing so much like a nuclear winter, though without the nukes...

    How something like that is going to reverse anything, now climate being that chaotic as it is doesn't easily move forwards or backwards along some line, like a car or animal does. It will change it, sure. Probably to the nuclear winter-like conditions, as if that were anything better than today's situation. Or maybe this would also keep heat in, so we would get what is essentially a runaway greenhouse... now wasn't that what was supposedely the problem initially?

    This is just wrong on so many levels...

    --
    SIGBUS @ NO-07.308
    1. Re:Reversing what now? by Ashtead · · Score: 2

      Why would that be a probable outcome ? Why couldn't we just add a little bit of the aerosols, measure the effect, and slowly add some more ?

      There is pretty good historical evidence of what did happen when a big volcano blew out lots of ash and particles. Mount Tambora for example, that had an eruption in 1815, and the following year, 1816, became known as "the year without a summer", because of this. There is no good reason to expect a significantly different outcome from filling the atmosphere with other similar particles. It will become colder.

      On the other hand, this does argue for the possibility that the system can behave somewhat predictable, with negative feedback as it were, within a smaller range of excitations, like varying the speed of an aircraft as long as it runs faster than stall speed. But once driven past some inflection-point that we can expect to be there, given that the system is chaotic, all bets will be off.

      Still, this suggested solution seems to be worse than the problem. The possible increased temperatures and CO2 will just make for better growth conditions for all kinds of plants, of which many are food for animals which in turn are eaten by humans. Less sunlight, less heat, less CO2 and there will be less foliage, then eventually less food available. How can that good for anything?

      And finally, back in the 1970s and 1980s, there was a lot of argumentation about acid rain, caused by partculate pollution from coal-fired plants, where the sulfur was precipitated as acid. Countries have managed to put a stop to this kind of pollution, though there are still localized problems with particulate pollution in cities. And now there are someone arguing that this sort of thing actually could be worthwhile in an attempt to halt a perceived warming process?

      --
      SIGBUS @ NO-07.308
  16. Nature... by Half-pint+HAL · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why does TFA focus on neurophysiological handwavery rather than clear and obvious physical concerns? The loss of light at night would be a major hassle to a lot of people, and would result in increased need for electric lighting. Some nocturnal animals would likely be seriously inconvenienced, messing up the ecosystem. But the biggie -- the real biggie -- Plants Eat Light. Crop yields would decrease the world over. Still want to mess about with aerosols and the atmosphere...?

    --
    Got them moderator blues I blieve I walk out the do', With these mod-points I been gettin', I 'most never post no mo'
    1. Re:Nature... by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 2

      I came here to mention this. For some reason the people that suggest reducing the light hitting the surface always fail to grasp that it would also reduce the crop yields (along with the growth of all of the other plants, reducing their carbon uptake). It would also reduce the electricity generated from solar power plants.

  17. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    That sounds like a practical, reasonable plan that can be done with 19th century solutions. In other words, gay.

    We're going to need a solution, preferably more than one, that will require 3D printers, private space, and dozens of universities, think thanks, and tax-funded "private" companies to rob you blind.

    Welcome to the 21st century, don't forget to pay your rent.

  18. Re:This is the systemd methodology. by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

    Who are you? What do you even do with the rest of your life when it's not waiting to post something about systemd in every single article on Slashdot?

  19. What is interesting by justthinkit · · Score: 2

    What is interesting is that Irish people are some of the nicest people I have ever met. It is a bit of a mystery why they are so nice, given how war-torn their two countries are, and that potato famine thing. Feherty is must-watch golf TV. Conan is one of the greatest late-nighters. Then there's one of the greatest 'stand-up' comics: Dave Allen.
    - an envious Canadian

    --
    I come here for the love
    1. Re:What is interesting by justthinkit · · Score: 2

      By the way, Australia, France, South Korea, and Portugal drink more alcohol per capita than Ireland. According to a recent Listverse "top 10".

      --
      I come here for the love
    2. Re:What is interesting by halivar · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah, but in those countries, they count beer and cider as alcohol. No self-respecting Irishman would do the same.
      /duck
      /run

  20. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by jellomizer · · Score: 2

    The problem is actions like this put the burden individuals and smaller municipal governments.
    People especially Americans, do not like the government telling them what they can and can't do to their own property. Also the small local governments have limited funds, such actions will mean that the local government will need to make a serious sacrifice.
    Putting such actions in place, will only lead to the politicians who put the rule in place being kicked out, and if it continues violence will escalate.

