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The US's First Offshore Wind Farm Will Cut Local Power Prices By 40%

merbs writes: The U.S. is finally getting its first offshore wind farm. Deepwater Wind has announced that its Block Island project has been fully financed, passed the permitting process, and will begin putting "steel in water" this summer. For local residents, that means a 40% drop in electricity rates. The company has secured $290 million in financing, with funding from the likes of Key Bank and France's Société Générale, in part on the strength of its long-term power purchase agreement with US utility National Grid. Block Island has thus surpassed the much-publicized Cape Wind project, long touted as "the nation's first offshore wind farm," but that has been stalled out for over a decade in Massachusetts, held up by a tangle of clean power foes, regulatory and financing woes, and Cape Cod homeowners afraid it'd ruin the view.

267 comments

  1. What a wonderful name! by damn_registrars · · Score: 2, Funny

    Deepwater Wind, eh? That name should be great, because we all have fond memories of something whose name previously began with Deepwater.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    1. Re:What a wonderful name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Deepwater Wind, eh? That name should be great, because we all have fond memories of something whose name previously began with Deepwater.

      Wind deep in the ocean? Yipppeeee for that!! Somebody did not do their naming homework!

    2. Re:What a wonderful name! by davester666 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And hold your breath for that cut in power prices. It totally will be passed on to consumers.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    3. Re:What a wonderful name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      Except the summary is compeltely misleading on the 40% price cut, let's rephrase it slightly:

      Electricity rates for a small island that is not connected to the national grid and relies on diesel generatiors for power will drop by 40% once it is connected to the grid via the new wind farm.

      It's not the wind farm that's dropping the prices, it's dropping the reliance on diesel generators where all the fuel has to be transported over from the mainland.

    4. Re:What a wonderful name! by jandersen · · Score: 2

      Deepwater Wind, eh?

      Something like this: http://graphicleftovers.com/gr...

    5. Re:What a wonderful name! by Rei · · Score: 4, Funny

      I have serious fears that we're facing an unduly high risk of a major wind spill here. :(

      --
      You know when it's okay to shout fire in a crowded theatre? When it's on fire.
    6. Re:What a wonderful name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, think on this: despite a 40% drop in prices that looks like it's actually viable rather than pie-in-the-sky, the scheme was held up by purples (anti-greens) who merely hates the idea of any renewable energy happening anywhere they know about it.

    7. Re: What a wonderful name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rhode Island (and pretty much the whole Cape Cod coastal area) politics is dominated by NIMBY Democrats. Green energy is great as long as it is in someone else's state like New Hampshire.

    8. Re:What a wonderful name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, think on this: despite a 40% drop in prices that looks like it's actually viable rather than pie-in-the-sky, the scheme was held up by purples (anti-greens) who merely hates the idea of any renewable energy happening anywhere they know about it.

      Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when you are up against a local monopoly that has been gouging it's customers by ridiculous amounts.

      Especially when the reduction comes not from the wind turbines but from the power line to the mainland that lets the locals buy power from the mainland power company.

      The viable part causing the 40% reduction is the connection to the mainland which the wind farm provides not the wind farm itself.

    9. Re:What a wonderful name! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is scam to raise electricity rates on the mainland.

    10. Re:What a wonderful name! by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      How is it misleading? It says "For local residents, that means a 40% drop in electricity rates." Local residents are residents of the island. Who will be saving 40% or more on what it costs them to have electricity.

    11. Re:What a wonderful name! by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 1

      I was wondering how this was going to cut power prices. In the UK, which is now the world leader in offshore wind, the levellized cost of off-shore wind energy is approximately $0.25/kWh at the onshore cable termination.

      Obviously, this is completely non-viable for a large grid without subsidies (in the UK, these are approximately $0.19/kWh), but for a small grid dependent on expensively imported diesel, this can be a reasonable idea.

    12. Re: What a wonderful name! by BranMan · · Score: 1

      Hey! Don't be putting that hippy green energy crap in my state of New Hampshire! Vermont has lots of mountains - put your wind farm there.

    13. Re:What a wonderful name! by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Only 20% extra price hardly seems like "completely non-viable" to me if you consider how technological things could change in the next two decades.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    14. Re: What a wonderful name! by __aanbvm4272 · · Score: 1

      You are totally lost at sea man, as this is about off shore, So where DID you come up with "mountains?" Hippy green energy is 40yrs old and in Cannabis, not crap.

    15. Re: What a wonderful name! by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 1

      You mean 200%. Electricity costs in the UK are $0.06/kWh in bulk. Offshore wind has a breakeven price of $0.25/kWh. Things may change in time, and I wouldn't suggest withdrawal of subsidies until we see the potentials and unavoidable drawbacks of the technology. However, to illustrate the point, the UK government recently announced a plan to cut the offshore wind guaranteed purchase price to $0.24/kWh and suddenly a whole bunch of investors threatened to pull out of projects, so the govt backtracked.

    16. Re: What a wonderful name! by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Oops! I misread your comment. I thought $0.19/kWh was unsubsidized prices, not subsidies themselves. Well, Fraunhofer predicts for 2030 the fall of German offshore wind LCOE to $0.13/kWh or so. Either the technology needs development, or in the UK, there are different conditions, or both. That it is quite expensive at the moment not just in the UK is beyond dispute.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re:What a wonderful name! by HappyPsycho · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't bother with the technology side of things, oil prices and the matching economics will deal with resistance to renewables if you are looking at the long term.

  2. With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by Rinikusu · · Score: 3, Funny

    To "preserve the view", I vote we erect the turbines, but make them look like giant penises sticking out of the ocean.

    --
    If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
    1. Re:With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or build them on top of the houses, along with Solar Arrays.

      See which plan they prefer...

    2. Re:With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      ...I vote we erect...giant penises...

      OOOOkay....

    3. Re:With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by kesuki · · Score: 1

      then bride of godzilla can finally be made!

    4. Re:With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2, Funny

      "but make them look like giant penises sticking out of the ocean."

      That's why the Kock brothers oppose these things - they hate competition.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by smithmc · · Score: 1

      You're gonna pay me to put a giant penis on top of my house? Where do I sign?!?!

      --
      Downmodding is the refuge of the weak. Don't downmod, make a better argument!
    6. Re:With regards to the cape cod nonsense.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "but make them look like giant penises sticking out of the ocean."

      That's why the Kock brothers oppose these things - they hate competition.

      So the Koch brothers are Koch-blocking Block Island?

  3. na by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah right. I can't believe they are allowed to make statements like that --- "40% reduction blah blah" --- isn't that against Federal Law?

    1. Re:na by FauxReal · · Score: 1

      Well if you read the linked article about the 40% savings, you'd see that it really will drop prices. But for the reasons that seem to be implied by the article. It's still BS, but technically correct BS.

    2. Re:na by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

      ÂIt's still BS, but technically correct BS.

      Technically. The best kind of correct.

    3. Re:na by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well if you read the linked article about the 40% savings, you'd see that it really will drop prices. But for the reasons that seem to be implied by the article. It's still BS, but technically correct BS.

      How is that BS? These guys are paying through the nose for their power now, because it's from diesel generators with the diesel brought over on boats. The wind farm gives a reason to get hooked up to the grid, and even though they're paying a chunk of the cable cost their costs will go way down. What's not to like?

    4. Re:na by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I'm usually the first to rag on those low-speed bird choppers, but his application is one where wind turbines actually make sense; A BOB, Big Old Battery, a NaS backup battery might even be appropriate.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  4. Key word: Cape Cod by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The reason they are saving money is because the project is connecting them to the grid, not because they are getting wind power. at 300$million if they sell at the local rates of ~14cents a kwh (24 in the winter) they aren't making any money by selling power to the locals because its really 14-24cents kwh for offshore wind, there is no profit margin there. Good way to appease the locals, put an eyesore in, and cover their electrical bills. In the end its money that wins, but that all depends on how the wind blows.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Offshore_wind_power#mediaviewer/File:LCOE_comparison_fraunhofer_november2013.svg

    1. Re:Key word: Cape Cod by jbengt · · Score: 1

      if they sell at the local rates of ~14cents a kwh (24 in the winter) they aren't making any money by selling power to the locals because its really 14-24cents kwh for offshore wind, there is no profit margin there.

      $0.14 per kWh has little to do with it. They are saving money because they can shut down the expensive ($0.40 to $0.50 per kWh) diesel generators that is their only current generating source. The cost of the wind power generated is well below that regardless of connecting to the mainland or not. Also, they plan to sell excess wind power to the mainland through the cable - that's wind power that would be wasted otherwise, so even at a losing rate of "~14cents a kWh", it's a gain to bottom line (assuming the cable is going to be there, anyway). If the cable to the mainland was the only valuable part of this, why wouldn't someone have financed the cable without the wind power?

  5. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by TimSSG · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, we all know the Kennedy clan is just full of Republicans. FYI: It was blocked by members of the Kennedy clan. But, I think the clan leader who protested the most died; so maybe they stopped blocking it. Tim S.

  6. Strange by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Offshore_wind_power#Economics_and_benefits

    The US Energy Information Agency only 5 years ago claimed offshore wind farms as the second most expensive electricity production method around...

    1. Re:Strange by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      They currently use diesel generators. That is so expensive it is not even on the chart.

      Besides, the real incentive here is the government subsidies and tax breaks. At least they are not polluting while vacuuming up the money.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
  7. The savings is coming from the national power grid by FauxReal · · Score: 4, Informative
    From the politifact article:

    On Block Island, it’s the Block Island Power Company, whose on-island generators run on diesel fuel, which must be shipped to the island by boat.

    A 2010 Providence Journal story on the island’s power system noted that diesel fuel regularly costs $1 more per gallon on the island than on the mainland.

    In fiscal 2011, according to a report by the town’s Electric Utility Task Group on the fiscal costs and benefits of the wind-farm project, the average cost of electricity on the island was 47 cents per kilowatt hour. In the rest of Rhode Island it was 14.8 cents.

    Once the cable is laid and the wind farm project is on line, in 2014 or 2015, Block Island Power will be able to purchase electricity from the New England power network at much lower costs.

    The task group estimated that electric rates on the island -- based on a 20-year agreement between Deepwater Wind and National Grid -- would fall to 30.7 cents per kilowatt hour, a 35.4-percent decrease from 2011 rates.

    (The island’s rates would still be substantially higher than those on the mainland because its customers would be paying for a portion of the costs for installing the cable and for maintenance of the island’s power system.)

    The task group’s analysis noted that current power costs on Block Island have risen to 54 cents per kilowatt hour because of the increasing diesel costs. Based on that figure, the decrease would be a 42-percent drop -- about what Deepwater said in its Tweet.

    The other article doesn't mention anything about how much power and at what price the wind farm will be generating it. It sounds like the public relations department is doing all the talking.

  8. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    just as they've blocked all of the others.

    Hey dummass, on Cape Cod, the NIMBYs doing the blocking are DEMOCRATS named Kennedy.

  9. bad headline (shock!) by quenda · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Headline is misleading. It is not the turbines, but the link to the national grid that is making power cheaper for the island.
    Until now, they depended on small local diesel generators.

    You can bet that the 30MW wind plant is a lot more expensive than the diesel generators were.
    I'd be interested to know the economics of the plant, but supplying cheaper power to the island will be an utterly trivial component.

    1. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, the 30MW plant is more expensive than the diesel generators currently providing power to the 1,000 or so inhabitants of this island.

      Even with tourism, I doubt they need as much as a large hospital.

      So what? The costs of the whole project aren't broken down by provisioning just for that island(unless you want to look at the paperwork), and economies of scale mean a larger project that feeds into the grid is more cost effective. So these islanders still save since they aren't having to import diesel fuel and run generators.

    2. Re:bad headline (shock!) by dbIII · · Score: 1

      You can bet that the 30MW wind plant is a lot more expensive than the diesel generators were

      Not over the long term including running costs. Let's assume a massive hurricane trashes those windmills in a decade and compare it with a decade worth of fuel - even with that artificial constraint the windmills are likely to win against tiny little things that make as much heat and noise as electricity. We're not comparing with 500MW of coal or 1GW of nuke in such a situation so anything without a lot of fuel per MW/h wins.

    3. Re: bad headline (shock!) by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Actually offshore wind is cheaper than diesel. Diesel internal combustion generators is just about the most expensive way to produce electricity, by a long shot.
      The problem is offshore wind is just as unreliable as onshore. It does produce more electricity, but it oscilates just the same, so need large battery packs to store electricity (no pumped hydro on cape codd), and that's the really expensive part. With a reliable connection to the national grid, it might be possible to produce 5x island demand resulting in a minimum production level matching the island demand.
      Moving forward, all wind farms should be mandated to have energy storage worth at least 30 minutes of peak capacity, nowadays when a wind farm has local energy storage its a few minutes worth of peak capacity, just enough to smooth the ups and downs of output, which actually is very useful, but far from transforming wind into a baseload electricity source. Even 30 minutes peak storage is still far from making it into a baseload source.

    4. Re:bad headline (shock!) by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      Headline is technically correct. That's a large step up for /..

      --
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    5. Re:bad headline (shock!) by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A hurricane destroying such a windmill would need to be at least two times stronger than the strongest hurricane we have on records ...

      I really womder why the power that wind plant is generating is so expensive. Well, profits for the company, considering how high the current power price is, likely is the reason.

      Production cost of wind power per kWh is in germany meanwhile around or below coal.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re: bad headline (shock!) by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You are wrong about offshore wind. It does not fluctuate in the same way as wind over land. Also the term 'unreliable' is completely wrong. Wind is reliable. For that you have a weather/windforecast, that is updated every 15 mins and is used to adapt the plant and the grid for the next few hours.

      Storage at a plant side makes no sense at all, for that you have a grid.

      Demanding storage is just utter nonsense. No one would build a renewable plant if the plant itself would be required by law to have a fall back (be it storage, magic or a nuke plant) means of energy production.

      The whole point of a power grid is that many plants together are orchestrated to provide the power for that grid.
      Mandatory storage would only complicate that orchestration instead of helping.

