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Treadmill Performance Predicts Mortality

An anonymous reader writes: Cardiologists from Johns Hopkins have published an analysis of exercise data that strongly links a patient's performance on a treadmill to their risk of dying. Using data from stress tests of over 58,000 people, they report: "[A]mong people of the same age and gender, fitness level as measured by METs and peak heart rate reached during exercise were the greatest indicators of death risk. Fitness level was the single most powerful predictor of death and survival, even after researchers accounted for other important variables such as diabetes and family history of premature death — a finding that underscores the profound importance of heart and lung fitness, the investigators say." The scoring system is from -200 to +200. People scoring between -100 and 0 face an 11% risk of dying in the next decade. People scoring between -200 and -100 face a 38% risk of death within the next decade. People scoring above zero face only a 3% chance or less.

5 of 134 comments (clear)

  1. So let's give a number scail so we can't self test by jellomizer · · Score: 1, Insightful

    What is with this -200 - 200 BS
    At least tell us how to get these numbers. Is it based in heart rate, O2 levels, speed /age, length of time at a given heart rate. Just saying people who score over 100 are a strong indicator is meaningless unless we know how this number is calculated. I am sick of the media hiding science details and math from the public. No wonder why so many people do not trust science, the media covering it treats it like a magic box, that only special people with a PHD can get.

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    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  2. Re:mandatory treadmill tests by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Oh, you are free to not do it, but unless you do the bank, the insurance company won't accept you as a customer. Also, since the HR department doesn't have good data on your health you are sketchy and you won't get a job.

  3. Re:Daily Treadmill by itzly · · Score: 3, Insightful

    What counts is physical fitness. The treadmill is just used here as an instrument to quantify it.

  4. Re:mandatory treadmill tests by Roodvlees · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Communism only relates to the way you organize your economy.
    The point of this research is probably to allow doctors to make better estimates as to when a patient might die.
    Capitalism can be just as bad as communism if you don't regulate the economy. You need some of both.

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    Thank you, Bradley Manning, Edward Snowden and so many others, for courageously defending humanity, my freedom and more!
  5. +43 if female by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So 1/5 of their scale is already offset-ted depending on gender. That makes me rise an eyebrow : it should be a factor, not an offset...