    Now your post didn't mention a forced change, I just wanted to bring up trying such smaller scale modifications, will require a slow approach, where alternatives will need to be sure that there aren't major flaws in the design, as a large scale implementation failure could have a major backlash.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  21. Wouldn't it cause a massive plankton die-off? by Ukab+the+Great · · Score: 2

    And more omninously, make bikinis go out of style?

  22. Human being is truly amazing. by Kekke · · Score: 2

    Last time i checked we weren't the only creatures on this planet, worse yes, only, no.
    Might be a good idea think what it does for the living biomass in a whole....We are kept alive by that very same mass.

    Why try stop the warming like this? Pretty obvious, after that we can cash in for the fossil fuels that are still left to burn.

    *pffft*

  23. Some Kids have already lost the sky... by bknack · · Score: 4, Interesting

    “Now I prefer cloudy days when the drones don’t fly. When the sky brightens and becomes blue, the drones return and so does the fear. Children don’t play so often now, and have stopped going to school. Education isn’t possible as long as the drones circle overhead.”
    I added the bold.

    From: http://www.theguardian.com/wor...

    I only read this a few days ago, but was really struck by it. The reason is completely different from that covered in the original article, but I wonder at the effects the author is concerned about...

    Cheers,
    Bruce.

    --
    Bruce A. Knack
    Silicon Surfers
  24. Right... what could go wrong? by rgbatduke · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Seriously. We have a perfect understanding of the climate. We can predict to a tenth of a degree what the weather will be two weeks or two hundred years from now anywhere on Earth. We fully understand what triggers ice ages and can hindcast the climate of the entire Pliestocene, quantitatively. Our knowledge of solar dynamics is almost perfect, so we can confidently predict the state of the sun well into the future. Our measurements of atmosphere, ocean, and land are complete so that we know the entire state of the ocean (for example) well enough to predict with complete accuracy its future evolution given any possible variation of solar input. Finally, we are perfectly capable of predicting the future course of human affairs -- global population, the distribution of that population, land use -- and can predict already precisely when we will make critical scientific and technological breakthroughs (like thermonuclear fusion or widespread LFTR fission or storage batteries that don't suck or high temperature high current superconductors) . Our knowledge of the interior of the Earth itself is at last nearly complete, so we can predict to the day when Yellowstone or other supervolcanoes will wake up and erupt continuously for ten or twenty thousand years. Finally, once we create an orbital cloud of atomic sodium (or whatever) into space, it will be easy to remove it or rearrange it if it turns out to do something completely different than we expect, such as trigger snowball earth or act in its own right like a layer of greenhouse gas between the Earth and 3 K infinity.

    Oh, wait, those are all things we don't have, and can't do, and don't know. And I absolutely shudder to think of the price tag, both in dollars and in joules.

    I swear, common sense is a lost art.

    Let's go back to discussing orbital solar cells as a solution to both energy production and screening. Adding 64 MJ/kg (times a thousand or so) to the cost of solar cells by lofting them into orbit and giving world governments potential access to an orbital superweapon just to get to 1370 W/m^2 sunlight is sheer economic brilliance compared to this one. Oh, wait! Maybe we can combine the two! We can mortgage the next 100 years of human productivity to pay for it, no problem! It's not like we have anything else to do, like ending world poverty, preventing antibiotic resistant malaria from breaking out into a worldwide pandemic, embracing rational thought at the expense of the not-great world religions, and coping with leftover hypernationalism and colonialism from the cold war. So sure, let's do it! Solar cells AND making Earth a ringed or stratospheric smog laden planet!

    What could go wrong!

    rgb

    --
    Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
  25. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by donaldm · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I suppose the first thing to ask is "What can go wrong?"

    Our planet maintains a balance so far and if you start to upset that balance then you are going to have two possibilities. 1) The planet goes through a runaway greenhouse effect and effectively gets far too hot, although probably not as hot as Venus. 2) The planet goes into deep freeze and this has happened before. We can actually thank volcanic action for reversing this process.

    I can understand concern over potential global warming and am in favour of reducing green house gas build up or better still to have a balance between consuming liquid fuels (example: practical bio-fuels without the hype) and growing them. Burning fossil fuels without some sort of balance is asking for trouble. Solar energy in all its forms should be seriously considered and the most suitable for each region implemented if possible and practical by all nations, although IMO that is basically asking the impossible but at least first world countries should set the example.