      Also, get a clue about terminology: e.g. read up what base load is. Wind plants are by definition base load, as you can not 'dispatch' them. That means: they are not load following, nor are they used for balancing (peak) power, so: they are base load plants. Hint: base load does not mean what you think it means.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are most definitely not base load. You cannot dispatch them, but they also do not have a reliable output, nor are they constantly in operation. By the way everyone uses the terminology, they are not baseload, nor are they peaking plants. They fit into neither of the niches the grid is designed to manage. And local storage to smooth output and improve power quality is something we should require, since as it is, renewable power drops appliance life significantly. The operator's of the plant should handle delivering power to standards, rather than hiding a portion of the cost in the grid, and forcing the utility to pay for it

    8. Re:bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Short term, wind plant is more expensive. But long term is what counts. I don't know about the long term cost, but if it is 10% more expensive in exchange of a 20% reduction of costs caused by pollution, you are still making a indirect profit. I don't know if there is at least any profit, because I have not found a reliable long term study. But what I know is that I'm sick of all the nay sayers to do something about pollution just to protect short term profits. I'm not only talking about global warming here, but also about the pollution that you can feel when you go outside, especially in winter and during a hot summer. The increased heart rate and shortness of breath because of the ozone pollution is just an example. I had 5 sick days last year because of a lung disease caused by pollution. Yay for the cheap coal plant in my province. The cost of these five days was not for the owners of the coal plant, but for my health insurance and my employer.

      A company that doesn't have to be liable to pay for the damage caused by their polution will not look at reducing the costs caused by their polution. They only look at the profit on their balanse. Unfortunately to solve this problem you need regulations by the government. But the last decades it was all about privatizing profits, socializing losses. And this is pushed by almost all political parties around the world (with a few exceptions which are often called extremists). And when you see that every 'green' initiative is always attacked by a multitude of interested parties, we still have a long, long way to go.

      We will probably have to learn to wear masks like in China and Japan. That's also good for the economy...

    9. Re: bad headline (shock!) by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Do you sail or do anything where you sense the wind in realtime ?
      Probably not. Weather forecasts give a mean wind intensity, cause that number varies. It varies in realtime, second by second. As a competitive hobbie cat sailor I know first hand. Forecast says 25km/h wind, that means 20-30km/h if the winds are well behaved. The stronger the forecast, the stronger the wind gusts are.
      Wind Turbine output is proportional to wind speed cubed up to around 45km/h. Wind above 45km/h is extremely rare.
      So even a mere 5% oscilation in wind intensity means 16% variation in output. A 10% oscilation means a 33% variation in output. Those happen in an utterly unpredictable way.
      If you're not used to being out a sea, then you have no idea what your talking about. Which I know, cause otherwise you wouldn't pull this weather forecast crap out of your censored.
      Wind IS NOT BASELOAD. BASELOAD RULES !

    10. Re: bad headline (shock!) by itzly · · Score: 1

      Do you sail or do anything where you sense the wind in realtime ?

      A single sailboat on the water surface cannot be compared to large windfarm at high altitude.

      Wind IS NOT BASELOAD. BASELOAD RULES !

      Obviously, yes. But that doesn't mean wind is useless. You just need to keep in mind the wind forecast, and its reliability.

    11. Re: bad headline (shock!) by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      I never said useless. Wind can surely contribute up to 1/3 of peak electricity demand with plenty of load following to match it, but it can't be the bulk of your energy supply, even solar PV performs much better than wind as far as predictability go. The cubed factor is huge. Wind oscilates, even at 50 meters at the center of a turbine blade. Gusts aren't exclusive to surface. Oh, I'm also a private pilot, although I haven't flow in a decade.
      Winds oscilate plenty from 0-100 meters. In some areas there is a consistent wind shear between 0 and 300 meters, which make wind turbines useless, although ground winds are pretty good.

    12. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, get a clue about terminology: e.g. read up what base load is. Wind plants are by definition base load, as you can not 'dispatch' them. That means: they are not load following, nor are they used for balancing (peak) power, so: they are base load plants. Hint: base load does not mean what you think it means.

      Hmmm:

      Base load requirement (also baseload) is the minimum level of demand on an electrical supply system over 24 hours. Base load power sources are those plants which can generate dependable power to consistently meet demand. They are the foundation of a sound electrical system. [1]

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_load_power_plant

      I'm all for wind and other renewables, but as someone who sails, I would not say that wind is a "dependable power" which can "consistently meet demand". Forecasts or no.

    13. Re:bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and compare it with a decade worth of fuel

      Especially the way the price of oil is going (even the recent decline didn't drop much and is going back up already).

    14. Re:bad headline (shock!) by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Unless they really screw up then the wind turbine and connection to the mainland is going to be cheaper than using diesel generators. There is an up-front cost but amortized over the life of the turbine and cable it will be less than the (rising) cost of diesel fuel.

      --
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      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    15. Re:bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Power from that wind turbine isn't expensive. The cost the island pays is the cost of maintaining their very small power grid, large labor overhead associated with a small grid, and the cost of being a monopoly captive customer with no other options on the other end of a HVDC cable.

    16. Re:bad headline (shock!) by dbIII · · Score: 1

      A hurricane destroying such a windmill would need to be at least two times stronger than the strongest hurricane we have on records

      Yes, I'm just providing an artificial example of a short life for the windmills, but they still beat tiny diesel things even with such a short life.

      I really womder why the power that wind plant is generating is so expensive

      Yes, retail price not price of production. In Australia for an example we've got some of the cheapest to produce non-hydro electricity in the world but the retail price is close to the most expensive - a consequence of having the regulators profit from the industry they are supposed to regulate. That is one of the things making household solar very popular with in some cases pay back times under five years.

    17. Re: bad headline (shock!) by segedunum · · Score: 1

      You are wrong about offshore wind. It does not fluctuate in the same way as wind over land. Also the term 'unreliable' is completely wrong. Wind is reliable. For that you have a weather/windforecast, that is updated every 15 mins and is used to adapt the plant and the grid for the next few hours.

      I'm afraid you're missing the elephant in the room here, or more likely painting over it. No matter how you rebalance the grid you still have a bunch of exceptionally expensive-to-maintain wind turbines out of service for a period of time. When anything is out of action it is expensive and no amount of grid rebalancing paints over that. It is simply inefficient.

    18. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually offshore wind is cheaper than diesel. Diesel internal combustion generators is just about the most expensive way to produce electricity, by a long shot.

      You seem to be misapprehending my words. I'm talking the costs of a diesel generator installation just to supply the island's own power needs versus this much larger wind installation that is powering the island plus offloading to the grid.

      Even handwaving the base capacity, it's still more cost effective with economies of scale.

      That it comes with the increased reliability with the grid connection and the ability to sell-off excess capacity is a net gain.

    19. Re:bad headline (shock!) by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      I think you'll find that most "eco-friendly" headlines can't withstand a couple of difficult questions from people other than enviro-journalists (who are invariably activists posing as reporters).

    20. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wind is not base load, you fail.
      Base load plant: A plant, usually housing high-efficiency steam-electric units, which is normally operated to take all or part of the minimum load of a system, and which consequently produces electricity at an essentially constant rate and runs continuously. These units are operated to maximize system mechanical and thermal efficiency and minimize system operating costs.

    21. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hint: base load does not mean what you think it means.

      The line I just quoted from your post applies to you rather more than the poster you were replying to.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_load_power_plant

      Wiki, I know, but read that article. Do you see any reference to wind power being "base load"? Base load has nothing to do with being able to "dispatch" as you say. It has to do with reliability, overall capacity factors and predictability. Wind farms can't load follow, they can't be used as peaking plants nor are they suitable for base load. So tell me, what the fucking hell are they useful for? (Other than sucking up good money, manpower and resources that could be used elsewhere)

      Who the hell modded your post up? You wrong in just about everything you said. The only thing you were partially right on was the wind off shore being a little different form the wind over land. It is generally stronger, but it sure as hell isn't as reliable as you say. It is also just as variable and it is the variability that ultimately kills the usefulness of most renewables as sources of non-trivial electrical power.

    22. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obviously, yes. But that doesn't mean wind is useless. You just need to keep in mind the wind forecast, and its reliability.

      Ultimately, it IS useless as a method of generating electrical energy. It can't be used as base-load due to it's variability and it can't be used as a peaker plant due to the inherent issues with unreliability and variability.

    23. Re:bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 5 year break-even makes sense in Australia doesn't it? I would imagine that Australia would be great for solar.

    24. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well not only am I a sailor and a pilot but I am also a meteorologist, an astronaut, and a windsurfer. So my fake credentials totally blow your fake credentials outta the water.

    25. Re: bad headline (shock!) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not only that, but as Block Island is not being tied to the grid (National Grid is the electric company name), they will still require at least some of those diesel generators to be spinning at all times. It's called spinning reserve.

      http://energystorage.org/energy-storage/technology-applications/spinning-reserve

      It's not free to spin those generators, but as they'll be unloaded, it will be way cheaper. When the wind dips, those generators will carry the load and consume more fuel.

      Yes, the wind does reduce the fuel needed, but it doesn't remove the requirement of having at least some diesel generators and some diesel fuel. That means you still have to staff the diesel plant and still have to do maintenance intervals, which means you need at least 2 generators so you can alternate when one is offline. Yes, the maintenance intervals can be spread out further in time, but it doesn't magically go away.

    26. Re:bad headline (shock!) by quenda · · Score: 1

      I think you'll find that most "eco-friendly" headlines ...

      Nothing to do with "eco". Most headlines are BS. Yes, they are selling it to the locals as cheap power, to try and avoid NIMBY-ism.

      Real economics is harder to sell. Coal power should have massive taxes to cover externalities - the health and greenhouse effects of emissions. If they had to pay a fair price for all the garbage they dump into the atmosphere, alternatives like wind and nuclear would start looking very affordable.

    27. Re:bad headline (shock!) by dbIII · · Score: 1

      It would probably have a quick payback even at the far south end of South America or the north of Norway with such high retail electricity prices.

    28. Re: bad headline (shock!) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      So my fake credentials totally blow your fake credentials outta the water.

      Speaking of blowing, could we attach a wind turbine to his fake credentials?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    29. Re: bad headline (shock!) by quenda · · Score: 1

      Actually offshore wind is cheaper than diesel. Diesel internal combustion generators is just about the most expensive way to produce electricity, by a long shot.

      Not on a small off-grid community. I think you'll find offshore wind farms cost millions, while you can buy a diesel for $1000. Stop making irrelevant comparisons that ignore scale. A diesel generator on the grid is as silly as an offshore wind-farm for a small isolated community. Nobody is replacing diesels with wind, though they might experiment with supplementing it.

      My point was that this project is funded by selling power to the grid, and selling it to the island is just a PR point.

    30. Re: bad headline (shock!) by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Don't get your point.

      Every plant is for a certain time off grid. In a coal plant it is the whole plant/block

      In a wind plant it is a low percentage of the turbines, no one is shutting down all 100 turbines because he wants to maintain one ... your idea of It is simply inefficient. is simply wrong :D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    31. Re: bad headline (shock!) by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ofc wind is base load.
      As it is not load following :D it only can be base load, pretty simple.

      Anyway: yes, I sail. So I know the wind forecast and the actual wind on the surface is quite different to the one in 100m hight (that is where the nascell of the turbine is).

      Even if the wind increases by 5% or there is a gust of +35% ... the turbines need time to pick up speed. If you have a plant consisting of like 100 turbines in a 10 x 10 square, with distances to each other of like 200m, then we are talking about a 2km x 2km square.

      The result is: that plant will very slowly react on the wind change. If it is a simple 10 - 20 seconds gust, you would even notice a "real" fluctuation on the plant.

      Power plant operators use different wind forecasts, much more fine grained and updated every 15 minutes at least, often every 5 minutes.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  10. nuclear is better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    So much more efficient, in every sense of the word!

  11. All Wrong ... Dead In 60 Days by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is a waste.

    Monumental abuse.

  12. Re: Don't worry, the Republicans will block this.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It isn't the Republicans, well, not ultimately. It's the power companies. They don't want cheap electricity that cuts out their operational costs and accounting schemes.

    Republicans are just the current party whose votes are being bought. They'd buy any other they could.

     

  13. Subsidized? by KermodeBear · · Score: 2

    Any information on if this project is subsidized or not? I checked the articles briefly but I didn't see anything either way. If this project is being built without subsidies, that's great, it means that technology is catching up and this kind of energy is finally becoming economically viable on a large scale.

    --
    Love sees no species.
    1. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      All wind is subsidized. Can't compete with natural gas electricity.
      Wind subsidies should be progressively cut over 10 years down to zero. This would greatly rationalize wind turbine installations, and make nuclear more interesting than wind long term. Nuclear is more expensive than natural gas or coal today, but coal is going away, and low natural gas prices are far from a sure thing long term. I wish natural gas suppliers were forced to offer long term fixed price contracts instead of floating as today. In a way, low natural gas should be seen as a potential coup to make gas suppliers very rich long terms, when they get their dominance in and reduce supply to force prices way up.

    2. Re:Subsidized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Often enough, gas & coal is subsidized too, through various tax-breaks. And they are hugely subsidized by being allowed to emit large amounts of CO2. Take away that privilege, and you'll see just how expensive natural gas is! You can pump the CO2 back into the now empty natural gas reservoir (and it is sometimes done one a small scale to squeeze out more oil & gas). But try doing it 100%. First, your gas powerplant becomes markedly less efficient, as a good percentage of power now goes into compressing CO2 and pumping it. And then there is the cost of the extra pipeline that brings CO2 back to the reservoir.

      Natural gas power as clean as wind power is thus doable, but perhaps the wind power is cheaper when subsidizing in the form of "free pollution" goes away.

    3. Re:Subsidized? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      30MW is by no means large scale.
      That is the equivalent of 300 car engines, if I might pull a car analogy.
      Depending on what they plan it is 6 x 5MW wind turbines or even only a single oversized "25MW" turbine.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Subsidized? by Mashiki · · Score: 0

      It can't compete with anything, though it's not nearly as bad as solar. In Ontario the Feed in tariff for wind is 30-60c/kwh, solar hits as high as 80c/kwh. Compared to hydro-electric 2c/kwh, nuclear 5c/kwh and NG 7c/kwh, there's no way to get that lower either, but I agree that it should be reduced to zero. The tech can sink or swim on it's own, and right now it's driving up electricity rates so fast that businesses are leaving and so are people and moving to where it's cheaper to live. We're still on track for the most expensive electricity in north america. Next year will tell for sure though.