    Another area to look at is the design and building of housing that is energy efficient in that there would be less need for heating and cooling. Practical solar solutions should also be considered here as well.

    The things I have just mentioned are easily achievable with our current technology and would go a very long way in stabilising the climate of our planet. Of course this is but a pipe dream since we are a short lived species but if our life potential could be made to say 200 or more healthy years then most people in power would realise that they and not just their children are going have to put up with radical changes if they make stupid decisions. Of course human greed and fanaticism can still blind some even in the face of imminent disaster.

    --
    There ain't no such thing as proprietary standards only proprietary formats. Standards are by definition open.
  26. Re:Light Pollution by rgbatduke · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, and did you notice that nobody -- nobody at all -- is calling for street lights to be turned off for good. Everybody's worried about burning coal, wasting energy, making resistance heating electric hot water heaters illegal as of this year (sheesh!). They want us to turn off the lights in our houses, they want us to spend $20-30 on LED bulbs because incandescents use too much energy -- but the streets are lit outside of my door with enormous halogen bulbs that burn all night even when there are no human eyes open to see their light. Empty parking lots blaze with halogen and mercury and neon. Cities string Christmas lights by the thousands along miles of road once a year. We pay for all of it, and yeah, it means that we can't see the sky particularly well even living on the rural edge of the city with deer in our back yard.

    As a species, we're scared of the dark. We don't even consider turning off all of this completely wasted light (and saving some serious power, instantly) because then bad things would come out from under the bed and get us.

    We're not even completely incorrect in this belief. One of the bad things is us and we are indeed scary as shit.

    However, for far, far less than it would cost to loft crap into upper atmosphere or orbit, for far less than it would cost to even "commission research into" eventually lofting crap into orbit, we could start to actually use smart technology we already have and e.g. make street lights motion sensitive, or control crime (the usual excuse for having them, since "to prevent irrational fear of monsters" isn't an easy political sell for all of its truth) by actual robocop monitoring, looking for crime and not just putting up lights to nominally scare it off.

    One could go down a rather long list of petty vanities that cost comparatively huge amounts of energy that we routinely pay for -- and waste. Billboards. Streetlights. The pointless annual time shift. Trucks vs trains. The utter lack of functional, safe, bicycle lanes in almost all the communities in the US. Electric cars. Living in borderline desert regions instead of water-rich temperate regions just because cheap, plentiful energy and long range importation of water makes it possible if unwise (as California and Las Vegas and the southwest in general may learn any year now).

    Personally, I think that the evidence for catastrophic anthropogenic climate change is all but nonexistent -- it is a simple matter of fact that the changes in climate from the mid-1600's to the present, whatever their cause, have been almost entirely beneficial and in any event are utterly lost in the noise of normal daily and annual variation (overall warming from that entire period is around 1 C, an a signal too small for people to even notice against the noise). If someone truly "believes" in it, however, in spite of the fact that the models that predict it suck and the IPCC itself in the third annual report admitted that the problem of predicting the climate was basically unsolvable so that it is no surprise that the models suck -- let's start by turning off not the lights in my house, where I live and use the light, but outside where all it does is help the deer find the best hastas and roses from my garden to eat late at night.

    rgb

    --
    Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
  27. Fixing Climate by prefec2 · · Score: 2

    Great idea. First, we foster the greenhouse effect with aerosols. Second, we shield the atmosphere with more aerosols. Instead of breaking something and try to fix it by breaking another thing. It would be more wise to stop messing around. However, that would not be in the interest of the fossil fuel industry. And it is against the idea that a conservative can never do wrong.

  28. Which Bulldozer? by JimSadler · · Score: 2

    When we try to assess effects of altering the sky and put them beside the effects of allowing global warming it is rather like asking just how we would like to die and given only two choices. So which bulldozer would we like to run over us? Sadly the public seems to completely fail to understand the huge and quickly building consequences of global warming. Our social and political structures are just not adapted to the kinds of change required. One example would be planting bamboo forests of substantial size in the US. during the first five years of life bamboo soaks up co2 quite efficiently. Bamboo can grow super fast. A 30 foot tall bamboo can actually grow in a single month. Bamboo is also a very useful product when harvested. Now try to get your state to plant a really large bamboo forest and you will find out just how fast our laws and social customs prevent such an action. Try putting a law into effect that requires all roof tops to be snow white and watch the legal horrors begin. How about enforcing a must use a clothes line law for drying clothing which would save untold amounts of fossil fuel used by clothes dryers. Tesla cars stop a lot of oil products from being used and look at the wave of resistance against electric cars. The American public is its own worst enemy.