      Of course in many greenies handbooks this is a-okay. After all, they seem to want to bankrupt people and drive everyone into poverty for "feel good projects."

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    5. Re:Subsidized? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > All wind is subsidized. Can't compete with natural gas electricity.

      Unsubsidized (onshore) wind is less expensive than natural gas:

      http://www.lazard.com/PDF/Levelized%20Cost%20of%20Energy%20-%20Version%208.0.pdf

      Look on page 2.

    6. Re:Subsidized? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      All energy production is subsidised. Coal, nuclear, gas, wind, solar, everything. So yes, it is subsidised.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Solar in Ontario is suicide... Above 40N, bellow 40S solar is crazy stupid, yeah, that includes you Germans. Between 30N and 30S its good specially on a country that has lots of hydro to load follow.
      I would imagine that wind up in Ontario would be more economical with the very strong winter winds.
      But I do prefer nuclear and hydro anyhow. Ontario has one of the most rational electricity mix in the world. And the greenies keep insisting nuclear is too expensive.

    8. Re:Subsidized? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      Nuclear can't compete with anything.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      The UK wholesale electricity price in 2013 is about £48 per megawatt-hour (MWh). EDF has negotiated a guaranteed fixed price â" a "strike price" â" for electricity from Hinkley Point C of £92.50 per megawatt-hour (in 2012 prices),[2][3][31] which will be adjusted (linked to inflation) during the construction period and over the subsequent 35 years tariff period. The price could fall to £89.50/MWh if a new plant at Sizewell is also approved.[2][3] Research carried out by the Energy Policy Research Group at the University of Cambridge argues that no new nuclear power plants would be built in the UK without government intervention.[32] The construction cost are estimated to be £24.5 billion.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    9. Re:Subsidized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for letting us germans know. It's a good job you did, otherwise the reality of getting all our solar power would win the argument. Thank god we have an ignorant moron on the internet to contradict real world data!

    10. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Wind capacity factor 52%, that's a bold faced lie. Show me a single wind farm producing above 40%. typical is 20% - 35%.
      Those numbers are crazy, it a pretty report with unreliable or fabricated data.

    11. Re:Subsidized? by silas_moeckel · · Score: 1

      The plant you cited is a boondoggle of an outdated design, would expect it got built by highly motivated politicians. In general fission power is expensive due to excessive regulation, put there with the intent to make it expensive. Idiotic bits like things less radioactive than humans, being treated like deady contaminated objects.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    12. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Hinkley Point C is Areva EPR. If I could, I would kill that reactor from the market. The nuclear experts claim its the posterchild of doing nothing to decrease costs, rejecting any simplifications, and just adding costs with complex engineered safety instead of passive safety.
      Part of the problem is Areva buying that German nuclear supplier, and the engineers from both sides failing to agree on a rational solution, essentially having two solutions for everything. Insane.
      Post Chernobyl and Fukushima regulatory insanity is killing nuclear. Instead of only preventing accidents that will happen in the next few centuries, they're trying to prevent all possible accidents that might happen over the next millenia, something like that. Cost must matter. But the NRC doesn't care, and the other NATO countries mostly copy NRC resolutions.

    13. Re:Subsidized? by dave420 · · Score: 1

      So much opinion, so few links! Amazing stuff. Nicely done.

    14. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 2

      Think about this. A GE ESBWR should cost a few billion if you add up the rational costs expected. Instead its offered to a USA customer as a USD 10 billion project. Its the most economical reactors offered by North America and western Europe (Russia and India have cheaper designs, specially when they are built and installed locally).
      Westinghouse AP1000 are budgeted at US$ 4 billion for China installation.
      An ESBWR is 1.6GW, while an Areva EPR is closer to 2GW, so even at twice the GE projected cost with USA labor an ESBWR should be a third of Hinkley point !
      Finally, and I can't stress that enough, Westinghouse, GE, Areva do not build the whole thing. Its not just a matter of civil engineering, lots of parts end up locally sourced, there is a sore lack of nuclear expertise in most countries, most mistakes require endless reviews from the nuclear regulatory agency.
      Modular GenIV reactors are supposed to be almost entirely factory built, without any critical local sourcing of anything nuclear on the plant, just civil engineering and other generic items.
      Like I said, we can either think we don't need nuclear, so we don't need to care, or understand why we need nuclear and choose to fight to fix the system.

    15. Re:Subsidized? by davydagger · · Score: 1

      subsides would actually help bring the technology mainstream because it will encourage adoption which will make it cheaper in volume of scale. It will also incentivise development which will refine the technology to make it cheaper, more reliable, and more effecient.

    16. Re:Subsidized? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What would a government be without it's ability to choose winners and losers? To give money to those it likes and take money from those it doesn't?

    17. Re:Subsidized? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You are forgetting the free insurance provided by the government. It's priceless, in the literal sense. No commercial insurer will cover the liability, you can't buy it.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    18. Re:Subsidized? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Depends what you mean by "solar". Large scale commercial plants, possibly... But small installations on individual homes and buildings? They are worth it pretty much anywhere on the planet. There are very few places where the cost of the installation won't be more than covered in the lifetime of the panels.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    19. Re:Subsidized? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      This is the theory. But the facts are that all currently built nuclear power plants suffer from massive (in the range of 3x the originally projected price) cost overruns and nuclear power is more expensive than even solar or wind.
      The reactors you mention that are "supposed to be" exist only on paper. The past experience shows that all nuclear power plant designs were overly optimistic about cost, security and performance.
      Klaus Traube, one of the most prominent German anti nuclear activist used to design nuclear power plants for a living and was later a CEO of Interatom and responsible for the development and building of a breeder reactor. He thinks that we don't need nuclear power because it is too complicated and too expensive - not worth it. This is appeal to authority, sure. But this particular authority knows much more about nuclear reactors than a standard issue slashdot atomic playboy.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    20. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 0

      Yet, that insurance has never been claimed against, cause there actually is a self insured pot of money that all USA nuclear operators add to, that pot keeps growing. Tens of billions already.
      So while the USA govt provides the back stop, it has never been needed.

    21. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Just look up nuclear reactor construction cost and schedule in South Korea. They are building reactors at less than a third of cost in USA and Europe. The difference is skilled, well trained labor that know what they're doing, rational nuclear regulatory, and lower labor costs. Notice they also build the reactor way faster.
      So they're doing the same job with far less men hours.

    22. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Rooftop solar has zero O&M costs. Don't need to rent/buy land, no employees, it just runs, so it comes down to return on investment, you can't actually have a monthly loss. But putting a solar panel for a 10+ year payoff, isn't what anybody would call a rational investment.
      BTW, lets kill all subsidies and see if people would still be putting any solar panels in Germany or Canada.

    23. Re:Subsidized? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Tens of billions isn't even enough to start covering a disaster like Fukushima. Add another zero and you are in the ballpark.

      Also, you realize that insurance is supposed to be in place before the accident, right? So the fact that there hasn't been an accident yet doesn't mean they don't need insurance.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    24. Re:Subsidized? by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      A few times we've hit 15% generation by wind here in Ontario, most of the time it's 3-5% you can go weeks without any wind at all here. Solar is well crap, complete crap, even here in the summer even with the massive number of installs it's rare if it breaks 1%. Nuclear makes up between 60-75% of total daily generation as well.

      Hell they threw such a fit over the waste-to-energy plant in London, Ontario back 20 odd years ago because "that was too expensive" as well. Never mind that it was generating electricity at 5c/kwh...how the hell that's expensive beats me.

      Though I see some greenie has thrown a hissy fit and modded comments down because they don't like facts.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    25. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Then you need to study the difference between LNT and Hormesis radiation models.
      Study the nature of repair mechanisms in mamals.
      Study how the same damage that radioactivity does to our body is also caused by simple oxidation.
      The whole model of risk of nuclear to our bodies is the result of fear, fear, fear, the fact that we can't subject humans to radiation levels that are know to be safe in reality but considered risky.
      Funding to research projects trying to prove hormesis have been cut throughout the years, there has been a sistematic effort to prevent hormesis from being proven (using rats and other acceptable subjects).
      Once you prove Hormesis, the whole house of cards of nuclear safety comes down. That wouldn't change the risk @ Chernobyl for the first month after the accident, but it would pretty much have prevented the evacuation of Fukushima, except perhaps for a few Km radius instead of 30 Km, radically reduced the cleanup costs, finally Fukushima was the result of a 9 point earthquake, that was never though realistic for Japan.

    26. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      I agree with everything you say, except for Solar PV rooftop. The rooftop is there, being wasted, let's use that to generate electricity. But that's as far as I would go, except for the sahara, northern Brazil or other places in the world that are so dry you can depend on large Solar PV to generate reliably year round with very little deviation.

    27. Re:Subsidized? by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      The plant you cited is a boondoggle of an outdated design, would expect it got built by highly motivated politicians. In general fission power is expensive due to excessive regulation, put there with the intent to make it expensive. Idiotic bits like things less radioactive than humans, being treated like deady contaminated objects.

      Because they never have problems, and when they do it's never very significant or expensive. That's why insurance companies are lining up to sell liability insurance to them.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    28. Re:Subsidized? by silas_moeckel · · Score: 1

      Problems how often and how sever are a design issue. In current Gen IV you have GFR's that use helium as a coolant, it floats and is unable to stay radioactive for long, Compare to a Gen II with water it stays radioactive for a long time. Gen IV plants can use previous gens waste as fuel, some of the design are fairly proliferation resistant and that is a HUGE issue with helping the third world skip the industrial use of fossil fuels for power and heat.

      The point is we got stuck on gen II plants, Gen III has come and gone and were just starting to see ground broke on gen IV plants.

      Insurance is about the hype, fact is you get more exposure being downwind from a coal plant sure people are scared but thats because others told them to be.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    29. Re:Subsidized? by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      I'll go with you, we're definitely stuck on the nonoptimum design. "Hey, this works great in a submarine in the Navy, how's about we just make it really huge and stick it on land and hire whoever will run it for us at the cheapest salaries?" "Sounds good to me, we can save a ton if we have no advanced research budget"

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    30. Re:Subsidized? by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Good luck finding a clear rooftop here in Canada during the winter where said solar PV will work. Right now the average roof has between 2" to 2' of snow on it. Every house and business that I've seen with an array is covered and even the type where they rotate with the sun are producing nil in the way of electricity.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    31. Re:Subsidized? by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Solar is useless in the winter, but in the winter ACs are off.
      But there's heating. Which is the aspect most greenies can't account into their big plans.
      I'm neither a greenie nor a radical pro nuclear.
      I want both. What matters to me is getting rid of coal, yesterday if possible.
      Solar and wind can help, but nuclear is actually more important than solar and wind combined. And solar really belongs on places that never get any snow/ice (due to more uniform insolation). Wind goes very well on places that have a lot of big hydro to load follow wind.
      My train of though is that of the PhD climatologists that stated we need the all of the above solution. Everything that doesn't emit CO2, we need a lot of it.

  14. Don't claim false numbers by johncandale · · Score: 1

    WIndfarms are great, but don't claim magic 40% numbers

    1. Re:Don't claim false numbers by Firethorn · · Score: 5, Informative

      Read the article a bit closer, they're talking about a 40% electricity drop for the 1800 or so residents of "Block Island", who are currently serviced by diesel generators(mostly). Additionally, part of the project would be running a power line to the mainland, that could transmit power not only from the wind farm to the mainland, but bring energy back when needed.

      Between the two, I can easily see a 40% drop. Diesel for electricity is expensive.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    2. Re:Don't claim false numbers by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Competing against a monopoly that has small and expensive to run generators gives those magic 40% numbers.

    3. Re:Don't claim false numbers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's throw some numbers out there. (please check my math)

      about $12 million to build an offshore wind turbine that is a 6 megawatt unit (source daily caller)

      about $60 million for the wind turbines plus cable so probably the five wind turbines and cable are going to cost around $120 million.

      Debt service on the capital is around $8 million annaully, divided by 1800 customers, means each home should be spending around $4000 per year to pay the capital costs of construction.

      something is getting subsidized.

    4. Re:Don't claim false numbers by dbIII · · Score: 1

      something is getting subsidized.

      You forgot the cable to the mainland to sell electricity to other folks. Having an order of magnitude more customers spreads those costs a bit more. What are a mere 1800 customers going to do with all those MW anyway?

      It could be argued that linking to the grid would have the same effect of driving down the costs for those customers but there hasn't been enough incentive until now to build the link.

  15. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by meglon · · Score: 5, Informative
    FYI:

    Other opponents have included Senator Ted Kennedy,[57] Sen. John Kerry, former Gov. Mitt Romney, and businessman Bill Koch,[58] who has donated $1.5 million to the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cape_Wind

    But after more than a dozen years, the $2.6 billion proposal remains on the drawing board, thanks in large part to the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound, of which Mr. Koch is chairman.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10...

    Lying by omission is still lying. Just saying.

    --
    Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  16. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But he was a DINO, so anything he did wrong was the fault of the Republicans.

  17. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by Firethorn · · Score: 2

    Lying by omission is still lying. Just saying.

    That assumes he knew about Romney and Koch, while considering Koch and Romney conservatives(not all do).

    As is, it seems about 50-50.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  18. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Turbine bird deaths are a red herring. An estimated 10000-40000 birds die each year from turbines. But, they kill the least birds of many manmade structures. About ~150 million birds each year die from powerlines. An estimated ~500 million die from hitting glass windows. Cats kill several hundred million. Pesticides: ~70 million. Cars: another ~70 million. Radio towers: 45 million. I don't see anyone calling for any of those things to be scaled back because of bird deaths. So why single out wind turbines?

    http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/green-science/wind-turbine-kill-birds.htm

  19. "Clean power foes"? by steveha · · Score: 1

    From TFA:

    held up by a tangle of clean power foes, regulatory and financing woes, and Cape Cod homeowners afraid it'd ruin the view.

    Who exactly are "clean power foes"?

    This seems like using an epithet to delegitimize others.

    I'm sure there are people who oppose this project for stupid reasons, like "it'd ruin the view". But I am equally sure that absolutely nobody opposes this project because it is too clean.

    I suppose that if you looked and looked, you could find someone who is so certain that an ice age is coming that he wants all power generated by burning stuff. But even this imaginary guy isn't really a foe of clean power, he's just a fan of carbon dioxide.