  29. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

    People especially Americans, do not like the government telling them what they can and can't do to their own property. Also the small local governments have limited funds, such actions will mean that the local government will need to make a serious sacrifice.

    Local governments can change local building codes to require all new construction to fit the guidelines for albedo modification. Done.

    Yeah, it won't affect existing infrastructure, but in the long term (and with AGW we're talking long term, or should be), it'll have the desired effect.

    Assuming, of course, that the albedo-modification theories are correct in the first place.

    Yes, I know that modifying the albedo will do what we want. What I wonder about is whether we can effectively modify the albedo in a controlled fashion.

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  30. Will confuse the Arctic tern by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2

    Almost all the migrator birds would be severely confused if they can not see the stars for extended periods of time. Many of them sense the Earth's magnetic field. But the species that have survived the periodical shifts in Earth's magnetic field and polarity reversals, they must be using celestial navigation. Losing the stars would leave them very confused.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  31. Burns, Montgomery Burns by Thud457 · · Score: 2

    Granted, controlled artificial volcanic eruptions are neater than the Illuminati spraying beryllium nanoparticles from 747s 24x7.
    But if you don't have a orbital sunshade swarm at L1 and blackout Tuesdays, you're just not a power worth worrying about.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  32. Re:Wait a goddamn minute here by itzly · · Score: 2

    solar forcing has ABSOLUTELY NOTHING TO DO WITH CLIMATE CHANGE

    Pretty much true. Solar forcing has some effect, but it's small.

    So, what's your point ? Even though the solar output has remained very stable, doesn't mean we can't sit in the shade.

  33. Re:Wait a goddamn minute here by Nemyst · · Score: 2

    I know science is hard, but let's go over it like you're five.

    Global warming is largely considered to be caused by something called greenhouse gases. The most prominent one is CO2, which is generated by burning fossil fuels among other things. Earth is by and large heated by the sun's rays going through the atmosphere and hitting the Earth, heating the air and ground. A part of those rays, however, gets bounced off the surface or re-emitted. Those rays can then leave the atmosphere, not heating up the Earth. Greenhouse gases act as a sort of shield around the atmosphere, reflecting those rays back again towards the Earth over and over.

    Aerosols act as an additional barrier beyond the greenhouse gases which have the opposite effect: they bounce the sun's ray off the atmosphere before they can even get in, thus reducing the total amount of heat getting in the atmosphere in the first place and thus reducing the impact of greenhouse gases.

    TL;DR Human CO2 increases greenhouse effect, but that still requires heat to get in in the first place.

  34. Re:Wait a goddamn minute here by GameboyRMH · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nothing happened, I don't see the conflict. The atmosphere got hotter because of the amount of CO2 in it, not the amount of sunlight coming in. But reducing the amount of sunlight coming in can still cool it.

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  35. Re:Wait a goddamn minute here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Comprehension failure on your part. "Solar forcing" refers to the planet warming up because the sun is putting out more heat. Well, the sun isn't putting out more heat; the Earth is warming because it's trapping the heat better due to the increased amount of CO2 in the upper atmosphere. That is indeed settled science.
    Now, reducing the amount of heat from the sun that reaches the surface will obviously cool down the planet. That's in no way in contradiction with the accepted science behind AGW models. I fail to see how you can misunderstand that, unless you desperately want to.

  36. The ocean is not acidifying by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Funny

    It doesn't actually remove any CO2, so things like ocean acidification will continue to get worse,

    The ocean is getting more neutral if anything, but absolutely not "more acidic".

    And whatever changes come from CO2 are far less than natural variance over the course of a month (read article)...

    I despair that alarmists can't understand even the most basic aspects of material science.

    Kind of makes you sweat that people who can't even understand the pH scale are casually fine messing with the atmosphere for the entire Earth because "volcanoes already do it". Well if a volcano jumped off a cliff would you do that too?

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:The ocean is not acidifying by itzly · · Score: 2

      The ocean is getting more neutral [wattsupwiththat.com] if anything, but absolutely not "more acidic".

      It's the same thing, just a different name.

      And whatever changes come from CO2 are far less than natural variance over the course of a month (read article)...

      The changes from CO2 add up to the natural variance.

    2. Re:The ocean is not acidifying by SuperKendall · · Score: 2

      It's the same thing, just a different name.

      "more acidic" (the term I used) kind of is, but is misleading.

      The original term used - acidifying - is absolutely clear as to what it means, and is totally wrong. There is nothing acidic involved with what is happening to the ocean from CO2.

      The changes from CO2 add up to the natural variance.

      RTFA. I knew you alarmists were dense, but really.

      I leave you with that, nothing more can be done to help you I think.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    3. Re:The ocean is not acidifying by itzly · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is nothing acidic involved with what is happening to the ocean from CO2.

      CO2 dissolves in water to form carbonic acid. It's clear enough.

      RTFA. I knew you alarmists were dense, but really.

      I'm not an alarmist. I'm just stating the facts. It's perfectly reasonable to talk about increasing acidity when you're adding an acid. Even if you're starting with a base.

  37. Re:Wait a goddamn minute here by penguinoid · · Score: 2

    What the fuck happened?

    Nothing, you merely confused "changes in the sun's brightness" with "changes in the Earth's albedo", added an exaggeration, and then pretended climate scientists are idiots. Same sort of thing that has been going on for millennia; don't like the news, shoot the messenger.

    --
    Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
  38. Reduced carbon storage by Culture20 · · Score: 2

    Plants will grow less. Humans will burn more to stay warm. This does not sound like a good plan.

  39. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    It's a shame the company didn't offer a retrofit kit to bring the old design into compliance.

    They don't have to do this stuff to sell their stoves anywhere else, so why bother? Just drop the market, and keep selling the old design which works fine as long as you don't overdamp it. But sadly, most of us have no idea that overdamping is what causes excessive wood stove emissions. I mean, nobody ever taught me anything about starting a fire, or maintaining one, even though I grew up in a house with a fireplace.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  40. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by Pope+Hagbard · · Score: 2

    Which neatly illustrates why we need environmental regs in the first place: if you're not going to make me, I won't bother doing something that'll benefit everyone. There must be a way to sell "makes your existing stove less polluting for a relatively low price" but they didn't want to bother.

  41. Re:on starting with smaller-scale albedo modificat by Penguinisto · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Irrelevant. We don't need to make specific predictions to predict that things will be bad.

    Hell, forget specificity - it would be nice if it could even make a good/bad prediction, or at least *something* close enough and concrete enough. We've seen predictions of an ice-free Arctic by now (nope), sea levels that should have risen at least 5-12" by now (nope), swarms of killer hurricanes (nope)... and mostly we see a lot of authorities having to go out of their way to explain why their 10-year-old predictions have turned to crap. It doesn't help that some of them have resorted to long circuitous loops of semi-logic to try at an explanation.

    Seriously - this isn't about quibbling over a fractions of a degree here, it's about getting the trend predictions workable, at least enough that later events come to within at least the same zip code of confirming them. Put this way: According to Dr. Hansen's infamous 'hockey stick', we should have seen something affirmative by now... and instead of revisiting his hypothesis to see why it didn't stack up against the facts on the ground (which would be the scientific way to deal with failure), we see Dr. Hansen actively litigating against any big-name critic that hurts his ego by pointing out that he was (*gasp*) wrong. And no - don't get me started on the IPCC; it's become little more than a propaganda organ these days.

    So yeah - it is relevant to have a working model that can at least predict a trend, especially in light of what these scientists are demanding of society as a whole. As long as the science itself remains broken, no one should take stock in it.

    Before anyone comes swooping in to express their hurt little feelings via downmods, note that I *want* these scientists to have a working model, and to have some sense of accuracy, no matter how it turns out otherwise. So far, not only is there a lack of one, but a religious and ideological fervor has swept the whole damn field, making it a mess that has lost credibility (partially in some cases, entirely in others).

    --
    Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
  42. Ask Glidden, B.Moore, S.Williams and P.Lambert by WaffleMonster · · Score: 2

    Just paint the earth white - works during ice ages.

  43. Re:Light Pollution by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 2

    My city is putting in LED lighting for the streets and traffic signals.

    Also, where are you getting your LED lights? I just picked up a bunch for $12 and had coupons from the provincial power provider for $5 off each one.