    --
    lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
    1. Re:"Clean power foes"? by SeaFox · · Score: 1

      I'm sure there are people who oppose this project for stupid reasons, like "it'd ruin the view".

      I'm sure their real concern is how the change in the scenery will effect the resale value of their property, not how the view itself will be different.

    2. Re:"Clean power foes"? by dbIII · · Score: 0

      Who exactly are "clean power foes"?

      Among others, the idiots that opposed commercial development of solar at every turn and allowed China to corner the market with American developed technology. You would have noticed them, and others, so what is your motivation for playing the "stupid" card here? Is it a part of a joke that's unclear or something more sinister?

    3. Re:"Clean power foes"? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 3, Informative

      Dunald Trump has been trying to prevent Scotland from building an offshore wind farm because he says they would ruin the view from a golf course he's building on a protected area of sand dunes. Trump also thinks that wind farms cause something called Wind Turbine Syndrome.

    4. Re:"Clean power foes"? by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > Who exactly are "clean power foes"?

      Well, Americans For Prosperity for one. More generally, anyone with a coal plant that doesn't have easy access to natgas.

    5. Re:"Clean power foes"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, sometimes there are little factoids that are so ingrained in one's worldview that the writer doesn't notice that they're patently absurd. Thinking there are people that hate clean energy is one of those. It really harms the credibility of an article when one of those shows up in the summary.

    6. Re:"Clean power foes"? by jandrese · · Score: 1

      Pretty much anybody funded by the Koch brothers. Clean energy is a direct threat to their business model.

      --

      I read the internet for the articles.
    7. Re:"Clean power foes"? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clearly Donald Trump is anti-ruining-views and anti-Wind-Turbine-Syndrom.

      Not anti-clean-energy.

    8. Re:"Clean power foes"? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1
      He's very "anti-clean-energy".

      "With the coldest winter ever recorded, with snow setting record levels up and down the coast, the Nobel committee should take the Nobel Prize back from Al Gore," the tycoon told members of his Trump National Golf Club in Westchester in a recent speech. "Gore wants us to clean up our factories and plants in order to protect us from global warming, when China and other countries couldn't care less. It would make us totally noncompetitive in the manufacturing world, and China, Japan and India are laughing at America's stupidity." The crowd of 500 stood up and cheered.

  20. An Old Proverb by MouseTheLuckyDog · · Score: 1

    Don't count your ergs before they are generated.

  21. Interesting, but it shows how bad wind is by Crashmarik · · Score: 3, Informative

    Block island has a population of 1051 people and has to ship in diesel for power generation. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B...

    So currently they using just about the worst system for commercial generation, paying high fuel and operating at a scale that is barely viable to begin with. The article also doesn't mention just what they are doing for energy storage or backup.

    Either way if that is what is needed to make wind viable I wouldn't hold my breath.

  22. From the linked information by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

    http://www.politifact.com/rhod...

    The actual price for the power would be 30 cents/ KWHR.

    1. Re:From the linked information by macpacheco · · Score: 2

      In 10 years Li Ion battery storage will be cheap enough that above US$ 0.20/kWh it will be cheaper to go off grid. Most roof top solar PV is selling to the grid at US$ 0.03/kWh, but today storage is way more expensive than the solar panels.
      Plus compressed air energy storage will drop in price.
      That's the real purpose of the subsidies today, we have the base scientific knowledge to achieve lots of things, but investors don't put their money on hopes and dreams, they demand return on investment.
      Over the next 10 years subsidies for pure renewables (without storage) should be zero. And subsidies moved over to renewables with 30 minutes bare minimum of peak production, with even higher subsidies for at least 2 hrs storage, which would make wind able to generate at night and release stored capacity before solar PV can ramp up around 10AM. And Solar with 2 hrs storage would close the cycle until sunset. Plus the possibility of wind energy storage discharge until Solar PV ramps up and recharge from Solar PV during the day, and Solar PV storage charge from wind during the night. If that were possible we're talking 4 hours worth of storage for matched Solar+Wind, just enough to close the cycle.

    2. Re:From the linked information by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Well

      http://ilsr.org/technological-...

      http://ilsr.org/wp-content/upl...

      Lithium storage pricing / watt hour seems to have flatlined in recent years, but energy density still has a little positive slope to its curve. The cheap enough in 10 years looks like it needs more to support the statement.

      What prompts you to say compressed air storage will drop in price ? That process is very mature and has been for a very long time

    3. Re:From the linked information by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Then why would have Elon Musk put billions towards the Giga Factory, with two essential goals:
        - Assure Li Ion supply for future growth
        - Achieve a substantial Li Ion US$/kWh drop
      This is a single plant with capacity equal to 2013 worldwide production.

      I've seen plenty of markets that seemed mature, but the fact those were stagnated due to lack of interest in innovating.
      We need thousands of GWh scale storage solutions. At costs closer to pumped hydro than Li Ion storage.
      Could be the chicken egg problem.

      The Old Space establishment also said SpaceX wouldn't succeed. SpaceX F9R is improving performance substantially, at the lower launch costs of the market. Same for Tesla.

      Don't tell me it can't be done. It probably needs an Elon Musk of the world to actually take upon himself to make it happen.

    4. Re:From the linked information by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      In 10 years Li Ion battery storage will be cheap enough that above US$ 0.20/kWh it will be cheaper to go off grid.
      You forget that the price for lithium itself barely will fall, and that refining and transportation is the main reason for the battery prices.
      I really wonder why americans always think the price will approach zero if you simply built enough of the items.
      I have no clue what a kWh storage in lithium costs right now, but I doubt it will be ever cheaper than half the current price ... more likely it is replaced by alternative storage technologies before that.

      Also regarding your storage rants again: if you are so interested in that stuff and agitated to influence the way how power production is done in your country, why don't you look for a job in that area and LEARN how grids work? First of all you could put your energy and enthusiasm into your goal, and secondly you would realize that the storage you envision makes no sense at all.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:From the linked information by macpacheco · · Score: 2

      Li Ion batteries is mostly Nickel, comparatively a cheap metal. Lithium has the spotlight because its the critical breakthrough, but very little is necessary.
      I'm Brazilian BTW.
      The bet has been that Li Ion cells will reach US$ 100/kWh anywhere between 2020-2025.
      That would mean an actual 20kWh storage system @ less than US$ 5000.
      20kWh allows people to fully live off grid in sunny areas.

      Look into why Tesla/Elon Musk is investing billions on the Li Ion Giga Factory. A big part of the gamble is economies of scale leading to faster cost reductions in Li Ion costs. IF Li Ion prices haven't dropped significantly in the past 24 months its because the market is booming, with Tesla being the single largest worldwide buyer of Li Ion cells.

    6. Re:From the linked information by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > I've seen plenty of markets that seemed mature, but the fact those were stagnated due to lack of interest in innovating

      Or investment. PV is a clear example of this - panels are selling today below the cost that was predicted only a few years ago to be the lowest possible cost of product. The mad rush of money into the market raised production so much that supply/demand pressed all the input costs way down, while the manufacturers were slitting each other's throats squeezing costs out of their lines. I can't recall anything like it, a 5x decrease in price in under 5 years.

    7. Re:From the linked information by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      But in your previous post you said lithium ion batteries would approach 20 cents per kWH storage, or did you typo?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:From the linked information by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      What I hoped to say was that with retail electricity above 20 cents / kWh energy storage will soon be cheap enough to live off grid with solar + Li Ion storage in sunny places (like 30N to 30S lattitude). That's assuming USA price structure. Solar in Brazil is too expensive due to heavy import burden and in order to do net meterid we must have an outgoing meter sending everything we produce to the grid and pay state energy taxes including electricity we generate with solar, it pushes payback for solar over 10 years.

    9. Re:From the linked information by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just doing a bit of quick research. Apparently Tesla claims their 85KWh battery packs (the cheapest that I know of) would cost $12,000, or roughly $141 per KWh. But the people who actually own Teslas are seeing them to be closer to half the cost of the car (Model S, which I believe is $80,000, so $40,000 for the pack). This would mean $470 per KWh. So we have current prices between 141 to 470 dollars, where the 141 figure is a sales guy saying that, and the 470 is what people actually seem to be finding. Throw in that batteries aren't electronics and capacities don't increase and prices don't decrease nearly at the rate that electronics do. Yeah, I'm just left sort of thinking with how drastic the differences of sales claims and customer experience claims, that there is a lot of BS flying around and making an accurate prediction is pretty well impossible.

    10. Re:From the linked information by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      I like rooftop solar PV. It's making good use of otherwise wasted roof space.
      But I don't like utility scale solar PV, way too expensive for wholesale generation.
      rooftop solar PV competes with retail electricity prices.
      grid scale solar PV competes with natural gas, nuclear, ...

    11. Re:From the linked information by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      But the people who actually own Teslas are seeing them to be closer to half the cost of the car (Model S, which I believe is $80,000, so $40,000 for the pack).

      Eh? Based on what numbers pulled out of whose ass? No Model S battery pack is out of warranty yet, so no one anywhere has paid out of pocket for a replacement battery pack.

      The sales guy's are the only figures, at the moment. When the warranty begins to run out, then we'll see, but by the time that happens, the current conditions will not apply. Tesla's Gigafactory will be online and the world supply of lithium ion cells will have doubled. That can't help but put downward pressure on the price of cells and packs made of those cells.

      In any case, $40,000? I call bullshit.

  23. Re: Don't worry, the Republicans will block this.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    > the power companies

    That's a ridiculous conspiracy theory. If this was profitable, they're the ones that would be building the wind farms.

  24. Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when you are up against a local monopoly that has been gouging it's customers by ridiculous amounts.

    1. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Especially when the reduction comes not from the wind turbines but from the power line to the mainland that lets the locals buy power from the mainland power company.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    2. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I addressed that in another post. Before the island had excess generating capacity there was not enough incentive to link it to the grid.

    3. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by jbengt · · Score: 1

      No, the reduction in price comes from not burning the diesel required by the generators that they currently use.

    4. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      So would the savings be as great if they just ran the line?

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    5. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep.

      But....Wind!

    6. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Full disclosure, I work for an electric company, but not on the power side.

      I can only speak to how our utilities are regulated in Alaska. Everyone up here likes to scream and throw fits about being "gouged" for electricity, gas, etc. But by law, we are only allowed to make a maximum of a 12.5% profit. We have to justify to the regulatory commission every rate adjustment. If the company decides to by a company not related to power generation or distribution, and loses its shirt on the deal? That sucks, but not for the rate payers. We don't get to increase the power rates to cover that loss.

      No one is getting rich off the "profits." What the owners (employee owned in this case) do get however, is a (fairly) stable rate of return.

    7. Re:Not so hard to reduce prices 40% when ... by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Most likely, but there was no grid connection in this case until the windmills supplied more incentive than was previously there.

  25. the futre. by bloodhawk · · Score: 0

    I wonder if in another 50 or 100 years we will have people screaming about how thoughtless this generation was in taking energy out of the earths natural winds and currents thus altering long term climate. I know it is such a tiny proportion that is extracted, but still I do wonder. nothing is free, the cost is just not as visible.

    1. Re:the futre. by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 2

      Even if it was bad, what's the alternative? Pumping CO2 in the atmosphere?

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    2. Re:the futre. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or nuclear.

      Worst case scenario for nuclear is fairly predictable, as opposed to worst case scenario for anything that can have an impact on climate.

    3. Re:the futre. by bloodhawk · · Score: 1

      Not suggesting we have a better alternative. But so many things that seemed like good ideas at the time look bloody awful with 20-20 hindsight and a lack of understanding of the true costs. For the record I am all for harnessing wind and tidal power, but I still wonder whether we are just painting another coat of lipstick on the pig and praising it for its new found beauty.

    4. Re:the futre. by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      I agree with you on nuclear. We need more nuclear plants. However, I also feel it should not be the only solution.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    5. Re:the futre. by Neil+Boekend · · Score: 1

      I am saying CO2 is bad. The fact that some climate change believers use hype and crap science to support that conclusion does not change the fact that it is true.

      --
      Well, I might have a way, but it only works on a semi spherical planet in a vacuum.
    6. Re:the futre. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Similiar to how efforts to "save water" is completely pointless when the water is simply extracted from a (clean) river 100x larger than the city demand. (Sure, not all people are that lucky. They live in deserts, or have a dirty river.) If we save some water, that water is not extracted from the river, and just goes straight into the sea anyway. And still, idiots waste effort on low-flush toilets and water-saving diswashers - thinking they actually do something for the environment. While the water-savings often enough come at the expense of something else. A tradeoff that the desert-dweller will need to consider, but not the river-dweller.

      Saving water means
      1. saving on the processing cost of making more of the river water potable.
      2. saving the capital cost of building new water processing plant when the demand outstips supply of the old plant.
      3. saving the cost of increasing the capacity of the distribution network for piped water.
      4. saving the cost of increasing the capacity of the sewage network to take away the spent water.
      5. saving the utility of the space taken up by the new plant when multiple processing and sewage plants are needed.

      It is the same devaluing plentiful natural resources that causes a lot of pollution problems. After all, there is so much air/sea/land, how can what I burn/flush/chuck away cause any issues.

    7. Re:the futre. by ilparatzo · · Score: 1

      I think the implication is that much like CO2 back in the day, we don't really understand the long term ramifications of harnessing wind power over a large scale comparable with the burning of fossil fuels. It is certainly intriguing to think that 100 years from now history might look back on people charging forward with renewables with rose tinted glasses and think them idiots for the destruction they wrought on the environment. Or a humorous idea at least.

      We probably don't fully understand the ramifications of our pumping of CO2 into the atmosphere, given the ever changing and learning that goes on with scientific study. And we certainly don't know everything about our climate. That's not to say you don't go forward with renewables. It just makes you wonder if we will one day rue the day.

    8. Re:the futre. by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      LOL. Are you trying to imply that CO2 is 'bad' in some way? I guess you take that as read.

      www.climatedepot.com www.wattsupwiththat.com

      Ah, a list of bad science pushers.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    9. Re:the futre. by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      I am saying CO2 is bad. The fact that some climate change believers use hype and crap science to support that conclusion does not change the fact that it is true.

      It's the typical denialist distraction reductionism. "Given the physical properties of carbon dioxide, and its known effect on the climate given the naturally occurring fraction in the atmosphere, I think it's risky to start raising that fraction by 30, 50, 75%" "Are you saying carbon dioxide is bad? It's not a poison! Plants need it!"

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    10. Re:the futre. by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      LOL. Are you trying to imply that CO2 is 'bad' in some way? I guess you take that as read.

      www.climatedepot.com www.wattsupwiththat.com

      Cool it, Johnny Cochrane; nobody's going to take away CO2's right to bear arms.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
    11. Re:the futre. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have shown a remarkably massive amount of ignorance in a single post, from a complete lack of understanding on how energy is taken out of a system can affect other systems to absolutely zero understanding of why saving water isn't pointless (e.g. river levels, ecosystem, water table levels, salinity etc).

  26. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 4, Interesting

    My problem with wind turbines isn't the dead birds.
    Coal kills 13000 humans in the USA alone every year, 200k yearly worldwide.
    I'd rather kill 20000 birds than kill 10000 humans.
    I hope they make this endeavour happen. Offshore wind farms are the only type of wind farms that produce electricity with some real consistency. Most wind farms oscilate from 20%-40%-20% power output within minutes, do you know what that means for the grid ?
    Without economical, large scale energy storage, wind can't scale. Right now that means pumped hydro, which is very limited depending on geography.
    In the meantime, wind+solar helps take the focus away from the real problem, which is ending coal burning in the world without increasing natural gas consumption. Only nuclear can do that right now.
    If you really are concerned about climate change, you should be demading solar+wind+nuclear+biomass+geothermal, aka all of the above solution.

  27. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Said the anonymous coward that cares more about bird deaths than coal killing humans.

  28. Global Convection Oven! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Using wind energy to power our cities still converts electricity into heat. This heat warms the atmosphere and creates stronger winds for us to harvest. The more wind energy we use the stronger the winds, it's a vicious cycle.

    1. Re:Global Convection Oven! by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > This heat warms the atmosphere

      No it doesn't. Waste heat rapidly radiates into space. Temperatures only rise if you interrupt the radiation, say though GHG's that trap it.

      > The more wind energy we use the stronger the winds

      Premise incorrect, conclusion non-factual by default.

    2. Re:Global Convection Oven! by gzuckier · · Score: 1

      Using wind energy to power our cities still converts electricity into heat. This heat warms the atmosphere and creates stronger winds for us to harvest. The more wind energy we use the stronger the winds, it's a vicious cycle.

      Perpetual motion. Our energy problems are solved.

      --
      Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  29. Welcome to the real world by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    A few weeks ago, the UK had about 25% of its power needs supplied by wind.
    Ok, it was at 05:30 in the morning and was a very windy period but it meant that leccy provided by coal fired power stations could be throttled back considerably.
    Sure wind is variable so you need a good mix of supply sources from Coal to Gas to Nuclear to Solar to Wind and even Tidal.
    IMHO the US Gov needs to get off its collective ass and make renewable generation a priority through federal laws. This will mean that the power company lobby will have to be defeated but for the long term benefit of the country then this needs to happen.
    Until you do that and start to catch up with a goot part of the rest of the world, the slide of the US towards becoming a 3rd world country will continue.
    No longer are you No 1.

    1. Re:Welcome to the real world by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At what cost in government subsidy was this 25% at 05:30 in the morning provided?

    2. Re:Welcome to the real world by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      Considerably less than the cost in lives of all the American soldiers who have died protecting the "rights" of US-based oil companies in the Middle East.

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
  30. Re:Comparing Nonsense by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

    Wow, way to not link to a study, but rather a Smithsonian blog talking about a Wordpress blog talking about a study. You clearly love your primary sources!

    FYI, the study is just one of many. The study itself cites others, including:

    20,000 birds/yr (Sovacool, 2012)
    10,000–40,000 birds/yr (Erickson et al., 2001 and Manville, 2005)
    20,000–40,000 birds/yr (Erickson et al., 2005)
    440,000 (Manville, 2009)
    573,000 (Smallwood, 2013).

    The latter two include lattice towers, which are largely being decommissioned as unsafe to birds.

    But hey, having varied numbers clearly means that if you can find a blog linking to another blog linking to a study that shows high numbers (among many different studies), then clearly the GP is "plain wrong", right?

    And yes, even if we go with your choice study's mean of 234,012 annual bird deaths, that's still orders of magnitude less than many other types of human activities.

    --
    You know when it's okay to shout fire in a crowded theatre? When it's on fire.
  31. Greens have to lie about the costs of renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They want you to think that it was the wind turbines that would make electricity 40% cheaper when its the access to the mainland grid fossil/nuclear/hydroelectric powered energy, all of which the greens oppose, which will be responsible for any price cuts.

  32. Wind/Solar without taxpayer subsidies!?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No such creature exists. It would like a expecting your aquarium fish to live in the sand in the desert.

  33. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry, it is a French company that finances the project. All the extra costs are for the French. The profit is also for the French. But if you are right, the 'brainless French' will go bankrupt in no time, and Americans can buy a finished project for a few bucks. And that's when the elektricity becomes cheap.

    And indeed, you are right about the coal plants, they are a lot cheaper and more reliable. Just build a coal powered plant in your backyard. People will love you for the cheap elektricity. And the yellow smog gives a really cool and romantic effect on sunset as an extra bonus! Coal plants don't hate birds either. All life forms are equally affected by the polution, you will see an increased mortality rate in birds, insect, mammals even including humans!

  34. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Most wind farms oscilate from 20%-40%-20% power output within minutes, ... That is nonsense, also you forget the 60% 80% 100% and 200% etc. do you know what that means for the grid ? it does not mean anything for the grid.
    500000 washing machines switched on around the same time ... 500000 washing machines finishing their washing, around the same time: have the exact same effect.
    2million toasters, coffee machines, ovens etc. jumping on in the morning around the same time, and dropping off from the grid an hoir later: have exact the same effect.

    I don't get why people who have no clue always write nonsense like this.

    Again: but that is the last time for today, widn plants don't need energy storage to scale. You only need to distribute the plants like e.g. Denmark, Portugal and Germany are doing it.

    The grid already has enough pumped storage to compensate for _ANY_ power source. People want storage (that means certain plant owners or grid operators) because they can not stand (mentally, emotionally) all the excess power the plants are generationg, and desperately want to store it somewhere. For the raw functionallity of the grid the storage is not needed.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  35. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Coal doesn't only kill 13000 humans, they also kill a multiple of that amount of birds, mammals, insects, plants, ...

    It's not just choosing between 20,000 birds vs 10,000 humans, but choosing between 20,000 birds and 200,000 life forms including birds.

    By the way, nuclear isn't that green as you might think. The mining of the uranium (nuclear fuel) causes a lot of deadly pollution too: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U... . It might be CO2 neutral, but the pollution is still their, but the 'white' race is safe for this pollution as usual.

  36. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

    Simple solution to coal killing humans. Stop burning coal, replace coal plants with nuclear plants. Even if you include Chernobyl deaths in the nuclear statistics, the death rate is an order of magnitude or three better for nukes than for coal....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  37. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 3, Informative

    You're wrong. Wind turbine output is wind speed cubed. So a tiny wind speed generates a much larger % in power output. That's fairly trivial to handle if your grid have a lot of very powerful load following sources, but that will make wind+solar getting over 50% of your grid production pretty much impossible without very advanced energy storage, ideally a power source that can be charged/discharged very quickly.
    You're just embarrasing yourself.
    I have a lot of relatives and friends who work/worked in the electricity utility business. And I have some engineering background, which you don't seem to have.
    When Germany electricity prices get close to France's, then we can talk about if energiewende has succeeded or not.

  38. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 0

    I'm with you.
    First priority for electricity is big hidro / biomass from biodigestors+other natural wastes.
    Then nuclear.
    Then rooftop solar PV.
    Then wind.
    But if you study nuclear facts, you will find the US NRC and their NATO counterparts are working really hard in making nuclear as expensive as they can, to the point of making nuclear uneconomical, specially for new projects.
    Germany is planning to burn a whole lot of wood for load following their wind+solar. It's an insane solution.
    I'm hoping for Thor Energy solutions will enable uprating most of the current nuclear fleet around 20%, in the meantime there are some 6 molten salt reactor initiatives worldwide. But the US NRC is saying it will take 20 years just to license the first MSR reactor for commercial operation. 20 years !

  39. Nope, there is a reason for this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    1) New infrastructure that they don't have currently rolled out means the infrastructure they're currently milking for nearly pure profit won't make as much profit
    2) Other people will be able to make money off this, which to the accoutant mindset (which now includes most politicians and business owners) means that they're losing money
    3) Lower prices means less money without increasing profits as a %, which means less profit even if they moved to the new generation system entirely, even if getting the generators for free.

    The clue is "cut local prices by 40%".

  40. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    > I don't get why people who have no clue always write nonsense like this.

    Because an ad campaign funded by the Koch brothers told them that if they don't believe this they're liberals.

    Like this one: https://matter2energy.wordpress.com/2014/04/30/wont-anyone-think-of-the-seniors/

    Apparently, being associated with "the kids today" is far more scary for old people than anything pollution or GHG might do.

  41. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 0

    > That's fairly trivial to handle

    It's fairly trivial to handle, period. And this is a statement of fact, one based on the fact that 5% of all power in the US is generated by wind, yet grid performance continues to improve.

    You see, the grid operators have this magical stuff called "software" that allows them to predict the output of all of the generation assets with extremely high accuracy faster than the actual changes take place.

    This "software" thus allows them to switch from one power source to another faster than the rise and fall in production. And this "software" doesn't just work for wind, but any source at all.

    You might want to look up this "software" thing, I hear it's going to be big.

  42. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    > First priority for electricity is big hidro / biomass from biodigestors+other natural wastes.
    > Then nuclear.
    > Then rooftop solar PV.
    > Then wind.
    [snip]
    > it will take 20 years just to license the first MSR reactor

    So, is your argument that we should do nothing for 20 years? No, I know, I'm being silly. But the point in there is valid: nuclear is too slow to fix the problem.

    > US NRC and their NATO counterparts are working really hard in making nuclear as expensive as they can

    This tired old bromide. *sigh*

    Regulatory load, the favourite bugaboo of nuclear supporters, accounts for 5 to 10% of system cost. It has no real effect, as one can see by the fact that regulatory load has fallen from as much as 20% to 5% over the last 30 years yet the number of reactor projects plummeted.

    The actual problem, as it has been well known for decades, is size. Economic efficiency scales with reactor and plant size, which means the sweet spot is somewhere around 900 to 1100 MW per reactor, and 2 to 4 reactors per plant. This means that building costs alone push the price into the $30 billion range. And when you turn on such a system, supply and demand drops your spot price and your profit margins. Everyone's known this for decades, which is why there were efforts like CANDU6 and SMRs, but none of these exactly took the world by storm because their economic performance sucked.

    This year the average price for new nuclear is $7.50/W and wind is $1.25/W. The cost of integrating wind is actually lower than nuclear, contrary to other bromides. Even scaling for CF, wind is at least 1/2 the price of nuclear on a kWh basis. That is everything you need to know about the state of the nuclear industry right there.

  43. Ask the Apollo 13 crew by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Ask the Apollo 13 crew why they needed a CO2 scrubber.

    PS don't link to a set of links to a PR scam site run by nonscientists.

  44. $290M not nearly enough by scsirob · · Score: 0

    Wind energy is a scam. They don't run on wind, they run on taxpayers money.

    If wind farms elsewhere are any indication, then that $290M will do nothing to build a decent size wind farm. In comparison, the Gemini wind farm park in the North Sea costs €2.8 Billion to build, for just 150 turbines. On top of that, this farm needs to be subsidized with €4.4 Billion in the next 15 years to become 'profitable'. See: http://geminiwindfarm.com/

    So with 150 turbines for €7 Billion, how many turbines will that get you for $290M?

    --
    To Terminate, or not to Terminate, that's the question - SCSIROB
  45. 40% lower? by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 0

    One is taken to wondering how power prices can drop 40% when there are tons of new infrastructure being bought and labor being paid to install it. Wind power isn't *THAT* much cheaper to run. I have a funny feeling there are significant tax breaks being given to the companies installing the stuff and tax increases being levied on citizens to make this 40% drop happen...which, if true, means it's not really 40% cheaper, it's just those savings are being offset by higher costs elsewhere.

    --
    In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
  46. Ruin the view is bullshit by Roodvlees · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I've love the sight of an eco-friendly windmill on my horizon, don't understand why people complain so much about it.
    The sound would be unacceptable though, if that's still a problem.

    --
    Thank you, Bradley Manning, Edward Snowden and so many others, for courageously defending humanity, my freedom and more!
    1. Re:Ruin the view is bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know about offshore but normal land based (1-2 MW) wind turbines are imperceptibly quiet most of the time unless your practically standing underneath them. A few years ago there was an attempt to put a wind farm in my area and due to concerns about noise and looks they were taking people on tours to the nearest wind farm. At least when we were there you had to strain to hear them over the sound of a moderate breeze standing at a maintenance barn only a few hundred feet from one. Once we walked closer there was a noticeable but faint whine but it wasn't unpleasant. The tour guide stated that during certain humidity conditions the sound would be more noticeable but it would have to have been one heck of a change to effect your average person's daily routine. Unfortunately the project was killed with red tape by NIMBY's, could have been a boon for our community.

  47. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    There are now quite a few 50MWh class utility scale battery installations at wind farms around the world. Japan has the most, but there are some in Hawaii as well I believe. They are sodium sulphur based and smooth the output of the wind farm to make it easier on the grid.

    Having said that, offshore wind doesn't vary as much as 20% within minutes. In fact even on-shore wind ins't that variable. The UK national grid actually considers large wind farms to be more reliable than coal or nuclear plants, because where generation is distributed over many turbines a single failure won't knock 500MW+ off the grid instantly. They use a 15 minute time scale to predict output and with a number of geographically distributed turbines output doesn't vary quickly.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  48. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    You're wrong. Well, calling you are wrong and then answering: you are wrong ... leads to nothing. Wrong about what btw.?
    Wind turbine output is wind speed cubed. Depends how you want to say that. Ofc. it is not speed cubed. It increases with the cube of the speed, perhaps you meant that ...
    So a tiny wind speed generates a much larger % in power output. No it does not.
    You have "rated" speed. For easy math we can just take 10m/sec as rated speed and assume the turbine generates 1MW at that speed.
    Now you double the wind speed to 20m/sec, the wind turbine will generate 8MW.
    Now imagine a "square" function graph drawn, just use a simple sheet of paper, you see from 10 to 11 and 11 to 12 etc. the "square" has no real effect, it is below "linear" increase, the huge jump is at the right side of the graph.

    That's fairly trivial to handle if your grid have a lot of very powerful load following sources
    Actually: every grid has that, or it simply would not work at all.
    but that will make wind+solar getting over 50% of your grid production pretty much impossible without very advanced energy storage, ideally a power source that can be charged/discharged very quickly.
    And that is simply wrong. The solar production you can predict EXACTLY so you know how to plan in your "conventional" plants. The wind production can also be predicted easy enough to easy let your conventional plants follow to fill the "balancing" gab. Actually all countries with a high percentage of renewables do that already.
    The only problem is the "mentally" problem of wasting surplus energy, because you shut down parts of your wind farm if you really produce excess energy.
    Having extra storage has only one benefit/effect: if I store energy today, I can use it tomorrow instead of a conventional plant, so I safe fuel (what ever fuel I use). The grid is otherwise completely unaffected.

    Neither Denmark nor Germany built any special storage the last 20 years to cope with the grows of renewables.

    The question basically is only how green you want to be and how quickly you want to jump to 100% renewables and how to invest your money. As long as legislations _allow_ you to run a coal plant, you simply have to figure yourself: is it cheaper to run the coal plant and spent the fuel, and have it shut down/powered down half of the time, or is it cheaper to build up storage and replace that plant with stored surplus energy. The decision is simply monetary ... perhaps in Basil it is different ... perhaps you already are very low on storage, and can barely manage your ordinary grid properly, no idea. Germany is not low on storage.
    Bottom line the idea spread here on /. that renewables need special storage or they wont work is just bullshit.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  49. Re: Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, so using "software" I can continue downloading electrons from my power company? Does the same software help me recycle the used electrons? I have enough stuff in the house, trying to clean up around here...

  50. no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No it won't. Simple as that.

  51. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yeah, 5% of the whole mix is trivial. Scale that up to 1/3 overall, with some regions above 50%, and see what happens. Above all it is too expensive.
    Perhaps you should learn a thing or too about reactive charges.
    Your talk about software shows you have no technical expertise in the area. I'm a computer infrastructure expert, and I know a thing or too about solar,wind,nuclear and the electrical grid. The problem isn't a software to switch wind off and something else on, the real problem is doing extremely agile load following. That's easy to do with hydro or fossil fuels. But most countries don't have large untapped hydro sources. And we need to get off fossil fuels.
    I'm not interested in a grid that will depend from fossil fuels forever.
    We must get rid of all coal usage for electricity and heating.
    We must radically reduce natural gas usage too.
    Can't do that with solar+wind.
    Need lots of nuclear. Some countries like China and Brazil still have tens of GW worth of untapped hydro, but most countries don't. Brazil was at the verge of a collapse in the past few months with very little rain leading to your hydro reservoirs close to that critical point where hydro plants must shutdown ! No wonder we have one large nuclear reactor in construction and plans for another half a dozen.
    At the same time we are deploying wind and solar. But we have lots of hydro to load follow solar and wind. The USA, UK, France don't.

  52. Show me the money by AndyKron · · Score: 0

    Show me the 40% reduction and I'll believe it. For now I think it will be a 40% INCREASE.

    1. Re:Show me the money by dave420 · · Score: 1

      You should see how expensive it is to run diesel generators to produce the electricity, especially when you have to literally ship the diesel in first. Having a line back to the mainland also means the windfarm can sell excess production, and the islanders are free to buy energy from the mainland as well. Or you can just go with your gut and ignore what's actually happening. I'm sure that'll work out really well for you. Really well.

  53. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    I think Germany is also going for power-to-gas. (And they better had some regular pumped storage built in the years to come, since they're seriously lagging behind.)

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  54. Clean Energy Foes? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because all of those fat evil capitalists with their big cigars and suits are sitting around a table plotting against clean energy! Those bastards! The Koch Brothers(tm) are probably involved too!

  55. Misleading by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The rates may go down for the tiny island of Block Island, but the rates for the rest of Rhode Island will double and meanwhile the wholesale price of electricity that these bandits buy had dropped 50%. It is a huge, expensive scam that Rhode Island's corrupt politicians pushed through that will hang like an albatross around the neck of the state for 2 decades.

  56. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 4, Interesting

    China is building new nuclear reactors in a little over 5 years.
    And its not just China, South Korea, India, Russia, are all doing nuclear at sane costs and sane schedules. That's called have a rational nuclear regulator.
    I'm not a nuclear professional, but after all the anti nuclear crap that hit the media after Fukushima that got me so pissed off I decided to study nuclear, and all I studied showed me nuclear is being unfairly targeted. Massive lies and miss information.
    Even today, the most expensive nuclear project in the world, Olkiluoto in Finland is still cheaper then energiewende, with all of its overruns. And I've heard plenty of arguments why Areva EPR is likely the most expensive reactor on the market today. GE ESBWR and Westinghouse AP1000 seems much cheaper. Yet the anti nuke types take Olkiluoto as the reference to discuss.
    Wind $1.25 per peak capacity Watts... If your effective capacity factor is 20%, then you're up to $ 6.25 per Watt, and then you must add the fossil backup costs. Must talk levelized costs.
    Then you need to account for the fact that a nuclear reactor can be built fairly close to its primary market, while wind turbines must be built where the wind is, then you must add transmission line costs, substations, lots of things the greenies conveniently ignore in their calculations. When you add all of that up, even with wind capacity factor of 30% it is more expensive even than Olkiluoto that you love to quote as poster child of nuclear too expensive.
    Nuclear doesn't have to be expensive.
    The current Westinghouse reactor offering, the AP600 and AP1000 started development work before Chernobyl. It took 26 yrs from conception to certification of the AP600 cause the US NRC didn't know how to certify a passively safe reactor, so it took them 16 years to certify it.
    This isn't an intrinsic, unavoidable nuclear problem, but rather how the US NRC is setup to certify it, it can be improved.
    There is a lot of vested interest in nuclear failing, or at least not innovating and continuing to be expensive.
    You can either pretend we don't need it like the Germans, do nothing to help like American politicians or demand we make it more rational which will reduce nuclear costs substantially in the short term.
    If you listen to actual energy professionals even those that do utility scale solar and wind, the actual technical professionals admit the same problems I'm pointing out to you. It's a fact.
    Nuclear doesn't need GW scale to be economical.
    Water cooled nuclear likes GW scale plants.
    Gen IV reactors work just fine at 250MW scale, and they do load following, so a site with 4x 250MW reactors can reliably supply power to a market with 1GW demand without need for fossil backups while load following wind/solar if needed. But once you have a nuclear reactor, wind and solar aren't useful.
    It's helpful to actually learn about nuclear from factual nuclear sites, instead of from anti nuclear sites, those are not environmentalists, but rather shills paid to bash nuclear to keep coal and natural gas in power for as long as possible.
    I sugest:
        https://www.coursera.org/cours...

  57. Re:40% in reality -- not likely... by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

    As opposed to how current electricity is managed? You still get rolling black outs today. The notion that it doesn't happen today is willful ignorance.

  58. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Then why don't they build a few more wind farms and go full throttle on wind ?
    I said a few times, prove me it works, a whole large country using at least 1/3 of its electricity from wind. But the UK has zero plans to get rid of nuclear, instead they are actually building nuclear and planning more.
    Hawaii very difference scenario, since wind is competing with very expensive electricity from oil, and in Hawaii all fossil generation is peaking anyways, with the fuel dominating costs, so every extra MWh not generated from fossil, the better.
    On shore wind might not be variable on carefully selected sites.
    Let remind those that might point out that Germany gets 70+% of their electricity from solar, that's not even a whole perfect summer day, that's instantaneous load for the best summer day in the year. You need 75% peak solar share to have much less than 1/3 yearly average.

  59. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 3, Interesting

    BRAZIL has all the load following it needs. Its called big hydro. Brazil's peak electricity demand is around 100GW, with over 80GW of installed big hydro generation capacity. The critical aspect is water supply (reservoir status). Its what pumped hydro should be instead, an actual generation asset instead of a purely storage solution.
    We don't have a boatload of wind cause our govt is very inefficient to do its thing. Matter of fact in many ways I'm ashamed of being Brazilian. But we could easily add 30 GW worth of nameplate wind. We also have the big advantage of the wind being the strongest when its dry, so it compliments hydro perfectly.
    We also have 2GW of nuclear (2 reactors), another 1.3GW nuclear in construction, and tens of GW in various fossil plants (mostly natural gas).
    This storage argument is very interesting. You are ignoring the fact that Denmark imports lots of hydro electricity from norway/sweden, nuclear from France, without big imports the system would break down. Local storage is far from sufficient.
    The final fact is Denmark / Germany / Spain have the most expensive electricity in Europe, part of the extra cost is taxes, but even without taxes, Germany electricity is more expensive than France. If Energiewende was that cost effective, then why isn't Germany cheaper than France ?
    I'm not making up lies, you're the one ignoring the inconvenient facts to your side.
    I wish solar+wind could do the job, but it cant. The problem is the side that can't recognize that nuclear is essential to get rid of fossil fuels worldwide. China is burning more coal than the entire rest of the world combined. Still they are doing solar,wind,nuclear and hydro as fast as they can. They are adding clean electricity to their grid much faster than Europe or the USA, cause the govt doesn't care about NIMBY nonsense.

  60. MA rates will be going up, not down! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I live in South Eastern MA. I have a notice from National Grid that our rates our going up! They already went up and are going up even higher when the Brayton Point Power Plant goes offline. Our natural gas bill is also hiked up because the local power plants are now predominantly burning natural gas. Pilgrim Nuclear has had issues and will be going permanently offline soon. The windfarm won't power all of southeastern ma and ri. So much for buying an electric or plug-in hybrid car. I think we need to generate our own power... by sun, wind, propane, lng, etc.

  61. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by dave420 · · Score: 1

    Burning wood is pretty good, isn't it? It's as close to load-following carbon neutral as one can have with such a low cost of implementation.

  62. you have a choice by ihtoit · · Score: 1

    wind farms or frack drills.

    Fuck it, you're getting both. One'll be a hundred foot white elephant every 200 feet, the other'll fuck up your water supply but you won't be able to sue anyone because your local government has already taken the backhander for the immunity.

    --
    Political debates have me rolling my eyes so much I think I got optical whiplash. I should sue. - Foamy The Squirrel
  63. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

    I would not say it is trivial. Only someone that has never worked on software that must be very reliable would call it trivial.
    workable yes.

    A fool thinks everything they do not know how to do is trivial.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  64. A REAL electricity Spill. by sycodon · · Score: 2

    I wonder what the results would be of some electrical glitch putting 30 megawatts of electricity into the sea surrounding the wind turbines.

    Can any EE guys weigh in on the physics of this?

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    1. Re:A REAL electricity Spill. by orgelspieler · · Score: 3, Informative

      IAAEE. Since sea water is a very good conductor, you would be hard pressed to put "30MW of into the sea." Assuming these are generating at 13.8 kV, and they somehow had their lineside terminals dunked in sea water, you would get a lot of noise and steam followed by the generator protection relays kicking in in like a cycle and a half. Call it 25 ms. The excitation to the generators would be shut off and the voltage would quickly dwindle. You'd have a bunch of fucked up equipment, and anybody in the immediate area might be exposed to electrocution and arc flash hazards, but there wouldn't be noticeable impact to the rest of the ocean. Hell, the generator itself would probably be OK.

      Short circuit calculations are something that any power generation place deals with all the time. When you are shorted, you get a lot of current, but not a lot of volts, so your power will go down substantially. Just like when you accidentally drop a screwdriver across a battery. You get a spark, damage the battery, maybe take out some ESD sensitive components, but by and large the rest of the components on the board are OK. There's just no way for the energy to get out to the rest of the world.

      In order to get 30MW of electricity actually into the sea water, well... I'm not exactly sure how you could do it. This sounds like a job for Randall Munroe, honestly. You'd probably have to only dunk one phase in the drink. Then you could at least get a little time before the ground fault and unbalanced load relays kick in. You could run the sea water through very long PVC pipes, essentially turning the water into a 30MW heater, and that would raise the temperature of the water. But that's not exactly what you have in mind. Besides, that's sort of like what other power plants do with their waste heat. They dump it into a cooling water body, although not quite at that level you're talking about.

    2. Re:A REAL electricity Spill. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      IAAEE. Since sea water is a very good conductor, you would be hard pressed to put "30MW of into the sea." Assuming these are generating at 13.8 kV, and they somehow had their lineside terminals dunked in sea water, you would get a lot of noise and steam followed by the generator protection relays kicking in in like a cycle and a half. Call it 25 ms. The excitation to the generators would be shut off and the voltage would quickly dwindle. You'd have a bunch of fucked up equipment, and anybody in the immediate area might be exposed to electrocution and arc flash hazards, but there wouldn't be noticeable impact to the rest of the ocean. Hell, the generator itself would probably be OK.

      Short circuit calculations are something that any power generation place deals with all the time. When you are shorted, you get a lot of current, but not a lot of volts, so your power will go down substantially. Just like when you accidentally drop a screwdriver across a battery. You get a spark, damage the battery, maybe take out some ESD sensitive components, but by and large the rest of the components on the board are OK. There's just no way for the energy to get out to the rest of the world.

      In order to get 30MW of electricity actually into the sea water, well... I'm not exactly sure how you could do it. This sounds like a job for Randall Munroe, honestly. You'd probably have to only dunk one phase in the drink. Then you could at least get a little time before the ground fault and unbalanced load relays kick in. You could run the sea water through very long PVC pipes, essentially turning the water into a 30MW heater, and that would raise the temperature of the water. But that's not exactly what you have in mind. Besides, that's sort of like what other power plants do with their waste heat. They dump it into a cooling water body, although not quite at that level you're talking about.

      Offshore wind farms of larger capacity are in operation in Europe . Moreover there are High Voltage DCC subsea interconnects between Norway and the Netherlands and the Netherlands and the UK .
      To bring onshore windpower from northern Scotland south to the Glasgow area a subsea cable will be (has been ?) laid near the atlantic coast.

      There is also a large offshore windfarm in operation in the North Sea east on London.

      Siemens of Germany and Vesta of Danmark are developing wind generators with a generating capacity of 5 and 8 MW each

      Web info galore !

  65. Re:40% in reality -- not likely... by CraigCruden · · Score: 0

    WIth Nuclear, Hydro, gas and coal you generate the amount of electricity that you expect the demand to be. The only time I ever had a problem with this type of power in Toronto is when a grid failure shut down the nuclear reactors and they had to do a cold restart. A once in a lifetime event. Rolling blackouts like what you mentioned often come from the lack of investment in generating supplies for the growth in usage (in addition to peak demand due to heat waves etc.). That type of blackout does not happen except when you have mismanagement in the grid or if you make it impossible to build new generating capacity. When you talk about things like solar or wind -- your generation is not driven by demand.... you could have even a constant demand but if you have days without wind or a drop of 50%, or you need power at night when the sun goes down..... You still need generation capacity to fill that lack of power. People don't just cut back when the wind drops, they don't shut off all the lights at night..... they need a predictable amount of power. Solar and wind cannot produce that. You can build banks and banks of very expensive battery backup for when the grid fails (in my case locally it shuts off for 5 minutes every few days) if you are a company, but usually that is a stopgap measure that then for prolonged power outages switches over to gas generating backup generators (or some other fuel like that). This is the type of backup generating capacity for wind and solar - but no-one ever mentions it because it is a dirty little secret. They have mandates to buy power from home solar setups, they have to buy it whether there is a demand or not..... but there is no penalty if that same house which is on the grid fails to deliver power when people need it.... so there is a hidden subsidy of the grid supplier to buy backup power to supply both you and that house when the sun doesn't shine.

  66. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Burning wood is the worst type of biomass I can think. You're taking a good, long term carbon storage, releasing that carbon into the atmosphere, growing the wood again takes a long while.
    Good biomass is biomethane, and waste from harvesting vegetables (for instance sugar cane leaves lots of folliage and roots that Brazil is using for electricity production, it's stuff that would be burned or decompose anyways).

  67. Re:The savings is coming from the national power g by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From TFA:
    In fiscal 2011, according to a report by the town’s Electric Utility Task Group on the fiscal costs and benefits of the wind-farm project, the average cost of electricity on the island was 47 cents per kilowatt hour. In the rest of Rhode Island it was 14.8 cents.

    So at a 40% savings, the island will still pay DOUBLE the rate of the rest of New England. Can we get back to reality on how much "green" energy really costs and stop with the misleading headlines?

  68. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have yet to see the citation where a cat kills a bald eagle or a golden eagle. You sir are a shill and full of shit.

  69. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Nukenbar · · Score: 1

    Even for this?

  70. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

    That assumes he knew about Romney and Koch, while considering Koch and Romney conservatives(not all do).

    It what bizarro world are those two not conservatives?

  71. I wonder if they would have saved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the same amount switching over to gasoline generators.

  72. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    Wind turbine speed doesn't change nearly as fast as you think it does. Wind turbines have a very large amount of mass so every random gust does not create a sudden huge surge of electrical energy production.

    How do you explain Germany not having serious issues when during the summer renewable production regularly reaches the 50% level? Surely if the problems were as bad as you think they are every few minutes voltage would spike and blow up everyone's washing machines and televisions, yet that doesn't seem to happen. Can you figure out why?

    For large installations 50+MWh batteries are already deployed at multiple sites world wide for output smoothing. Not because they are necessary, but because the energy companies use them to shift some of the output to peak times when they get paid more for it.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  73. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    Considering you claim to have studied nuclear power it's incredible how many times you are wrong. For example, you say that 4x250MW reactors don't need backups because they can load follow. Ignore the fact that nuclear is particularly unsuited to load following for a moment, what happens when one or more of your reactors is forced to shut down unexpectedly? It happens all the time for a variety of reasons - simple failed components that are quickly replaced, seismic activity, faulty sensors etc. Look at the average availability for a modern nuclear plant - those things have multiple unexpected shut-downs every year.

    The UK National Grid considers distributed wind to require less fossil fuel back-up than nuclear. Wind energy output doesn't vary very quickly and is predictable. The failure of a single turbine doesn't instantly knock 500+MW off the grid. There is plenty of time to spool up other sources when the wind is dropping. Nuclear, on the other hand, requires a constant back-up supply to be available and switched in at a moment's notice, so you have to run that fossil fuel plant 24/7 even if it is mostly just wasting fuel.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  74. Graft is everywhere by bussdriver · · Score: 2

    Nuclear power is in the billions to build a plant. We have 2 in the USA that are not coming cheap. It NEVER includes all the free or really cheap government services that nuclear power gets and needs. You complain about wind but nuclear burns money and costs more than solar; graft is always included for both. Thing is, with big massive centralized power generation you have a few powerful players who's political pull is greater than smaller more distributed alternatives (unless the smaller players can unite.)

    I've read many times that no nuclear power station in the USA has ever made a profit. ever. not without accounting games shifting the cost onto tax payers. It's a game of stealing as much money as possible; not making legitimate profit. I know in my area they will build stations with lots of bonuses/incentives and low interest loans etc-- then years later get even more taken off if not chucking the remainder of the debt plus expansions of tax-free periods etc. (in the name of jobs, but really these new jobs are being subsidized.) Maybe 30 years later it gets even but the debt and incentives are not repaid. But to be fair, power generation is infrastructure that helps the local economy in ways you can't directly measure... like roads. but it would be better if it were handled like the roads... which have less overhead and work just as well.

  75. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Coren22 · · Score: 1

    The mining of the uranium (nuclear fuel) causes a lot of deadly pollution too: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U... [wikipedia.org] .

    That is why reprocessing is the answer.

    but the 'white' race is safe for this pollution as usual.

    Funny, cause I thought Australia looked pretty white, maybe I am wrong.

    --
    APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  76. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Coren22 · · Score: 1

    The problem with your statement is that it is quite silly. Why would you run a large percentage of your power off of any source? You should be using a mix of many sources to balance each other out. Nuclear is good, hydro is good, solar is good, geothermal is good, tidal etc. Saying that because no one runs 1/3 of their power from wind, therefore it is bad is missing the big picture. Wind is one of many different power sources, and of course shouldn't be used as the sole power source.

    Nuclear is a great power source, but it shouldn't be used as the sole power source, it scales too slowly and during maintenance, a large portion of your power is offline. Therefore no one should ever use nuclear as it can't provide 100% of the power!

    Do you see how silly you sound?

    --
    APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  77. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Solid fuel reactors have trouble load following due to buildup of Xenon 135.
    In MSRs the fuel is dissolved in the core, with Helium being bubbled through the core to speedup Xenon and Krypton removal at the top of the reactor, this advantage plus the very high negative temperature coefficient makes load following a breeze for MSRs vs very hard for regular reactors.

    MSRs probably won't need to be shutdown due to earthquakes, completely different way of operation, totally walk away safe, the reactor shutdowns without any intervention if it overheats in any way. Worst case, split into two 500MW sites.

    MSRs are meant to be way cheaper than regular reactors, so it might end up being cheaper to overbuild them than actually maintaining fossil backups.

    I completely understand the relative characteristics of current and proposed reactors. Although such reactors aren't factored in any existing nuclear planning, since they are still under design. The most far along seems to be the IMSR from Terrestrial Energy from Canada, engineering blueprints for regulatory review is being finalized.

  78. Cape Wind a loser by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the case of Cape Wind, the real reason for the opposition to it is that the power from it would be MORE expensive than from other sources so electric rates on Cape Cod and ISO New England areas receiving its generation would go up. That is even with all the tax payer subsidies thrown in.

    Environmental impact is certainly another factor including damage to fishing grounds, potential oil leaks from the turbines and from maintenance activities and possible damage to the tourism industry (which is the main industry in the area). When electric rates on Cape Cod and in New England are already about the highest in the country - we don't need our taxes going up to subsidize this and also have our electric rates going up more. Hydro power from Canada can be imported more cheaply to increase the renewable energy mix. What New England critically needs is to increase gas pipeline capacity from the mid-west to support power generation as well as home and industrial use. Right now at certain times gas power generation needs to be curtailed due to lack of gas supply. Solid fossil fuel base load capacity is needed regardless of what is done with wind power since the wind isn't always blowing, or ironically, is sometimes blowing too hard causing the wind turbines to be shutdown to prevent damage.

    Nuclear is dead - it is going to keep withering away and critical mass to support the fuel and spare parts production cost effectively will be lost. The new plant designs are still riddled with cost overruns and the high staffing costs which are causing many existing plants to become money losers. They also don't sufficiently address the risks of existing plants as underscored by Fukishima. Maybe if someone created a brand new design from a blank slate something viable would emerge, but the new GE and Westinghouse plants are just updates to the designs that date back to the '60's. Maybe smaller, modular, factory built power units would work but they are still focused on large scale centralized plants. Current available designs just need too many employees to operate to be cost competitive with gas turbine/combined cycle plants. You might have 150-200 employees at a large gas plant but the nuke will have 600-800 or more. Also the gas plant is more fully covering all of its costs of operation, nuclear does not and only exists due a 1950's era law that indemnifies plant operators from liability if there is an accident. If more of the true costs were placed on the nuke plant operators as they are with other forms of power generation none of them would have ever been build. That doesn't even account for the still open issue of what to do with the spent fuel rods building up at the existing plants or the cost of dealing with them.

    To keep a competitive market, a good mix of plant types needs to be kept available (even if on standby) including gas, oil, coal, hydro, wind and solar otherwise one type of fuel supplier will realize they can charge whatever they want. Wind and solar projects need to be able to provide power cost competitive with other sources - something that Cape Wind will not do if it is built.

  79. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pilot, sailor, engineer. Lol, no let me guess the next one, you're a Dr. too arn't ya?

  80. Wind Farm makes no financial sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This wind farm makes no financial sense. If they are going to run an undersea cable to connect the island to the mainland grid, just stop there. Pay for that capex of the line and decommission the generators. There is no financial sense in building the wind farm. The high cost of the island is because it is not connected to the mainland. Once connected, the energy costs will be the same as the mainland (once the undersea cable is paid for).

  81. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by barc0001 · · Score: 1

    Ah yes, the great Democrats Mitt Romney and Bill Koch. How could we possibly have forgotten those great Democrats?

    >http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cape_Wind
    >But after more than a dozen years, the $2.6 billion proposal remains on the drawing board, thanks in large part to the Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound, of which Mr. Koch is chairman.

  82. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by ChumpusRex2003 · · Score: 1

    A major reason Germany can cope with large amounts of renewables, are because its grid is tightly tied to numerous neighbouring countries. Effectively, the whole of continental Western Europe is tightly interconnected and synchronised.

    This allows Germany to use imports/exports to help absorb fluctuations in wind supply outturn. Germany have also been shutting down slow responsing nuclear plants and replacing them with coal and gas turbine plants which are faster to respond.

    However, the UK has had significant problems with grid stability after the establishment of a large amount of wind energy. National grid have already increased the maximum allowable "rate of change of frequency" (ROCOF) to 1 Hz/s, because their previous operational limit of 0.1 Hz/s was being continually exceeded due to wind variability. For interconnected systems which depend on ROCOF to detect grid failure (e.g. small scale generation - combined heat power schemes, rooftop solar PV, small scale wind), the previous operational limit was being exceeded frequently enough to result in various "chain reaction" type events. For example, a thermal power plant trips out, causing frequency to fall at a significant but not critical rate - at the same time a random variation in wind output results in a temporary loss of output. Together, this is sufficient to trigger ROCOF protection on embedded generators, causing them to trip off, suddenly withdrawing supply to a grid which already has an excess of demand. Some of these events have been severe enough to trigger emergency load shedding with up to 50k homes disconnected due to low frequency.

  83. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by Woldscum · · Score: 1

    They are big government progressives.

  84. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    It what bizarro world are those two not conservatives?

    I'm a member of a board where I'm considered a raging liberal...

    While they correctly identify(in my opinion) that there's not actually that much difference between Obama and Romney, that's because they consider BOTH unacceptably liberal, with Obama about half a step further.

    Meanwhile, most 'liberals' consider Obama a DINO, a rather conservative individual.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  85. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

    Are you suggesting that non-libertarians can't be conservatives? Even as a libertarian I find that silly.

  86. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by DanielRavenNest · · Score: 1

    > Wind turbine speed doesn't change nearly as fast as you think it does.

    Agreed. A single wind turbine has flywheel inertia in the blades, so it doesn't instantly stop and start. A whole wind farm changes even more slowly, because the turbines are typically spaced about 400 meters apart, and average wind speed is ~6 m/s, thus about a minute between turbines. Across many turbines in a wind farm, you are talking about ~10 minutes. Across a grid with multiple wind farms, the reaction time is even longer for a change in wind speed to propagate.

  87. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

    The final fact is Denmark / Germany / Spain have the most expensive electricity in Europe, part of the extra cost is taxes, but even without taxes, Germany electricity is more expensive than France. If Energiewende was that cost effective, then why isn't Germany cheaper than France ?

    Firstly because France is largely nuclear, which has historically been very cheap on a large scale, so a comparison to France would be tough for many countries, and secondly because it's a long-term project. The fact that it's not as cheap now doesn't mean it will stay so. But you can't build new infrastructure on a whim. For example, PV module cost is steadily going down. So when they get, say, three times cheaper in the next two decades (UMG cells, packaging improvement, manufacturing improvement...), if people at that point in time suddenly start putting them onto their roofs like crazy without some infrastructure investments done now, what's going to happen? Something nasty, I'd bet.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  88. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm waiting for the day when water electrolysis and methanation plants will become widespread. That would give you facilities that can really be shut down very quickly to cope with demand changes.

  89. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    "You're taking a good, long term carbon storage"

    Wood in itself is long term carbon storage, but European forests aren't, even without burning them. Maybe jungles are different, but this isn't Brazil.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  90. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    My challenge is to those that reject nuclear while trying to pretend they are environmentalists.
    With modular MSRs in the 250-300MW that are fueled with liquid fuel its a whole different type of nuclear. Those reactors could go for many, many years non stop, since the fuel is added in little batches, like an injection is given to patient, with reprocessing facilities little batches of core coolant+fuel can be removed and reprocessed to remove fission products then returned to the core.
    Like I said totally different deal. The way nuclear was supposed to be.
    Water cooled, solid fuel nuclear was seen in the 50s as a temporary kludge to win the cold war, while keeping their research funding. All Manhattan Project scientists never saw it as the solution.

  91. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    So once Solar gets even cheaper, everybody puts it on their roof, and in a nice summer at high noon you get 300% of your demand being produced by solar alone... How are you going to store that much electricity, you'd need TWhs worth of storage.
    Part of the plan will be exporting much of that electricity, but now add equivalent levels of solar to France, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece, the Balkans, Poland, who are you going to sell to ?
    Unless you have a seasonal industry that can use GWs worth of electricity only when it's sunny, your project isn't going to scale, no matter how cheap solar gets.

  92. Re:Don't worry, the Republicans will block this... by meglon · · Score: 2

    That assumes he knew about Romney and Koch, while considering Koch and Romney conservatives(not all do).

    It what bizarro world are those two not conservatives?

    Well, considering we have a faction in this country who would make Mussolini look like a radical leftist, i suppose it's the anti-intellectual, anti-education bizarro world we're stuck in in the US currently; Sinclair was right about the whole wrapped in a flag and carrying a bible thing.

    What i find most amusing is when the idiots trot out that Lincoln was a republican, therefor all the ills of the world are because of democrats... their lack of education and common sense really divorces them from the reality that Lincoln would be considered radical left in todays politics; although to be fair, so would Reagan.... 11 tax increases, amnesty for illegals, gun control.... Reagan's damn near Marx's twin!!!111!!1.

    Ultimately it's not so much a bizarro world that thinks Koch and Romney aren't conservative, it's a bunch of loud and whiny complete fucking imbeciles.... they simply yell their stupidity really loud in hopes that reality doesn't get a good enough grip on them to pull their heads out of their ass. Personally i give them a lot more credit than that... their heads are so firmly planted up their 6 that nothing will ever get them popped free.

    --
    Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  93. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    How are you going to store that much electricity, you'd need TWhs worth of storage.

    You electrolyze water and then methanate the resulting hydrogen using a nickel catalyst. The product you inject into the regular natural gas grid. While doing so, you also lift your middle finger in the general direction of Putin.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  94. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    That the whole cycle will waste close to 80% of that electricity, while adding costs to get that done. Epic energy waste. You guys really don't do the math, do you ?
    Electrolizing water is crazy inefficient. So is producing methane from electricity. You are nuts, riverdance !

  95. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    What are you talking about? 80% waste is highly unlikely. Electrolysis efficiency is solidly 60%+, often more. And it's pointless to argue about waste if we're talking about power peaks that you have to offload somewhere. Solar cells are "crazy inefficient", but that doesn't matter because sunlight comes for free. Immediate electricity peaks with no outlets are of much lower value than storable hydrocarbons, so some level of waste is acceptable (just like electricity is of higher value than the coal being burned in the boiler, that's why we're burning the coal in an expensive power plant instead of in a cheap stove in the first place!). All that assuming that technology progresses and Swanson's law holds at least for the next two decades, but there isn't any reason why it shouldn't.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  96. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Except you ignore the waste on the way back...
    And you ignore the cost of the equipment to do the roundtrip conversion.
    Fuel cells are crazy expensive, that's the only efficient way back.
    You remind me of that Supertramp song.
    Dreamer, you know you are a dreamer
    Well, can you put your hands in your head? Oh no
    I said, "Dreamer, you're nothing but a dreamer"
    Well, can you put your hands in your head? Oh no
    Your better off planning on getting tens of TWh worth of chemical batteries by then.

  97. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    Why would you go for fuel cells when there's an entire industry running on methane? Domestic appliances, gas turbine plants, CNG vehicles, huge natural gas storage tanks... Germany alone has 250 TWh worth of gas storage. Sounds like a pretty large "chemical battery" to me. And they already have it.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  98. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    Then you have 60% efficiency each way, or 36% efficiency round trip, and that's if you use a combined cycle gas plant, which aren't cheap, and aren't load following resources, like I said, CRAZY !
    Are you paid to sell this nutty solution or just misinformed ?
    It is not by accident that energiewende is a lot more expensive than nuclear (yeah, even than Olkiluoto).

  99. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    If you use traditional load following NG plants, assuming some future plant with 40% efficiency (typical is under 35%), I think that's 24% efficiency, or you loose at least 4 parts for each part recovered !

  100. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    I think you missed the part where PV cells, being solid-state devices, kind of tend to be maintenance-free. When a Swedish insular PV plant from the mid-80's was recently decommissioned, they found that one (1!) of the twenty panels provided degraded output because of a failure of one of its cells, and the remaining nineteen provided their factory-rated output (!) 25 years (!!) after having been put in place. And those were ancient modules, not the modern ones. Back then, they didn't even have a 25 years warranty like today, only had a 10 year one or something like that. At that point, who the hell cares if you lose 60% in stored energy? Especially if only a part of the output gets stored and the rest is simply used as is. If you don't have to pamper them the way mechanical parts need to be pampered, just use twice as many panels and stop caring. Duh!

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  101. Offshore Windfarms by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    40% cheaper? Mmmm!! good luck with that it's proving anything but cheaper in the UK and they have to shut the things down if it gets a lititle too windy - don't throw your candles out yet

  102. Re:40% in reality -- not likely... by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    On top of the normal maintenance etc., the problem with the current crop of "renewable" energy is you cannot count on them producing enough energy when you actually need it. You may be able to count on a mean or average amount, but consumption is more of a constant. You have to have backup power (non-renewable) or very expensive storage systems to provide power when the wind dies down (or sun goes down, etc.) or you end up with rolling or regional blackouts when you don't have the power available. Those backup sources require maintenance and upkeep as well as the renewable energy. When you hear puffery about how much the renewable energy will save - they tend to omit those backup plants etc. My father was given the option of "paying for" wind power in a coastal area or just the grid power.... when I mentioned that the electricity goes on the same grid and you don't get what you pay for (someone else might) and the cost of having someone else use the power that you are paying more for.... he opted for the normal power grid power. Without subsidies, it was more expensive.

    Consumption is a constant? Midsummer afternoon AC load isn't a problem, even in the northern states? There isn't excess capacity at night, that the electric companies are dying to sell to you as recharging time for your car?

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  103. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by gzuckier · · Score: 1

    > First priority for electricity is big hidro / biomass from biodigestors+other natural wastes. > Then nuclear. > Then rooftop solar PV. > Then wind. [snip] > it will take 20 years just to license the first MSR reactor

    So, is your argument that we should do nothing for 20 years? No, I know, I'm being silly. But the point in there is valid: nuclear is too slow to fix the problem.

    > US NRC and their NATO counterparts are working really hard in making nuclear as expensive as they can

    This tired old bromide. *sigh*

    Regulatory load, the favourite bugaboo of nuclear supporters, accounts for 5 to 10% of system cost. It has no real effect, as one can see by the fact that regulatory load has fallen from as much as 20% to 5% over the last 30 years yet the number of reactor projects plummeted.

    The actual problem, as it has been well known for decades, is size. Economic efficiency scales with reactor and plant size, which means the sweet spot is somewhere around 900 to 1100 MW per reactor, and 2 to 4 reactors per plant. This means that building costs alone push the price into the $30 billion range. And when you turn on such a system, supply and demand drops your spot price and your profit margins. Everyone's known this for decades, which is why there were efforts like CANDU6 and SMRs, but none of these exactly took the world by storm because their economic performance sucked.

    This year the average price for new nuclear is $7.50/W and wind is $1.25/W. The cost of integrating wind is actually lower than nuclear, contrary to other bromides. Even scaling for CF, wind is at least 1/2 the price of nuclear on a kWh basis. That is everything you need to know about the state of the nuclear industry right there.

    True. The only role for nuclear in the foreseeable future would be to extend the lifespan of existing plants that are nearing their planned end of life. As unpalatable that is, it might be better than new coal fired. As for new nuke plants, by the time they come on line it'll be a decade from now and they'll all be underwater.

    --
    Star Trek transporters are just 3d printers.
  104. Wind Farm will cut local power prices by 40% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No problem with the article, but the title should read:

    "Subsidies extorted from taxpayers will lower local power prices by 40%"
    A more interesting subject would be who paid off which politicians to permit the robbery.

  105. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    You are ignoring the fact that Denmark imports lots of hydro electricity from norway/sweden, nuclear from France, without big imports the system would break down.
    No, I'm not ignoring this ;D because it is wrong. The energy Denmark is importing is neglectible. They are a net exporter.

    E.g. see this: http://energytransition.de/201...

    Or google for more ...

    If Energiewende was that cost effective, then why isn't Germany cheaper than France ? Because:
    a) in France energy is subsidized
    b) French households bottom line use much more electricity than germans (heating of water and house heating e.g.)
    c) the Energiewende is not finished yet, however prices are already dropping

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  106. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Sigh, there is no waste.

    The waste is: I shut down my wind mills because I produce to much energy. That is _waste_

    Instead of that I pipe H2 in a low percentage into the natural gas grid. So I can use 80% of the surplus electric energy (or create methane, as the parent suggested).

    The natural gas plants you already have!! So using them and the gas grid as _storage_ makes sense.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  107. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Gas plants are load following resources.
    Actually they are the second fastest load followers reacting in the 10 seconds range to load changes.

    And as the parent already pointed out (no idea why you don't listen or grasp it) the gas grid is already there, the gas plants are already there :D

    You don't know if the Energiewende would be more expensive than nuclear. (Assuming you mean Germany) Especially as Germany has no viable places left where we could built additional reactors.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  108. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    You can be a net exporter and still be paying more to import electricity than the exports.
    The electricity Denmark imports is dispatchable, the electricity Denmark exports is renewable overproduction.
    No point in arguing with you, you fail to see what's so clear. The system would break down if all of Europe did the same as Germany and Denmark. That's actually obvious to me and every electric grid professional.

  109. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    This whole debate is pointless cause your side is always proposing solutions without accounting for the costs, efficiency, you know, math.
    I would like to see an actual realistic complete plan to go 100% solar, wind, hydro and biomass in Germany. The whole cost figure.

    No sites to build more nuclear reactors ? That's just pure and unadulterated garbage. Its the result of insane anti nuclear regulation that is designed to drive nuclear out of Germany, engineering and facts be damned.

    In the meantime the gas pipeline from Russia has deep involvement of Gerhardt Schroeder.
    And Germany's coal will continue to be burned, cause keeping those jobs is more important than cleaning up the environment.
    That's the real reason for your anti nuclear bias. Politics and jobs. Energiewende is a huge jobs program.
    Don't sell it to the rest of the world as a solution. It's not.

    Offshore wind is not baseload. Baseload is assured power. Offshore is intermittent power. If offshore wind was baseload, you wouldn't need to bother with weather forecasts at all. Just because it doesn't go from 0 to 100% everyday doesn't make it baseload.

    Are you another merchant of doubt ? The more we dive into this discussion, the more your speech breaks down. You don't know what baseload is. You don't account for the costs of your solutions.

    In the meantime Fukushima area is 95% safe to return right now. Where are the radiation deaths ? By 2025 we'll be talking about the cancers Fukushima didn't create.

    Did you see the fact that UK electricity frequency standards had to be relaxed due to wind turbines, from 0.1% to 1% max oscilation ?

    Do you realize I know you will never concede this debate, all I care is the opinions of others, cause you have demonstrated don't actually understand the whole system.

  110. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Baseload is assured power
    No, it is not. Base load is the "percentage" of power (in relation to peak) that you always feed into the grid, regardless of demand. Hence the name "base load".
    E.g. in germany base load is about 40% (of peak) and in France close to 60%.
    Regardless of demand means: at night between ~1:30 and ~4:00 you feed more into the grid than the people/industry need, as you fill up pumped storages.
    That is usually done with plants that run continuously at roughly 90% max load.

    cause you have demonstrated don't actually understand the whole system.
    And you don't even know what base load is/means :D

    No sites to build more nuclear reactors
    Why don't you look on a map of germany? Germany is not as big as Brazil, I assume the smallest federal state in Brazil is already bigger than germany.

    Energiewende is a huge jobs program.
    Of course it is!!! What is your problem with that? Should we feed the unemployed instead???

    In the meantime Fukushima area is 95% safe to return right now.
    How do you come to that retarded idea?

    By 2025 we'll be talking about the cancers Fukushima didn't create.
    Well, as the area is evacuated, hopefully not many cancer cases will be caused by it. So again: what is your point?

    In a bad mood today?

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  111. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    You can be a net exporter and still be paying more to import electricity than the exports.
    Which Denmark does not do ... so, why are you claiming that all the time?

    The system would break down if all of Europe did the same ...
    If all of europe would do "the same", we would not need energy storages, because the overproduction of state A in region a would be used to supply state B in region b ...

    That's actually obvious to me and every electric grid professional.
    Actually, I'm a grid professional. A bit more biased to the production and trading side, though.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  112. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    If all of europe would do "the same", we would not need energy storages, because the overproduction of state A in region a would be used to supply state B in region b ...

    How the hell do you know that when region A is overproducing there would actually be a region with a shortage ? If the core problem with intermittency, you can't pray for a supply/demand match. The only advantage of such a solution is that there would be lots of energy storage everywhere, so maybe you can export you over production to another area that is also overproducing but still has energy storage left. But there will often be times when there is over production everywhere, and times when there will be shortage everywhere, except for countries that actually have a large natural baseload reserve (aka big hydro).

  113. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    and times when there will be shortage everywhere,
    No there were not. Europe is to big to have "shortage" everywhere when we are full renewable. Sigh ... that is the point of the "Energiewende". Germany alone is to big to have shortages when we are fully converted to 100% renewables.

    except for countries that actually have a large natural baseload reserve (aka big hydro).
    This is a meaningless sentence. Base load and reserve are mutual exclusive, but I already explained to you what "base load" actually means a few posts back.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  114. Re:Cape Wind Will Die by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    The electricity Denmark imports is dispatchable, the electricity Denmark exports is renewable overproduction.

    And whenever it gets exported to Norway, Norwegians get to save water in their reservoirs and thus get to increase average net generation of desirable (for the seller) "dispatchable" electricity. The one you say is expensive. So it's a win-win for both parties!

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20